Policy & Socio-Economics
Green Hydrogen Cost-potentials for Global Trade
May 2023
Publication
Green hydrogen is expected to be traded globally in future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems. However there is still a lack of temporally- and spatially-explicit cost-potentials for green hydrogen considering the full process chain which are necessary for creating effective global strategies. Therefore this study provides such detailed cost-potentialcurves for 28 selected countries worldwide until 2050 using an optimizing energy systems approach based on open-field photovoltaics (PV) and onshore wind. The results reveal huge hydrogen potentials (>1500 PWhLHV/a) and 79 PWhLHV/a at costs below 2.30 EUR/kg in 2050 dominated by solar-rich countries in Africa and the Middle East. Decentralized PVbased hydrogen production even in wind-rich countries is always preferred. Supplying sustainable water for hydrogen production is needed while having minor impact on hydrogen cost. Additional costs for imports from democratic regions are only total 7% higher. Hence such regions could boost the geostrategic security of supply for greenhouse gas neutral energy systems.
The Effects of Hydrogen Research and Innovation on International Hydrogen Trade
Feb 2024
Publication
Climate change and the pressure to decarbonize as well as energy security concerns have drawn the attention of policymakers and the industry to hydrogen energy. To advance the hydrogen economy at a global scale research and innovation progress is of significant importance among others. However previous studies have provided only limited quantitative evidence of the effects of research and innovation on the formation of a global hydrogen market. Instead they postulate rather than empirically support this relationship. Therefore this study analyzes the effects of research and innovation measured by scientific publications patents and standards on bilateral hydrogen trade flows for 32 countries between 1995 and 2019 in a gravity model of trade using regression analyses and Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation. The main results of the PPML estimation show that research and innovation progress is indeed associated with increased trade especially with patenting and (international) standardization enhancing hydrogen export volumes. As policy implications we derive that increased public R&D funding can help increase the competitiveness of hydrogen energy and boost market growth along with infrastructure support and harmonized standards and regulations.
Hydrogen and the Global Energy Transition—Path to Sustainability and Adoption across All Economic Sectors
Feb 2024
Publication
This perspective article delves into the critical role of hydrogen as a sustainable energy carrier in the context of the ongoing global energy transition. Hydrogen with its potential to decarbonize various sectors has emerged as a key player in achieving decarbonization and energy sustainability goals. This article provides an overview of the current state of hydrogen technology its production methods and its applications across diverse industries. By exploring the challenges and opportunities associated with hydrogen integration we aim to shed light on the pathways toward achieving a sustainable hydrogen economy. Additionally the article underscores the need for collaborative efforts among policymakers industries and researchers to overcome existing hurdles and unlock the full potential of hydrogen in the transition to a low-carbon future. Through a balanced analysis of the present landscape and future prospects this perspective article aims to contribute valuable insights to the discourse surrounding hydrogen’s role in the global energy transition.
China and Italy’s Energy Development Trajectories: Current Landscapes and Future Cooperation Potential
Feb 2024
Publication
In order to achieve the ambitious goal of “carbon neutrality” countries around the world are striving to develop clean energy. Against this background this paper takes China and Italy as representatives of developing and developed countries to summarize the energy structure composition and development overview of the two countries. The paper analyzes the serious challenges facing the future energy development of both countries and investigates the possibilities of energy cooperation between the two countries taking into account their respective advantages in energy development. By comparing the policies issued by the two governments to encourage clean energy development this paper analyzes the severe challenges faced by the two countries’ energy development in the future and combines their respective energy development advantages to look forward to the possibility of energy cooperation between the two countries in the future. This lays the foundation for China and Italy to build an “Energy Road” after the “Silk Road”.
Feasibility of Scaling Up the Cost-Competitive and Clean Electrolytic Hydrogen Supply in China
May 2024
Publication
Scaling up clean hydrogen supply in the near future is critical to achieving China’s hydrogen development target. This study established an electrolytic hydrogen development mechanism considering the generation mix and operation optimization of power systems with access to hydrogen. Based on the incremental cost principle we quantified the provincial and national clean hydrogen production cost performance levels in 2030. The results indicated that this mechanism could effectively reduce the production cost of clean hydrogen in most provinces with a national average value of less than 2 USD·kg−1 at the 40-megaton hydrogen supply scale. Provincial cooperation via power transmission lines could further reduce the production cost to 1.72 USD·kg−1. However performance is affected by the potential distribution of hydrogen demand. From the supply side competitiveness of the mechanism is limited to clean hydrogen production while from the demand side it could help electrolytic hydrogen fulfil a more significant role. This study could provide a solution for the ambitious development of renewables and the hydrogen economy in China.
