United Kingdom

This document is phase 2 of the energy storage strategy study and it covers the storage challenges of the energy transition. We start in section 3 by covering historical and current natural gas imports into the UK and what these could look like in the future. In section 4 we explore what demand for hydrogen could look like – this has a high level of uncertainty and future policy decisions will have significant impacts on hydrogen volumes and annual variations. We generated two hydrogen storage scenarios based on National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios and the Climate Change Committee’s Sixth Carbon Budget to assess the future need for hydrogen storage in the UK. We also looked at an extreme weather scenario resulting from an area of high-pressure settled over the British Isles resulting in very low ambient temperatures an unusually high demand for heating and almost no wind generation. In section 5 we investigate options for hydrogen storage and build on work previously carried out by SGN. We discuss the differences between the properties of hydrogen and natural gas and how this affects line pack and depletion of line pack. We discuss flexibility on the supply and demand side and how this can impact on hydrogen storage. We provide a summary table which compares the various options for storage. In section 5 we explore hydrogen trade and options for import and export. Using information from other innovation projects we also discuss production of hydrogen from nuclear power and the impact of hybrid appliances on gas demand for domestic heat. In section 7 we discuss the outputs from a stakeholder workshop with about 40 stakeholders across industry academia and government. The workshop covered UK gas storage strategy to date hydrogen demand and corresponding storage scenarios to 2050 including consideration of seasonal variation and storage options.

The world is facing an urgent global climate challenge and hydrogen (H2) is increasingly valued as a carbon-free energy carrier that can play a prominent role in decarbonising economies. However the environmental impact of the different methods for hydrogen production are sometimes overlooked. This work provides a comprehensive overview of the environmental impacts and costs of a diverse range of methods for producing hydrogen. Ninety nine life cycle assessments (LCAs) of hydrogen production published between 2015 and 2022 are categorised by geography production method energy source goal and scope and compared by data sources and methodology. A meta-analysis of methodological choices is used to identify a subset of mutually comparable studies whose results are then compared initially by global warming potential (GWP) then low-GWP scenarios are compared by other indicators. The results show that the lowest GWP is achieved by methods that are currently more expensive (~US $4–9/kg H2) compared to the dominant methods of producing hydrogen from fossil fuels (~US $1–2/kg H2). The research finds that data are currently limited for comparing environmental indicators other than GWP such as terrestrial acidification or freshwater eutrophication. Recommendations are made for future LCAs of hydrogen production.

This review presents a state-of-the-art of geochemical geomechanical and hydrodynamic modelling studies in the Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS) domain. Geochemical modelling assessed the reactivity of hydrogen and res pective fluctuations in hydrogen losses using kinetic reaction rates rock mineralogy brine salinity and the integration of hydrogen redox reactions. Existing geomechanics studies offer an array of coupled hydromechanical models suggesting a decline in rock failure during the withdrawal phase in aquifers compared to injection phase. Hydrodynamic modelling evaluations indicate the critical importance of relative permeability hysteresis in determining the UHS performance. Solubility and diffusion of hydrogen gas appear to have minimal impact on UHS. Injection and production rates cushion gas deployment and reservoir heterogeneity however significantly affect the UHS performance stressing the need for thorough modelling and experimental studies. Most of the current UHS modelling efforts focus on assessing the hydrodynamic aspects which are crucial for understanding the viability and safety of UHS. In contrast the lesser-explored geochemical and geomechanical considerations point to potential research gaps. A variety of modelling software tools such as CMG Eclipse COMSOL and PHREEQC evaluated those UHS underlying effects along with a few recent applications of datadriven-based Machine Learning (ML) techniques for enhanced accuracy. This review identified several unresolved challenges in UHS modelling: pronounced lack of expansive datasets leading to a gap between model predictions and their practical reliability; need robust methodologies capable of capturing natural subsurface heterogeneity while upscaling from precise laboratory data to field-scale conditions; demanding intensive computational resources and novel strategies to enhance simulation efficiency; and a gap in addressing geological uncertainties in subsurface environments suggesting that methodologies from oil reservoir simulations could be adapted for UHS. This comprehensive review offers a critical synthesis of the prevailing approaches challenges and research gaps in the domain of UHS thus providing a valuable reference document for further modelling efforts facilitating the informed advancements in this critical domain towards the realization of sustainable energy solutions.

