Policy & Socio-Economics
Levelized Cost of Hydrogen from Offtakers Standpoint: An Overlooked Perspective Via Case Studies in Warrnambool, Australia
Aug 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is a promising energy vector for replacing fossil fuels in hard-to-abate sectors but its cost hinders widespread deployment. This research develops an exact MILP model to optimize the design of integrated green energy projects minimizing the total annual cost between different power configurations. The model is applied to a case study in regional Victoria Australia which supports a fleet of nine fuel cell electric buses requiring 1160 kg of hydrogen per week. The optimal system includes a 453 kW electrolyzer 212 kg of storage in compressed hydrogen vessels 704 kW of solar PV and 635 kW of wind power firmed with grid electricity. The LCOH is 14.8 A$/kg which is higher than other estimates in the literature for Australia. This is arguably due to the idle capacities resulting from intermittent hydrogen demand. Producing additional hydrogen with surplus or low-priced electricity could reduce LCOH to 12.4 A$/kg. Sensitivity analyzes confirm the robustness of the system to variations in key parameter costs resource availability and estimated energy supply and demand.
Ensuring Southern Spain’s Energy Future: A LEAP-Based Scenario for Meeting 2030 and 2050 Goals
Aug 2025
Publication
The transition towards a low-carbon energy system remains a critical challenge for regions heavily dependent on fossil fuels such as Andalusia. This study proposes an energy planning framework based on the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP) to model alternative scenarios and assess the feasibility of meeting the 2030 and 2050 decarbonisation targets. Three scenarios are evaluated the Tendential Scenario (TS01) the Efficient Scenario (ES01) and the Efficient UJA (EEUJA) Scenario with this last being specifically designed to ensure full compliance with regional energy goals. The results indicate that while the Tendential Scenario falls short in reducing primary energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions the Efficient Scenario achieves significant progress though it is still insufficient to meet renewable energy integration targets. The proposed EEUJA Scenario introduces more ambitious measures including large-scale electrification smart grids energy storage and green hydrogen deployment resulting in a 39.5% reduction in primary energy demand by 2030 and 97% renewable energy penetration by 2050. Furthermore by implementing sector-specific decarbonisation strategies for the industry transport residential and services sectors Andalusia could position itself as a frontrunner in the energy transition while minimising economic and environmental risks. These findings underscore the importance of policy enforcement technological innovation and financial incentives in securing a sustainable energy future. The methodology developed in this study is replicable for other regions aiming for carbon neutrality and energy resilience through strategic planning and scenario analysis.
Modelling Hydrogen Storage Requirements to Balance the Future Western Australian Grid
Sep 2025
Publication
Increasing renewable energy technology penetration into electrical grids to meet net zero CO2 emission targets is a key challenge in terms of intermittency; one solution is the provision of sufficient energy storage. In the current study we considered future projections of electrical demand and renewable energy (in 2042) for the Southwest Interconnected System grid in Western Australia. Required energy storage considered is a mixture of battery energy storage systems and underground hydrogen storage in a depleted gas reservoir. The Southwest Interconnected System serves as an excellent case study given that it is a comparatively large isolated grid with substantial potential access to renewable energy resources as well as potential underground hydrogen storage sites. This work utilised a dynamic energy model that summates the wind and solar energy resources on an hourly basis. Excess energy utilised battery energy storage systems capacity first followed by underground hydrogen storage. The relative size of the renewables and the storage options is then optimised in terms of minimising wholesale energy production costs. This unique optimisation analysis across the full integrated system clearly indicated that both battery energy storage systems and underground hydrogen storage are required; underground hydrogen storage is predominately necessary to meet seasonal unmet energy demand that amounts to approximately 6% of total demand. Underground hydrogen storage costs were dominated by the required electrolyser requirements. The optimised levelised cost of electricity was found to be US$106/MWh which is approximately 45% larger than current wholesale electricity prices.
A Review of Green Hydrogen Technologies and Their Role in Enabling Sustainable Energy Access in Remote and Off-Grid Areas Within Sub-Saharan Africa
Sep 2025
Publication
Electricity access deficits remain acute in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where more than 600 million people lack reliable supply. Green hydrogen produced through renewablepowered electrolysis is increasingly recognized as a transformative energy carrier for decentralized systems due to its capacity for long-duration storage sector coupling and near-zero carbon emissions. This review adheres strictly to the PRISMA 2020 methodology examining 190 records and synthesizing 80 peer-reviewed articles and industry reports released from 2010 to 2025. The review covers hydrogen production processes hybrid renewable integration techno-economic analysis environmental compromises global feasibility and enabling policy incentives. The findings show that Alkaline (AEL) and PEM electrolyzers are immediately suitable for off-grid scenarios whereas Solid Oxide (SOEC) and Anion Exchange Membrane (AEM) electrolyzers present high potential for future deployment. For Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) the levelized costs of hydrogen (LCOH) are in the range of EUR5.0–7.7/kg. Nonetheless estimates from the learning curve indicate that these costs could fall to between EUR1.0 and EUR1.5 per kg by 2050 assuming there is (i) continued public support for the technology innovation (ii) appropriate flexible and predictable regulation (iii) increased demand for hydrogen and (iv) a stable and long-term policy framework. Environmental life-cycle assessments indicate that emissions are nearly zero but they also highlight serious concerns regarding freshwater usage land occupation and dependence on platinum group metals. Namibia South Africa and Kenya exhibit considerable promise in the early stages of development while Niger demonstrates the feasibility of deploying modular community-scale systems in challenging conditions. The study concludes that green hydrogen cannot be treated as an integrated solution but needs to be regarded as part of blended off-grid systems. To improve its role targeted material innovation blended finance and policies bridging export-oriented applications to community-scale access must be established. It will then be feasible to ensure that hydrogen
Hydrogen Production from Supercritical Water Gasification of Model Compounds of Crude Glycerol from Biodiesel Industries
Apr 2023
Publication
Biodiesel production through transesterification results in a large quantity of crude glycerol as a byproduct the utilization of which is technically and economically challenging. Because of the ability to efficiently process wet feedstocks supercritical water gasification (SCWG) is utilized in this study to convert crude glycerol into hydrogen-rich syngas. A significant challenge addressed through this study is the decomposition routes of different heterogeneous components of crude glycerol during SCWG. Pure glycerol methanol and oleic acid were investigated for SCWG as the model compounds of crude glycerol. SCWG of model compounds at temperature pressure feedstock concentration and reaction time of 500 ◦C 23–25 MPa 10 wt% and 1 h respectively revealed methanol to exhibit the highest H2 yield of 7.7 mmol/g followed by pure glycerol (4.4 mmol/g) and oleic acid (1.1 mmol/g). The effects of feedstock concentration from 30 wt% to 10 wt% increased H2 yield from all model compounds. Response surface methodology (RSM) was used to develop a response curve to visualize the interactive behavior and develop model equations for the prediction of H2 -rich gas yields as a function of the composition of model compounds in the crude glycerol mixture. Predictive models showed a good agreement with experimental results demonstrating high accuracy and robustness of the model. These findings demonstrated a strong potential of crude glycerol for SCWG to generate H2 -rich syngas.
The Hydrogen Challenge: Addressing Storage, Safety, and Environmental Concerns in the Hydrogen Economy
Aug 2025
Publication
As part of global decarbonization efforts hydrogen has emerged as a key energy carrier that can achieve deep emission reductions in various sectors. This review critically assesses the role of hydrogen in the low-carbon energy transition and highlights the interlinked challenges within the Techno-Enviro-Socio-Political (TESP) framework. It examines key aspects of deployment including production storage safety environmental impacts and socio-political factors to present an integrated view of the opportunities and barriers to large-scale adoption. Despite growing global interest over 90 % of the current global hydrogen production originated from fossilbased processes resulting in around 920 Mt of CO2 emissions two-thirds of which were attributable to fossil fuels. The Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) shows that coal-based electrolysis resulted in the highest GHG emission (144 - 1033 g CO2-eq/MJ) and an energy consumption (1.55–10.33 MJ/MJ H2). Without a switch to low-carbon electricity electrolysis cannot deliver significant climate benefits. Conversely methanol steam reforming based on renewable feedstock offered the lowest GHG intensity (23.17 g CO2-eq/MJ) and energy demand (0.23 MJ/ MJ) while biogas reforming proved to be a practical short-term option with moderate emissions (51.5 g CO2-eq/ MJ) and favourable energy figures. Catalytic ammonia cracking which is suitable for long-distance transport represents a compromise between low energy consumption (2.93 MJ/MJ) and high water intensity (8.34 L/km). The thermophysical properties of hydrogen including its low molecular weight high diffusivity and easy flammability lead to significant safety risks during storage and distribution which are exacerbated by its sensitivity to ignition and jet pulse effects. The findings show that a viable hydrogen economy requires integrated strategies that combine decarbonised production scalable storage harmonised safety protocols and cross-sector stakeholder engagement for better public acceptance. This review sets out a multi-dimensional approach to guide technological innovation policy adaptation and infrastructure readiness to support a scalable and environmentally sustainable hydrogen economy.
How Company History and Hydrogen Type Shape Public Trust and Acceptability: A Reputation Management Perspective
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is gaining interest as a clean energy source from both governments and fossil fuel companies. For hydrogen projects to succeed securing public acceptability is crucial with trust in the implementing actors playing a central role. Drawing from reputation management and attribution theory we experimentally evaluated whether people’s perceptions of energy companies wanting to start producing hydrogen for sustainability reasons differ based on two features of hydrogen production. Specifically we examined the influence of (1) the type of hydrogen (blue versus green) and (2) the energy company’s history in energy production (fossil fuels versus renewables) on perceptions about the companies’ reputation management efforts —that is the belief that companies adopt hydrogen primarily to improve their public image— as well as on levels of trust both overall and specifically in terms of integrity and competence. We further explored whether perceived reputation management explains the effects on trust and whether these factors also shape public acceptability of hydrogen production itself. Results indicated that people perceived the company with a history of working with fossil fuels as trying to improve its reputation more than one associated with renewables and trusted it less. Furthermore perceived reputation management explained the lower (general and integrity-based) trust people had in companies with a past in fossil fuels. For public acceptability of hydrogen the company’s history was not relevant with green hydrogen being more acceptable than blue regardless of which company produced it. We discuss these findings in relation to the literature on public perceptions of hydrogen.
