Norway
A Multi-model Assessment of the Global Warming Potential of Hydrogen
Jun 2023
Publication
With increasing global interest in molecular hydrogen to replace fossil fuels more attention is being paid to potential leakages of hydrogen into the atmosphere and its environmental consequences. Hydrogen is not directly a greenhouse gas but its chemical reactions change the abundances of the greenhouse gases methane ozone and stratospheric water vapor as well as aerosols. Here we use a model ensemble of five global atmospheric chemistry models to estimate the 100-year time-horizon Global Warming Potential (GWP100) of hydrogen. We estimate a hydrogen GWP100 of 11.6 ± 2.8 (one standard deviation). The uncertainty range covers soil uptake photochemical production of hydrogen the lifetimes of hydrogen and methane and the hydroxyl radical feedback on methane and hydrogen. The hydrogeninduced changes are robust across the different models. It will be important to keep hydrogen leakages at a minimum to accomplish the benefits of switching to a hydrogen economy.
Developing Hydrogen Energy Hubs: The Role of H2 Prices, Wind Power and Infrastructure Investments in Northern Norway
Aug 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is seen as a key energy carrier to reduce CO2 emissions. Two main production options for hydrogen with low CO2 intensity are water electrolysis and natural gas reforming with Carbon Capture and Storage known as green and blue hydrogen. Northern Norway has a surplus of renewable energy and natural gas availability from the Barents Sea which can be used to produce hydrogen. However exports are challenging due to the large distances to markets and lack of energy infrastructure. This study explores the profitability of hydrogen exports from this Arctic region. It considers necessary investments in hydrogen technology and capacity expansions of wind farms and the power grid. Various scenarios are investigated with different assumptions for investment decisions. The critical question is how exogenous factors shape future regional hydrogen production and export. The results show that production for global export may be profitable above 90 €/MWh excluding costs for storage and transport with blue hydrogen being cheaper than green. Depending on the assumptions a combination of liquid hydrogen and ammonia export might be optimal for seaborne transport. Exports to Sweden can be profitable at prices above 60 €/MWh transported by pipelines. Expanding power generation capacity can be crucial and electricity and hydrogen exports are unlikely to co-exist.
A Review on Hydrogen Embrittlement and Risk-based Inspection of Hydrogen Technologies
May 2023
Publication
Hydrogen could gradually replace fossil fuels mitigating the human impact on the environment. However equipment exposed to hydrogen is subjected to damaging effects due to H2 absorption and permeation through metals. Hence inspection activities are necessary to preserve the physical integrity of the containment systems and the risk-based (RBI) methodology is considered the most beneficial approach. This review aims to provide relevant information regarding hydrogen embrittlement its effect on materials’ properties and the synergistic interplay of the factors influencing its occurrence. Moreover an overview of predictive maintenance strategies is presented focusing on the RBI methodology. A systematic review was carried out to identify examples of the application of RBI to equipment exposed to hydrogenated environments and to identify the most active research groups. In conclusion a significant lack of knowledge has been highlighted along with difficulties in applying the RBI methodology for equipment operating in a pure hydrogen environment.
Validation of a Hydrogen Jet Fire Model in FDS
Sep 2023
Publication
Hydrogen jet fire occurs with high probability when hydrogen leaks from high-pressure equipment. The hydrogen jet fire is characterized by its high velocity and energy. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) numerical analysis is a prominent way to predict the potential hazards associated with hydrogen jet fire. Validation of the CFD model is essential to ensure and quantify the accuracy of numerical results. This study focuses on the validation of the hydrogen jet fire model using Fire Dynamic Simulation (FDS). Hydrogen release is modeled using high-speed Lagrangian particles released from a virtual nozzle thus avoiding the modeling of the actual nozzle. The mesh size sensitivity analysis of the model is carried out in a container-size domain with 0.04m – 0.08m resolution of the jet. The model is validated by comparing gas temperatures and heat fluxes with test data. The promising results demonstrated that the model could predict the hazardous influence of the jet fire.
Artificial Intelligence-Driven Innovations in Hydrogen Safety
Jun 2024
Publication
This review explores recent advancements in hydrogen gas (H2 ) safety through the lens of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. As hydrogen gains prominence as a clean energy source ensuring its safe handling becomes paramount. The paper critically evaluates the implementation of AI methodologies including artificial neural networks (ANN) machine learning algorithms computer vision (CV) and data fusion techniques in enhancing hydrogen safety measures. By examining the integration of wireless sensor networks and AI for real-time monitoring and leveraging CV for interpreting visual indicators related to hydrogen leakage issues this review highlights the transformative potential of AI in revolutionizing safety frameworks. Moreover it addresses key challenges such as the scarcity of standardized datasets the optimization of AI models for diverse environmental conditions etc. while also identifying opportunities for further research and development. This review foresees faster response times reduced false alarms and overall improved safety for hydrogen-related applications. This paper serves as a valuable resource for researchers engineers and practitioners seeking to leverage state-of-the-art AI technologies for enhanced hydrogen safety systems.
The Potential of Hydrogen-battery Storage Systems for a Sustainable Renewable-based Electrification of Remote Islands in Norway
Oct 2023
Publication
Remote locations and off-grid regions still rely mainly on diesel generators despite the high operating costs and greenhouse gas emissions. The exploitation of local renewable energy sources (RES) in combination with energy storage technologies can be a promising solution for the sustainable electrification of these areas. The aim of this work is to investigate the potential for decarbonizing remote islands in Norway by installing RES-based energy systems with hydrogen-battery storage. A national scale assessment is presented: first Norwegian islands are characterized and classified according to geographical location number of inhabitants key services and current electrification system. Then 138 suitable installation sites are pinpointed through a multiple-step sorting procedure and finally 10 reference islands are identified as representative case studies. A site-specific methodology is applied to estimate the electrical load profiles of all the selected reference islands. An optimization framework is then developed to determine the optimal system configuration that minimizes the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) while ensuring a reliable 100% renewable power supply. The LCOE of the RES-based energy systems range from 0.21 to 0.63 €/kWh and a clear linear correlation with the wind farm capacity factor is observed (R2 equal to 0.87). Hydrogen is found to be crucial to prevent the oversizing of the RES generators and batteries and ensure long-term storage capacity. The techno-economic feasibility of alternative electrification strategies is also investigated: the use of diesel generators is not economically viable (0.87–1.04 €/kWh) while the profitability of submarine cable connections is highly dependent on the cable length and the annual electricity consumption (0.14–1.47 €/kWh). Overall the cost-effectiveness of RES-based energy systems for off-grid locations in Northern Europe can be easily assessed using the correlations derived in this analysis.
Strength of Knowledge and Uncertainties in Safety Regulation of Hydrogen as an Energy Carrier
Sep 2023
Publication
Ahead of a potential large-scale implementation of hydrogen as an energy carrier in society safety regulation systems should be in place to provide a systematic consideration of safety related concerns. Knowledge is essential for regulatory activities. At the same time it is challenging to obtain sufficient information when regulating emerging technologies – it may be difficult to address informational shortcomings in regulatory matters as analysts can be prone to under-communicate the significance of uncertainties. Furthermore Strength of Knowledge (SoK) has been developed to address the quality of background knowledge in risk analyses. An example of a SoK framework is based on the following four conditions that is used to assess whether knowledge can be considered weak or strong: the issue of simplifications availability and reliability of data consensus among experts and general understanding of the phenomena in question. In theory this concept seems relevant for the introduction of hydrogen as an energy carrier mainly because there is little historical data to develop sound analyses creating uncertainties. However there are no clear-cut guidelines as to how knowledge gaps should be handled in the development of regulatory requirements. In this paper we consider the relevance of a specific approach for SoK assessment in the context of safety and security regulation of hydrogen as an energy carrier in society. We conclude that there are some challenges with the proposed framework and argue that further research should be conducted to identify or develop a method for handling uncertainties in regulatory processes regarding hydrogen systems as energy carriers in societies.
