Finland
Prospectivity Analysis for Underground Hydrogen Storage, Taranaki Basin, Aotearoa New Zealand: A Multi-criteria Decision-making Approach
May 2024
Publication
Seasonal underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in porous media provides an as yet untested method for storing surplus renewable energy and balancing our energy demands. This study investigates the technical suitability for UHS in depleted hydrocarbon fields and one deep aquifer site in Taranaki Basin Aotearoa New Zealand. Prospective sites are assessed using a decision tree approach providing a “fast-track” method for identifying potential sites and a decision matrix approach for ranking optimal sites. Based on expert elicitation the most important factors to consider are storage capacity reservoir depth and parameters that affect hydrogen injectivity/withdrawal and containment. Results from both approaches suggest that Paleogene reservoirs from gas (or gas cap) fields provide the best option for demonstrating UHS in Aotearoa New Zealand and that the country’s projected 2050 hydrogen storage demand could be exceeded by developing one or two high ranking sites. Lower priority is assigned to heterolithic and typically finer grained labile and clay-rich Miocene oil reservoirs and to deep aquifers that have no proven hydrocarbon containment.
The Role of Power-to-hydrogen in Carbon Neutral Energy and Industrial Systems: Case Finland
Aug 2023
Publication
To combat climate change decarbonization measures are undertaken across the whole energy sector. Industry and transportation sectors are seen as difficult sectors to decarbonize with green hydrogen being proposed as a solution to achieve decarbonization in these sectors. While many methods of introducing hydrogen to these sectors are present in literature few systemlevel works study the specific impacts of large-scale introduction has on power and heat sectors in an energy system. This contribution examines the effects of introducing hydrogen into a Finnish energy system in 2040 by conducting scenario simulations in EnergyPLAN – software. Primary energy consumption and CO2 emissions of the base scenario and hydrogen scenarios are compared. Additionally the differences between a constant and flexible hydrogen production profile are studied. Introducing hydrogen increases electricity consumption by 31.9 % but reduces CO2 emissions by 71.5 % and fossil energy consumption by 72.6%. The flexible hydrogen profile lowers renewable curtailment and improves energy efficiency but requires economically unfeasible hydrogen storage. Biomass consumption remains high and is not impacted significantly by the introduction of hydrogen. Additional measures in other sectors are needed to ensure carbon neutrality.
Global Demand Analysis for Carbon Dioxide as Raw Material from Key Industrial Sources and Direct Air Capture to Produce Renewable Electricity-based Fuels and Chemicals
Sep 2022
Publication
Defossilisation of the current fossil fuels dominated global energy system is one of the key goals in the upcoming decades to mitigate climate change. Sharp reduction in the costs of solar photovoltaics wind power and battery technologies enables a rapid transition of the power and some segments of the transport sectors to sustainable energy resources. However renewable electricity-based fuels and chemicals are required for the defossilisation of hard-to-abate segments of transport and industry. The global demand for carbon dioxide as raw material for the production of e-fuels and e-chemicals during a global energy transition to 100% renewable energy is analysed in this research. Carbon dioxide capture and utilisation potentials from key industrial point sources including cement mills pulp and paper mills and waste incinerators are evaluated. According to this study’s estimates the demand for carbon dioxide increases from 0.6 in 2030 to 6.1 gigatonnes in 2050. Key industrial point sources can potentially supply 2.1 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide and thus meet the majority of the demand in the 2030s. By 2050 however direct air capture is expected to supply the majority of the demand contributing 3.8 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide annually. Sustainable and unavoidable industrial point sources and direct air capture are vital technologies which may help the world to achieve ambitious climate goals.
A Multicriteria Modeling Approach for Evaluating Power Generation Scenarios Under Uncertainty: The Case of Green Hydrogen in Greece
Oct 2023
Publication
Clean energy technological innovations are widely acknowledged as a prerequisite to achieving ambitious longterm energy and climate targets. However the optimal speed of their adoption has been parsimoniously studied in the literature. This study seeks to identify the optimal intensity of moving to a green hydrogen electricity sector in Greece using the OSeMOSYS energy modeling framework. Green hydrogen policies are evaluated first on the basis of their robustness against uncertainty and afterwards against conflicting performance criteria and for different decision-making profiles towards risk by applying the VIKOR and TOPSIS multi-criteria decision aid methods. Although our analysis focuses exclusively on the power sector and compares different rates of hydrogen penetration compared to a business-as-usual case without considering other game-changing innovations (such as other types of storage or carbon capture and storage) we find that a national transition to a green hydrogen economy can support Greece in potentially cutting at least 16 MtCO2 while stimulating investments of EUR 10–13 bn. over 2030–2050.