Hydrogen Revolution: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Driven Policies, Feasibility, Challenges and Opportunities: Insights from Asian Countries
Aug 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen a zero-carbon emission fuel has become a real competitor to transform the energy market thanks to improvements in the electrolysis process decreased costs and the presence of renewable energy resources. Energy industries have shown considerable progress in hydrogen production due to the incorporation of artificial intelligence (AI) knowledge through algorithms AI-based models and data programs. These techniques can greatly enhance the production storage and transportation of hydrogen fuel. The main goal of this article is to demonstrate the recent technological advancements and the influence of various AI techniques algorithms and models on the hydrogen energy sector along with this further examination of the energy policies of countries like China Japan India and South Korea. The key challenges related to these energy policies are addressed through standardized datasets AI models and optimized environmental conditions. This paper serves as a valuable resource for researchers engineers and practitioners interested in applying cutting-edge technologies to enhance hydrogen safety systems. AI-based models contribute to the overall shift towards a sustainable energy future by enhancing efficiency reducing costs and facilitating hydrogen energy commerce for Asian countries. This study accelerates the global investigation and tremendous applications of sophisticated machine-learning methodologies for producing renewable green hydrogen.
Designing Effective Hydrogen Markets: Policy Recommendations from Electricity and Gas Market Reform
Aug 2025
Publication
For low-carbon hydrogen to become a viable decarbonization solution the creation of a robust and effective market is essential. This paper examines the applicability of market reforms from the renewable energy natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) sectors with a focus on pricing mechanisms business models and infrastructure access to facilitate hydrogen market development. Applying the Structure-Conduct-PerformanceRegulation (SCP-R) framework and informed by stakeholder insights we identify critical enablers for advancing the hydrogen market formation. Our analysis highlights the importance of innovative pricing strategies and regulatory measures incentivizing investment and managing risks. Establishing a market reference price for low-carbon hydrogen — akin to benchmarks in the natural gas and LNG sectors—is critical for ensuring transparency predictability and regional adaptability in trade. Additionally customized business models are also needed to mitigate volume risks for producers. Government interventions such as offtake agreements and the development of hydrogen hubs are indispensable for fostering competition and driving decarbonization.
Fast Enough? The Consequences of Delayed Renewable Energy Expansion on European Hydrogen Import Needs
Aug 2025
Publication
This study investigates the impact of delayed and accelerated expansion of the volatile renewable energy sources (vRES) onshore wind offshore wind and photovoltaics on Europe’s (EU27 United Kingdom Norway and Switzerland) demand for hydrogen imports and its derivatives to meet demand from final energy consumption sectors and to comply with European greenhouse gas (GHG) emission targets. Using the multi-energy system model ISAaR we analyze fourteen scenarios with different levels of vRES expansion including an evaluation of the resulting hydrogen prices. The load-weighted average European hydrogen price in the BASE scenario decreases from 4.1 €/kg in 2030 to 3.3 €/kg by 2050. Results show that delaying the expansion of vRES significantly increases the demand for imports of hydrogen and its derivatives and thus increases the risk of not meeting GHG emission targets for two reasons: (1) higher import volumes to meet GHG emission targets increase dependence on third parties and lead to higher risk in terms of security of supply; (2) at the same time lower vRES expansion in combination with higher import volumes leads to higher resulting hydrogen prices which in turn affects the economic viability of the energy transition. In contrast an accelerated expansion of vRES reduces dependency on imports and stabilizes hydrogen prices below 3 €/kg in 2050 which increases planning security for hydrogen off-takers. The study underlines the importance of timely and strategic progress in the expansion of vRES and investment in hydrogen production storage and transport networks to minimize dependence on imports and effectively meet the European climate targets.
Green Hydrogen in the European Union - A Large-scale Assessment of the Supply Potential and Economic Viability
Aug 2025
Publication
Demand for hydrogen is expected to increase in the coming years to defossilize hard-to-abate sectors. In the European Union the question remains in which quantities and at what cost hydrogen can be produced to satisfy the growing demand. This paper applies different approaches to model costs and potentials of off-grid hydrogen production within the European Union. The modeled approaches distinguish the effects of different spatial and technological resolutions on hydrogen production potentials costs and prices. According to the results the hydrogen potential within the European Union is above 6800 TWh. This figure far surpasses the expected demand range of 1423 to 1707 TWh in 2050. The cost of satisfying the demand exceeds 100 billion euro at marginal costs of hydrogen below 85 euro per megawatt-hour. Additionally the results show that an integrated European Union market would reduce the overall system costs notably compared to a setup in which each country covers its own hydrogen demand domestically. Just a few countries would be able to supply the entire European Union’s hydrogen demand in the case of an integrated market. This finding leads to the conclusion that an international hydrogen infrastructure seems advantageous.
Unlocking Solar and Hydrogen Potentials: A Comparative Analysis of Solar Tracking Systems for South Africa's Energy Transition
Aug 2025
Publication
This study explores the potential of solar tracking technologies to enhance South Africa’s energy transition focusing on their role in supporting green hydrogen production for domestic use and export. Using the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD) it evaluates four solar tracking technologies — horizontal axis tilted horizontal axis vertical axis and dual-axis — across six scenarios: tracking and non-tracking versions of a Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario a 2 ◦C scenario and a high hydrogen demand and export (HighH2) scenario. The results identify horizontal axis tracking as the most cost-effective option followed by tilted horizontal axis tracking which is particularly prominent in the HighH2 scenario. Tracking systems enhance hydrogen production by extending power output and increasing electrolyzer full-load hours. In the HighH2 scenario they reduce hydrogen production costs in 2050 from 1.47 e/kg to 1.34 e/kg and system cost by 0.66% positioning South Africa competitively in the global hydrogen market. By integrating tracking technologies South Africa can align hydrogen production ambitions with renewable energy growth while mitigating grid and financial challenges. The research underscores the need for targeted energy investments and policies to maximize renewable energy and hydrogen potential ensuring a just energy transition that supports export opportunities domestic energy security and equitable socio-economic growth.
Determining the Spanish Public’s Intention to Adopt Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles
Aug 2025
Publication
Understanding what people think about hydrogen energy and how this influences their acceptance of the associated technology is a critical area of research. The public’s willingness to adopt practical applications of hydrogen energy such as hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles (HFCVs) is a key factor in their deployment. To analyse the direct and indirect effects of key attitudinal variables that could influence the intention to use HFCVs in Spain an online questionnaire was administered to a representative sample of the Spanish population (N = 1000). A path analysis Structural Equation Model (SEM) was applied to determine the effect of different attitudinal variables. A high intention to adopt HFCVs in Spain was found (3.8 out of 5) assuming their wider availability in the future. The path analysis results indicated that general acceptance of hydrogen technology and perception of its benefits had the greatest effect on the public’s intention to adopt HFCVs. Regarding indirect effects the role of trust in hydrogen technology was notable having significant mediating effects not only through general acceptance of hydrogen energy and local acceptance of hydrogen refuelling stations (HRS) but also through positive and negative emotions and benefits perception. The findings will assist in focusing the future hydrogen communication strategies of both the government and the private (business) sector.
An International Review of Hydrogen Technology and Policy Developments, with a Focus on Wind- and Nuclear Power-Produced Hydrogen and Natural Hydrogen
Aug 2025
Publication
The potential for hydrogen to reshape energy systems has been recognized for over a century. Yet as decarbonization priorities have sharpened in many regions three distinct frontier areas are critical to consider: hydrogen produced from wind; hydrogen produced from nuclear power; and the development of natural hydrogen. These pathways reflect technology and policy changes including a 54% increase in the globally installed wind capacity since 2020 plus new signs of potential emerging in nuclear energy and natural hydrogen. Broadly speaking there are a considerable number of studies covering hydrogen production from electrolysis yet none systematically examine wind- and nuclear-derived hydrogen natural hydrogen or the policies that enable their adoption in key countries. This article highlights international policy and technology developments with a focus on prime movers: Germany China the US and Russia.
Optimizing Vietnam's Hydrogen Strategy: A Life-cycle Perspective on Technology Choices, Environmental Impacts, and Cost Trade-offs
Sep 2025
Publication
Vietnam recognizes hydrogen as a key fuel for decarbonization under its National Hydrogen Strategy. Here we quantified the environmental and economic performance of Vietnam’s optimal hydrogen-production pathways by evaluating combinations of green and blue hydrogen under varying demand scenarios using life-cycle assessment and optimization modeling techniques. The environmental performance of hydrogen production proved highly sensitive to the electricity source with water electrolysis powered by renewable energy offering the most favorable outcomes. Although green hydrogen production reduced carbon emissions it shifted environmental burdens toward increased resource extraction. Producing 20 Mt of hydrogen by 2050 would require 741.56 TWh of electricity 178 Mt of water and USD 294 billion in investment and it would emit 50.48 Mt CO2. These findings highlight the importance of strategic hydrogen planning and resource strategy aligned with national priorities for energy transition to navigate trade-offs among technology selection emissions costs and resource consumption.
Potential Financing Mechanisms for Green Hydrogen Development in Sub-Saharan Africa
Aug 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is gaining global attention as a zero-carbon energy carrier with the potential to drive sustainable energy transitions particularly in regions facing rising fossil fuel costs and resource depletion. In sub-Saharan Africa financing mechanisms and structured off-take agreements are critical to attracting investment across the green hydrogen value chain from advisory and pilot stages to full-scale deployment. While substantial funding is required to support a green economic transition success will depend on the effective mobilization of capital through smart public policies and innovative financial instruments. This review evaluates financing mechanisms relevant to sub-Saharan Africa including green bonds public–private partnerships foreign direct investment venture capital grants and loans multilateral and bilateral funding and government subsidies. Despite their potential current capital flows remain insufficient and must be significantly scaled up to meet green energy transition targets. This study employs a mixed-methods approach drawing on primary data from utility firms under the H2Atlas-Africa project and secondary data from international organizations and the peer-reviewed literature. The analysis identifies that transitioning toward Net-Zero emissions economies through hydrogen development in sub-Saharan Africa presents both significant opportunities and measurable risks. Specifically the results indicate an estimated investment risk factor of 35% reflecting potential challenges such as financing infrastructure and policy readiness. Nevertheless the findings underscore that green hydrogen is a viable alternative to fossil fuels in subSaharan Africa particularly if supported by targeted financing strategies and robust policy frameworks. This study offers practical insights for policymakers financial institutions and development partners seeking to structure bankable projects and accelerate green hydrogen adoption across the region.
