Publications
AI Predictive Simulation for Low-Cost Hydrogen Production
Jul 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen produced through renewable-powered electrolysis has the potential to revolutionize energy systems; however its widespread adoption hinges on achieving competitive production costs. A critical challenge lies in optimising the hydrogen production process to address solar and wind energy’s high variability and intermittency. This paper explores the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in reducing and streamlining hydrogen production costs by enabling advanced process optimisation focusing on electricity cost management and system-wide efficiency improvements.
Evaluation of Factors for Adoption of Alternative-Fuel-Based Vehicles
Sep 2025
Publication
The transportation industry significantly contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Federal and provincial governments have implemented strategies to decrease dependence on gasoline and diesel fuels. This encompasses promoting the adoption of electric cars (EVs) and biofuel alternatives investing in renewable energy sources and enhancing public transit systems. There is a growing focus on enhancing infrastructure to facilitate active transportation modes like cycling and walking which provide the combined advantages of decreasing emissions and advancing public health. In this paper we propose a System Dynamics simulation model for evaluating factors for the adoption of alternative-fuel vehicles such as EVs biofuel vehicles bus bikes and hydrogen vehicles. Five factors— namely customer awareness government initiatives cost of vehicles cost of fuels and infrastructure developments—to increase the adoption of alternative-fuel vehicles are studied. Two scenarios are modeled: A baseline scenario that follows the existing trends in transportation (namely the use of gasoline vehicles) Scenario 1 which prioritizes greater adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and biofuel-powered vehicles and Scenario 2 which prioritizes hydrogen fuel-based vehicles and improves biking culture. The simulation findings show that all scenarios achieve reductions in GHG emissions compared to the baseline with Scenario 2 showing the lowest emissions. The proposed work is useful for transport decision makers and municipal administrators in devising policies for reducing overall GHG emissions and this also aligns with Canada’s net zero goals.
Model Predictive Supervisory Control for Multi-stack Electrolyzers Using Multilinear Modeling
Oct 2025
Publication
Offshore green hydrogen production lacks of flexible and scalable supervisory control approaches for multistack electrolyzers raising the need for extendable and high-performance solutions. This work presents a two-stage nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) method. First an MPC stage generates a discrete on-off electrolyzer switching decision through algebraic relaxation of a Boolean signal. The second MPC stage receives the stack’s on-off operation decision and optimizes hydrogen production. This is a novel approach for solving a mixed-integer nonlinear program (MINP) in multi-stack electrolyzer control applications. In order to realize the MPC the advantages of the implicit multilinear time-invariant (iMTI) model class are exploited for the first time for proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzer models. A modular flexible and scalable framework in MATLAB is built. The tensor based iMTI model in canonical polyadic (CP) decomposed form breaks the curse of dimensionality and enables effective model composition for electrolyzers. Simulation results show an appropriate multilinear model representation of the nonlinear system dynamics in the operation region. A sensitivity analysis identified three numeric factors as decisive for the effectiveness of the MPC approach. The classic rule-based control methods Daisy Chain and Equal serve as reference. Over two weeks and under a wind power input profile the MPC strategy performs better regarding the objective of hydrogen production compared to the Daisy Chain (4.60 %) and Equal (0.43 %) power distribution controllers. As a side effect of the optimization a convergence of the degradation states is observed.
Accurate Prediction of Green Hydrogen Production Based on Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cell via Soft Computing Algorithms
Oct 2025
Publication
The solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) presents significant potential for transforming renewable energy into green hydrogen. Traditional modeling approaches however are constrained by their applicability to specific SOEC systems. This study aims to develop robust data-driven models that accurately capture the complex relationships between input and output parameters within the hydrogen production process. To achieve this advanced machine learning techniques were utilized including Random Forests (RFs) Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) Linear Regression Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) Elastic Net Ridge and Lasso Regressions Decision Trees (DTs) Support Vector Machines (SVMs) k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Light Gradient Boosting Machines (LightGBM) CatBoost and Gaussian Process. These models were trained and validated using a dataset consisting of 351 data points with performance evaluated through various metrics and visual methods. The dataset’s suitability for model training was confirmed using the Monte Carlo outlier detection method. Results indicate that within the dataset and evaluation framework of this study ANNs CNNs Gradient Boosting and XGBoost models have demonstrated high accuracy and reliability achieving the largest R-squared scores and the smallest error metrics. Sensitivity analysis reveals that all input parameters significantly influence hydrogen production magnitude. Game-theoretic SHAP values underline current and cathode electrode conditions as critical factors. This research determines the performance of machine learning models particularly ANNs CNNs Gradient Boosting and XGBoost in predicting hydrogen production through the SOEC process. The outcomes of this paper can provide a certain reference for related research and applications in the hydrogen production field.
