Policy & Socio-Economics
Evaluating Greenhouse Gas Reduction Efficiency Through Hydrogen Ecosystem Implementation from a Life-Cycle Perspective
Nov 2025
Publication
With growing global demand for sustainable decarbonization hydrogen energy systems have emerged as a key pillar in achieving carbon neutrality. This study assesses the greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction efficiency of Republic of Korea’s hydrogen ecosystem from a life-cycle perspective focusing on production and utilization stages. Using empirical data—including the national hydrogen supply structure fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV) deployment and hydrogen power generation records the analysis compares hydrogenbased systems with conventional fossil fuel systems. Results show that current hydrogen production methods mainly by-product and reforming-based hydrogen emit an average of 6.31 kg CO2-eq per kg H2 providing modest GHG benefits over low-carbon fossil fuels but enabling up to a 77% reduction when replacing high-emission sources like anthracite. In the utilization phase grey hydrogen-fueled stationary fuel cells emit more GHGs than the national grid. By contrast FCEVs demonstrate a 58.2% GHG reduction compared to internal combustion vehicles with regional variability. Importantly this study omits the distribution phase (storage and transport) due to data heterogeneity and a lack of reliable datasets which limits the comprehensiveness of the LCA. Future research should incorporate sensitivity or scenario-based analyses such as comparisons between pipeline transport and liquefied hydrogen transport to better capture distribution-phase impacts. The study concludes that the environmental benefit of hydrogen systems is highly dependent on production pathways end-use sectors and regional conditions. Strategic deployment of green hydrogen regional optimization and the explicit integration of distribution and storage in future assessments are essential to enhancing hydrogen’s contribution to national carbon neutrality goals.
Building a Hydrogen Economy: Does France have the Industrial Capacity for a Low-carbon Transition?
Oct 2025
Publication
The energy transition towards low-carbon hydrogen (H2) in France is expected to require deep industrial planning to develop electrolysis and H2 production infrastructure. This study employs an input–output method to simulate a new sector of electrolysis-produced hydrogen (e-H2) that supplies two-hydrogen intensive sectors petroleum refining and ammonia. We construct two input–output models a demand-driven model for e-H2 sector development (the investment phase) and a mixed model for e-H2 production (the operation phase). The results demonstrate that the e-H2 sector depends on industries such as machinery electrical equipment construction and metal products manufacturing in the investment phase with strong backward linkages to the power sector in the exploitation phase. The results reveal that the energy shock (350 kt of e-H2 per year) generates significant growth (€1.3 Bn of gross domestic product) and jobs (3600) but strongly depends on industries’ capability to expand and recruit. Recommendations advise public policy development to address the need to reinforce key industries to support e-H2 production due to inter-industry dependence and the need for more attractive skilled and technician jobs in sectors that are already experiencing recruitment tensions. At much higher e-H2 shocks in the steel sector (700 kt e-H2) and other industries (415 kt e-H2) even greater amounts of domestic resources would be required. Therefore de-carbonising the entire H2 sector require ambitious policy planning to support industrial empowerment research programmes and labour training so that H2 becomes an enabling technology of the energy transition.
The Energy Transition in Colombia: Government Projections and Realistic Scenarios
Nov 2025
Publication
Energy transition is crucial for climate change mitigation and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and has been a key government focus in Colombia since 2022 which must carefully consider its energy roadmap. This study evaluates three potential scenarios for achieving nearly 100% renewable energy by 2035: replacing fossil fuels with biofuels using hydrogen for transport and industrial heat and relying entirely on renewable electricity. This paper discusses these scenarios’ technical economic and social challenges including the need for substantial investments in renewable energy technologies and energy storage systems to replace fossil fuels. The discussion highlights the importance of balancing energy security environmental concerns and economic growth while addressing social priorities such as poverty eradication and access to healthcare and education. The results show that while the Colombian government’s energy transition goals are commendable a rapid energy transition requires 4 to 8 times the government’s projected 34 billion USD investment making it economically unfeasible. Notably focusing on wind photovoltaic and green hydrogen systems which need storage is too costly. Furthermore replacing fossil fuels in transport is impractical though increasing biofuel production could partially substitute fossil fuels. Less energy-intensive alternatives like trains and waterway transport should be considered to reduce energy demand and carbon footprint.
