Policy & Socio-Economics
Decarbonizing the European Energy System in the Absence of Russian Gas: Hydrogen Uptake and Carbon Capture Developments in the Power, Heat and Industry Sectors
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen and carbon capture and storage are pivotal to decarbonize the European energy system in a broad range of pathway scenarios. Yet their timely uptake in different sectors and distribution across countries are affected by supply options of renewable and fossil energy sources. Here we analyze the decarbonization of the European energy system towards 2060 covering the power heat and industry sectors and the change in use of hydrogen and carbon capture and storage in these sectors upon Europe’s decoupling from Russian gas. The results indicate that the use of gas is significantly reduced in the power sector instead being replaced by coal with carbon capture and storage and with a further expansion of renewable generators. Coal coupled with carbon capture and storage is also used in the steel sector as an intermediary step when Russian gas is neglected before being fully decarbonized with hydrogen. Hydrogen production mostly relies on natural gas with carbon capture and storage until natural gas is scarce and costly at which time green hydrogen production increases sharply. The disruption of Russian gas imports has significant consequences on the decarbonization pathways for Europe with local energy sources and carbon capture and storage becoming even more important. Given the highlighted importance of carbon capture and storage in reaching the climate targets it is essential that policymakers ameliorate regulatory challenges related to these value chains.
Interactions Between Electricity and Hydrogen Markets: A Bi-level Equilibrium Approach
Jul 2025
Publication
Energy systems increasingly rely on the synergistic operations of the electricity and hydrogen markets pursuing decarbonization. In this context it is necessary to develop tools capable of representing the interactions between these two markets to understand the role of hydrogen as an energy vector. This paper introduces a bi-level optimization model that captures the interactions between the electricity and hydrogen markets positioning hydrogen generators as strategic electricity price makers in the power market. The model can be efficiently solved and applied to real-world scenarios by reformulating it as a Mixed Integer Linear Program. The case studies analyze spot market behaviors when hydrogen generators are modeled as price makers in the electricity market. First single-period simulations reveal the effects of price-making and next a year-long simulation assesses broader implications. The findings demonstrate that conventional modeling assumptions such as the price-taker hydrogen generators in the electricity market and constant production cost hypothesis lead to non-optimal hydrogen generation strategies that raise electricity prices while reducing the profit of hydrogen generators and the hydrogen market social welfare. These results highlight the need for models that accurately reflect the interdependencies between these two energy markets.
Techno-Economic Analysis of Clean Hydrogen Production Plants in Sicily: Comparison of Distributed and Centralized Production
Jul 2024
Publication
This paper presents an assessment of the levelized cost of clean hydrogen produced in Sicily a region in Southern Italy particularly rich in renewable energy and where nearly 50% of Italy’s refineries are located making a comparison between on-site production that is near the end users who will use the hydrogen and centralized production comparing the costs obtained by employing the two types of electrolyzers already commercially available. In the study for centralized production the scale factor method was applied on the costs of electrolyzers and the optimal transport modes were considered based on the distance and amount of hydrogen to be transported. The results obtained indicate higher prices for hydrogen produced locally (from about 7 €/kg to 10 €/kg) and lower prices (from 2.66 €/kg to 5.80 €/kg) for hydrogen produced in centralized plants due to economies of scale and higher conversion efficiencies. How-ever meeting the demand for clean hydrogen at minimal cost requires hydrogen distribution pipelines to transport it from centralized production sites to users which currently do not exist in Sicily as well as a significant amount of renewable energy ranging from 1.4 to 1.7 TWh per year to cover only 16% of refineries’ hydrogen needs.
