Production & Supply Chain
A Gis-based on Application of Monte Carlo and Multi-criteria Decision-making Approach for Site Suitability Analysis of Solar-hydrogen Production: Case of Cameroon
Dec 2024
Publication
This article analyzes and compares three methodologies for identifying suitable regions for solar hydrogen production using photovoltaic panels: AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) FAHP (Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process) and MC-FAHP (Monte Carlo FAHP) integrated with GIS (Geographic Information Systems). The study employs ten criteria across technical (Global Horizontal Irra diance temperature slope elevation orientation) economic (distance from transportation and electrical networks) and social (population density proximity to residential areas) factors. Environmental and exclusion criteria define restrictive zones. The analysis reveals that while all three methods agree on areas of low suitability they diverge in their classification of "Suitable" "Highly Suitable" and "Most Suitable" regions. FAHP identifies 229.573 km2 as "Highly Suitable" compared to AHP’s 222.048 km2 and MC-FAHP’s 230.299 km2 for "Suitable" areas. Despite these differences the energy potential is consistent across methods totaling around 79000 TWh/year with MC-FAHP estimating the highest hydrogen production potential at 1.51 billion tons/year. The study concludes that fuzzy-based methods (FAHP and MC-FAHP) better handle uncertainties than traditional AHP. The MC-FAHP method in particular performs well in managing stochastic variability and yielding more reliable results. The findings are validated through a case study in Guider and Maroua highlighting the importance of socio-economic and environmental criteria in decision-making. A sensitivity analysis reveals that economic and social criteria significantly influence land suitability underscoring the importance of criteria selection in decision-making.
Techno-economic Analysis for Advanced Methods of Green Hydrogen Production
May 2024
Publication
In the ongoing effort to reduce carbon emissions on a worldwide scale green hydrogen which is generated through environmentally responsible processes has emerged as a significant driving force. As the demand for clean energy continues to rise it is becoming increasingly important to have a solid understanding of the technological and economic elements of modern techniques of producing green hydrogen. In the context of green hydrogen generation understanding green hydrogen production's techno-economic features is necessary to reduce carbon emissions and transition to a low-carbon economy. associated with breakthroughs in technology the present study examines the most fascinating and relevant aspects of techno-economic analysis. Despite challenges green hydrogen can help the world move to a cleaner more sustainable energy future with solid analytical frameworks and legislation.
A Holistic Green System Coupling Hydrogen Production with Wastewater Valorisation
May 2022
Publication
Green hydrogen represents a critical underpinning technology for achievingcarbon neutrality. Although researchers often fixate on its energy inputs atruly ‘green’ hydrogen production process would also be sustainable in termsof water and materials inputs. To address this holistic challenge we demon-strate a new green hydrogen production system which can utilize secondarywastewater as the input (preserving scarce fresh water supplies for drinkingand sanitation). The enabling feature of the proposed system is a self-grownbifunctional CoNi electrode which consists of ultrathin spontaneously depos-ited CoNi nanosheets on a three-dimensional nickel foam. As such a greensynthesis process was developed using an immersion procedure at room-temperature with zero net energy input. Testing revealed that the synthesizedCoNi electrodes can reach a current density of 10 mA cm2 at a small overpo-tential of 197 mV for the hydrogen evolution reaction and 315 mV for the oxy-gen evolution reaction in alkalified wastewater. The values are 16.5%and 6.5% smaller than that from precious catalysts (20 wt% Pt/C and RuO 2 respectively). Importantly this CoNi catalyst offers outstanding durability foroverall wastewater splitting. A prototype solar-energy-powered rooftop waste-water splitting system was constructed and can produce more than 100 Lhydrogen on a sunny day in Sydney Australia. Taken together these resultsindicate that it is promising to unlock holistically green routes for hydrogenproduction by wastewater uplifting with regards to water energy and mate-rials synthesis.
Study on the Performance of Membrane Reactor Using Steam Methane Reforming for Hydrogen Production Heated by HTGR
Jun 2025
Publication
Using High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) for hydrogen production through steam methane reforming (SMR) offers advantages such as high hydrogen yield methane savings relatively low cost and ease of scale-up. However due to the limitation of the temperature of the heating helium gas the methane conversion ratio of SMR using HTGR is much lower than that of traditional SMR. The membrane reactor (MR) with its high conversion efficiency compact structure and low cost is a suitable way to improve the methane conversion ratio. This study establishes a one-dimensional reaction flow model for MR heated by the helium gas from HTGR. And the model is validated and applied to analyze the performance of MR. The results show that compared to the original reformer tube MR demonstrates superior performance especially at higher methane conversion ratio and hydrogen yield. And the significant impact of sweep gas and membrane thickness on the performance of MR is discussed in detail. This work offers a new insight into highly enhancing the efficiency of SMR for hydrogen production using HTGR.
