Publications
Potentials of Green Hydrogen Production in P2G Systems Based on FPV Installations Deployed on Pit Lakes in Former Mining Sites by 2050 in Poland
Sep 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen production is expected to play a major role in the context of the shift towards sustainable energy stipulated in the Fit for 55 package. Green hydrogen and its derivatives have the capacity to act as effective energy storage vectors while fuel cell-powered vehicles will foster net-zero emission mobility. This study evaluates the potential of green hydrogen production in Power-to-Gas (P2G) systems operated in former mining sites where sand and gravel aggregate has been extracted from lakes and rivers under wet conditions (below the water table). The potential of hydrogen production was assessed for the selected administrative unit in Poland the West Pomerania province. Attention is given to the legal and organisational aspects of operating mining companies to identify the sites suitable for the installation of floating photovoltaic facilities by 2050. The method relies on the use of GIS tools which utilise geospatial data to identify potential sites for investments. Basing on the geospatial model and considering technical and organisational constraints the schedule was developed showing the potential availability of the site over time. Knowing the surface area of the water reservoir the installed power of the floating photovoltaic plant and the production capacity of the power generation facility and electrolysers the capacity of hydrogen production in the P2G system can be evaluated. It appears that by 2050 it should be feasible to produce green fuel in the P2G system to support a fleet of city buses for two of the largest urban agglomerations in the West Pomerania province. Simulations revealed that with a water coverage ratio increase and the planned growth of green hydrogen generation it should be feasible to produce fuel for net-zero emission urban mobility systems to power 200 buses by 2030 550 buses by 2040 and 900 buses by 2050 (for the bus models Maxi (40 seats) and Mega (60 seats)). The results of the research can significantly contribute to the development of projects focused on the production of green hydrogen in a decentralised system. The disclosure of potential and available locations over time can be compared with competitive solutions in terms of spatial planning environmental and societal impact and the economics of the undertaking.
The Potential of Hydrogen-battery Storage Systems for a Sustainable Renewable-based Electrification of Remote Islands in Norway
Oct 2023
Publication
Remote locations and off-grid regions still rely mainly on diesel generators despite the high operating costs and greenhouse gas emissions. The exploitation of local renewable energy sources (RES) in combination with energy storage technologies can be a promising solution for the sustainable electrification of these areas. The aim of this work is to investigate the potential for decarbonizing remote islands in Norway by installing RES-based energy systems with hydrogen-battery storage. A national scale assessment is presented: first Norwegian islands are characterized and classified according to geographical location number of inhabitants key services and current electrification system. Then 138 suitable installation sites are pinpointed through a multiple-step sorting procedure and finally 10 reference islands are identified as representative case studies. A site-specific methodology is applied to estimate the electrical load profiles of all the selected reference islands. An optimization framework is then developed to determine the optimal system configuration that minimizes the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) while ensuring a reliable 100% renewable power supply. The LCOE of the RES-based energy systems range from 0.21 to 0.63 €/kWh and a clear linear correlation with the wind farm capacity factor is observed (R2 equal to 0.87). Hydrogen is found to be crucial to prevent the oversizing of the RES generators and batteries and ensure long-term storage capacity. The techno-economic feasibility of alternative electrification strategies is also investigated: the use of diesel generators is not economically viable (0.87–1.04 €/kWh) while the profitability of submarine cable connections is highly dependent on the cable length and the annual electricity consumption (0.14–1.47 €/kWh). Overall the cost-effectiveness of RES-based energy systems for off-grid locations in Northern Europe can be easily assessed using the correlations derived in this analysis.
A Novel Sustainable Approach for Site Selection of Underground Hydrogen Storage in Poland Using Deep Learning
Jul 2024
Publication
This research investigates the potential of using bedded salt formations for underground hydrogen storage. We present a novel artificial intelligence framework that employs spatial data analysis and multi-criteria decision-making to pinpoint the most appropriate sites for hydrogen storage in salt caverns. This methodology incorporates a comprehensive platform enhanced by a deep learning algorithm specifically a convolutional neural network (CNN) to generate suitability maps for rock salt deposits for hydrogen storage. The efficacy of the CNN algorithm was assessed using metrics such as Mean Absolute Error (MAE) Mean Squared Error (MSE) Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and the Correlation Coefficient (R2 ) with comparisons made to a real-world dataset. The CNN model showed outstanding performance with an R2 of 0.96 MSE of 1.97 MAE of 1.003 and RMSE of 1.4. This novel approach leverages advanced deep learning techniques to offer a unique framework for assessing the viability of underground hydrogen storage. It presents a significant advancement in the field offering valuable insights for a wide range of stakeholders and facilitating the identification of ideal sites for hydrogen storage facilities thereby supporting informed decisionmaking and sustainable energy infrastructure development.