Green Hydrogen Market and Green Cryptocurrencies: A Dynamic Correlation Analysis
Nov 2025
Publication
The urgent need to mitigate climate change has elevated green hydrogen as a sustainable alternative to fossil fuels while green cryptocurrencies have emerged to address the environmental concerns of traditional cryptocurrency mining. This study investigates the dynamic correlation between the green hydrogen market and selected green cryptocurrencies (Cardano Stellar Hedera Algorand and Chia) from July 2021 to April 2024 utilizing the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (DCC-GARCH) model with robustness checks using EGARCH and GJR-GARCH specifications. Our findings reveal significant correlations with peaks reaching up to 50% in 2022 a period likely influenced by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Subsequently a decline in these correlations was observed in 2023. These results underscore the interconnectedness of sustainability-driven markets suggesting potential contagion effects during periods of global instability. The high persistence of correlation shocks (α + β values approaching unity) indicates that correlation regimes tend to be long- lasting with important implications for portfolio diversification and risk management strategies. Robustness checks using EGARCH and GJR-GARCH specifications confirmed qualitatively similar patterns reinforcing the validity of our findings into the evolving landscape of green finance and energy
Modelling a Small-scale Hydrogen Valley: Optimisation Under Techno-economic and Environmental Perspectives
Oct 2025
Publication
Renewable hydrogen is a promising pathway to decarbonise hard-to-electrify sectors though its widespread deployment remains hindered by economic challenges. Hydrogen valleys integrated regional systems have emerged as a strategic solution to scale up hydrogen infrastructure and demand. This study assesses the technoeconomic feasibility of a hydrogen valley in southeastern Crete based on the CRAVE-H2 project using a MixedInteger Linear Programming (MILP) optimisation model. The system serves multiple end-uses: touristic fuel cell buses and a vessel as well as cold ironing for ships at berth. In addition to renewable generators electricity can be supplied via a hybrid storage system or purchased from the grid with dispatch optimised according to hourly market prices. A customised modelling framework is developed within PyPSA using the Linopy extension enabling the inclusion of piecewise affine approximations of non-linear performance curves for electrolysers and fuel cells alongside operating range constraints. Hydrogen leakage is also explicitly modelled to assess its environmental and economic implications. The model delivers optimal component sizing energy dispatch strategies and key performance metrics including Levelised Cost Of Hydrogen (LCOH) aggregated Levelised Cost Of Energy (LCOE) and carbon intensity. Most scenarios yield competitive LCOH values between 5.36 and 8.21 €/kgH2 increasing to 15 €/kgH2 under full decarbonisation due to extensive storage investments. Hydrogen emissions that may exceed 10 % of total production in worst-case scenarios become more pronounced in fully decarbonised scenarios. These findings underline the importance of emissions tracking and provide practical insights to inform the design of cost-effective low-emission hydrogen valleys.
Pathways to Green Hydrogen Production as a Sustainable Energy Solution in Kenya by 2040
Nov 2025
Publication
Given the Kenyan challenges in energy availability accessibility and affordability exploring green hydrogen as a sustainable energy solution is supreme. This study aimed to assess the potential of green hydrogen production a transformative clean energy technology and its implications for Kenya's future energy. The specific objectives were to identify the drivers of change that could accelerate green hydrogen adoption and policy recommendations. The study employed a scenario planning approach focusing on four key steps: defining the scenario and time horizon identifying drivers of change and developing and applying scenarios. The diffusion of innovation theory guided the study. Twelve key critical drivers of change were identified with societal and industry acceptance of green hydrogen and compatibility with existing energy infrastructure being the strongest drivers of change from cross-impact analysis results. The study outlined four plausible future scenarios for adoption: Successful Production (best scenario) Low Production Chaotic Transition and Rejection of Green Hydrogen Production (worst scenario). Major opportunities include advancements in hydrogen production export potential and job creation. Cost competitiveness analysis is essential comparing Kenya's hydrogen with traditional fuels and African peers. Economic models suggest that Kenya's renewable energy can lower costs enhancing its position in clean energy innovation. However critical challenges involve regulatory uncertainty ethical concerns public misconceptions about green hydrogen safety and financial barriers due to high initial investment costs. The study recommended that the Kenyan government invest in renewable energy infrastructure formulate a comprehensive national hydrogen policy and establish an enabling environment to attract private investment. In conclusion green hydrogen production stands as a strategic pillar for Kenya’s sustainable energy transition and further research should focus on strengthening regulatory frameworks and enhancing public engagement to unlock its full potential.
Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions Mitigation Potential of Existing and Planned Hydrogen Projects
Nov 2025
Publication
Hydrogen will play a critical role in decarbonizing diverse economic sectors. However given limited sustainable resources and the energy-intensive nature of its production prioritizing its applications will be essential. Here we analyse approximately 2000 (low-carbon) hydrogen projects worldwide encompassing operational and planned initiatives until 2043 quantifying their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potential from a life cycle perspective. Our results demonstrate the variability in GHG emissions of hydrogen applications depending on the geographical location and hydrogen source used. The most climate-effective hydrogen applications include steel-making biofuels and ammonia while hydrogen use for road transport power generation and domestic heating should be discouraged as more favourable alternatives exist. Planned low-carbon hydrogen projects could generate 110 MtH2 yr−1 emit approximately 0.4 GtCO2e yr−1 and potentially reduce net life cycle GHG emissions by 0.2–1.1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2043 depending on the substituted product or service. Addressing the current hydrogen implementation gap and prioritizing climate-effective applications are crucial for meeting decarbonization goals.
Sustainability-aligned Pathways for Energy Transition: A Review of Low-carbon Energy Network Solutions
Nov 2025
Publication
Transformation of the energy sector is necessary to meet climate targets and ensure universal access to reliable and affordable energy. Despite progress more than 675 million people still lack electricity and 770 million face an unreliable power supply. Renewable energy now provides nearly 30 % of global electricity generation and represents approximately 17.9 % of total final energy consumption. This amount is insufficient for the 1.5 ◦C pathway and requires a tripling of renewable capacity by 2030. Energy efficiency also lags with average annual gains of 1.6 % compared with the 4 % required for climate-aligned energy scenarios. Therefore this paper reviews pathways toward decentralized low-carbon solutions that can accelerate global energy transformation. The review paper examines how technologies such as microgrids virtual power plants energy storage systems and vehicleto-grid (V2G) solutions are reshaping modern energy systems. It highlights that digitalization smart grids and sector integration are key to building flexible and consumer-focused networks. However achieving sustainable energy access requires more than new technologies. Strong governance fair financing and social inclusion are equally important to ensure a just and balanced energy transition. Case studies from Asia Africa and Latin America show how policy innovative financing and regional cooperation can drive progress despite challenges such as underinvestment fossil fuel dependency and energy poverty. The review demonstrates that an integrated approach combining technological innovation financial mechanisms and inclusive policies can collectively build low-carbon resilient and equitable energy systems.
Competition and Equilibrium in Future Global Renewable Hydrogen Trade: A Game-theoretic Analysis
Nov 2025
Publication
Global renewable hydrogen trade is expected to play a key role in decarbonizing future energy systems. Yet hydrogen exporters may deviate from perfectly competitive behaviour to influence prices similarly to the existing fossil fuel market with important implications for consumer welfare and the pace of the energy transition. This study develops a global renewable hydrogen trade model that captures potential strategic interactions among exporters using a Stackelberg game-theoretic framework. The model is formulated as an Equilibrium Problem with Equilibrium Constraints (EPEC) and solved under three alternative equilibria: a profitmaximizing Nash equilibrium a cost-minimizing Nash equilibrium and a welfare-maximizing benchmark representing perfect competition. Results indicate that producers may strategically reduce their export quantities by up to 40 % relative to perfect competition to maximize profits. Such behaviour raises prices to a minimum of 4.5 USD/kg in 2050 across major import markets thereby significantly eroding consumer surplus. Strategic behaviour of dominant exporters also shifts trade flows reshaping the global allocation of hydrogen supply. Sensitivity analysis further reveals that financing costs play a key role in shaping strategic producers’ behaviour with lower financing costs helping to reduce prices and stimulate demand. These findings highlight the implications of imperfect competition in global hydrogen trade and suggest that policy measures may be needed to mitigate potential negative consequences.
