United Kingdom
Hydrogen Liquefaction: A Review of the Fundamental Physics, Engineering Practice and Future Opportunities
Apr 2022
Publication
Hydrogen is emerging as one of the most promising energy carriers for a decarbonised global energy system. Transportation and storage of hydrogen are critical to its large-scale adoption and to these ends liquid hydrogen is being widely considered. The liquefaction and storage processes must however be both safe and efficient for liquid hydrogen to be viable as an energy carrier. Identifying the most promising liquefaction processes and associated transport and storage technologies is therefore crucial; these need to be considered in terms of a range of interconnected parameters ranging from energy consumption and appropriate materials usage to considerations of unique liquid-hydrogen physics (in the form of ortho–para hydrogen conversion) and boil-off gas handling. This study presents the current state of liquid hydrogen technology across the entire value chain whilst detailing both the relevant underpinning science (e.g. the quantum behaviour of hydrogen at cryogenic temperatures) and current liquefaction process routes including relevant unit operation design and efficiency. Cognisant of the challenges associated with a projected hydrogen liquefaction plant capacity scale-up from the current 32 tonnes per day to greater than 100 tonnes per day to meet projected hydrogen demand this study also reflects on the next-generation of liquid-hydrogen technologies and the scientific research and development priorities needed to enable them.
‘Greening’ an Oil Exporting Country: A Hydrogen, Wind and Gas Turbine Case Study
Feb 2024
Publication
In the quest for achieving decarbonisation it is essential for different sectors of the economy to collaborate and invest significantly. This study presents an innovative approach that merges technological insights with philosophical considerations at a national scale with the intention of shaping the national policy and practice. The aim of this research is to assist in formulating decarbonisation strategies for intricate economies. Libya a major oil exporter that can diversify its energy revenue sources is used as the case study. However the principles can be applied to develop decarbonisation strategies across the globe. The decarbonisation framework evaluated in this study encompasses wind-based renewable electricity hydrogen and gas turbine combined cycles. A comprehensive set of both official and unofficial national data was assembled integrated and analysed to conduct this study. The developed analytical model considers a variety of factors including consumption in different sectors geographical data weather patterns wind potential and consumption trends amongst others. When gaps and inconsistencies were encountered reasonable assumptions and projections were used to bridge them. This model is seen as a valuable foundation for developing replacement scenarios that can realistically guide production and user engagement towards decarbonisation. The aim of this model is to maintain the advantages of the current energy consumption level assuming a 2% growth rate and to assess changes in energy consumption in a fully green economy. While some level of speculation is present in the results important qualitative and quantitative insights emerge with the key takeaway being the use of hydrogen and the anticipated considerable increase in electricity demand. Two scenarios were evaluated: achieving energy self-sufficiency and replacing current oil exports with hydrogen exports on an energy content basis. This study offers for the first time a quantitative perspective on the wind-based infrastructure needs resulting from the evaluation of the two scenarios. In the first scenario energy requirements were based on replacing fossil fuels with renewable sources. In contrast the second scenario included maintaining energy exports at levels like the past substituting oil with hydrogen. The findings clearly demonstrate that this transition will demand great changes and substantial investments. The primary requirements identified are 20529 or 34199 km2 of land for wind turbine installations (for self-sufficiency and exports) and 44 single-shaft 600 MW combined-cycle hydrogen-fired gas turbines. This foundational analysis represents the commencement of the research investment and political agenda regarding the journey to achieving decarbonisation for a country.
Future of Hydrogen in Industry: Initial Industrial Site Surveys
Jul 2023
Publication
This is a summary report of a study which aimed to understand the safety feasibility cost and impacts for 7 industrial sites to switch from natural gas to 100% hydrogen for heating. The volunteer industrial sites:<br/>♦ are located away from industrial clusters<br/>♦ use natural gas to meet most of their energy demand<br/>♦ will likely be most impacted by decisions on the future of the natural gas grid<br/>We have published the report in order to share its findings with other industrial sites and wider industry in particular those considering hydrogen as an option for decarbonisation.<br/>Note that:<br/>♦ some work was carried out on a non-hydrogen alternative energy source but to a lesser level of detail and not to determine the optimal decarbonisation solution<br/>♦ the findings do not apply to other end user environments because of differences between these environments and the consumption of gas<br/>The study was commissioned in 2022 by the former Department for Business and Energy and undertaken by AECOM and their safety sub-contractor ESR.<br/>The evidence will inform strategic decisions in 2026 on the role of low carbon hydrogen as a replacement for natural gas heating.