Hydrogen Blending in Natural Gas Grid: Energy, Environmental, and Economic Implications in the Residential Sector
Jul 2024
Publication
The forthcoming implementation of national policies towards hydrogen blending into the natural gas grid will affect the technical and economic parameters that must be taken into account in the design of building heating systems. This study evaluates the implications of using hydrogenenriched natural gas (H2NG) blends in condensing boilers and Gas Adsorption Heat Pumps (GAHPs) in a residential building in Rome Italy. The analysis considers several parameters including nonrenewable primary energy consumption CO2 emissions Levelized Cost of Heat (LCOH) and Carbon Abatement Cost (CAC). The results show that a 30% hydrogen blend achieves a primary energy consumption reduction of 12.05% and 11.19% in boilers and GAHPs respectively. The presence of hydrogen in the mixture exerts a more pronounced influence on the reduction in fossil primary energy and CO2 emissions in condensing boilers as it enhances combustion efficiency. The GAHP system turns out to be more cost-effective due to its higher efficiency. At current hydrogen costs the LCOH of both technologies increases as the volume fraction of hydrogen increases. The forthcoming cost reduction in hydrogen will reduce the LCOH and the decarbonization cost for both technologies. At low hydrogen prices the CAC for boilers is lower than for GAHPs; therefore replacing boilers with other gas technologies rather than electric heat pumps increases the risk of creating stranded assets. In conclusion blending hydrogen into the gas grid can be a useful policy to reduce emissions from the overall natural gas consumption during the process of end-use electrification while stimulating the development of a hydrogen economy.
Comparison of Battery Electric Vehicles and Fuel Cell Vehicles
Sep 2023
Publication
In the current context of the ban on fossil fuel vehicles (diesel and petrol) adopted by several European cities the question arises of the development of the infrastructure for the distribution of alternative energies namely hydrogen (for fuel cell electric vehicles) and electricity (for battery electric vehicles). First we compare the main advantages/constraints of the two alternative propulsion modes for the user. The main advantages of hydrogen vehicles are autonomy and fast recharging. The main advantages of battery-powered vehicles are the lower price and the wide availability of the electricity grid. We then review the existing studies on the deployment of new hydrogen distribution networks and compare the deployment costs of hydrogen and electricity distribution networks. Finally we conclude with some personal conclusions on the benefits of developing both modes and ideas for future studies on the subject.
Review of Hydrogen-Driven Power-to-X Technology and Application Status in China
Jul 2024
Publication
Given China’s ambition to realize carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutralization by 2060 hydrogen is gradually becoming the pivotal energy source for the needs of energy structure optimization and energy system transformation. Thus hydrogen combined with renewable energy has received more and more attention. Nowadays power-to-hydrogen power-to-methanol and power-to-ammonia are regarded as the most promising three hydrogen-driven power-to-X technologies due to the many commercial or demonstration projects in China. In this paper these three hydrogen-driven power-to-X technologies and their application status in China are introduced and discussed. First a general introduction of hydrogen energy policies in China is summarized and then the basic principles technical characteristics trends and challenges of the three hydrogen-driven power-to-X technologies are reviewed. Finally several typical commercial or demonstration projects are selected and discussed in detail to illustrate the development of the power-to-X technologies in China.
Alternative Fuels in Sustainable Logistics—Applications, Challenges, and Solutions
Sep 2024
Publication
Logistics is becoming more cost competitive while customers and regulatory bodies pressure businesses to disclose their carbon footprints creating interest in alternative fuels as a decarbonization strategy. This paper provides a thematic review of the role of alternative fuels in sustainable air land and sea logistics their challenges and potential mitigations. Through an extensive literature survey we determined that biofuels synthetic kerosene natural gas ammonia alcohols hydrogen and electricity are the primary alternative fuels of interest in terms of environmental sustainability and techno-economic feasibility. In air logistics synthetic kerosene from hydrogenated esters and fatty acids is the most promising route due to its high technical maturity although it is limited by biomass sourcing. Electrical vehicles are favorable in road logistics due to cheaper green power and efficient vehicle designs although they are constrained by recharging infrastructure deployment. In sea logistics liquified natural gas is advantageous owing to its supply chain maturity but it is limited by methane slip control and storage requirements. Overall our examination indicates that alternative fuels will play a pivotal role in the logistics networks of the future.
