Publications

China’s progress in decarbonizing its transportation particularly vehicle electrification is notable. However the economically effective pathways are underexplored. To find out how much cost is necessary for carbon neutrality for the light-duty vehicle (LDV) sector this study examines twenty decarbonization pathways combining the New Energy and Oil Consumption Credit model and the China-Fleet model. We find that the 2060 zero-greenhouse gas (GHG) emission goal for LDVs is achievable via electrification if the battery pack cost is under CNY483/kWh by 2050. However an extra of CNY8.86 trillion internal subsidies is needed under pessimistic battery cost scenarios (CNY759/kWh in 2050) to eliminate 246 million tonnes of CO2-eq by 2050 ensuring over 80% market penetration of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in 2050. Moreover the promotion of fuel cell electric vehicles is synergy with BEVs to mitigate the carbon abatement difficulties decreasing up to 34% of the maximum marginal abatement internal investment.

A multi-objective optimization is performed to obtain fueling conditions in hydrogen stations leading to improved filling times and thermodynamic efficiency (entropy production) of the de facto standard of operation which is defined by the protocol SAE J2601. After finding the Pareto frontier between filling time and total entropy production it was found that SAE J2601 is suboptimal in terms of these process variables. Specifically reductions of filling time from 47 to 77% are possible in the analyzed range of ambient temperatures (from 10 to 40 °C) with higher saving potential the hotter the weather conditions. Maximum entropy production savings with respect to SAE J2601 (7% for 10 °C 1% for 40 °C) demand a longer filling time that increases with ambient temperature (264% for 10 °C 350% for 40 °C). Considering average electricity prices in California USA the operating cost of the filling process can be reduced between 8 and 28% without increasing the expected filling time.

The UK Hydrogen Supply Chain Strategic Assessment – Phase II report is developed as an appendix to the UK Hydrogen Supply Chain Strategic Assessment – Phase I report published in September 2024. Whereas the Phase I report prioritised the supply side elements of the hydrogen supply chain i.e. power industry storage electrolytic production CCUS enabled production and networks the Phase II focuses on demand side elements in the hydrogen supply chain i.e. fuel cell systems (including cars vans heavy goods vehicles & non road mobile machinery rail marine) and hydrogen refuelling systems. The Phase II adopts the same approach as carried out in Phase I by utilising analysis based on feedback from survey questionnaires interviews with key industrial stakeholders and internal research.

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This report aims to summarise the status of the European hydrogen market landscape. It is based on the information available at the European Hydrogen Observatory (EHO) initiative the leading source of data on hydrogen in Europe exploring the basic concepts latest trends and role of hydrogen in the energy transition. The data presented in this report is based on research conducted until the end of September 2024. This report contains information on current hydrogen production and trade distribution and storage end-use cost and technology manufacturing as of the end of 2023 except if stated otherwise in Europe. A substantial portion of the data gathering was carried out within the framework of Hydrogen Europe's efforts for the European Hydrogen Observatory. Downloadable spreadsheets of the data can be accessed on the website: https://observatory.clean-hydrogen.europa.eu/. The production and trade section provides insights into hydrogen production capacity and production output by technology in Europe and into international hydrogen trade (export and import) to and between European countries. The section referring to distribution and storage presents the location and main attributes of operational dedicated hydrogen pipelines and storage facilities as well as publicly accessible and operational hydrogen refuelling stations in Europe. The end-use section provides information on annual hydrogen consumption per end-use in Europe the deployment of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles in Europe the current and future hydrogen Valleys in Europe and the leading scenarios for future hydrogen demand in Europe in 2030 2040 and 2050 by sector. The cost chapter offers a comprehensive examination of the levelised cost of hydrogen production by technology and country. This chapter also gives estimations of renewable hydrogen break-even prices for different end-use applications in addition to electrolyser cost components by technology. Finally a chapter on technologies manufacturing explores data on the European electrolyser manufacturing capacity and sales and the fuel cell market.

The European Commission through the REPowerEU plan and the “Fit for 55” package aims to reduce fossil fuel dependence and greenhouse gas emissions by promoting electric and fuel cell hybrid electric vehicles (EV-FCHEVs). The transition to this mobility model requires energy systems that are able to provide both electricity and hydrogen while reducing the reliance of residential buildings on the national grid. This study analyses a poly-generative (PG) system composed of a Solid Oxide Fuel Cell (SOFC) fed by biomethane a Photovoltaic (PV) system and a Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolyser (PEME) with electric vehicles used as dynamic storage units. The assessment is based on simulation tools developed for the main components and applied to four representative seasonal days in Rende (Italy) considering different daily travel ranges of a 30-vehicle fleet. Results show that the PG system provides about 27 kW of electricity 14.6 kW of heat and 3.11 kg of hydrogen in winter spring and autumn and about 26 kW 14 kW and 3.11 kg in summer; it fully covers the building’s electrical demand in summer and hot water demand in all seasons. The integration of EV batteries reduces grid dependence improves renewable self-consumption and allows for the continuous and efficient operation of both the SOFC and PEME demonstrating the potential of the proposed system to support the green transition.