The UAE Net-Zero Strategy—Aspirations, Achievements and Lessons for the MENA Region
Aug 2025
Publication
The Middle East and North Africa region has not played a major role in climate action so far and several countries depend economically on fossil fuel exports. However this is a region with vast solar energy resources which can be exploited affordably for power generation and hydrogen production at scale to eventually reach carbon neutrality. In this paper we elaborate on the case of the United Arab Emirates and explore the aspirations and feasibility of its net-zero by 2050 target. While we affirm the concept per se we also highlight the technological complexity and economic dimensions that accompany such transformation. We expect the UAE’s electricity demand to triple between today and 2050 and the annual green hydrogen production is expected to reach 3.5 Mt accounting for over 40% of the electricity consumption. Green hydrogen will provide power-to-fuel solutions for aviation maritime transport and hard-to-abate industries. At the same time electrification will intensify—most importantly in road transport and low-temperature heat demands. The UAE can meet its future electricity demands primarily with solar power followed by natural gas power plants with carbon capture utilization and storage while the role of nuclear power in the long term is unclear at this stage.
Towards Net-Zero: Comparative Analysis of Hydrogen Infrastructure Development in USA, Canada, Singapore, and Sri Lanka
Sep 2025
Publication
This paper compares national hydrogen (H2) infrastructure plans in Canada the United States (the USA) Singapore and Sri Lanka four countries with varying geographic and economic outlooks but shared targets for reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. It examines how each country approaches hydrogen production pipeline infrastructure policy incentives and international collaboration. Canada focuses on large-scale hydrogen production utilizing natural resources and retrofitted natural gas pipelines supplemented by carbon capture technology. The USA promotes regional hydrogen hubs with federal investment and intersectoral collaboration. Singapore suggests an innovation-based import-dominant strategy featuring hydrogen-compatible infrastructure in a land-constrained region. Sri Lanka maintains an import-facilitated pilot-scale model facilitated by donor funding and foreign collaboration. This study identifies common challenges such as hydrogen embrittlement leakages and infrastructure scalability as well as fundamental differences based on local conditions. Based on these findings strategic frameworks are proposed including scalability adaptability partnership policy architecture digitalization and equity. The findings highlight the importance of localized hydrogen solutions supported by strong international cooperation and international partnerships.
Techno-Economic Environmental Risk Analysis (TERA) in Hydrogen Farms
Sep 2025
Publication
This study presents a techno-economic environmental risk analysis (TERA) of large-scale green hydrogen production using Alkaline Water Electrolysis (AWE) and Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) systems. The analysis integrates commercial data market insights and academic forecasts to capture variability in capital expenditure (CAPEX) efficiency electricity cost and capacity factor. Using Libya as a case study 81 scenarios were modelled for each technology to assess financial and operational trade-offs. For AWE CAPEX is projected between $311 billion and $905.6 billion for 519 GW (gigawatts) of installed capacity equivalent to 600–1745 $/kW. PEM systems show a wider range of $612 billion to $1020 billion for 510 GW translating to 1200–2000 $/kW. Results indicate that AWE while requiring greater land use provides significant cost advantages due to lower capital intensity and scalability. In contrast PEM systems offer compact design and operational flexibility but at substantially higher costs. The five most economical scenarios for both technologies consistently feature low CAPEX and high efficiency while sensitivity analyses confirm these two parameters as the dominant cost drivers. The findings emphasise that technology choice should reflect context-specific priorities such as land availability budget and performance needs. This study provides actionable guidance for policymakers and investors developing cost-effective hydrogen infrastructure in emerging green energy markets.
Synergies Between Green Hydrogen and Renewable Energy in South Africa
Aug 2025
Publication
South Africa has excellent conditions for renewable energy generation making it well placed to produce green hydrogen for both domestic use and export. In building a green hydrogen economy around export markets it will face competition from countries with equivalent or better resources and/or that are located closer to export markets (e.g. in North Africa and the Middle East) or have lower capital costs (developed markets like Australia and Canada). South Africa however has an extensive energy system with unserved electricity demand. The ability to trade electricity with the national grid (feeding into the grid during times of peak dedicated renewable energy supply and extracting from the grid during times of low dedicated renewable energy availability) could reduce the cost of producing green hydrogen by as much as 10–25 %. This paper explores the opportunity for South African green hydrogen producers presented by the electricity supply crisis that has been ongoing since 2007. It highlights the potential for a mutually reinforcing growth cycle between renewable energy and green hydrogen to be established which will contribute not only to the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions but to the local economy and broader society.
Decarbonizing Rural Off-Grid Areas Through Hybrid Renewable Hydrogen Systems: A Case Study from Turkey
Sep 2025
Publication
Access to renewable energy is vital for rural development and climate change mitigation. The intermittency of renewable sources necessitates efficient energy storage especially in off-grid applications. This study evaluates the technical economic and environmental performance of an off-grid hybrid system for the rural settlement of Soma Turkey. Using HOMER Pro 3.14.2 software a system consisting of solar wind battery and hydrogen components was modeled under four scenarios with Cyclic Charging (CC) and Load Following (LF) control strategies for optimization. Life cycle assessment (LCA) and hydrogen leakage impacts were calculated separately through MATLAB R2019b analysis in accordance with ISO 14040 and ISO 14044 standards. Scenario 1 (PV + wind + battery + H2) offered the most balanced solution with a net present cost (NPC) of USD 297419 with a cost of electricity (COE) of USD 0.340/kWh. Scenario 2 without batteries increased hydrogen consumption despite a similar COE. Scenario 3 with wind only achieved the lowest hydrogen consumption and the highest efficiency. In Scenario 4 hydrogen consumption decreased with battery reintegration but COE increased. Specific CO2 emissions ranged between 36–45 gCO2-eq/kWh across scenarios. Results indicate that the control strategy and component selection strongly influence performance and that hydrogen-based hybrid systems offer a sustainable solution in rural areas.
What Will it Take to Get to Net-zero Emissions in California?
Sep 2025
Publication
In this work a new modeling tool called DECAL (DEcarbonize CALifornia) is developed and used to evaluate what it will take to reach California’s climate mandate of net-zero emissions by 2045. DECAL is a scenario-based model that projects emissions society-wide costs and resource consumption in response to user-defined inputs. DECAL has sufficient detail to model true net-zero pathways and reveal fine-grain technology insights. Using DECAL we find the State can achieve 52 % of the emissions abatement needed to meet net-zero by 2045 using technologies that are already commercially available such as electric vehicles heat pumps and renewable electricity & storage. While these technologies are mature the speed and scale of deployment required will still pose significant practical challenges if not technical ones. In addition we find that 25 % of emissions abatement will come from technologies currently at early-stage deployment and 23 % from technologies at research scale motivating the continued research & development of these technologies including zero-emission heavy-duty vehicles carbon capture & sequestration clean industrial heating low global warming potential refrigerants and direct air capture. Significant carbon dioxide removal will also be needed for California to meet its net-zero target on time at least 45 Mt/yr and more likely up to 75 Mt/yr by 2045. Accelerating deployment of mature technologies can further reduce the need for carbon removal nevertheless establishing enforceable carbon removal targets and conducting policy planning to make said goals a reality will be needed if California is to meet its net-zero by 2045 goal.
Europe's Environment 2025 - Main Report, Europe's Environment and Climate: Knowledge for Resilience, Prosperity and Sustainability
Jan 2025
Publication
Every five years as mandated in its founding regulation the European Environment Agency (EEA) publishes a state of the environment report. Europe's environment 2025 provides decision makers at European and national levels as well as the general public with a comprehensive and cross-cutting assessment on environment climate and sustainability in Europe. Europe's environment 2025 is the 7th state of the environment report published by the EEA since 1995. Europe's environment 2025 has been prepared in close collaboration with the EEA’s European Environment Information and Observation Network (Eionet). The report draws on the Eionet’s vast expertise of leading experts and scientists in the environmental field across the EEA’s 32 member countries and six cooperating countries.
Clean Hydrogen Joint Undertaking: Consolidated Annual Activity Report Year 2024
Aug 2025
Publication
The year 2024 saw a year of important developments for the Clean Hydrogen JU continuing built on the achievements of previous years and intensifying the efforts on hydrogen valleys. With a total operational commitment of EUR 203 million and the launch of 22 new projects the overall portfolio reached a total number of 147 projects under active management towards the end of the year. The budget execution reached the outstanding level of 98% in for commitments and 84% in payments in line with previous year showing the JU’s continued effort to use the available credits. In 2024 the JU launched a call for proposals with a budget of EUR 113.5 million covering R&I activities across the whole hydrogen value chain to which was added an amount of EUR 60 million from the RePowerEU plan focusing on hydrogen valleys. That amount served for valleys-related grants and the “Hydrogen Valleys Facility” tender designed for project development assistance that will support Hydrogen Valleys at different levels of maturity. The Hydrogen Valleys concept has become a key instrument for the European Commission to scale up hydrogen technology deployment and establish interconnections between hydrogen ecosystems. At the end of 2024 the Clean Hydrogen JU has already funded 20 hydrogen valleys. This support was complemented by additional credits from third countries and the optimal use- of leftover credits from previous years allowing the award of 29 new grants from the call for 2024.