Cost Projection of Global Green Hydrogen Production Scenarios
Nov 2023
Publication
A sustainable future hydrogen economy hinges on the development of green hydrogen and the shift away from grey hydrogen but this is highly reliant on reducing production costs which are currently too high for green hydrogen to be competitive. This study predicts the cost trajectory of alkaline and proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers based on ongoing research and development (R&D) scale effects and experiential learning consequently influencing the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) projections. Electrolyzer capital costs are estimated to drop to 88 USD/kW for alkaline and 60 USD/kW for PEM under an optimistic scenario by 2050 or 388 USD/kW and 286 USD/kW respectively under a pessimistic scenario with PEM potentially dominating the market. Through a combination of declining electrolyzer costs and a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) the global LCOH of green hydrogen is projected to fall below 5 USD/kgH2 for solar onshore and offshore wind energy sources under both scenarios by 2030. To facilitate a quicker transition the implementation of financial strategies such as additional revenue streams a hydrogen/carbon credit system and an oxygen one (a minimum retail price of 2 USD/kgO2 ) and regulations such as a carbon tax (minimum 100 USD/tonCO2 for 40 USD/MWh electricity) and a contract-for-difference scheme could be pivotal. These initiatives would act as financial catalysts accelerating the transition to a greener hydrogen economy.
Resilience Assessment of Offshore Wind-to-Hydrogen Systems
Jul 2024
Publication
Low-cost green hydrogen production will be key in reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050. Green hydrogen can be produced by electrolysis using renewable energy including wind energy. However the configuration of offshore wind-to-hydrogen systems is not yet standardised. For example electrolysis can take place onshore or offshore. This work presents a framework to assess and quantify which configuration is more resilient so that security of hydrogen supply is incorporated in strategic decisions with the following key findings. First resilience should be assessed according to hydrogen supply rather than hydrogen production. This allows the framework to be applicable for all identified system configurations. Second resilience can be quantified according to the quantity ratio and lost revenue of the unsupplied hydrogen.
Analysis of a Distributed Green Hydrogen Infrastructure Designed to Support the Sustainable Mobility of a Heavy-duty Fleet
Aug 2023
Publication
Clean hydrogen is a key pillar for the net zero economy which can be deployed by consistent utilization on heavy-duty transport. This study investigates a distributed green hydrogen infrastructure (DHI) for heavy-duty transportation consisting of on-site hydrogen production storage compression and refueling systems in Italy. Two options for energy supply are analyzed: grid connection using green energy via Power Purchasing Agreements (PPAs) and direct connection to the photovoltaic field respectively. Radiation data are representative of the three main Italian areas namely South (Catania) Center (Roma) and North (Milano). The sensitivity analysis varies the PPA value between 50 V/MWh and 200 V/MWh and the water electrolysis capacity factor between 20% and 100%. The study finds that the LCOH ranges from 7.4 V/kgH2 to 67.8 V/kgH2 for the first option and 5.5 V/kgH2 to 27.5 V/kgH2 for the second option with Southern Italy having the lowest LCOH due to higher solar irradiation. The research shows that a DHI can offer economic and technical benefits for heavy-duty mobility. However the performance is highly influenced by external conditions such as hydrogen demand and electricity prices. This study provides valuable insights into designing and operating a DHI for heavy-duty mobility promoting a carbon-free society.
Multiphysics Performance Assessment of Hydrogen Fuelled Engines
Sep 2023
Publication
In the quest for decarbonisation alternative clean fuels for propulsion systems are sought. There is definite advantage in retaining the well-established principles of operation of combustion engines at the core of future developments with hydrogen as a fuel. Hydrogen is envisaged as a clean source of energy for propulsion of heavy and off-road vehicles as well as in marine and construction sectors. A source of concern is the unexplored effect of hydrogen combustion on dilution and degradation of engine lubricants and their additives and consequently upon tribology of engine contact conjunctions. These potential problems can adversely affect engine efficiency durability and operational integrity. Use of different fuels and their method of delivery produces distinctive combustion characteristics that can affect the energy losses associated with in-cylinder components and their durability. Therefore detailed predictive analysis should support the developments of such new generation of eco-friendly engines. Different fundamental physics underpin the various aspects of a pertinent detailed analysis. These include thermodynamics of combustion in-cylinder tribological interactions of contacting surfaces and blowby of generated gasses. This paper presents such an integrated multi-physics analysis of internal combustion engines with focus on hydrogen as the fuel. Such an in-depth and computationally efficient analysis has not hitherto been reported in the literature. The results show implications for lubricant degradation due to the use of hydrogen in the performance of in-cylinder components and the underlying physical principles.