Multi-objective Optimal Scheduling of Islands Considering Offshore Hydrogen Production
Jul 2025
Publication
Ocean islands possess abundant renewable energy resources providing favorable conditions for developing offshore clean energy microgrids. However geographical isolation poses significant challenges for direct energy transfer between islands. Recent electrolysis and hydrogen storage technology advancements have created new opportunities for distributed energy utilization in these remote areas. This paper presents a low-carbon economic dispatch strategy designed explicitly for distant oceanic islands incorporating energy self-sufficiency rates and seasonal hydrogen storage (SHS). We propose a power supply model for offshore islands considering hydrogen production from offshore wind power. The proposed model minimizes operational and carbon emission costs while maximizing energy self-sufficiency. It considers the operational constraints of the island’s energy system the offshore transportation network the hydrogen storage infrastructure and the electricityhydrogen-transportation coupling of hydrogen storage (HS) and seasonal hydrogen storage (SHS) services. To optimize the dispatch process this study employs an improved Grey Wolf Optimizer (IGWO) combined with the Differential Evolution method to enhance population diversity and refine the position updating mechanism. Simulation results demonstrate that integrating HS and SHS effectively enhances energy self-sufficiency and reduces carbon emissions. For instance hydrogenation costs decreased by 21.4% after optimization and the peak-valley difference was reduced by 16%. These findings validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach.
The Green Transition in Commercial Aviation
Aug 2025
Publication
This paper provides a comprehensive review of novel aviation technologies analyzing the advancements and challenges associated with the transition to sustainable air transport. The study explores three key pillars: unconventional aerodynamic configurations novel propulsion systems and advanced materials. Unconventional airframe architectures such as box-wing blended-wing-body and truss-braced wings demonstrate potential for improved aerostructural efficiency and reduced fuel consumption compared to traditional tube-and-wing designs. Aeropropulsive innovations as distributed propulsion boundary layer ingestion and advanced turbofan configurations are also promising in this regard. Significant progress in propulsion technologies including hybrid-electric hydrogen and extensive use of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) plays a pivotal role in reducing air transport greenhouse gas emissions. However energy storage limitations and infrastructure constraints remain critical challenges and hence in the near future SAF could represent the most feasible solution. The introduction of advanced lightweight materials could further enhance aircraft overall performance. The results presented and discussed in this paper show that there is no a unique solution to the problem of the sustainability of air transport but a combination of all the novel technologies is necessary to achieve the ambitious environmental goals for the air transport of the future.
Hydrogen Microgrids to Facilitate the Clean Energy Transition in Remote, Northern Communities
Oct 2025
Publication
Most remote and northern communities rely on diesel for their electrical and thermal energy needs. Communities and governments are working toward diesel exit strategies but the role of hydrogen technologies has not been explored. These could serve both electrical and thermal demand reduce emissions and enhance energy security and community ownership. Here we determine the installed capacities costs hydrogen storage needs and water resource requirements of hydrogen microgrids across a large diverse sample of communities. We also compare the cost of hydrogen microgrids to that of diesel microgrids. Our results optimize resource deployment demonstrate how sub-components must operate to serve both demand types and yield insights on storage and resource needs. We find that hydrogen microgrids are cheaper in levelized cost terms than diesel systems in 28 of 37 communities investigated; if wind power capital costs escalate to CAD 20000/kW as recently seen in one project only 3 of the 37 communities net hydrogen microgrids that are cheaper than diesel variants. Hydrogen storage plays a large role in maintaining reliability and reducing cost—both it and water needs are modest. The former can be met with current technologies.
Magnetically Induced Convection Enhances Water Electrolysis in Microgravity
Aug 2025
Publication
Since the early days of space exploration the efficient production of oxygen and hydrogen via water electrolysis has been a central task for regenerative life-support systems. Water electrolysers are however challenged by the near-absence of buoyancy in microgravity resulting in hindered gas bubble detachment from electrodes and diminished electrolysis efficiencies. Here we show that a commercial neodymium magnet enhances water electrolysis with current density improvements of up to 240% in microgravity by exploiting the magnetic polarization of the electrolyte and the magnetohydrodynamic force. We demonstrate that these interactions enhance gas bubble detachment and displacement through magnetic convection and achieve passive gas–liquid phase separation. Two model magnetoelectrolytic cells a proton-exchange membrane electrolyser and a magnetohydrodynamic drive were designed to leverage these forces and produce oxygen and hydrogen at near-terrestrial efficiencies in microgravity. Overall this work highlights achievable lightweight low-maintenance and energy-efficient phase separation and electrolyser technologies to support future human spaceflight architectures.