A European Review of the Potential Role of Industrial Clusters in the Energy System When Leveraging Energy Synergies
Nov 2025
Publication
Concerns about the competitiveness of European industry led to the publication of the Draghi report. One of his recommendations is to install regional green industrial clusters around energy-intensive companies. The report identifies three benefit categories each corresponding to typical industrial symbiosis cases: improved investment cases by shared local low-carbon energy generation improved investment cases by shared infrastructure and improved energy flows for increased resource efficiency. Industrial clusters hold untapped potential to advance the energy transition and climate neutrality. However it is still unknown how and if this potential will ever be reached nor how scalable and replicable the benefits will be. This review paper aims to take a first step in exploring the potential role of industrial clusters in the energy system by exposing the research state of the art in academic literature. A literature review is performed in line with the three benefit categories according to Draghi to understand the enablers and barriers of potential synergies and their impact on the energy system. Afterwards the scalability is assessed by positioning the European industrial clusters in the larger renewable energy landscape. To illustrate the global interest a brief reflection is made on references to industrial clusters in the policy of non-European regions. The work concludes with interesting leads for future research to further advance knowledge on the importance of industrial clusters in the energy system and to stimulate the implementation of energy synergies.
Sustainable Power System Transition Pathways: Regional Decarbonisation and Resource Conservation Aided by Small Modular Reactors
Oct 2025
Publication
Clean energy technologies offer promising pathways for low-carbon transitions yet their feasibility remains uncertain particularly in rapidly developing regions. This study develops a Factorial Multi-Stochastic Optimization-driven Equilibrium (FMOE) model to assess the economic and environmental impacts of clean power deployment. Using Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) in Guangdong China as a case study the model reveals that SMRs can reduce system costs and alleviate GDP losses supporting provincial-level Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). If offshore wind capital costs fall to 40 % of SMRs’ SMR deployment may no longer be necessary after 2030. Otherwise SMRs could supply 22 % of capacity by 2040. The FMOE model provides a robust adaptable framework for evaluating emerging technologies under uncertainty and supports sustainable power planning across diverse regional contexts. This study offers valuable insights into the resource and economic implications of clean energy strategies contributing to global carbon neutrality and efficient energy system design.
Public Readiness for Hydrogen Infrastructure in Community Settings: Comparative Evidence on Attitudinal Dynamics
Oct 2025
Publication
This study presents a cross-national investigation into the drivers and psychological mechanisms shaping public perceptions and acceptance of hydrogen refuelling infrastructure located in residential proximity. Parallel survey data from Japan Spain and Norway were analysed using a multigroup comparative framework. Measurement invariance was established across the three datasets subject to minor modifications within the constructs of trust in hydrogen innovation safe housing concern and perceived usefulness. The conceptual models yielded generalisable findings across countries: negative emotions exerted a stronger influence on individuals' risk perceptions than positive emotions whereas perceived usefulness had a greater impact on acceptance than perceived risk. Safe housing and environmental concerns exhibited moderating effects that amplified the influence of affective responses towards hydrogen refuelling facilities with varying magnitudes across datasets. Furthermore the incorporation of Hofstede's cultural dimensions provided insights into cross-country differences revealing that individualism uncertainty avoidance and long-term orientation explain the psychological pathways through which affective states are translated into subjective evaluations of hydrogen facilities ultimately shaping community acceptance.
A Systematic Analysis of Life Cycle Assessments in Hydrogen Energy Systems
Nov 2025
Publication
Hydrogen plays a central role in ensuring the fulfillment of the climate and energy goals established in the Paris Agreement. To implement sustainable and resilient hydrogen economies it is essential to analyze the entire hydrogen value chain following a Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) methodology. To determine the current methodologies approaches and research tendencies adopted when performing LCA of hydrogen energy systems a systematic literature analysis is carried out in the present study. The choices regarding the “goal and scope definition” “life cycle inventory analysis” and “life cycle impact assessment” in 70 scientific papers were assessed. Based on the collected information it was concluded that there are no similar LCA studies since specificities introduced in the system boundaries functional unit production storage transportation end-use technologies geographical specifications and LCA methodological approaches among others introduce differences among studies. This lack of harmonization triggers the need to define harmonization protocols that allow for a fair comparison between studies; otherwise the decision-making process in the hydrogen energy sector may be influenced by methodological choices. Although initial efforts have been made their adoption remains limited and greater promotion is needed to encourage wider implementation.
