Germany
The Role of Hydrogen for a Greenhouse Gas-neutral Germany by 2045
May 2023
Publication
This paper aims to provide a holistic analysis of the role of hydrogen for achieving greenhouse gas neutrality in Germany. For that purpose we apply an integrated energy system model which includes all demand sectors of the German energy system and optimizes the transformation pathway from today's energy system to a future cost-optimal energy system. We show that 412 TWh of hydrogen are needed in the year 2045 mostly in the industry and transport sector. Particularly the use of about 267 TWh of hydrogen in industry is essential as there are no cost-effective alternatives for the required emission reduction in the chemical industry or in steel production. Furthermore we illustrate that the German hydrogen supply in the year 2045 requires both an expansion of domestic electrolyzer capacity to 71 GWH2 and hydrogen imports from other European countries and Northern Africa of about 196 TWh. Moreover flexible operation of electrolyzers is cost-optimal and crucial for balancing the intermittent nature of volatile renewable energy sources. Additionally a conducted sensitivity analysis shows that full domestic hydrogen supply in Germany is possible but requires an electrolyzer capacity of 111 GWH2.
Green Hydrogen Production: Integrating Environmental and Social Criteria to Ensure Sustainability
Jul 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is experiencing an unprecedented global hype. Hydrogen is globally discussed as a possible future energy carrier and regarded as the urgently needed building block for the much needed carbon-neutral energy transition of hard-to-abate sectors to mitigate the effects of global warming. This article provides synthesised measurable sustainability criteria for analysing green hydrogen production proposals and strategies. Drawn from expert interviews and an extensive literature review this article proposes that a sustainable hydrogen production should consider six impact categories; Energy transition Environment Basic needs Socio-economy Electricity supply and Project planning. The categories are broken down into sixteen measurable sustainability criteria which are determined with related indicators. The article concludes that low economic costs can never be the only decisive criterion for the hydrogen production; social aspects must be integrated along the entire value chain. The compliance with the criteria may avoid social and ecological injustices in the planning of green hydrogen projects and increases inter alia the social welfare of the affected population.
What Does the Public Know About Technological Solutions for Achieving Carbon Neutrality? Citizens' Knowledge of Energy Transition and the Role of Media
Aug 2023
Publication
The present study explores the relation between media use and knowledge in the context of the energy transition. To identify relevant knowledge categories we relied on the expertise of an interdisciplinary research team. Based on this expertise we identified awareness-knowledge of changes in the energy system and principles-knowledge of hydrogen as important knowledge categories. With data obtained from a nationwide online survey of the German-speaking population (n = 2025) conducted in August 2021 we examined the level of knowledge concerning both categories in the German population. Furthermore we studied its associations with exposure to journalistic media and direct communication from non-media actors (e.g. scientists). Our results revealed a considerable lack of knowledge for both categories. Considering the media variables we found only weak and in some cases even negative relations with the use of journalistic media or other actors that spread information online. However we found comparably strong associations between both knowledge categories and the control variables of sex education and personal interest. We use these results to open up a general discussion of the role of the media in knowledge acquisition processes.
Environmental and Material Criticality Assessment of Hydrogen Production via Anion Exchange Membrane Electrolysis
Oct 2023
Publication
The need to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions is driving the development of existing and new technologies to produce and use hydrogen. Anion exchange membrane electrolysis is one of these rapidly developing technologies and presents promising characteristics for efficient hydrogen production. However the environmental performance and the material criticality of anion exchange membrane electrolysis must be assessed. In this work prospective life cycle assessment and criticality assessment are applied first to identify environmental and material criticality hotspots within the production of anion exchange membrane electrolysis units and second to benchmark hydrogen production against proton exchange membrane electrolysis. From an environmental point of view the catalyst spraying process heavily dominates the ozone depletion impact category while the production of the membrane represents a hotspot in terms of the photochemical ozone formation potential. For the other categories the environmental impacts are distributed across different components. The comparison of hydrogen production via anion exchange membrane electrolysis and proton exchange membrane electrolysis shows that both technologies involve a similar life-cycle environmental profile due to similar efficiencies and the leading role of electricity generation for the operation of electrolysis. Despite the fact that for proton exchange membrane electrolysis much less material is required due to a higher lifetime anion exchange membrane electrolysis shows significantly lower raw material criticality since it does not rely on platinum-group metals. Overall a promising environmental and material criticality performance of anion exchange membrane electrolysis for hydrogen production is concluded subject to the expected technical progress for this technology.
