Safety
Explosion Characteristics and Overpressure Prediction of Hydrogen-doped Natural Gas under Ambient Turbulence Conditions
Jul 2025
Publication
Explosions of combustible gases under ambient turbulence exhibit complex flame propagation and overpressure evolution characteristics posing challenges to explosion safety assessments. In this study explosion behaviors of hydrogen-doped natural gas under various wind speeds were investigated using a small-scale experimental system. The results show that when the wind speed does not exceed 2 m/s ambient turbulence promotes flame acceleration and overpressure enhancement with the maximum overpressure increased by 20.7% compared to the no-wind condition. However when the wind speed exceeds 2 m/s turbulence suppresses flame propagation leading to a reduction in maximum overpressure by up to 50.5%. Under early-stage turbulent disturbances the flame front exhibits instability from the ignition stage resulting in a continuous transition from laminar to turbulent combustion without a distinct critical instability radius. Furthermore a modified overpressure prediction model is proposed by incorporating a flame wrinkling factor into the Thomas model and adopting a dimensionless distance treatment from the TNO multi-energy model. The proposed model achieves a root mean square error of 0.140 kPa under various wind speed conditions demonstrating good predictive accuracy.
Analysis of Equipment Failures as a Contributor to Hydrogen Refuelling Stations Incidents
Oct 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is a sustainable clean source of energy and a viable alternative to carbon-based fossil fuels. To support the transport sector’s transition from fossil fuels to hydrogen a hydrogen refuelling station network is being developed to refuel hydrogen-powered vehicles. However hydrogen’s inherent properties present a significant safety challenge and there have been several hydrogen incidents noted with severe impacts to people and assets reported from operational hydrogen refuelling stations worldwide. This paper presents the outcome of an analysis of hydrogen incidents that occurred at hydrogen refuelling stations. For this purpose the HIAD 2.1 and H2tool.org databases were used for the collection of hydrogen incidents. Forty-five incidents were reviewed and analysed to determine the frequent equipment failures in the hydrogen refuelling stations and the underlying causes. This study adopted a mixed research approach for the analysis of the incidents in the hydrogen refuelling stations. The analysis reveals that storage tank failures accounted for 40% of total reported incidents hydrogen dispenser failures accounted for 33% compressors accounted for 11% valves accounted for 9% and pipeline failures accounted for 7%. To enable the safe operation of hydrogen refuelling stations hazards must be understood effective barriers implemented and learning from past incidents incorporated into safety protocols to prevent future incidents.
Risk Assessment Framework for Green Hydrogen Megaprojects: Balancing Climate Goals with Project Viability
Dec 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen presents a promising solution for decarbonisation but its widespread adoption faces significant challenges. To meet Europe’s 2030 targets a 250-fold increase in electrolyser capacity is required necessitating an investment of €170-240 billion. This involves constructing 20-40 pioneering megaprojects each with a 1-5 GW capacity. Historically pioneering energy projects have seen capital costs double or triple from initial estimates with over 50% failing to meet production goals at startup due to new technology introductions site-specific characteristics and project complexity. Additionally megaprojects costing more than €1 billion frequently succumb to the "iron law" which states they are often over budget take longer than anticipated and yield fewer benefits than expected mainly because key players consistently underestimate costs and risks. Pursuing multiple pioneering megaprojects simultaneously restricts opportunities for iterative learning which raises risks related to untested technologies and infrastructure demands. This vision paper introduces a novel risk assessment framework that combines insights from pioneering and megaprojects with technology readiness evaluations and comparative CO2 reduction analyses to tackle these challenges. The framework aims to guide investment decisions and risk mitigation strategies such as staged scaling and limiting the introduction of new technology. The analysis highlights that using green ammonia for fertiliser production can reduce CO2 emissions by 51 tons of CO2 per ton of hydrogen significantly outperforming hydrogen use in transportation and heating. This structured approach considers risks and environmental benefits while promoting equitable risk distribution between developed and developing nations.
