Policy & Socio-Economics
Comprehensive Review of Development and Applications of Hydrogen Energy Technologies in China for Carbon Neutrality: Technology Advances and Challenges
Jul 2024
Publication
Concerning the transition from a carbon-based energy economy to a renewable energy economy hydrogen is considered an essential energy carrier for efficient and broad energy systems in China in the near future. China aims to gradually replace fossil fuel-based power generation with renewable energy technologies to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. This ambitious undertaking will involve building an industrial production chain spanning the production storage transportation and utilisation of hydrogen energy by 2030 (when China’s carbon peak will be reached). This review analyses the current status of technological R&D in China’s hydrogen energy industry. Based on published data in the open literature we compared the costs and carbon emissions for grey blue and green hydrogen production. The primary challenges concerning hydrogen transportation and storage are highlighted in this study. Given that primary carbon emissions in China are a result of power generation using fossil fuels we provide an overview of the advances in hydrogen-to-power industry technology R&D including hydrogen-related power generation technology hydrogen fuel cells hydrogen internal combustion engines hydrogen gas turbines and catalytic hydrogen combustion using liquid hydrogen carriers (e.g. ammonia methanol and ethanol).
Route-to-Market Strategy for Low-carbon Hydrogen from Natural Gas in the Permian Basin
Aug 2023
Publication
This paper investigates the untapped potential of the Permian Basin a multifaceted energy axis in Texas and adjoining states in the emerging era of decarbonization. Aligned with current policy directives on regional hydrogen hubs this study explores the viability of developing a hydrogen energy hub in the Permian Basin thereby producing low-carbon intensity hydrogen from natural gas in the Basin and transporting it to the Greater Houston area. Diverging from existing literature this study provides an integrated techno-economic evaluation of the entire hydrogen value chain in the Permian Basin encompassing production storage and transportation. Furthermore it comparatively analyzes the scenario of interest against an optimized base scenario thereby underlining comparative advantages and disadvantages. The paper concludes that the delivered cost of Permian based low-carbon intensity hydrogen to the Greater Houston area is $1.85/kg benchmarked to the scenario with hydrogen produced close to the Greater Houston area and delivered at $1.42/kg. Our findings reveal that Permian-based low-carbon intensity hydrogen production can achieve cost savings in feedstock ($0.25/kg) and potentially accrue a higher production tax credit due to a shorter gas supply chain to production ($0.33/kg). Nevertheless a significant cost barrier is the expense of long-haul pipeline transport ($0.90/kg) from the Permian Basin to Houston as opposed to local production. Despite the obstacles the study identifies a potential breakeven solution where increasing the production scale to at least 412000 metric ton per year (about 3 steam reforming plants) in the Permian Basin can effectively lower costs in the transport sector. Hence a scaled-up production can mitigate the cost difference and establish the Permian Basin as a competitive player in the hydrogen market. In conclusion a SWOT analysis presents Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats associated with Permian-based hydrogen production.
An Assessment Methodology for International Hydrogen Competitiveness: Seven Case Studies Compared
Jun 2024
Publication
Currently the global energy structure is undergoing a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources with the hydrogen economy playing a pivotal role. Hydrogen is not only an important energy carrier needed to achieve the global goal of energy conservation and emission reduction it represents a key object of the future international energy trade. As hydrogen trade expands nations are increasingly allocating resources to enhance the international competitiveness of their respective hydrogen industries. This paper introduces an index that can be used to evaluate international hydrogen competitiveness and elucidate the most competitive countries in the hydrogen trade. To calculate the competitiveness scores of seven major prospective hydrogen market participants we employed the entropy weight method. This method considers five essential factors: potential resources economic and financial base infrastructure government support and institutional environment and technological feasibility. The results indicate that the USA and Australia exhibit the highest composite indices. These findings can serve as a guide for countries in formulating suitable policies and strategies to bolster the development and international competitiveness of their respective hydrogen industries.
Techno-economic-environmental Assessment of Green Hydrogen and Ammonia Synthesis Using Solar and Wind Resources for Three Selected Sites in Egypt
Sep 2024
Publication
The primary motivation of the present study is to mitigate the severe impact of ongoing energy resource shortages while offering clean and sustainable energy carriers such as hydrogen and ammonia. The present system mainly encompasses water splitting and the Haber-Bosch (HB) processes for green hydrogen and ammonia synthesis using solar and wind power respectively. Pointwise quantification analyses are conducted to quantify the power hydrogen and ammonia as well as the economic parameters specifically the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) and levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA). This analysis is based on meteorological data from three sites in Egypt considering the specific water and nitrogen requirements for hydrogen and ammonia synthesis respectively. Furthermore carbon dioxide mitigation from solar and wind systems is estimated. These respective sites are Jarjoub on the coastlines of the Mediterranean Sea and Ain Sokhna and Jabal Al-Zait on the coastlines of the Red Sea. The results indicate that the lowest values of LCOE LCOH and LCOA are 12.58 $/MWh 1.91 $/kg H2 and 396.1 $/Ton NH3 respectively which were attained using solar resources at Ain Sokhna geographical site at the Red Sea. Besides Jarjoub which is located in the Mediterranean Sea could attain LCOH of 2.15 $/kg which is still a promising option due to its export potential to Europe. However the use of wind resources is incompetent for solar counterparts in the respective sites; their potential application in Egypt is still promising. The results demonstrate that Jabal Al-Zait stands as a favorable location for green power hydrogen and ammonia synthesis using wind resources which has LCOE LCOH and LCOA of 23.67 $/MWh 2.75 $/kg H2 and 547.8 $/Ton NH3 respectively.
Integration of Renewable-Energy-Based Green Hydrogen into the Energy Future
Sep 2023
Publication
There is a growing interest in green hydrogen with researchers institutions and countries focusing on its development efficiency improvement and cost reduction. This paper explores the concept of green hydrogen and its production process using renewable energy sources in several leading countries including Australia the European Union India Canada China Russia the United States South Korea South Africa Japan and other nations in North Africa. These regions possess significant potential for “green” hydrogen production supporting the transition from fossil fuels to clean energy and promoting environmental sustainability through the electrolysis process a common method of production. The paper also examines the benefits of green hydrogen as a future alternative to fossil fuels highlighting its superior environmental properties with zero net greenhouse gas emissions. Moreover it explores the potential advantages of green hydrogen utilization across various industrial commercial and transportation sectors. The research suggests that green hydrogen can be the fuel of the future when applied correctly in suitable applications with improvements in production and storage techniques as well as enhanced efficiency across multiple domains. Optimization strategies can be employed to maximize efficiency minimize costs and reduce environmental impact in the design and operation of green hydrogen production systems. International cooperation and collaborative efforts are crucial for the development of this technology and the realization of its full benefits.
The Long Term Price Elastic Demand of Hydrogen - A Multi-model Analysis for Germany
May 2024
Publication
Hydrogen and its derivatives are important components to achieve climate policy goals especially in terms of greenhouse gas neutrality. There is an ongoing controversial debate about the applications in which hydrogen and its derivatives should be used and to what extent. Typically the estimation of hydrogen demand relies on scenario-based analyses with varying underlying assumptions and targets. This study establishes a new framework consisting of existing energy system simulation and optimisation models in order to assess the long-term price-elastic demand of hydrogen. The aim of this work is to shift towards an analysis of the hydrogen demand that is primarily driven by its price. This is done for the case of Germany because of the expected high hydrogen demand for the years 2025–2045. 15 wholesale price pathways were established with final prices in 2045 between 56 €/MWh and 182 €/MWh. The results suggest that – if climate targets are to be achieved - even with high hydrogen prices (252 €/MWh in 2030 and 182 €/MWh in 2045) a significant hydrogen demand in the industry sector and the energy conversion sector is expected to emerge (318 TWh). Furthermore the energy conversion sector has a large share of price sensitive hydrogen demand and therefore its demand strongly increases with lower prices. The road transportation sector will only play a small role in terms of hydrogen demand if prices are low. In the decentralised heating for buildings no relevant demand will be seen over the considered price ranges whereas the centralised supply of heat via heat grids increases as prices fall.