Evaluation of the Impact of Gaseous Hydrogen on Pipeline Steels Utilizing Hollow Specimen Technique and μCT
Feb 2024
Publication
The high potential of hydrogen as a key factor on the pathway towards a climate neutral economy leads to rising demand in technical applications where gaseous hydrogen is used. For several metals hydrogen-metal interactions could cause a degradation of the material properties. This is especially valid for low carbon and highstrength structural steels as they are commonly used in natural gas pipelines and analyzed in this work. This work provides an insight to the impact of hydrogen on the mechanical properties of an API 5L X65 pipeline steel tested in 60 bar gaseous hydrogen atmosphere. The analyses were performed using the hollow specimen technique with slow strain rate testing (SSRT). The nature of the crack was visualized thereafter utilizing μCT imaging of the sample pressurized with gaseous hydrogen in comparison to one tested in an inert atmosphere. The combination of the results from non-conventional mechanical testing procedures and nondestructive imaging techniques has shown unambiguously how the exposure to hydrogen under realistic service pressure influences the mechanical properties of the material and the appearance of failure.
Regional Capabilities and Hydrogen Adoption Barriers
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is gaining importance to decarbonize the energy system and tackle the climate crisis. This exploratory study analyzes three focus groups with representatives from relevant organizations in a Northern German region that has unique beneficial characteristics for the transition to a hydrogen economy. Based upon this data (1) a category system of innovation adoption barriers for hydrogen technologies is developed (2) decision levels associated with the barriers are identified (3) detailed insights on how decision levels contribute to the adoption barriers are provided and (4) the barriers are evaluated in terms of their importance. Our analysis adds to existing literature by focusing on short-term barriers and exploring relevant decision levels and their associated adoption barriers. Our main results comprise the following: flaws in the funding system complex approval procedures lack of networks and high costs contribute to hydrogen adoption barriers. The (Sub-)State level is relevant for the uptake of the hydrogen economy. Regional entities have leeway to foster the hydrogen transition especially with respect to the distribution infrastructure. Funding policy technological suitability investment and operating costs and the availability of distribution infrastructure and technical components are highly important adoption barriers that alone can impede the transition to a hydrogen economy.
Natural Hydrogen in the Energy Transition: Fundamentals, Promise, and Enigmas
Oct 2023
Publication
Beyond its role as an energy vector a growing number of natural hydrogen sources and reservoirs are being discovered all over the globe which could represent a clean energy source. Although the hydrogen amounts in reservoirs are uncertain they could be vast and they could help decarbonize energy-intensive economic sectors and facilitate the energy transition. Natural hydrogen is mainly produced through a geochemical process known as serpentinization which involves the reaction of water with low-silica ferrous minerals. In favorable locations the hydrogen produced can become trapped by impermeable rocks on its way to the atmosphere forming a reservoir. The safe exploitation of numerous natural hydrogen reservoirs seems feasible with current technology and several demonstration plants are being commissioned. Natural hydrogen may show variable composition and require custom separation purification storage and distribution facilities depending on the location and intended use. By investing in research in the mid-term more hydrogen sources could become exploitable and geochemical processes could be artificially stimulated in new locations. In the long term it may be possible to leverage or engineer the interplay between microorganisms and geological substrates to obtain hydrogen and other chemicals in a sustainable manner.
Blue Hydrogen and Industrial Base Products: The Future of Fossil Fuel Exporters in a Net-zero World
May 2022
Publication
Is there a place for today’s fossil fuel exporters in a low-carbon future? This study explores trade channels between energy exporters and importers using a novel electricity-hydrogen-steel energy systems model calibrated to Norway a major natural gas producer and Germany a major energy consumer. Under tight emission constraints Norway can supply Germany with electricity (blue) hydrogen or natural gas with re-import of captured CO2. Alternatively it can use hydrogen to produce steel through direct reduction and supply it to the world market an export route not available to other energy carriers due to high transport costs. Although results show that natural gas imports with CO2 capture in Germany is the least-cost solution avoiding local CO2 handling via imports of blue hydrogen (direct or embodied in steel) involves only moderately higher costs. A robust hydrogen demand would allow Norway to profitably export all its natural gas production as blue hydrogen. However diversification into local steel production as one example of easy-to-export industrial base products offers an effective hedge against the possibility of lower European blue hydrogen demand. Looking beyond Europe the findings of this study are also relevant for the world’s largest energy exporters (e.g. OPEC+) and importers (e.g. developing Asia). Thus it is recommended that large hydrocarbon exporters consider a strategic energy export transition to a diversified mix of blue hydrogen and climate-neutral industrial base products.