A Techno-economic Analysis of Global Renewable Hydrogen Value Chains
Jul 2024
Publication
Many countries especially those with a high energy demand but insufficient renewable resources are currently investigating the role that imported low carbon hydrogen may play in meeting future energy requirements and emission reduction targets. A future hydrogen economy is uncertain and predicated on reduced price of hydrogen delivered to customers. Current hydrogen production steam reforming of natural gas or coal gasification is co-located to its end-use as a chemical feedstock. Large-scale multi-source value chains of hydrogen needed to support its use for energy are still at concept phase. This research investigates the combination of technical and economic factors which will determine the viability and competitiveness of two competing large scale renewable hydrogen value chains via ammonia and liquid hydrogen. Using a techno-economic model an evaluation of whether green hydrogen exports to Germany from countries with low-cost renewable electricity production but high-costs of storage distribution and transport will be economically competitive with domestic renewable hydrogen production is conducted. The model developed in Python calculates costs and energy losses for each step in the value chain. This includes production from an optimised combination of solar and/or wind generation capacity optimised storage requirements conversion to ammonia or liquid hydrogen distribution shipping and reconversion. The model can easily be applied to any scenario by changing the inputs and was used to compare export from Chile Namibia and Morocco with production in Germany using a 1 GW electrolyser and 2030 cost scenario in each case.
Sustainability Certification for Renewable Hydrogen: An International Survey of Energy Professionals
Jun 2024
Publication
Hydrogen produced from renewable energy is being promoted to decarbonise global energy systems. To support this energy transition standards certification and labelling schemes (SCLs) aim to differentiate hydrogen products based on their system-wide carbon emissions and method of production characteristics. However being certified as low-carbon clean or green hydrogen does not guarantee broader sustainability across economic environmental social or governance dimensions. Through an international survey of energy-sector and sustainability professionals (n = 179) we investigated the desirable sustainability features for renewable hydrogen SCLs and the perceived advantages and disadvantages of sustainability certification. Our mixed-method study revealed general accordance on the feasible inclusion of diverse sustainability criteria in SCLs albeit with varying degrees of perceived essentiality. Within the confines of the data some differences in viewpoints emerged based on respondents’ geographical and supply chain locations which were associated with the sharing of costs and benefits. Qualitatively respondents found the idea of SCL harmonisation attractive but weighed this against the risks of duplication complicated administrative procedures and contradictory regulation. The implications of this research centre on the need for further studies to inform policy recommendations for an overarching SCL sustainability framework that embodies the principles of harmonisation in the context of multistakeholder governance.
Blue Hydrogen in the United Kingdom - A Policy & Environmental Case Study
Feb 2025
Publication
Blue hydrogen is one of the energy carriers to be adopted by the United Kingdom to reduce emissions to net Zero by 2050 and its use is majorly influenced by policy and technological innovations. With more than 10 blue hydrogen facilities planning productive offtake from 2025 there is an urgent need to confirm the viability of these proposed facilities to aid decarbonisation and the path to conformity to policy regulation. This study discovers that the Acorn blue hydrogen facility can produce blue hydrogen within the low carbon hydrogen standard set by the United Kingdom’s government. In this study a detailed examination of hydrogen production techniques is conducted using lifecycle assessment (LCA) approach aimed to understand the environmental impact of producing 144 tons of hydrogen per day using Acorn hydrogen facility as a case study. This was followed on with sensitive analysis embracing steam and oxygen consumption and methane leakages the ability of the facility meeting the low carbon hydrogen standard economics and the externality-priced production costs that embody the environmental impact. A gate-to-gate LCA shows that the Acorn hydrogen plant must aim at carbon capture rates of >90% to meet the set UK target of 20 gCO2e/MJLHV. The study further identifies from literature that the autothermal reforming (ATR) system with integrated carbon capture and storage (CCS) production technology as the most environmentally sustainable technology at present in comparison to commercially available options studied. This assessment helps to appraise potentially unintended causes and effects of the production of blue hydrogen that should aid future policy guidance and investments.