Holistic View to Decarbonising Cruise Ships with a Combination of Energy Saving Technologies and Hydrogen as Fuel
Mar 2025
Publication
Cruise ship decarbonisation was studied on a Mediterranean cruise profile. The analysis focused on ship energy flows fuel consumption carbon emissions ship CII and EEDI. A combination of technologies for reducing ship fuel consumption was simulated before introducing hydrogen fueled machinery for the ship. The studied technologies included ultrasound antifouling shore power battery hybrid machinery waste heat recovery and air lubrication. Their application on the selected operational profile led to combined fuel savings of 187%. When the same technologies were combined to a hydrogen machinery the ship total energy consumption compared to baseline was reduced by 25%. The cause of this was the synergies in the ship energy system such as ship auxiliary powers heat consumption and machinery efficiency. The proposed methodology of ship energy analysis is important step in starting to evaluate new fuels for ships and in preliminary technology screening prior to integrating them in the ship design.
Superconductivity and Hydrogen Economy: A Roadmap to Synergy
Aug 2022
Publication
Hydrogen as an energy carrier is a promising alternative to fossil fuels and it becomes more and more popular in developed countries as a carbon-free fuel. The low boiling temperature of hydrogen (20 K or −253.15 ◦C) provides a unique opportunity to implement superconductors with a critical temperature above 20 K such as MgB2 or high-temperature superconductors. Superconductors increase efficiency and reduce the loss of energy which could compensate for the high price of LH2 to some extent. Norway is one of the pioneer countries with adequate infrastructure for using liquid hydrogen in the industry especially in marine technology where a superconducting propulsion system can make a remarkable impact on its economy. Using superconductors in the motor of a propulsion system can increase its efficiency from 95% to 98% when the motor operates at full power. The difference in efficiency is even greater when the motor does not work at full power. Here we survey the applications of liquid hydrogen and superconductors and propose a realistic roadmap for their synergy specifically for the Norwegian economy in the marine industry.
Large Scale Power-to-X Production Enabling Hydrogen Valleys: A Case Study of Future Industrial Hydrogen Valley Opportunity in Finland
Mar 2025
Publication
Many industrial processes such as ammonia fuel or steel production require considerable amounts of fossil feedstocks contributing significantly to global greenhouse gas emissions. Some of these fossil feedstocks and processes can be decarbonised via Power-to-X (P2X) production concepts based on hydrogen (H2) requiring considerable amounts of renewable electricity. Creating hydrogen valleys (HV) may facilitate a cost-efficient H2 production feeding H2 to multiple customers and purposes. At a large scale these HVs will shift from price takers to price makers in the local electricity market strongly affecting investments in renewable electricity. This paper analysed the dynamic evolution of a HV up to GW-scale by adopting a stepwise approach to HV development in North Ostrobothnia Finland considering multiple H₂ end uses such as P2X fuel manufacturing including ammonia methanol liquefied methane and H2 for mobility. The analysis was conducted by employing a dynamic linear optimization model “SmartP2X” to minimize LCOH within the HV boundaries. The analysis predicts that with ex-factory sales prices that are equal to or higher than marginal costs for P2X fuels production a LCOH of 3.4–3.9 EUR/kgH2 could be reached. The LCOH slightly increased with the size of the HV due to a H2 transmission pipeline investment; omitting the pipeline cost the LCOH exhibited a decreasing trend. The produced H2 will generally meet the EU definitions for clean Renewable Fuel of Non-Biological Origin (RFNBO). The additional wind power required for the HV scenarios was up to 2.1–3.0 GW depending on the RFNBO-fuel sales price. This represents a fraction of the current investment plans in the North Ostrobothnia region. The results of this paper contribute to the discussion on the interplay between hydrogen ecosystems and the power market particularly in relation to power-intensive P2X processes.
Techno-economic Assessment of Hydrogen Application in Cereal Crop Farming
Mar 2025
Publication
The application of hydrogen in modern farming is transitioning from a conceptual idea to a practical reality poised to meet future agricultural machinery requirements and transition goals. Increasing tensions between farmers and various institutions underscore the growing sensitivity around fossil fuel dependency in the agricultural sector particularly in northern economies. This study investigates the economic feasibility of using decentralized hydrogen systems to fully replace fossil fuels in cereal crop farming across four agricultural zones. Specifically it examines the economic viability of on-farm hydrogen production using electrolysers to meet the fuel needs of different farm structures. Various scenarios were modelled to assess the impact of switching to hydrogen fuel for annual farm operations using Net Present Value (NPV) and Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) metrics for hydrogen refuelling facilities on distinct farm structures. The results indicate that economic feasibility is a significant challenge with LCOH reaching as high as 57 €/kg of hydrogen in some cases while the bestcase scenarios achieved LCOH as low as 7.5 €/kg. These figures remain significantly higher than those for diesel and alternative fuels such as methane FAME and HVO. The study also assessed strategies for reducing hydrogen production costs using low-cost electricity and maximizing plant efficiency by increasing the electrolyser utilization rate to 70%. Additionally the potential for revenue generation through the sale of by-products was explored. Our findings highlight both the challenges and opportunities associated with hydrogen use in agriculture emphasizing the critical role of access to renewable energy sources and the economic limitations of byproduct revenue streams. In conclusion while decentralized hydrogen production can contribute to emission reductions in cereal crop farming further research and policy support are essential to improve its feasibility and sustainability.
