Policy & Socio-Economics
Green Hydrogen as a Sustainable Operations Strategy: A Socio-economic Perspective
Nov 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is an energy carrier that can support the development of sustainable and flexible energy systems. However decarbonization can occur when green sources are used for energy production and appropriate water use is manifested. This work aims to propose a socio-economic analysis of hydrogen production from an integrated wind and electrolysis plant in southern Italy. The estimated production amounts to about 1.8 million kg and the LCOH is calculated to be 3.60 €/kg in the base scenario. Analyses of the alternative scenarios allow us to observe that with a high probability the value ranges between 3.20-4.00 €/kg and that the capacity factor is the factor that most affects the economic results. Social analysis conducted through an online survey shows a strong knowledge gap as only 27.5% claim to know the difference between green and grey hydrogen. There is a slight propensity to install systems near their homes but this tends to increase due to increased knowledge on the topic. Respondents state sustainable behaviours and this study suggests that these aspects should also be transformed into the energy choices that are implemented every day. The study suggests information to policy-makers businesses and citizens as it outlines that green hydrogen is an operations strategy that moves toward sustainable development.
Analysis of Corporate Acceptance of Hydrogen Energy Technology Based on the Extended Technology Acceptance Model
Feb 2025
Publication
Hydrogen holds an important strategic position in the energy systems of many countries. Many studies have analyzed the acceptance of hydrogen energy technology from the public’s perspective but few have examined it from the corporate perspective. This paper establishes a technology acceptance model and employs structural equation modeling to investigate the factors affecting the acceptance of hydrogen energy technology within enterprises. After conducting questionnaire surveys among employees of energy enterprises electric power companies and new energy vehicle manufacturers the results indicate that while most of the interviewed enterprises have positive attitudes towards hydrogen technology their willingness to develop hydrogen business does not appear to be correspondingly positive. In addition government trust perceived benefit and social influence positively impact corporate acceptability indirectly whereas perceived risk exhibits a negative indirect effect on corporate acceptance. Finally this paper discusses the results of the above studies and makes corresponding policy recommendations.
Green Hydrogen, a Solution for Replacing Fossil Fuels to Reduce CO2 Emissions
Aug 2024
Publication
The article examines the role of green hydrogen in reducing CO2 emissions in the transition to climate neutrality highlighting both its benefits and challenges. It starts by discussing the production of green hydrogen from renewable sources and provides a brief analysis of primary resource structures for energy production in European countries including Romania. Despite progress there remains a significant reliance on fossil fuels in some countries. Economic technologies for green hydrogen production are explored with a note that its production alone does not solve all issues due to complex and costly compression and storage operations. The concept of impure green hydrogen derived from biomass gasification pyrolysis fermentation and wastewater purification is also discussed. Economic efficiency and future trends in green hydrogen production are outlined. The article concludes with an analysis of hydrogen-methane mixture combustion technologies offering a conceptual framework for economically utilizing green hydrogen in the transition to a green hydrogen economy.
Strategy Development for Hydrogen-Conversion Businesses in Côte d’Ivoire
Aug 2024
Publication
Côte d’Ivoire has substantially neglected crop residues from farms in rural areas so this study aimed to provide strategies for the sustainable conversion of these products to hydrogen. The use of existing data showed that in the Côte d’Ivoire there were up to 16801306 tons of crop residues from 11 crop types in 2019 from which 1296424.84 tons of hydrogen could potentially be derived via theoretical gasification and dark fermentation approaches. As 907497.39 tons of hydrogen is expected annually the following estimations were derived. The three hydrogen-project implementation scenarios developed indicate that Ivorian industries could be supplied with 9026635 gigajoules of heat alongside 17910 cars and 4732 buses in the transport sector. It was estimated that 817293.95 tons of green ammonia could be supplied to farmers. According to the study 5727992 households could be expected to have access to 1718.40 gigawatts of electricity. Due to these changes in the transport energy industry and agricultural sectors a reduction of 1644722.08 tons of carbon dioxide per year could theoretically be achieved. With these scenarios around 263276.87 tons of hydrogen could be exported to other countries. The conversion of crop residues to hydrogen is a promising opportunity with environmental and socio-economic impacts. Therefore this study requires further extensive research.