Heat Integration of Liquid Hydrogen-Fueled Hybrid Electric Ship Propulsion System
Nov 2023
Publication
This study introduced the methodology for integrating ethylene glycol/water mixture (GW) systems which supply heat energy to the liquid hydrogen (LH2 ) fuel gas supply system (FGSS) and manage the temperature conditions of the battery system. All systems were designed and simulated based on the power demand of a 2 MW class platform supply vessel assumed as the target ship. The LH2 FGSS model is based on Aspen HYSYS V14 and the cell model that makes up the battery system is implemented based on a Thevenin model with four parameters. Through three different simulation cases the integrated GW system significantly reduced electric power consumption for the GW heater during ship operations achieving reductions of 1.38% (Case 1) 16.29% (Case 2) and 27.52% (Case 3). The energy-saving ratio showed decreases of 1.86% (Case 1) 21.01% (Case 2) and 33.80% (Case 3) in overall energy usage within the GW system. Furthermore an examination of the battery system’s thermal management in the integrated GW system demonstrated stable cell temperature control within ±3 K of the target temperature making this integration a viable solution for maintaining normal operating temperatures despite relatively higher fluctuations compared to an independent GW system.
Experimental Characterization of the Operational Behavior of a Catalytic Recombiner for Hydrogen Mitigation
Sep 2023
Publication
One of the significant safety concerns in large-scale storage and transportation of liquefied (cryogenic) hydrogen (LH2) is the formation of flammable hydrogen/air mixtures after leakages during storage or transportation. Especially in maritime transportation hydrogen accumulations could occur within large and congested geometries. The installation of passive auto-catalytic recombiners (PARs) is a suitable mitigation measure for local areas where venting is insufficient or even impossible. Numerical models describing the operational behavior of PARs are required to allow for optimizing the location and assessing the efficiency of the mitigation measure. In the present study the operational behavior of a PAR with a compact design has been experimentally investigated. In order to obtain data for model validation an experimental program has been performed in the REKO-4 facility a 5.5 m³ vessel. The test procedure includes two phases steady-state and dynamic. The results provide insights into the hydrogen recombination rates and catalyst temperatures under different boundary conditions.
The Role of Underground Salt Caverns in Renewable Energy Peaking: A Review
Nov 2024
Publication
To address the inherent intermittency and instability of renewable energy the construction of large-scale energy storage facilities is imperative. Salt caverns are internationally recognized as excellent sites for large-scale energy storage. They have been widely used to store substances such as natural gas oil air and hydrogen. With the global transition in energy structures and the increasing demand for renewable energy load balancing there is broad market potential for the development of salt cavern energy storage technologies. There are three types of energy storage in salt caverns that can be coupled with renewable energy sources namely salt cavern compressed air energy storage (SCCAES) salt cavern hydrogen storage (SCHS) and salt cavern flow battery (SCFB). The innovation of this paper is to comprehensively review the current status and future development trends of these three energy storage methods. Firstly the development status of these three energy storage methods both domestically and internationally is reviewed. Secondly according to the characteristics of these three types of energy storage methods some key technical challenges are proposed to be focused on. The key technical challenge for SCCAES is the need to further reduce the cost of the ground equipment; the key technical challenge for SCHS is to prevent the risk of hydrogen leakage; and the key technical challenge for SCFB is the need to further increase the concentration of the active substance in the huge salt cavern. Finally some potential solutions are proposed based on these key technical challenges. This work is of great significance in accelerating the development of salt cavern energy storage technologies in coupled renewable energy.
