Netherlands
Learning in Green Hydrogen Production: Insights from a Novel European Dataset
Jun 2025
Publication
The cost reduction of electrolysers is critical for scaling up green hydrogen production and achieving decarbonization targets. This study presents a novel and comprehensive dataset of electrolyser projects in Europe. It includes full cost and capacity details for each project and capturing project-specific characteristics such as technology type location and project type for the period 2005–2030. We apply the learning curve methodology to assess cost reductions across different electrolyser technologies and project sizes. Our findings indicate a significant learning effect for PEM and AEL electrolysers in the last 20 years with learning rates of 32.1% and 22.9% respectively. While AEL cost reductions are primarily driven by scaling effects PEM electrolysers benefit from both technological advancements and economies of scale. Small-scale electrolysers exhibit a stronger learning effect (25%) whereas large-scale projects show no clear cost reductions due to their early stage of deployment. Projections based on our learning rates suggest that reaching Europe’s 2030 target of 40 GW electrolyser capacity would require an estimated total investment of 14 billion EUR. These results align closely with previous studies and such predictions are closed to estimates from other organization. The dataset is publicly available allowing for further analysis and periodic updates to track cost trends.
Early Transition to Near-zero Emissions Electricity and Carbon Dioxide Removal is Essential to Achieve Net-zero Emissions at a Low Cost in Australia
Aug 2025
Publication
Achieving net-zero emissions requires major changes across a nation’s economy energy and land systems particularly due to sectors where emissions are difficult to eliminate. Here we adapt two global scenarios from the International Energy Agency—the net-zero emissions by 2050 and the Stated Policies Scenario—using an integrated numerical economic-energy model tailored to Australia. We explore how emissions may evolve by sector and identify key technologies for decarbonisation. Our results show that a rapid shift to near-zero emissions electricity is central to reducing costs and enabling wider emissions reductions. From 2030 onwards carbon removal through land management and engineered solutions such as direct air capture and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage becomes critical. Australia is also well-positioned to become a global supplier of clean energy such as hydrogen made using renewable electricity helping reduce emissions beyond its borders.
Fuel Cell and Electric Vehicles: Resource Use and Associated Environmental Impacts
Oct 2025
Publication
Achieving transport decarbonization depends on electric vehicle (EV) and fuel cell vehicle (FCV) deployment yet their material demands and impacts vary by vehicle type. This study explores how powertrain preferences in light-duty vehicles (LDVs) and heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) shape future resource use and material-related environmental outcomes. Using dynamic material flow analysis and prospective life cycle assessment we assess three scenarios. In the S3 EV-dominant scenario 2050 lithium and cobalt demand rises by up to 11.9-fold and 1.8-fold relative to 2020 with higher global warming and human toxicity impacts. The S2 FCV-dominant scenario leads to a 21.7-fold increase in platinum-group metal demand driving up freshwater ecotoxicity and particulate emissions. A balanced S1 scenario EVs in LDVs and FCVs in HDVs yields moderate material demand and environmental burdens. These findings demonstrate that no single pathway can fully resolve material-related impacts while combining EVs and FCVs across LDVs and HDVs enables a more balanced and sustainable transition.
Simulation of the Refuelling Process for an LH2-powered Commercial Aircraft Part 1 - Modelling and Validation
Nov 2025
Publication
Liquid hydrogen (LH2) is a promising candidate for zero emission aviation but its cryogenic properties make the refuelling process fundamentally different from that of conventional jet fuels. Although previous studies have addressed LH2 storage and system integration detailed modelling of the refuelling process remains limited. This paper presents the first part of a two-part study focused on simulation of the refuelling process for an LH2-powered commercial aircraft. An existing tank model is substantially modified to more accurately capture relevant physical phenomena including heat transfer and droplet dynamics during top-fill spray injection. Newly available experimental data on LH2 no-vent filling enables direct validation of the model under conditions that match the experimental setup. A sensitivity analysis identifies the most influential parameters that affect model precision including loss coefficient droplet diameter radiative heat ingress and vent-closing pressure. The validated model forms the basis for Part 2 of this study in which it is applied to a representative LH2-powered commercial aircraft to simulate refuelling times quantify venting losses and assess the impact of key operational settings. These results support the design of efficient LH2 refuelling systems for future aircraft and airport infrastructure.