The Effect of Jet-Induced Disturbances on the Flame Characteristics of Hydrogen–Air Mixtures
Oct 2025
Publication
To mitigate explosion hazards arising from hydrogen leakage and subsequent mixing with air the injection of inert gases can substantially diminish explosion risk. However prevailing research has predominantly characterized inert gas dilution effects on explosion behavior under quiescent conditions largely neglecting the turbulence-mediated explosion enhancement inherent to dynamic mixing scenarios. A comprehensive investigation was conducted on the combustion behavior of 30% 50% and 70% H2-air mixtures subjected to jet-induced (CO2 N2 He) turbulent flow incorporating quantitative characterization of both the evolving turbulent flow field and flame front dynamics. Research has demonstrated that both an increased H2 concentration and a higher jet medium molecular weight increase the turbulence intensity: the former reduces the mixture molecular weight to accelerate diffusion whereas the latter results in more pronounced disturbances from heavier molecules. In addition when CO2 serves as the jet medium a critical flame radius threshold emerges where the flame propagation velocity decreases below this threshold because CO2 dilution effects suppress combustion whereas exceeding it leads to enhanced propagation as initial disturbances become the dominant factor. Furthermore at reduced H2 concentrations (30–50%) flow disturbances induce flame front wrinkling while preserving the spherical geometry; conversely at 70% H2 substantial flame deformation occurs because of the inverse correlation between the laminar burning velocity and flame instability governing this transition. Through systematic quantitative analysis this study elucidates the evolutionary patterns of both turbulent fields and flame fronts offering groundbreaking perspectives on H2 combustion and explosion propagation in turbulent environments.
Impact of Hydrogen Release on Accidental Consequences in Deep-Sea Floating Photovoltaic Hydrogen Production Platforms
Jul 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is a potential key component of a carbon-neutral energy carrier and an input to marine industrial processes. This study examines the consequences of coupled hydrogen release and marine environmental factors during floating photovoltaic hydrogen production (FPHP) system failures. A validated three-dimensional numerical model of FPHP comprehensively characterizes hydrogen leakage dynamics under varied rupture diameters (25 50 100 mm) transient release duration dispersion patterns and wind intensity effects (0–20 m/s sea-level velocities) on hydrogen–air vapor clouds. FLACS-generated data establish the concentration–dispersion distance relationship with numerical validation confirming predictive accuracy for hydrogen storage tank failures. The results indicate that the wind velocity and rupture size significantly influence the explosion risk; 100 mm ruptures elevate the explosion risk producing vapor clouds that are 40–65% larger than 25 mm and 50 mm cases. Meanwhile increased wind velocities (>10 m/s) accelerate hydrogen dilution reducing the high-concentration cloud volume by 70–84%. Hydrogen jet orientation governs the spatial overpressure distribution in unconfined spaces leading to considerable shockwave consequence variability. Photovoltaic modules and inverters of FPHP demonstrate maximum vulnerability to overpressure effects; these key findings can be used in the design of offshore platform safety. This study reveals fundamental accident characteristics for FPHP reliability assessment and provides critical insights for safety reinforcement strategies in maritime hydrogen applications.
Hydrogen Pipelines Safety Using System Dynamics
Oct 2025
Publication
With the global expansion of hydrogen infrastructure the safe and efficient transportation of hydrogen is becoming more important. In this study several technical factors including material degradation pressure variations and monitoring effectiveness that influence hydrogen transportation using pipelines are examined using system dynamics. The results show that hydrogen embrittlement which is the result of microstructural trapping and limited diffusion in certain steels can have a profound effect on pipeline integrity. Material incompatibility and pressure fluctuations deepen fatigue damage and leakage risk. Moreover pipeline monitoring inefficiency combined with hydrogen’s high flammability and diffusivity can raise serious safety issues. An 80% decrease in monitoring efficiency will result in a 52% reduction in the total hydrogen provided to the end users. On the other hand technical risks such as pressure fluctuations and material weakening from hydrogen embrittlement also affect overall system performance. It is essential to understand that real-time detection using hydrogen monitoring is particularly important and will lower the risk of leakage. It is crucial to know where hydrogen is lost and how it impacts transport efficiency. The model offers practical insights for developing stronger and more reliable hydrogen transport systems thereby supporting the transition to a low-carbon energy future.