Electrical Energy Storage Combined with Renewable Hydrogen Production
Feb 2025
Publication
The applications and need for large-scale long-duration electrical energy storage are growing as both the share of renewable energy in energy systems and the demand for flexibility increase. One potential application is the renewable hydrogen industry where temporal matching of renewable electricity generation and hydrogen production will be required in the future according to the new European Union regulations. In this paper a case study of electrical energy storage utilization in hydrogen production is conducted in the Nordic context with a high share of wind production. The storage is used in the hydrogen production process for temporal matching. The levelized cost of storage of three medium- to long-term storage technologies is assessed using an Excel-based model with four case approaches. In the first case approach the electrolyzer load is inflexible while the other approaches explore how the flexibility of the electrolyzer and the increase in renewable production capacity affect the size and cost of the storage. Electro-thermal energy storage based on sand as storage material presented the lowest levelized cost of storage (114-198 €/MWh) due to its low energy-related investment cost. However the results show that additional usage purposes for all examined storage technologies are required to avoid high investment costs. Additionally flexibility from the electrolyzer load and over-investing in renewable capacity is required. In conclusion storage should not be the only component providing flexibility in the studied system and it should be used to integrate multiple assets in the wider energy system to reach cost-effectiveness. This paper brings novelty by expanding on the storage technology options considered in previous literature and deepening the perspective of storage as a component in renewable hydrogen production. Future research should assess the effect of electricity prices and emissions allowance prices from the regulatory perspective which could further reduce the storage investment.
Comparative Analysis of the Alternative Energy: Case of Reducing GHG Emissions of Estonian Pilot Fleet
Feb 2025
Publication
The FuelEU Maritime Regulation part of the European Union’s (EU’s) Fit for 55 initiative aims to achieve significant reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions within the maritime sector. This study assesses the feasibility of alternative fuels for the Estonian pilot fleet using a Well-to-Wake (WtW) life cycle assessment (LCA) methodology. Operational data from 18 vessels sourced from the Estonian State Fleet’s records were analyzed including technical specifications fuel consumption patterns and operational scenarios. The study focused on marine diesel oil (MDO) biomethane hydrogen biodiesel ammonia and hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) each presenting distinct trade-offs. Biomethane achieved a 59% GHG emissions reduction but required a volumetric storage capacity up to 353% higher compared to MDO. Biodiesel reduced GHG emissions by 41.2% offering moderate compatibility with existing systems while requiring up to 23% larger storage volumes. HVO demonstrated a 43.6% emissions reduction with seamless integration into existing marine engines. Ammonia showed strong potential for long-term decarbonization but its adoption is hindered by low energy density and complex storage requirements. This research underscores the importance of a holistic evaluation of alternative fuels taking into account technical economic and environmental factors specific to regional and operational contexts. The findings offer a quantitative basis for policymakers and maritime stakeholders to develop effective decarbonization strategies for the Baltic Sea region.
Climate Change Performance of Hydrogen Production based on Life Cycle Assessment
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen has the potential to revolutionize how we power our lives from transportation to energy production. This study aims to compare the climate change impacts and the main factors affecting them for different categories of hydrogen production including grey hydrogen (SMR) blue hydrogen (SMR-CCS) turquoise hydrogen (TDM) and green hydrogen (PEM electrolysis). Grey hydrogen blue hydrogen and turquoise hydrogen which are derived from fossil sources are produced using natural gas and green hydrogen is produced from water and renewable electricity sources. When considering natural gas as a feedstock it is sourced from the pipeline route connected to Russia and through the liquefied natural gas (LNG) route from the USA. The life cycle assessment (LCA) result showed that grey hydrogen had the highest emissions with the LNG route showing higher emissions 13.9 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2 compared to the pipeline route 12.3 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2. Blue hydrogen had lower emissions due to the implementation of carbon capture technology (7.6 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2 for the pipeline route and 9.3 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2 for the LNG route) while turquoise hydrogen had the lowest emissions (6.1 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2 for the pipeline route and 8.3 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2 for the LNG route). The climate change impact showed a 12–25% increase for GWP20 compared to GWP100 for grey blue and turquoise hydrogen. The production of green hydrogen using wind energy resulted in the lowest emissions (0.6 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2) while solar energy resulted in higher emissions (2.5 kg CO2 eq. per kg H2). This article emphasizes the need to consider upstream emissions associated with natural gas and LNG extraction compression liquefaction transmission and regasification in assessing the sustainability of blue and turquoise hydrogen compared to green hydrogen.