A Hydrogen Vision for the UK
Apr 2023
Publication
This report shows how the infrastructure that exists today can evolve from one based on the supply of fossil fuels to one providing the backbone of a clean hydrogen system. The ambitious government hydrogen targets across the UK will only be met with clarity focus and partnership. The gas networks are ready to play their part in the UK’s energy future. They have a plan know what is needed to deliver it and are taking the necessary steps to do just that.
Hydrogen from Offshore Wind: Investor Perspective on the Profitability of a Hybrid System Including for Curtailment
Mar 2020
Publication
Accommodating renewables on the electricity grid may hinder development opportunities for offshore wind farms (OWFs) as they begin to experience significant curtailment or constraint. However there is potential to combine investment in OWFs with Power-to-Gas (PtG) converting electricity to hydrogen via electrolysis for an alternative/complementary revenue. Using historic wind speed and simulated system marginal costs data this work models the electricity generated and potential revenues of a 504 MW OWF. Three configurations are analysed; (1) all electricity is sold to the grid (2) all electricity is converted to hydrogen and sold and (3) a hybrid system where power is converted to hydrogen when curtailment occurs and/or when the system marginal cost is low with the effect of curtailment analysed in each scenario. These represent the status quo a potential future configuration and an innovative business model respectively. The willingness of an investor to build PtG are determined by changes to the net present value (NPV) of a project. Results suggest that configuration (1) is most profitable and that curtailment mitigation alone is not sufficient to secure investment in PtG. By acting as an artificial floor in the electricity price a hybrid configuration (3) is promising and increases NPV for all hydrogen values greater than €4.2/kgH2. Hybrid system attractiveness increases with curtailment only if the hydrogen value is significantly above the levelised cost of €3.77/kgH2. In order for an investor to choose to pursue configuration (2) the offshore wind farm would have to anticipate 8.5% curtailment and be able to receive €4.5/kgH2 or 25% curtailment and receive €4/kgH2. The capital costs and discount rates are the most sensitive parameters and ambitious combinations of technology improvements could produce a levelised cost of €3/kgH2.
Green Ammonia as a Spatial Energy Vector: A Review
May 2021
Publication
Green hydrogen is considered a highly promising vector for deep decarbonisation of energy systems and is forecast to represent 20% of global energy use by 2050. In order to secure access to this resource Japan Germany and South Korea have announced plans to import hydrogen; other major energy consumers are sure to follow. Ammonia a promising hydrogen derivative may enable this energy transport by densifying hydrogen at relatively low cost using well-understood technologies. This review seeks to describe a global green ammonia import/export market: it identifies benefits and limitations of ammonia relative to other hydrogen carriers the costs of ammonia production and transport and the constraints on both supply and demand. We find that green ammonia as an energy vector is likely to be critical to future energy systems but that gaps remain in the literature. In particular rigorous analysis of production and transport costs are rarely paired preventing realistic assessments of the delivered cost of energy or the selection of optimum import/export partners to minimise the delivered cost of ammonia. Filling these gaps in the literature is a prerequisite to the development of robust hydrogen and ammonia strategies and to enable the formation of global import and export markets of green fuel
OIES Podcast - The EU Hydrogen and Gas Decarbonisation Package
Mar 2023
Publication
David Ledesma discusses with Alex Barnes the European Commission’s decision to make hydrogen a key part of its decarbonisation strategy. The 2022 REPowerEU Strategy set a target of 20MT consumption of renewable hydrogen by 2030. The Commission is keen to promote a single European market in hydrogen similar to the current one for natural gas. To this end it has published proposals on the regulation of future European hydrogen infrastructure (pipelines storage facilities and import terminals). The EU Council (representing Member States) and the EU Parliament are finalising their amendments to the Commission proposals prior to ‘trilogue’ negotiations and final agreement later this year. The OIES’s paper ‘The EU Hydrogen and Gas Decarbonisation Package: help or hindrance for the development of a European hydrogen market?’ published in March 2023 examines the EU Commission proposals and their suitability for a developing hydrogen market.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Coordinated Control of a Wind-Methanol-Fuel Cell System with Hydrogen Storage
Dec 2017
Publication
This paper presents a wind-methanol-fuel cell system with hydrogen storage. It can manage various energy flow to provide stable wind power supply produce constant methanol and reduce CO2 emissions. Firstly this study establishes the theoretical basis and formulation algorithms. And then computational experiments are developed with MATLAB/Simulink (R2016a MathWorks Natick MA USA). Real data are used to fit the developed models in the study. From the test results the developed system can generate maximum electricity whilst maintaining a stable production of methanol with the aid of a hybrid energy storage system (HESS). A sophisticated control scheme is also developed to coordinate these actions to achieve satisfactory system performance.
