Policy & Socio-Economics
Building a Hydrogen Economy: Does France have the Industrial Capacity for a Low-carbon Transition?
Oct 2025
Publication
The energy transition towards low-carbon hydrogen (H2) in France is expected to require deep industrial planning to develop electrolysis and H2 production infrastructure. This study employs an input–output method to simulate a new sector of electrolysis-produced hydrogen (e-H2) that supplies two-hydrogen intensive sectors petroleum refining and ammonia. We construct two input–output models a demand-driven model for e-H2 sector development (the investment phase) and a mixed model for e-H2 production (the operation phase). The results demonstrate that the e-H2 sector depends on industries such as machinery electrical equipment construction and metal products manufacturing in the investment phase with strong backward linkages to the power sector in the exploitation phase. The results reveal that the energy shock (350 kt of e-H2 per year) generates significant growth (€1.3 Bn of gross domestic product) and jobs (3600) but strongly depends on industries’ capability to expand and recruit. Recommendations advise public policy development to address the need to reinforce key industries to support e-H2 production due to inter-industry dependence and the need for more attractive skilled and technician jobs in sectors that are already experiencing recruitment tensions. At much higher e-H2 shocks in the steel sector (700 kt e-H2) and other industries (415 kt e-H2) even greater amounts of domestic resources would be required. Therefore de-carbonising the entire H2 sector require ambitious policy planning to support industrial empowerment research programmes and labour training so that H2 becomes an enabling technology of the energy transition.
Hydrogen Power Development: A Comparative Review of National Strategies and the Role of Energy in Scaling Green Hydrogen
Oct 2025
Publication
This review explores the evolving role of hydrogen in global decarbonization analysing national hydrogen strategies value chain developments and future market potential. Through a comprehensive review of policy frameworks market trends and technology pathways the paper evaluates hydrogen’s role in decarbonising sectors such as steel ammonia methanol refining transport and power generation. The study highlights the expected growth in global hydrogen demand projected cost reductions and advancements in production technologies including electrolysis and carbon capture-integrated hydrogen production. While green hydrogen offers a sustainable pathway challenges remain in infrastructure development energy efficiency and the integration of hydrogen into existing energy networks. The paper considers the economic and technological factors affecting international hydrogen trade. Despite more than 30 national hydrogen strategies being in place significant challenges remain particularly in scaling renewable electricity and infrastructure to meet growing hydrogen demand projected to reach up to 600 Mt by 2050. Key players such as Australia Norway and the Middle East are positioning themselves as major hydrogen exporters by leveraging their abundant natural resources and strategic infrastructure. On the demand side countries like Japan South Korea Germany and the Netherlands are emerging as leading importers investing heavily in hydrogen hubs and import terminals to secure future energy supplies. The expansion of hydrogen storage and transportation alongside investments in large-scale hydrogen hubs will be critical for market growth. Additionally the study emphasize the need for policy alignment strategic investments and cross-border cooperation to accelerate hydrogen adoption. Hydrogen can become a key element of the global clean energy transition by addressing optimal energy consumption and by leveraging renewable resources.
Development of Newly Designed Biomass-based Electrodes used in Water Electrolysis for Clean Hydrogen Production
Oct 2025
Publication
The conventional electrolysis is recognized as a mature and promising hydrogen (H2) production technology but there is still a strong need for further performance improvement. In this regard achieving an effective H2 evolution reaction at the cathode requires costly catalysts such as platinum and various catalyst-modified electrode materials. Nevertheless these materials are expensive and involve complex production procedures. Due to an increasing interest in deploying biomaterial-based cathodes as potential alternatives to conventional cathode materials we make the focus of this study on such materials and a graphite-loaded bioelectrode is in this regard synthesized for electrolysis application for effective H2 production. The surface morphology and electrochemical activity of the produced biocathode are characterized. Our results show that the H2 production performance of the system improves with the increasing graphite dosage on the biocathode and with the applied voltage ranging from 2 to 6 V. At improved operating conditions the highest H2 production rate of 1000 ppm (8.18 mg/m3 min) is obtained using a 1.5 g graphite-loaded biocathode at an applied voltage of 6 V. Consequently the produced graphite-loaded biocathode can be a promising option for sustainable and effective H2 production with waste minimization owing to its high conductivity low-cost and good stability.