Hydrogen Valley in Cyprus: Insights and Strategies for Citizen Engagement
Jan 2025
Publication
: In remote areas or islands like Cyprus the isolated energy system high energy consumption in the transport sector and projected excess electricity production from solar sources create favourable conditions for establishing a hydrogen valley. But even after addressing technological managerial economic and financial challenges the success of a hydrogen valley hinges on the acceptance and engagement of the local population. The role of citizens is under-researched by academia and overlooked by policymakers. Our paper’s contribution is unique data from a purposefully developed survey of Cypriot residents. The findings reveal robust support for the renewable energy transition in principle with 90% expressing supportive views of which 57% ‘strongly support’ the transition and notably middle-aged more educated and fully employed individuals showing the strongest support. At the same time our results show that 62% are unfamiliar with the concept of a hydrogen economy. The promising finding is that 80% of citizens are ‘very likely’ (25%) or ‘somewhat likely’ (55%) to engage in discussions or activities related to the creation of a hydrogen valley in Cyprus. Gender differences in the willingness to engage are however evident: 32% of males indicated they are ‘very likely’ to participate versus 23% of females. We conclude that the prevailing citizen behaviour in Cyprus is “Seeking Information” and we make policy suggestions outlining the top ten engagement tools to foster awareness among the general population and the top ten strategies targeting active supporters of hydrogen in Cyprus to elevate their involvement to ‘Action’ and ‘Advocacy’ levels of engagement.
Green Hydrogen Credit Subsidized Renewable Energy-hydrogen Business Models for Achieving the Carbon Netural Future
Feb 2024
Publication
The global resurgence of hydrogen as a clean energy source particularly green hydrogen derived from renewable energy is pivotal for achieving a carbon-neutral future. However scalability poses a significant challenge. This research proposes innovative business models leveraging the low-emission property of green hydrogen to reduce its financial costs thereby fostering its widespread adoption. Key components of the business workflow are elaborated mathematical formulations of market parameters are derived and case studies are presented to demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of these models. Results demonstrate that the substantial costs associated with the current hydrogen industry can be effectively subsidized via the implementation of proposed business models. When the carbon emission price falls within the range of approximately 86–105 USD/ton free access to hydrogen becomes a viable option for end-users. This highlights the significance and promising potential of the proposed business models within the green hydrogen credit framework.
Clean Hydrogen Roadmap: Is Greater Realism Leading to more Credible Paths Forward?
Sep 2023
Publication
"The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies started researching the role of hydrogen in the energy transition in 2020. Since then the interest in hydrogen has continued to grow globally across the energy industry. A key research question has been the extent to which clean hydrogen can be scaled up at reasonable cost and whether it can play a significant role in the global energy system. In April 2022 OIES launched a new Hydrogen Research Programme under the overarching theme of ’building business cases for a hydrogen economy’. This overarching theme was selected based on the observation that most clean hydrogen developments to date had been relatively small-scale pilot or demonstration projects typically funded by government grants or subsidies. For clean hydrogen to play a significant role there will need to be business cases developed in order to attract the many hundreds of billions of dollars of investment required most of which will need to come from the private sector albeit ultimately underpinned by government-backed decarbonisation policies. Just over a year has passed since the start of the Hydrogen Research Programme and the intention of this paper is to pull together key themes which have emerged from the research so far and which can form a useful framework for further research both by OIES and others.<br/>The six key themes in this paper listed below are intended to create a framework to at least start to address the challenges:<br/>Hydrogen is in competition with other decarbonisation alternatives.<br/>The business case for clean hydrogen relies on government policy to drive decarbonisation.<br/>It is essential to understand emissions associated with potential hydrogen investments.<br/>Hydrogen investments need to consider the full value chain and its geopolitics.<br/>Transport of hydrogen is expensive and so should be minimised.<br/>Storage of hydrogen is an essential part of the value chain and requires more focus.