Blue Hydrogen and Industrial Base Products: The Future of Fossil Fuel Exporters in a Net-zero World
May 2022
Publication
Is there a place for today’s fossil fuel exporters in a low-carbon future? This study explores trade channels between energy exporters and importers using a novel electricity-hydrogen-steel energy systems model calibrated to Norway a major natural gas producer and Germany a major energy consumer. Under tight emission constraints Norway can supply Germany with electricity (blue) hydrogen or natural gas with re-import of captured CO2. Alternatively it can use hydrogen to produce steel through direct reduction and supply it to the world market an export route not available to other energy carriers due to high transport costs. Although results show that natural gas imports with CO2 capture in Germany is the least-cost solution avoiding local CO2 handling via imports of blue hydrogen (direct or embodied in steel) involves only moderately higher costs. A robust hydrogen demand would allow Norway to profitably export all its natural gas production as blue hydrogen. However diversification into local steel production as one example of easy-to-export industrial base products offers an effective hedge against the possibility of lower European blue hydrogen demand. Looking beyond Europe the findings of this study are also relevant for the world’s largest energy exporters (e.g. OPEC+) and importers (e.g. developing Asia). Thus it is recommended that large hydrocarbon exporters consider a strategic energy export transition to a diversified mix of blue hydrogen and climate-neutral industrial base products.
Techno-economic Modelling of Zero-emission Marine Transport with Hydrogen Fuel and Superconducting Propulsion System: Case Study of a Passenger Ferry
Mar 2023
Publication
This paper proposes a techno-economic model for a high-speed hydrogen ferry. The model can describe the system properties i.e. energy demand weight and daily operating expenses of the ferry. A novel aspect is the consideration of superconductivity as a measure for cost saving in the setting where liquid hydrogen (LH2) can be both coolant and fuel. We survey different scenarios for a high-speed ferry that could carry 300 passengers. The results show that despite higher energy demand compressed hydrogen gas is more economical compared with LH2 for now; however constructing large-scale hydrogen liquefaction plants make it competitive in the future. Moreover compressed hydrogen gas is restricted to a shorter distance while LH2 makes longer distances possible and whenever LH2 is accessible using a superconducting propulsion system has a beneficial impact on both energy and cost savings. These effects strengthen if the operational time or the weight of the ferry increases.
HYDRIDE4MOBILITY: An EU Project on Hydrogen Powered Forklift using Metal Hydrides for Hydrogen Storage and H2 Compression
Jan 2025
Publication
Volodymyr A. Yartys,
Mykhaylo V. Lototskyy,
Ivan Tolj,
José Bellosta von Colbe,
Roman V. Denys,
Moegamat Wafeeq Davids,
S. Nyallang Nyamsi,
Dana Swanepoel,
V.V. Berezovets,
I.Yu. Zavaliy,
Suwarno Suwarno,
I.J. Puszkiel,
Julian Jepsen,
Inês Abreu Ferreira,
Claudio Pistidda,
Yuanyuan Shang,
Sivakumar Pasupathi and
Vladimir Linkov
The EU Horizon2020 RISE project 778307 “Hydrogen fuelled utility and their support systems utilising metal hydrides” (HYDRIDE4MOBILITY) worked on the commercialization of hydrogen powered forklifts using metal hydride (MH) based hydrogen stores. The project consortium joined forces of 9 academic and industrial partners from 4 countries. The work program included a) Development of the materials for hydrogen storage and compression; b) Theoretical modelling and optimisation of the materials performance and system integration; c) Advanced fibre reinforced composite cylinder systems for H2 storage and compression; d) System validation. Materials development was focused on i) Zr/Ti-based Laves type high entropy alloys; ii) Mg-rich composite materials; iii) REMNiSn intermetallics; iv) Mg based materials for the hydrolysis process; v) Cost-efficient alloys. For the optimized AB2±x alloys the Zr/Ti content was optimized at A = Zr78-88Ti12–22 while B=Ni10Mn5.83VFe. These alloys provided a) Low hysteresis of hydrogen absorption-desorption; b) Excellent kinetics of charge and discharge; c) Tailored thermodynamics; d) Long cycle life. Zr0.85Ti0.15TM2 alloy provided a reversible H storage and electrochemical capacity of 1.6 wt% H and 450 mAh/g. The tanks development targeted: i) High efficiency of heat and hydrogen exchange; ii) Reduction of the weight and increasing the working H2 pressure; iii) Modelling testing and optimizing the H2 stores with fast performance. The system for power generation was validated at the Implats plant in a fuel cell powered forklift with on-board MH hydrogen storage and on-site H2 refuelling. The outcome on the HYDRIDE4MOBILITY project (2017–2024) (http://hydride4mobility.fesb.unist. hr) was presented in 58 publications.
Hydrogen Supply Design for the Decarbonization of Energy-intensive Industries Addressing Cost, Inherent Safety and Environmental Performance
Sep 2025
Publication
Through mathematical modeling this paper integrates economic safety and environmental assessments to evaluate alternative hydrogen supply options (on-site production and external supply) and various hydrogenbased system configurations for decarbonizing energy-intensive industries. The model is applied to a case study in the glass sector. While reliance on natural gas remains the most cost-effective and safest solution it does not align with decarbonization objectives. Assuming a complete hydrogen transition on-site production reduces emissions by 85 % compared to current levels and improves safety performance over external supply. External supply of grey hydrogen becomes counterproductive increasing emissions by 68 % compared to natural gas operations. Nevertheless hydrogen cost rises from 3.6 €/kg with external supply to 4.2 €/kg with on-site production doubling the fuel cost relative to natural gas. To address the trade-offs the paper explores how specific constraints influence system design. A sensitivity analysis on key factors affecting hydrogen-related decisions provides additional support for strategic decision-making.
An Artificial Neural Network-Based Fault Diagnostics Approach for Hydrogen-Fueled Micro Gas Turbines
Feb 2024
Publication
The utilization of hydrogen fuel in gas turbines brings significant changes to the thermophysical properties of flue gas including higher specific heat capacities and an enhanced steam content. Therefore hydrogen-fueled gas turbines are susceptible to health degradation in the form of steam-induced corrosion and erosion in the hot gas path. In this context the fault diagnosis of hydrogen-fueled gas turbines becomes indispensable. To the authors’ knowledge there is a scarcity of fault diagnosis studies for retrofitted gas turbines considering hydrogen as a potential fuel. The present study however develops an artificial neural network (ANN)-based fault diagnosis model using the MATLAB environment. Prior to the fault detection isolation and identification modules physics-based performance data of a 100 kW micro gas turbine (MGT) were synthesized using the GasTurb tool. An ANN-based classification algorithm showed a 96.2% classification accuracy for the fault detection and isolation. Moreover the feedforward neural network-based regression algorithm showed quite good training testing and validation accuracies in terms of the root mean square error (RMSE). The study revealed that the presence of hydrogen-induced corrosion faults (both as a single corrosion fault or as simultaneous fouling and corrosion) led to false alarms thereby prompting other incorrect faults during the fault detection and isolation modules. Additionally the performance of the fault identification module for the hydrogen fuel scenario was found to be marginally lower than that of the natural gas case due to assumption of small magnitudes of faults arising from hydrogen-induced corrosion.