This paper presents work undertaken by the HSE as part of the Hytunnel-CS project a consortium investigating safety considerations for fuel cell hydrogen (FCH) vehicles in tunnels and similar confined spaces.<br/>Hydrogen vehicles typically have a Thermally activated Pressure Release Device (TPRD) providing protection to the on-board storage of the vehicle. Upon activation the content of the vessel is released in a blowdown. The release of this hydrogen gas poses a significant hazard of ignition. The consequences of such an ignition could also be compounded by confinement or congestion.<br/>HSE undertook a series of experiments investigating the consequences of these events by releasing hydrogen into a tunnel and causing ignitions. A sub-section of these tests involved steel structures providing congestion in the tunnel. The mass of hydrogen released into the tunnel prior to ignition was varied by storage pressure (up to 59 MPa) release diameter and ignition delay. The ignition delays were set based on the expected worst-case predicted by pre-simulation models. To assess the consequences overpressure measurements were made down the tunnel walls and for the tests with congestion at the face and rear of the congestion structures. The flame arrival time was also measured using exposed-tip thermocouples resulting in an estimate for flame speed down the tunnel. The measured overpressure and flame extent results are presented and compared against overpressure levels of concern.

Sustainable aviation is a key part of achieving Net Zero by 2050 and is arguably one of the most challenging sectors to decarbonise. Hydrogen has gained unprecedented attention as a future fuel for aviation for use within fuel cell or hydrogen gas turbine propulsion systems. This paper presents a survey of the literature and industrial projects on hydrogen aircraft and associated enabling technologies. The current and predicted technology capabilities are analysed to identify important trends and to assess the feasibility of hydrogen propulsion. Several key enabling technologies are discussed in detail and gaps in knowledge are identified. It is evident that hydrogen propelled aircraft are technologically viable by 2050. However convergence of a number of critical factors is required namely: the extent of industrial collaboration the understanding of environmental science and contrails green hydrogen production and its availability at the point of use and the safety and certification of the aircraft and supporting infrastructure.

Accelerated decarbonisation of steelmaking oil refining and petrochemical industries is essential for climate change mitigation. Drawing on three longitudinal case studies of these industries in the UK this synthesis article makes a comparative analysis of their varying low-carbon reorientation speeds. The paper uses the triple embeddedness framework to analyse five factors (policy support international competition financial health technical feasibility corporate strategy and mindset) that explain why UK oil refineries have in recent years been comparatively the fastest in their low-carbon reorientation and UK steelmakers the slowest. We find that policy support has been more beneficial for refining and petrochemicals than for steel although recent government deals with steelmakers addressed this imbalance. International competition has been high for steel and petrochemicals and comparatively lower for refining (meaning that decarbonisation costs are less detrimental for international competitiveness). Financial performance has comparatively been worst for steel and best for oil refining which shapes the economic feasibility of low-carbon options. Hydrogen and carbon-capture-and-storage are technologically feasible for refining and petrochemicals while Electric Arc Furnaces are technically feasible for steelmakers but face wider feasibility problems (with scrap steel supply electricity grids and electricity prices) which is why we question the recent government deals. Corporate strategy and perceptions changed in oil refining with firms seeing economic opportunities in decarbonisation while steelmakers and petrochemical firms still mostly see decarbonisation as a burden and threat. The paper ends with comparative conclusions a discussion of political considerations and future outlooks for the three UK industries policy and research.