A Brief on Nano-Based Hydrogen Energy Transition
Sep 2023
Publication
Considering the clean renewable and ecologically friendly characteristics of hydrogen gas as well as its high energy density hydrogen energy is thought to be the most potent contender to locally replace fossil fuels. The creation of a sustainable energy system is currently one of the critical industrial challenges and electrocatalytic hydrogen evolution associated with appropriate safe storage techniques are key strategies to implement systems based on hydrogen technologies. The recent progress made possible through nanotechnology incorporation either in terms of innovative methods of hydrogen storage or production methods is a guarantee of future breakthroughs in energy sustainability. This manuscript addresses concisely and originally the importance of including nanotechnology in both green electroproduction of hydrogen and hydrogen storage in solid media. This work is mainly focused on these issues and eventually intends to change beliefs that hydrogen technologies are being imposed only for reasons of sustainability and not for the intrinsic value of the technology itself. Moreover nanophysics and nano-engineering have the potential to significantly change the paradigm of conventional hydrogen technologies.
The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity: Techno-economic Methodology
Apr 2024
Publication
This report outlines the methods and assumptions used in the hydrogen technology market analysis. The results of the analysis are presented in The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity and the supporting report Hydrogen technology roadmaps. They include forecasts for the following market data:
○ Global hydrogen economy The overall size of the global hydrogen economy in 2023 2030 and 2050.
○ Global and UK hydrogen technology market by technology family
This is the proportion of the total future hydrogen economy attributable to hydrogen-related technologies in 2023 2030 and 2050. The hydrogen economy is defined as the ‘end-to-end’ value created from hydrogen production storage & distribution and use. This includes the direct economic value associated with production and distribution of hydrogen as a fuel or chemical feedstock hydrogen infrastructure technologies products services and the indirect economic value created through products and services that indirectly support the use of hydrogen in industry transport power generation and heating. This endto-end definition of the hydrogen economy is represented in Figure 1 overleaf.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
○ Global hydrogen economy The overall size of the global hydrogen economy in 2023 2030 and 2050.
○ Global and UK hydrogen technology market by technology family
This is the proportion of the total future hydrogen economy attributable to hydrogen-related technologies in 2023 2030 and 2050. The hydrogen economy is defined as the ‘end-to-end’ value created from hydrogen production storage & distribution and use. This includes the direct economic value associated with production and distribution of hydrogen as a fuel or chemical feedstock hydrogen infrastructure technologies products services and the indirect economic value created through products and services that indirectly support the use of hydrogen in industry transport power generation and heating. This endto-end definition of the hydrogen economy is represented in Figure 1 overleaf.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
Hydrogen Revolution in Europe: Bibliometric Review of Industrial Hydrogen Applications for a Sustainable Future
Jul 2024
Publication
Industrial applications of hydrogen are key to the transition towards a sustainable lowcarbon economy. Hydrogen has the potential to decarbonize industrial sectors that currently rely heavily on fossil fuels. Hydrogen with its unique and versatile properties has several in-industrial applications that are fundamental for sustainability and energy efficiency such as the following: (i) chemical industry; (ii) metallurgical sector; (iii) transport; (iv) energy sector; and (v) agrifood sector. The development of a bibliometric analysis of industrial hydrogen applications in Europe is crucial to understand and guide developments in this emerging field. Such an analysis can identify research trends collaborations between institutions and countries and the areas of greatest impact and growth. By examining the scientific literature and comparing it with final hydrogen consumption in different regions of Europe the main actors and technologies that are driving innovation in industrial hydrogen use on the continent can be identified. The results obtained allow for an assessment of the knowledge gaps and technological challenges that need to be addressed to accelerate the uptake of hydrogen in various industrial sectors. This is essential to guide future investments and public policies towards strategic areas that maximize the economic and environmental impact of industrial hydrogen applications in Europe.
Cost of Green Hydrogen
Sep 2024
Publication
Acting in accordance with the requirements of the 2015 Paris Agreement Poland as well as other European Union countries have committed to achieving climate neutrality by 2050. One of the solutions to reduce emissions of harmful substances into the environment is the implementation of large-scale hydrogen technologies. This article presents the cost of producing green hydrogen produced using an alkaline electrolyzer with electricity supplied from a photovoltaic farm. The analysis was performed using the Monte Carlo method and for baseline assumptions including an electricity price of 0.053 EUR/kWh the cost of producing green hydrogen was 5.321 EUR/kgH2 . In addition this article presents a sensitivity analysis showing the impact of the electricity price before and after the energy crisis and other variables on the cost of green hydrogen production. The large change occurring in electricity prices (from 0.035 EUR/kWh to 0.24 EUR/kWh) significantly affected the levelized cost of green hydrogen (LCOH) which could change by up to 14 EUR/kgH2 in recent years. The results of the analysis showed that the parameters that successively have the greatest impact on the cost of green hydrogen production are the operating time of the plant and the unit capital expenditure. The development of green hydrogen production facilities along with the scaling of technology in the future can reduce the cost of its production.
The Technical and Economic Aspects of Integrating Energy Sectors for Climate Neutrality
Sep 2024
Publication
With the development of an energy sector based on renewable primary sources structural changes are emerging for the entire national energy system. Initially it was estimated that energy generation based on fossil fuels would decrease until its disappearance. However the evolution of CO2 capture capacity leads to a possible coexistence for a certain period with the renewable energy sector. The paper develops this concept of the coexistence of the two systems with the positioning of green hydrogen not only within the renewable energy sector but also as a transformation vector for carbon dioxide captured in the form of synthetic fuels such as CH4 and CH3OH. The authors conducted pilot-scale research on CO2 capture with green H2 both for pure (captured) CO2 and for CO2 found in combustion gases. The positive results led to the respective recommendation. The research conducted by the authors meets the strict requirements of the current energy phase with the authors considering that wind and solar energy alone are not sufficient to meet current energy demand. The paper also analyzes the economic aspects related to price differences for energy produced in the two sectors as well as their interconnection. The technical aspect as well as the economic aspect of storage through various other solutions besides hydrogen has been highlighted. The development of the renewable energy sector and its demarcation from the fossil fuel energy sector even with the transcendent vector represented by green hydrogen leads to the deepening of dispersion aspects between the electricity sector and the thermal energy sector a less commonly mentioned aspect in current works but of great importance. The purpose of this paper is to highlight energy challenges during the current transition period towards climate neutrality along with solutions proposed by the authors to be implemented in this phase. The current stage of combustion of the CH4 − H2 mixture imposes requirements for the capture of the resulting CO2.
Techno-Economic Analysis of Combined Production of Wind Energy and Green Hydrogen on the Northern Coast of Mauritania
Sep 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is becoming increasingly popular with academics institutions and governments concentrating on its development efficiency improvement and cost reduction. The objective of the Ministry of Petroleum Mines and Energy is to achieve a 35% proportion of renewable energy in the overall energy composition by the year 2030 followed by a 50% commitment by 2050. This goal will be achieved through the implementation of feed-in tariffs and the integration of independent power generators. The present study focused on the economic feasibility of green hydrogen and its production process utilizing renewable energy resources on the northern coast of Mauritania. The current investigation also explored the wind potential along the northern coast of Mauritania spanning over 600 km between Nouakchott and Nouadhibou. Wind data from masts Lidar stations and satellites at 10 and 80 m heights from 2022 to 2023 were used to assess wind characteristics and evaluate five turbine types for local conditions. A comprehensive techno-economic analysis was carried out at five specific sites encompassing the measures of levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and levelized cost of green hydrogen (LCOGH) as well as sensitivity analysis and economic performance indicators. The results showed an annual average wind speed of 7.6 m/s in Nouakchott to 9.8 m/s in Nouadhibou at 80 m. The GOLDWIND 3.0 MW model showed the highest capacity factor of 50.81% due to its low cut-in speed of 2.5 m/s and its rated wind speed of 10.5 to 11 m/s. The NORDEX 4 MW model forecasted an annual production of 21.97 GWh in Nouadhibou and 19.23 GWh in Boulanoir with the LCOE ranging from USD 5.69 to 6.51 cents/kWh below the local electricity tariff and an LCOGH of USD 1.85 to 2.11 US/kg H2 . Multiple economic indicators confirmed the feasibility of wind energy and green hydrogen projects in assessed sites. These results boosted the confidence of the techno-economic model highlighting the resilience of future investments in these sustainable energy infrastructures. Mauritania’s north coast has potential for wind energy aiding green hydrogen production for energy goals.