Hydrogen as an Energy Carrier—An Overview over Technology, Status, and Challenges in Germany
Dec 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is set to become an important energy carrier in Germany in the next decades in the country’s quest to reach the target of climate neutrality by 2045. To meet Germany’s potential green hydrogen demand of up to 587 to 1143 TWh by 2045 electrolyser capacities between 7 and 71 GW by 2030 and between 137 to 275 GW by 2050 are required. Presently the capacities for electrolysis are small (around 153 MW) and even with an increase in electrolysis capacity of >1 GW per year Germany will still need to import large quantities of hydrogen to meet its future demand. This work examines the expected green hydrogen demand in different sectors describes the available technologies and highlights the current situation and challenges that need to be addressed in the next years to reach Germany’s climate goals with regard to scaling up production infrastructure development and transport as well as developing the demand for green hydrogen.
Developing Hydrogen Strategies for Fossil Fuel Exporting Countries Under Uncertainty: The Case of Qatar
Mar 2025
Publication
The economies of fossil fuel exporters are threatened by global efforts to transition away from using unabated fossil fuels. Producing clean hydrogen for export or domestic use in manufacturing provides a potentially major opportunity to continue exploiting their fossil fuel resources. However the substantial uncertainties affecting the future of clean hydrogen make developing hydrogen strategies complex. This paper characterizes such uncertainties and conducts an initial assessment of possible investment risks and critical decisions associated with different strategies in the case of Qatar a leading exporter of natural gas. We find that strategies mostly focused on using clean hydrogen domestically to produce clean commodities are relatively low risk; inversely becoming a leading exporter of clean hydrogen substantially increases investment risks. Also irrespective of the strategy higher investment is required in the early years suggesting that once a strategy is chosen changing path may prove difficult.
Hydrogen, A Less Disruptive Pathway for Domestic Heat? Exploratory Findings from Public Perception Research
Aug 2023
Publication
The disruption associated with heat decarbonisation has been identified as a key opportunity for hydrogen technologies in temperate countries and regions where established distribution infrastructure and familiarity with natural gas boilers predominate. A key element of such claims is the empirically untested belief that citizens will prefer to minimise disruption and perceive hydrogen to be less disruptive than the network upgrades and retrofit measures needed to support electric and other low carbon heating technologies. This article reports on exploratory deliberative research with residents of Cardiff Wales which examined public perceptions of heating disruptions. Our findings suggest that concerns over public responses to disruption may be overstated particularly as they relate to construction and road excavation for network upgrade. Disruptions arising from permanent changes to building fabric may be more problematic for heat pump retrofit however these may be greatly overshadowed by anxieties over the cost implications of moving to hydrogen fuel. Furthermore the biographical patterning of citizen preferences raises significant questions for hydrogen roll-out strategies relying on regionalised network conversion. We conclude by arguing that far from a non-disruptive alternative to electrification hydrogen risks being seen as posing substantial disruptions to precarious household finances and lifestyles.
Comprehensive Review of Development and Applications of Hydrogen Energy Technologies in China for Carbon Neutrality: Technology Advances and Challenges
Jul 2024
Publication
Concerning the transition from a carbon-based energy economy to a renewable energy economy hydrogen is considered an essential energy carrier for efficient and broad energy systems in China in the near future. China aims to gradually replace fossil fuel-based power generation with renewable energy technologies to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. This ambitious undertaking will involve building an industrial production chain spanning the production storage transportation and utilisation of hydrogen energy by 2030 (when China’s carbon peak will be reached). This review analyses the current status of technological R&D in China’s hydrogen energy industry. Based on published data in the open literature we compared the costs and carbon emissions for grey blue and green hydrogen production. The primary challenges concerning hydrogen transportation and storage are highlighted in this study. Given that primary carbon emissions in China are a result of power generation using fossil fuels we provide an overview of the advances in hydrogen-to-power industry technology R&D including hydrogen-related power generation technology hydrogen fuel cells hydrogen internal combustion engines hydrogen gas turbines and catalytic hydrogen combustion using liquid hydrogen carriers (e.g. ammonia methanol and ethanol).