Assistance in the Development of an Auction Design and Necessary Pre-conditions for a European Import Auction for Renewable Hydrogen under the European Hydrogen Bank: Final Report
Aug 2025
Publication
This report supports the European Commission (DG ENER) in the design and implementation of a European import auction for renewable hydrogen and its derivatives under the European Hydrogen Bank (EHB). The EHB aims to contribute to the EU's climate neutrality goal by 2050. While domestic auctions have already been launched under the EHB its international leg focusing on renewable fuels of non-biological origin (RFNBO) imports from third countries remains to be designed. This report offers strategic recommendations based on hydrogen market analyses the assessment of existing and planned hydrogen auction schemes in Europe and beyond as well as preliminary considerations on auction design. The analysis highlights the potential for hydrogen imports from regions like North America Australia Latin America and the MENA region. It includes concrete case studies on both pipeline-based imports of pure hydrogen and ship-based imports of key derivatives (ammonia methanol and synthetic aviation fuels (eSAF) to reflect Member State preferences and provides a concrete starting point for further defining import auctions. Priority considerations for auction design include ensuring fair competition between domestic production and imports addressing geopolitical risks and achieving cost efficiency. The case studies serve as a flexible blueprint for implementing EHB import auctions considering Member State interests and aligning with the EU's broader objectives.
Renewables, Electrification and Flexibility for a Competitive EU Energy System Transformation by 2030
Jun 2025
Publication
The European Union is on a pathway to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. This report explores the historic and necessary efforts to align Europe′s electricity heating and transport systems with transformative EU benchmarks for 2030 to meet that longer-term goal. CO2 emissions have declined significantly in the EU electricity subsystem over the past few decades. This presents an important opportunity to decarbonise rapidly in the near future and to roll out electrification to other sectors while strengthening energy independence security and competitiveness for all EU countries. Through accelerated gains in energy and resource efficiency and the alignment of Member States′ efforts within a more coherent EU energy system the rapid electrification of buildings transport and industry can greatly reduce Europe′s reliance on foreign fossil fuels and unlock critical progress in heating and transport. Over the past five years EU policy frameworks for climate mitigation and energy system transformation have become far more coherent and complete. Infrastructure security and resilience have been bolstered through integrated climate and energy planning in tandem with national and cross-border efforts to ensure sound policy implementation. It is now critical that decision-makers translate objectives and priorities for the energy system transition into actionable measures. This includes crafting fiscal strategies to finance key upfront infrastructure investments; distributing the cost of capital proportionally to not overburden taxpayers; aligning taxation pricing and information signals across the whole energy system; and regularly monitoring and evaluating performance to recalibrate policies when needed.
Streamlining and Improving Some Aspects of the Governance of the Energy Sector
Sep 2025
Publication
The governance of the EU energy sector has gradually evolved over time to reflect and support the closer integration of the Internal Electricity Market. As the EU energy sector faces new challenges both at the local and cross-border levels its governance might once again need to be reviewed to ensure that it remains fit for the future. This Policy Brief highlights three opportunities for streamlining the governance of the electricity (and gas) sector(s) at the cross-border level related to: (i) the ‘all TSOs’ or ‘all relevant TSOs’ processes; (ii) the regulatory oversight of EU-wide entities; and (iii) the operation of the electricity market coupling. Other areas for improvement in the current governance framework may also emerge and one suggestion relates to the dual role of the ENTSOs both as (i) entities responsible for a number of essential tasks for the energy sector and (ii) associations with TSOs as their members.
The Potential for Renewable and Low-carbon Gas Deployment and Impact on Enabling Infrastucture Development for the Baltic Sea Region
Jul 2025
Publication
The study focuses on the deployment of renewable and low-carbon gases in the Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan (BEMIP) region focusing on the 8 BEMIP Member States (Denmark Estonia Finland Germany Latvia Lithuania Poland and Sweden). The report 1) assesses the economic and technical potential supply as well as demand for renewable and low-carbon gases in the BEMIP region; 2) maps current supply infrastructure and demand policies and measures; 3) documents existing technical safety and economic barriers for the development of infrastructure for the integration of biomethane and hydrogen; 4) identifies the hydrogen and methane infrastructure needs to facilitate the integration of renewable and low-carbon gases in the region; and 5) provides recommendations to address identified challenges.
Energy Management in an Insular Region with Renewable Energy Sources and Hydrogen: The Case of Graciosa, Azores
Sep 2025
Publication
Insular regions face unique energy management challenges due to physical isolation. Graciosa (Azores) has high renewable energy sources (RES) potential theoretically enabling a 100% green system. However RES intermittency combined with the lack of energy storage solutions reduces renewable penetration and raises curtailment. This article studies the technical and economic feasibility of producing green hydrogen from curtailment energy in Graciosa through two distinct case studies. Case Study 1 targets maximum renewable penetration with green hydrogen serving as chemical storage converted back to electricity via fuel cells during RES shortages. Case Study 2 focuses on maximum profitability where produced gases are sold to monetize curtailment without additional electricity production. Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) values of €3.06/kgH2 and €2.68/kgH2 respectively and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) values of 3.7% and 17.1% were obtained for Case Studies 1 and 2 with payback periods of 15.2 and 6.1 years. Hence only Case Study 2 is economically viable but it does not allow increasing the renewable share in the energy mix. Sensitivity analysis for Case Study 1 shows that overall efficiency and CAPEX are the main factors affecting viability highlighting the need for technological advances and economies of scale as well as the importance of public funding to promote projects like this.
Is Green Hydrogen a Strategic Opportunity for Albania? A Techno-Economic, Environmental, and SWOT Analysis
Oct 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is increasingly recognized as a clean energy vector and storage medium yet its viability and strategic role in the Western Balkans remain underexplored. This study provides the first comprehensive techno-economic environmental and strategic evaluation of hydrogen production pathways in Albania. Results show clear trade-offs across options. The levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) is estimated at 8.76 €/kg H2 for grid-connected 7.75 €/kg H2 for solar and 7.66 €/kg H2 for wind electrolysis—values above EU averages and reliant on lower electricity costs and efficiency gains. In contrast fossil-based hydrogen via steam methane reforming (SMR) is cheaper at 3.45 €/kg H2 rising to 4.74 €/kg H2 with carbon capture and storage (CCS). Environmentally Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) results show much lower Global Warming Potential.
The European Hydrogen Policy Landscape - Extensive Update of the April 2024 Report
Jan 2025
Publication
This report aims to summarise the status of the European hydrogen policy landscape. It is based on the information available at the European Hydrogen Observatory (EHO) website the leading source of data on hydrogen in Europe. The data presented in this report is based on research conducted by Hydrogen Europe until the end of July 2024 but also goes beyond this timeline for major policies legislations or standards implemented recently. This report builds upon the previous version published in April 2024 which reflected data as of August 2023 providing updated insights on European policies and legislation national strategies national policies and legislation and codes and standards. Interactive data dashboards can be accessed on the website: https://observatory.cleanhydrogen.europa.eu/ The EU policies and legislation section provides insights into the main European policies and legislation relevant to the hydrogen sector which are briefly summarized on content and their potential impact to the sector. The national hydrogen strategies chapter offers a comprehensive examination of the hydrogen strategies adopted in Europe. It summarizes the quantitative indicators that have been published (targets and estimates) and provides brief summaries of the different national strategies that have been adopted. The section referring to national policies and legislation focuses on the policy framework measures incentives and targets in place that have an impact on the development of the respective national hydrogen markets within Europe. The codes and standards section provides information on current European standards and initiatives developed by the standardisation bodies including CEN CENELEC ISO IEC OIML The standards are categorised according to the different stages of the hydrogen value chain: production distribution and storage and end-use applications.
The European Hydrogen Market Landscape - November 2024
Nov 2024
Publication
This report aims to summarise the status of the European hydrogen market landscape. It is based on the information available at the European Hydrogen Observatory (EHO) initiative the leading source of data on hydrogen in Europe exploring the basic concepts latest trends and role of hydrogen in the energy transition. The data presented in this report is based on research conducted until the end of September 2024. This report contains information on current hydrogen production and trade distribution and storage end-use cost and technology manufacturing as of the end of 2023 except if stated otherwise in Europe. A substantial portion of the data gathering was carried out within the framework of Hydrogen Europe's efforts for the European Hydrogen Observatory. Downloadable spreadsheets of the data can be accessed on the website: https://observatory.clean-hydrogen.europa.eu/. The production and trade section provides insights into hydrogen production capacity and production output by technology in Europe and into international hydrogen trade (export and import) to and between European countries. The section referring to distribution and storage presents the location and main attributes of operational dedicated hydrogen pipelines and storage facilities as well as publicly accessible and operational hydrogen refuelling stations in Europe. The end-use section provides information on annual hydrogen consumption per end-use in Europe the deployment of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles in Europe the current and future hydrogen Valleys in Europe and the leading scenarios for future hydrogen demand in Europe in 2030 2040 and 2050 by sector. The cost chapter offers a comprehensive examination of the levelised cost of hydrogen production by technology and country. This chapter also gives estimations of renewable hydrogen break-even prices for different end-use applications in addition to electrolyser cost components by technology. Finally a chapter on technologies manufacturing explores data on the European electrolyser manufacturing capacity and sales and the fuel cell market.
The Lack of Systems Thinking and Interdisciplinarity is Killing the Hydrogen Economy
Sep 2025
Publication
Hydrogen’s promise as a transformative energy solution has been consistently unfulfilled. This perspective article suggests that the primary barrier is not necessarily technological but a systemic failure to apply holistic systems thinking and genuine interdisciplinary collaboration. Through historical analysis and contemporary case studies we argue that only by integrating technical economic policy and social expertise within a holistic systems framework across the entire value chain can hydrogen overcome its boom-and-bust cycles and become a foundational component of the low-carbon energy future.
Levelised Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) Calculator Manual - Update of the May 2024 Manual
May 2025
Publication
The LCOH calculator manual explains the methodology behind the calculator in detail and demonstrates how the calculator can be used.<br/>In this second version the default prices are updated based on the latest data available in the calculator and a new use case is introduced on changing the economic lifetime and cost of capital of an electrolysis installation.