A Renewable Power System for an Off-grid Sustainable Telescope Fueled by Solar Power, Batteries and Green Hydrogen
Jul 2023
Publication
A large portion of astronomy’s carbon footprint stems from fossil fuels supplying the power demand of astronomical observatories. Here we explore various isolated low-carbon power system setups for the newly planned Atacama Large Aperture Submillimeter Telescope and compare them to a business-as-usual diesel power generated system. Technologies included in the designed systems are photovoltaics concentrated solar power diesel generators batteries and hydrogen storage. We adapt the electricity system optimization model highRES to this case study and feed it with the telescope’s projected energy demand cost assumptions for the year 2030 and site-specific capacity factors. Our results show that the lowest-cost system with LCOEs of $116/MWh majorly uses photovoltaics paired with batteries and fuel cells running on imported and on-site produced green hydrogen. Some diesel generators run for backup. This solution would reduce the telescope’s power-side carbon footprint by 95% compared to the businessas-usual case.
Solar-driven (Photo)electrochemical Devices for Green Hydrogen Production and Storage: Working Principles and Design
Feb 2024
Publication
The large-scale deployment of technologies that enable energy from renewables is essential for a successful transition to a carbon-neutral future. While photovoltaic panels are one of the main technologies commonly used for harvesting energy from the Sun storage of renewable solar energy still presents some challenges and often requires integration with additional devices. It is believed that hydrogen – being a perfect energy carrier – can become one of the broadly utilised storage alternatives that would effectively mitigate the energy supply and demand issues associated with the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources. Current pathways in the development of green technologies indicate the need for more sustainable material utilisation and more efficient device operation. To address this requirement integration of various technologies for renewable energy harvesting conversion and storage in a single device appears as an advantageous option. From the hydrogen economy perspective systems driven by green solar electricity that allow for (photo)electrochemical water splitting would generate hydrogen with the minimal CO2 footprint. If at the same time one of the device electrodes could store the generated gas and release it on demand the utilisation of critical and often costly elements would be reduced with possible gain in more effective device operation. Although conceptually attractive this cross-disciplinary concept has not gained yet enough attention and only limited number of experimental setups have been designed tested and reported. This review presents the first exhaustive overview and critical examination of various laboratory-scale prototype setups that attempt to combine both the hydrogen production and storage processes in a single unit via integration of a metal hydride-based electrode into a photoelectrochemical cell. The architectures of presented configurations enables direct solar energy to hydrogen conversion and its subsequent storage in a single device which – in some cases – can also release the stored (hydrogen) energy on demand. In addition this work explores perspectives and challenges related with the potential upscaling of reviewed solar-to-hydrogen storage systems trying to map and indicate the main future directions of their technological development and optimization. Finally the review also combines information and expertise scattered among various research fields with the aim of stimulating much-needed exchange of knowledge to accelerate the progress in the development and deployment of optimum green hydrogen-based solutions.
Overview of International Activities in Hydrogen System Safety in IEA Hydrogen TCP Task 43
Sep 2023
Publication
Safety and reliability have long been recognized as key issues for the development commercialization and implementation of new technologies and infrastructure and hydrogen systems are no exception to this rule. Reliability engineering quantitative risk assessment (QRA) and knowledge exchange each play a key role in proactive addressing safety – before problems happen – and help us learn from problems if they happen. Many international research activities are focusing on both reliability and risk assessment for hydrogen systems. However the element of knowledge exchange is sometimes less visible. To support international collaboration and knowledge exchange the International Energy Agency (IEA) convened a new Technology Collaboration Program “Task 43: Safety and Regulatory Aspects of Emerging Large Scale Hydrogen Energy Applications” started in June 2022. Within Task 43 Subtask E focuses on Hydrogen Systems Safety. This paper discusses the structure of the Hydrogen Systems Safety subtask and the aligned activities and introduces opportunities for future work.
Public Perception of Hydrogen: Response to an Open-ended Questions
Sep 2023
Publication
Widespread use of hydrogen and hydrogen-based fuels as energy carriers in society may enable the gradual replacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy sources. Although the development and deployment of the associated technologies and infrastructures represent a considerable bottleneck it is generally acknowledged that neither the technical feasibility nor the economic viability alone will determine the extent of the future use of hydrogen as an energy carrier. Public perception beliefs awareness and knowledge about hydrogen will play a significant role in the further development of the hydrogen economy. To this end the present study examines public perception and awareness of hydrogen in Norway. The approach adopted entailed an open-ended question examining spontaneous associations with the term ‘hydrogen’. The question was fielded to 2276 participants in Wave 25 of the Norwegian Citizen Panel (NCP) an on-line panel that derives random samples from the general population registry. The analysis focused on classifying the responses into negative associations (i.e. barriers towards widespread implementation of hydrogen in society) neutral associations (e.g. basic facts) and positive associations (i.e. drivers towards widespread implementation of hydrogen in society). Each of the 2194 responses were individually assessed by five researchers. The majority of the responses highlighted neutral associations using words such as ‘gas’ ‘water’ and ‘element’. When considering barriers vs. drivers the overall responses tend towards positive associations. Many respondents perceive hydrogen as a clean and environmentally friendly fuel and hydrogen technologies are often associated with the future. The negative sentiments were typically associated with words such as ‘explosive’ ‘hazardous’ and ‘expensive’. Despite an increase in the mentioning of safety-related properties relative to a previous study in the same region the frequency of such references was rather low (4%). The responses also reveal various misconceptions such as hydrogen as a prospective ‘source’ of clean energy.
Social Risk Approach for Assessing Public Safety of Large-scale Hydrogen Systems
Sep 2023
Publication
Social risk is a comprehensive concept that considers not only internal/external physical risks but also risks (which are multiple varied and diverse) associated with social activity. It should be considered from diverse perspectives and requires a comprehensive evaluation framework that takes into account the synergistic impact of each element on others rather than evaluating each risk individually. Social risk assessment is an approach that is not limited to internal system risk from an engineering perspective but also considers the stakeholders development stage and societal readiness and resilience to change. This study aimed to introduce a social risk approach to assess the public safety of large-scale hydrogen systems. Guidelines for comprehensive social risk assessment were developed to conduct appropriate risk assessments for advanced science and technology activities with high uncertainties to predict major impacts on society before an accident occurs and to take measures to mitigate the damage and to ensure good governance are in place to facilitate emergency response and recovery in addition to preventive measures. In a case study this approach was applied to a hydrogen refueling station in Japan and risk-based multidisciplinary approaches were introduced. These approaches can be an effective supporting tool for social implementation with respect to large-scale hydrogen systems such as liquefied hydrogen storage tanks. The guidelines for social risk assessment of large-scale hydrogen systems are under the International Energy Agency Technology Collaboration Program Hydrogen Safety Task 43. This study presents potential case studies of social risk assessment for large-scale hydrogen systems for future.
A Comprehensive Review on Liquid Hydrogen Transfer Operations and Safety Considerations for Mobile Applications
Dec 2024
Publication
The adoption of liquid hydrogen (LH2) as an energy carrier presents significant opportunities for distributing large quantities of hydrogen efficiently. However ensuring safety of LH2 transfer operations requires the evo lution of suitable technologies and regulatory framework. This study offers an extensive overview of technical considerations and safety aspects pertaining to liquid hydrogen installations and mobile applications. A signif icant lack of regulations specifically tailored for LH2 transfer operations is highlighted. Additionally experi mental findings and outcomes of the modelling activities carried out in previous research are presented shedding light on the combustion and ignition behaviour of liquid hydrogen during accident scenarios. The identification of research gaps and ongoing research projects underscores the importance of continued investigation and development of this critical area.
