Applications & Pathways
Power Sector Effects of Green Hydrogen Production in Germany
Aug 2023
Publication
The use of green hydrogen can support the decarbonization of sectors which are difficult to electrify such as industry or heavy transport. Yet the wider power sector effects of providing green hydrogen are not well understood so far. We use an open-source electricity sector model to investigate potential power sector interactions of three alternative supply chains for green hydrogen in Germany in the year 2030. We distinguish between model settings in which Germany is modeled as an electric island versus embedded in an interconnected system with its neighboring countries as well as settings with and without technology-specific capacity bounds on wind energy. The findings suggest that large-scale hydrogen storage can provide valuable flexibility to the power system in settings with high renewable energy shares. These benefits are more pronounced in the absence of flexibility from geographical balancing. We further find that the effects of green hydrogen production on the optimal generation portfolio strongly depend on the model assumptions regarding capacity expansion potentials. We also identify a potential distributional effect of green hydrogen production at the expense of other electricity consumers of which policy makers should be aware.
Advancements in Hydrogen Energy Systems: A Review of Levelized Costs, Financial Incentives and Technological Innovations
Apr 2024
Publication
Hydrogen energy systems (HES) are increasingly recognized as pivotal in cutting global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions especially in transportation power generation and industrial sectors. This paper offers a comprehensive review of HES emphasizing their diverse applications and economic viability. By 2030 hydrogen energy is expected to revolutionize various sectors significantly impacting CO2 abatement and energy demand. In electricity and power generation hydrogen could reduce CO2 emissions by 50–100 million tons annually requiring 10–20 million tons of hydrogen and an investment of $50–100 billion underscoring its role in grid stabilization. Additionally in the heating sector hydrogen could facilitate a CO2 abatement of 30–50 million tons. We examine the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) production influenced by factors like production methods efficiency and infrastructure. While steam methane reforming is cost-effective it poses a larger environmental impact compared to electrolysis. The global life-cycle cost of hydrogen production decreases as production scales up with current costs ranging from $1–3 per kg for fossil-based sources to $3.4–7.5 per kg for electrolysis using low-emission electricity. These costs are projected to decrease especially for electrolytic hydrogen in regions with abundant solar energy. However despite the technical feasibility of decarbonization high production costs still pose challenges. A systematic and effective transition to a hydrogen economy requires comprehensive policy and financial support mechanisms including incentives subsidies tax measures and funding for research and development of pilot projects. Additionally the paper discusses hydrogen's role in advanced storage technologies such as hydrides and Japan's ENE-FARM solution for residential energy emphasizing the need for strategic investments across the hydrogen value chain to enhance HES competitiveness reduce LCOH and advance the learning rates of hydrogen production technologies.
Techno-economic Assessment of Low-carbon Ammonia as Fuel for the Maritime Sector
Mar 2025
Publication
Low-carbon ammonia has recently received interest as alternative fuel for the maritime sector. This paper presents a techno-economic analysis of the total cost of ownership (TCO) of a Post-Panamax vessel powered by low-carbon ammonia. We also calculate the annual increase in carbon tax needed to compensate for the increment in TCO compared to a vessel powered by very low sulfur fuel oil. The increment in TCO is calculated as function of propulsion efficiency to account for uncertainties in the thermodynamics of ammonia combustion for three different cost scenarios of low-carbon ammonia. We evaluate the benefits and drawbacks of hydrogen and diesel as dual fuel for three types of propulsion systems: a compression ignition engine a spark-ignition engine and a combination of a solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) system and a spark-ignition engine. We incorporate three different cost levels for ammonia and a variable engine efficiency ranging from 35% to 55%. If the ammonia engine has the efficiency of a conventional marine engine the increment in TCO is 25% in the most optimistic cost scenario. SOFCs can reach a better efficiency and yield no pollutant emissions but the reduction in fuel expenses in comparison to conventional combustion engines only offsets their high investment costs at either low engine efficiency or high fuel prices. The increment in TCO and reduction in GHG emissions depend on whether high combustion efficiencies small dual fuel fractions and low NOx N2O and NH3 emissions can be simultaneously achieved.