Beyond Industrial Decarbonisation Strategy: Lessons from the Bottom-up Policy Mix in the United Kingdom, 2021-2023
Nov 2025
Publication
Industrial decarbonisation (ID) is a new challenge in the transition to net zero. The ID challenge is complicated because it covers a wide range of industries and processes and therefore a policy mix approach is appropriate. Because of multiple interactions with existing areas of regulation the bottom-up policy mix as defined by Ossenbrink et al. (2019) is likely to be particularly important for the successful implementation of ID policy. In this article we build on the policy mix literature by positing how bottom-up policy instrument mixes may fail to be consistent and comprehensive not only because of conflicting goals and missing instruments but also due to missing information. We also consider how integrating policy functions centrally may help top-down policy mix coherence but work against bottom-up coherence processes. We illustrate our argument through a case study of the first detailed examination of industrial decarbonisation policy and regulation for a major OECD country i.e. the UK. Utilizing a robust and extensive original dataset of 118 expert interviews we show how the top-down policy mix focused on supporting innovation in hydrogen and carbon capture and storage is layered on top of a range of policies and regulations including spatial planning environmental pollution regulation health and safety rules gas standards and skills policy. Solving problems of inconsistency and a lack of comprehensiveness in instruments is slowed by insufficient coordination and resources.
Hydrogen-involved Renewable Energy Base Planning in Desert and Gobi Regions under Electricity-carbon-hydrogen Markets
Nov 2025
Publication
China is developing renewable energy bases (REBs) in the desert and Gobi regions. However the intermittency of renewable energy and the temporal mismatch between peak renewable generation and peak load demand severely disrupt the power supply reliability of these REBs. Hydrogen storage technology characterized by high energy density and long-term storage capability is an effective method for enhancing the power supply reliability. Therefore this paper proposes a REB planning model in the desert and Gobi regions considering seasonal hydrogen storage introduction as well as electricity-carbon-hydrogen markets trading. Furthermore a combination scenario generation method considering extreme scenario optimization is proposed. Among which the extreme scenarios selected through an iterative selection method based on maximizing scenario divergence contain more incremental information providing data support for the proposed model. Finally the simulation was conducted in the desert and Gobi regions of Yinchuan Ningxia Province China primarily verifying that (1) the REB incorporating hydrogen storage can fully leverage hydrogen storage to achieve seasonal and long-term electricity transfer and utilization. The project has a payback period of 10 years with an internal rate of return of 13.30% and a return on investment of 16.34% thus showing significant development potential. (2) Compared to the typical battery-involved REB the hydrogen-involved energy storage facility achieved a 59.39% annual profit a 10.98% internal rate of return a 14.93% return on investment and a 1.51% improvement in power supply reliability by sacrificing a 52.49% increase in construction cost. (3) Compared to REB planning based only on typical scenarios the power supply reliability of REBs based on the proposed combination scenario generation method improved by 8.58%.
An Empirical Study of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Citizens' Intentions about the Adoption of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles
Oct 2025
Publication
A comprehensive understanding of consumer preferences and demand factors is essential for successfully implementing demand-side strategies for alternative energy solutions such as hydrogen. This study aims to identify the key determinants influencing the adoption propensity for Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs) in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). Developing a conceptual framework to organise the key factors influencing consumers’ decisions to adopt or reject this technology. Using data from an online survey of 384 prospective customers we employed structural equation modelling (SEM) via Smart-PLS 4.1 to analyze consumer intent. The findings reveal that perceived benefits barriers opinions and governmental initiatives have a significant impact on the likelihood of HFCV adoption. The study emphasises the significance of collaborative efforts among key stakeholders including manufacturers hydrogen producers research institutions and financial entities in addressing challenges and advancing the development of the hydrogen transportation ecosystem in KSA. Financial incentives and subsidies such as purchasing subsidies awareness and reduced registration costs for HFCVs may be instituted.