Market Dynamics and Power Risks in Green Technology Materials: Platinum under the EU 2030 Hydrogen Target
Jan 2025
Publication
The central role of hydrogen in the EU’s decarbonization strategy has increased the importance of critical raw materials. To address this the EU has taken legislative steps including the 2023 Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) to ensure a stable supply. Using a leader–follower Stackelberg game framework this study analyzes CRM market dynamics integrating CRMA compliance through rules on sourcing and stockpiling value chain resilience via the inclusion of supply diversification strategies and geopolitical influences by modeling exporter behaviors and trade dependencies. Results highlight the potential for strategic behavior by major exporters stressing the benefits of diversifying export sources and maintaining strategic stockpiles to stabilize supply. The findings provide insights into the EU’s efforts to secure CRM supplies key to achieving decarbonization goals and fostering a sustainable energy transition. Future research should explore alternative cost-reduction strategies mitigate exporter market power and evaluate the implications for pricing mechanisms market outcomes and consumer welfare
Design of Gravimetric Primary Standards for Field-testing of Hydrogen Refuelling Stations
Apr 2020
Publication
The Federal Institute of Metrology METAS developed a Hydrogen Field Test Standard (HFTS) that can be used for field verification and calibration of hydrogen refuelling stations. The testing method is based on the gravimetric principle. The experimental design of the HFTS as well as the description of the method are presented here.
Underground Hydrogen Storage (UHS) in Natural Storage Sites: A Perspective of Subsurface Characterization and Monitoring
Jan 2024
Publication
With the long-standing efforts of green transition in our society underground hydrogen storage (UHS) has emerged as a viable solution to buffering seasonal fluctuations of renewable energy supplies and demands. Like operations in hydrocarbon production and geological CO2 storage a successful UHS project requires a good understanding of subsurface formations while having different operational objectives and practical challenges. Similar to the situations in hydrocarbon production and geological CO2 storage in UHS problems the information of subsurface formations at the field level cannot be obtained through direct measurements due to the resulting high costs. As such there is a need for subsurface characterization and monitoring at the field scale which uses a certain history matching algorithm to calibrate a numerical subsurface model based on available field data. Whereas subsurface characterization and monitoring have been widely used in hydrocarbon production activities for a better understanding of hydrocarbon reservoirs to the best of our knowledge at present it appears to be a relatively less touched area in UHS problems. This work aims to narrow this noticed gap and investigates the use of an ensemble-based workflow for subsurface characterization and monitoring in a 3D UHS case study. Numerical results in this case study indicate that the ensemble-based workflow works reasonably well while also identifying some particular challenges that would be relevant to real-world problems.
Inspection of Hydrogen Transport Equipment: A Data-driven Approach to Predict Fatigue Degradation
Jul 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is an environmentally friendly fuel that can facilitate the upcoming energy transition. The development of an extensive infrastructure for hydrogen transport and storage is crucial. However the mechanical properties of structural materials are significantly degraded in H2 environments leading to early component failures. Pipelines are designed following defect-tolerant principles and are subjected to periodic pressure fluctuations. Hence these systems are potentially prone to fatigue degradation often accelerated in pressurized hydrogen gas. Inspection and maintenance activities are crucial to guarantee the integrity and fitness for service of this infrastructure. This study predicts the severity of hydrogen-enhanced fatigue in low-alloy steels commonly employed for H2 transport and storage equipment. Three machine-learning algorithms i.e. Linear Model Deep Neural Network and Random Forest are used to categorize the severity of the fatigue degradation. The models are critically compared and the best-performing algorithm are trained to predict the Fatigue Acceleration Factor. This approach shows good prediction capability and can estimate the fatigue crack propagation in lowalloy steels. These results allow for estimating the probability of failure of hydrogen pipelines thus facilitating the inspection and maintenance planning.
Experiments and Simulations of Large Scale Hydrogen-Nitrogen-Air Gas Explosions for Nuclear and Hydrogen Safety Applications
Sep 2023
Publication
Hydrogen safety is a general concern because of the high reactivity compared to hydrocarbon-based fuels. The strength of knowledge in risk assessments related to the physical phenomena and the ability of models to predict the consequence of accidental releases is a key aspect for the safe implementation of new technologies. Nuclear safety considers the possibility of accidental leakages of hydrogen gas and subsequent explosion events in risk analysis. In many configurations the considered gaseous streams involve a large fraction of nitrogen gas mixed with hydrogen. This work presents the results of a large scale explosion experimental campaign for hydrogen-nitrogen-air mixtures. The experiments were performed in a 50 m3 vessel at Gexcon’s test site in Bergen Norway. The nitrogen fraction the equivalence ratio and the congestion level were investigated. The experiments are simulated in the FLACS-CFD software to inform about the current level of conservatism of the predictions for engineering application purposes. The study shows the reduced overpressure with nitrogen added to hydrogen mixtures and supports the use of FLACS-CFD-based risk analysis for hydrogen-nitrogen scenarios.
Techno-economic Analysis of the Effect of a Novel Price-based Control System on the Hydrogen Production of an Offshore 1.5 GW Wind-hydrogen System
Feb 2024
Publication
The cost of green hydrogen production is very dependent on the price of electricity. A control system that can schedule hydrogen production based on forecast wind speed and electricity price should therefore be advantageous for large-scale wind-hydrogen systems. This work presents a novel price-based control system integrated in a techno-economic analysis of hydrogen production from offshore wind. A polynomial regression model that predicts wind power production from wind speed input was developed and tested with real-world datasets from a 2.3 MW floating offshore wind turbine. This was combined with a mathematical model of a PEM electrolyzer and used to simulate hydrogen production. A novel price-based control system was developed to decide when the system should produce hydrogen and when it should sell electricity to the grid. The model and control system can be used in real-world wind-hydrogen systems and require only the forecast wind speed electricity price and selling price of hydrogen as inputs. 11 test scenarios based on 10 years of real-world wind speed and electricity price data are proposed and used to evaluate the effect the price-based control system has on the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). Both current and future (2050) costs and technologies are used and the results show that the novel control system lowered the LCOH in all scenarios by 10–46%. The lowest LCOH achieved with current technology and costs was 6.04 $/kg H2. Using the most optimistic forecasts for technology improvements and cost reductions in 2050 the model estimated a LCOH of 0.96 $/kg H2 for a grid-connected offshore wind farm and onshore hydrogen production 0.82 $/kg H2 using grid electricity (onshore) and 4.96 $/kg H2 with an offgrid offshore wind-hydrogen system. When the electricity price from the period 2013–2022 was used on the 2050 scenarios the resulting LCOH was approximately twice as high.
The Impact of Methane Leakage on the Role of Natural Gas in the European Energy Transition
Sep 2023
Publication
Decarbonising energy systems is a prevalent topic in the current literature on climate change mitigation but the additional climate burden caused by methane emissions along the natural gas value chain is rarely discussed at the system level. Considering a two-basket greenhouse gas neutrality objective (both CO2 and methane) we model cost-optimal European energy transition pathways towards 2050. Our analysis shows that adoption of best available methane abatement technologies can entail an 80% reduction in methane leakage limiting the additional environmental burden to 8% of direct CO2 emissions (vs. 35% today). We show that while renewable energy sources are key drivers of climate neutrality the role of natural gas strongly depends on actions to abate both associated CO2 and methane emissions. Moreover clean hydrogen (produced mainly from renewables) can replace natural gas in a substantial proportion of its end-uses satisfying nearly a quarter of final energy demand in a climate-neutral Europe.
Functional Resonance Analysis for Emerging Risks in Hydrogen Handling: An Analysis of an Experimental Test
Oct 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is on the rise as a substitute for fossil fuel in the energy sector. While this substitution does not happen dramatically the steady increase in hydrogen related research might be a good indicator of such desire. As it stands there are issues regarding its safe handling and use; consequently the health and safety subsectors observe the situation conspicuously. As we yet to know the behavior of hydrogen in critical situations uncertainties make these tasks prone to emerging risks. Thus hydrogen safety falls under emerging risk studies. Conventional perspective on safety especially regarding the flammable material focuses on calculating the hypothetical risks of failures in system. Resilience Engineering has another perspective as it focuses on normal operations offering new perspectives to tackle emerging risks from a new angle. Born from the heart of Resilience Engineering the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) captures sociotechnical systems’ essence in a tangible way. In this study FRAM has been used to model a series of experiments done on hydrogen management to analyze its jet fire. FRAM is used to test whether the method could be suitable to model a system in which emerging risks are present. It is the conclusion of this study that FRAM seems promising in raising risk awareness especially when available data is limited.