China's Hydrogen Development: A Tale of Three Cities
Mar 2023
Publication
China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of hydrogen. The country has adopted a domestic strategy that targets significant growth in hydrogen consumption and production. Given the importance of hydrogen in the low-carbon energy transition it is critical to understand China’s hydrogen policies and their implementation as well as the extent to which these contribute to the country’s low-carbon goals.<br/>Existing research has focused on understanding policies and regulations in China and their implications for the country’s hydrogen prospects. This study aims to improve our understanding of central-government initiatives and look at how China’s hydrogen policies are implemented at the local level. The paper examines the three cities of Zhangjiakou (in China’s renewable-rich Hebei province) Datong (in the country’s coal-heartland of Shanxi province) and Chengdu which is rich in hydropower and natural gas. To be sure the three cities analysed in this paper do not cover all regional plans and initiatives but they offer a useful window into local hydrogen policy implementation. They also illustrate the major challenges facing green hydrogen as it moves beyond the narrow highly subsidized field of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs). Indeed costs as well as water land availability and technology continue to be constraints.<br/>The hydrogen policies and road maps reviewed in this paper offer numerous targets—often setting quantitative goals for FCVs hydrogen refuelling stations hydrogen supply chain revenue and new hydrogen technology companies—aligning with the view that hydrogen development is currently more of an industrial policy than a decarbonisation strategy. Indeed hydrogen’s potential to decarbonise sectors such as manufacturing and chemicals is of secondary importance if mentioned at all. But as the cities analysed here view hydrogen as part of their industrial programmes economic development and climate strategies support is likely to remain significant even as the specific incentive schemes will likely evolve.<br/>Given this local hydrogen development model rising demand for hydrogen in China could ultimately increase rather than decrease CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels in the short run. At the same time even though the central government’s hydrogen targets (as laid out in its 2022 policy documents) seem relatively conservative Chinese cities’ appetite for new sources of growth and the ability to fund various business models are worth watching.
Modelling Underground Hydrogen Storage: A State-of-the-art Review of Fundamental Approaches and Findings
Dec 2023
Publication
This review presents a state-of-the-art of geochemical geomechanical and hydrodynamic modelling studies in the Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS) domain. Geochemical modelling assessed the reactivity of hydrogen and res pective fluctuations in hydrogen losses using kinetic reaction rates rock mineralogy brine salinity and the integration of hydrogen redox reactions. Existing geomechanics studies offer an array of coupled hydromechanical models suggesting a decline in rock failure during the withdrawal phase in aquifers compared to injection phase. Hydrodynamic modelling evaluations indicate the critical importance of relative permeability hysteresis in determining the UHS performance. Solubility and diffusion of hydrogen gas appear to have minimal impact on UHS. Injection and production rates cushion gas deployment and reservoir heterogeneity however significantly affect the UHS performance stressing the need for thorough modelling and experimental studies. Most of the current UHS modelling efforts focus on assessing the hydrodynamic aspects which are crucial for understanding the viability and safety of UHS. In contrast the lesser-explored geochemical and geomechanical considerations point to potential research gaps. A variety of modelling software tools such as CMG Eclipse COMSOL and PHREEQC evaluated those UHS underlying effects along with a few recent applications of datadriven-based Machine Learning (ML) techniques for enhanced accuracy. This review identified several unresolved challenges in UHS modelling: pronounced lack of expansive datasets leading to a gap between model predictions and their practical reliability; need robust methodologies capable of capturing natural subsurface heterogeneity while upscaling from precise laboratory data to field-scale conditions; demanding intensive computational resources and novel strategies to enhance simulation efficiency; and a gap in addressing geological uncertainties in subsurface environments suggesting that methodologies from oil reservoir simulations could be adapted for UHS. This comprehensive review offers a critical synthesis of the prevailing approaches challenges and research gaps in the domain of UHS thus providing a valuable reference document for further modelling efforts facilitating the informed advancements in this critical domain towards the realization of sustainable energy solutions.