Addressing Environmental Challenges: The Role of Hydrogen Technologies in a Sustainable Future
Dec 2023
Publication
Energy and environmental issues are of great importance in the present era. The transition to renewable energy sources necessitates technological political and behavioral transformations. Hydrogen is a promising solution and many countries are investing in the hydrogen economy. Global demand for hydrogen is expected to reach 120 million tonnes by 2024. The incorporation of hydrogen for efficient energy transport and storage and its integration into the transport sector are crucial measures. However to fully develop a hydrogen-based economy the sustainability and safety of hydrogen in all its applications must be ensured. This work describes and compares different technologies for hydrogen production storage and utilization (especially in fuel cell applications) with focus on the research activities under study at SaRAH group of the University of Naples Federico II. More precisely the focus is on the production of hydrogen from bio-alcohols and its storage in formate solutions produced from renewable sources such as biomass or carbon dioxide. In addition the use of materials inspired by nature including biowaste as feedstock to produce porous electrodes for fuel cell applications is presented. We hope that this review can be useful to stimulate more focused and fruitful research in this area and that it can open new avenues for the development of sustainable hydrogen technologies.
Spillovers Between Hydrogen, Nuclear and AI Sectors: The Impact of Climate Policy Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risks
Mar 2025
Publication
This study investigates the spillover effects between hydrogen energy nuclear energy and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors in the context of the global clean energy transition with a particular focus on the impact of climate policy uncertainty (CPU) and geopolitical risks (GPR). Employing the TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach the findings show a high connectedness that indicates significant spillovers among these sectors. Hydrogen energy emerges as a dominant transmitter of shocks reflecting its sensitivity to regulatory changes and fluctuating demand. However nuclear energy acts as a stabilising force that offers hedging opportunities and resilience against market turbulence. The AI sector exhibits strong connectedness primarily as a net receiver of shocks driven by its dependency on clean energy sources and vulnerability to energy market volatility. Using the GARCHMIDAS framework the study identifies a temporal asymmetry in market responses to CPU and GPR. CPU triggers immediate but short-lived disruptions while GPR induces delayed yet persistent effects that intensify cross-sector spillovers over time. These results underline the vulnerabilities of sectors reliant on regulatory clarity and geopolitical stability. This study provides practical insights for investors policymakers technology and energy companies to better manage systemic risks at the crossroads of clean energy technological innovation and uncertainty.
Cost Projection of Global Green Hydrogen Production Scenarios
Nov 2023
Publication
A sustainable future hydrogen economy hinges on the development of green hydrogen and the shift away from grey hydrogen but this is highly reliant on reducing production costs which are currently too high for green hydrogen to be competitive. This study predicts the cost trajectory of alkaline and proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers based on ongoing research and development (R&D) scale effects and experiential learning consequently influencing the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) projections. Electrolyzer capital costs are estimated to drop to 88 USD/kW for alkaline and 60 USD/kW for PEM under an optimistic scenario by 2050 or 388 USD/kW and 286 USD/kW respectively under a pessimistic scenario with PEM potentially dominating the market. Through a combination of declining electrolyzer costs and a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) the global LCOH of green hydrogen is projected to fall below 5 USD/kgH2 for solar onshore and offshore wind energy sources under both scenarios by 2030. To facilitate a quicker transition the implementation of financial strategies such as additional revenue streams a hydrogen/carbon credit system and an oxygen one (a minimum retail price of 2 USD/kgO2 ) and regulations such as a carbon tax (minimum 100 USD/tonCO2 for 40 USD/MWh electricity) and a contract-for-difference scheme could be pivotal. These initiatives would act as financial catalysts accelerating the transition to a greener hydrogen economy.
Comparative Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Analysis of Clean Hydrogen Pathways: Assessing Domestic Production and Overseas Import in South Korea
Sep 2023
Publication
The development of a Clean Hydrogen Standard based on life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is gaining prominence on the international agenda. Thus a framework for assessing life-cycle GHG emissions for clean hydrogen pathways is necessary. In this study the comprehensive datasets and effects of various scenarios encompassing hydrogen production carriers (liquid hydrogen ammonia methylcyclohexane) carbon capture and storage (CCS) target analysis year (2021 2030) to reflect trends of greening grid electricity and potential import countries on aggregated life-cycle GHG emissions were presented. South Korea was chosen as a case study region and the low-carbon alternatives were suggested for reducing aggregated emissions to meet the Korean standard (5 kgCO2e/kgH2). First capturing and storing nearly entire (>90%) CO2 from fossil- and waste-based production pathways is deemed essential. Second when repurposing the use of hydrogen that was otherwise used internally applying a penalty for substitution is appropriate leading to results notably exceeding the standard. Third for electrolysis-based hydrogen using renewable or nuclear electricity is essential. Lastly when hydrogen is imported in a well-to-point-of-delivery (WtP) perspective using renewable electricity during hydrogen conversion into a carrier and reusing the produced hydrogen for endothermic reconversion reaction are recommended. By implementing the developed calculation framework to other countries' cases it was observed that importing hydrogen to regions having scope of WtP or above (e.g. well-to-wheel) might not meet the threshold due to additional emissions from importation processes. Additionally for hydrogen carriers undergoing the endothermic reconversion the approach to reduce WtP emissions (reusing produced hydrogen) may conflict with the approach to reduce well-to-gate (WtG) emission (using external fossilbased fuel). The discrepancy highlights the need to set a broader scope of emissions assessment to effectively promote the life-cycle emission reduction efforts of hydrogen importers. This study contributes to the field of clean hydrogen GHG emission assessment offering a robust database and calculation framework while addressing the effects of greening grid electricity and CCS implementation proposing low-carbon alternatives and GHG assessment scope to achieve global GHG reduction.
Investigation of a Community-based Clean Energy System Holistically with Renewable and Hydrogen Energy Options for Better Sustainable Development
Jan 2024
Publication
This study develops a novel community-based integrated energy system where hydrogen and a combination of renewable energy sources are considered uniquely for implementation. In this regard three different communities situated in Kenya the United States and Australia are studied for hydrogen production and meeting the energy demands. To provide a variety of energy demands this study combines a multigenerational geothermal plant with a hybrid concentrated solar power and photovoltaic solar plant. Innovations in hydrogen production and renewable energy are essential for reducing carbon emissions. By combining the production of hydrogen with renewable energy sources this system seeks to move away from the reliance on fossil fuels and toward sustainability. The study investigates various research subjects using a variety of methods. The performance of the geothermal source is considered through energetic and exergetic thermodynamic analysis. The software System Advisor Model (SAM) and RETscreen software packages are used to analyze the other sub-systems including Concentrate Solar PV solar and Combined Heat and Power Plant. Australian American and Kenyan communities considered for this study were found to have promising potential for producing hydrogen and electricity from renewable sources. The geothermal output is expected to be 35.83 MW 122.8 MW for space heating 151.9 MW for industrial heating and 64.25 MW for hot water. The overall geothermal energy and exergy efficiencies are reported as 65.15% and 63.54% respectively. The locations considered are expected to have annual solar power generation and hydrogen production capacities of 158MW 237MW 186MW 235 tons 216 tons and 313 tons respectively.