Decarbonizing the European Energy System in the Absence of Russian Gas: Hydrogen Uptake and Carbon Capture Developments in the Power, Heat and Industry Sectors
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen and carbon capture and storage are pivotal to decarbonize the European energy system in a broad range of pathway scenarios. Yet their timely uptake in different sectors and distribution across countries are affected by supply options of renewable and fossil energy sources. Here we analyze the decarbonization of the European energy system towards 2060 covering the power heat and industry sectors and the change in use of hydrogen and carbon capture and storage in these sectors upon Europe’s decoupling from Russian gas. The results indicate that the use of gas is significantly reduced in the power sector instead being replaced by coal with carbon capture and storage and with a further expansion of renewable generators. Coal coupled with carbon capture and storage is also used in the steel sector as an intermediary step when Russian gas is neglected before being fully decarbonized with hydrogen. Hydrogen production mostly relies on natural gas with carbon capture and storage until natural gas is scarce and costly at which time green hydrogen production increases sharply. The disruption of Russian gas imports has significant consequences on the decarbonization pathways for Europe with local energy sources and carbon capture and storage becoming even more important. Given the highlighted importance of carbon capture and storage in reaching the climate targets it is essential that policymakers ameliorate regulatory challenges related to these value chains.
Cost Reduction in Low-carbon Hydrogen: Effective but Insufficient to Mitigate Carbon Emissions
Jun 2023
Publication
Many countries have announced hydrogen promotion strategies to achieve net zero CO2 emissions around 2050. The cost of producing low-carbon (green and blue) hydrogen has been projected to fall considerably as production is scaled up although more so for green hydrogen than for blue hydrogen. This article uses a global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to explore whether the cost reduction of green and blue hydrogen production can mitigate the use of fossil fuels and related carbon emissions. The results show that cost reduction can raise low-carbon hydrogen consumption markedly in relative terms but marginally in absolute terms resulting in a modest decrease in fossil fuel use and related carbon emissions. The cost reduction of low-carbon hydrogen slightly lowers the use of coal and gas but marginally increases the use of oil. If regional CO2 taxes are introduced the increase in green hydrogen production is considerably larger than in the case of low-carbon hydrogen cost reduction alone. However if cost reduction in low-carbon hydrogen is introduced in addition to the CO2 tax the emissions from fossil fuels are only marginally reduced. Hence synergy efects between the two measures on emissions are practically absent. A low-carbon hydrogen cost reduction alone is efective but insufcient to have a substantial climate impact. This study also calls for modeling development to capture special user preferences for low-carbon hydrogen related to climate mitigation when phasing in new energy carriers like hydrogen.
Composite Membranes for High Temperature PEM Fuel Cells and Electrolysers: A Critical Review
Jul 2019
Publication
Polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) fuel cells and electrolysers offer efficient use and production of hydrogen for emission-free transport and sustainable energy systems. Perfluorosulfonic acid (PFSA) membranes like Nafion® and Aquivion® are the state-of-the-art PEMs but there is a need to increase the operating temperature to improve mass transport avoid catalyst poisoning and electrode flooding increase efficiency and reduce the cost and complexity of the system. However PSFAs-based membranes exhibit lower mechanical and chemical stability as well as proton conductivity at lower relative humidities and temperatures above 80 ◦C. One approach to sustain performance is to introduce inorganic fillers and improve water retention due to their hydrophilicity. Alternatively polymers where protons are not conducted as hydrated H3O+ ions through liquid-like water channels as in the PSFAs but as free protons (H+) via Brønsted acid sites on the polymer backbone can be developed. Polybenzimidazole (PBI) and sulfonated polyetheretherketone (SPEEK) are such materials but need considerable acid doping. Different composites are being investigated to solve some of the accompanying problems and reach sufficient conductivities. Herein we critically discuss a few representative investigations of composite PEMs and evaluate their significance. Moreover we present advances in introducing electronic conductivity in the polymer binder in the catalyst layers.
Investments in Green Hydrogen as a Flexibility Source for the European Power System by 2050: Does it Pay Off?
Oct 2024
Publication
The European Union aims to deploy a high share of renewable energy sources in Europe’s power system by 2050. Large-scale intermittent wind and solar power production requires flexibility to ensure an adequate supply–demand balance. Green hydrogen (GH) can increase power systems’ flexibility and decrease renewable energy production’s curtailment. However investing in GH is costly and dependent on electricity prices which are important for operational costs in electrolysis. Moreover the use of GH for power system flexibility might not be economically viable if there is no hydrogen demand from the hydrogen market. If so questions would arise as to what would be the incentives to introduce GH as a source of flexibility in the power system and how would electrolyzer costs hydrogen demand and other factors affect the economic viability of GH usage for power system flexibility. The paper implements a European power system model formulated as a stochastic program to address these questions. The authors use the model to compare various instances with hydrogen in the power system to a no-hydrogen instance. The results indicate that by 2050 deployment of approximately 140 GW of GH will pay off investments and make the technology economically viable. We find that the price of hydrogen is estimated to be around €30/MWh.
Technical and Cost Analysis of Zero-emission High-speed Ferries: Retrofitting from Diesel to Green Hydrogen
Feb 2024
Publication
This paper proposes a technical and cost analysis model to assess the change in costs of a zeroemission high-speed ferry when retrofitting from diesel to green hydrogen. Both compressed gas and liquid hydrogen are examined. Different scenarios explore energy demand energy losses fuel consumption and cost-effectiveness. The methodology explores how variation in the ferry's total weight and equipment efficiency across scenarios impact results. Applied to an existing diesel high-speed ferry on one of Norway's longest routes the study under certain assumptions identifies compressed hydrogen gas as the current most economical option despite its higher energy consumption. Although the energy consumption of the compressed hydrogen ferry is slightly more than the liquid hydrogen counterpart its operating expenses are considerably lower and comparable to the existing diesel ferry on the route. However constructing large hydrogen liquefaction plants could reduce liquid hydrogen's cost and make it competitive with both diesel and compressed hydrogen gas. Moreover liquid hydrogen allows the use of a superconducting motor to enhance efficiency. Operating the ferry with liquid hydrogen and a superconducting motor besides its technical advantages offers promising economic viability in the future comparable to diesel and compressed hydrogen gas options. Reducing the ferry's speed and optimizing equipment improves fuel efficiency and economic viability. This research provides valuable insights into sustainable zero-emission high-speed ferries powered by green hydrogen.
Environmental and Climate Impacts of a Large-scale Deployment of Green Hydrogen in Europe
Apr 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is expected to play a vital role in decarbonizing the energy system in Europe. However large-scale deployment of green hydrogen has associated potential trade-offs in terms of climate and other environmental impacts. This study aims to shed light on a comprehensive sustainability assessment of this large-scale green hydrogen deployment based on the EMPIRE energy system modeling compared with other decarbonization paths. Process-based Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is applied and connected with the output of the energy system model revealing 45% extra climate impact caused by the dedicated 50% extra renewable infrastructure to deliver green hydrogen for the demand in the sectors of industry and transport in Europe towards 2050. Whereas the analysis shows that green hydrogen eventually wins on the climate impact within four designed scenarios (with green hydrogen with blue hydrogen without green hydrogen and baseline) mainly compensated by its clean usage and renewable electricity supply. On the other hand green hydrogen has a lower performance in other environmental impacts including human toxicity ecotoxicity mineral use land use and water depletion. Furthermore a monetary valuation of Life Cycle Impact (LCI) is estimated to aggregate 13 categories of environmental impacts between different technologies. Results indicate that the total monetized LCI cost of green hydrogen production is relatively lower than that of blue hydrogen. In overview a large-scale green hydrogen deployment potentially shifts the environmental pressure from climate and fossil resource use to human health mineral resource use and ecosystem damage due to its higher material consumption of the infrastructure.