Emission Reduction and Cost-benefit Analysis of the Use of Ammonia and Green Hydrogen as Fuel for Marine Applications
Dec 2023
Publication
Increasingly stringent emission standards have led shippers and port operators to consider alternative energy sources which can reduce emissions while minimizing capital investment. It is essential to understand whether there is a certain economic investment gap for alternative energy. The present work mainly focuses on the simulation study of ships using ammonia and hydrogen fuels arriving at Guangzhou Port to investigate the emission advantages and cost-benefit analysis of ammonia and hydrogen as alternative fuels. By collecting actual data and fuel consumption emissions of ships arriving at Guangzhou Port the present study calculated the pollutant emissions and cost of ammonia and hydrogen fuels substitution. As expected it is shown that with the increase of NH3 in fuel mixed fuels will effectively reduce CO and CO2 emissions. Compared to conventional fuel the injection of NH3 increases the NOx emission. However the cost savings of ammonia fuel for CO2 SOx and PM10 reduction are higher than that for NOx. In terms of pollutants ammonia is less expensive than conventional fuels when applied to the Guangzhou Port. However the cost of fuel supply is still higher than conventional energy as ammonia has not yet formed a complete fuel supply and storage system for ships. On the other hand hydrogen is quite expensive to store and transport resulting in higher overall costs than ammonia and conventional fuels even if no pollutants are produced. At present conventional fuels still have advantage in terms of cost. With the promotion of ammonia fuel technology and application the cost of supply will be reduced. It is predicted that by 2035 ammonia will not only have emission reduction benefits but also will have a lower overall economic cost than conventional fuels. Hydrogen energy will need longer development and technological breakthroughs due to the limitation of storage conditions.
Caveats of Green Hydrogen for Decarbonisation of Heating in Buildings
Oct 2023
Publication
Hydrogen (H2) has rapidly become a topic of great attention when discussing routes to net-zero carbon emissions. About 14% of CO2 emissions globally are directly associated with domestic heating in buildings. Replacing natural gas (NG) with H2 for heating has been highlighted as a rapid alternative for mitigating these emissions. To realise this not only the production challenges but also potential obstacles in the transmission/distribution and combustion of H2 must be technically identified and discussed. This review in addition to delineating the challenges of H2 in NG grid pipelines and H2 combustion also collates the results of the state-of-the-art technologies in H2-based heating systems. We conclude that the sustainability of water and renewable electricity resources strongly depends on sizing siting service life of electrolysis plants and post-electrolysis water disposal plans. 100% H2 in pipelines requires major infrastructure upgrades including production transmission pressurereduction stations distribution and boiler rooms. H2 leakage instigates more environmental risks than economic ones. With optimised boilers burning H2 could reduce GHG emissions and obtain an appropriate heating efficiency; more data from boiler manufacturers must be provided. Overall green H2 is not the only solution to decarbonise heating in buildings and it should be pursued abreast of other heating technologies.