Review of Environmental Life Cycle Assessment for Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles in Road Transport
Mar 2025
Publication
This article summarizes current research on the life cycle assessment (LCA) of fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) in road transport. Increasing greenhouse gas emissions and climate change are pushing the transport sector to intensify efforts toward decarbonization. One promising solution is the adoption of hydrogen technologies whose development is supported by European Union regulations such as the “Fit for 55” package. FCEVs are characterized by zero emissions during operation but their environmental impact largely depends on the methods of hydrogen production. The use of renewable energy sources in hydrogen production can significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions while hydrogen produced from fossil fuels can even result in higher emissions compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. This article also discusses the importance of hydrogen refueling infrastructure and the efficiency of fuel storage and transportation systems. In conclusion LCA shows that FCEVs can support the achievement of climate goals provided that the development of hydrogen production technologies based on renewable sources and the corresponding infrastructure is ensured. The authors also highlight the potential of hybrid technologies as a transitional solution in the process of transforming the transport sector.
Standalone and System-level Perspectives on Hydrogen-based Sustainable Aviation Fuel Pathways for Denmark
Mar 2025
Publication
Aviation is one of the most challenging sectors to electrify directly due to its high energy density demands. Hydrogen offers a pathway for indirect electrification in such sectors enabling sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) production when combined with a carbon source. SAF produced via methanol or Fischer-Tropsch (FT) synthesis (e-SAF) has higher volumetric density than hydrogen remains liquid under standard conditions and can be used as a direct drop-in fuel. Certain FT-based e-SAF pathways are already certified for use in blends enhancing their appeal for sustainable aviation. This study evaluates e-SAF pathways in terms of resource efficiency and costs for different carbon sources. The results from both a standalone and system-level perspective indicate that biomass gasification-sourced carbon is the most energy-efficient pathway given biomass availability. For point-source and direct air capture pathways electricity costs for renewable hydrogen dominate the overall costs comprising about 70 % of total e-SAF costs. Given cheap renewable electricity and by-product revenues e-SAF can achieve price levels of 0.5–1.1 €/litre which is cost-competitive with their fossil-based counterparts. A breakeven electricity price of 9–29 €/MWh is needed for e-SAF made via a point source-based CO2 pathway compared with a moderate aviation fossil fuel price of 0.5 €/litre.
The Multi-Objective Distributed Robust Optimization Scheduling of Integrated Energy Systems Considering Green Hydrogen Certificates and Low-Carbon Demand Response
Feb 2025
Publication
To address the issues of energy wastage and uncertainty impacts associated with high levels of renewable energy integration a multi-objective distributed robust low-carbon optimization scheduling strategy for hydrogen-integrated Integrated Energy Systems (IES) is proposed. This strategy incorporates a green hydrogen trading mechanism and lowcarbon demand response. Firstly to leverage the low-carbon and clean characteristics of hydrogen energy an efficient hydrogen utilization model was constructed consisting of electricity-based hydrogen production waste heat recovery multi-stage hydrogen use hydrogen blending in gas and hydrogen storage. This significantly enhanced the system’s renewable energy consumption and carbon reduction. Secondly to improve the consumption of green hydrogen a novel reward–punishment green hydrogen certificate trading mechanism was proposed. The impact of green hydrogen trading prices on system operation was discussed promoting the synergistic operation of green hydrogen and green electricity. Based on the traditional demand-response model a novel low-carbon demand-response strategy is proposed with carbon emission factors serving as guiding signals. Finally considering the uncertainty of renewable energy an innovative optimal trade-off multi-objective distributed robust model was proposed which simultaneously considered low-carbon economic and robustness aspects. The model was solved using an improved adaptive particle swarm optimization algorithm. Case study results show that after introducing the reward–punishment green hydrogen trading mechanism and low-carbon demand response the system’s total cost was reduced by approximately 5.16% and 4.37% and carbon emissions were reduced by approximately 7.84% and 6.72% respectively. Moreover the proposed multi-objective distributed robust model not only considers the system’s economy low-carbon and robustness but also offers higher solving efficiency and optimization performance compared to multi-objective optimization methods.