Prediction of Hydrogen Production in Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolysis via Neural Networks
Sep 2024
Publication
Advancements in water electrolysis technologies are crucial for green hydrogen production. Proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) is characterized by its efficiency and environmental benefits. The pre diction and optimization of hydrogen production rates (HPRs) in PEMWE systems is difficult and still challenging because of the complexity of the system as well as the operational parameters. The integration of artificial in telligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) appears to be effective in optimization within the energy sector. Hence this work employs the artificial neural network (ANN) to develop a model that accurately predicts HPR in PEMWE setups. A novel approach is introduced by employing the Levenberg–Marquardt backpropagation (LMBP) algorithm for training the ANN. This model is designed to predict HPR based on critical operational parameters including anode and cathode areas (mm2 ) cell voltage (V) and current (A) water flow rate (mL/ min) power (W) and temperature (K). The optimized ANN configuration features an architecture with 7 input nodes two hidden layers of 64 neurons each and a single output node. The performance of the ANN model was evaluated against conventional regression models using key metrics: mean squared error (MSE) coefficient of determination (R2 ) and mean absolute error (MAE). The findings of this study reveal that the developed ANN model significantly outperforms traditional models achieving an R2 value of 0.9989 and an MAE of 0.012. In comparison random forest (R2 = 0.9795) linear regression (R2 = 0.9697) and support vector machines (R2 = − 0.4812) show lower predictive accuracy underscoring the ANN model’s superior performance. This work demonstrates the efficiency of the LMBP in enhancing hydrogen production forecasts and sets a foundation for future improvements in PEMWE efficiency. By enabling precise control and optimization of operational pa rameters this study contributes to the broader goal of advancing green hydrogen production as a viable and scalable alternative to fossil fuels offering both immediate and long-term benefits to sustainable energy initiatives.
Enabling Large-scale Enhanced Hydrogen Production in Deep Underground Coal Gasification in the Context of a Hydrogen Economy
Dec 2024
Publication
Underground coal gasification (UCG) is an emerging clean energy technology with significant potential for enhanced hydrogen production especially when coupled with water injection. Previous lab-scale studies have explored this potential but the mechanisms driving water-assisted hydrogen enhancement in large-scale deep UCG settings remain unclear. This study addresses this gap using numerical simulations of a large-scale deep coal model designed for hydrogen-oriented UCG. We investigated single-point and multipoint water injection stra tegies to optimize hydrogen production. Additionally we developed a retractable water injection technique to ensure sustained hydrogen output and effective cavity control. Our results indicate that the water–gas shift re action is crucial for increasing hydrogen production. Multipoint injection has been proven to be more effective than single-point injection increasing hydrogen production by 11% with an equal amount of steam. The introduction of retractable injection allows for continuous and efficient hydrogen generation with daily hydrogen production rates of approximately five times that of a conventional injection scheme and an increase in cumulative hydrogen production of approximately 105% over the same time period. Importantly the mul tipoint injection method also helped limit vertical cavity growth mitigating the risk of aquifer contamination. These findings support the potential of UCG as a low-carbon energy source in the transition to a hydrogen economy
Towards Sustainable Hydrogen Production: An Integrated Approach for Sustainability, Complexity, and Systems Thinking in the Energy Sector
Mar 2024
Publication
The energy sector constitutes a dynamic and complex system indicating that its actions are influenced not just by its individual components but also by the emergent behavior resulting from interactions among them. Moreover there are crucial limitations of previous approaches for addressing the sustainability challenge of the energy sector. Changing transforming and integrating paradigms are the most relevant leverage points for transforming a given system. In other words nowadays the integration of new predominant paradigms in order to provide a unified framework could aim at this actual transformation looking for a sustainable future. This research aims to develop a new unified framework for the integration of the following three paradigms: (1) Sustainability (2) Complexity and (3) Systems Thinking which will be applied to achieving sustainable energy production (using hydrogen production as a case study). The novelty of this work relies on providing a holistic perspective through the integration of the aforementioned paradigms considering the multiple and complex interdependencies among the economy the environment and the economy. For this purpose an integrated seven-stage approach is introduced which explores from the starting point of the integration of paradigms to the application of this integration to sustainable energy production. After applying the Three-Paradigm approach for sustainable hydrogen production as a case study 216 feedback loops are identified due to the emerged complexity linked to the analyzed system. Additionally three system dynamics-based models are developed (by increasing the level of complexity) as part of the application of the Three-Paradigm approach. This research can be of interest to a broad professional audience (e.g. engineers policymakers) as looks into the sustainability of the energy sector from a holistic perspective considering a newly developed Three-Paradigm model considering complexity and using a Systems Thinking approach.