A Critical Assessment of MILD and Plasma-enhanced Combustion for Net-zero Energy Systems using Green Hydrogen and Ammonia
Oct 2025
Publication
The transition to sustainable and smart urban energy systems requires combustion technologies that combine high efficiency with near-zero emissions. Moderate or intense low-oxygen dilution (MILD) combustion has emerged as a promising solution offering volumetric heat release reduced peak temperatures and strong NOX suppression ideal for integrating green hydrogen carriers such as ammonia and ammonia–hydrogen blends into stationary energy systems. While MILD combustion is well-studied for hydrocarbons its application to carbon-free fuels presents challenges including high ignition temperatures low reactivity and potential NOX formation. This review examines the behavior of ammonia-based fuels under MILD conditions mapping combustion regimes across reactor types and operating parameters. To address ignition and stability issues the review also explores plasma-assisted MILD combustion (PAMC). Non-equilibrium plasma (NEP) discharges promote radical generation reduce ignition delay times and enhance flame stability under lean highly diluted conditions. Recent experimental and numerical studies demonstrate that plasma activation can reduce ignition delay times by up to an order of magnitude lower flame lift-off heights by over 30 % in certain configurations and enhance OH radical concentrations and heat release intensity. The extent of these improvements depends on factors such as plasma energy input fuel type and dilution level. This review synthesizes key findings identifies technical gaps and highlights the potential of MILD and PAMC as clean flexible and scalable solutions for low-emission stationary energy generation in smart city environments.
Mathematical Optimization Modeling for Scenario Analysis of Integrated Steelworks Transitioning Towards Hydrogen-based Reduction
Jul 2024
Publication
To reduce carbon dioxide emissions from the steel industry efforts are made to introduce a steelmaking route based on hydrogen reduction of iron ore instead of the commonly used cokebased reduction in a blast furnace. Changing fundamental pieces of steelworks affects the functions of most every system unit involved and thus warrants the question of how such a transition could optimally take place over time and no rigorous attempts have until now been made to tackle this problem mathematically. This article presents a steel plant optimization model written as a mixed-integer non-linear programming problem where aging blast furnaces and basic oxygen furnaces could potentially be replaced with shaft furnaces and electric arc furnaces minimizing costs or emissions over a long-term time horizon to identify possible transition pathways. Example cases show how various parameters affect optimal investment pathways stressing the necessity of appropriate planning tools for analyzing diverse cases.
Influence of the Initial State of ZrO2 on Genesis, Activity and Stability of Ni/ZrO2 Catalysts for Steam Reforming of Glycerol
Mar 2021
Publication
The effect of the initial state of ZrO2 on properties of Ni/ZrO2 catalysts for hydrogen production in steam reforming of glycerol was investigated. The catalysts were synthesized by impregnating the supports obtained by varying the treatment temperature of ZrO2‧nH2O and introducing Y2O3 as a promoter. All materials were characterized by thermal analysis X-ray diffraction N2 physisorption scanning electron microscopy H2-TPR NH3-TPD and transmission electron microscopy. The mutual influence of NiO and ZrO2 on the genesis of the phase composition pore structure and reducibility was demonstrated. Different catalytic behavior is explained by influence of the initial form of the support on the size morphology of Ni particles and the support thermal stability. The initial activity of Ni/ZrO2is proportional to the monoclinic phase content. The catalysts based on tetragonal ZrO2 displayed the best stability. For the first time the presence of the aldol condensation products in glycerol steam reforming was demonstrated.
Multi-timescale Coordinated Planning of BESS, Seasonal Hydrogen Storage, and Dynamic DR for Unbalanced RES-rich Microgrids
Sep 2025
Publication
Nowadays integrating renewable energy sources (RESs) poses significant challenges due to the deterioration of performance indices especially in cold-climate unbalanced microgrids. Beyond network unbalance harsh conditions with low irradiance weak wind speeds and low temperatures necessitate hydrogen storage systems (HSSs) to address seasonal mismatches between RES generation and demand. This paper proposes a two-stage multi-timescale planning framework that integrates RESs plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) battery energy storage systems (BESSs) seasonal HSSs and a dynamic demand response (DDR) program. In the short term BESSs are coordinated under slow and fast charging/discharging modes for responding to daily load shifting and peak shaving or sudden demand fluctuations. Smart converters with active/reactive power control are equipped with RES and BESS for local voltage regulation. Furthermore the proposed DDR program which combines load reduction and valley filling strategies enables consumer flexibility based on real-time market signals across seasonal variations. Seasonal HSSs are designed to store excess hydrogen produced from RESs for long-term use across different seasons. The proposed strategy is validated in two stages. The first stage guarantees multitimescale coordination of BESSs seasonal HSSs and the DDR. In turn the second stage optimally plans RESs BESSs and HSSs in a unified manner to reduce voltage unbalance and line congestion while maximizing microgrid RES hosting capacity. Simulation results for six interconnected microgrids demonstrate a 12.5% reduction in voltage unbalance 21% alleviation of line congestion and a 108% increase in hosting capacity highlighting the effectiveness of the proposed planning approach for unbalanced RES-rich microgrids.