Risk Analysis of Hydrogen Leakage at Hydrogen Producing and Refuelling Integrated Station
Feb 2025
Publication
Hydrogen energy is considered the most promising clean energy in the 21st century so hydrogen refuelling stations (HRSs) are crucial facilities for storage and supply. HRSs might experience hydrogen leakage (HL) incidents during their operation. Hydrogen-producing and refuelling integrated stations (HPRISs) could make thermal risks even more prominent than those of HRSs. Considering HL as the target in the HPRIS through the method of fault tree analysis (FTA) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) the importance degree and probability importance were appraised to obtain indicators for the weight of accident level. In addition the influence of HL from storage tanks under ambient wind conditions was analysed using the specific model. Based upon risk analysis of FTA AHP and ALOHA preventive measures were obtained. Through an evaluation of importance degree and probability importance it was concluded that misoperation material ageing inadequate maintenance and improper design were four dominant factors contributing to accidents. Furthermore four crucial factors contributing to accidents were identified by the analysis of the weight of the HL event with AHP: heat misoperation inadequate maintenance and valve failure. Combining the causal analysis of FTA with the expert weights from AHP enables the identification of additional crucial factors in risk. The extent of the hazard increased with wind speed and yet wind direction did not distinctly affect the extent of the risk. However this did affect the direction in which the risk spreads. It is extremely vital to rationally plan upwind and downwind buildings or structures equipment and facilities. The available findings of the research could provide theoretical guidance for the applications and promotion of hydrogen energy in China as well as for the proactive safety and feasible emergency management of HPRISs.
Zone Negligible Extent: Example of Specific Detailed Risk Assessment for Low Pressure Equipment in a Hydrogen Refuelling Station
Sep 2023
Publication
The MultHyFuel project aims to develop evidence-based guidelines for the safe implementation of Hydrogen Refueling Stations (HRS) in a multi-fuel context. As a part of the generation of good practice guidelines for HRS Hazardous Area Classification (HAC) methodologies were analyzed and applied to case studies representing example configurations of HRS. It has been anticipated that Negligible Extent (NE) classifications might be applicable for sections of the HRS for instance a hydrogen generator. A NE zone requires that an ignition of a flammable cloud would result in negligible consequences. In addition depending on the pressure of the system IEC 60079-10-1:2020 establishes specific requirements in order to classify the hazardous area as being of NE. One such requirement is that a zone of NE shall not be applied for releases from flammable gas systems at pressures above 2000 kPag (20 barg) unless a specific detailed risk assessment is documented. However there is no definition within the standard as to the requirements of the specific detailed risk assessment. In this work an example for a specific detailed risk assessment for the NE classification is presented:<br/>• Firstly the requirements of cloud volume dilution and background concentration for a zone of NE classification from IEC 60079-10-1:2020 are analyzed for hydrogen releases from equipment placed in a mechanically ventilated enclosure.<br/>• Secondly the consequences arising from the ignition of the localized cloud are estimated and compared to acceptable harm criteria in order to assess if negligible consequences are obtained from the scenario.<br/>• In addition a specific qualitative risk assessment for the ignition of the cloud in the enclosure was considered incorporating the estimated consequences and analyzing the available safeguards in the example system.<br/>Recommendations for the specific detailed risk assessment are proposed for this scenario with the intention to support improved definition of the requirement in future revisions of IEC 60079-10-1.
A Review of Hydrogen Leak Detection Regulations and Technologies
Aug 2024
Publication
Hydrogen (H2 ) is positioned as a key solution to the decarbonization challenge in both the energy and transportation sectors. While hydrogen is a clean and versatile energy carrier it poses significant safety risks due to its wide flammability range and high detonation potential. Hydrogen leaks can occur throughout the hydrogen value chain including production storage transportation and utilization. Thus effective leak detection systems are essential for the safe handling storage and transportation of hydrogen. This review aims to survey relevant codes and standards governing hydrogen-leak detection and evaluate various sensing technologies based on their working principles and effectiveness. Our analysis highlights the strengths and limitations of the current detection technologies emphasizing the challenges in achieving sensitive and specific hydrogen detection. The results of this review provide critical insights into the existing technologies and regulatory frameworks informing future advancements in hydrogen safety protocols.
Simulations of Blast Wave and Fireball Occurring due to Rupture oj High-Pressure Hydrogen Tank
Jun 2017
Publication
In the present study pilot simulations of the phenomena of blast wave and fireball generated by the rupture of a high-pressure (35 MPa) hydrogen tank (volume 72 L) due to fire were carried out. The computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model includes the realizable k-ε model for turbulence and the eddy dissipation model coupled with the one-step chemical reaction mechanism for combustion. The simulation results were compared with experimental data on a stand-alone hydrogen tank rupture in a bonfire test. The simulations provided insights into the interaction between the blast wave propagation and combustion process. The simulated blast wave decay is approximately identical to the experimental data concerning pressure at various distances. Fireball is first ignited at the ground level which is considered to be due to stagnation flow conditions. Subsequently the flame propagates toward the interface between hydrogen and air.