Renewable Fuel Production and the Impact of Hydrogen Infrastructure - A Case Study of the Nordics
Apr 2024
Publication
Hard-to-electrify sectors will require renewable fuels to facilitate the green transition in the future. Therefore it is crucial to identify promising production locations while taking into account the local biomass resources variable renewable energy sources and the synergies between sectors. In this study investments and dispatch operations are optimised of a large catalogue of renewable fuel production technologies in the opensource software SpineOpt and this is soft-linked to the comprehensive energy system model Balmorel. We analyse future production pathways by comparing various levels of hydrogen infrastructure including large-scale hydrogen storage and assess system impacts. The results indicate that methanol may provide synergies in its multipurpose use as an early (2030-2040) shipping fuel and later as an aviation fuel through further refining if ammonia becomes more competitive (2050). We furthermore show that a hydrogen infrastructure increases the competitiveness of non-flexible hydrogen-based fuel production technologies. Offshore electrolysis hubs decrease energy system impacts in scenarios with 105 TWh of Nordic hydrogen export. However hydrogen export scenarios are much costlier compared to scenarios with no export unless a high hydrogen price is received. Finally we find that emission taxes in the range of 250-265 euro/tCO2 will be necessary for renewable fuels to become competitive.
Exploring the Viability of Utilizing Treated Wastewater as a Sustainable Water Resource for Green Hydrogen Generation Using Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells (SOECs)
Jul 2023
Publication
In response to the European Union’s initiative toward achieving carbon neutrality the utilization of water electrolysis for hydrogen production has emerged as a promising avenue for decarbonizing current energy systems. Among the various approaches Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cell (SOEC) presents an attractive solution especially due to its potential to utilize impure water sources. This study focuses on modeling a SOEC supplied with four distinct streams of treated municipal wastewaters using the Aspen Plus software. Through the simulation analysis it was determined that two of the wastewater streams could be effectively evaporated and treated within the cell without generating waste liquids containing excessive pollutant concentrations. Specifically by evaporating 27% of the first current and 10% of the second it was estimated that 26.2 kg/m3 and 9.7 kg/m3 of green hydrogen could be produced respectively. Considering the EU’s target for Italy is to have 5 GW of installed power capacity by 2030 and the mass flowrate of the analyzed wastewater streams this hydrogen production could meet anywhere from 0.4% to 20% of Italy’s projected electricity demand.
Levelized Cost of Biohydrogen from Steam Reforming of Biomethane with Carbon Capture and Storage (Golden Hydrogen)—Application to Spain
Feb 2024
Publication
The production of biohydrogen with negative CO2 emissions through the steam methane reforming of biomethane coupled with carbon capture and storage represents a promising technology particularly for industries that are difficult to electrify. In spite of the maturity of this technology which is currently employed in the production of grey and blue hydrogen a detailed cost model that considers the entire supply chain is lacking in the literature. This study addresses this gap by applying correlations derived from actual facilities producing grey and blue hydrogen to calculate the CAPEX while exploring various feedstock combinations for biogas generation to assess the OPEX. The analysis also includes logistic aspects such as decentralised biogas production and the transportation and storage of CO2 . The levelized cost of golden hydrogen is estimated to range from EUR 1.84 to 2.88/kg compared to EUR 1.47/kg for grey hydrogen and EUR 1.93/kg for blue hydrogen assuming a natural gas cost of EUR 25/MWh and excluding the CO2 tax. This range increases to between 3.84 and 2.92 with a natural gas cost of EUR 40/MWh with the inclusion of the CO2 tax. A comparison with conventional green hydrogen is performed highlighting both prices and potential thereby offering valuable information for decision-making.