‘Greening’ an Oil Exporting Country: A Hydrogen, Wind and Gas Turbine Case Study
Feb 2024
Publication
In the quest for achieving decarbonisation it is essential for different sectors of the economy to collaborate and invest significantly. This study presents an innovative approach that merges technological insights with philosophical considerations at a national scale with the intention of shaping the national policy and practice. The aim of this research is to assist in formulating decarbonisation strategies for intricate economies. Libya a major oil exporter that can diversify its energy revenue sources is used as the case study. However the principles can be applied to develop decarbonisation strategies across the globe. The decarbonisation framework evaluated in this study encompasses wind-based renewable electricity hydrogen and gas turbine combined cycles. A comprehensive set of both official and unofficial national data was assembled integrated and analysed to conduct this study. The developed analytical model considers a variety of factors including consumption in different sectors geographical data weather patterns wind potential and consumption trends amongst others. When gaps and inconsistencies were encountered reasonable assumptions and projections were used to bridge them. This model is seen as a valuable foundation for developing replacement scenarios that can realistically guide production and user engagement towards decarbonisation. The aim of this model is to maintain the advantages of the current energy consumption level assuming a 2% growth rate and to assess changes in energy consumption in a fully green economy. While some level of speculation is present in the results important qualitative and quantitative insights emerge with the key takeaway being the use of hydrogen and the anticipated considerable increase in electricity demand. Two scenarios were evaluated: achieving energy self-sufficiency and replacing current oil exports with hydrogen exports on an energy content basis. This study offers for the first time a quantitative perspective on the wind-based infrastructure needs resulting from the evaluation of the two scenarios. In the first scenario energy requirements were based on replacing fossil fuels with renewable sources. In contrast the second scenario included maintaining energy exports at levels like the past substituting oil with hydrogen. The findings clearly demonstrate that this transition will demand great changes and substantial investments. The primary requirements identified are 20529 or 34199 km2 of land for wind turbine installations (for self-sufficiency and exports) and 44 single-shaft 600 MW combined-cycle hydrogen-fired gas turbines. This foundational analysis represents the commencement of the research investment and political agenda regarding the journey to achieving decarbonisation for a country.
Modeling the Global Annual Carbon Footprint for the Transportation Sector and a Path to Sustainability
Jun 2023
Publication
The transportation industry’s transition to carbon neutrality is essential for addressing sustainability concerns. This study details a model for calculating the carbon footprint of the transportation sector as it progresses towards carbon neutrality. The model aims to support policymakers in estimating the potential impact of various decisions regarding transportation technology and infrastructure. It accounts for energy demand technological advancements and infrastructure upgrades as they relate to each transportation market: passenger vehicles commercial vehicles aircraft watercraft and trains. A technology roadmap underlies this model outlining anticipated advancements in batteries hydrogen storage biofuels renewable grid electricity and carbon capture and sequestration. By estimating the demand and the technologies that comprise each transportation market the model estimates carbon emissions. Results indicate that based on the technology roadmap carbon neutrality can be achieved by 2070 for the transportation sector. Furthermore the model found that carbon neutrality can still be achieved with slippage in the technology development schedule; however delays in infrastructure updates will delay carbon neutrality while resulting in a substantial increase in the cumulative carbon footprint of the transportation sector.
Techno-economics of Renewable Hydrogen Export: A Case Study for Australia-Japan
Jul 2024
Publication
The shift from fossil fuels to clean energy carriers such as renewable H2 is imminent. Consequently a global H2 market is taking shape involving countries with limited or insufficient energy resources importing from renewable-rich countries. This study evaluates the techno-economics of renewable hydrogen (H2) export in a globally significant scenario in which Australia exports to Japan. To gain insight into the immediate realisable future the base year was selected as 2030 with a consequently small (in export terms) hydrogen production rate of 100 t/day landed capacity. Electricity was generated by photovoltaic arrays (PV) connected directly to proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyser plant allowing for flexible gaseous hydrogen (GH2) production. To enhance the fidelity of the technoeconomic model we incorporated rarely applied but impactful parameters including dynamic efficiency and the overload capacity of PEM electrolysers. The GH2 produced was assumed to be converted into condensed forms suitable for export by sea: liquid hydrogen (LH2) and the chemical carriers liquid ammonia (LNH3) methanol (MeOH) methylcyclohexane (MCH). These were assumed to be reconverted to GH2 at the destination. LNH3 and MCH emerged as promising carriers for export yielding the lowest landed levelised cost of hydrogen (LCOH). LH2 yielded the highest LCOH unless boiloff gas could be managed effectively and cheaply. A sensitivity analysis showed that a lower weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and scale-up can significantly reduce the landed LCOH. Increasing the production rate to 1000 t/day landed capacity very significantly lowered the landed LCOH providing a strong incentive to scale up and optimise the entire supply chain as fast as possible.