"Green" Ammonia: Impact of Renewable Energy Intermittency on Plant Sizing and Levelized Cost of Ammonia
Oct 2018
Publication
Ammonia production currently contributesalmost 11% of global industrial carbon dioxide emissions or1.3% of global emissions. In the context of global emissiontargets and growing demand decarbonization of this processis highly desirable. We present a method to calculate a firstestimate for the optimum size of an ammonia productionplant (at the process level) the required renewable energy(RE) supply and the levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA) forislanded operation with a hydrogen buffer. A model wasdeveloped to quantitatively identify the key variables thatimpact the LCOA (relative to a ±10 GBP/tonne change inLCOA): levelized cost of electricity (±0.89 GBP/MWh) electrolyzer capital expenditure (±65 GBP/kW) minimum Haber−Bosch (HB) load (±12% of rated power) maximum rate of HB load ramping and RE supply mix. Using 2025/2030 estimatesresults in a LCOA of 588 GBP/tonne for Lerwick Scotland. The application of the model will facilitate and improve theproduction of carbon-free ammonia in the future.
A Comprehensive Analysis of Characteristics of Hydrogen Operation as a Preparation for Retrofitting a Compression Ignition Engine to a Hydrogen Engine
Mar 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is a carbon-neutral fuel so in theory it holds enormous potential. The use of hydrogen as a fuel for traditional internal combustion engines is becoming increasingly prominent. The authors now have the opportunity to retrofit a single-cylinder diesel research engine to an engine with hydrogen operation. For this reason before that conversion they prepared a comprehensive review study regarding hydrogen. Firstly the study analyzes the most essential properties of hydrogen in terms of mixture formation and combustion compared to diesel. After that it deals with indirect and direct injection and what kind of combustion processes can occur. Since there is a possibility of preignition backfire and knocking the process can be dangerous in the case of indirect mixture formation and so a short subsection is devoted to these uncontrolled combustion phenomena. The next subsection shows how important in many ways a special spark plug and ignition system are for hydrogen operation. The next part of the study provides a detailed presentation of the possible combustion chamber design for operation with hydrogen fuel. The last section reveals how many parameters can be focused on analyzing the hydrogen’s combustion process. The authors conclude that intake manifold injection and a Heron-like combustion chamber design with a special spark plug with an ignition system would be an appropriate solution.
Energy Management for Microgrids with Hybrid Hydrogen-Battery Storage: A Reinforcement Learning Framework Integrated Multi-Objective Dynamic Regulation
Aug 2025
Publication
The integration of renewable energy resources (RES) into microgrids (MGs) poses significant challenges due to the intermittent nature of generation and the increasing complexity of multi-energy scheduling. To enhance operational flexibility and reliability this paper proposes an intelligent energy management system (EMS) for MGs incorporating a hybrid hydrogen-battery energy storage system (HHB-ESS). The system model jointly considers the complementary characteristics of short-term and long-term storage technologies. Three conflicting objectives are defined: economic cost (EC) system response stability and battery life loss (BLO). To address the challenges of multi-objective trade-offs and heterogeneous storage coordination a novel deep-reinforcement-learning (DRL) algorithm termed MOATD3 is developed based on a dynamic reward adjustment mechanism (DRAM). Simulation results under various operational scenarios demonstrate that the proposed method significantly outperforms baseline methods achieving a maximum improvement of 31.4% in SRS and a reduction of 46.7% in BLO.