Fuel Cell Systems for Long-endurance Autonomous Underwater Vehicles - Challenges and Benefits
Jun 2019
Publication
Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) are programmable robotic vehicles that can drift drive or glide through the ocean without real-time control by human operators. AUVs that also can follow a planned trajectory with a chosen depth profile are used for geophysical surveys subsea pipeline inspection marine archaeology and more. Most AUVs are followed by a mother ship that adds significantly to the cost of an AUV mission. One pathway to reduce this need is to develop long-endurance AUVs by improving navigation autonomy and energy storage. Long-endurance AUVs can open up for more challenging mission types than what is possible today. Fuel cell systems are a key technology for increasing the endurance of AUVs beyond the capability of batteries. However several challenges exist for underwater operation of fuel cell systems. These are related to storage or generation of hydrogen and oxygen buoyancy and trim and the demanding environment of the ambient seawater. Protecting the fuel cell inside a sealed container brings along more challenges related to condensation cooling and accumulation of inert gases or reactants. This paper elaborates on these technical challenges and describes the solutions that the Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI) has chosen in its development of a fuel cell system for long-endurance AUVs. The reported solutions enabled a 24 h demonstration of FFI's fuel cell system under water. The remaining work towards a prototype sea trial is outlined.
Biogeochemical Interactions and Their Role in European Underground Hydrogen Storage
Sep 2025
Publication
Integrating renewable energy requires robust large-scale storage solutions to balance intermittent supply. Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in geological formations such as salt caverns depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs or aquifers offers a promising way to store large volumes of energy for seasonal periods. This review focuses on the biological aspects of UHS examining the biogeochemical interactions between H2 reservoir minerals and key hydrogenotrophic microorganisms such as sulfate-reducing bacteria methanogens acetogens and iron-reducing bacteria within the gas–liquid–rock–microorganism system. These microbial groups use H2 as an electron donor triggering biogeochemical reactions that can affect storage efficiency through gas loss and mineral dissolution–precipitation cycles. This review discusses their metabolic pathways and the geochemical interactions driven by microbial byproducts such as H2S CH4 acetate and Fe2+ and considers biofilm formation by microbial consortia which can further change the petrophysical reservoir properties. In addition the review maps 76 ongoing European projects focused on UHS showing 71% target salt caverns 22% depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs and 7% aquifers with emphasis on potential biogeochemical interactions. It also identifies key knowledge gaps including the lack of in situ kinetic data limited field-scale monitoring of microbial activity and insufficient understanding of mineral–microbe interactions that may affect gas purity. Finally the review highlights the need to study microbial adaptation over time and the influence of mineralogy on tolerance thresholds. By analyzing these processes across different geological settings and integrating findings from European research initiatives this work evaluates the impact of microbial and geochemical factors on the safety efficiency and long-term performance of UHS.
Energy Asset Stranding in Resource-rich Developing Countries and the Just Transition - A Framework to Push Research Frontiers
Jun 2024
Publication
Climate policy will inevitably lead to the stranding of fossil energy assets such as production and transport assets for coal oil and natural gas. Resourcerich developing countries are particularly aected as they have a higher risk of asset stranding due to strong fossil dependencies and wider societal consequences beyond revenue disruption. However there is only little academic and political awareness of the challenge to manage the asset stranding in these countries as research on transition risk like asset stranding is still in its infancy. We provide a research framework to identify wider societal consequences of fossil asset stranding. We apply it to a case study of Nigeria. Analyzing dierent policy measures we argue that compensation payments come with implementation challenges. Instead of one policy alone to address asset stranding a problem-oriented mix of policies is needed. Renewable hydrogen and just energy transition partnerships can be a contribution to economic development and SDGs. However they can only unfold their potential if fair benefit sharing and an improvement to the typical institutional problems in resource-rich countries such as the lack of rule of law are achieved. We conclude with presenting a future research agenda for the global community and acade
The Competitive Edge of Norway's Hydrogen by 2030: Socio-environmental Considerations
Aug 2024
Publication
Can Norway be an important hydrogen exporter to the European Union (EU) by 2030? We explore three scenarios in which Norway’s hydrogen export market may develop: A Business-as-usual B Moderate Onshore C Accelerated Offshore. Applying a sector-coupled energy system model we examine the techno-economic viability spatial and socio-economic considerations for blue and green hydrogen export in the form of ammonia by ship. Our results estimate the costs of low-carbon hydrogen to be 3.5–7.3€/kg hydrogen. While Norway may be cost-competitive in blue hydrogen exports to the EU its sustainability is limited by the reliance on natural gas and the nascent infrastructure for carbon transport and storage. For green hydrogen exports Norway may leverage its strong relations with the EU but is less cost-competitive than countries like Chile and Morocco which benefit from cheaper solar power. For all scenarios significant land use is needed to generate enough renewable energy. Developing a green hydrogen-based export market requires policy support and strategic investments in technology infrastructure and stakeholder engagement ensuring a more equitable distribution of renewable installations across Norway and national security in the north. Using carbon capture and storage technologies and offshore wind to decarbonise the offshore platforms is a win-win solution that would leave more electricity for developing new industries and demonstrate the economic viability of these technologies. Finally for Norway to become a key hydrogen exporter to the EU will require a balanced approach that emphasises public acceptance and careful land use management to avoid costly consequences.
Evaluating the Hydrogen Storage Potential of Shut Down Oil and Gas Fields Along the Norwegian Continental Shelf
Apr 2023
Publication
The underground hydrogen storage (UHS) capacities of shut down oil and gas (O&G) fields along the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS) are evaluated based on the publicly available geological and hydrocarbon production data. Thermodynamic equilibrium and geochemical models are used to describe contamination of hydrogen loss of hydrogen and changes in the mineralogy. The contamination spectrum of black oil fields and retrograde gas fields are remarkably similar. Geochemical models suggest limited reactive mineral phases and meter-scale hydrogen diffusion into the caprock. However geochemical reactions between residual oil reservoir brine host rock and hydrogen are not yet studied in detail. For 23 shut down O&G fields a theoretical maximum UHS capacity of ca. 642 TWh is estimated. We conclude with Frigg Nordost Frigg and Odin as the best-suited shut down fields for UHS having a maximum UHS capacity of ca. 414 TWh. The estimates require verification by site-specific dynamic reservoir models.
Safe Pipelines for Hydrogen Transport
Jun 2024
Publication
The hydrogen compatibility of two X65 pipeline steels for transport of hydrogen gas is investigated through microstructural characterization hydrogen permeation measurements and fracture mechanical testing. The investigated materials are a quenched and tempered pipeline steel with a fine-grained homogeneously distributed ferrite-bainite microstructure and hot rolled pipeline steel with a ferrite-pearlite banded microstructure. All tests are performed both under electrochemical and gaseous hydrogen charging conditions. A correlation between electrochemical hydrogen charging and gaseous charging is determined. The results point to inherent differences in the interaction between hydrogen and the two material microstructures. Further research is needed to unveil the influence of material microstructure on hydrogen embrittlement.