Application of low-emission hydrogen production methods in the decarbonization process remains a highly relevant topic particularly in the context of sustainable hydrogen value chains. This study evaluates hydrogen applications beyond industry focusing on its role as an energy carrier and applying multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to assess economics environmental impact efficiency and technological readiness. The analysis confirmed that hydrogen use for heating was the most competitive non-industrial application (ranking first in 66%) with favorable efficiency and costs. Power generation placed among the top two alternatives in 75% of cases. Transport end-use was less suitable due to compression requirements raising emissions to 272–371 g CO2/kg H2 and levelizing the cost of hydrogen (LCOH) to 13–17 EUR/kg. When H2 transport was included new pipelines and compressed H2 clearly outperformed other methods for short- and long-distances adding only 3.2–3.9% to overall LCOH. Sensitivity analysis confirmed that electricity price variations had a stronger influence on LCOH than capital expenditures. Comparing electrolysis technologies yielded that proton-exchange membrane and solid oxide reduced costs by 12–20% and CO2 emissions by 15–25% compared to alkaline. The study highlights heating end-use and compressed hydrogen and pipeline transport proving MCDA to be useful for selecting scalable pathways.

To address the global climate crisis maritime logistics are undergoing a transition away from fossil-based energy sources. The transition is envisaged to be both green (involving renewables) and digital (involving various kinds of digitalization). Much of the hope rests on the new hydrogen economy involving the build-up of infrastructure for hydrogen-derived alternative fuels such as methanol and ammonia. Indeed the new hydrogen economy is often portrayed as set to revolutionize maritime transport. The hope behind the hype reflects a belief in the performativity of hypes: some technological phenomenon will eventually materialise in innovation and business practices. In this paper we critically analyse the current hydrogen hype in the field of Finnish maritime logistics as a paradigmatic case of performative techno-optimism. Based on causal network analysis and thematic analysis of expert interviews and workshop data we argue that the phenomenon of performative techno-optimism is more nuanced than hitherto presented in the related literature. We showcase a variety of stances along a spectrum ranging from radical optimism to radical pessimism. Furthermore our causal network analysis indicates that the current green and digital transition of maritime transport is caught in a systemic catch-22: transitioning to alternative fuels in maritime logistics faces a lock-in of between overly cautious demand for alternative fuels leading to overly cautious investment in supply which only secures the modest demand. Finally our thematic analysis of techno-optimist stances suggests the following two major ways out of the systemic dilemma: large-scale technological innovations and global regulatory solutions.

Green hydrogen is an important technology in the energy transition with potential to decarbonize industrial processes increase renewable energy use and reduce reliance on fossil fuels yet it currently accounts for less than 1% of global hydrogen demand. One promising approach to expand production is the direct coupling of photovoltaic–electrolyzer systems. In this study overall and sub-system efficiencies were analyzed for different system setups coupling points and operating conditions such as temperature and irradiance. The highest overall system efficiencies were found to be more than 18%. The effect of varying irradiances on the coupled efficiency was not more than 5.7%. Different system designs optimized for different irradiances led to effects such as an increase in current density at the electrolyzer and thus an increase in the overvoltage which resulted in an overall efficiency loss of more than 3%. A key finding was that aligning the PV maximum power point with the electrolyzer polarization curve enables consistently high system efficiencies across the investigated irradiances. The findings were validated with two real life systems reproducing the coupling efficiencies of the model with 12%–14% including loss factors and approximately 18% for a direct coupled system respectively

Protonic solid oxide electrolysis cells are pivotal for environmentally sustainable hydrogen production via water splitting but suffer from efficiency losses due to partial hole conductivity. Here we introduce a device architecture based on a hydride-ion (H− )/proton (H+ ) bipolar electrolyte which exploits electrochemical rectification at a heteroionic interface to overcome this limitation. The perovskite-type BaZr0.5In0.5O2.75 electrolyte undergoes an in situ transformation under electrolysis conditions forming an H+ -conducting hydrate layer adjacent to the anode and an H− -conducting oxyhydride layer near the cathode governed by competitive thermodynamic equilibria of hydration and hydrogenation. This bipolar configuration enables high Faradaic currents through the superior H− ion conductivity of the oxyhydride phase stabilized by cathodic potentials while facilitating continuous H+ /H− interconversion at the interface. Furthermore electrochemical hydrogenation generates an electron-depleted interfacial layer that effectively suppresses hole conduction. Consequently the cells achieve efficiencies of ∼95% at 1.0 A cm− 2 surpassing conventional H+ unipolar designs.

Hydrogen Valley represents localised ecosystems that enable the integrated production storage distribution and utilisation of hydrogen to support the decarbonisation of the energy system. However planning such integrated systems necessitates a detailed evaluation of their interconnections with variable renewable generation sector coupling and system flexibility. The novelty of this work lies in addressing a critical gap in system-level modelling for Hydrogen Valleys by introducing an optimization-based framework to determine their optimal configuration. This study focuses on the scenario-based multiobjective design of local hydrogen energy systems considering renewable integration infrastructure deployment and sector coupling. We developed and simulated three scenarios based on varying hydrogen pathways and penetration levels using the EnergyPLAN model implemented through a custom MATLAB Toolbox. Several decision variables such as renewable energy capacity electrolyser size and hydrogen storage were optimised to minimise CO₂ emissions total annual system cost and critical excess electricity production simultaneously. The findings show that Hydrogen Valley deployment can reduce CO₂ emissions by up to 30 % triple renewable penetration in the primary energy supply and lower the levelized cost of hydrogen from 7.6 €/kg to 5.6 €/kg despite a moderate increase in the total cost of the system. The approach highlights the potential of sector coupling and Power-to-X technologies in enhancing system flexibility and supporting green hydrogen integration. The outcome of our research offers valuable insights for policymakers and planners seeking to align local hydrogen strategies with broader decarbonisation targets and regulatory frameworks.