Data Hub for Life Cycle Assessment of Climate Change Solutions—Hydrogen Case Study
Nov 2024
Publication
Life cycle assessment which evaluates the complete life cycle of a product is considered the standard methodological framework to evaluate the environmental performance of climate change solutions. However significant challenges exist related to datasets used to quantify these environmental indicators. Although extensive research and commercial data on climate change technologies pathways and facilities exist they are not readily available to practitioners of life cycle assessment in the right format and structure using an open platform. In this study we propose a new open data hub platform for life cycle assessment considering a hierarchical data flow starting with raw data collected on climate change technologies at laboratory pilot demonstration or commercial scales to provide the information required for policy and decision-making. This platform makes data accessible at multiple levels for practitioners of life cycle assessment while making data interoperable across platforms. The proposed data hub platform and workflow are explained through the polymer electrolyte membrane electrolysis hydrogen production as a case study. The climate change environment impact of 1.17 ± 0.03 kg CO2 eq./kg H2 was calculated for the case study. The current data hub platform is limited to evaluating environmental impacts; however future additions of economic and social aspects are envisaged.
Hydrogen's Potential and Policy Pathways for Indonesia's Energy Transition: The Actor-network Analysis
Mar 2025
Publication
This research examines potential uses of hydrogen as an alternative energy source in Indonesia. Hydrogen presents a more environmentally friendly energy alternative with markedly reduced greenhouse gas emissions leading the Indonesian government to align its interests with the worldwide excitement for hydrogen-based energy transitions within the sustainable development context. Nevertheless despite its intriguing potential as an alternative fuel for transportation industry and power generation pilot programs have demonstrated that hydrogen energy remains expensive and demands substantial advancements in technology. This study used a qualitative methodology incorporating documentary analysis semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions within the actor-network theory framework aimed to investigate the current positioning of hydrogen energy in Indonesia’s policy pathways and to examine its potential and challenge. The findings indicate two primary insights: firstly Indonesia’s energy transformation is presently centered on formulating action plans and regulatory frameworks with hydrogen seen as one of the proposed alternatives. The investigation of hydrogen’s current progress through the actor-network theory framework has yielded two separate actor networks: the proponent network consisting of the national government and the national oil company and the opposing network which encompasses academics businesses and industries.
The Role of Hydrogen in the Energy Transition of the Oil and Gas Industry
May 2024
Publication
Hydrogen primarily produced from steam methane reforming plays a crucial role in oil refining and provides a solution for the oil and gas industry's long-term energy transition by reducing CO2 emissions. This paper examines hydrogen’s role in this transition. Firstly experiences from oil and gas exploration including in-situ gasification can be leveraged for hydrogen production from subsurface natural hydrogen reservoirs. The produced hydrogen can serve as fuel for generating steam and heat for thermal oil recovery. Secondly hydrogen can be blended into gas for pipeline transportation and used as an alternative fuel for oil and gas hauling trucks. Additionally hydrogen can be stored underground in depleted gas fields. Lastly oilfield water can be utilized for hydrogen production using geothermal energy from subsurface oil and gas fields. Scaling up hydrogen production faces challenges such as shared use of oil and gas infrastructures increased carbon tax for promoting blue hydrogen and the introduction of financial incentives for hydrogen production and consumption hydrogen leakage prevention and detection.
The Role of Hydrogen in the Energy Mix: A Scenario Analysis for Turkey Using OSeMOSYS
Dec 2024
Publication
The urgent need to tackle climate change drives the research on new technologies to help the transition of energy systems. Hydrogen is under significant consideration by many countries as a means to reach zero-carbon goals. Turkey has also started to develop hydrogen projects. In this study the role of hydrogen in Turkey’s energy system is assessed through energy modeling using the cost optimization analytical tool Open Source Energy Modelling System (OSeMOSYS). The potential effects of hydrogen blending into the natural gas network in the Turkish energy system have been displayed by scenario development. The hydrogen is produced via electrolysis using renewable electricity. As a result by using hydrogen a significant reduction in carbon dioxide emissions was observed; however the accumulated capital investment value increased. Furthermore it was shown that hydrogen has the potential to reduce Turkey’s energy import dependency by decreasing natural gas demand.