Innovative Anode Porous Transport Layers for Polymer Elecrolyte Membrane Water Electrolyzers
Sep 2025
Publication
Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Water Electrolyzers (PEMWEs) attract significant attention for producing green hydrogen. However their widespread application remains hindered by high production costs. This study develops cost-effective and high-performance 3D-printed gyroid structures as porous transport layers (PTLs) for the anode of PEMWEs. Experimental results demonstrate that the PTL’s structure critically influences its performance which depends on its design. Among the four gyroid structures evaluated the G10 electrode exhibited the best performance in electrochemical tests conducted under various ex-situ conditions simulating real-world operation. Furthermore the 3D-printed G10 electrode undergoes Pt coating and is compared with commercially available PTLs. The commercial PTL (C3) shows a current density of 138.488 mA cm−2 whereas the G10-1.00 μm Pt electrode achieves a significantly higher current density of 584.692 mA cm−2 at 1.9V. The gyroid structure is a promising avenue for developing high-energy and low-cost PEMWEs and other related technologies.
An Innovative Industrial Complex for Sustainable Hydrocarbon Production with Near-Zero Emissions
Oct 2025
Publication
The Allam power cycle is a groundbreaking elevated-pressure power generation unit that utilizes oxygen and fossil fuels to generate low-cost electricity while capturing carbon dioxide (CO2) inherently. In this project we utilize the CO2 generated from the Allam cycle as feedstock for a newly envisioned industrial complex dedicated to producing renewable hydrocarbons. The industrial complex (FAAR) comprises four subsystems: (i) a Fischer–Tropsch synthesis plant (FTSP) (ii) an alkaline water electrolysis plant (AWEP) (iii) an Allam power cycle plant (APCP) and (iv) a reverse water-gas shift plant (RWGSP). Through effective material heat and power integration the FAAR complex utilizing 57.1% renewable energy for its electricity needs can poly-generate sustainable hydrocarbons (C1–C30) pure hydrogen and oxygen with near-zero emissions from natural gas and water. Economic analysis indicates strong financial performance of the development with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 18% a discounted payback period of 8.7 years and a profitability index of 2.39. The complex has been validated through rigorous modeling and simulation using Aspen Plus version 14 including sensitivity analysis.
Emerging Green Steel Markets Surrounding the EU Emissions Trading System and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism
Oct 2025
Publication
The global steel industry accounts for 8–10 % of global CO2 emissions and requires deep decarbonisation for achieving the targets set in the Paris Agreement. However no low-emission primary steel production technology has yet been commercially feasible or deployed. Through analysing revisions and additions of European Union climate policy we show that green hydrogenbased steelmaking in competitive locations achieves cost-competitiveness on the European market starting 2026. If the deployment of competitive lowemission steelmaking is insufficient we show that the European steel industry loses competitiveness vis-à-vis countries with access to low-cost renewable energy. Therefore we assess the options for the European steel industry to relocate the energy-intensive ironmaking step and trade Hot Briquetted Iron for rapid deep decarbonisation of the European steel industry. Lastly we discuss complementing policy options to enhance the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism’s strategic value through European Union-lead global climate cooperation and the possibility of sparking an international decarbonisation race.
Designing Off-grid Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems under Uncertainty: A Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Approach
Aug 2025
Publication
The decarbonization of remote energy systems presents both technical and economic challenges due to their dependance on fossil fuels and the variability of renewable energy sources. This study introduces a Two-Stage Stochastic Programming approach to optimize Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems under uncertainty in renewable energy production. The methodology is applied to the island of Pantelleria aiming to minimize Total Annualized Costs and CO2 emissions using an ε-constraint approach. Results show that within the set of optimized configurations stricter CO2 emissions constraints increase costs due to the need for oversized components to ensure supply reliability. Nevertheless even the zeroemissions scenario offers significant economic benefits compared to the current diesel-based system. Total Annualized Costs are reduced from 15.5 M€ to 8.10 M€ in the deterministic case and to 9.37 M€ in the stochastic one. The additional cost in the stochastic configuration is offset by improved reliability ensuring demand is met under all scenarios. A sensitivity analysis on electricity demand reveals the necessity of further larger components leading to a 27.0% cost increase in a fully renewable scenario with stochastic optimization for a 10% demand increase. These findings highlight the importance of stochastic optimization in designing cost-effective off-grid renewable energy systems.