Techno-economic Analysis of Underground Hydrogen Storage in Europe
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen storage is crucial to developing secure renewable energy systems to meet the European Union’s 2050 carbon neutrality objectives. However a knowledge gap exists concerning the site-specific performance and economic viability of utilizing underground gas storage (UGS) sites for hydrogen storage in Europe. We compile information on European UGS sites to assess potential hydrogen storage capacity and evaluate the associated current and future costs. The total hydrogen storage potential in Europe is 349 TWh of working gas energy (WGE) with site-specific capital costs ranging from $10 million to $1 billion. Porous media and salt caverns boasting a minimum storage capacity of 0.5 TWh WGE exhibit levelized costs of $1.5 and $0.8 per kilogram of hydrogen respectively. It is estimated that future levelized costs associated with hydrogen storage can potentially decrease to as low as $0.4 per kilogram after three experience cycles. Leveraging these techno-economic considerations we identify suitable storage sites.
Regime-driven Niches and Institutional Entrepreneurs: Adding Hydrogen to Regional Energy Systems in Germany
Nov 2023
Publication
In recent years production and supply of hydrogen has gained significant attention within the German energy transition. This is due to increasingly urgent pressures to mitigate climate change and geopolitical imperatives to substitute natural gas. Hydrogen is seen as an important cross-sectoral energy carrier serving multiple functions including heat production for industry and households fuel for transportation and energy storage for stabilization of electricity supply. In the context of various funding mechanisms on several administrative levels regional value chains for green hydrogen supply are emerging. To date however few studies analyzing regional hydrogen systems exist. Due to its high projected demand of energy sources for heating industrial processes and mobility Germany appears to be a very relevant research area in this emerging field. Situated within the concept of the multi-level perspective this article examines the way how regional “niches” of green hydrogen evolve and how they are organized. The study takes an evolutionary perspective in analyzing processes of embedding green hydrogen infrastructures in regional energy regimes which entered “re-configuration”-pathways. It argues that the congruence of available resources for renewable electricity established networks of institutional entrepreneurs and access to higher level funding are conditions which put incumbent regime-actors in favorable positions to implement green hydrogen niches. Conversely the embedding of green hydrogen infrastructures in regional energy systems is a case in point of how the attributes of niches in particular technological domains can be used to explain the transition pathway entered by a surrounding energy regime.
3D Modeling of the Different Boiling Regimes During Spill and Spreading of Liquid Hydrogen
Nov 2012
Publication
In a future energy generation market the storage of energy is going to become increasingly important. Besides classic ways of storage like pumped storage hydro power stations etc the production of hydrogen will play an important role as an energy storage system. Hydrogen may be stored as a liquefied gas (LH2) on a long term base as well as for short term supply of fuel stations to ensure a so called “green” mobility. The handling with LH2 has been subject to several recent safety studies. In this context reliable simulation tools are necessary to predict the spill and spreading of LH2 during an accidental release. This paper deals with the different boiling regimes: film boiling transition boiling and nucleation boiling after a release and their modeling by means of an inhouse-code for wall evaporation which is implemented in the commercial CFD code ANSYS CFX. The paper will describe the model its implementation and validation against experimental data such as the HSL LH2 spill experiments.
Potential-risk and No-regret Options for Urban Energy System Design - A Sensitivity Analysis
Jan 2024
Publication
This study identifies supply options for sustainable urban energy systems which are robust to external system changes. A multi-criteria optimization model is used to minimize greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and financial costs of a reference system. Sensitivity analyses examine the impact of changing boundary conditions related to GHG emissions energy prices energy demands and population density. Options that align with both financial and emission reduction and are robust to system changes are called “no-regret” options. Options sensitive to system changes are labeled as “potential-risk” options.<br/>There is a conflict between minimizing GHG emissions and financial costs. In the reference case the emission-optimized scenario enables a reduction of GHG emissions (-93%) but involves higher costs (+160%) compared to the financially-optimized scenario.<br/>No-regret options include photovoltaic systems decentralized heat pumps thermal storages electricity exchange between sub-systems and with higher-level systems and reducing energy demands through building insulation behavioral changes or the decrease of living space per inhabitant. Potential-risk options include solar thermal systems natural gas technologies high-capacity battery storages and hydrogen for buildiing energy supply.<br/>When energy prices rise financially-optimized systems approach the least-emission system design. The maximum profitability of natural gas technologies was already reached before the 2022 European energy crisis.