Challenges and Opportunities in Green Hydrogen Adoption for Decarbonizing Hard-to-Abate Industries: A Comprehensive Review
Feb 2024
Publication
The decarbonization of hard-to-abate industries is crucial for keeping global warming to below 2◦C. Green or renewable hydrogen synthesized through water electrolysis has emerged as a sustainable alternative for fossil fuels in energy-intensive sectors such as aluminum cement chemicals steel and transportation. However the scalability of green hydrogen production faces challenges including infrastructure gaps energy losses excessive power consumption and high costs throughout the value chain. Therefore this study analyzes the challenges within the green hydrogen value chain focusing on the development of nascent technologies. Presenting a comprehensive synthesis of contemporary knowledge this study assesses the potential impacts of green hydrogen on hard-to-abate sectors emphasizing the expansion of clean energy infrastructure. Through an exploration of emerging renewable hydrogen technologies the study investigates aspects such as economic feasibility sustainability assessments and the achievement of carbon neutrality. Additionally considerations extend to the potential for large-scale renewable electricity storage and the realization of net-zero goals. The findings of this study suggest that emerging technologies have the potential to significantly increase green hydrogen production offering affordable solutions for decarbonization. The study affirms that global-scale green hydrogen production could satisfy up to 24% of global energy needs by 2050 resulting in the abatement of 60 gigatons of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions - equivalent to 6% of total cumulative CO2 emission reductions. To comprehensively evaluate the impact of the hydrogen economy on ecosystem decarbonization this article analyzes the feasibility of three business models that emphasize choices for green hydrogen production and delivery. Finally the study proposes potential directions for future research on hydrogen valleys aiming to foster interconnected hydrogen ecosystems.
Multi-year Energy Performance Data for an Electrolysis-based Hydrogen Refueling Station
Apr 2023
Publication
Financing sizing operating or upgrading a hydrogen refueling station (HRS) is challenging and may be complex much more so in today's rapidly changing and growing hydrogen industry. There is a significant information gap regarding experimental hydrogen station activities. A high-level perspective on such data and information may facilitate the transition between present and future HRS operations. To address the need for such high-level perspective this paper presents a comprehensive data set on the performance of the California State University Los Angeles Hydrogen Research and Fueling Facility based on multi-year operational data. The analysis of over 4500 refueling events and over 8800 kg of hydrogen dispensed as well as the operation of the facility electrolyzer and of both storage and refueling compressors from 2016 to 2020 reveals a comprehensive picture of HRS energy performance and the identification of useful key performance indicators. In 2016 the station's energy efficiency was 25% but in 2017 and the first three quarters of 2018 it dropped to 15%. Station-specific energy consumption increased during these quarters. The 2020 first quarter energy consumption was between 70 and 80 kWh/kg. At this time the energy efficiency of the station reached 40%.<br/>This research is based on an unprecedented and unique dataset of an HRS operating under real-world conditions with an approach that can be informative for modeling the performance of other stations providing a dataset that HRS designers operators and investors may utilize to make data-driven choices regarding HRS components and their specs and size as well as operating strategies.
Prospects of Solar Energy in the Context of Greening Maritime Transport
Mar 2025
Publication
The aim of this article is to examine existing technologies for the use of electrical energy and to develop proposals for their improvement on maritime vessels. As a criterion for evaluating the effectiveness of alternative energy sources on ships factors such as greenhouse gas emissions levels production and transportation characteristics onboard storage conditions and technoeconomic indicators have been proposed. The analysis of fuel types reveals that hydrogen has zero greenhouse gas emissions. However transportation and storage issues along with the high investment required for implementation pose barriers to the widespread use of hydrogen as fuel for maritime vessels. This article demonstrates that solar energy can serve as an alternative to gases and liquid fuels in maritime transport. The technologies and challenges in utilizing solar energy for shipping are analyzed trends in solar energy for maritime transport are discussed and future research directions for the use of solar energy in the maritime sector are proposed. The most significant findings include the identification of future research directions in the application of solar energy in the maritime sector including the adaptation of concentrated solar power (CSP) systems for maritime applications; the development of materials and designs for solar panels specifically tailored to marine conditions; the development of methods for assessing the long-term economic benefits of using solar energy on vessels; and the creation of regulatory frameworks and international standards for the use of solar energy on ships. Furthermore for hybrid photovoltaic and diesel power systems promising research directions could include efforts to implement direct torque control systems instead of field-orientated control systems as well as working on compensating higher harmonics in the phase current spectra of asynchronous motors.