Route-to-Market Strategy for Low-carbon Hydrogen from Natural Gas in the Permian Basin
Aug 2023
Publication
This paper investigates the untapped potential of the Permian Basin a multifaceted energy axis in Texas and adjoining states in the emerging era of decarbonization. Aligned with current policy directives on regional hydrogen hubs this study explores the viability of developing a hydrogen energy hub in the Permian Basin thereby producing low-carbon intensity hydrogen from natural gas in the Basin and transporting it to the Greater Houston area. Diverging from existing literature this study provides an integrated techno-economic evaluation of the entire hydrogen value chain in the Permian Basin encompassing production storage and transportation. Furthermore it comparatively analyzes the scenario of interest against an optimized base scenario thereby underlining comparative advantages and disadvantages. The paper concludes that the delivered cost of Permian based low-carbon intensity hydrogen to the Greater Houston area is $1.85/kg benchmarked to the scenario with hydrogen produced close to the Greater Houston area and delivered at $1.42/kg. Our findings reveal that Permian-based low-carbon intensity hydrogen production can achieve cost savings in feedstock ($0.25/kg) and potentially accrue a higher production tax credit due to a shorter gas supply chain to production ($0.33/kg). Nevertheless a significant cost barrier is the expense of long-haul pipeline transport ($0.90/kg) from the Permian Basin to Houston as opposed to local production. Despite the obstacles the study identifies a potential breakeven solution where increasing the production scale to at least 412000 metric ton per year (about 3 steam reforming plants) in the Permian Basin can effectively lower costs in the transport sector. Hence a scaled-up production can mitigate the cost difference and establish the Permian Basin as a competitive player in the hydrogen market. In conclusion a SWOT analysis presents Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats associated with Permian-based hydrogen production.
An Assessment Methodology for International Hydrogen Competitiveness: Seven Case Studies Compared
Jun 2024
Publication
Currently the global energy structure is undergoing a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources with the hydrogen economy playing a pivotal role. Hydrogen is not only an important energy carrier needed to achieve the global goal of energy conservation and emission reduction it represents a key object of the future international energy trade. As hydrogen trade expands nations are increasingly allocating resources to enhance the international competitiveness of their respective hydrogen industries. This paper introduces an index that can be used to evaluate international hydrogen competitiveness and elucidate the most competitive countries in the hydrogen trade. To calculate the competitiveness scores of seven major prospective hydrogen market participants we employed the entropy weight method. This method considers five essential factors: potential resources economic and financial base infrastructure government support and institutional environment and technological feasibility. The results indicate that the USA and Australia exhibit the highest composite indices. These findings can serve as a guide for countries in formulating suitable policies and strategies to bolster the development and international competitiveness of their respective hydrogen industries.
Techno-economic-environmental Assessment of Green Hydrogen and Ammonia Synthesis Using Solar and Wind Resources for Three Selected Sites in Egypt
Sep 2024
Publication
The primary motivation of the present study is to mitigate the severe impact of ongoing energy resource shortages while offering clean and sustainable energy carriers such as hydrogen and ammonia. The present system mainly encompasses water splitting and the Haber-Bosch (HB) processes for green hydrogen and ammonia synthesis using solar and wind power respectively. Pointwise quantification analyses are conducted to quantify the power hydrogen and ammonia as well as the economic parameters specifically the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) and levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA). This analysis is based on meteorological data from three sites in Egypt considering the specific water and nitrogen requirements for hydrogen and ammonia synthesis respectively. Furthermore carbon dioxide mitigation from solar and wind systems is estimated. These respective sites are Jarjoub on the coastlines of the Mediterranean Sea and Ain Sokhna and Jabal Al-Zait on the coastlines of the Red Sea. The results indicate that the lowest values of LCOE LCOH and LCOA are 12.58 $/MWh 1.91 $/kg H2 and 396.1 $/Ton NH3 respectively which were attained using solar resources at Ain Sokhna geographical site at the Red Sea. Besides Jarjoub which is located in the Mediterranean Sea could attain LCOH of 2.15 $/kg which is still a promising option due to its export potential to Europe. However the use of wind resources is incompetent for solar counterparts in the respective sites; their potential application in Egypt is still promising. The results demonstrate that Jabal Al-Zait stands as a favorable location for green power hydrogen and ammonia synthesis using wind resources which has LCOE LCOH and LCOA of 23.67 $/MWh 2.75 $/kg H2 and 547.8 $/Ton NH3 respectively.