Simulations of Hydrogen Dispersion from Fuel Cell Vehicles' Leakages Inside Full-scale Tunnel
Sep 2023
Publication
In this work real scale experiments involving hydrogen dispersion inside a road tunnel have been modelled using the Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) methodology. The aim is to assess the performance of the ADREA-HF CFD tool against full-scale tunnel dispersion data resulting from high-pressure hydrogen leakage through Thermal Pressure Relief Device (TPRD) of a vehicle. The assessment was performed with the help of experiments conducted by the French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission (CEA) in a real inclined tunnel in France. In the experiments helium as hydrogen surrogate has been released from 200 bar storage pressure. Several tests were carried out examining different TPRD sizes and release directions (upwards and downwards). For the CFD evaluation two tests were considered: one with downwards and one with upwards release both through a TPRD with a diameter of 2 mm. The comparison between the CFD results and the experiments shows the good predictive capabilities of the ADREA-HF code that can be used as a safety tool in hydrogen dispersion studies. The comparison reveals some of the strengths and weaknesses of both the CFD and the experiments. It is made clear that CFD can contribute to the design of the experiments and to the interpretation of the experimental results.
Comparative Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Analysis of Clean Hydrogen Pathways: Assessing Domestic Production and Overseas Import in South Korea
Sep 2023
Publication
The development of a Clean Hydrogen Standard based on life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is gaining prominence on the international agenda. Thus a framework for assessing life-cycle GHG emissions for clean hydrogen pathways is necessary. In this study the comprehensive datasets and effects of various scenarios encompassing hydrogen production carriers (liquid hydrogen ammonia methylcyclohexane) carbon capture and storage (CCS) target analysis year (2021 2030) to reflect trends of greening grid electricity and potential import countries on aggregated life-cycle GHG emissions were presented. South Korea was chosen as a case study region and the low-carbon alternatives were suggested for reducing aggregated emissions to meet the Korean standard (5 kgCO2e/kgH2). First capturing and storing nearly entire (>90%) CO2 from fossil- and waste-based production pathways is deemed essential. Second when repurposing the use of hydrogen that was otherwise used internally applying a penalty for substitution is appropriate leading to results notably exceeding the standard. Third for electrolysis-based hydrogen using renewable or nuclear electricity is essential. Lastly when hydrogen is imported in a well-to-point-of-delivery (WtP) perspective using renewable electricity during hydrogen conversion into a carrier and reusing the produced hydrogen for endothermic reconversion reaction are recommended. By implementing the developed calculation framework to other countries' cases it was observed that importing hydrogen to regions having scope of WtP or above (e.g. well-to-wheel) might not meet the threshold due to additional emissions from importation processes. Additionally for hydrogen carriers undergoing the endothermic reconversion the approach to reduce WtP emissions (reusing produced hydrogen) may conflict with the approach to reduce well-to-gate (WtG) emission (using external fossilbased fuel). The discrepancy highlights the need to set a broader scope of emissions assessment to effectively promote the life-cycle emission reduction efforts of hydrogen importers. This study contributes to the field of clean hydrogen GHG emission assessment offering a robust database and calculation framework while addressing the effects of greening grid electricity and CCS implementation proposing low-carbon alternatives and GHG assessment scope to achieve global GHG reduction.
A Review of Gas Phase Inhibition of Gaseous Hydrogen Embrittlement in Pipeline Steels
Feb 2024
Publication
The addition of small amounts of certain gases such as O2 CO and SO2 may mitigate hydrogen embrittlement in high-pressure gas transmission pipelines that transport hydrogen. To practically implement such inhibition in gas transmission pipelines a comprehensive understanding and quantification of this effect are essential. This review examines the impact of various added gases to hydrogen including typical odorants on gaseous hydrogen embrittlement of steels and evaluates their inhibition effectiveness. O2 CO and SO2 were found to be effective inhibitors of hydrogen embrittlement. Yet the results in the literature have not always been consistent partly because of the diverse range of mechanical tests and their parameters. The absence of systematic studies hinders the evaluation of the feasibility of using gas phase inhibitors for controlling gaseous hydrogen embrittlement. A method to quantify the effectiveness of gas phase inhibition is proposed using gas phase permeation studies.