Experimental Evaluation of Dynamic Operating Concepts for Alkaline Water Electrolyzers Powered by Renewable Energy
Dec 2021
Publication
Synthetic current density profiles with wind and photovoltaic power characteristics were calculated by autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) models for the experimental evaluation of dynamic operating concepts for alkaline water electrolyzers powered by renewable energy. The selected operating concepts included switching between mixed and split electrolyte cycles and adapting the liquid electrolyte volume flow rate depending on the current density. All experiments were carried out at a pressure of 7 bar a temperature of 60 °C and with an aqueous potassium hydroxide solution with 32 wt.% KOH as the electrolyte. The dynamic operating concepts were compared to stationary experiments with mixed electrolyte cycles and the experimental evaluation showed that the selected operating concepts were able to reduce the gas impurity compared to the reference operating conditions without a noticeable increase of the cell potential. Therefore the overall system efficiency and process safety could be enhanced by this approach.
Hydrogen Storage Capacity of Salt Caverns and Deep Aquifers Versus Demand for Hydrogen Storage: A Case Study of Poland
Nov 2023
Publication
Geological structures in deep aquifers and salt caverns can play an important role in large-scale hydrogen storage. However more work needs to be done to address the hydrogen storage demand for zero-emission energy systems. Thus the aim of the article is to present the demand for hydrogen storage expressed in the number of salt caverns in bedded rock salt deposits and salt domes or the number of structures in deep aquifers. The analysis considers minimum and maximum hydrogen demand cases depending on future energy system configurations in 2050. The method used included the estimation of the storage capacity of salt caverns in bedded rock salt deposits and salt domes and selected structures in deep aquifers. An estimation showed a large hydrogen storage potential of geological structures. In the case of analyzed bedded rock salt deposits and salt domes the average storage capacity per cavern is 0.05–0.09 TWhH2 and 0.06–0.20 TWhH2 respectively. Hydrogen storage capacity in analyzed deep aquifers ranges from 0.016 to 4.46 TWhH2. These values indicate that in the case of the upper bound for storage demand there is a need for the 62 to 514 caverns depending on considered bedded rock salt deposits and salt domes or the 9 largest analyzed structures in deep aquifers. The results obtained are relevant to the discussion on the global hydrogen economy and the methodology can be used for similar considerations in other countries.
The Race Between Hydrogen and Heat Pumps for Space and Water Heating: A Model-based Scenario Analysis
Nov 2023
Publication
This paper analyses different levels and means of the electrification of space and hot water heating using an explorative modelling approach. The analysis provides guidance to the ongoing discussion on favourable pathways for heating buildings and the role of secondary energy carriers such as hydrogen or synthetic fuels. In total 12 different scenarios were modelled with decarbonisation pathways until 2050 which cover all 27 member states of the European Union. Two highly detailed optimisation models were combined to cover the building stock and the upstream energy supply sector. The analysis shows that decarbonisation pathways for space and water heating based on large shares of heat pumps have at least 11% lower system costs in 2050 than pathways with large shares of hydrogen or synthetic fuels. This translates into system cost savings of around €70 bn. Heat pumps are cost-efficient in decentralised systems and in centralised district heating systems. Hence heat pumps should be the favoured option to achieve a cost-optimal solution for heating buildings. Accordingly the paper makes a novel and significant contribution to understanding suitable and cost-efficient decarbonisation pathways for space and hot water heating via electrification. The results of the paper can provide robust guidance for policymakers.
Comparative Life Cycle Assessment of Battery and Fuel Cell Electric Cars, Trucks, and Buses
Mar 2024
Publication
Addressing the pressing challenge of global warming reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the transportation sector is a critical imperative. Battery and fuel cell electric vehicles have emerged as promising solutions for curbing emissions in this sector. In this study we conducted a comprehensive life cycle assessment (LCA) for typical passenger vehicles heavy-duty trucks and city buses using either proton-exchange membrane fuel cells or Li-ion batteries with different cell chemistries. To ensure accuracy we supplemented existing studies with data from the literature particularly for the recycling phase as database limitations were encountered. Our results highlight that fuel cell and battery systems exhibit large emissions in the production phase. Recycling can significantly offset some of these emissions but a comparison of the technologies examined revealed considerable differences. Overall battery electric vehicles consistently outperform fuel cell electric vehicles regarding absolute greenhouse gas emissions. Hence we recommend prioritizing battery electric over fuel cell vehicles. However deploying fuel cell electric vehicles could become attractive in a hydrogen economy scenario where other factors e. g. the conversion and storage of surplus renewable electricity via electrolysis become important.
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