Integration of Renewable-Energy-Based Green Hydrogen into the Energy Future
Sep 2023
Publication
There is a growing interest in green hydrogen with researchers institutions and countries focusing on its development efficiency improvement and cost reduction. This paper explores the concept of green hydrogen and its production process using renewable energy sources in several leading countries including Australia the European Union India Canada China Russia the United States South Korea South Africa Japan and other nations in North Africa. These regions possess significant potential for “green” hydrogen production supporting the transition from fossil fuels to clean energy and promoting environmental sustainability through the electrolysis process a common method of production. The paper also examines the benefits of green hydrogen as a future alternative to fossil fuels highlighting its superior environmental properties with zero net greenhouse gas emissions. Moreover it explores the potential advantages of green hydrogen utilization across various industrial commercial and transportation sectors. The research suggests that green hydrogen can be the fuel of the future when applied correctly in suitable applications with improvements in production and storage techniques as well as enhanced efficiency across multiple domains. Optimization strategies can be employed to maximize efficiency minimize costs and reduce environmental impact in the design and operation of green hydrogen production systems. International cooperation and collaborative efforts are crucial for the development of this technology and the realization of its full benefits.
The Long Term Price Elastic Demand of Hydrogen - A Multi-model Analysis for Germany
May 2024
Publication
Hydrogen and its derivatives are important components to achieve climate policy goals especially in terms of greenhouse gas neutrality. There is an ongoing controversial debate about the applications in which hydrogen and its derivatives should be used and to what extent. Typically the estimation of hydrogen demand relies on scenario-based analyses with varying underlying assumptions and targets. This study establishes a new framework consisting of existing energy system simulation and optimisation models in order to assess the long-term price-elastic demand of hydrogen. The aim of this work is to shift towards an analysis of the hydrogen demand that is primarily driven by its price. This is done for the case of Germany because of the expected high hydrogen demand for the years 2025–2045. 15 wholesale price pathways were established with final prices in 2045 between 56 €/MWh and 182 €/MWh. The results suggest that – if climate targets are to be achieved - even with high hydrogen prices (252 €/MWh in 2030 and 182 €/MWh in 2045) a significant hydrogen demand in the industry sector and the energy conversion sector is expected to emerge (318 TWh). Furthermore the energy conversion sector has a large share of price sensitive hydrogen demand and therefore its demand strongly increases with lower prices. The road transportation sector will only play a small role in terms of hydrogen demand if prices are low. In the decentralised heating for buildings no relevant demand will be seen over the considered price ranges whereas the centralised supply of heat via heat grids increases as prices fall.
A Brief on Nano-Based Hydrogen Energy Transition
Sep 2023
Publication
Considering the clean renewable and ecologically friendly characteristics of hydrogen gas as well as its high energy density hydrogen energy is thought to be the most potent contender to locally replace fossil fuels. The creation of a sustainable energy system is currently one of the critical industrial challenges and electrocatalytic hydrogen evolution associated with appropriate safe storage techniques are key strategies to implement systems based on hydrogen technologies. The recent progress made possible through nanotechnology incorporation either in terms of innovative methods of hydrogen storage or production methods is a guarantee of future breakthroughs in energy sustainability. This manuscript addresses concisely and originally the importance of including nanotechnology in both green electroproduction of hydrogen and hydrogen storage in solid media. This work is mainly focused on these issues and eventually intends to change beliefs that hydrogen technologies are being imposed only for reasons of sustainability and not for the intrinsic value of the technology itself. Moreover nanophysics and nano-engineering have the potential to significantly change the paradigm of conventional hydrogen technologies.