Investigation of a Community-based Clean Energy System Holistically with Renewable and Hydrogen Energy Options for Better Sustainable Development
Jan 2024
Publication
This study develops a novel community-based integrated energy system where hydrogen and a combination of renewable energy sources are considered uniquely for implementation. In this regard three different communities situated in Kenya the United States and Australia are studied for hydrogen production and meeting the energy demands. To provide a variety of energy demands this study combines a multigenerational geothermal plant with a hybrid concentrated solar power and photovoltaic solar plant. Innovations in hydrogen production and renewable energy are essential for reducing carbon emissions. By combining the production of hydrogen with renewable energy sources this system seeks to move away from the reliance on fossil fuels and toward sustainability. The study investigates various research subjects using a variety of methods. The performance of the geothermal source is considered through energetic and exergetic thermodynamic analysis. The software System Advisor Model (SAM) and RETscreen software packages are used to analyze the other sub-systems including Concentrate Solar PV solar and Combined Heat and Power Plant. Australian American and Kenyan communities considered for this study were found to have promising potential for producing hydrogen and electricity from renewable sources. The geothermal output is expected to be 35.83 MW 122.8 MW for space heating 151.9 MW for industrial heating and 64.25 MW for hot water. The overall geothermal energy and exergy efficiencies are reported as 65.15% and 63.54% respectively. The locations considered are expected to have annual solar power generation and hydrogen production capacities of 158MW 237MW 186MW 235 tons 216 tons and 313 tons respectively.
Emission Reduction and Cost-benefit Analysis of the Use of Ammonia and Green Hydrogen as Fuel for Marine Applications
Dec 2023
Publication
Increasingly stringent emission standards have led shippers and port operators to consider alternative energy sources which can reduce emissions while minimizing capital investment. It is essential to understand whether there is a certain economic investment gap for alternative energy. The present work mainly focuses on the simulation study of ships using ammonia and hydrogen fuels arriving at Guangzhou Port to investigate the emission advantages and cost-benefit analysis of ammonia and hydrogen as alternative fuels. By collecting actual data and fuel consumption emissions of ships arriving at Guangzhou Port the present study calculated the pollutant emissions and cost of ammonia and hydrogen fuels substitution. As expected it is shown that with the increase of NH3 in fuel mixed fuels will effectively reduce CO and CO2 emissions. Compared to conventional fuel the injection of NH3 increases the NOx emission. However the cost savings of ammonia fuel for CO2 SOx and PM10 reduction are higher than that for NOx. In terms of pollutants ammonia is less expensive than conventional fuels when applied to the Guangzhou Port. However the cost of fuel supply is still higher than conventional energy as ammonia has not yet formed a complete fuel supply and storage system for ships. On the other hand hydrogen is quite expensive to store and transport resulting in higher overall costs than ammonia and conventional fuels even if no pollutants are produced. At present conventional fuels still have advantage in terms of cost. With the promotion of ammonia fuel technology and application the cost of supply will be reduced. It is predicted that by 2035 ammonia will not only have emission reduction benefits but also will have a lower overall economic cost than conventional fuels. Hydrogen energy will need longer development and technological breakthroughs due to the limitation of storage conditions.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions Performance of Electric, Hydrogen and Fossil-Fuelled Freight Trucks with Uncertainty Estimates Using a Probabilistic Life-Cycle Assessment (pLCA)
Jan 2024
Publication
This research conducted a probabilistic life-cycle assessment (pLCA) into the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions performance of nine combinations of truck size and powertrain technology for a recent past and a future (largely decarbonised) situation in Australia. This study finds that the relative and absolute life-cycle GHG emissions performance strongly depends on the vehicle class powertrain and year of assessment. Life-cycle emission factor distributions vary substantially in their magnitude range and shape. Diesel trucks had lower life-cycle GHG emissions in 2019 than electric trucks (battery hydrogen fuel cell) mainly due to the high carbon-emission intensity of the Australian electricity grid (mainly coal) and hydrogen production (mainly through steam–methane reforming). The picture is however very different for a more decarbonised situation where battery electric trucks in particular provide deep reductions (about 75–85%) in life-cycle GHG emissions. Fuel-cell electric (hydrogen) trucks also provide substantial reductions (about 50–70%) but not as deep as those for battery electric trucks. Moreover hydrogen trucks exhibit the largest uncertainty in emissions performance which reflects the uncertainty and general lack of information for this technology. They therefore carry an elevated risk of not achieving the expected emission reductions. Battery electric trucks show the smallest (absolute) uncertainty which suggests that these trucks are expected to deliver the deepest and most robust emission reductions. Operational emissions (on-road driving and vehicle maintenance combined) dominate life-cycle emissions for all vehicle classes. Vehicle manufacturing and upstream emissions make a relatively small contribution to life-cycle emissions from diesel trucks (
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