Sustainable Green Energy Transition in Saudia Arabia: Characterizing Policy Framework, Interrelations and Future Research Directions
Jun 2024
Publication
By 2060 the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) aims to achieve net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions targeting 50% renewable energy and reducing 278 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent annually by 2030 under Vision 2030. This ambitious roadmap focuses on economic diversification global engagement and enhanced quality of life. The electricity sector with a 90 GW installed capacity as of 2020 is central to decarbonization aiming for a 55% reduction in emissions by 2030. Saudi Energy Efficiency Centre’s Energy Efficiency Action Plan aims to reduce power intensity by 30% by 2030 while the NEOM project showcases a 4 GW green hydrogen facility reflecting the country’s commitments to sustainability and technological innovation. Despite being the largest oil producer and user Saudi Arabia must align with international CO2 emission reduction targets. Currently there is no state-of-the-art energy policy framework to guide a sustainable energy transition. In the academic literature there is also lack of effort in developing comprehensive energy policy framework. This study provides a thorough and comprehensive analysis of the entire energy industry spanning from the stage of production to consumption incorporating sustainability factors into the wider discussion on energy policy. It establishes a conceptual framework for the energy policy of Saudi Arabia that corresponds with Vision 2030. A total of hundred documents (e.g. 25 original articles and 75 industry reports) were retrieved from Google Scholar Web of Science Core Collection Database and Google Search and then analyzed. Results showed that for advancing the green energy transition areas such as strategies for regional and cross-sectoral collaboration adoption of international models human capital development and public engagement technological innovation and research; and resource conservation environmental protection and climate change should move forward exclusively from an energy policy perspective. This article's main contribution is developing a comprehensive and conceptual policy framework for Saudi Arabia's sustainable green energy transition aligned with Vision 2030. The framework integrates social economic and environmental criteria and provides critical policy implications and research directions for advancing energy policy and sustainable practices in the country.
Comparative Life cycle Greenhouse Gas Emission and Cost Assessment of Hydrogen Fuel and Power for Singapore
Feb 2025
Publication
To identify lower-carbon and cost-effective hydrogen supplies for fuel and power generation in Singapore we assessed the cradle-to-gate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the landed costs of over fifty supply chains from Malaysia and Australia with current and emerging blue turquoise and green hydrogen production and carrier technologies. We found that with current technologies the total life cycle global warming potential of local H2 production using steam methane reforming with carbon capture (4.47 kg CO2e/kg H2) is lower than importing solar-generated green H2 from Australia transported as NH3 (6.48 kg CO2e/kg H2) due to large emissions from conversion and transportation processes in the latter supply chain. When also considering emerging technologies turquoise H2 produced with the thermal decomposition of methane locally or in Malaysia is the most economical solution while wind-generated H2 from Australia transported as liquefied H2 or NH3 produce the least GHG emissions. In addition we projected the impacts of the Singapore carbon tax methane abatement in NG production and reduction of renewable energy embodied emissions and costs on the supply chains in the year 2030. We estimated that with the expected renewable energy improvements the emissions and costs of power generated from imported solar-powered H2 could drop by as much as 74% and 70% respectively.
Linking Cost Decline and Demand Surge in the Hydrogen Market: A Case Study in China
Jun 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is crucial in achieving global energy transition and carbon neutrality goals. Existing market estimates typically presume linear or exponential growth but fail to consider how market demand responds to the declining cost of underlying technologies. To address this this study utilizes a learning curve model to project the cost of electrolyzers and its subsequent impact on hydrogen market aligning with a premise that the market demand is proportional to the cost of hydrogen. In a case study of China’s hydrogen market projecting from 2020 to 2060 we observed substantial differences in market evolution compared to exponential growth scenarios. Contrary to exponential growth scenarios China’s hydrogen market experiences faster growth during the 2020–2040 period rather than later. Such differences underscore the necessity for proactive strategic planning in emerging technology markets particularly for those experiencing rapid cost decline such as hydrogen. The framework can also be extended to other markets by using local data providing valuable insights to investors policymakers and developers engaged in the hydrogen market.
Mapping the Future of Green Hydrogen: Integrated Analysis of Poland and the EU’s Development Pathways to 2050
Aug 2023
Publication
This article presents the results of a comparative scenario analysis of the “green hydrogen” development pathways in Poland and the EU in the 2050 perspective. We prepared the scenarios by linking three models: two sectoral models for the power and transport sectors and a Computable General Equilibrium model (d-Place). The basic precondition for the large-scale use of hydrogen in both Poland and in European Union countries is the pursuit of ambitious greenhouse gas reduction targets. The EU plans indicate that the main source of hydrogen will be renewable energy (RES). “Green hydrogen” is seen as one of the main methods with which to balance energy supply from intermittent RES such as solar and wind. The questions that arise concern the amount of hydrogen required to meet the energy needs in Poland and Europe in decarbonized sectors of the economy and to what extent can demand be covered by internal production. In the article we estimated the potential of the production of “green hydrogen” derived from electrolysis for different scenarios of the development of the electricity sector in Poland and the EU. For 2050 it ranges from 76 to 206 PJ/y (Poland) and from 4449 to 5985 PJ/y (EU+). The role of hydrogen as an energy storage was also emphasized highlighting its use in the process of stabilizing the electric power system. Hydrogen usage in the energy sector is projected to range from 67 to 76 PJ/y for Poland and from 1066 to 1601 PJ/y for EU+ by 2050. Depending on the scenario this implies that between 25% and 35% of green hydrogen will be used in the power sector as a long-term energy storage.
The Impact of Country-specific Investment Risks on the Levelised Costs of Green Hydrogen Production
Jun 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is central to the global energy transition. This paper introduces a renewable hydrogen production system model that optimizes hydrogen production on a worldwide 50 km × 50 km grid considering country-specific investment risks. Besides the renewable energy’s impact on the hydrogen production system (HPS) design we analyze the effect of country-specific interest rates on the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) production. Over one-third (40.0%) of all cells have an installed solar PV capacity share between 50% and 70% 76.4% have a hybrid (onshore wind and solar PV) configuration. Hydrogen storage is deployed rather than battery storage to balance hydrogen production via electrolysis and hydrogen demand. Hybrid HPSs can significantly reduce the LCOH production compared to non-hybrid designs whereas country-specific interest rates can lead to significant increases diminishing the relative competitiveness of countries with abundant renewable energy resources compared to countries with fewer resources but fewer investment risks.
The Roadmap for a Green Hydrogen Economy in Trinidad & Tobago
Nov 2022
Publication
This publication presents the results of a pre-feasibility study to introduce a green hydrogen (GH2) market in Trinidad and Tobago (T&T). The study analyzed the potential supply and competitiveness of producing GH2 in T&T and the actions needed to build a foundation for producing green ammonia and methanol. The study updated previous estimates of renewable energy generation potential in the country. The study also highlighted Trinidad and Tobago's comparative advantage to produce GH2 with its ability to capitalize on existing infrastructure its know-how and capabilities and its long-standing trade relations. Lastly the study identifies demonstration projects and created a roadmap for developing a low carbon hydrogen economy in Trinidad and Tobago.
Impact of International Transportation Chains on Cost of Green E-hydrogen: Global Cost of Hydrogen and Consequences for Germany and Finland
Jun 2023
Publication
Widely available and low-cost solar photovoltaics and wind power can enable production of renewable electricity-based hydrogen at many locations throughout the world. Hydrogen is expected to emerge as an important energy carrier constituting some of the final energy demand; however its most important role will be as feedstock for further processing to e-fuels e-chemicals and e-steel. Apart from meeting their own hydrogen demand countries may have opportunities to export hydrogen to countries with area limitations or higher production costs. This paper assesses the feasibility of e-hydrogen imports to Germany and Finland from two case regions with a high availability of low-cost renewable electricity Chile and Morocco in comparison to domestic supply. Special attention is paid to the transport infrastructure which has a crucial impact on the economic viability of imports via two routes shipping and pipelines. This study has found that despite lower e-hydrogen production costs in Morocco and Chile compared to Germany and Finland additional transportation costs make imports of e-hydrogen economically unattractive. In early 2020s imported fuel costs are 39–79% and 34–100% higher than e-hydrogen produced in Germany and Finland respectively. In 2050 imported e-hydrogen is projected to be 39–70% more expensive than locally produced e-hydrogen in Germany and 43–54% in the case of Finland. e-Hydrogen may become a fuel that is mostly produced domestically and may be feasible for imports only in specific locations. Local e-hydrogen production may also lower dependence on imports enhance energy security and add jobs.