Feasible Route Towards Decarbonising Marine Transport with Flexible, Hydrogen-enriched, Reactivity Controll Compression Ignition Mid-speed Engines
Feb 2025
Publication
Hydrogen (H2) admixing in Reactivity Controlled Compression Ignition (RCCI) technology engines is touted to enhance indicated efficiency (ITE>50%) optimize combustion and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However many pending issues remain regarding engine durability nitrogen oxide (NOX) emissions and blending limits. These issues are addressed by employing a novel performance-oriented model which simulates under 3 min combustion physics with similar predictivity (>95% accuracy) as computational fluid dynamic results. This socalled multizone model is parameterized to real-world operating cycles from a dual-fuel mid-speed marine engine. By considering port-fuel injected H2 the simulations show that combustion phasing advances at an average rate of 0.3⁰CA/% H2 accompanied by a peak reduction in methane slip of 80% achievable at 25% H2 energy share. Also engine control oriented issues are addressed by demonstrating either intake temperature or diesel fuel share optimization to negate the drawbacks of combustion harshness and NOX emissions while improving ITE 1–1.5pp over baseline operation.
Validation of a Hydrogen Jet Fire Model in FDS
Sep 2023
Publication
Hydrogen jet fire occurs with high probability when hydrogen leaks from high-pressure equipment. The hydrogen jet fire is characterized by its high velocity and energy. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) numerical analysis is a prominent way to predict the potential hazards associated with hydrogen jet fire. Validation of the CFD model is essential to ensure and quantify the accuracy of numerical results. This study focuses on the validation of the hydrogen jet fire model using Fire Dynamic Simulation (FDS). Hydrogen release is modeled using high-speed Lagrangian particles released from a virtual nozzle thus avoiding the modeling of the actual nozzle. The mesh size sensitivity analysis of the model is carried out in a container-size domain with 0.04m – 0.08m resolution of the jet. The model is validated by comparing gas temperatures and heat fluxes with test data. The promising results demonstrated that the model could predict the hazardous influence of the jet fire.
Use of Existing Gas Infrastructure in European Hydrogen Economy
Apr 2023
Publication
The rapidly increasing production volume of clean hydrogen creates challenges for transport infrastructure. This study improves understanding of hydrogen transport options in Europe and provides more detailed analysis on the prospects for hydrogen transport in Finland. Previous studies and ongoing pipeline projects were reviewed to identify potential and barriers to hydrogen transport. A fatigue life assessment tool was built because material challenges have been one of the main concerns of hydrogen transportation. Many European countries aim at utilizing existing gas infrastructure for hydrogen. Conducted studies and pilot facilities have provided promising results. Hydrogen reduces the fatigue life of the pipeline but existing pipelines can be used for hydrogen if pressure variation is maintained at a reasonable level and the maximum operation pressure is limited. Moreover the use of existing pipelines can reduce hydrogen transport costs but the suitability of every pipeline for hydrogen must be analyzed and several issues such as leakage leakage detection effects of hydrogen on pipeline assets and end users corrosion maintenance and metering of gas flow must be considered. The development of hydrogen transport will vary within countries depending on the structure of the existing gas infrastructure and on the future hydrogen use profile.
Lessons Learned and Recommendations from Analysis of Hydrogen Incidents and Accidents to Support Risk Assessment for the Hydrogen Economy
Feb 2024
Publication
This study addresses challenges associated with hydrogen’s physio-chemical characteristics and the need for safety and public acceptance as a precursor to the emerging hydrogen economy. It highlights the gap in existing literature regarding lessons learned from events in the green hydrogen production value chain. The study aims to use the documented lessons learned from previous hydrogen-related events to assist in enhancing safety measures and to guide stakeholders on how to avoid and mitigate future hydrogen-related events. Given the potential catastrophic consequences robust safety systems are essential for hydrogen economy development. The work underscores the importance of human and operational factors as root causes of these events. The paper recommends establishing a specialized hydrogen-related event database to support risk assessment and risk mitigation thus catering to the growing hydrogen industry’s needs and facilitating quick access to critical information for stakeholders in the private and public sectors.
Impact of International Transportation Chains on Cost of Green E-hydrogen: Global Cost of Hydrogen and Consequences for Germany and Finland
Jun 2023
Publication
Widely available and low-cost solar photovoltaics and wind power can enable production of renewable electricity-based hydrogen at many locations throughout the world. Hydrogen is expected to emerge as an important energy carrier constituting some of the final energy demand; however its most important role will be as feedstock for further processing to e-fuels e-chemicals and e-steel. Apart from meeting their own hydrogen demand countries may have opportunities to export hydrogen to countries with area limitations or higher production costs. This paper assesses the feasibility of e-hydrogen imports to Germany and Finland from two case regions with a high availability of low-cost renewable electricity Chile and Morocco in comparison to domestic supply. Special attention is paid to the transport infrastructure which has a crucial impact on the economic viability of imports via two routes shipping and pipelines. This study has found that despite lower e-hydrogen production costs in Morocco and Chile compared to Germany and Finland additional transportation costs make imports of e-hydrogen economically unattractive. In early 2020s imported fuel costs are 39–79% and 34–100% higher than e-hydrogen produced in Germany and Finland respectively. In 2050 imported e-hydrogen is projected to be 39–70% more expensive than locally produced e-hydrogen in Germany and 43–54% in the case of Finland. e-Hydrogen may become a fuel that is mostly produced domestically and may be feasible for imports only in specific locations. Local e-hydrogen production may also lower dependence on imports enhance energy security and add jobs.