Hydrogen Production, Transporting and Storage Processes—A Brief Review
Sep 2024
Publication
This review aims to enhance the understanding of the fundamentals applications and future directions in hydrogen production techniques. It highlights that the hydrogen economy depends on abundant non-dispatchable renewable energy from wind and solar to produce green hydrogen using excess electricity. The approach is not limited solely to existing methodologies but also explores the latest innovations in this dynamic field. It explores parameters that influence hydrogen production highlighting the importance of adequately controlling the temperature and concentration of the electrolytic medium to optimize the chemical reactions involved and ensure more efficient production. Additionally a synthesis of the means of transport and materials used for the efficient storage of hydrogen is conducted. These factors are essential for the practical feasibility and successful deployment of technologies utilizing this energy resource. Finally the technological innovations that are shaping the future of sustainable use of this energy resource are emphasized presenting a more efficient alternative compared to the fossil fuels currently used by society. In this context concrete examples that illustrate the application of hydrogen in emerging technologies are highlighted encompassing sectors such as transportation and the harnessing of renewable energy for green hydrogen production.
Knowledge, Skills, and Attributes Needed for Developing a Hydrogen Engineering Workforce: A Systematic Review of Literature on Hydrogen Engineering Education
May 2024
Publication
Growth in Australia’s demand for engineers is fast outpacing supply. A significant challenge for Australia to achieve high projected low emissions hydrogen export targets by 2030 will be finding engineers with suitable knowledge skills and attributes to deliver hydrogen engineering projects safely and sustainably. This systematic review investigates educational outcomes needed to develop a hydrogen engineering workforce. Sixteen relevant studies published between 2003 and 2023 were identified to explore “What key knowledge skills and attributes support the development of a hydrogen engineering workforce?”. While these studies advocated the need for training and prescribed areas of required knowledge for the low-emissions hydrogen sector there was limited empirical evidence that informed what knowledge skills and attributes are relevant for entry to practice. This finding represents a significant opportunity for researchers to engage with employers and engineering practitioners within emerging low-emissions hydrogen sector capture empirical evidence and inform the design of educational programs.
Cost Reduction in Low-carbon Hydrogen: Effective but Insufficient to Mitigate Carbon Emissions
Jun 2023
Publication
Many countries have announced hydrogen promotion strategies to achieve net zero CO2 emissions around 2050. The cost of producing low-carbon (green and blue) hydrogen has been projected to fall considerably as production is scaled up although more so for green hydrogen than for blue hydrogen. This article uses a global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to explore whether the cost reduction of green and blue hydrogen production can mitigate the use of fossil fuels and related carbon emissions. The results show that cost reduction can raise low-carbon hydrogen consumption markedly in relative terms but marginally in absolute terms resulting in a modest decrease in fossil fuel use and related carbon emissions. The cost reduction of low-carbon hydrogen slightly lowers the use of coal and gas but marginally increases the use of oil. If regional CO2 taxes are introduced the increase in green hydrogen production is considerably larger than in the case of low-carbon hydrogen cost reduction alone. However if cost reduction in low-carbon hydrogen is introduced in addition to the CO2 tax the emissions from fossil fuels are only marginally reduced. Hence synergy efects between the two measures on emissions are practically absent. A low-carbon hydrogen cost reduction alone is efective but insufcient to have a substantial climate impact. This study also calls for modeling development to capture special user preferences for low-carbon hydrogen related to climate mitigation when phasing in new energy carriers like hydrogen.
Semi-Systematic Literature Review on the Contribution of Hydrogen to Universal Access to Energy in the Rationale of Sustainable Development Goal Target 7.1
Feb 2023
Publication
As part of the United Nations’ (UN) Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7) SDG target 7.1 recognizes universal electrification and the provision of clean cooking fuel as two fundamental challenges for global society. Faltering progress toward SDG target 7.1 calls for innovative technologies to stimulate advancements. Hydrogen has been proposed as a versatile energy carrier to be applied in both pillars of SDG target 7.1: electrification and clean cooking. This paper conducts a semi-systematic literature review to provide the status quo of research on the application of hydrogen in the rationale of SDG 7.1 covering the technical integration pathways as well as the key economic environmental and social aspects of its use. We identify decisive factors for the future development of hydrogen use in the rationale of SDG target 7.1 and by complementing our analysis with insights from the related literature propose future avenues of research. The literature on electrification proposes that hydrogen can serve as a backup power supply in rural off-grid communities. While common electrification efforts aim to supply appliances that use lower amounts of electricity a hydrogen-based power supply can satisfy appliances with higher power demands including electric cook stoves while simultaneously supporting clean cooking efforts. Alternatively with the exclusive aim of stimulating clean cooking hydrogen is proposed to be used as a clean cooking fuel via direct combustion in distribution and utilization infrastructures analogous to Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG). While expected economic and technical developments are seen as likely to render hydrogen technologies economically competitive with conventional fossil fuels in the future the potential of renewably produced hydrogen usage to reduce climate-change impacts and point-of-use emissions is already evident today. Social benefits are likely when meeting essential safety standards as a hydrogen-based power supply offers service on a high tier that might overachieve SDG 7.1 ambitions while hydrogen cooking via combustion fits into the existing social habits of LPG users. However the literature lacks clear evidence on the social impact of hydrogen usage. Impact assessments of demonstration projects are required to fill this research gap.