Review of the US 2050 Long Term Strategy to Reach Net Zero Carbon Emissions
Jul 2024
Publication
In 2015 during the lead up to the Paris Climate Agreement the United States set forth a Nationally Determined Contribution that outlines national goals for greenhouse gas emission reductions. It was not until 2021 that the US put forth a long-term strategy that lays out the pathway to reach these goals. The US long-term strategy lays the framework for research needs to meet the greenhouse gas emission reduction goals and incentivizes industry to meet the goals using a variety of policies. The five US long term strategy core elements are to decarbonize electricity electrify end uses and switch to clean fuels cut energy waste reduce methane and other non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gas emissions and to scale up carbon dioxide removal. Implementation of the long term strategy has generally been funded by tax incentives and government grants that were approved as part of the Inflation Reduction Act. Political headwinds societal Not in My Backyard resistance long-term economic funding cumbersome permitting requirements and incentives vs. taxation debate are significant policy/nontechnical hurdles. Technical challenges remain regarding effective energy efficiency implementation the use of hydrogen as a fuel cost effective carbon emission treatment nuclear energy expansion renewables expansion and grid integration biofuel integration efficient and safe energy storage and electrical grid adequacy/expansion. This review article condenses the multitude of technical and policy issues facing the US long-term strategy providing readers with an overview of the extent and magnitude of the challenges while outlining possible solutions.
Pathways to the Hydrogen Economy: A Multidimensional Analysis of the Technological Innovation Systems of Germany and South Korea
Aug 2023
Publication
The global trend towards decarbonization and the demand for energy security have put hydrogen energy into the spotlight of industry politics and societies. Numerous governments worldwide are adopting policies and strategies to facilitate the transition towards hydrogen-based economies. To assess the determinants of such transition this study presents a comparative analysis of the technological innovation systems (TISs) for hydrogen technologies in Germany and South Korea both recognized as global front-runners in advancing and implementing hydrogen-based solutions. By providing a multi-dimensional assessment of pathways to the hydrogen economy our analysis introduces two novel and crucial elements to the TIS analysis: (i) We integrate the concept of ‘quality infrastructure’ given the relevance of safety and quality assurance for technology adoption and social acceptance and (ii) we emphasize the social perspective within the hydrogen TIS. To this end we conducted 24 semi-structured expert interviews applying qualitative open coding to analyze the data. Our results indicate that the hydrogen TISs in both countries have undergone significant developments across various dimensions. However several barriers still hinder the further realization of a hydrogen economy. Based on our findings we propose policy implications that can facilitate informed policy decisions for a successful hydrogen transition.
Designing a Future-proof Gas and Hydrogen Infrastructure for Europe - A Modelling-based Approach
Jun 2023
Publication
Hydrogen has been at the centre of attention since the EU kicked-off its decarbonization agenda at full speed. Many consider it a silver bullet for the deep decarbonization of technically challenging sectors and industries but it is also an attractive option for the gas industry to retain and future-proof its well-developed infrastructure networks. The modelling methodology presented in this report systematically tests the feasibility and cost of different pipeline transportation methods – blending repurposing and dedicated hydrogen pipelines - under different decarbonization pathways and concludes that blending is not a viable solution and pipeline repurposing can lead to excessive investment outlays in the range of EUR 19–25 bn over the modelled period (2020–2050) for the EU-27.
Blue Hydrogen and Industrial Base Products: The Future of Fossil Fuel Exporters in a Net-zero World
May 2022
Publication
Is there a place for today’s fossil fuel exporters in a low-carbon future? This study explores trade channels between energy exporters and importers using a novel electricity-hydrogen-steel energy systems model calibrated to Norway a major natural gas producer and Germany a major energy consumer. Under tight emission constraints Norway can supply Germany with electricity (blue) hydrogen or natural gas with re-import of captured CO2. Alternatively it can use hydrogen to produce steel through direct reduction and supply it to the world market an export route not available to other energy carriers due to high transport costs. Although results show that natural gas imports with CO2 capture in Germany is the least-cost solution avoiding local CO2 handling via imports of blue hydrogen (direct or embodied in steel) involves only moderately higher costs. A robust hydrogen demand would allow Norway to profitably export all its natural gas production as blue hydrogen. However diversification into local steel production as one example of easy-to-export industrial base products offers an effective hedge against the possibility of lower European blue hydrogen demand. Looking beyond Europe the findings of this study are also relevant for the world’s largest energy exporters (e.g. OPEC+) and importers (e.g. developing Asia). Thus it is recommended that large hydrocarbon exporters consider a strategic energy export transition to a diversified mix of blue hydrogen and climate-neutral industrial base products.
The Role of Hydrogen and Batteries in Delivering Net Zero in the UK by 2050
Apr 2023
Publication
This report presents an analysis of how hydrogen and battery technologies are likely to be utilised in different sectors within the UK including transportation manufacturing the built environment and power. In particular the report compares the use of hydrogen and battery technology across these sectors. In addition it evaluates where these technologies will be in competition where one technology will dominate and where a combination of the two may be used. This sector analysis draws on DNV’s knowledge and experience within both the battery and hydrogen industries along with a review of studies available in the public domain. The analysis has been incorporated into DNV’s Energy Transition Outlook model an integrated system-dynamics simulation model covering the energy system which provides an independent view of the energy outlook from now until 2050. The modelling which includes data on costs demand supply policy population and economic indicators enables the non-linear interdependencies between different parameters to be considered so that decisions made in one sector influence the decision made in another.
The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity
Apr 2024
Publication
The report considers the full end-to-end nature of the hydrogen economy to ensure there is a common understanding of the economic opportunity it could represent by 2050. Insights from across industry have brought clarity to both market and technology requirements identifying four focus areas that represent the greatest potential benefit for the UK. It highlights the steps needed to build the UK industrial capability and capacity to position the UK as a market leader. The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity has been developed with and for industry with the first phase of industrial engagement involving over 250 businesses and 12 sector bodies. A second phase of industrial engagement will expand to a broader set of consulted stakeholder groups concluding with a report entitled Hydrogen Innovation: The Case for Action in summer 2024. This will seek to validate the proposed focus areas provide more detailed scope definition the size of the opportunity and outline the steps required to secure them for the UK.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
Drifting toward Alliance Innovation: Patent Collaboration Relationships and Development in China’s Hydrogen Energy Industry from a Network Perspective
Mar 2024
Publication
The hydrogen energy industry as one of the most important directions for future energy transformation can promote the sustainable development of the global economy and of society. China has raised the development of hydrogen energy to a strategic position. Based on the patent data in the past two decades this study investigates the collaborative innovation relationships in China’s hydrogen energy field using complex network theory. Firstly patent data filed between 2003 and 2023 are analyzed and compared in terms of time geography and institutional and technological dimensions. Subsequently a patent collaborative innovation network is constructed to explore the fundamental characteristics and evolutionary patterns over five stages. Furthermore centrality measures and community detection algorithms are utilized to identify core entities and innovation alliances within the network which reveal that China’s hydrogen energy industry is drifting toward alliance innovation. The study results show the following: (1) the network has grown rapidly in size and scope over the last two decades and evolved from the initial stage to the multi-center stage before forming innovation alliances; (2) core innovative entities are important supports and bridges for China’s hydrogen energy industry and control most resources and maintain the robustness of the whole network; (3) innovation alliances reveal the closeness of the collaborative relationships between innovative entities and the potential landscape of China’s hydrogen energy industry; and (4) most of the innovation alliances cooperate only on a narrow range of technologies which may hinder the overall sustainable growth of the hydrogen energy industry. Thereafter some suggestions are put forward from the perspective of an industrial chain and innovation chain which may provide a theoretical reference for collaborative innovation and the future development and planning in the field of hydrogen energy in China.