Hydrogen Production from Organic Waste in Bangladesh: Impacts of Temperature and Steam Flow on Syngas Composition
Sep 2025
Publication
More than 0.13 million tons of waste are generated annually making conventional methods of treatment including anaerobic digestion incineration and landfilling insufficient.Thus a long-term solution is required.Therefore this study used a process modeling through Aspen Plus V11 to investigate how variations in waste types and gasification temperatures affect the ability to producing hydrogen. Additionally the use of a Steam Rankin Cycle has been used to optimize the economy through generation. To explore the potential of various type of waste proximate and Ultimate analysis have been done experimentally in lab and some of them (Rice Husk Rice Straw Sugar-cane Baggage Cow-dung etc.) have been taken from references. This study presents validation against experimental data using dolomite and olivine as bed materials. The model showed strong agreement with experimental results accurately predicting hydrogen concentration CO and CO2. A detailed thermodynamic analysis revealed an increase in hydrogen purity from 50.9 % in raw syngas to 100 % after pressure swing adsorption (PSA) accompanied by an exergy reduction from 48.99 MW to 34.68 MW due to separation and thermal losses. Parametric studies demonstrated that gasification temperatures between 750 °C and 800 °C and steam-to-biomass ratios of 0.4–0.5 optimize hydrogen production. Feedstock type significantly influenced performance; rice straw rice husk jute stick and cow dung exhibited higher hydrogen yields compared to food waste. The model predicted a hydrogen production rate of approximately 1020 kg/h per ton of dry feedstock with an overall system efficiency of 48.5 % based on exergy analysis.
Fault Tree and Importance Measure Analysis of a PEM Electrolyzer for Hydrogen Production at a Nuclear Power Plant
Sep 2025
Publication
Pilot projects to generate hydrogen using proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers coupled to nuclear power plants (NPPs) began in 2022 with further developments anticipated over the next decade. However the co-location of electrolyzers with NPPs requires an understanding and mitigation of potential risks. In this work we identify and rank failure contributors for a 1 MW PEM electrolysis system. We used fault trees to define the component failure logic parameterized them with generic data and calculated failure frequencies and minimal cut sets for four top events: hydrogen release oxygen release nitrogen release and hydrogen and oxygen mixing. We use risk reduction worth importance measures to determine the most risk-significant components. The results provide insight into primary risk drivers in PEM electrolyzer systems and provide the foundational steps towards quantitative risk assessment of large-scale PEM electrolyzers at NPPs. The results include recommended riskmitigation actions include recommendations about design maintenance and monitoring strategies.
Emerging Application of Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells in Hydrogen Production: A Comprehensive Analytic Review and Life Cycle Assessment
Aug 2025
Publication
This paper provides a comprehensive analytical review and life cycle assessment (LCA) of solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs) for hydrogen production. As the global energy landscape shifts toward cleaner and more sustainable solutions SOECs offer a promising pathway for hydrogen generation by utilizing water as a feedstock. Despite their potential challenges in efficiency economic viability and technological barriers remain. This review explores the evolution of SOECs highlighting key advancements and innovations over time and examines their operational principles efficiency factors and classification by operational temperature range. It further addresses critical technological challenges and potential breakthroughs alongside an indepth assessment of economic feasibility covering production cost comparisons hydrogen storage capacity and plant viability and an LCA evaluating environmental impacts and sustainability. The findings underscore SOECs’ progress and their crucial role in advancing hydrogen production while pointing to the need for further research to overcome existing limitations and enhance commercial viability.