Betting vs. Trading: Learning a Linear Decision Policy for Selling Wind Power and Hydrogen
Jul 2025
Publication
We develop a bidding strategy for a hybrid power plant combining co-located wind turbines and an electrolyzer constructing a price-quantity bidding curve for the day-ahead electricity market while optimally scheduling hydrogen production. Without risk management single imbalance pricing leads to an all-or-nothing trading strategy which we term “betting”. To address this we propose a data-driven pragmatic approach that leverages contextual information to train linear decision policies for both power bidding and hydrogen scheduling. By introducing explicit risk constraints to limit imbalances we move from the all-or-nothing approach to a “trading” strategy where the plant diversifies its power trading decisions. We evaluate the model under three scenarios: when the plant is either conditionally allowed always allowed or not allowed to buy power from the grid which impacts the green certification of the hydrogen produced. Comparing our data-driven strategy with an oracle model that has perfect foresight we show that the risk-constrained data-driven approach delivers satisfactory performance.
Trends, Challenges, and Viability in Green Hydrogen Initiatives
Aug 2025
Publication
This review explores the current status of green hydrogen integration into energy and industrial ecosystems. By considering notable examples of existing and developing green hydrogen initiatives combined with insights from the relevant scientific literature this paper illustrates the practical implementation of those systems according to their main end use: power and heat generation mobility industry or their combination. Main patterns are highlighted in terms of sectoral applications geographical distribution development scales storage solutions electrolyzer technology grid interaction and financial viability. Open challenges are also addressed including the high production costs an underdeveloped transport and distribution infrastructure the geopolitical aspects and the weak business models with the industrial sector appearing as the most favorable environment where such challenges may first be overcome in the medium term.
The Impact of Temporal Hydrogen Regulation on Hydrogen Exporters and their Domestic Energy Transition
Aug 2025
Publication
As global demand for green hydrogen rises potential hydrogen exporters move into the spotlight. While exports can bring countries revenue large-scale on-grid hydrogen electrolysis for export can profoundly impact domestic energy prices and energy-related emissions. Our investigation explores the interplay of hydrogen exports domestic energy transition and temporal hydrogen regulation employing a sector-coupled energy model in Morocco. We find substantial co-benefits of domestic carbon dioxide mitigation and hydrogen exports whereby exports can reduce market-based costs for domestic electricity consumers while mitigation reduces costs for hydrogen exporters. However increasing hydrogen exports in a fossil-dominated system can substantially raise market-based costs for domestic electricity consumers but surprisingly temporal matching of hydrogen production can lower these costs by up to 31% with minimal impact on exporters. Here we show that this policy instrument can steer the welfare (re-)distribution between hydrogen exporting firms hydrogen importers and domestic electricity consumers and hereby increases acceptance among actors.
Country Risk Impacts on Export Costs of Green Hydrogen and its Synthetic Downstream Products from the Middle East and North Africa
May 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen produced from renewable energy sources such as wind and solar is increasingly recognized as a critical enabler of the global energy transition and the decarbonization of industrial and transport sectors. The successful adoption of green hydrogen and its derivatives is closely linked to production costs which can vary substantially between countries depending not only on resource potential but also on country-specific financing conditions. These differences arise from country-specific risk factors that affect the costs of capital ultimately influencing investment decisions. However comprehensive assessments that integrate these risks with future cost projections for renewable energy green hydrogen and its synthetic downstream products are lacking. Using the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) as an example this study introduces a novel approach that allows to incorporate mainly qualitative country-specific investment risks into quantitative analyses such as costpotential and energy modelling. Our methodology calculates weighted average costs of capital (WACC) for 17 MENA countries under different risk scenarios providing a more nuanced assessment compared to traditional models that use uniform cost of capital assumptions. The results indicate significant variations in WACC such as between 4.67% in the United Arab Emirates and 24.84% in Yemen or Syria in the business-as-usual scenario. The incorporation of country-specific capital cost scenarios in quantitative analysis is demonstrated by modelling the cost-potential of Fischer-Tropsch (FT) fuels. The results show that countryspecific investment risks significantly impact costs. For instance by 2050 the starting LCOFs in high-risk scenarios can be up to 180% higher than in lowerrisk contexts. This underlines that while renewable energy potential and its cost are important it are the country-specific risk factors—captured through WACC—that have a greater influence in determining the competitiveness of exports and consequently the overall development of the renewable energy green hydrogen and synthetic fuel sectors.
Solar Enabled Pathway to Large-scale Green Hydrogen Production and Storage: A Framework for Oman's Advancing Renewable Energy Goals
Aug 2025
Publication
The utilisation of renewable energy sources for hydrogen production is increasingly vital for ensuring the long-term sustainability of global energy systems. Currently the Sultanate of Oman is actively integrating renewable energy particularly through the deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems as part of its ambitious targets for the forthcoming decades. Also Oman has target to achieve 1 million tonnes of green-H2 production annually. Leveraging Oman's abundant solar resources to produce green hydrogen and promote the clean transportation industry could significantly boost the country's sustainable energy sector. This paper outlines a standalone bifacial solar-powered system designed for large-scale green hydrogen (H2) production and storage to operate both a hydrogen refuelling station and an electric vehicle charging station in Sohar Oman. Using HOMER software three scenarios: PV/Hydrogen/Battery PV/Hydrogen PV/Battery systems were compared from a techno-economic perspective. Also the night-time operation (Battery/Hydrogen) was investigated. Varying cost of electricity were obtained depending on the system from $3.91/kWh to $0.0000565kWh while the bifacial PV/Hydrogen/Battery system emerged as the most efficient option boasting a unit cost of electricity (COE) of $3.91/kWh and a levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) value of $6.63/kg with net present cost 199M. This system aligns well with Oman's 2030 objectives with the capacity to generate 1 million tonnes of green-H2 annually. Additionally the findings show that the surplus electricity from the system could potentially cover over 30% of Oman's total energy consumption with zero harmful emissions. The implementation of this system promises to enhance Oman's economic and transportation industries by promoting the adoption of electric and fuel cell vehicles while reducing reliance on traditional energy sources.
Opportunities and Challenges of Latent Thermal Energy Usage in the Hydrogen Economy
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen plays a key role in decarbonising hard-to-abate sectors like aviation steel and shipping. However producing pure hydrogen requires significant energy to break chemical bonds from its sources such as gas and water. Ideally the energy used for this process should match the energy output from hydrogen but in reality energy losses occur at various stages of the hydrogen economy—production packaging delivery and use. This results in needing more energy to operate the hydrogen economy than it can ultimately provide. To address this passive power sources like latent thermal energy storage systems can help reduce costs and improve efficiency. These systems can enable passive cooling or electricity generation from waste heat cutting down on the extra energy needed for compression liquefaction and distribution. This study explores integrating latent thermal energy storage into all stages of the hydrogen economy offering a cost and sizing approach for such systems. The integration could reduce costs close the waste-heat recycling loop and support green hydrogen production for achieving NetZero by 2050.
Understanding the Framing of Hydrogen Technology: A Cross-national Content Analysis of Newspaper Coverage in Germany, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Egypt
Jul 2025
Publication
Introduction: The implementation of national hydrogen strategies targeting zero-emission goals has sparked public discussions regarding energy and environmental communication. However gaining societal acceptance for hydrogen technology poses a significant challenge in numerous countries. Hence this research investigates the framing of hydrogen technology through a comparative analysis of opinion-leading newspapers in Germany Saudi Arabia the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Methods: Utilizing a quantitative framing analysis based on Entman’s framing approach this research systematically identifies media frames and comprehend their development through specific frame characteristics. A factor analysis identified six distinct frames: Hydrogen as a Sustainable Energy Solution Benefits of Economic and Political Collaboration Technological and Scientific Challenges Governance Issues and Energy Security Industrial and Climate Solutions and Economic Risk. Results: The findings reveal that newspapers frames vary significantly due to contextual factors such as national hydrogen strategies media systems political ideologies article types and focusing events. Specifically German newspapers display diverse and balanced framing in line with its pluralistic media environment and national emphasis on green hydrogen and energy security while newspapers from MENA countries primarily highlight economic and geopolitical benefits aligned with their national strategies and state-controlled media environments. Additionally the political orientation of newspapers affects the diversity of frames particularly in Germany. Moreover non-opinion articles in Germany exhibit greater framing diversity compared to opinion pieces while in the MENA region the framing remains uniform regardless of article type due to centralized media governance. A notable shift in media framing in Germany was found after a significant geopolitical event which changed the frame from climate mitigation to energy security. Discussion: This study underscores the necessity for theoretical and methodological thoroughness in identifying frames as well as the considerable impact of contextual factors on the media representation of emerging sustainable technologies.
GB Energy Networks: Experts' Views on Future Pathways and Multi-vector Energy Networks Approach
Jul 2025
Publication
The decarbonization of energy systems poses significant challenges to energy networks due to the introduction of new energy vectors and changes in the pattern of energy demand. However this is currently an under-researched area. This paper addresses a gap in the literature by drawing on the socio-technological transitions and multi-system interactions literature to explore the views of experts from industry academia and other sectors about the challenges facing UK energy networks and the possible solutions including taking a more wholistic approach to the planning and operation of dierent networks. Using these frameworks we have demonstrated that systems can be deliberately integrated to interact and solve particular system challenges and have identified the nature of these interactions. The empirical results identify areas of consensus and disagreement about the future development of network infrastructure and regulation. They also highlight how government policy responds to the challenges and opportunities presented by the UK climate targets. The findings show widespread agreement that the UK energy system will become more electrified and decentralized as it incorporates more renewable energy. However the role of gaseous fuels in the energy system is more uncertain with some experts seeing a move from natural gas to hydrogen as being key to maintaining the security of supply while others see little or no role for hydrogen. There is also widespread agreement that the regulatory structure should change to address the challenges facing energy networks with much less agreement on whether this could happen quickly enough. Recent developments indicate the UK Government recognizes the need for regulatory change but it is premature to foresee their success in helping networks be a driver of rather than a barrier to a net-zero energy system.