Experimental Study on the Effect of the Ignition Location on Vented Deflagration of Hydrogen-air Mixtures in Enclosure
Sep 2023
Publication
No countermeasures exist for accidents that might occur in hydrogen-based facilities (leaks fires explosions etc.). In South Korea discussions are underway regarding measures to ensure safety from such accidents such as the construction of underground hydrogen storage tank facilities. However explosion vents with a minimum ventilation area are required in such facilities to minimize damage to buildings and other structures due to accidental explosions. These explosion vents allow the generated overpressure and flames to be safely dispersed outside; however a safe separation distance must be secured to minimize damage to humans. This study aimed to determine the safe separation distance to minimize human damage after analyzing the dispersed overpressure and flame behavior following a vent explosion. Explosion experiments were conducted to investigate the influence of the ignition source location on internal and external overpressure and external flame behavior using a cuboid concrete structure with a volume of 20.33 m3 filled with a hydrogen-air mixture (29.0 vol.%). The impact on overpressure and flame was increased with the increasing distance of the ignition source from the vent. Importantly depending on the ignition location the incident pressure was up to 24.4 times higher while the reflected pressure was 8.7 times higher. Additionally a maximum external overpressure of 30.01 kPa was measured at a distance of 2.4 m from the vent predicting damage to humans at the “Injury” level (1 % fatality probability). Whereas no significant damage would occur at a distance of 7.4 m or more from the vent.
Deflagration-to-detonation Transition Due to a Pressurised Release of a Hydrogen Jet. First Results of the Ongoing TAU_NRCN-CEA Project
Sep 2023
Publication
A sudden release of compressed gases and the formation of a jet flow can occur in nature and various engineering applications. In particular high-pressure hydrogen jets can spontaneously ignite when released into an environment that contains oxygen. For some scenarios these high-pressure hydrogen jets can be released into a mixture containing hydrogen and oxygen. This scenario can possibly lead to a wide range of combustion regimes such as jet flames slow or fast deflagrations or even hazardous detonations. Each combustion regime is characterized by typical pressures and temperatures however fast transition between regimes is also possible.<br/>A common project between Tel Aviv University (TAU) Nuclear Research Center Negev (NRCN) and Commissariat à l’Energie Atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) has been recently launched in order to understand these phenomena from experimental modelling and numerical points of view. The main goal is to investigate the dynamics and combustion regimes that arise once a pressurized hydrogen jet is released into a reactive environment that contains inhomogeneous concentrations of hydrogen steam and air.<br/>In this paper we present the first numerical results describing high-pressure hydrogen release obtained using a massively parallel compressible structured-grid flow solver. The experimental arrangements devoted to this phenomenon will also be described.
Experimental Study of the Mitigation of Hydrogen-Air Explosions by Aqueous Foam
Sep 2023
Publication
The development of hydrogen production technologies as well as new uses represents an opportunity both to accelerate the ecological transition and to create an industrial sector. However the risks associated with the use of hydrogen must not be overlooked. The mitigation of a hydrogen explosion in an enclosure is partly based on prevention strategies such as detection and ventilation but also on protection strategies such as explosion venting. However in several situations such as in highly constrained urban environments the discharge of the explosion through blast walls could generate significant overpressure effects outside the containment which are unacceptable. Thus having alternative mitigation solutions can make the effects of the explosion acceptable by reducing the flame speed and the overpressure loading or suppressing the secondary explosion. The objective of this paper is to present the experimental study of the mitigation of hydrogen-air deflagration in a 4 m3 vented enclosure by injection of aqueous foam. After a description of the experimental set-up the main experimental results are presented showing the influence of aqueous foam on flame propagation (Fig. 1). Different foam expansion ratios were investigated. An interpretation of the mitigating effect of foam on the explosion effects is proposed based on the work of Kichatov [5] and Zamashchikov [2].