High-performance Hydrogen Energy Generation via Innovative Metal-organic Framework Catalysts and Integrated System Design
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen energy generation faces challenges in efficiency and economic viability due to reliance on scarce noble metal catalysts. This study aimed to develop platinum-doped nickel-iron metal-organic framework (Pt-NiFe-MOF) catalysts with controlled metal ratios and pore architecture for enhanced water electrolysis. The NiFe-MOF framework was first synthesized via a solvothermal method which was then subjected to post-synthetic modification to introduce controlled platinum loadings (0.5- 2.0 wt%). The pore structure was tuned using a mixed-linker strategy (H₄DOBDC ratios 1:0 to 1:1). Catalysts were characterized using PXRD HRTEM BET XPS and ICP-OES techniques. Electrochemical performance was analyzed in 1.0 M KOH. A custom-designed integrated electrolysis system at 75 °C assessed practical performance. The Pt-NiFe-MOF-1.0 catalyst with H₄DOBDC ratio of 1:0.5 achieved remarkable effectiveness requiring overpotentials of only 253 mV for OER and 58 mV for HER when operating at 10 mA/cm². This catalyst featured an optimal pore diameter of 4.2 nm and surface area of 1325 m²/g. DFT calculations revealed platinum incorporation created synergistic effects by modifying hydrogen binding energies. Furthermore DFT calculations and XPS analysis revealed that the role of platinum in the OER is not direct catalysis but rather a powerful electronic modulation effect; Pt dopants withdraw electron density from adjacent Ni and Fe centers promoting the formation of higher-valent Ni³⁺/Fe³⁺ species that are intrinsically more active and lowering the energy barrier for the rate-determining O-O bond formation step. The integrated system achieved 1.62V at 100 mA/cm² with 75.8% energy efficiency maintaining stability for 200 h with 15–30 times lower precious metal loading than conventional systems. Strategic incorporation of low platinum concentrations within optimized NiFe-MOF structures significantly enhances water electrolysis performance while maintaining economic viability advancing development of industrial-scale hydrogen generation systems.
Analysis of Floating Photovoltaics Potential in Hong Kong: Green Hydrogen Production and Energy Application
Oct 2025
Publication
Solar energy is now one of the most affordable and widely available energy sources. However densely populated cities like Hong Kong often lack the land needed for large-scale solar deployment. Floating solar photovoltaics (FPV) offer a promising alternative by using water surfaces such as reservoirs while providing additional benefits over ground-mounted systems including competition with urban development such as housing and infrastructure. The advantage of this system has been explored in parts of the world while Hong Kong is yet to fully exploit it despite the presence of pilot projects. This study uses PVsyst to evaluate FPV deployment across Hong Kong’s reservoirs estimating over 7 TWh of potential annual electricity generation. Even with 60 % surface coverage generation reaches 4.6 TWh/year with LCOE between $0.036–$0.038/kWh. In parallel green hydrogen is explored as a clean energy storage solution and alternative transport fuel. By using electricity from FPV systems hydrogen production via electrolysis is assessed through HOMER Pro. Results show annual hydrogen output ranging from 180502 kg to 36310221 kg depending on reservoir size with associated LCOH between $10.2/kg and $19.4/kg. The hydrogen produced could support ongoing hydrogen bus projects and future expansion to other vehicle types as Hong Kong moves toward a hydrogen-based transport system. After coupling the FPV systems with hydrogen-generation units the new LCOEs are found to be between $0.029–4.01/ kWh. Thus suggesting the feasibility of a hydrogen-integrated FPV system in Hong Kong.
Little to Lose: The Case for a Robust European Green Hydrogen Strategy
Jul 2025
Publication
The EU targets 10 Mt of green hydrogen production by 2030 but has not committed to targets for 2040. Green hydrogen competes with carbon capture and storage biomass and imports as well as direct electrification in reaching emissions reductions; earlier studies have demonstrated the great uncertainty in future costoptimal development of green hydrogen. In spite of this we show that Europe risks little by setting green hydrogen production targets at around 25 Mt by 2040. Employing an extensive scenario analysis combined with novel near-optimal techniques we find that this target results in systems that are within 10% of cost-optimal in all considered scenarios with current-day biomass availability and baseline transportation electrification. Setting concrete targets is important in order to resolve significant uncertainty that hampers investments. Targeting green hydrogen reduces the dependence on carbon capture and storage and green fuel imports making for a more robust European climate strategy.
Metal–Organic Frameworks for Seawater Electrolysis and Hydrogen Production: A Review
Oct 2025
Publication
Electrolysis utilizing renewable electricity is an environmentally friendly non-polluting and sustainable method of hydrogen production. Seawater is the most desirable and inexpensive electrolyte for this process to achieve commercial acceptance compared to competing hydrogen production technologies. We reviewed metal–organic frameworks as possible electrocatalysts for hydrogen production by seawater electrolysis. Metal–organic frameworks are interesting for seawater electrolysis due to their large surface area tunable permeability and ease of functional processing which makes them extremely suitable for obtaining modifiable electrode structures. Here we discussed the development of metal– organic framework-based electrocatalysts as multifunctional materials with applications for alkaline PEM and direct seawater electrolysis for hydrogen production. Their advantages and disadvantages were examined in search of a pathway to a successful and sustainable technology for developing electrode materials to produce hydrogen from seawater.