Analysis of Carbon Emissions and Carbon Reduction Benefits of Green Hydrogen and Its Derivatives Based on the Full Life Cycle
Oct 2025
Publication
Under the constraints of the “dual carbon” goals accurately depicting the full life cycle carbon footprint of green hydrogen and its derivatives and quantifying the potential for emission reduction is a prerequisite for hydrogen energy policy and investment decisions. This paper constructs a unified life cycle model covering the entire process from “wind and solar power generation–electrolysis of water to producing hydrogen-synthesis of methanol/ammonia-terminal transportation” and includes the manufacturing stage of key front-end equipment and the negative carbon effect of CO2 capture within a single system boundary and also presents an empirical analysis. The results show that the full life cycle carbon emissions of wind power hydrogen production and photovoltaic hydrogen production are 1.43 kgCO2/kgH2 and 3.17 kgCO2/kgH2 respectively both lower than the 4.9 kg threshold for renewable hydrogen in China. Green hydrogen synthesis of methanol achieves a net negative emission of −0.83 kgCO2/kgCH3OH and the emission of green hydrogen synthesis of ammonia is 0.57 kgCO2/kgNH3. At the same time it is predicted that green hydrogen green ammonia and green methanol can contribute approximately 1766 66.62 and 30 million tons of CO2 emission reduction respectively by 2060 providing a quantitative basis for the large-scale layout and policy formulation of the hydrogen energy industry.
Green Hydrogen: A Pathway to Vietnam’s Energy Security
Oct 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is increasingly recognized as a pivotal energy carrier in the global transition toward low-carbon energy systems. Beyond its established applications in industry and transportation the development of green hydrogen could accelerate its integration into the power generation sector thus enabling a more sustainable deployment of renewable energy sources. Vietnam endowed with abundant renewable energy potential—particularly solar and wind—has a strong foundation for green hydrogen. This emerging energy source holds significant potential to support the strategic objectives in recent national energy policies aligning with the country’s socio-economic development. However despite this promise the integration of green hydrogen into Vietnam’s energy system remains limited. This paper provides a critical review of the current landscape of green hydrogen in Vietnam examining both the opportunities and challenges associated with its production and deployment. Special attention is given to regulatory frameworks infrastructure readiness and economic viability. Additionally the study also explores the potential of green hydrogen in enhancing energy security within the context of the national energy transition.
Hydrogen Valleys to Foster Local Decarbonisation Targets: A Multiobjective Optimisation Approach for Energy Planning
Oct 2025
Publication
Hydrogen Valley represents localised ecosystems that enable the integrated production storage distribution and utilisation of hydrogen to support the decarbonisation of the energy system. However planning such integrated systems necessitates a detailed evaluation of their interconnections with variable renewable generation sector coupling and system flexibility. The novelty of this work lies in addressing a critical gap in system-level modelling for Hydrogen Valleys by introducing an optimization-based framework to determine their optimal configuration. This study focuses on the scenario-based multiobjective design of local hydrogen energy systems considering renewable integration infrastructure deployment and sector coupling. We developed and simulated three scenarios based on varying hydrogen pathways and penetration levels using the EnergyPLAN model implemented through a custom MATLAB Toolbox. Several decision variables such as renewable energy capacity electrolyser size and hydrogen storage were optimised to minimise CO₂ emissions total annual system cost and critical excess electricity production simultaneously. The findings show that Hydrogen Valley deployment can reduce CO₂ emissions by up to 30 % triple renewable penetration in the primary energy supply and lower the levelized cost of hydrogen from 7.6 €/kg to 5.6 €/kg despite a moderate increase in the total cost of the system. The approach highlights the potential of sector coupling and Power-to-X technologies in enhancing system flexibility and supporting green hydrogen integration. The outcome of our research offers valuable insights for policymakers and planners seeking to align local hydrogen strategies with broader decarbonisation targets and regulatory frameworks.
System Efficiency Analysis of Direct Coupled PV-PEM Electrolyzer Systems
Oct 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is an important technology in the energy transition with potential to decarbonize industrial processes increase renewable energy use and reduce reliance on fossil fuels yet it currently accounts for less than 1% of global hydrogen demand. One promising approach to expand production is the direct coupling of photovoltaic–electrolyzer systems. In this study overall and sub-system efficiencies were analyzed for different system setups coupling points and operating conditions such as temperature and irradiance. The highest overall system efficiencies were found to be more than 18%. The effect of varying irradiances on the coupled efficiency was not more than 5.7%. Different system designs optimized for different irradiances led to effects such as an increase in current density at the electrolyzer and thus an increase in the overvoltage which resulted in an overall efficiency loss of more than 3%. A key finding was that aligning the PV maximum power point with the electrolyzer polarization curve enables consistently high system efficiencies across the investigated irradiances. The findings were validated with two real life systems reproducing the coupling efficiencies of the model with 12%–14% including loss factors and approximately 18% for a direct coupled system respectively
Energy Storage in the Energy Transition and Blue Economy: Challenges, Innovations, Future Perspectives, and Educational Pathways
Sep 2025
Publication
Transitioning to renewable energy is vital to achieving decarbonization at the global level but energy storage is still a major challenge. This review discusses the role of energy storage in the energy transition and the blue economy focusing on technological development challenges and directions. Effective storage is vital for balancing intermittent renewable energy sources like wind solar and marine energy with the power grid. The development of battery technologies hydrogen storage pumped hydro storage and emerging technologies like sodium-ion and metal-air batteries is discussed for their potential for large-scale deployment. Shortages in critical raw materials environmental impact energy loss and costs are some of the challenges to large-scale deployment. The blue economy promises opportunities for offshore energy storage notably through ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) and compressed air energy storage (CAES). Moreover the capacity of datadriven optimization and artificial intelligence to enhance storage efficiency is discussed. Policy interventions and economic incentives are necessary to spur the development and deployment of sustainable energy storage technology. Education and workforce training are also important in cultivating future researchers engineers and policymakers with the ability to drive energy innovation. Merging sustainability training with an interdisciplinary approach can potentially establish an efficient workforce that is capable of addressing energy issues. Future work needs to focus on higher energy density efficiency recyclability and cost-effectiveness of the storage technologies without sacrificing their environmental sustainability. The study underlines the need for converging technological economic and educational approaches to enable a sustainable and resilient energy future.
A Comprehensive Review of Sustainable Energy Systems in the Context of the German Energy Transition Part 2: Renewable Energy and Storage Technologies
Sep 2025
Publication
As a continuation of part 1 which examined the development status and system foundations of sustainable energy systems (SES) in the context of German energy transition this paper provides a comprehensive review of the core technologies enabling the development of SES. It covers recent advances in photovoltaic (PV) wind energy geo‑ thermal energy hydrogen and energy storage. Key trends include the evolution of high-efficiency solar and wind technologies intelligent control systems sector coupling through hydrogen integration and the diversification of electrochemical and mechanical storage solutions. Together these innovations are fostering a more flexible resil‑ ient and low-carbon energy infrastructure. The review further highlights the importance of system-level integration by linking generation conversion and storage to address the intermittency of renewable energy and support longterm decarbonization goals.
Hotspots in Hydrogen Research and Developments: Current Status, Pathways, Challenges, and Vision to 2050
Jul 2025
Publication
The climate crisis and global warming have created an urgent need for the scalable adoption of affordable and clean energy sources to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. Decarbonization of global industries is critical to achieving the targets of the Paris Agreement and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (especially Goals 7 and 13). Green hydrogen is becoming a key solution in the transition to renewable energy and the decarbonization with low-carbon energy options. This review presents an overview of the status and trends of hydrogen production storage transportation and application as well as key research areas with a forward-looking perspective to 2050. It explores the key challenges such as limited infrastructure high production costs and heavy energy demands. The study also identifies the drivers and barriers influencing hydrogen adoption across utility-scale electricity generation heating and niche markets. Key actions of governments in these pillar areas are necessary to accelerate hydrogen deployment through strategic investments and a policy framework to reduce technological costs and drive innovation. Transformative innovation in power generation transportation industrial processes and infrastructure will be essential to achieving deep decarbonization. In addition progress in digitalization automation data-driven decision-making recycling incentives and circular economies are essential to a social transformation and a global transition toward sustainability. Emerging hydrogen markets are also playing an increasingly dominant role in economic and human development particularly in low- and middle-income countries as the world works to transition to the use of renewable hydrogen.
Towards Inclusive Path Transplanation: Local Agency for Green Hydrogen Linkage Creation in Namibia
Aug 2025
Publication
Many countries of the Global South struggle to achieve inclusive growth paths despite investment in the exploitation of rich resources. Resource-based industrialization literature stresses the potential for achieving broader development effects via the development of production linkages with local enterprises. The focus lies on market-driven outsourcing dynamics that foster linkage development such as efficiency location-specific knowledge and technology and scale complexity. However little is known about the opportunity space for both policy making and local firms to create these linkages. To address this issue we incorporate the concept of change agency stemming from the path development literature into the discussion on production linkages to show how both (local) firm agency and system-level agency can achieve linkage creation for inclusive path transplantation. We illustrate the framework by scrutinizing the potential inclusion of solar energy companies in Namibia’s emerging green hydrogen economy. The study finds that while the potential for renewable energy companies in Namibia to participate in the value chain is limited an integrated bundle of measures relying on firm- and system-level agency could address peripheral contextual factors overcome entry barriers and leverage further potential for linkage creation in the solar energy sector: mobilizing the local workforce fostering inter-firm cooperation leveraging local advantages creating knowledge institutions enhancing the regulatory framework upgrading infrastructure and enforcing local content regulations.
From Policy to Practice: Upper Bound Cost Estimates of Europe's Green Hydrogen Ambitions
Jul 2025
Publication
As the European countries strive to meet their ambitious climate goals renewable hydrogen has emerged to aid in decarbonizing energy-intensive sectors and support the overall energy transition. To ensure that hydrogen production aligns with these goals the European Commission has introduced criteria for additionality temporal correlation and geographical correlation. These criteria are designed to ensure that hydrogen production from renewable sources supports the growth of renewable energy. This study assesses the impact of these criteria on green hydrogen production focusing on production costs and technology impacts. The European energy market is simulated up to 2048 using stochastic programming applying these requirements exclusively to green hydrogen production without the phased-in compliance period outlined in the EU regulations. The findings show that meeting the criteria will increase expected system costs by €82 billion from 2024 to 2048 largely due to the rapid shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy. The additionality requirement which mandates the use of new renewable energy installations for electrolysis proves to be the most expensive but also the most effective in accelerating renewable energy adoption.