The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity: Techno-economic Methodology
Apr 2024
Publication
This report outlines the methods and assumptions used in the hydrogen technology market analysis. The results of the analysis are presented in The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity and the supporting report Hydrogen technology roadmaps. They include forecasts for the following market data:
○ Global hydrogen economy The overall size of the global hydrogen economy in 2023 2030 and 2050.
○ Global and UK hydrogen technology market by technology family
This is the proportion of the total future hydrogen economy attributable to hydrogen-related technologies in 2023 2030 and 2050. The hydrogen economy is defined as the ‘end-to-end’ value created from hydrogen production storage & distribution and use. This includes the direct economic value associated with production and distribution of hydrogen as a fuel or chemical feedstock hydrogen infrastructure technologies products services and the indirect economic value created through products and services that indirectly support the use of hydrogen in industry transport power generation and heating. This endto-end definition of the hydrogen economy is represented in Figure 1 overleaf.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
○ Global hydrogen economy The overall size of the global hydrogen economy in 2023 2030 and 2050.
○ Global and UK hydrogen technology market by technology family
This is the proportion of the total future hydrogen economy attributable to hydrogen-related technologies in 2023 2030 and 2050. The hydrogen economy is defined as the ‘end-to-end’ value created from hydrogen production storage & distribution and use. This includes the direct economic value associated with production and distribution of hydrogen as a fuel or chemical feedstock hydrogen infrastructure technologies products services and the indirect economic value created through products and services that indirectly support the use of hydrogen in industry transport power generation and heating. This endto-end definition of the hydrogen economy is represented in Figure 1 overleaf.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
Hydrogen Revolution in Europe: Bibliometric Review of Industrial Hydrogen Applications for a Sustainable Future
Jul 2024
Publication
Industrial applications of hydrogen are key to the transition towards a sustainable lowcarbon economy. Hydrogen has the potential to decarbonize industrial sectors that currently rely heavily on fossil fuels. Hydrogen with its unique and versatile properties has several in-industrial applications that are fundamental for sustainability and energy efficiency such as the following: (i) chemical industry; (ii) metallurgical sector; (iii) transport; (iv) energy sector; and (v) agrifood sector. The development of a bibliometric analysis of industrial hydrogen applications in Europe is crucial to understand and guide developments in this emerging field. Such an analysis can identify research trends collaborations between institutions and countries and the areas of greatest impact and growth. By examining the scientific literature and comparing it with final hydrogen consumption in different regions of Europe the main actors and technologies that are driving innovation in industrial hydrogen use on the continent can be identified. The results obtained allow for an assessment of the knowledge gaps and technological challenges that need to be addressed to accelerate the uptake of hydrogen in various industrial sectors. This is essential to guide future investments and public policies towards strategic areas that maximize the economic and environmental impact of industrial hydrogen applications in Europe.
Cost of Green Hydrogen
Sep 2024
Publication
Acting in accordance with the requirements of the 2015 Paris Agreement Poland as well as other European Union countries have committed to achieving climate neutrality by 2050. One of the solutions to reduce emissions of harmful substances into the environment is the implementation of large-scale hydrogen technologies. This article presents the cost of producing green hydrogen produced using an alkaline electrolyzer with electricity supplied from a photovoltaic farm. The analysis was performed using the Monte Carlo method and for baseline assumptions including an electricity price of 0.053 EUR/kWh the cost of producing green hydrogen was 5.321 EUR/kgH2 . In addition this article presents a sensitivity analysis showing the impact of the electricity price before and after the energy crisis and other variables on the cost of green hydrogen production. The large change occurring in electricity prices (from 0.035 EUR/kWh to 0.24 EUR/kWh) significantly affected the levelized cost of green hydrogen (LCOH) which could change by up to 14 EUR/kgH2 in recent years. The results of the analysis showed that the parameters that successively have the greatest impact on the cost of green hydrogen production are the operating time of the plant and the unit capital expenditure. The development of green hydrogen production facilities along with the scaling of technology in the future can reduce the cost of its production.
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