Offshore Green Hydrogen Production from Wind Energy: Critical Review and Perspective
Feb 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is envisaged to play a major role in decarbonizing our future energy systems. Hydrogen is ideal for storing renewable energy over longer durations strengthening energy security. It can be used to provide electricity renewable heat power long-haul transport shipping and aviation and in decarbonizing several industrial processes. The cost of green hydrogen produced from renewable via electrolysis is dominated by the cost of electricity used. Operating electrolyzers only during periods of low electricity prices will limit production capacity and underutilize high investment costs in electrolyzer plants. Hydrogen production from deep offshore wind energy is a promising solution to unlock affordable electrolytic hydrogen at scale. Deep offshore locations can result in an increased capacity factor of generated wind power to 60–70% 4–5 times that of onshore locations. Dedicated wind farms for electrolysis can use the majority >80% of the produced energy to generate economical hydrogen. In some scenarios hydrogen can be the optimal carrier to transport the generated energy onshore. This review discusses the opportunities and challenges in offshore hydrogen production using electrolysis from wind energy and seawater. This includes the impact of site selection size of the electrolyzer and direct use of seawater without deionization. The review compares overall electrolysis system efficiency cost and lifetime when operating with direct seawater feed and deionized water feed using reverse osmosis and flash evaporation systems. In the short to medium term it is advised to install a reverse osmosis plant with an ion exchanger to feed the electrolysis instead of using seawater directly.
Research on Fast Frequency Response Control Strategy of Hydrogen Production Systems
Mar 2024
Publication
With the large-scale integration of intermittent renewable energy generation presented by wind and photovoltaic power the security and stability of power system operations have been challenged. Therefore this article proposes a control strategy of a hydrogen production system based on renewable energy power generation to enable the fast frequency response of a grid. Firstly based on the idea of virtual synchronous control a fast frequency response control transformation strategy for the grid-connected interface of hydrogen production systems for renewable energy power generation is proposed to provide active power support when the grid frequency is disturbed. Secondly based on the influence of VSG’s inertia and damping coefficient on the dynamic characteristics of the system a VSG adaptive control model based on particle swarm optimization is designed. Finally based on the Matlab/Simulink platform a grid-connected simulation model of hydrogen production systems for renewable energy power generation is established. The results show that the interface-transformed electrolytic hydrogen production device can actively respond to the frequency disturbances of the power system and participate in primary frequency control providing active support for the frequency stability of the power system under high-percentage renewable energy generation integration. Moreover the system with parameter optimization has better fast frequency response control characteristics.
Green Hydrogen Production and Liquefaction Using Offshore Wind Power, Liquid Air, and LNG Cold Energy
Sep 2023
Publication
Coastal regions have abundant off-shore wind energy resources and surrounding areas have large-scale liquefied natural gas (LNG) receiving stations. From the engineering perspectives there are limitations in unstable off-shore wind energy and fluctuating LNG loads. This article offers a new energy scheme to combine these 2 energy units which uses surplus wind energy to produce hydrogen and use LNG cold energy to liquefy and store hydrogen. In addition in order to improve the efficiency of utilizing LNG cold energy and reduce electricity consumption for liquid hydrogen (LH2) production at coastal regions this article introduces the liquid air energy storage (LAES) technology as the intermediate stage which can stably store the cold energy from LNG gasification. A new scheme for LNG-LAES-LH2 hybrid LH2 production is built. The case study is based on a real LNG receiving station at Hainan province China and this article presents the design of hydrogen production/liquefaction process and carries out the optimizations at key nodes and proves the feasibility using specific energy consumption and exergy analysis. In a 100 MW system the liquid air storage round-trip efficiency is 71.0% and the specific energy consumption is 0.189 kWh/kg and the liquid hydrogen specific energy consumption is 7.87 kWh/kg and the exergy efficiency is 46.44%. Meanwhile the corresponding techno-economic model is built and for a LNGLAES-LH2 system with LH2 daily production 140.4 tons the shortest dynamic payback period is 9.56 years. Overall this novel hybrid energy scheme can produce green hydrogen using a more efficient and economical method and also can make full use of surplus off-shore wind energy and coastal LNG cold energy.