Mapping Green Hydrogen Research in North Africa: A Bibliometric Approach for Strategic Foresight
Oct 2025
Publication
This bibliometric analysis aims to map the evolution disciplinary structure and collaboration dynamics of green hydrogen (GH) research in North Africa from 2019 to 2025. Drawing on a corpus of ~39000 global publications indexed in Scopus and analysed through SciVal we isolate and examine the contributions of Egypt Morocco Algeria Tunisia and Libya. Egypt leads the region with 842 publications and a field-weighted citation impact of 2.42 followed by Morocco (232 Pubs. FWCI 2.30) and Algeria (184 Pubs. FWCI 1.65). Notably Tunisia exhibits the highest growth factor (41 times since 2019) while Libya remains marginal with only 18 publications in the GH field. The region is well represented in Energy and Environmental fields but is underrepresented in trendy areas such as Materials and Chemical Engineering highlighting critical gaps in consistency sophistication and technical infrastructure. While international collaboration exceeds 69% for most countries it rarely translates into a high impact compared to the global average. Conversely the limited industrial collaboration shows the highest citation impact (e.g. Tunisia: 68 citations/publications). A thematic analysis reveals shared strengths in electrolytic hydrogen production and renewable energy integration with Egypt showing diversification into microalgae and nanocomposites and Morocco excelling in techno-economic assessments and ammonia-based systems. By revealing patterns in research quality collaboration and thematic positioning this study offers evidence-based insights to inform national science strategies enhance regional cooperation and position North Africa more strategically in the emerging global green hydrogen economy.
Advancing Sustainable Energy Transitions: Insights on Finance, Policy, Infrastructure, and Demand-side Integration
Nov 2025
Publication
Achieving the 1.5 ◦C global temperature target and reaching net-zero emissions by 2050 require a fundamental transformation of energy systems driven by the rapid deployment of renewable energy technologies and underpinned by systemic policy financial and infrastructural reform. The manuscript adopts a literature-driven approach synthesizing findings from existing scholarly sources that shape the transition to sustainable energy systems. It begins by outlining global progress toward climate targets emphasizing the critical role of renewable energy in decarbonizing electricity industry and transport sectors. The manuscript explores recent technological advancements and trends in solar wind hydrogen and emerging clean technologies highlighting their impact on global energy supply chains and production models. Particular attention is given to the complexities of integrating renewable energy into existing infrastructure including grid modernization digitaliation and storage technologies. On the demand side the article examines changing consumption patterns electrification and the role of distributed generation in shaping future energy landscapes. Investment and finance emerge as central challenges with the paper analyzing the disparities in capital costs between developed and developing economies and the need for innovative green finance instruments to de-risk investment. The manuscript further identifies structural barriers including policy uncertainty supply chain constraints and permitting delays as key impediments to progress. Nonetheless the article outlines significant opportunities for scaling up renewable deployment through international cooperation targeted subsidies and public-private partnerships. The manuscript concludes by emphasizing the necessity of coherent and enforceable policy frameworks to align national commitments with global climate goals. It calls for an integrated multi-stakeholder approach to ensure that finance infrastructure demand and governance evolve in tandem thereby enabling a just inclusive and resilient global energy transition.
Designing and Long-term Planning for Household Hydrogen Supply Chain in Australia
Nov 2025
Publication
This study presents the development of the long-term Household Hydrogen Supply Chain (HHSC) model aimed at supporting the decarbonisation of household energy consumption. Structured across three strategic phases: foundation expansion and maturation the model facilitates the systematic phase-out of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) by 2045 and natural gas (NG) by 2080. Employing demand estimation methodologies grounded in historical data and exponential decay functions the study forecasts long-term hydrogen adoption trajectories and allocates regional demand to optimise infrastructure placement. A network optimisation model identifies the optimal locations and capacities of national regional and local distribution centres (NDCs RDCs and LDCs). This staged development ensures operational scalability geographic equity and financial viability. A key finding is the substantial increase in profitability from $479 million in 2026 to $88.26 billion by 2090 driven by infrastructure growth and increasing hydrogen demand. Sensitivity analyses indicate that the adoption during the mid years (2040–2060) is particularly vulnerable to cost fluctuations. The model supports net-zero 2050 goals and aligns with several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) including SDGs 7 9 and 13. While the HHSC provides a structured pathway for long-term hydrogen transition future research should focus on enhancing the resilience of the HHSC by incorporating real-time data integration assessing vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and developing risk mitigation strategies to ensure continuity and scalability in hydrogen delivery under uncertain operating conditions.
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