Techno-Economic Assessment of Power-to-Liquids (PtL) Fuels Production and Global Trading Based on Hybrid PV-Wind Power Plants
Nov 2016
Publication
This paper introduces a value chain design for transportation fuels and a respective business case taking into account hybrid PV-Wind power plants electrolysis and hydrogen-to-liquids (H2tL) based on hourly resolved full load hours (FLh). The value chain is based on renewable electricity (RE) converted by power-to-liquids (PtL) facilities into synthetic fuels mainly diesel. Results show that the proposed RE-diesel value chains are competitive for crude oil prices within a minimum price range of about 79 - 135 USD/barrel (0.44 – 0.75 €/l of diesel production cost) depending on the chosen specific value chain and assumptions for cost of capital available oxygen sales and CO2 emission costs. A sensitivity analysis indicates that the RE-PtL value chain needs to be located at the best complementing solar and wind sites in the world combined with a de-risking strategy and a special focus on mid to long-term electrolyser and H2tL efficiency improvements. The substitution of fossil fuels by hybrid PV-Wind power plants could create a PV-wind market potential in the order of terawatts.
The Role of Electricity-based Hydrogen in the Emerging Power-to-X Economy
Aug 2023
Publication
As energy system research into high shares of renewables has developed so have the perspectives of the fundamental nature of a highly renewable economy. Early energy system transition research suggested that current fossil fuel energy systems would transition to a ‘Hydrogen Economy’ whereas more recent insights suggest that a ‘Power-to-X Economy’ may be a more appropriate term as renewable electricity will become both the most important primary and final energy carrier through various Power-to-X conversion routes across the energy system. This paper provides a detailed overview on research insights of recent years on the core elements of the Power-to-X Economy and the role of hydrogen based on latest research results. These results suggest that by 2050 upwards of 61737 TWhLHV of hydrogen will be required to fully defossilise the global energy-industry system. Hydrogen therefore emerges as a central intermediate energy carrier and its relevance is driven by significant cost reductions in renewable electricity especially of solar photovoltaics and wind power. Efficiency and cost drivers position direct electrification as the primary solution for defossilisation of the global energy-industry system; however electron-to-molecule routes are essential for the large subset of remaining energy-related demands including chemical production marine and aviation fuels and steelmaking.
Coordinated Operation of Multi-energy Microgrids Considering Green Hydrogen and Congestion Management via a Safe Policy Learning Approach
Aug 2025
Publication
Multi-energy microgrids (MEMGs) with green hydrogen have attracted significant research attention for their benefits such as energy efficiency improvement carbon emission reduction as well as line congestion alleviation. However the complexities of multi-energy networks coupled with diverse uncertainties may threaten MEMG’s operation. In this paper a data-driven methodology is proposed to achieve effective MEMG operation considering the green hydrogen technique and congestion management. First a detailed MEMG modelling approach is developed coupling with electricity green hydrogen natural gas and thermal flows. Different from conventional MEMG models hydrogen-enriched compressed natural gas (HCNG) models and weatherdependent power flow are thoroughly considered in the modelling. Meanwhile the power flow congestion problem is also formulated in the MEMG operation which could be mitigated through HCNG integration. Based on the proposed MEMG model a reinforcement learning-based method is designed to obtain the optimal solution of MEMG operation. To ensure the solution’s safety a soft actor-critic (SAC) algorithm is applied and modified by leveraging the Lagrangian relaxation and safety layer scheme. In the end case studies are conducted and presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Costs and Benefits of Highly Ambitious Energy Transition Pathways for Europe
Sep 2025
Publication
Climate change and energy crises push Europe to accelerate the energy-industry transition towards higher shares of renewable energy and a more efficient integrated electricity-based energy-industry system. The study examines transition scenarios ranging from carbon neutrality reached in 2050 to highest ambitions with 100% renewable electricity supply reached by 2030 and an overall carbon-neutral energy-industry system by 2035. The fastest transition coincidences with higher cost but still with an acceptable tolerance. Reaching carbon neutrality by 2040 allows for a substantial reduction in CO2 emissions and energy costs are lower compared to the fastest transition. Allowing e-fuel imports substantially reduces the energy cost in Europe compared to complete energy sovereignty with an optimal import share at only 7% of primary energy demand. Reaching an affordable energy supply requires close cooperation of European countries to exploit the best renewable resources and all sources of energy system flexibility to enable a low-cost energy supply.