Policy Supports for the Deployment of Solar Fuels: Islands as Test-beds for a Rapid Green Transition
May 2023
Publication
Coastal areas particularly islands are especially vulnerable to climate change due to their geographic and climate conditions. Reaching decarbonisation targets is a long process which will require radical changes and ‘out of the box’ thinking. In this context islands have become laboratories for the green transition by providing spaces for exploring possibilities and alternatives. Here we explore how hydrogen (H2) energy technologies can be a critical ally for island production of renewable electricity in part by providing a storage solution. However given the abundance of sunlight on many islands we also note the huge potential for a more profound engagement between renewables and hydrogen technologies via the co-generation of ‘green hydrogen’ using solar fuels technology. Solar hydrogen is a clean energy carrier produced by the direct or indirect use of solar irradiation for water-splitting processes such as photovoltaic systems coupled with electrolysers and photoelectrochemical cells. While this technology is fast emerging we question to what extent sufficient policy support exists for such initiatives and how they could be scaled up. We report on a case study of a pilot H2 plant in the Canary Islands and we offer recommendations on early-stage policy implications for hydrogen and other solar fuels in an island setting. The paper draws on the literature on islands as policy laboratories and the multi-level perspective on energy transitions. We argue that particular attention needs to be given to discrete issues such as research and planning and better synchronising between emerging local technology niches the various regulatory regimes for energy together with global trends.
Costs and Benefits of Highly Ambitious Energy Transition Pathways for Europe
Sep 2025
Publication
Climate change and energy crises push Europe to accelerate the energy-industry transition towards higher shares of renewable energy and a more efficient integrated electricity-based energy-industry system. The study examines transition scenarios ranging from carbon neutrality reached in 2050 to highest ambitions with 100% renewable electricity supply reached by 2030 and an overall carbon-neutral energy-industry system by 2035. The fastest transition coincidences with higher cost but still with an acceptable tolerance. Reaching carbon neutrality by 2040 allows for a substantial reduction in CO2 emissions and energy costs are lower compared to the fastest transition. Allowing e-fuel imports substantially reduces the energy cost in Europe compared to complete energy sovereignty with an optimal import share at only 7% of primary energy demand. Reaching an affordable energy supply requires close cooperation of European countries to exploit the best renewable resources and all sources of energy system flexibility to enable a low-cost energy supply.
50 Shades of Hydrogen: A Perspective on Definitions in Science and Public Communication
Sep 2025
Publication
Discussions about the transition to hydrogen in various applications have become an important topic in recent years. A key factor for an effective transition is public acceptance of hydrogen technologies. However the increase in acceptance depends among other things on individual knowledge about the hydrogen colors and the linked hydrogen production pathways currently under discussion. In communications colors such as green grey and blue are used to distinguish hydrogen sources. With new research additional colors have become necessary. Unfortunately there is no unified definition for the colors. The aim of this perspective is to identify the most frequent hydrogen colors used by scientists and the public derive open definitions and propose a solution to a representation problem. The general use of hydrogen colors in communication and the implications on public acceptance are briefly outlined. We then identified definitions for colors associated with a specific pathway and discussed some discrepancies between science and media use. To make better use of the existing colors more open definitions were formulated. We point out the representation problem with shades of a color and provide a connection between the assigned color and a view-independent RGB color code as proposal. The derived definitions can be used to unify communication in science and public media.
The Potential Role of Africa in Green Hydrogen Production: A Short-Term Roadmap to Protect the World’s Future from Climate Crisis
Feb 2025
Publication
The global need for energy has risen sharply recently. A global shift to clean energy is urgently needed to avoid catastrophic climate impacts. Hydrogen (H2) has emerged as a potential alternative energy source with near-net-zero emissions. In the African continent for sustainable access to clean energy and the transition away from fossil fuels this paper presents a new approach through which waste energy can produce green hydrogen from biomass. Bio-based hydrogen employing organic waste and biomass is recommended using biological (anaerobic digestion and fermentation) processes for scalable cheaper and low-carbon hydrogen. By reviewing all methods for producing green hydrogen dark fermentation can be applied in developed and developing countries without putting pressure on natural resources such as freshwater and rare metals the primary feedstocks used in producing green hydrogen by electrolysis. It can be expanded to produce medium- and long-term green hydrogen without relying heavily on energy sources or building expensive infrastructure. Implementing the dark fermentation process can support poor communities in producing green hydrogen as an energy source regardless of political and tribal conflicts unlike other methods that require political stability. In addition this approach does not require the approval of new legislation. Such processes can ensure the minimization of waste and greenhouse gases. To achieve cost reduction in hydrogen production by 2030 governments should develop a strategy to expand the use of dark fermentation reactors and utilize hot water from various industrial processes (waste energy recovery from hot wastewater).
Assessment of the Economic Viability, Environmental, and Social Impacts of Green Hydrogen Production: An Algerian Case Study
Aug 2024
Publication
The impacts of climate change are real and in many parts of the world testify to its harsh reality including rampant extreme weather events droughts heat wildfires and flooding which have recorded in places which have not experienced them in recent memory. In the quest to avert such events there is a growing awareness and demand for sustainable processes and operations. Today sustainability encompasses a balance between ecological footprint and human development index taking into consideration economics the green environment safety quality ethics diversity and inclusion (D&I) and communities. This article presents some steps that have been taken by Algeria to balance energetic autonomy and sustainable development and a case study on green hydrogen production employing membrane processes. Algeria’s objective to join the global fight against climate change is to develop its green hydrogen base. Given its resources including available solar and wind power seawater desalination plants building capacity and its favorable location it is developing its green hydrogen economy to supply hydrogen especially to Europe. This presents an opportunity for other developing nations especially in Africa to gain from this experience.
Renewable Fuels of Nob-biological Origin in the European Union - Status Report on Technology Development, Trends, Value Chains & Markets
Jan 2024
Publication
This report investigates the status and trend of Renewable Fuels of Non-Biological Origin (RFNBO) except hydrogen which are needed to cover part of the EU’s demand for low carbon renewable fuels in the coming years. The report is an update of the CETO 2023 report. Most of the conversion technologies investigated have been already demonstrated at small-scale and the current EU legislative framework under the recast of the Renewable Energy Directive (EU) 2018/2001 (Directive EU 2023/2413) sets specific targets for their use. As a pre-requisite well-established solid hydrogen supply chains are needed together with carbon capture technologies to provide carbon dioxide as Carbon Capture and Use (CCU). Fuels that may be produced starting from H2 and CO2 or N2 are hydrocarbons alcohols and ammonia. RFNBO may play a crucial role in the energytransition towards decarbonisation especially in hard-to-abate sectors where direct electrification is not possible. In addition most RFNBO can use existing infrastructure. The growing interest in these fuels is witnessed by the many funding programmes which are today available. Moreover EU leads the sector in terms of patents companies and demonstration activities. Finally the report considers the major challenges and the opportunities for a rapid market uptake of such fuels.
Future Hydrogen Economies Imply Environmental Trade-offs and a Supply-demand Mismatch
Aug 2024
Publication
Hydrogen will play a key role in decarbonizing economies. Here we quantify the costs and environmental impacts of possible large-scale hydrogen economies using four prospective hydrogen demand scenarios for 2050 ranging from 111–614 megatonne H2 year−1 . Our findings confirm that renewable (solar photovoltaic and wind) electrolytic hydrogen production generates at least 50–90% fewer greenhouse gas emissions than fossil-fuel-based counterparts without carbon capture and storage. However electrolytic hydrogen production could still result in considerable environmental burdens which requires reassessing the concept of green hydrogen. Our global analysis highlights a few salient points: (i) a mismatch between economical hydrogen production and hydrogen demand across continents seems likely; (ii) regionspecific limitations are inevitable since possibly more than 60% of large hydrogen production potentials are concentrated in water-scarce regions; and (iii) upscaling electrolytic hydrogen production could be limited by renewable power generation and natural resource potentials.