It Is Not the Same Green: A Comparative LCA Study of Green Hydrogen Supply Network Pathways
Jul 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen (H2 ) a promising clean energy source garnering increasing attention worldwide can be derived through various pathways resulting in differing levels of greenhouse gas emissions. Notably Green H2 production can utilize different methods such as integrating standard photovoltaic panels thermal photovoltaic or concentrated photovoltaic thermal collectors with electrolyzers. Furthermore it can be conditioned to different states or carriers including liquefied H2 compressed H2 ammonia and methanol and stored and transported using various methods. This paper employs the Life Cycle Assessment methodology to compare 18 different green hydrogen pathways and provide recommendations for greening the hydrogen supply chain. The findings indicate that the production pathway utilizing concentrated photovoltaic thermal panels for electricity generation and hydrogen compression in the conditioning and transportation stages exhibits the lowest environmental impact emitting only 2.67 kg of CO2 per kg of H2 .
Development of a Dynamic Mathematical Model of PEM Electrolyser for Integration into Large-scale Power Systems
May 2024
Publication
Proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyser stands as a promising candidate for sustainable hydrogen pro duction from renewable energy sources (RESs). Given the fluctuating nature of RESs accurate modelling of the PEM electrolyser is crucial. Nonetheless complex models of the PEM electrolyser demand substantial time and resource investments when integrating them into a large-scale power system. The majority of introduced models in the literature are either overly intricate or fail to effectively reproduce the dynamic behaviour of the PEM electrolyser. To this end this article aims to develop a model that not only captures the dynamic response of the PEM electrolyser crucial for conducting flexibility studies in the power system but also avoids complexity for seamless integration into large-scale simulations without comprising accuracy. To verify the model it is vali dated against static and dynamic experimental data. Compared to the investigated experimental cases the model exhibited an average error of 0.66% and 3.93% in the static and dynamic operation modes respectively.
Life Cycle Analysis of Hydrogen Production by Different Alkaline Electrolyser Technologies Sourced with Renewable Energy
Jul 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen has been considered a promising alternative to fossil fuels in chemical and energy applications. In this study a life cycle analysis is conducted for green hydrogen production sourced with a mixture of renewable energy sources (50 % solar and 50 % wind energy). Two advanced technologies of alkaline electrolysis are selected and compared for hydrogen production: pressurised alkaline electrolyser and capillary-fed alkaline electrolyser. The different value chain stages were assessed in SimaPro enabling the assessment of the environmental impacts of a green hydrogen production project with 60 MW capacity and 20 years lifetime. The results evaluate the environmental impacts depending on the components construction and operation requirements. The results demonstrated that capillary-fed alkaline electrolyser technology has lower potential environmental impacts by around 17 % than pressurised alkaline electrolyser technology for all the process stages. The total global warming potential was found to be between 1.98 and 2.39 kg of carbon dioxide equivalent per kg of hydrogen. This study contributes to the electrolysers industry and the planning of green hydrogen projects for many applications towards decarbonization and sustainability.
Understanding Degradation Effects of Elevated Temperature Operating Conditions in Polymer Electrolyte Water Electrolyzers
Apr 2021
Publication
The cost of polymer electrolyte water electrolysis (PEWE) is dominated by the price of electricity used to power the water splitting reaction. We present a liquid water fed polymer electrolyte water electrolyzer cell operated at a cell temperature of 100 °C in comparison to a cell operated at state-of-the-art operation temperature of 60 °C over a 300 h constant current period. The hydrogen conversion efficiency increases by up to 5% at elevated temperature and makes green hydrogen cheaper. However temperature is a stress factor that accelerates degradation causes in the cell. The PEWE cell operated at a cell temperature of 100 °C shows a 5 times increased cell voltage loss rate compared to the PEWE cell at 60 °C. The initial performance gain was found to be consumed after a projected operation time of 3500 h. Elevated temperature operation is only viable if a voltage loss rate of less than 5.8 μV h−1 can be attained. The major degradation phenomena that impact performance loss at 100 °C are ohmic (49%) and anode kinetic losses (45%). Damage to components was identified by post-test electron-microscopic analysis of the catalyst coated membrane and measurement of cation content in the drag water. The chemical decomposition of the ionomer increases by a factor of 10 at 100 °C vs 60 °C. Failure by short circuit formation was estimated to be a failure mode after a projected lifetime 3700 h. At elevated temperature and differential pressure operation hydrogen gas cross-over is limiting since a content of 4% hydrogen in oxygen represents the lower explosion limit.