Baseload Hydrogen Supply from an Off-grid Solar PV-Wind-Power-Battery-Water Electrolyzer Plant
Feb 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen will play a key role in the transition to a carbon-neutral energy system. This study addresses the challenge of supplying baseload green hydrogen through an integrated off-grid alkaline water electrolyzer (AWE) plant wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) power a battery energy storage system (BESS) and a hydrogen storage system based on salt and rock cavern geologies. The capacities of the components and the hydrogen storage size are optimized simultaneously with the control of the AWE plant to minimize the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH2) of the gas supplied. The operation of the system is simulated over 30 years with a 15 min time resolution considering degradation operating expenses and component replacements. Power generation data collected from a wind farm and a solar PV installation both located in southeastern Finland are used for system simulation. A sensitivity analysis exploring different hydrogen demand rates discount rates and installation years is conducted for both systems considering rock and salt caverns providing the optimal configuration for each case. It is found that for the price scenario of the year 2025 for a combined 100 MW AWE and compressor the optimal hydrogen demand rate is 12 kg/min with an LCOH2 of 3.14 e/kg and 2.77 e/kg in systems including rock and salt caverns respectively.
Power-to-X Economy: Green E-hydrogen, E-fuels, E-chemicals, and E-materials Opportunities in Africa
Aug 2024
Publication
Africa has enormous potential to produce low-cost e-fuels e-chemicals and e-materials required for complete defossilisation using its abundant renewable resources widely distributed across the continent. This research builds on techno-economic investigations using the LUT Energy System Transition Model and related tools to assess the power-to-X potential in Africa for meeting the local demand and exploring the export potential of power-to-products applications. In this context we analysed the economic viability of exporting green e-fuel echemicals and e-materials from Africa to Europe. We also present the core elements of the Power-to-X Economy i.e. renewable electricity and hydrogen. The results show that hydrogen will likely not be traded simply due to high transport costs. However there is an opportunity for African countries to export e-ammonia e-methanol ekerosene jet fuel e-methane e-steel products and e-plastic to Europe at low cost. The results show that Africa’s low-cost power-to-X products backed by low-cost renewable electricity mainly supplied by solar photovoltaics is the basis for Africa’s vibrant export business opportunities. Therefore the Power-to-X Economy could more appropriately be called a Solar-to-X Economy for Africa. The Power-to-X Economy will foster socio-economic growth in the region including new industrial opportunities new investment portfolios boost income and stimulate local technical know-how thereby delivering a people-driven energy economy. Research on the topic in Africa is limited and at a nascent stage. Thus more studies are required in future to guide investment decisions and cater to policy decisions in achieving carbon neutrality with e-fuels e-chemicals and e-materials.
Hydrogen in Natural Gas Grids: Prospects and Recommendations About Gas Flow Meters
Aug 2024
Publication
To inject green hydrogen (H2) into the existing natural gas (NG) infrastructure is one way to decarbonize the European energy system. However asset readiness is necessary to be successful. Preliminary analysis and experimental results about the compatibility of hydrogen and natural gas mixtures (H2NG) with the actual gas grids make the scientific community confident about the feasibility. Nevertheless specific technical questions need more research. A significant topic of debate is the impact of H2NG mixtures on the performance of state-ofthe-art fiscal measuring devices which are essential for accurate billing. Identifying and addressing any potential degradation in their metrological performance due to H2NG is critical for decision-making. However the literature lacks data about the gas meters’ technologies currently installed in the NG grids such as a comprehensive overview of their readiness at different concentrations while data are fragmented among different sources. This paper addresses these gaps by analyzing the main characteristics and categorizing more than 20000 gas meters installed in THOTH2 project partners’ grids and by summarizing the performance of traditional technologies with H2NG mixtures and pure H2 based on literature review operators experience and manufacturers knowledge. Based on these insights recommendations are given to stakeholders on overcoming the identified barriers to facilitate a smooth transition.
Utilization of Hydrogen Fuel in Reheating Furnace and its Effect on Oxide Scale Formation of Low-carbon Steels
Nov 2024
Publication
The transition from fossil-based fuel to hydrogen combustion in steel reheating furnaces is a possible way to decrease the process-originated CO2 emissions significantly. This potential change alters the furnace gas atmo sphere’s composition impacting the oxide scale formation of the slab surface. Dynamic heating tests are per formed for three low-carbon steels using different simulated combustion atmospheres including natural gas coke oven gas and hydrogen combustion in air and hydrogen combustion in oxygen. Significant differences are found in the oxidation behavior of steel grades in the simulated hydrogen reheating scenario. A steel grade with low Mn content only has an 18% increase in oxidation between methane-air to hydrogen-oxygen methods while it is 41% for a high Mn and Si steel grade and 65% for a high-Mn steel grade. Thus in terms of material loss increase by oxidation the transition of the heating method causes the least problems for the low-Mn steel grade.