Technoeconomic Assessment of Various Configurations Photovoltaic Systems for Energy and Hydrogen Production
Feb 2023
Publication
Photovoltaic (PV) system grid integration is becoming more global to minimize carbon emissions from traditional power systems.However alternative solution investigation for maximum technical and economic benefits is often neglected when integrating PVsystems. This study utilizes a methodology for evaluating the lifecycle energy generation and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) ofPV systems with various configurations using a holistic approach that considers PV system expenditures from installation to theend-of-life PV system operation. In addition this work focuses on finding a better configuration with different PV modules(monofacial or bifacial) and structure types (mounted or single-axis) for three different utility scale PV sizes (300 kW 500 kWand 1000 kW) in Abu Dhabi UAE with the maximum power generation and minimal energy losses. Furthermore the bestsuitable configuration was identified to be the configuration with a single-axis tracking structure and bifacial PV modulesbased on their technical and economic performance for the location with two different surface albedo 0.2 and 0.8. We alsostudy the PV system’s connection in a standalone off-grid solar-electrolyzer combination to produce green hydrogen. Levelizedcost of electricity (LCOE) and levelized cost of hydrogen production (LCOH) are calculated and results show that such PVsystems can be used to generate electricity and produce hydrogen at competitive costs that can reach as low as 2.1 cent/kWhand $2.53/kg-H2 for LCOE and LCOH respectively. Such a low cost is very competitive and can be used to attract newinvestments in green hydrogen technology in the United Arab Emirates.
Catalysis as a Driver for Sustainable Technologies in Africa - A Perspective by the Catalysis Institute at the University of Cape Town
Mar 2023
Publication
One of the biggest global challenges we are facing today is the provision of affordable green and sustainable energy to a growing population. Enshrined in multiple United Nation Sustainable Development Goals – Goal 7: Affordable and Clean Energy; Goal 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities; Goal 12: Responsible Consumption and Production and Goal 13: Climate Action – as well as at the core of the Paris Agreement it is our task as scientists and engineers to develop innovative technologies that satisfy society’s needs while pivoting away from the use of fossil resources. This is a mammoth task with an ambitious timeline. The global development of the industrial sector as we know it is solely based on the exploitation of energy-rich fossil fuels that remain cost-competitive today. However a gradual change from a market driven to a policy-driven transition allows alternative technologies to make inroads and find applications. One of the most prominently discussed approaches is the Power-to-X (PtX) process envelope. It describes a series of catalytic conversions using only renewable energy water and captured CO2 to produce green hydrogen liquid hydrocarbon fuels and chemicals. Especially for sectors that are difficult or impossible to decarbonise such processes that effectively defossilising the production of energy and goods represent an important solution. The Catalysis Institute at the University of Cape Town (herein/after referred to as the Catalysis Institute) builds on decades of experience in the individual catalytic processes combined in the PtX concept. In collaboration with our global partners we are therefore able to develop technologies for the full value chain considering interdependencies and develop solutions for the African and indeed global society.
Fuel Cell Technology in the European Union - Status Report on Technology Development, Trends, Vlue Chains & Markets
Jan 2024
Publication
This report is an output of the Clean Energy Technology Observatory (CETO). CETO's objective is to provide an evidence-based analysis feeding the policy making process and hence increasing the effectiveness of R&I policies for clean energy technologies and solutions. It monitors EU research and innovation activities on clean energy technologies needed for the delivery of the European Green Deal; and assesses the competitiveness of the EU clean energy sector and its positioning in the global energy market. CETO is being implemented by the Joint Research Centre for DG Research and Innovation in coordination with DG Energy.
Systematic Analysis of the Hydrogen Value Chain from Production to Utilization
Jul 2025
Publication
Hydrogen produced from renewable sources has the potential to tackle various energy challenges from allowing cost-effective transportation of renewable energy from production to consumption regions to decarbonizing intensive energy consumption industries. Due to its application versatility and non-greenhouse gaseous emissions characteristics it is expected that hydrogen will play an important role in the decarbonization strategies set out for 2050. Currently there are some barriers and challenges that need to be addressed to fully take advantage of the opportunities associated with hydrogen. The present work aims to characterize the state of the art of different hydrogen production storage transport and distribution technologies which compose the hydrogen value chain. Based on the information collected it was possible to conclude the following: (i) Electrolysis is the frontrunner to produce green hydrogen at a large scale (efficiency up to 80%) since some of the production technologies under this category have already achieved a commercially available state; (ii) in the storage phase various technologies may be suitable based on specific conditions and purposes. Technologies of the physical-based type are the ones mostly used in real applications; (iii) transportation and distribution options should be viewed as complementary rather than competitive as the most suitable option varies based on transportation distance and hydrogen quantity; and (iv) a single value chain configuration cannot be universally applied. Therefore each case requires a comprehensive analysis of the entire value chain. Methodologies like life cycle assessment should be utilized to support the decision-making process.
How the Boundaries of the Supply Chain Affect Climate Profile: The Case of Renewable Electricity and Green Hydrogen for Italy and the UK
Feb 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen obtained from renewable electricity can play an essential role in the decarbonization of different sectors. The reliability of the data used to model the entire supply chain is a crucial parameter in Life Cycle Assessment. In this study the authors show how photovoltaic and wind electricity supply chains influence the carbon footprint of green H2. While most published studies rely on default datasets from commercial libraries the current work exploits the actual supply chain of the PV panels and builds an updated average European wind turbine supply chain. The updated values for PV-based H2 experiencing a 40–60% reduction are 2.7 and 1.8 kg CO2 eq./kg H2 for the UK and Italy. The carbon footprint of UK offshore wind-based H2 can be reduced up to 24% and get close to 0.6 kg CO2 eq./kg H2. The findings emphasize the sensitivity of the final climate profile generated by the processes upstream of the electrolysis system.
Green Hydrogen in Jordan: Stakeholder Perspectives on Technological, Infrastructure, and Economic Barriers
Jul 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen produced via renewable-powered electrolysis offers a promising path toward deep decarbonisation in energy systems. This study investigates the major technological infrastructural and economic challenges facing green hydrogen production in Jordan—a resource-constrained yet renewable-rich country. Key barriers were identified through a structured survey of 52 national stakeholders including water scarcity low electrolysis efficiency limited grid compatibility and underdeveloped transport infrastructure. Respondents emphasised that overcoming these challenges requires investment in smart grid technologies seawater desalination advanced electrolysers and policy instruments such as subsidies and public–private partnerships. These findings are consistent with global assessments which recognise similar structural and financial obstacles in scaling up green hydrogen across emerging economies. Despite the constraints over 50% of surveyed stakeholders expressed optimism about Jordan’s potential to develop a competitive green hydrogen sector especially for industrial and power generation uses. This paper provides empirical context-specific insights into the conditions required to scale green hydrogen in developing economies. It proposes an integrated roadmap focusing on infrastructure modernisation targeted financial mechanisms and enabling policy frameworks.
Barriers to Creating a Market for Hydrogen: Insights from Global Roadmaps and Stakeholders in the United States
Feb 2025
Publication
We analyze barriers to setting up a hydrogen market by using a PESTEL framework that examines political economic social technological environmental and legal barriers. This framework is advantageous for analyzing macro-environmental factors to understand potential challenges and opportunities in creating such a market. Internationally the framework was applied to analyzing barriers in 56 national hydrogen roadmaps and domestically in the U.S. to semi-structured interviews with 43 stakeholders involved with hydrogen projects across the U.S. today. In the country-level international analysis infrastructure development was the most identified barrier with 43 countries including this factor. Infrastructure development included infrastructure for hydrogen storage transportation and distribution and frequently alluded not only to the need for the infra structure but also the costs associated. The second most identified barrier was related to the need for market development - including but not limited to capital costs economic competition supply and demand matching and first-mover reticence. For the domestic analysis results from qualitative content analysis confirmed considerable variability across regions and stakeholder backgrounds. Particularly notable were divergent views about the importance of public understanding of and support for hydrogen projects with industry respondents arguing this was not important and government and academic respondents considering it very important. The barriers seen as having the largest impact on deployment of hydrogen projects was a lack of regulatory clarity and lack of decision makers’ knowledge and awareness. Domestically the most often introduced barriers were the need for the support of market demand and the need to develop a hydrogen workforce.