Assessing the Potential of Decarbonization Options for Industrial Sectors
Jan 2024
Publication
Industry emits around a quarter of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This paper presents the first comprehensive review to identify the main decarbonization options for this sector and their abatement potentials. First we identify the important GHG emitting processes and establish a global average baseline for their current emissions intensity and energy use. We then quantify the energy and emissions reduction potential of the most significant abatement options as well as their technology readiness level (TRL). We find that energy-intensive industries have a range of decarbonization technologies available with medium to high TRLs and mature options also exist for decarbonizing low-temperature heat across a wide range of industrial sectors. However electrification and novel process change options to reduce emissions from high-temperature and sector-specific processes have much lower TRLs in comparison. We conclude by highlighting important barriers to the deployment of industrial decarbonization options and identifying future research development and demonstration needs.
Techno-economic Feasibility of Distributed Waste-to-hydrogen Systems to Support Green Transport in Glasgow
Mar 2022
Publication
Distributed waste-to-hydrogen (WtH) systems are a potential solution to tackle the dual challenges of sustainable waste management and zero emission transport. Here we propose a concept of distributed WtH systems based on gasification and fermentation to support hydrogen fuel cell buses in Glasgow. A variety of WtH scenarios were configured based on biomass waste feedstock hydrogen production reactors and upstream and downstream system components. A cost-benefit analysis (CBA) was conducted to compare the economic feasibility of the different WtH systems with that of the conventional steam methane reforming-based method. This required the curation of a database that included inter alia direct cost data on construction maintenance operations infrastructure and storage along with indirect cost data comprising environmental impacts and externalities cost of pollution carbon taxes and subsidies. The levelized cost of hydrogen (LCoH) was calculated to be 2.22 GB P/kg for municipal solid waste gasification and 2.02 GB P/kg for waste wood gasification. The LCoHs for dark fermentation and combined dark and photo fermentation systems were calculated to be 2.15 GB P/kg and 2.29 GB P/kg. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify the most significant influential factors of distributed WtH systems. It was indicated that hydrogen production rates and CAPEX had the largest impact for the biochemical and thermochemical technologies respectively. Limitations including high capital expenditure will require cost reduction through technical advancements and carbon tax on conventional hydrogen production methods to improve the outlook for WtH development.
Optimizing Underground Hydrogen Storage in Aquifers: The Impact of Cushion Gas Type
Aug 2023
Publication
This study investigated the impact of cushion gas type and presence on the performance of underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in an offshore North Sea aquifer. Using numerical simulation the relationship between cushion gas type and UHS performance was comprehensively evaluated providing valuable insights for designing an efficient UHS project delivery. Results indicated that cushion gas type can significantly impact the process's recovery efficiency and hydrogen purity. CO2 was found to have the highest storage capacity while lighter gases like N2 and CH4 exhibited better recovery efficiency. Utilising CH4 as a cushion gas can lead to a higher recovery efficiency of 80%. It was also determined that utilising either of these cushion gases was always more beneficial than hydrogen storage alone leading to an incremental hydrogen recovery up to 7%. Additionally hydrogen purity degraded as each cycle progressed but improved over time. This study contributes to a better understanding of factors affecting UHS performance and can inform the selection of cushion gas type and optimal operational strategies.
Towards a Unified Theory of Domestic Hydrogen Acceptance: An Integrative, Comparative Review
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen energy technologies are envisioned to play a critical supporting role in global decarbonisation. While low-carbon hydrogen is primarily targeted for reducing industrial emissions alongside decarbonising parts of the transport sector environmental benefits could also be achieved in the residential context. Presently gasdependent countries such as Japan and the United Kingdom are assessing the feasibility of deploying hydrogen home appliances as part of their national energy strategies. However prospects for the transition will hinge on consumer acceptance alongside an array of other socio-technical factors. To support potential ambitions for large-scale and sustained technology diffusion this study advances a Unified Theory of Domestic Hydrogen Acceptance. Through an integrative comparative literature review targeting hydrogen and domestic energy studies the paper proposes a novel Domestic Hydrogen Acceptance Model (DHAM) which accounts for the cognitive and emotional dimensions of human perceptions. Through this dual interplay the proposed framework can increase the predictive power of hydrogen acceptance models.
Future Energy Scenarios 2022
Jul 2022
Publication
Future Energy Scenarios (FES) represent a range of different credible ways to decarbonise our energy system as we strive towards the 2050 target.<br/>We’re less than 30 years away from the Net Zero deadline which isn’t long when you consider investment cycles for gas networks electricity transmission lines and domestic heating systems.<br/>FES has an important role to play in stimulating debate and helping to shape the energy system of the future.