SSEXHY Experimental Results on Pressure Dynamics from Head-on Reflections of Hydrogen Flames
Sep 2023
Publication
In the past few years CEA has been fully involved at both experimental and modeling levels in projects related to hydrogen safety in nuclear and chemical industries and has carried out a test program using the experimental bench SSEXHY (Structure Submitted to an EXplosion of HYdrogen) in order to build a database of the deformations of simple structures following an internal hydrogen explosion. Different propagation regimes of explosions were studied varying from detonations to slow deflagrations.<br/>During the experimental campaign it was found that high-speed deflagrations corresponding to relatively poor hydrogen-air mixtures resulted in higher specimen deformation compared to those related to detonations of nearly stoichiometric mixtures. This paper explains this counter-intuitive result from qualitative and quantitative points of view. It is shown that the overpressure and impulse from head-on reflections of hydrogen flames corresponding to poor mixtures of specific concentrations could have very high values at the tube end.
Numerical Simulation of Transition to Detonation in a Hydrogen-air Mixture Due to Shock Wave Focusing on a 90-Deg Wedge
Sep 2023
Publication
The interaction of a shock wave with a specific angle or concave wall due to its reflection and focusing is a way to onset the detonation provided sufficiently strong shock wave. In this work we present numerical simulation results of the detonation initiation due to the shock reflection and focusing in a 90-degree wedge for mixtures of H2 and air. The code used was ddtFoam [1–3] that is a component of the larger OpenFOAM open-source CFD package of density-based code for solving the unsteady compressible Navier-Stokes equations. The numerical model represents the 2-D geometry of the experiments performed by Rudy [4]. The numerical results revealed three potential scenarios in the corner after reflection: shock wave reflection without ignition deflagrative ignition with intermediate transient regimes with a delayed transition to detonation in lagging combustion zone at around 1.8 mm from the apex of the wedge and ignition with an instantaneous transition to detonation with the formation of the detonation wave in the corner tip. In the experimental investigation the transition velocity for the stoichiometric mixture was approximately 715 m/s while in the numerical simulation the transition velocity for the stoichiometric mixture was 675.65 m/s 5.5% decrease in velocity.
CFD Analysis of Hydrogen Leakage from a Small Hole in a Sloping Roof Hydrogen Refueling Station
Sep 2023
Publication
As a key link in the application of hydrogen energy hydrogen refueling stations are significant for their safe operation. This paper established a three-dimensional 1:1 model for a seaport hydrogen refueling station in Ningbo City. In this work the CFD software FLUENT was used to study the influence of leakage angles on the leakage of high-pressure hydrogen through a small hole. Considering the calculation accuracy and efficiency this paper adopted the pseudo-diameter model. When the obstacle was far from the leakage hole it had almost no obstructive effect on the jet's main body. Still it affected the hydrogen whose momentum in the outer layer of the jet has been significantly decayed. In this condition there would be more hydrogen in stagnation. Thus the volume of the flammable hydrogen cloud was hardly affected while there was a significant increase in the volume of the hazardous hydrogen cloud. When the obstacle was close to the leakage hole it directly affected the jet's main body. Therefore the volume of the flammable hydrogen cloud increased. However the air impeded the hydrogen jet relatively less because the hydrogen jet contacted the obstacle more quickly. The hydrogen jet blocked by the obstacle still has some momentum. Therefore there was no more hydrogen in stagnation and no significant increase in the volume of the hazardous hydrogen cloud.
Heat and Mass Transfer Modeling of Vacuum Insulated Vessel Storing Cryogenic Liquid in Loss of Vacuum Accident
Sep 2023
Publication
Cryogenic liquid is often stored in a vacuum insulated Dewar vessel for a high efficiency of thermal insulation. Multi-layer insulation (MLI) can be further applied in the double-walled vacuum space to reduce the heat transfer from the environment to the stored cryogenic fluid. However in loss-of-vacuum accident (LOVA) scenarios heat flux across the MLI will raise to orders of magnitudes larger than with an intact vacuum shield. The cryogenic liquid will boil intensively and pressurize the vessel due to the heat ingress. The pressurization endangers the integrity of the vessel and poses an extra catastrophic risk if the vapor is flammable e.g. hydrogen. Therefore safety valves have to be designed and installed appropriately to make sure the pressure is limited to acceptable levels. In this work the dynamic process of the heat and mass transfers in the LOVA scenarios is studied theoretically. The mass deposition - desublimation of gaseous nitrogen on cryogenic surfaces is modeled as it provides the dominant contribution of the thermal load to the cryogenic fluid. The conventional heat convection and radiation are modeled too although they play only secondary roles as realized in the course of the study. The temperature dependent thermal properties of e.g. gaseous and solid nitrogen and stainless steel are used to improve the accuracy of calculation in the cryogenic temperature range. Presented methodology enabling the computation of thermodynamic parameters in the cryogenic storage system during LOVA scenarios provides further support for the future risk assessment and safety system design.