The recognition of hydrogen as a technically viable combustion fuel and as an alternative to more carbon intensive technologies for all forms of industrial applications has resulted in significant global interest leading to both public and private investment. As with most shifts in technology public acceptance and its safe production and handling will be key to its growth as a widespread energy vector. Specific properties of hydrogen that may prompt concern from the public and that need to be considered in terms of its use and safe handling include the following:<br/>• Hydrogen in its natural state is a colourless odourless and tasteless gas that is combustible with very low ignition energy burns nearly invisibly and is explosive at a very wide range of concentrations with an oxidate.<br/>• Hydrogen as any other gas except oxygen is an asphyxiant in a confined space.<br/>• Hydrogen is an extremely small molecule and interacts with many materials which over time can alter the physical properties and can lead to embrittlement and failure. Additionally due to the small molecular size its permeation and diffusion characteristics make it more difficult to contain compared to other gases.<br/>As hydrogen production use and storage increases these properties will come under greater scrutiny and may raise questions surrounding the cost/benefit of the technology. Understanding how the public sees this technology in relation to their safety and daily lives is important in hydrogen’s adoption as a low carbon alternative. A review of deployable experience relevant to the handling of hydrogen in other industries will help us to understand the technology and experience necessary for ensuring the success of the scaling up of a hydrogen economy. The social considerations of the impacts should also be examined to consider acceptance of the technology as it moves into the mainstream.

In recent years there has been a significant increase in the adoption of autonomous vehicles for marine and submarine missions. The advancement of emerging imaging navigation and communication technologies has greatly expanded the range of operational capabilities and opportunities available. The ENDURUNS project is a European research endeavor focused on identifying strategies for achieving minimal environmental impact. To measure these facts this article evaluates the product impacts employing the Life Cycle Assessment methodology for the first time following the ISO 14040 standard. In this analysis the quantitative values of Damage and Environmental Impact using the Eco-Indicator 99 methodology in SimaPro software are presented. The results report that the main contributors in environmental impact terms have been placed during the manufacturing phase. Thus one of the challenges is accomplished avoiding the use phase emissions that are the focus to reduce nowadays in the marine industry.

The aim of the H21 project is to undertake measurements analysis and field trials to support the safe repurposing of Great Britain’s natural gas distribution network for hydrogen. As part of this project work has been ongoing to identify aspects of existing natural gas procedures that will need to be modified for hydrogen and to support the development of new procedures. This has included a review of the scientific basis of current displacement purging practices analysis of the potential implications of switching from natural gas to hydrogen and experimental support work. The reduced density and viscosity of hydrogen means that minimum purging velocities should (in principle) be higher for hydrogen to avoid stratification and ensure adequate removal of the purged gas during pipeline purging operations. A complicating factor is the high molecular diffusivity of hydrogen (roughly three times that of natural gas) which causes hydrogen to mix over short distances more rapidly than natural gas. Current models for pipeline purging do not take into account the mixing effect related to molecular diffusion. The wider flammable limits lower ignition energy and greater potential for combustion to transition from deflagration to detonation with hydrogen means that indirect purging with nitrogen is currently being investigated for distribution pipelines. This paper reviews the ongoing analysis of hydrogen pipeline purging and discusses a potential future scientific programme of work aimed at developing a new pipeline purging model that accounts for molecular diffusion effects.

Blue hydrogen is viewed as an important energy vector in a decarbonised global economy but its large-scale and capital-intensive production displays economic performance vulnerabities in the face of increased market and regulatory uncertainty. This study analyses flexible (modular) blue hydrogen production plant designs and evaluates their effectiveness to enhance economic performance under uncertainty. The novelty of this work lies in the development of a comprehensive techno-economic evaluation framework that considers flexible centralised and decentralised blue hydrogen plant design alternatives in the presence of irreducible uncertainty whilst explicitly considering the time value of money economies of scale and learning effects. A case study of centralised and decentralised blue hydrogen production for the transport sector in the San Francisco area is developed to highlight the underlying value of flexibility. The proposed methodological framework considers various blue hydrogen plant designs (fixed phased and flexible) and compares them using relevant economic indicators (net present value (NPV) capex value-at-risk/gain etc.) through a detailed Monte Carlo simulation framework. Results indicate that flexible centralised hydrogen production yields greater economic value than alternative designs despite the associated cost-premium of modularity. It is also shown that the value of flexibility increases under greater uncertainty higher learning rates and weaker economies of scale. Moreover sensitivity analysis reveals that flexible design remains the preferred investment option over a wide range of market and regulatory conditions except for high initial hydrogen demand. Finally this study demonstrates that major regulatory and market uncertainties surrounding blue hydrogen production can be effectively managed through the application of flexible engineering system design that protects the investment from major downside risks whilst allowing access to favourable upside opportunities.