An Overview of Hydrogen’s Application for Energy Purposes in Lithuania
Nov 2023
Publication
Hydrogen has emerged as a promising climate-neutral energy carrier able to facilitate the processes of the European Union (EU) energy transition. Green hydrogen production through the electrolysis process has gained increasing interest recently for application in various sectors of the economy. As a result of the increasing renewable energy developments in the EU hydrogen is seen as one of the most promising solutions for energy storage challenges; therefore the leading countries in the energy sector are heavily investing in research of the technical obstacles for hydrogen applications and assessment of the current hydrogen market which in turn leads to the acceleration of the upscaling of hydrogen production. The main objective of this article was to provide a comprehensive overview of various green hydrogen production transportation and industrial application technologies and challenges in Europe with a separate analysis of the situation in Lithuania. Various water electrolysis technologies and their production costs are investigated along with recent developments in storage and transportation solutions. In addition the performances and limitations of electrochemical processes are presented and analysed research trends in the field are discussed and possible solutions for performance and cost improvements are overviewed. This paper proposes a discussion of perspectives in terms of future applications and research directions.
Green Hydrogen and its Unspoken Challenges for Energy Justice
Oct 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is often promoted as a key facilitator for the clean energy transition but its implementation raises concerns around energy justice. This paper examines the socio-political and techno-economic challenges that green hydrogen projects may pose to the three tenets of energy justice: distributive procedural and recognition justice. From a socio-political perspective the risk of neocolonial resource extraction uneven distribution of benefits exclusion of local communities from decision-making and disregard for indigenous rights and cultures threaten all three justice tenets. Techno-economic factors such as water scarcity land disputes and resource-related conflicts in potential production hotspots further jeopardise distributive and recognition justice. The analysis framed by an adapted PEST model reveals that while green hydrogen holds promise for sustainable development its implementation must proactively address these justice challenges. Failure to do so could perpetuate injustices exploitation and marginalisation of vulnerable communities undermining the sustainability goals it aims to achieve. The paper highlights the need for inclusive and equitable approaches that respect local sovereignty integrate diverse stakeholders and ensure fair access and benefit-sharing. Only by centring justice considerations can the transition to green hydrogen catalyse positive social change and realise its full potential as a driver of sustainable energy systems.
Overview and Prospects of Low-emissions Hydrogen (H2) Energy Systems: Roadmap for a Sustainable H2 Economy
Jul 2024
Publication
Hydrogen (2 ) has a big role to play in energy transition to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. For 2 to compete with other fuels in the energy market more research is required to mitigate key issues like greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions safety and end-use costs. For these reasons a software-supported technical overview of 2 production storage transportation and utilisation is introduced. Drawbacks and mitigation approaches for 2 technologies were highlighted. The recommended areas include solar thermal or renewable-powered plasma systems for feedstock preheating and oxy-hydrogen combustion to meet operating temperatures and heat duties due to losses; integration of electrolysis of 2 into hydrocarbon reforming methods to replace air separation unit (ASU); use of renewable power sources for electrical units and the introduction of thermoelectric units to maximise the overall efficiency. Furthermore a battolyser system for small-scale energy storage; new synthetic hydrides with lower absorption and desorption energy; controlled parameters and steam addition to the combustor/cylinder and combustors with fitted heat exchangers to reduce emissions and improve the overall efficiency are also required. This work also provided detailed information on any of these systems implementations based on location factors and established a roadmap for 2 production and utilisation. The proposed 2 production technologies are hybrid pyrolysis-electrolysis and integrated AD-MEC and DR systems using renewable bioelectrochemical and low-carbon energy systems. Production and utilisation of synthetic natural gas (NG) using renewablepowered electrolysis of 2 oxy-fuel and direct air capture (DAC) is another proposed 2 energy system for a sustainable 2 economy. By providing these factors and information researchers can work towards pilot development and further efficiency enhancement.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: "Stat of the Union" with EAH Hosts
May 2024
Publication
This week’s episode is a discussion between EAH hosts Patrick Molloy Alicia Eastman and Chris Jackson. The team cover the current status of hydrogen regulation innovation financing markets and consolidation. Hanging over most conversations in the decarbonization or future fuels space is the perpetual question: When will investors actually step up with significant capital to help companies make it through the development desert instead of letting promising companies languish in the double dunes of despair? There has been a lot of talk but not a lot of action. Listen to the team unpack recent developments and hopes for the future.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Stakeholder Perspectives on the Scale-up of Green Hydrogen and Electrolyzers
Nov 2023
Publication
Green hydrogen is a promising alternative to fossil fuels. However current production capacities for electrolyzers and green hydrogen are not in line with national political goals and projected demand. Considering these issues we conducted semi-structured interviews to determine the narratives of different stakeholders during this transformation as well as challenges and opportunities for the green hydrogen value chain. We interviewed eight experts with different roles along the green hydrogen value chain ranging from producers and consumers of green hydrogen to electrolyzer manufacturers and consultants as well as experts from the political sphere. Most experts see the government as necessary for scale-up by setting national capacity targets policy support and providing subsidies. However the experts also accuse the governments of delaying development through overregulation and long implementation times for regulations. The main challenges that were identified are the current lack of renewable electricity and demand for green hydrogen. Demand for green hydrogen is influenced by supply costs which partly depend on prices for electrolyzers. However one key takeaway of the interviews is the skeptical assessments by the experts on the currently discussed estimates for price reduction potential of electrolyzers. While demand supply and prices are all factors that influence each other they result in feedback loops in investment decisions for the energy and manufacturing industries. A second key takeaway is that according to the experts current investment decisions in new production capacities are not solely dependent on short-term financial gains but also based on expected first mover advantages. These include experience and market share which are seen as factors for opportunities for future financial gains. Summarized the results present several challenges and opportunities for green hydrogen and electrolyzers and how to address them effectively. These insights contribute to a deeper understanding of the dynamics of the emerging green hydrogen value chain.