Economic Framework for Green Shipping Corridors: Evaluating Cost-effective Transition from Fossil Fuels Towards Hydrogen
Aug 2024
Publication
Global warming’s major cause is the emission of greenhouse-effect gases (GHG) especially carbon dioxide (CO2) whose main source is the combustion of fossil fuels. Fossil fuels serve as the primary energy source in many industries including shipping which is the focus of this study. One of the measures proposed to tackle GHG emissions is the development of green shipping corridors - carbon-free shipping routes that require the transition to alternative fuels which are gaining competitiveness. One of the reasons for that is carbon pricing which taxes CO2 emissions. However the lack of consensus on the most cost-advantageous alternative fuel in the long run results in the delay of the implementation of green shipping corridors. To make it more accessible for stakeholders to conduct an economic analysis of the various options a framework to determine and minimize the costs of transitioning from fossil fuels to any alternative fuel is proposed over the period of one voyage considering the lost opportunity cost the deployment cost of bunkering vessels at the necessary call ports the cost of converting the vessel the car-bon emissions tax cost and the fuel cost. This will allow stakeholders to choose the most economical alternative fuel accelerating the development of green shipping corridor initiatives. To validate the effectiveness of the framework it was applied in a case study involving a shipowner seeking to transition from heavy fuel oil (HFO) to Ammonia Hydrogen Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) or Methanol. This study faced limitations due to the unknown costs of installing bunkering vessels for Ammonia and Hydrogen. However it evaluates the cost-effectiveness of alternative fuels providing insights into their short-term economic viability. The results showed that Hydrogen is the most costadvantageous fuel until a deployment cost per bunkering vessel of 1990285$ for a sailing speed of 22 knots and 2190171$ for a sailing speed of 18 knots is reached after which LNG becomes the most economical option regardless of variations in the carbon tax. Moreover a sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the effects of variations in parameters such as carbon tax fuel prices and vessel conversion costs in the total cost of each fuel option. Results highlighted that even though HFO remains the most economical fuel option even when considering a high increase in carbon tax the cost gap between HFO and alternative fuels narrows significantly with the increase in carbon tax. Furthermore the sailing speed impacts the fuels’ competitiveness as the cost difference between HFO and alternative fuels decreases at higher speeds.
Estimating the Replacement Potential of Norwegian High-speed Passenger Vessels with Zero-emission Solutions
Sep 2021
Publication
High-speed passenger vessels have high greenhouse gas emissions per passenger kilometre trav elled and require optimizations to provide a role in a low carbon society. This article works to wards this goal as a study of the potential for replacing high-speed passenger vessels with compressed hydrogen or battery electric zero emission solutions. To do this a model was developed based on automatic identification system data to calculate energy use for the existing Norwegian fleet in 2018. Using modelled energy consumption and assuming a maximum battery weight or compressed hydrogen volume each vessel can carry the most likely candidates for replacement were identified. Results showed that 51 out of 73 vessels are most suitable for hydrogen propulsion with 12 also suitable for battery electric propulsion. However timetable and route changes are required for more vessels to be suitable. Route optimisation studies are therefore required along with further detailed feasibility studies of the identified candidates and infrastructure requirements.
Exploring European Hydrogen Demand Variations under Tactical Uncertainty with Season Hydrogen Storage
Aug 2025
Publication
Achieving a net-zero energy system in Europe by 2050 will likely require large-scale deployment of hydrogen and seasonal energy storage to manage variability in renewable supply and demand. This study addresses two key objectives: (1) to develop a modeling framework that integrates seasonal storage into a stochastic multihorizon capacity expansion model explicitly capturing tactical uncertainty across timescales; and (2) to assess the impact of seasonal hydrogen storage on long-term investment decisions in European power and hydrogen infrastructure under three hydrogen demand scenarios. To this end the multi-horizon stochastic programming model EMPIRE is extended with tactical stages within each investment period enabling operational decisions to be modeled as a multi-stage stochastic program. This approach captures short-term uncertainty while preserving long-term investment foresight. Results show that seasonal hydrogen storage considerably enhances system flexibility displacing the need for up to 600 TWh/yr of dispatchable generation in Europe after 2040 and sizing down cross-border hydrogen transmission capacities by up to 12%. Storage investments increase by factors of 5–14 which increases the investments in variable renewables and improve utilization particularly solar. Scenarios with seasonal storage also show up to 6% lower total system costs and more balanced infrastructure deployment across regions. These findings underline the importance of modeling temporal uncertainty and seasonal dynamics in long-term energy system planning.
Energy and Cost Analysis of a Hydrogen Driven High Speed Passenger Ferry
Apr 2020
Publication
BACKGROUND: Norway is facing the challenge of reducing transport emissions. High speed crafts(HSC) are the means of transport with highest emissions. Currently there is little literature or experienceof using hydrogen systems for HSC.OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the economic feasibility of fuel cell (FC) powered HSC vs diesel and biodieseltoday and in a future scenario based on real world operation profile.<br/>METHOD: Historical AIS position data from the route combined with the speed-power characteristicsof a concept vessel was used to identify the energy and power demand. From the resulting data a suitableFC system was defined and an economic comparison made based on annual costs including annualizedinvestment and operational costs.<br/>RESULTS: HSC with a FC-system has an annual cost of 12.6 MNOK. It is 28% and 12% more expensivethan diesel and biodiesel alternative respectively. A sensitivity analysis with respect to 7 key design pa-rameters indicates that highest impact is made by hull energy efficiency FC system cost and hydrogen fuelcost. In a future scenario (2025–2030) with moderate technology improvements and cost developmentthe HSC with FC-systems can become competitive with diesel and cheaper than biodiesel.<br/>CONCLUSIONS: HSC with FC-systems may reach cost parity with conventional diesel in the period2025–2030.
Environmental Implications of Alternative Production, Distribution, Storage, and Leakage Rates of Hydrogen from Offshore Wind in Norway
Jun 2025
Publication
Renewable hydrogen offers compelling climate mitigation prospects with Norway possessing the opportunity to become a main global producer given its unique combination of wind energy potential available infrastructure and political motivation. However comprehensive environmental impact assessments of hydrogen from offshore wind are lacking and hydrogen leakage rates remain uncertain. A life-cycle assessment of hydrogen production from offshore wind farms in Norway is presented where different combinations of turbines (floating or bottomfixed) storage options (tank or salt cavern) and distribution methods (trucks or pipelines) are considered. Climate change impacts are assessed across the supply chain using global warming potential 100 (GWP100) and 20 (GWP20) and include hydrogen leakage contributions. The results range from 1.56 ± 0.14–2.28 ± 0.14 kg CO2-eq/kg H2 for GWP100 and 2.96 ± 0.76 and 3.75 ± 0.76 kg CO2-eq/kg H2 for GWP20 and are on average 55 % and 45 % lower than those of blue hydrogen respectively. At a default rate of 5 % hydrogen leakage contributes 50–63 % of the total impact for GWP20 and 25–37 % for GWP100. If higher-end leakage rates from literature are considered the impacts increase to 3.46 kg CO2-eq/kg H2 for GWP100 which is still lower than that of blue hydrogen. The scenario combining bottom-fixed turbines salt cavern storage and pipeline distribution presents the lowest environmental impacts. However while bottom-fixed turbines generally offer lower impacts floating turbines pose lesser risk to marine biodiversity. Overall infrastructure represents the main driver of environmental impacts. Mitigation in this area will improve potential benefits.
Geopolitics of Renewables: Asymmetries, New Interdependencies, and Cooperation around Portuguese Solar Energy and Green Hydrogen Strategies
Oct 2025
Publication
This article explores how the implementation of solar PV and transportation infrastructure – grid or hydrogen pipeline – has implications for various aspects of security cooperation and geopolitical powershifts. Highlighting the emerging intra-European green hydrogen pipeline project H2Med we examine the Portuguese geopolitical ambitions related to their geographical advantage for solar PV energy production. Using media and document analysis we identified two main axes of solar PV implementation in Portugal – one centered on resilience and one on exports – and further explored underlying and resulting tensions in neighboring countries’ energy strategies and cleantech innovation policies. Our analysis revealed that policy prioritizations in solar PV diffusion result in unequal effects on resilience energy security and power shifts. In particular solar PV implementations such as individual to local or regional grid-based ‘prosumption’ setups result in notably different geopolitical effects compared to large-scale solar PV to green hydrogen-production for storage and export. Thereby emerging possibilities of storage and long-distance trade of renewable energies have more significant implications on geopolitics and energy security than what is typically recognized.