Modeling the Long-term Evolution of the Italian Power Sector: The Role of Renewable Resources and Energy Storage Facilities
Feb 2024
Publication
The aim of this study is to investigate the long-term planning of the Italian power sector from 2021 to 2050. The key role of photovoltaic and wind technologies in combination with power-to-power systems based on hydrogen and batteries is investigated. An updated version of the OSeMOSYS tool is used which employs a clustering method for the representation of time-varying input data. First the potential of variable renewable energy sources (VRES) is assessed. A sensitivity analysis is also performed on the temporal resolution of the model to determine an adequate trade-off between the computation time and the accuracy of the results. Then a technoeconomic optimization scenario is carried out resulting in a total net present cost of about 233.7 B€. A high penetration of VRES technologies is foreseen by 2050 with a total VRES installed capacity of 272.9 GW (mainly photovoltaic and onshore wind). Batteries are found to be the preferable energy storage solution in the first part of the energy transition while the hydrogen storage starts to be convenient from about the year 2040. Indeed the role of hydrogen storage becomes fundamental as the VRES penetration increases thanks to its cost-effective long-term storage capability. By 2050 74.6 % of electricity generation will be based on VRES which will also enable a significant reduction in CO2 emissions of about 87 %.
Mapping Hydrogen Initiatives in Italy: An Overview of Funding and Projects
May 2024
Publication
The global momentum towards hydrogen has led to various initiatives aimed at harnessing hydrogen’s potential. In particular low-carbon hydrogen is recognized for its crucial role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions across hard-to-abate sectors such as steel cement and heavy-duty transport. This study focuses on the presentation of all hydrogen-related financing initiatives in Italy providing a comprehensive overview of the various activities and their geographical locations. The examined funding comes from the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) from projects directly funded through the Important Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI) and from several initiatives supported by private companies or other funding sources (hydrogen valleys). Specific calls for proposals within the PNRR initiative outline the allocation of funds focusing on hydrogen production in brownfield areas (52 expected hydrogen production plants by 2026) hydrogen use in hard-to-abate sectors and the establishment of hydrogen refuelling stations for both road (48 refuelling stations by 2026) and railway transport (10 hydrogen-based railway lines). A detailed description of the funded initiatives (150 in total) is presented encompassing their geographical location typology and size (when available) as well as the funding they have received. This overview sheds light on regions prioritising decarbonisation efforts in heavy-duty transport especially along cross-border commercial routes as evident in northern Italy. Conversely some regions concentrate more on local transport typically buses or on the industrial sector primarily steel and chemical industries. Additionally the study presents initiatives aimed at strengthening the national manufacturing capacity for hydrogenrelated technologies alongside new regulatory and incentive schemes for hydrogen. The ultimate goal of this analysis is to foster connections among existing and planned projects stimulate new initiatives along the entire hydrogen value chain raise an awareness of hydrogen among stakeholders and promote cooperation and international competitiveness.