Capacity Optimization of Renewable-Based Hydrogen Production–Refueling Station for Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles: A Real-Project-Based Case Study
Aug 2025
Publication
With the deepening electrification of transportation hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) are emerging as a vital component of clean and electrified transportation systems. Nonetheless renewable-based hydrogen production–refueling stations (HPRSs) for FCEVs still need solid models for accurate simulations and a practical capacity optimization method for cost reduction. To address this gap this study leverages real operation data from China’s largest HPRS to establish and validate a comprehensive model integrating hydrogen production storage renewables FCEVs and the power grid. Building on this validated model a novel capacity optimization framework is proposed incorporating an improved Jellyfish Search Algorithm (JSA) to minimize the initial investment cost operating cost and levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). The results demonstrate the framework’s significant innovations and effectiveness: It achieves the maximum reductions of 29.31% in the initial investment 100% in the annual operational cost and 44.19% in LCOH while meeting FCEV demand. Simultaneously it reduces peak grid load by up to 43.80% and enables renewable energy to cover up to 89.30% of transportation hydrogen demand. This study contributes to enhancing economic performance and optimizing the design and planning of HPRS for FCEVs as well as promoting sustainable transportation electrification.
Composite Membranes for High Temperature PEM Fuel Cells and Electrolysers: A Critical Review
Jul 2019
Publication
Polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) fuel cells and electrolysers offer efficient use and production of hydrogen for emission-free transport and sustainable energy systems. Perfluorosulfonic acid (PFSA) membranes like Nafion® and Aquivion® are the state-of-the-art PEMs but there is a need to increase the operating temperature to improve mass transport avoid catalyst poisoning and electrode flooding increase efficiency and reduce the cost and complexity of the system. However PSFAs-based membranes exhibit lower mechanical and chemical stability as well as proton conductivity at lower relative humidities and temperatures above 80 ◦C. One approach to sustain performance is to introduce inorganic fillers and improve water retention due to their hydrophilicity. Alternatively polymers where protons are not conducted as hydrated H3O+ ions through liquid-like water channels as in the PSFAs but as free protons (H+) via Brønsted acid sites on the polymer backbone can be developed. Polybenzimidazole (PBI) and sulfonated polyetheretherketone (SPEEK) are such materials but need considerable acid doping. Different composites are being investigated to solve some of the accompanying problems and reach sufficient conductivities. Herein we critically discuss a few representative investigations of composite PEMs and evaluate their significance. Moreover we present advances in introducing electronic conductivity in the polymer binder in the catalyst layers.
Hydrogen-powered Aircraft: Fundamental Concepts, Key Technologies, and Environmental Impacts
Sep 2024
Publication
Civil aviation provides an essential transportation network that connects the world and supports global economic growth. To maintain these benefits while meeting environmental goals next-generation aircraft must have drastically reduced climate impacts. Hydrogen-powered aircraft have the potential to fly existing routes with no carbon emissions and reduce or eliminate other emissions. This paper is a comprehensive guide to hydrogen-powered aircraft that explains the fundamental physics and reviews current technologies. We discuss the impact of these technologies on aircraft design cost certification and environment. In the long term hydrogen aircraft appear to be the most compelling alternative to today’s kerosene-powered aircraft. Using hydrogen also enables novel technologies such as fuel cells and superconducting electronics which could lead to aircraft concepts that are not feasible with kerosene. Hydrogen-powered aircraft are technologically feasible but require significant research and development. Lightweight liquid hydrogen tanks and their integration with the airframe is one of the critical technologies. Fuel cells can eliminate in-flight emissions but must become lighter more powerful and more durable to make large fuel cell-powered transport aircraft feasible. Hydrogen turbofans already have these desirable characteristics but produce some emissions albeit much less damaging than kerosene turbofans. Beyond airframe and propulsion technologies the viability of hydrogen aircraft hinges on low-cost green hydrogen production which requires massive investments in the energy infrastructure.