Nodal Marginal Price Decomposition Mechanism for the Hydrogen Energy Market Considering Hydrogen Transportation Characteristics
Oct 2025
Publication
With the growing significance of hydrogen in the global energy transition research on its pricing mechanisms has become increasingly crucial. Focusing on hydrogen markets predominantly supplied by electrolytic production this study proposes a nodal marginal hydrogen price decomposition algorithm that explicitly incorporates the time-delay dynamics inherent in hydrogen transmission. A four-dimensional price formation framework is established comprising the energy component network loss component congestion component and time-delay component. To address the nonconvex optimization challenges arising in the market-clearing model an improved second-order cone programming method is introduced. This method effectively reduces computational complexity through the reconstruction of time-coupled constraints and reformulation of the Weymouth equation. On this basis the analytical expression of the nodal marginal hydrogen price is rigorously derived elucidating how transmission dynamics influence each price component. Empirical studies using a modified Belgian 20-node system demonstrate that the proposed pricing mechanism dynamically adapts to load variations with hydrogen prices exhibiting a strong correlation with electricity cost fluctuations. The results validate the efficacy and superiority of the proposed approach in hydrogen energy market applications. This study provides a theoretical foundation for designing efficient and transparent pricing mechanisms in emerging hydrogen markets.
Scaling Green Hydrogen: Production, Storage, Techno-economics and Global Perspectives
Nov 2025
Publication
Hydrogen has emerged as a key green energy carrier for deep decarbonisation offering a viable pathway to reduce emissions from carbon-intensive industries while enabling greater integration of renewable energy source into the global energy system. This study provides a comprehensive review of green hydrogen production technologies storage methods and industrial applications alongside the financial and regulatory landscape shaping its large-scale deployment. From techno-economic viewpoints alkaline electrolysis offers cost advantages at approximately USD 270/kW compared with proton membrane exchange and solid oxide electrolysis. Storage technologies show levelised costs of USD 2.48–15.61/kg H2 with scalability to gigawatt level surpassing battery systems. Hydrogen adoption enables substantial decarbonisation in hard-to-abate sectors with deployments estimated to cut more than 1 Mtonne CO2 emissions annually in steelmaking and more than 100 ktonne in cement production. This study underscores the importance of international cooperation outlining pathways for countries with abundant renewable resources (e.g. Canada Australia) to emerge as major hydrogen producers while nations with strong demand (e.g. Japan South Korea) act as market catalysts. Finally investment dynamics government incentives regulatory frameworks and targeted policy recommendations are reviewed to provide a holistic perspective for building a resilient and sustainable hydrogen ecosystem.
Techno-economic Optimization of Hydrogen-based Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for Rural Electrification in Sub-Saharan Africa: Case Study of a Photovoltaic/Wind/Hydrogen System in Dargalla, Cameroon
Nov 2025
Publication
Hybrid renewable energy systems (HRESs) are an effective tool for addressing the challenges of rural electrification in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However their viability is limited by the lifespan environmental impacts high costs and inefficiency of conventional energy storage technologies (battery and pumped-hydro). This study examines a hydrogen-based energy storage system combined with photovoltaic (PV) and wind energy for the electrification of Dargalla a village in northern Cameroon. The goal is to meet community and agricultural electricity needs while optimizing the system. The analysis utilized HOMER software to simulate model and optimize the system. The optimal architecture consisted of a 50-kW photovoltaic (PV) array a 10-kW wind turbine a 10-kW fuel cell a 30-kW electrolyser a 25-kg hydrogen tank and a 10-kW converter. The optimised system’s net present cost and cost of energy were assessed at USD 138202 and USD 0.443/kWh respectively. Sensitivity analysis results showed that areas with high wind speeds would be mainly suitable for the proposed system. Moreover with the upcoming decrease in the costs of fuel cells and PV components such systems are expected to become more economically viable in the future leading to the conclusion that integration of hydrogen-based energy storage technology in HRESs in SSA can effectively address the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UNSDG) and the historic Paris Climate Agreement (HCA).
The Energy Transition in Colombia: Government Projections and Realistic Scenarios
Nov 2025
Publication
Energy transition is crucial for climate change mitigation and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and has been a key government focus in Colombia since 2022 which must carefully consider its energy roadmap. This study evaluates three potential scenarios for achieving nearly 100% renewable energy by 2035: replacing fossil fuels with biofuels using hydrogen for transport and industrial heat and relying entirely on renewable electricity. This paper discusses these scenarios’ technical economic and social challenges including the need for substantial investments in renewable energy technologies and energy storage systems to replace fossil fuels. The discussion highlights the importance of balancing energy security environmental concerns and economic growth while addressing social priorities such as poverty eradication and access to healthcare and education. The results show that while the Colombian government’s energy transition goals are commendable a rapid energy transition requires 4 to 8 times the government’s projected 34 billion USD investment making it economically unfeasible. Notably focusing on wind photovoltaic and green hydrogen systems which need storage is too costly. Furthermore replacing fossil fuels in transport is impractical though increasing biofuel production could partially substitute fossil fuels. Less energy-intensive alternatives like trains and waterway transport should be considered to reduce energy demand and carbon footprint.