Potential Vulnerability of US Green Hydrogen in a World of Interdependent Networks
Jul 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is viewed as a promising pathway to future decarbonized energy systems. However hydrogen production depends on a few critical minerals particularly platinum and iridium. Here we examine how the supply of these minerals is subject to vulnerabilities hidden in interdependent global networks of trade and investment. We develop an index to quantify these vulnerabilities for a combination of a target country an investing country an intermediary country and a commodity. Focusing on the US as the target country for the import of platinum and iridium we show how vulnerability-inducing investing countries changed between 2010 and 2019. We find that the UK is consistently among investing countries that can potentially induce US vulnerabilities via intermediary exporters of platinum and iridium with South Africa being the primary intermediary country. Future research includes incorporating geopolitical factors and technological innovations to move the index closer from potential to real-world vulnerabilities.
A Critical Review of China's Hydrogen Supply Chain and Equipment
Sep 2025
Publication
China’s dual-carbon goals have positioned hydrogen as a central pillar of its energy transition. This review examines the recent development of China’s hydrogen supply chain with particular focus on manufacturing technologies for alkaline electrolysers high-pressure cylinders and diaphragm compressors. In 2024 China produced 36.5 million tons of hydrogen of which 77 % was grey and only 1 % derived from electrolysis. Storage and transportation account for nearly 30 % of end-use costs while reliance on imported compressors increases refuelling station expenses by approximately 40 %. We identify key bottlenecks including limited electrolyser efficiency the high cost of carbon fibres for Type III/IV cylinders and insufficient domestic capacity for highreliability compressors. To address these challenges targeted advances are proposed: membrane materials with engineered hydrophilicity advanced surface modifications and hydrophilic inhibitors; liner design incorporating grooved-liner braided layers with double-fibre configurations; and a three-layer diaphragm compressor architecture. By consolidating fragmented studies this review provides the integrated manufacturing perspective on China’s hydrogen supply chain offering both scientific insights and practical guidance for accelerating costeffective large-scale low-carbon hydrogen deployment.
Costs and Benefits of Highly Ambitious Energy Transition Pathways for Europe
Sep 2025
Publication
Climate change and energy crises push Europe to accelerate the energy-industry transition towards higher shares of renewable energy and a more efficient integrated electricity-based energy-industry system. The study examines transition scenarios ranging from carbon neutrality reached in 2050 to highest ambitions with 100% renewable electricity supply reached by 2030 and an overall carbon-neutral energy-industry system by 2035. The fastest transition coincidences with higher cost but still with an acceptable tolerance. Reaching carbon neutrality by 2040 allows for a substantial reduction in CO2 emissions and energy costs are lower compared to the fastest transition. Allowing e-fuel imports substantially reduces the energy cost in Europe compared to complete energy sovereignty with an optimal import share at only 7% of primary energy demand. Reaching an affordable energy supply requires close cooperation of European countries to exploit the best renewable resources and all sources of energy system flexibility to enable a low-cost energy supply.
Considering Hydrogen Policies with a Focus on Incentive Compatibility Towards Electricity Grids
Sep 2025
Publication
A lot of countries have recently published updated hydrogen strategies with many of them increasing and renewing their commitment. In parallel corresponding policy mechanisms are increasingly coming into focus with the first ones already having awarded funding contracts to projects and construction being underway. However these policies are usually translated from renewable energy policy without considering the specific risks and uncertainties spillovers and positive externality of operating grid-conducive electrolyzers in electricity grids which are increasingly subjected to electricity supply volatility from renewables. This article details how different aspects of a dedicated hydrogen policy can address the technology’s specific issues from an economic perspective namely funding provision market and technology risk mitigation and the complex relationship with further actors in electricity markets. Results show that compared to renewable energy policy mechanisms need to emphasize the input side more strongly as price risks and intermittency from electricity markets are more prominent than from hydrogen markets. Also it proposes a targeted mechanism to capture the positive externality of mitigating excess electricity in the grid while keeping investment security high. Economic policy should consider such approaches before scaling support and avoiding the design shortcomings experienced with early RE policy.
Hydrogen Economy and Climate Change: Additive Manufacturing in Perspective
Oct 2025
Publication
The hydrogen economy stands at the forefront of the global energy transition and additive manufacturing (AM) is increasingly recognized as a critical enabler of this transformation. AM offers unique capabilities for improving the performance and durability of hydrogen energy components through rapid prototyping topology optimization functional integration of cooling channels and the fabrication of intricate hierarchical structured pores with precisely controlled connectivity. These features facilitate efficient heat and mass transfer thereby improving hydrogen production storage and utilization efficiency. Furthermore AM’s multi-material and functionally graded printing capability holds promise for producing components with tailored properties to mitigate hydrogen embrittlement significantly extending operational lifespan. Collectively these advances suggest that AM could lower manufacturing costs for hydrogen-related systems while improving performance and reliability. However the current literature provides limited evidence on the integrated techno-economic advantages of AM in hydrogen applications posing a significant barrier to large-scale industrial adoption. At present the technological readiness level (TRL) of AM-based hydrogen components is estimated to be 4–5 reflecting laboratory-scale progress but underscoring the need for further development validation and industrial-scale demonstration before commercialization can be realized.
50 Shades of Hydrogen: A Perspective on Definitions in Science and Public Communication
Sep 2025
Publication
Discussions about the transition to hydrogen in various applications have become an important topic in recent years. A key factor for an effective transition is public acceptance of hydrogen technologies. However the increase in acceptance depends among other things on individual knowledge about the hydrogen colors and the linked hydrogen production pathways currently under discussion. In communications colors such as green grey and blue are used to distinguish hydrogen sources. With new research additional colors have become necessary. Unfortunately there is no unified definition for the colors. The aim of this perspective is to identify the most frequent hydrogen colors used by scientists and the public derive open definitions and propose a solution to a representation problem. The general use of hydrogen colors in communication and the implications on public acceptance are briefly outlined. We then identified definitions for colors associated with a specific pathway and discussed some discrepancies between science and media use. To make better use of the existing colors more open definitions were formulated. We point out the representation problem with shades of a color and provide a connection between the assigned color and a view-independent RGB color code as proposal. The derived definitions can be used to unify communication in science and public media.
Green Energy and Steel Imports Reduce Europe's Net-zero Infrastructure Needs
Jun 2025
Publication
Importing renewable energy to Europe may offer many potential benefits including reduced energy costs lower pressure on infrastructure development and less land use within Europe. However open questions remain: on the achievable cost reductions how much should be imported whether the energy vector should be electricity hydrogen or derivatives like ammonia or steel and their impact on Europe’s infrastructure needs. This study integrates a global energy supply chain model with a European energy system model to explore net-zero emission scenarios with varying import volumes costs and vectors. We find system cost reductions of 1-10% within import cost variations of ± 20% with diminishing returns for larger import volumes and a preference for methanol steel and hydrogen imports. Keeping some domestic power-to-X production is beneficial for integrating variable renewables leveraging local carbon sources and power-to-X waste heat. Our findings highlight the need for coordinating import strategies with infrastructure policy and reveal maneuvering space for incorporating non-cost decision factors.
Digital Twin Framework for Energy Transition in Gas Networks Based on Open-Source Tools: Methodology and Case Study in Southern Italy
Oct 2025
Publication
The ongoing digitalization of energy infrastructure is a crucial enabler for improving efficiency reliability and sustainability in gas distribution networks especially in the context of decarbonization and the integration of alternative energy carriers (e.g. renewable gases including biogas green hydrogen). This study presents the development and application of a Digital Twin framework for a real-world gas distribution network developed using open-source tools. The proposed methodology covers the entire digital lifecycle: from data acquisition through smart meters and GIS mapping to 3D modelling and simulation using tools such as QGIS FreeCAD and GasNetSim. Consumption data are collected processed and harmonized via Python-based workflows hourly simulations of network operation including pressure flow rate and gas quality indicators like the Wobbe Index. Results demonstrate the effectiveness of the Digital Twin in accurately replicating real network behavior and supporting scenario analyses for the introduction of greener energy vectors such as hydrogen or biomethane. The case study highlights the flexibility and transparency of the workflow as well as the critical importance of data quality and availability. The framework provides a robust basis for advanced network management optimization and planning offering practical tools to support the energy transition in the gas sector.
Who Is in and How? A Comprehensive Study on Stakeholder Perspectives in the Green Hydrogen Sector in Luxembourg
Oct 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen has the potential to contribute to the decarbonization of the fossil fuel industry and its development is expected to increase in the coming years. The social dynamics among the various actors in the green hydrogen sector are studied to understand their public perception. Using the technological innovation system research approach for the stakeholder analysis and the qualitative thematic analysis method for the interviews with experts this study presents an overview of the actors in the green hydrogen sector and their relations in Luxembourg. As a central European country with strategic political and geographic relevance Luxembourg offers a timely case for analyzing public perception before the large-scale implementation of green hydrogen. Observing this early stage allows for future comparative insights as the national hydrogen strategy progresses. Results show high expectations for green hydrogen in mobility and industry but concerns persist over infrastructure costs safety and public awareness. Regional stakeholders demonstrate a strong willingness to collaborate recognizing that local public acceptance still requires effort particularly in areas such as clear and inclusive communication sharing knowledge and fostering trust. These findings provide practical insights for stakeholder engagement strategies and theoretical contributions to the study of social dynamics in sustainability transitions.