Palladium-alloy Membrane Reactors for Fuel Reforming and Hydrogen Production: Hydrogen Production Modelling
Jul 2023
Publication
Endeavors have recently been concentrated on minimizing the dependency on fossil fuels in order to mitigate the ever-increasing problem of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Hydrogen energy is regarded as an alternative to fossil fuels due to its cleaner emission attributes. Reforming of hydrocarbon fuels is amongst the most popular and widely used methods for hydrogen production. Hydrogen produced from reforming processes requires additional processes to separate from the reformed gases. In some cases further purification of hydrogen has to be carried out to use the hydrogen in power generation applications. Metallic membranes especially palladium (Pd)-based ones have demonstrated sustainable hydrogen separation potential with around 99.99% hydrogen purity. Comprehensive and critical research investigations must be performed to optimize membrane-assisted reforming as well as to maximize the production of hydrogen. The computational fluid dynamic (CFD) can be an excellent tool to analyze and visualize the flow/reaction/permeation mechanisms at a lower cost in contrast with the experiments. In order to provide the necessary background knowledge on membrane reactor modeling this study reviews summarizes and analyses the kinetics of different fuel reforming processes equations to determine hydrogen permeation and lastly various geometry and operating condition adopted in the literature associated with membrane-reactor modeling works. It is indicated that hydrogen permeation through Pd-membranes depends highly on the difference in hydrogen pressure. It is found that hydrogen permeation can be improved by employing different pressure configuration introducing sweep flow on the permeate side of the membrane reducing retentate side flow rate and increasing the temperature.
Energy-exergy Evaluation of Liquefied Hydrogen Production System Based on Steam Methane Reforming and LNG Revaporization
Jul 2023
Publication
The research motivation of this paper is to utilize the large amount of energy wasted during the LNG (liquefied natural gas) gasification process and proposes a synergistic liquefied hydrogen (LH2) production and storage process scheme for LNG receiving station and methane reforming hydrogen production process - SMR-LNG combined liquefied hydrogen production system which uses the cold energy from LNG to pre-cool the hydrogen and subsequently uses an expander to complete the liquefaction of hydrogen. The proposed process is modeled and simulated by Aspen HYSYS software and its efficiency is evaluated and sensitivity analysis is carried out. The simulation results show that the system can produce liquefied hydrogen with a flow rate of 5.89t/h with 99.99% purity when the LNG supply rate is 50t/h. The power consumption of liquefied hydrogen is 46.6kWh/kg LH2; meanwhile the energy consumption of the HL subsystem is 15.9kWh/kg LH2 lower than traditional value of 17~19kWh/kg LH2. The efficiency of the hydrogen production subsystem was 16.9%; the efficiency of the hydrogen liquefaction (HL) subsystem was 29.61% which was significantly higher than the conventional industrial value of 21%; the overall energy efficiency (EE1) of the system was 56.52% with the exergy efficiency (EE2) of 22.2% reflecting a relatively good thermodynamic perfection. The energy consumption of liquefied hydrogen per unit product is 98.71 GJ/kg LH2.
Probabilistic Analysis of Low-Emission Hydrogen Production from a Photovoltaic Carport
Oct 2024
Publication
This article presents a 3D model of a yellow hydrogen generation system that uses the electricity produced by a photovoltaic carport. The 3D models of all key system components were collected and their characteristics were described. Based on the design of the 3D model of the photovoltaic carport the amount of energy produced monthly was determined. These quantities were then applied to determine the production of low-emission hydrogen. In order to increase the amount of low-emission hydrogen produced the usage of a stationary energy storage facility was proposed. The Metalog family of probability distributions was adopted to develop a strategic model for low-emission hydrogen production. The hydrogen economy of a company that uses small amounts of hydrogen can be based on such a model. The 3D modeling and calculations show that it is possible to design a compact low-emission hydrogen generation system using rapid prototyping tools including the photovoltaic carport with an electrolyzer placed in the container and an energy storage facility. This is an effective solution for the climate and energy transition of companies with low hydrogen demand. In the analytical part the Metalog probability distribution family was employed to determine the amount of monthly energy produced by 6.3 kWp photovoltaic systems located in two European countries: Poland and Italy. Calculating the probability of producing specific amounts of hydrogen in two European countries is an answer to a frequently asked question: In which European countries will the production of low-emission hydrogen from photovoltaic systems be the most profitable? As a result of the calculations for the analyzed year 2023 in Poland and Italy specific answers were obtained regarding the probability of monthly energy generation and monthly hydrogen production. Many companies from Poland and Italy are taking part in the European competition to create hydrogen banks. Only those that offer low-emission hydrogen at the lowest prices will receive EU funding.
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