Modeling and Simulation of Coupled Biochemical and Two-phase Compositional Flow in Underground Hydrogen Storage
Aug 2025
Publication
Integrating microbial activity into underground hydrogen storage models is crucial for simulating longterm reservoir behavior. In this work we present a coupled framework that incorporates bio-geochemical reactions and compositional flow models within the Matlab Reservoir Simulation Toolbox (MRST). Microbial growth and decay are modeled using a double Monod formulation with populations influenced by hydrogen and carbon dioxide availability. First a refined Equation of State (EoS) is employed to accurately capture hydrogen dissolution thereby improving phase behavior and modeling of microbial activity. The model is then discretized using a cell-centered finite-volume method with implicit Euler time discretization. A fully coupled fully implicit strategy is considered. Our implementation builds upon MRST’s compositional module by incorporating the Søreide–Whitson EoS microbial reaction kinetics and specific effects such as bio-clogging and molecular diffusion. Through a series of 1D 2D and 3D simulations we analyze the effects of microbialinduced bio-geochemical transformations on underground hydrogen storage in porous media.These results highlight that accounting for bio-geochemical effects can substantially impact hydrogen loss purity and overall storage performance.
A Review of Caprock Integrity in Underground Hydrogen Storage Sites: Implication of Wettability, Interfacial Tension, and Diffusion
Oct 2025
Publication
As industry moves from fossil fuels to green energy substituting hydrocarbons with hydrogen as an energy carrier seems promising. Hydrogen can be stored in salt caverns depleted hydrocarbon fields and saline aquifers. Among other criteria these storage solutions must ensure storage safety and prevent leakage. The ability of a caprock to prevent fluid from flowing out of the reservoir is thus of utmost importance. In this review the main factors influencing fluid flow are examined. These are the wettability of the caprock formation the interfacial tension (IFT) between the rock and the gas or liquid phases and the ability of gases to diffuse through it. To achieve effective sealing the caprock formation should possess low porosity a disconnected or highly complicated pore system low permeability and remain strongly water-wet regardless of pressure and temperature conditions. In addition it must exhibit low rock–liquid IFT while presenting high rock–gas and liquid–gas IFT. Finally the effective diffusion coefficient should be the lowest possible. Among all of the currently reviewed formations and minerals the evaporites low-organic-content shales mudstones muscovite clays and anhydrite have been identified as highly effective caprocks offering excellent sealing capabilities and preventing hydrogen leakages.
Energy Storage in the Energy Transition and Blue Economy: Challenges, Innovations, Future Perspectives, and Educational Pathways
Sep 2025
Publication
Transitioning to renewable energy is vital to achieving decarbonization at the global level but energy storage is still a major challenge. This review discusses the role of energy storage in the energy transition and the blue economy focusing on technological development challenges and directions. Effective storage is vital for balancing intermittent renewable energy sources like wind solar and marine energy with the power grid. The development of battery technologies hydrogen storage pumped hydro storage and emerging technologies like sodium-ion and metal-air batteries is discussed for their potential for large-scale deployment. Shortages in critical raw materials environmental impact energy loss and costs are some of the challenges to large-scale deployment. The blue economy promises opportunities for offshore energy storage notably through ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) and compressed air energy storage (CAES). Moreover the capacity of datadriven optimization and artificial intelligence to enhance storage efficiency is discussed. Policy interventions and economic incentives are necessary to spur the development and deployment of sustainable energy storage technology. Education and workforce training are also important in cultivating future researchers engineers and policymakers with the ability to drive energy innovation. Merging sustainability training with an interdisciplinary approach can potentially establish an efficient workforce that is capable of addressing energy issues. Future work needs to focus on higher energy density efficiency recyclability and cost-effectiveness of the storage technologies without sacrificing their environmental sustainability. The study underlines the need for converging technological economic and educational approaches to enable a sustainable and resilient energy future.
The Total Costs of Energy Transitions With and Without Nuclear Energy
Oct 2025
Publication
Within energy system analysis there is discourse regarding the role and economic benefits of nuclear energy in terms of overall system costs. The reported findings range from considerable drawbacks to substantial benefits depending on the chosen models scenarios and underlying assumptions. This article addresses existing gaps by demonstrating how subtle variations in model assumptions significantly impact analysis outcomes. Historically uncertainties associated with nuclear energy costs have been well documented whereas renewable energy costs have steadily declined and have been relatively predictable. However as land availability increasingly constrains future renewable expansion development is shifting from onshore to offshore locations where cost uncertainties are greater and anticipated cost reductions are less reliable. This study emphasizes this fundamental shift highlighting how uncertainties in future renewable energy costs could strengthen the economic case of nuclear energy within fully integrated sector-coupled energy systems especially when the costs of all technologies and weather conditions are set in the moderate range. Focusing specifically on Denmark this article presents a thorough sensitivity analysis of renewable energy costs and weather conditions within anticipated future ranges providing a nuanced perspective on the role of nuclear energy. Ultimately the findings underscore that when examining total annual system costs the differences between scenarios with low and high nuclear energy shares are minimal and are within ±5 % for the baseline assumptions while updated adjustments reduce this variation to ±1 %.
Hydrogen-based Technologies towards Energy-resilient Low-carbon Buildings: Opportunities and Challenges Review
Oct 2025
Publication
Towards low-carbon buildings with resilient energy performance renewable energy resources and flexible energy assets play key roles in managing the electrical and heat demands. Hydrogen-based systems represent a promising solution through renewable hydrogen production and long-term storage. This paper systematically reviews 35 peer-reviewed studies (1990–2024) on hydrogen integration in buildings focusing on demand-side management (DSM) optimization methods and system performance. The review covers the environmental impacts feasibility and economic viability of integrating different hydrogen systems for supplying energy. Across critical reviews case studies hydrogen supplementary systems achieved CO2 reductions between 12 % and 87 % operational cost decreases of up to 40 % and efficiency gains exceeding 80 %. Payback periods varied widely between 9 and 20 years demonstrating high investment costs. Key gaps include limited field validation economic feasibility and public acceptance of hydrogen homes. One key area for future investigation is optimizing energy flows across production storage and demand particularly in Vehicle-to-Building (V2B) applications. This review paper highlights opportunities especially the potential of hydrogen system in decarbonization of buildings by long-term energy storage barriers and policy needs for implementing hydrogen technologies in grid-connected and remote areas to enhance sustainable and resilient buildings.
Off-grid Shore-to-ship Power System Optimisation with a Hydrogen-in-loop Buffering Scheme Drien by Hydrokinetic Wave-wind Energy
Oct 2025
Publication
The environmentally vulnerable Arctic’s harsh climate and remote geography demand innovative green energy solutions. This study introduces a hybrid off-grid system that integrates wave and wind energy with hydrogenelectricity conversion technologies. Designed to power cruise ships at berth fuel-cell hybrid electric vehicles and residential heating the system tackles the challenge of energy variability through dual optimization schemes. External optimization identifies a cost-effective architecture achieving a net present cost of $1.1M and a levelized hydrogen cost of $20.1/kg without a fuel cell. Internal optimizations employing multi-objective game theory and HYBRID algorithms further improve performance reducing the net present cost to $666K with a levelized hydrogen cost of $13.74/kg (game theory) and $729K with a levelized hydrogen of $15.63/kg (HYBRID). A key innovation is hydrokinetic turbines which streamline the design by cutting cumulative cash flow requirements by $470K from $1.85M to $1.38M. This approach prioritizes intelligent energy management shifting reliance from variable wind and wave inputs to optimized electrolyzer and battery operations. These results underscore the feasibility of cost-effective and scalable renewable energy systems and provide a compelling blueprint for addressing energy challenges in remote and resource-constrained environments.
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