Microwaves in Clean Energy Technologies
Mar 2025
Publication
Energy in the microwave spectrum is increasingly applied in clean energy technologies. This review discusses recent innovations using microwave fields in hydrogen production and synthesis of new battery materials highlighting the unique properties of microwave heating. Key innovations include microwave-assisted hydrogen generation from water hydrocarbons and ammonia and the synthesis of high-performance anode and cathode materials. Microwave-assisted catalytic water splitting using Gd-doped ceria achieves efficient hydrogen production below 250°C. For hydrocarbons advanced microwave-active catalysts Fe–Ni alloys and ruthenium nanoparticles enable high conversion rates and hydrogen yields. In ammonia synthesis microwaves reduce the energy demands of the Haber–Bosch process and enhance hydrogen production efficiency using catalysts such as ruthenium and Co2Mo3N. In battery technology microwave-assisted synthesis of cathode materials like LiFePO4 and LiNi0.5Mn1.5O4 yields high-purity materials with superior electrochemical performance. Developing nanostructured and composite materials including graphene-based anodes significantly improves battery capacities and cycling stability. The ability of microwave technology to provide rapid selective heating and enhance reaction rates offers significant advancements in clean energy technologies. Ongoing research continues to bridge theoretical understanding and practical applications driving further innovations in this field. This review aims to highlight recent advances in clean energy technologies based upon the novel use of microwave energy. The potential impact of these emerging applications is now being fully understood in areas that are critical to achieving net zero and can contribute to the decarbonization of key sectors. Notable in this landscape are the sectors of hydrogen fuel and battery technologies. This review examines the role of microwaves in these areas.
Grid Infrastructure and Renewables Integration for Singapore Energy Transition
Oct 2025
Publication
Considering rising environmental concerns and the energy transition towards sustainable energy Singapore’s power sector stands at a crucial juncture. This study explores the integration of grid infrastructure with both generated and imported renewable energy (RE) sources as a strategic pathway for the city-state’s energy transition to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. Employing a combination of simulation modeling and data analysis for energy trading and advanced energy management technologies we examine the current and new grid infrastructure’s capacity to assimilate RE sources particularly solar photovoltaic and energy storage systems. The findings reveal that with strategic upgrades and smart grid technologies; Singapore’s grid can efficiently manage the variability and intermittency of RE sources. This integration is pivotal in achieving a higher penetration of renewables as well as contributing significantly to Singapore’s commitment to the Paris Agreement and sustainable development goals. While the Singapore’s power system has links to the Malay Peninsula the planned ASEAN regional interconnection might alter the grid operation in Singapore and possibly make Singapore a new green energy hub. The study also highlights the key challenges and opportunities associated with cross-border energy trade with ASEAN countries including the need for harmonized regulatory frameworks and incentives to foster public–private partnerships. The insights from this study could guide policymakers industry stakeholders and researchers offering a roadmap for a sustainable energy transition in Singapore towards meeting its 2050 carbon emission goals.
Design and Analysis of Small‑Scale Hydrogen Valleys Success Factors: A Stratified Network‑Based Hybrid Fuzzy Approach
Sep 2025
Publication
Hydrogen energy one of the renewable energy sources plays a crucial role in combating climate change since its usage aims to reduce carbon emissions and enhance energy security. As the global energy trend moves toward cleaner alternatives countries start to adapt their energy strategies. In this transition hydrogen is one of the energy sources with the potential to increase long-term energy security. Developing countries face challenges such as high energy import dependency rising industrial demand and the need for infrastructure modernization making hydrogen valleys one of the viable solutions since they integrate hydrogen production storage distribution and utilization at one facility. However establishing small-scale hydrogen valleys requires a comprehensive decision-making strategy consisting of technical financial environmental social and political factors while addressing uncertainties in the system. To systematically manage the process this study proposes a Z-numberbased fuzzy cognitive mapping approach which models the interdependencies among success factors supported by Z-number Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory for structured prioritization with a multi-expert perspective. The results indicate that Financial Factors emerged as the most critical category with Government Incentives Infrastructure Investment Cost and Land Acquisition Cost ranking as the top three sub-success factors. Availability of Skilled Workforce and Regional Energy Supply followed in importance which demonstrates the importance of social and technical dimensions in the hydrogen valley development. These findings demonstrate the critical role of policy support infrastructure readiness and workforce availability in the design process. Sensitivity analyses are also conducted to present robustness of the given decisions for the analysis of the results. Based on the results and analyses possible implications based on the policy and practical dimensions are also discussed. By integrating fuzzy logic and Z-numbers the study aims to minimize loss of information enhances the analytical background for decision-making and provides a strategic roadmap for hydrogen valley development.
Techno-economic Optimization of Renewable Hydrogen Infrastructure via AI-based Dynamic Pricing
Aug 2025
Publication
This study presents a techno-economic optimization of hydrogen production using hybrid wind-solar systems across six Australian cities highlighting Australia’s green hydrogen potential. A hybrid PVwind-electrolyzer-hydrogen tank (PV-WT-EL-HT) system demonstrated superior performance with Perth achieving the lowest Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) at $0.582/kg Net Present Cost (NPC) of $27.5k and Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) of $0.0166/kWh. Perth also showed the highest return on investment present worth and annual worth making it the preferred project site. All locations maintained a 100% renewable fraction proving the viability of fully decarbonized hydrogen production. Metaheuristic validation using nine algorithms showed the Mayfly Algorithm improved techno-economic metrics by 3–8% over HOMER Pro models. The Gray Wolf and Whale Optimization Algorithms enhanced system stability under wind-dominant conditions. Sensitivity analysis revealed that blockchain-based dynamic pricing and reinforcement learning-driven demand response yielded 8–10% cost savings under ±15% demand variability. Nevertheless regional disparities persist; southern cities such as Hobart and Melbourne exhibited 20–30% higher LCOH due to reduced renewable resource availability while densely urbanized cities like Sydney presented optimization ceilings with minimal LCOH improvements despite algorithmic refinements. Investment in advanced materials (e.g. perovskite-VAWTs) and offshore platforms targeting hydrogen export markets is essential. Perth emerged as the optimal hub with hybrid PV/WT/B systems producing 200–250 MWh/ month of electricity and 200–250 kg/month of hydrogen supported by policy incentives. This work offers a blueprint for region-specific AI-augmented hydrogen systems to drive Australia’s hydrogen economy toward $2.10/kg by 2030.
A Comprehensive Review of Advances in Bioenergy including Emerging Trends and Future Directions
Aug 2025
Publication
Bioenergy is a promising alternative to fossil fuels-based energy with significant potential to transform global energy systems and promote environmental sustainability. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the evolution of bioenergy emphasizing its role in the global transition to sustainable energy. It explores a diverse range of biomass sources including forest and agricultural residues algae and industrial by-products and their conversion into energy via thermochemical biochemical and physicochemical pathways. The paper also highlights recent technological advancements and assesses the environmental sustainability of bioenergy systems. Additionally it examines key challenges hindering bioenergy development such as feedstock logistics technological limitations economic viability and policy gaps that need resolution to fully realise its potential. By synthesizing literature from 2010 to 2025 the review identifies strategic priorities for research and deployment aiming to inform efforts that align bioenergy utilization with global decarbonization goals.
Early Transition to Near-zero Emissions Electricity and Carbon Dioxide Removal is Essential to Achieve Net-zero Emissions at a Low Cost in Australia
Aug 2025
Publication
Achieving net-zero emissions requires major changes across a nation’s economy energy and land systems particularly due to sectors where emissions are difficult to eliminate. Here we adapt two global scenarios from the International Energy Agency—the net-zero emissions by 2050 and the Stated Policies Scenario—using an integrated numerical economic-energy model tailored to Australia. We explore how emissions may evolve by sector and identify key technologies for decarbonisation. Our results show that a rapid shift to near-zero emissions electricity is central to reducing costs and enabling wider emissions reductions. From 2030 onwards carbon removal through land management and engineered solutions such as direct air capture and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage becomes critical. Australia is also well-positioned to become a global supplier of clean energy such as hydrogen made using renewable electricity helping reduce emissions beyond its borders.
Low-emission Hydrogen: Global Value Chain Opportunities for Latecomers and Industrial Policy Challenges
Jul 2025
Publication
To meet decarbonization targets demand for low-emission hydrogen is increasing. A considerable share of supply will come from latecomer countries. We study how latecomer countries and firms participate in the emerging global low-emission hydrogen economy and how industrial policies can help maximize societal benefits. This requires a specific conceptualization of industrial policy: First the latecomer condition calls for specific policy mixes as latecomers typically cannot build on established innovation systems and network externalities and rather need to combine FDI attraction with measures strengthening absorptive capacity and ensuring knowledge transfer from FDI to domestic firms; second low-emission hydrogen is a policy-induced alternative that requires creating entirely new firm ecosystems while competing with lower-cost emission-intensive incumbent technologies. Hence industrial policies need to account for enhanced coordination failure and internalization of environmental costs. We analyze the published national hydrogen strategies of 20 latecomer economies and derive a novel typology differentiating four hydrogen-specific industrial development pathways. For each pathway we assess entry barriers and risks identify the policies suggested in the country strategies and discuss how likely those are to be successful. The novel pathway typology and comparison of associated policy mixes may help policymakers maximize the gains of hydrogen investments.
Modeling and Optimization Control of SOEC with Flexible Adjustment Capabilities
Jul 2025
Publication
Due to the random fluctuations in power experienced by high-temperature green electric hydrogen production systems further deterioration of spatial distribution characteristics such as temperature voltage/current and material concentration inside the solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) stack may occur. This has a negative impact on the system’s flexibility and the corresponding control capabilities. In this paper based on the SOEC electrolytic cell model a comprehensive optimization method using an adaptive incremental Kriging surrogate model is proposed. The reliability of this method is verified by accurately analyzing the dynamic performance of the SOEC and the spatial characteristics of various physical quantities. Additionally a thermal dynamic analysis is performed on the SOEC and an adaptive time-varying LPV-MPC optimization control method is established to ensure the temperature stability of the electrolysis cell stack aiming to maintain a stable efficient and sustainable SOEC operation. The simulation analysis of SOEC hydrogen production adopting a variable load operation has demonstrated the advantages of this method over conventional PID control in stabilizing the temperature of the stack. It allows for a rapid adjustment in the electrolysis voltage and current and improves electrolysis efficiency. The results highlighted that the increase in the electrolysis load increases the current density while the water vapor electrolysis voltage and H2 flow rate significantly decrease. Finally the SOEC electrolytic hydrogen production module is introduced for optimization scheduling of energy consumption in Xinjiang China. The findings not only confirmed that the SOEC can transition to the current load operating point at each scheduling period but also demonstrated higher effectiveness in stabilizing the stack temperature and improving electrolysis efficiency.
No more items...