Single Step Electrified Hydrogen Production from Methane in a Gliding Arc/fluidized Bed Reactor
Nov 2025
Publication
In this work a plasma fluidized bed reactor has been studied as an electrified methane decomposition reactor for sustainable hydrogen production. A combined 3D rotating gliding arc/fluidized bed reactor assembly demonstrates a stable operation with a CH4/Ar mixture containing up to 8 vol% of CH4. The reactor provides a 97.2 % H2 selectivity at a methane conversion of 16.6 % and energy costs of 10.6 kJ L− 1 . This performance provides a new benchmark for electrified H2 production with a potential to utilise renewable electricity. In addition carbon materials are produced. The characterizations show difference in the morphology of the materials collected in different reactor zones.
Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions Mitigation Potential of Existing and Planned Hydrogen Projects
Nov 2025
Publication
Hydrogen will play a critical role in decarbonizing diverse economic sectors. However given limited sustainable resources and the energy-intensive nature of its production prioritizing its applications will be essential. Here we analyse approximately 2000 (low-carbon) hydrogen projects worldwide encompassing operational and planned initiatives until 2043 quantifying their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potential from a life cycle perspective. Our results demonstrate the variability in GHG emissions of hydrogen applications depending on the geographical location and hydrogen source used. The most climate-effective hydrogen applications include steel-making biofuels and ammonia while hydrogen use for road transport power generation and domestic heating should be discouraged as more favourable alternatives exist. Planned low-carbon hydrogen projects could generate 110 MtH2 yr−1 emit approximately 0.4 GtCO2e yr−1 and potentially reduce net life cycle GHG emissions by 0.2–1.1 GtCO2e yr−1 by 2043 depending on the substituted product or service. Addressing the current hydrogen implementation gap and prioritizing climate-effective applications are crucial for meeting decarbonization goals.
Life Cycle Assessment of Hydrogen-based Fuels Use in Internal Combustion Engines of Container Ships until 2050
Oct 2025
Publication
Hydrogen-based fuels are potential candidates to help international shipping achieve net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by around 2050. This paper quantifies the environmental impacts of liquid hydrogen liquid ammonia and methanol used in a Post-Panamax container ship from 2020 to 2050. It considers cargo capacity changes electricity decarbonization and hydrogen production transitions under two International Energy Agency scenarios: the Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) and the Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario (NZE). Results show that compared to the existing HFO ship hydrogen-based propulsion systems can decrease cargo weight capacity by 0.3 % to 25 %. In the NZE scenario hydrogen-based fuels can reduce GHG emissions per tonne-nautical mile by 48 %–65 % compared to heavy fuel oil by 2050. Even with fully renewable hydrogenbased fuels 18 %–31 % of GHG emissions would still remain. Using hydrogen-based fuels in internal combustion engines requires attention to minimize environmental trade-offs.
Hydrogen Reduction of Combusted Iron Powder: Role of the Fluidization Regime on the Conversion
Nov 2025
Publication
Fluidized bed systems play a crucial role in industrial processes such as combustion and gasification. In the Iron Power Cycle fluidized bed systems are essential for enabling the reduction of combusted iron back to iron making them a critical component in the regeneration step of the cycle. This study investigates the impact of operating gas velocity on conversion by performing reduction experiments at three distinct fluidization numbers (us/umf): 16 (bubbling regime) 55 (transition region) and 100 (fully turbulent regime). Experiments were conducted to determine the appropriate velocities for each regime ensuring optimal fluidization conditions across reduction temperatures ranging from 500 to 700 ⚬C. The results reveal that conversion rates increase significantly with gas velocities. At 500 ⚬C operating at approximately six times higher velocity leads to a sixfold improvement in conversion when using iron-oxide particles with a Sauter mean diameter of 61 µm. However while enhanced velocities improve reaction efficiency challenges remain at elevated temperatures (T ≥ 500 ⚬C) where iron undergoes defluidization when exposed to hydrogen. Once defluidization occurs refluidization proves impossible with either hydrogen or nitrogen raising concerns about process stability. These insights highlight the potential for optimizing fluidized bed reduction through velocity control while also underscoring the need for additional measures to mitigate unstable fluidization during high-temperature iron oxide reduction.
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