On the Identification of Regulatory Gaps for Hydrogen as Maritime Fuel
Feb 2025
Publication
C. Georgopoulou,
C. Di Maria,
G. Di Ilio,
Viviana Cigolotti,
Mariagiovanna Minutillo,
Mosè Rossi,
B.P. Sullivan,
A. Bionda,
Markus Rautanen,
R. Ponzini,
F. Salvadore,
M. Alvarez-Cardozo,
P. Douska,
L. Koukoulopoulos,
G. Psaraftis,
G. Dimopoulos,
T. Wannemacher,
N. Baumann,
K. Mahosl,
M. Tome,
O. Noguero Torres,
F. Oikonomou,
A. Hamalainen,
F. Chillé,
Y. Papagiannopoulos and
N. Sakellaridis
The decarbonization of the maritime sector represents a priority in the energy policy agendas of the majority of Countries worldwide and the International Maritime Organization (IMO) has recently revised its strategy aiming for an ambitious zero-emissions scenario by 2050. In these regards there is a broad consensus on hydrogen as one of the most promising clean energy vectors for maritime transport and a key towards that goal. However to date an international regulatory framework for the use of hydrogen on-board of ships is absent this posing a severe limitation to the adoption of hydrogen technologies in this sector. To cope with this issue this paper presents a preliminary gap assessment analysis for the International Code of Safety for Ship Using Gases or other Low-flashpoint Fuels (IGF Code) with relation to hydrogen as a fuel. The analysis is structured according to the IGF Code chapters and a bottom-up approach is followed to review the code content and assess its relevance to hydrogen. The risks related to hydrogen are accounted for in assessing the gaps and providing a first level set of recommendations for IGF Code updates. By this means this work settles the basis for further research over the identified gaps towards the identification of a final set of recommendations for the IGF Code update.
How "Clean" is the Hydrogen Economy? Tracing the Connections Between Hydrogen and Fossil Fuels
Feb 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is experiencing a resurgence in energy transition debates. Before representing a solution however the existing hydrogen economy is still a climate change headache: over 99 % of production depends on fossil fuels oil refining accounts for 42 % of demand and its transportation is intertwined with fossil infrastructure like natural gas pipelines. This article investigates the path-dependent dynamics shaping the hydrogen economy and its interconnections with the oil and gas industry. It draws on the global production networks (GPN) approach and political economy research to provide a comprehensive review of current and prospective enduses of hydrogen modes of transport networks of industrial actors and state strategies along the major production facilities and holders of intellectual property rights. The results presented in this article suggest that the superimposition of private agendas may jeopardise the viability of future energy systems and requires counterbalancing forces to override the negative consequences of path-dependent energy transitions.
Cruel Utopia of the Seas? Multiple Risks Challenge the Singular Hydrogen Hype in Finnish Maritime Logistics
Oct 2025
Publication
To address the global climate crisis maritime logistics are undergoing a transition away from fossil-based energy sources. The transition is envisaged to be both green (involving renewables) and digital (involving various kinds of digitalization). Much of the hope rests on the new hydrogen economy involving the build-up of infrastructure for hydrogen-derived alternative fuels such as methanol and ammonia. Indeed the new hydrogen economy is often portrayed as set to revolutionize maritime transport. The hope behind the hype reflects a belief in the performativity of hypes: some technological phenomenon will eventually materialise in innovation and business practices. In this paper we critically analyse the current hydrogen hype in the field of Finnish maritime logistics as a paradigmatic case of performative techno-optimism. Based on causal network analysis and thematic analysis of expert interviews and workshop data we argue that the phenomenon of performative techno-optimism is more nuanced than hitherto presented in the related literature. We showcase a variety of stances along a spectrum ranging from radical optimism to radical pessimism. Furthermore our causal network analysis indicates that the current green and digital transition of maritime transport is caught in a systemic catch-22: transitioning to alternative fuels in maritime logistics faces a lock-in of between overly cautious demand for alternative fuels leading to overly cautious investment in supply which only secures the modest demand. Finally our thematic analysis of techno-optimist stances suggests the following two major ways out of the systemic dilemma: large-scale technological innovations and global regulatory solutions.
Hydrogen Direct Reduced Iron Melting in an Electric Arc Furnace: Benefits of In Situ Monitoring
Oct 2025
Publication
The transition toward environmentally friendly steelmaking using hydrogen direct reduced iron as feed material in electric arc furnaces will eventually require process adjustments due to changes in the pellet properties when compared to e.g. blast furnace pellets. To this end the melting of hydrogen direct reduced iron pellets with 68 and 100% reduction degrees and Fe content of 67.24% was investigated in a laboratory-scale electric arc furnace. The presence of iron oxide-rich slag had a significant effect on the arc movement on the melt and an inhibiting effect on iron evaporation. The melting was monitored with video recording and optical emission spectroscopy. The videos were used to monitor the melting behavior whereas optical emissions revealed iron gangue elements and hydrogen from the pellets radiating in the plasma. Furthermore the flow of the melt is well seen in the videos as well as the movement of slag droplets on the melt surface. After the experiments the metal had silica-rich inclusions whereas slag had mostly penetrated into the crucible. The most notable differences in melting behavior can be attributed to the iron oxide-rich slag its interaction with the arc and penetration into the crucible and how it affects the arc movement and heat transfer.
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