Green Hydrogen Market and Green Cryptocurrencies: A Dynamic Correlation Analysis
Nov 2025
Publication
The urgent need to mitigate climate change has elevated green hydrogen as a sustainable alternative to fossil fuels while green cryptocurrencies have emerged to address the environmental concerns of traditional cryptocurrency mining. This study investigates the dynamic correlation between the green hydrogen market and selected green cryptocurrencies (Cardano Stellar Hedera Algorand and Chia) from July 2021 to April 2024 utilizing the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (DCC-GARCH) model with robustness checks using EGARCH and GJR-GARCH specifications. Our findings reveal significant correlations with peaks reaching up to 50% in 2022 a period likely influenced by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Subsequently a decline in these correlations was observed in 2023. These results underscore the interconnectedness of sustainability-driven markets suggesting potential contagion effects during periods of global instability. The high persistence of correlation shocks (α + β values approaching unity) indicates that correlation regimes tend to be long- lasting with important implications for portfolio diversification and risk management strategies. Robustness checks using EGARCH and GJR-GARCH specifications confirmed qualitatively similar patterns reinforcing the validity of our findings into the evolving landscape of green finance and energy
Modelling a Small-scale Hydrogen Valley: Optimisation Under Techno-economic and Environmental Perspectives
Oct 2025
Publication
Renewable hydrogen is a promising pathway to decarbonise hard-to-electrify sectors though its widespread deployment remains hindered by economic challenges. Hydrogen valleys integrated regional systems have emerged as a strategic solution to scale up hydrogen infrastructure and demand. This study assesses the technoeconomic feasibility of a hydrogen valley in southeastern Crete based on the CRAVE-H2 project using a MixedInteger Linear Programming (MILP) optimisation model. The system serves multiple end-uses: touristic fuel cell buses and a vessel as well as cold ironing for ships at berth. In addition to renewable generators electricity can be supplied via a hybrid storage system or purchased from the grid with dispatch optimised according to hourly market prices. A customised modelling framework is developed within PyPSA using the Linopy extension enabling the inclusion of piecewise affine approximations of non-linear performance curves for electrolysers and fuel cells alongside operating range constraints. Hydrogen leakage is also explicitly modelled to assess its environmental and economic implications. The model delivers optimal component sizing energy dispatch strategies and key performance metrics including Levelised Cost Of Hydrogen (LCOH) aggregated Levelised Cost Of Energy (LCOE) and carbon intensity. Most scenarios yield competitive LCOH values between 5.36 and 8.21 €/kgH2 increasing to 15 €/kgH2 under full decarbonisation due to extensive storage investments. Hydrogen emissions that may exceed 10 % of total production in worst-case scenarios become more pronounced in fully decarbonised scenarios. These findings underline the importance of emissions tracking and provide practical insights to inform the design of cost-effective low-emission hydrogen valleys.
Pathways to Green Hydrogen Production as a Sustainable Energy Solution in Kenya by 2040
Nov 2025
Publication
Given the Kenyan challenges in energy availability accessibility and affordability exploring green hydrogen as a sustainable energy solution is supreme. This study aimed to assess the potential of green hydrogen production a transformative clean energy technology and its implications for Kenya's future energy. The specific objectives were to identify the drivers of change that could accelerate green hydrogen adoption and policy recommendations. The study employed a scenario planning approach focusing on four key steps: defining the scenario and time horizon identifying drivers of change and developing and applying scenarios. The diffusion of innovation theory guided the study. Twelve key critical drivers of change were identified with societal and industry acceptance of green hydrogen and compatibility with existing energy infrastructure being the strongest drivers of change from cross-impact analysis results. The study outlined four plausible future scenarios for adoption: Successful Production (best scenario) Low Production Chaotic Transition and Rejection of Green Hydrogen Production (worst scenario). Major opportunities include advancements in hydrogen production export potential and job creation. Cost competitiveness analysis is essential comparing Kenya's hydrogen with traditional fuels and African peers. Economic models suggest that Kenya's renewable energy can lower costs enhancing its position in clean energy innovation. However critical challenges involve regulatory uncertainty ethical concerns public misconceptions about green hydrogen safety and financial barriers due to high initial investment costs. The study recommended that the Kenyan government invest in renewable energy infrastructure formulate a comprehensive national hydrogen policy and establish an enabling environment to attract private investment. In conclusion green hydrogen production stands as a strategic pillar for Kenya’s sustainable energy transition and further research should focus on strengthening regulatory frameworks and enhancing public engagement to unlock its full potential.
Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions Mitigation Potential of Existing and Planned Hydrogen Projects
Nov 2025
Publication
Hydrogen will play a critical role in decarbonizing diverse economic sectors. However given limited sustainable resources and the energy-intensive nature of its production prioritizing its applications will be essential. Here we analyse approximately 2000 (low-carbon) hydrogen projects worldwide encompassing operational and planned initiatives until 2043 quantifying their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potential from a life cycle perspective. Our results demonstrate the variability in GHG emissions of hydrogen applications depending on the geographical location and hydrogen source used. The most climate-effective hydrogen applications include steel-making biofuels and ammonia while hydrogen use for road transport power generation and domestic heating should be discouraged as more favourable alternatives exist. Planned low-carbon hydrogen projects could generate 110 MtH2 yr−1 emit approximately 0.4 GtCO2e yr−1 and potentially reduce net life cycle GHG emissions by 0.2–1.1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2043 depending on the substituted product or service. Addressing the current hydrogen implementation gap and prioritizing climate-effective applications are crucial for meeting decarbonization goals.
Sustainability-aligned Pathways for Energy Transition: A Review of Low-carbon Energy Network Solutions
Nov 2025
Publication
Transformation of the energy sector is necessary to meet climate targets and ensure universal access to reliable and affordable energy. Despite progress more than 675 million people still lack electricity and 770 million face an unreliable power supply. Renewable energy now provides nearly 30 % of global electricity generation and represents approximately 17.9 % of total final energy consumption. This amount is insufficient for the 1.5 ◦C pathway and requires a tripling of renewable capacity by 2030. Energy efficiency also lags with average annual gains of 1.6 % compared with the 4 % required for climate-aligned energy scenarios. Therefore this paper reviews pathways toward decentralized low-carbon solutions that can accelerate global energy transformation. The review paper examines how technologies such as microgrids virtual power plants energy storage systems and vehicleto-grid (V2G) solutions are reshaping modern energy systems. It highlights that digitalization smart grids and sector integration are key to building flexible and consumer-focused networks. However achieving sustainable energy access requires more than new technologies. Strong governance fair financing and social inclusion are equally important to ensure a just and balanced energy transition. Case studies from Asia Africa and Latin America show how policy innovative financing and regional cooperation can drive progress despite challenges such as underinvestment fossil fuel dependency and energy poverty. The review demonstrates that an integrated approach combining technological innovation financial mechanisms and inclusive policies can collectively build low-carbon resilient and equitable energy systems.
Competition and Equilibrium in Future Global Renewable Hydrogen Trade: A Game-theoretic Analysis
Nov 2025
Publication
Global renewable hydrogen trade is expected to play a key role in decarbonizing future energy systems. Yet hydrogen exporters may deviate from perfectly competitive behaviour to influence prices similarly to the existing fossil fuel market with important implications for consumer welfare and the pace of the energy transition. This study develops a global renewable hydrogen trade model that captures potential strategic interactions among exporters using a Stackelberg game-theoretic framework. The model is formulated as an Equilibrium Problem with Equilibrium Constraints (EPEC) and solved under three alternative equilibria: a profitmaximizing Nash equilibrium a cost-minimizing Nash equilibrium and a welfare-maximizing benchmark representing perfect competition. Results indicate that producers may strategically reduce their export quantities by up to 40 % relative to perfect competition to maximize profits. Such behaviour raises prices to a minimum of 4.5 USD/kg in 2050 across major import markets thereby significantly eroding consumer surplus. Strategic behaviour of dominant exporters also shifts trade flows reshaping the global allocation of hydrogen supply. Sensitivity analysis further reveals that financing costs play a key role in shaping strategic producers’ behaviour with lower financing costs helping to reduce prices and stimulate demand. These findings highlight the implications of imperfect competition in global hydrogen trade and suggest that policy measures may be needed to mitigate potential negative consequences.
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