A Data-Driven Scheduling Approach for Hydrogen Penetrated Energy System Using LSTM Network
Nov 2019
Publication
Intra-day control and scheduling of energy systems require high-speed computation and strong robustness. Conventional mathematical driven approaches usually require high computation resources and have difficulty handling system uncertainties. This paper proposes two data-driven scheduling approaches for hydrogen penetrated energy system (HPES) operational scheduling. The two data-driven approaches learn the historical optimization results calculated out using the mixed integer linear programing (MILP) and conditional value at risk (CVaR) respectively. The intra-day rolling optimization mechanism is introduced to evaluate the proposed data-driven scheduling approaches MILP data-driven approach and CVaR data-driven approach along with the forecasted renewable generation and load demands. Results show that the two data-driven approaches have lower intra-day operational costs compared with the MILP based method by 1.17% and 0.93%. In addition the combined cooling and heating plant (CCHP) has a lower frequency of changing the operational states and power output when using the MILP data-driven approach compared with the mathematical driven approaches.
Assessing the Impacts of Low-carbon Intensity Hydrogen Integration in Oil Refineries
Nov 2024
Publication
This paper evaluates the potential impacts of introducing low-carbon intensity hydrogen technologies in two oil refineries with different complexity levels emphasizing the role of hydrogen production in reducing CO2 emissions. The novelty of this work lies in three key aspects: Comprehensive system analysis of refinery complexity using real site data integration of low-carbon Hydrogen technologies long-term and short-term strategies. Two Colombian refineries serve as case studies with technological solutions adapted to their complexity levels. The methodology involves evaluating different options for hydrogen production accounting for improvement in technological efficiency over time.<br/>The refinery systems were evaluated in a cost-optimization model built in Linny-r. Three different scenarios were considered Business-As-Usual (BAU) high and low-ambitions decarbonization scenarios focusing on the time horizons of 2030 and 2050.<br/>When comparing the two case studies the preferred decarbonization strategy for both facilities involves the substitution of SMR technology with water electrolyzers powered by renewable electricity. Post-2030 biomass-based hydrogen technology is still a costly alternative; however to achieve CO2 neutrality negative emissions storage of biogenic CO2 emerges as an achievable alternative.<br/>Our results indicate the achievability of CO2 reduction objectives in both refineries. Our results show that achieving long-term CO2 neutrality requires both refineries to increase renewable electricity production by 5 to 6 times for powering water electrolyzers steam production by 2 to 2.5 times for CO2 capture and supply of dry biomass by 2.6 to 4.5 kt/d.<br/>The two most significant factors influencing the refining net margin in the decarbonization scenarios are primarily the CO2 and the renewable electricity prices. The short-term horizon emerges as the pivotal period particularly within the high-ambition decarbonization scenarios. In this context the medium complexity refinery demonstrates economic viability until a CO2 price of 140 €/t CO2 while the high complexity refinery endures up to 205 €/t CO2.<br/>The high complexity refinery is better prepared to face the challenges of decarbonization and the impacts generated on the refining margin. Compared to the BAU scenario the high complexity refinery shows a negative impact on the net margin that corresponds to a 40% and 5% reduction in the short and long term respectively. Meanwhile for the medium complexity refinery the impact on net margin amounts to a 52% reduction in the short term and a 27% improvement in the long term.<br/>Furthermore our research highlights the significant potential for reducing CO2 emissions by fully eliminating the use of refinery gas as fuel providing alternative applications for it beyond combustion.
Optimal Economic Dispatch of Hydrogen Storage-Based Integrated Energy System with Electricity and Heat
Feb 2025
Publication
To enhance the accommodation capacity of renewable energy and promote the coordinated development of multiple energy this paper proposes a novel economic dispatch method for an integrated electricity–heat–hydrogen energy system on the basis of coupling three energy flows. Firstly we develop a mathematical model for the hydrogen energy system including hydrogen production storage and hydrogen fuel cells. Additionally a multi-device combined heat and power system is constructed incorporating gas boilers waste heat boilers gas turbines methanation reactors thermal storage tanks batteries and gas storage tanks. Secondly to further strengthen the carbon reduction advantages the economic dispatch model incorporates the power-to-gas process and carbon trading mechanisms giving rise to minimizing energy purchase costs energy curtailment penalties carbon trading costs equipment operation and maintenance costs. The model is linearized to ensure a global optimal solution. Finally the experimental results validate the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed model. The integration of electricity–hydrogen coupling devices improves the utilization rate of renewable energy generation and reduces the total system operating costs and carbon trading costs. The use of a tiered carbon trading mechanism decreases natural gas consumption and carbon emissions contributing to energy conservation and emission reduction.