Optimizing Green Hydrogen Strategies in Tunisia: A Combined SWOT-MCDM Approach
Oct 2024
Publication
Tunisia's rapid industrial expansion and population growth have created a pressing energy deficit despite the country's significant yet largely untapped renewable energy potential. This study addressed this challenge by developing a comprehensive framework to identify and evaluate strategies for promoting green hydrogen production from renewable energy sources in Tunisia. A Strength Weakness Opportunity and Threat (SWOT) analysis incorporating social economic and environmental dimensions was conducted to formulate potential solutions. The Step-wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) method facilitated the weighting of SWOT factors and subfactors. Subsequently a multi-criteria decision-making approach employing the gray technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS-G) method (validated by gray additive ratio assessment (ARAS-G) gray complex proportional assessment (COPRAS-G) and gray multi-objective optimization by ratio analysis (MOORA-G) was used to rank the identified strategies. The SWOT analysis revealed "Strengths" as the most influential factor with a relative weight of 47.3% followed by "Weaknesses" (26.5%) "Threats" (15.6%) and "Opportunities" (10.6%). Specifically experts emphasized Tunisia's renewable energy potential (21.89%) and robust power system (12.11%) as primary strengths. Conversely high investment costs (11.2%) and political instability (7.77%) posed substantial threat. Positive socio-economic impacts represented a key opportunity with a score of 5.2%. As for the strategies prioritizing criteria production cost ranked first with a score of 13.5% followed by environmental impact (12.8%) renewable energy potential (12.0%) and mitigation costs (11.3%). The gray TOPSIS analysis identified two key strategies: leveraging Tunisia's wind and solar resources and fostering regional cooperation for project implementation. The robustness of these strategies is confirmed by the strong correlation between TOPSIS-G ARAS-G COPRAS-G and MOORA-G results. Overall the study provides a comprehensive roadmap and expert-informed decision-support tools offering valuable insights for policymakers investors and stakeholders in Tunisia and other emerging economies facing similar energy challenges.
Hydrogen as a Panacea for Decarbonising Everything? Exploring Contested Hydrogen Pathways in Germany
Oct 2023
Publication
Technological change is often seen as part of the solution to problems of global sustainability. A wide-ranging literature on how path dependent—often fossil fuel-based—socio-technical configurations can be overcome by more sustainable configurations has emerged over the last two decades. One potential transition pathway to transform electricity heat and mobility systems as well as industrial production is the use of hydrogen. In recent years hydrogen has received increasing attention as part of decarbonisation strategies in many countries as well as by international organisations such as the International Energy Agency or the International Renewable Energy Agency. Also in Germany it has become a central component of climate change policy and is seen by some actors almost as a kind of panacea where the use of hydrogen is expected to decarbonise a wide range of sectors. Policy makers have the ambition for Germany to become a leader in hydrogen development and therefore help to contribute to what Grubler called ‘grand patterns of technological change’. The aim of this paper is to analyse whether relevant actors share expectations for transition pathways based on hydrogen which would foster wide diffusion. Our empirical analysis shows that there are multiple contested pathways both in terms of how hydrogen is produced as well as in which applications or sectors it is to be used. This causes uncertainty and slows down hydrogen developments in Germany. We contribute to an emerging literature on the politics of contested transition pathways and also critically engage with Grubler’s ‘grand patterns’ argument. Results support the idea that the concept of socio-technical pathways allows to expose tensions between competing values and interests. The German government is under considerable pressure regarding competing visions on hydrogen transition pathways. A targeted political prioritisation of hydrogen applications could mitigate tensions and support a shared vision.