Explaining Varying Speeds of Low-carbon Reorientation in the United Kingdom's Steel, Petrochemical, and Oil Refining Industries: A Multi-dimensional Comparative Analysis and Outlook
Feb 2024
Publication
Accelerated decarbonisation of steelmaking oil refining and petrochemical industries is essential for climate change mitigation. Drawing on three longitudinal case studies of these industries in the UK this synthesis article makes a comparative analysis of their varying low-carbon reorientation speeds. The paper uses the triple embeddedness framework to analyse five factors (policy support international competition financial health technical feasibility corporate strategy and mindset) that explain why UK oil refineries have in recent years been comparatively the fastest in their low-carbon reorientation and UK steelmakers the slowest. We find that policy support has been more beneficial for refining and petrochemicals than for steel although recent government deals with steelmakers addressed this imbalance. International competition has been high for steel and petrochemicals and comparatively lower for refining (meaning that decarbonisation costs are less detrimental for international competitiveness). Financial performance has comparatively been worst for steel and best for oil refining which shapes the economic feasibility of low-carbon options. Hydrogen and carbon-capture-and-storage are technologically feasible for refining and petrochemicals while Electric Arc Furnaces are technically feasible for steelmakers but face wider feasibility problems (with scrap steel supply electricity grids and electricity prices) which is why we question the recent government deals. Corporate strategy and perceptions changed in oil refining with firms seeing economic opportunities in decarbonisation while steelmakers and petrochemical firms still mostly see decarbonisation as a burden and threat. The paper ends with comparative conclusions a discussion of political considerations and future outlooks for the three UK industries policy and research.
Future Energy Scenarios 2020
Jul 2020
Publication
Our Future Energy Scenarios (FES) outline four different credible pathways for the future of energy over the next 30 years. Based on input from over 600 experts the report looks at the energy needed in Britain across electricity and gas - examining where it could come from how it needs to change and what this means for consumers society and the energy system itself.
Regional Supply Chains for Decarbonising Steel: Energy Efficiency and Green Premium Mitigation
Jan 2022
Publication
Decarbonised steel enabled by green hydrogen-based iron ore reduction and renewable electricity-based steel making will disrupt the traditional supply chain. Focusing on the energetic and techno-economic assessment of potential green supply chains this study investigates the direct reduced iron-electric arc furnace production route enabled by renewable energy and deployed in regional settings. The hypothesis that co-locating manufacturing processes with renewable energy resources would offer highest energy efficiency and cost reduction is tested through an Australia-Japan case study. The binational partnership is structured to meet Japanese steel demand (for domestic use and regional exports) and source both energy and iron ore from the Pilbara region of Western Australia. A total of 12 unique supply chains differentiated by spatial configuration timeline and energy carrier were simulated which validated the hypothesis: direct energy and ore exports to remote steel producers (i.e. Japan-based production) as opposed to co-locating iron and steel production with abundant ore and renewable energy resources (i.e. Australia-based production) increased energy consumption and the levelised cost of steel by 45% and 32% respectively when averaged across 2030 and 2050. Two decades of technological development and economies of scale realisation would be crucial; 2030 supply chains were on average 12% more energy-intense and 23% more expensive than 2050 equivalents. On energy vectors liquefied hydrogen was more efficient than ammonia for export-dominant supply chains due to the pairing of its process flexibility and the intermittent solar energy profile as well as the avoidance of the need for ammonia cracking prior to direct reduction. To mitigate the green premium a carbon tax in the range of A$66–192/t CO2 would be required in 2030 and A$0–70/t CO2 in 2050; the diminished carbon tax requirement in the latter is achievable only by wholly Australia-based production. Further the modelled system scale was immense; producing 40 Mtpa of decarbonised steel will require 74–129% of Australia’s current electricity output and A$137–328 billion in capital investment for solar power production and shipping vessel infrastructure. These results call for strategic planning of regional resource pairing to drive energy and cost efficiencies which accelerate the global decarbonisation of steel.
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