Influence of Air Changes Per Hour on Hydrogen Leaks in Mechanically Ventilated Enclosures
Mar 2024
Publication
The integration of hydrogen energy systems into nearly zero-emission buildings (nZEB) is emerging as a viable strategy to curtail greenhouse gas emissions associated with energy use in these buildings. However the indoor or outdoor placement of certain hydrogen system components or equipment necessitates stringent safety measures particularly in confined environments. This study aims to investigate the dynamics of hydrogen dispersion within an enclosure featuring forced ventilation analyzing the interplay between leakage flow rates and ventilation efficiency both experimentally and numerically. To simulate hydrogen's behavior helium gas which shares similar physical characteristics with hydrogen was utilized in experiments conducted at leakage flows of 4 8 and 10 L/min alongside a ventilation rate of 30 air changes per hour (ACH). The experiments revealed that irrespective of the leakage rate the oxygen concentration returned to its initial level approximately 11 min post-leakage at a ventilation rate of 30 ACH. This study also encompasses a numerical analysis to validate the experimental findings and assess the congruence between helium and hydrogen behaviors. Additionally the impact of varying ACH rates (30 45 60 75) on the concentrations of oxygen and hydrogen was quantified through numerical analysis for different hydrogen leakage rates (4 8 10 20 L/min). The insights derived from this research offer valuable guidance for building facility engineers on designing ventilation systems that ensure hydrogen and oxygen concentrations remain within safe limits in hydrogen-utilizing indoor environments.
Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) Analysis of a Cold-adsorbed Hydrogen Tank During Refilling
Sep 2023
Publication
Hydrogen has the potential to be an important source of clean energy but the development of efficient and cost-effective methods for storing hydrogen is a key challenge that needs to be addressed in order to make widespread use of hydrogen as a possible energy sourc. There are different methods for storing hydrogen (i.e. compressed it at high pressures liquefied by cooling the hydrogen to a temperature of -253°C and stored with a chemical compound) each with its own advantages and disadvantages.<br/>MAST3RBoost (Maturing the Production Standards of Ultraporous Structures for High Density Hydrogen Storage Bank Operating on Swinging Temperatures and Low Compression) is a European project which aims to provide a solid benchmark of cold-adsorbed H2 storage (CAH2) at low compression (100 bar or below) by maturation of a new generation of ultraporous materials for mobility applications i.e. H2-powered vehicles including road and railway air-borne and waterborne transportation. Based on a new generation of Machine Learning-improved ultraporous materials – such as Activated Carbons (ACs) and high-density MOFs (Metal-organic Frameworks) – MAST3RBoost project will enable a disruptive path to meet the industry goals by developing the first worldwide adsorption-based demonstrator at the kg-scale.<br/>The design of the tank is supported by numerical investigation by mean of the use of Computational Fluid Dynamic (CFD) commercial code. In this a paper a preliminary analysis of the refilling of tank is presented focused on the effect of different tank configurations on the hydrogen temperature and on the hydrogen adsorption.
A Multi-model Assessment of the Global Warming Potential of Hydrogen
Jun 2023
Publication
With increasing global interest in molecular hydrogen to replace fossil fuels more attention is being paid to potential leakages of hydrogen into the atmosphere and its environmental consequences. Hydrogen is not directly a greenhouse gas but its chemical reactions change the abundances of the greenhouse gases methane ozone and stratospheric water vapor as well as aerosols. Here we use a model ensemble of five global atmospheric chemistry models to estimate the 100-year time-horizon Global Warming Potential (GWP100) of hydrogen. We estimate a hydrogen GWP100 of 11.6 ± 2.8 (one standard deviation). The uncertainty range covers soil uptake photochemical production of hydrogen the lifetimes of hydrogen and methane and the hydroxyl radical feedback on methane and hydrogen. The hydrogeninduced changes are robust across the different models. It will be important to keep hydrogen leakages at a minimum to accomplish the benefits of switching to a hydrogen economy.
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