Green Hydrogen Transitions Deepen Socioecological Risks and Extractivist Patterns: Evidence from 28 Perspective Exporting Countries in the Global South
Sep 2024
Publication
The global green hydrogen rush is prone to repeat extractivist patterns at the expense of economies ecologies and communities in the production zones in the Global South. With a socio-ecological risk analysis grounded in energy water and environmental justice scholarship we systematically assess the risks of the ‘green’ hydrogen transition and related injustices arising in 28 countries in the Global South with regard to energy water land and global justice dimensions. Our findings show that risks materialize through the exclusion of affected communities and civil society the enclosure of land and resources for extractivist purposes and through the externalization of socio-ecological costs and conflicts. We further demonstrate that socio-ecological risks are enhanced through country-specific conditions such as water scarcity historical continuities such as post-colonial land tenure systems as well as repercussions of a persistently uneven global politico-economic order. Contributing to debates on power inequality and justice in the global green hydrogen transition we argue that addressing hydrogen risks requires a framework of environmental justice and a transformative perspective that encompasses structural shifts in the global economy including degrowth and a decentering of industrial hegemonies in the Global North.
Towards a Synthetic Positive Energy District (PED) in ˙Istanbul: Balancing Cost, Mobility, and Environmental Impact
Oct 2024
Publication
The influence of mobility modes within Positive Energy Districts (PEDs) has gained limited attention despite their crucial role in reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Buildings in the European Union (EU) account for 40% of energy consumption and 36% of greenhouse gas emissions. In comparison transport contributes 28% of energy use and 25% of emissions with road transport responsible for 72% of these emissions. This study aims to design and optimize a synthetic PED in Istanbul that integrates renewable energy sources and public mobility systems to address these challenges. The renewable energy sources integrated into the synthetic PED model include solar energy hydrogen energy and regenerative braking energy from a tram system. Solar panels provided a substantial portion of the energy while hydrogen energy contributed to additional electricity generation. Regenerative braking energy from the tram system was also utilized to further optimize energy production within the district. This system powers a middle school 10 houses a supermarket and the tram itself. Optimization techniques including Linear Programming (LP) for economic purposes and the Weighted Sum Method (WSM) for environmental goals were applied to balance cost and CO2 emissions. The LP method identified that the PED model can achieve cost competitiveness with conventional energy grids when hydrogen costs are below $93.16/MWh. Meanwhile the WSM approach demonstrated that achieving a minimal CO2 emission level of 5.74 tons requires hydrogen costs to be $32.55/MWh or lower. Compared to a conventional grid producing 97 tons of CO2 annually the PED model achieved reductions of up to 91.26 tons. This study contributes to the ongoing discourse on sustainable urban energy systems by addressing key research gaps related to the integration of mobility modes within PEDs and offering insights into the optimization of renewable energy sources for reducing emissions and energy consumption.
Potential Domestic Energy System Vulnerabilities from Major Exports of Green Hydrogen: A Case Study of Australia
Aug 2023
Publication
Australia has clear aspirations to become a major global exporter of hydrogen as a replacement for fossil fuels and as part of the drive to reduce CO2 emissions as set out in the National Hydrogen Strategy released in 2019 jointly by the federal and state governments. In 2021 the Australian Energy Market Operator specified a grid forecast scenario for the first time entitled “hydrogen superpower”. Not only does Australia hope to capitalise on the emerging demand for zero-carbon hydrogen in places like Japan and South Korea by establishing a new export industry but it also needs to mitigate the built-in carbon risk of its export revenue from coal and LNG as major customers such as Japan and South Korea move to decarbonise their energy systems. This places hydrogen at the nexus of energy climate change mitigation and economic growth with implications for energy security. Much of the published literature on this topic concentrates on the details of what being a major hydrogen exporter will look like and what steps will need to be taken to achieve it. However there appears to be a gap in the study of the implications for Australia’s domestic energy system in terms of energy security and export economic vulnerability. The objective of this paper is to develop a conceptual framework for the implications of becoming a major hydrogen exporter on Australia’s energy system. Various green hydrogen export scenarios for Australia were compared and the most recent and comprehensive was selected as the basis for further examination for domestic energy system impacts. In this scenario 248.5 GW of new renewable electricity generation capacity was estimated to be required by 2050 to produce the additional 867 TWh required for an electrolyser output of 2088 PJ of green hydrogen for export which will comprise 55.9% of Australia’s total electricity demand at that time. The characteristics of comparative export-oriented resources and their interactions with the domestic economy and energy system are then examined through the lens of the resource curse hypothesis and the LNG and aluminium industries. These existing resource export frameworks are reviewed for applicability of specific factors to export-oriented green hydrogen production with applicable factors then compiled into a novel conceptual framework for exporter domestic implications from large-scale exports of green hydrogen. The green hydrogen export superpower (2050) scenario is then quantitatively assessed using the established indicators for energy exporter vulnerability and domestic energy security comparing it to Australia’s 2019 energy exports profile. This assessment finds that in almost all factors exporter vulnerability is reduced and domestic energy security is enhanced by the transition from fossil fuel exports to green hydrogen with the exception of an increase in exposure of the domestic energy system to international market forces.
Hydrogen Strategy Update to the Market: December 2024
Dec 2024
Publication
Low carbon hydrogen is essential to achieve the Government’s Clean Energy Superpower and Growth Missions. It will be a crucial enabler of a low carbon and renewables-based energy system and will help to deliver new clean energy industries which can support good jobs in our industrial heartlands and coastal communities. Hydrogen presents significant growth and economic opportunities across the UK by enhancing our energy security providing flexible cleaner energy for our power system and helping to decarbonise vital UK industries. Hydrogen has a critical role in helping to achieve our Clean Energy Superpower Mission. It can provide flexible low carbon power generation meaning we can use hydrogen to produce electricity during extended periods of low renewable output. Hydrogen can also provide interseasonal energy storage through conversion of electricity into hydrogen and then back into electricity at times of need using a combination of hydrogen production storage and hydrogen to power. To advance our Clean Energy and Growth Missions hydrogen also has a unique role in transitioning crucial UK industries away from oil and gas and towards a clean homegrown source of fuel. Hydrogen can decarbonise hard-to-abate sectors like chemicals and heavy transport complementing our wider electrification efforts and accelerating our progress to net zero. Using our strong domestic expertise and favourable geology geography and infrastructure backing UK hydrogen can unlock significant economic opportunities and new low carbon jobs of the future. Government has an ambitious range of policies in place to incentivise and support industry to invest in low carbon hydrogen. The recent Hydrogen Skills Workforce Assessment an industry-led study undertaken by the Hydrogen Skills Alliance estimated that the UK hydrogen economy could support 29000 direct jobs and 64500 indirect jobs by 2030. Since establishing in Summer 2024 this Government has already made significant progress in delivering the UK hydrogen economy. This includes confirming support for the 11 successful Hydrogen Allocation Round 1 projects announcing up to £21.7 billion of available funding to launch the UK’s new carbon capture utilisation and storage industry and publishing our hydrogen to power consultation response with an aim to establish a new hydrogen to power business model. We have also launched three new bodies – the National Energy System Operator Great British Energy and the National Wealth Fund – which will help to deliver a world-class energy system including for low carbon hydrogen. This December 2024 Hydrogen Strategy Update to the Market sets out the key milestones achieved by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero in 2024 to deliver the hydrogen economy and an ambitious forward look at our next steps and upcoming opportunities. To achieve net zero and create a thriving and resilient energy landscape we are already working at considerable pace to deliver a world-leading UK hydrogen sector.
Green Hydrogen Cooperation between Egypt and Europe: The Perspective of Locals in Suez and Port Said
Jun 2024
Publication
Hydrogen produced by renewable energy sources (green hydrogen) is at the centrepiece of European decarbonization strategies necessitating large imports from third countries. Egypt potentially stands out as major production hub. While technical and economic viability are broadly discussed in literature analyses of local acceptance are absent. This study closes this gap by surveying 505 locals in the Suez Canal Economic Zone (Port Said and Suez) regarding their attitudes towards renewable energy development and green hydrogen production. We find overall support for both national deployment and export to Europe. Respondents see a key benefit in rising income thereby strongly underlying the economic argument. Improved trade relationships or improved political relationships are seen as potential benefits of export but as less relevant for engaging in cooperation putting a spotlight on local benefits. Our study suggests that the local population is more positive than negative towards the development and scaling up of green hydrogen projects in Egypt.
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