The Making of H2-scapes in the Global South: Political Geography Perspectives on an Emergent Field of Research
Feb 2025
Publication
Clean hydrogen is touted as a cornerstone of the global energy transition. It can help to decarbonize hard-to-electrify sectors ship renewable power over great distances and boost energy security. Clean hydrogen’s appeal is increasingly felt in the Global South where countries seek to benefit from production export and consumption opportunities new infrastructures and technological innovations. These geographies are however in the process of taking shape and their associated power configurations spatialities and socio-ecological consequences are yet to be more thoroughly understood and examined. Drawing on political geography perspectives this article proposes the concept of “hydrogen landscape” – or in short H2-scape – to theorize and explore hydrogen transitions as space-making processes imbued with power relations institutional orders and social meanings. In this endeavor it outlines a conceptual framework for understanding the making of H2-scapes and offers three concrete directions for advancing empirical research on hydrogen transitions in the Global South: (1) H2-scapes as resource frontiers; (2) H2-scapes as port-centered arrangements; and (3) H2-scapes as failure. As hydrogen booms in finances projects and visibility the article illuminates conceptual tools and perspectives to think about and facilitate further research on the emergent political geographies of hydrogen transitions particularly in more uneven unequal and vulnerable Global South landscapes.
Speculative Connections: Port Authorities, Littoral Territories and the Assembling of the Green Hydrogen Frontier
Feb 2025
Publication
This article examines the role of European port authorities in assembling the green hydrogen frontier through the production of speculative connections with prospective hydrogen export zones in the global South. Specifically it analyses the role of a particular discursive tool the pre-feasibility report in fixing the meaning of Namibian territory for the purposes of green hydrogen export disembedding hydrogen products from the social political and ecological bases of their production. We argue that the green hydrogen frontier is fundamentally a speculative project insofar as it both accentuates the productive indeterminacy of green hydrogen as an energy commodity and develops a series of discursive strategies designed to measure map and capture the anticipated value of this commodity. The article’s findings advance geographical debates on energy territory and speculation by demonstrating the role of the port authority - an under-researched actor in the literature on energy transitions - in the reimagination and transformation of littoral territories in the global South.
Challenges and Potentials for Additive Manufacturing of Hydrogen Energy Components: A Review
Mar 2025
Publication
Climate change necessitates the development of sustainable energy systems with hydrogen technologies playing a key role in this transition. Additive manufacturing (AM) offers a significant potential to enhance the efficiency of hydrogen energy components and reduce their costs through rapid prototyping design freedom and functional integration. This review provides the first comprehensive summary of the current state of research on the application of AM processes in the production storage and utilization of hydrogen. It highlights various AM processes such as powder bed fusion directed energy deposition fused filament fabrication and stereolithography for the advancement of hydrogen energy components. Current research trends include the material development multi-material AM hybrid processes and the integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning. At present the technologies presented are mainly at a development stage of TRL 4–5. The next major step towards industrialization is the demonstration of prototypes outside the laboratory.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: Mobilizing Capital in Green Hydrogen
Apr 2023
Publication
Continuing from previous episodes about encouraging global investment in green hydrogen Patrick Molloy and Alicia Eastman speak with Ignacio de Calonje Chief Investment Officer IFC Global Infrastructure. Ignacio breaks down the role of the IFC and its relationship with other Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) to encourage decarbonization and bespoke solutions for the Global South.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Delivering the EU Green Deal: Progress Towards Targets 2025
Jan 2025
Publication
This report provides a comprehensive assessment of progress towards the European Green Deal (EGD) the European Union’s transformative agenda for achieving climate neutrality by 2050. The analysis encompasses 154 quantifiable targets from 44 policy documents between 2019 and 2024 across key sectors such as climate energy circular economy transport agriculture and food ecosystems and biodiversity water soil and air pollution. The study shows that significant achievement has been delivered so far but progress needs to accelerate in many areas. As of mid-2024 32 of the 154 targets are currently “on track” and 64 are identified as “acceleration needed” meaning that more progress is needed to meet the targets on time. Furthermore 15 of the targets are found to be “not progressing” or “regressing” and for 43 of the targets no data is currently available. The timing of the binding policies most of which have been recently agreed and are expected to deliver results in the coming years is a significant factor influencing these assessments. This report integrates all EGD actions and related policies offering an assessment of the EU’s green transition based on robust data and science. It identifies priority areas for intensified efforts to meet short-term implementation goals and contribute to the long-term ambition of a sustainable fair just and climate-neutral Europe by 2050. This collective work serves as a benchmarking tool providing scientifically grounded guidance for future EU policies and programmes.
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