Review of Electrofuel Feasibility - Cost and Environmental Impact
Jun 2022
Publication
Electrofuels fuels produced from electricity water and carbon or nitrogen are of interest as substitutes for fossil fuels in all energy and chemical sectors. This paper focuses on electrofuels for transportation where some can be used in existing vehicle/vessel/aircraft fleets and fueling infrastructure. The aim of this study is to review publications on electrofuels and summarize costs and environmental performance. A special case denoted as bio-electrofuels involves hydrogen supplementing existing biomethane production (e.g. anaerobic digestion) to generate additional or different fuels. We use costs identified in the literature to calculate harmonized production costs for a range of electrofuels and bio-electrofuels. Results from the harmonized calculations show that bio-electrofuels generally have lower costs than electrofuels produced using captured carbon. Lowest costs are found for liquefied bio-electro-methane bio-electro-methanol and bio-electro-dimethyl ether. The highest cost is for electro-jet fuel. All analyzed fuels have the potential for long-term production costs in the range 90–160 € MWh−1 . Dominant factors impacting production costs are electrolyzer and electricity costs the latter connected to capacity factors (CFs) and cost for hydrogen storage. Electrofuel production costs also depend on regional conditions for renewable electricity generation which are analyzed in sensitivity analyses using corresponding CFs in four European regions. Results show a production cost range for electro-methanol of 76–118 € MWh−1 depending on scenario and region assuming an electrolyzer CAPEX of 300–450 € kWelec −1 and CFs of 45%–65%. Lowest production costs are found in regions with good conditions for renewable electricity such as Ireland and western Spain. The choice of system boundary has a large impact on the environmental assessments. The literature is not consistent regarding the environmental impact from different CO2 sources. The literature however points to the fact that renewable energy sources are required to achieve low global warming impact over the electrofuel life cycle.
Machine Learning-powered Performance Monitoring of Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers for Enhancing Green Hydrogen Production as a Sustainable Fuel for Aviation Industry
Aug 2024
Publication
Aviation is a major contributor to transportation carbon emissions but aims to reduce its carbon footprint. Sustainable and environmentally friendly green hydrogen fuel is essential for decarbonization of this industry. Using the extremely low temperature of liquid hydrogen in aviation sector unlocks the opportunity for cryoelectric aircraft concept which exploits the advantageous properties of superconductors onboard. A significant barrier for green hydrogen adoption relates to its high cost and the immediate need for large-scale production which Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers (PEMWE) can address through optimal dynamic performance high lifetimes good efficiencies and importantly scalability. In PEMWE the cell is a crucial component that facilitates the electrolysis process and consists of a polymer membrane and electrodes. To control the required production rate of hydrogen the output power of cell should be monitored which usually is done by measuring the cell’s potential and current density. In this paper five different machine learning (ML) models based on different algorithms have been developed to predict this parameter. Findings of the work highlight that the model based on Cascade-Forward Neural Network (CFNN) is investigated to accurately predict the cell potential of PEMWE under different anodic material and working conditions with an accuracy of 99.998 % and 0.001884 in terms of R2 and root mean square error respectively. It can predict the cell potential with a relative error of less than 0.65 % and an absolute error of below 0.01 V. The Standard deviation of 0.000061 for 50 iterations of stability analysis indicated that this model has less sensitivity to the random selection of training data. By accurately estimating different cell’s output with one model and considering its ultra-fast response CFNN model has the potential to be used for both monitoring and the designing purposes of green hydrogen production.
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