Hydrogen Europe Podcast Episode 5 - Industry & Research - Important Cooperation for H2 Sector
Dec 2023
Publication
In this podcast episode Hydrogen Europe CEO Jorgo Chatzimarkakis engages in a dynamic conversation with Hydrogen Europe Research President Luigi Crema. Together they delve into the crucial partnership between industry and research within the hydrogen sector. The episode explores the symbiotic relationship between innovative research initiatives and practical industry applications shedding light on how collaboration fosters advancements in hydrogen technology.
Impact of Green Hydrogen on Climate Change in Peru: An Analysis of Perception, Policies, and Cooperation
Oct 2024
Publication
This research analyzed the impact of green hydrogen (GH) on the dynamics of combating climate change (CC) in Peru for the year 2024 contributing to Sustainable Development Goal 7 focused on affordable and clean energy. The study quantitative and non-experimental in nature used a cross-sectional design and focused on a sample composed of public and private sector officials energy experts and academics evaluating their perception and knowledge about GH and its application in climate policies. The data collection instrument showed good internal consistency with a Cronbach’s alpha value of 0.793. The results revealed that although the adoption of GH is in its early stages it is already considered a vital component in national CC mitigation strategies. A medium positive correlation was identified using the Spearman coefficient (0.418) between GH usage and the effectiveness of mitigation policies as well as its capacity to influence public awareness and promote interinstitutional cooperation. Furthermore it was concluded that the success of GH largely depends on the strengthening of regulatory frameworks investment in infrastructure and the promotion of strategic alliances to facilitate its integration into the national energy matrix. These findings highlight the importance of continuing to develop public policies that promote the use of GH ensuring its sustainability and effectiveness in the fight against climate change in Peru.
Integration of UN Sustainable Development Goals in National Hydrogen Strategies: A Text Analysis Approach
Jan 2025
Publication
Despite the growing recognition of hydrogen’s potential role in sustainable development there is limited un derstanding of how national hydrogen strategies align with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study addresses this knowledge gap by examining the integration of the SDGs into national hydrogen strategies through text analysis. Among 66 reviewed strategic documents only 15 explicitly reference specific SDGs though SDG-related keywords are widespread particularly regarding SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and SDG 13 (Climate Action). Statistical analysis demonstrates a significant link between the presence of hydrogen strategies and both overall SDG performance and progress on most specific SDGs. However countries with hydrogen strategies show lower scores for SDGs 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production) and 13 and there are no significant differences for SDGs 10 (Reduced Inequalities) 14 (Life below Water) and 15 (Life on Land). Our findings highlight the need for more explicit integration of SDGs into hydrogen strategies and better consideration of sustainability synergies and trade-offs providing policymakers with evidence-based guidance for aligning hydrogen strategies with global sustainability objectives.
A Techno-economic Analysis of Future Hydrogen Reconversion Technologies
Jun 2024
Publication
The transformation of fossil fuel-based power generation systems towards greenhouse gas-neutral ones based on renewable energy sources is one of the key challenges facing contemporary society. The temporal volatility that accompanies the integration of renewable energy (e.g. solar radiation and wind) must be compensated to ensure that at any given time a sufficient supply of electrical energy for the demands of different sectors is available. Green hydrogen which is produced using renewable energy sources via electrolysis can be used to chemically store electrical energy on a seasonal basis. Reconversion technologies are needed to generate electricity from stored hydrogen during periods of low renewable electricity generation. This study presents a detailed technoeconomic assessment of hydrogen gas turbines. These technologies are also superior to fuel cells due to their comparatively low investment costs especially when it comes to covering the residual loads. As of today hydrogen gas turbines are only available in laboratory or small-scale settings and have no market penetration or high technology readiness level. The primary focus of this study is to analyze the effects on gas turbine component costs when hydrogen is used instead of natural gas. Based on these findings an economic analysis addressing the current state of these turbine components is conducted. A literature review on the subsystems is performed considering statements from leading manufactures and researchers to derive the cost deviations and total cost per installed capacity (€/kWel). The results reveal that a hydrogen gas turbine power plant has an expected cost increase of 8.5% compared to a conventional gas turbine one. This leads to an average cost of 542.5 €/kWel for hydrogen gas turbines. For hydrogen combined cycle power plants the expected cost increase corresponds to the cost of the gas turbine system as the steam turbine subsystem remains unaffected by fuel switching. Additionally power plant retrofit potentials were calculated and the respective costs in the case of an upgrade were estimated. For Germany as a case study for an industrialized country the potential of a possible retrofit is between 2.7 and 11.4 GW resulting to a total investment between 0.3 and 1.1 billion €.
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