Predictive URANS/PDF Modeling of Unsteady-State Phenomena in Turbulent Hydrogen–Air Flames
Sep 2025
Publication
The escalating global demand for primary energy—still predominantly met by conventional carbon-based fuels—has led to increased atmospheric pollution. This underscores the urgent need for alternative energy strategies capable of reducing carbon emissions while meeting global energy requirements. Hydrogen as a clean combustible fuel offers a promising alternative to hydrocarbons producing neither soot CO2 nor unburned hydrocarbons. Although nitrogen oxides (NOx) are the primary combustion by-products their formation can be mitigated by controlling flame temperature. This study investigates the viability of hydrogen as a clean energy vector by simulating an unsteady turbulent non-premixed hydrogen jet flame interacting with an air co-flow. The numerical simulations employ the Unsteady Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (URANS) framework for efficient and accurate prediction of transient flow behavior. Turbulence is modeled using the Shear Stress Transport (SST k-ω) model which enhances accuracy in high Reynolds number reactive flows. The combustion process is described using a presumed Probability Density Function (PDF) model allowing for a statistical representation of turbulent mixing and chemical reaction. The simulation results are validated by comparison with experimental temperature and mixture fraction data demonstrating the reliability and predictive capability of the proposed numerical approach.
A Game Theory Approach in Hydrogen Supply Chain Resilience: Focus on Pricing, Sourcing, and Transmission Security
Jun 2025
Publication
This study examines the pricing and assesses resilience methods in hydrogen supply chains by thoroughly analyzing two main disruption scenarios. The model examines a scenario in which a hydrogen production company depends on a Renewable Power plant (RP) for its electricity supply. Ensuring a steady and efficient hydrogen supply chain is crucial but outages at renewable power sources provide substantial obstacles to sustainability and operational continuity. Therefore in the event of disruptions at the RP the company has two options for maintaining resilience: either sourcing electricity from a Fossil fuel Power plant (FP) through a grid network to continue hydrogen production or purchasing hydrogen directly from another company and utilizing third-party transportation for delivery. Using a game theoretic approach we examine how different methods affect demand satisfaction cost implications and environmental sustainability. The study employs sensitivity analysis to evaluate the impact of different disruption probabilities on each scenario. In addition a unique sensitivity analysis is performed to examine the resilience of transmission security to withstand disruptions. This study evaluates how investments in security measures affect the strength and stability of the supply chain in various scenarios of disruption. Our research suggests that the first scenario offers greater reliability and cost-effectiveness along with a higher resilience rate compared to the second scenario. Furthermore the examination of the environmental impact shows that the first scenario has a smaller amount of CO2 emissions per kg of hydrogen. This study offers important insights for supply chain managers to optimize resilience measures hence improving reliability reducing costs and minimizing environmental effects.
Integrated Optimization of Energy Storage and Green Hydrogen Systems for Resilient and Sustainable Future Power Grids
Jul 2025
Publication
This study presents a novel multi-objective optimization framework supporting nations sustainability 2030–2040 visions by enhancing renewable energy integration green hydrogen production and emission reduction. The framework evaluates a range of energy storage technologies including battery pumped hydro compressed air energy storage and hybrid configurations under realistic system constraints using the IEEE 9-bus test system. Results show that without storage renewable penetration is limited to 28.65% with 1538 tCO2/day emissions whereas integrating pumped hydro with battery (PHB) enables 40% penetration cuts emissions by 40.5% and reduces total system cost to 570 k$/day (84% of the baseline cost). The framework’s scalability is confirmed via simulations on IEEE 30- 39- 57- and 118-bus systems with execution times ranging from 118.8 to 561.5 s using the HiGHS solver on a constrained Google Colab environment. These findings highlight PHB as the most cost-effective and sustainable storage solution for large-scale renewable integration.
Synergistic Coupling of Waste Heat and Power to Gas via PEM Electrolysis for District Heating Applications
Sep 2025
Publication
This work explores the integration of Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) electrolysis waste heat with district heating networks (DHN) aiming to enhance the overall energy efficiency and economic viability of hydrogen production systems. PEM electrolysers generate substantial amounts of low-temperature waste heat during operation which is often dissipated and left unutilised. By recovering such thermal energy and selling it to district heating systems a synergistic energy pathway that supports both green hydrogen production and sustainable urban heating can be achieved. The study investigates how the electrolyser’s operating temperature ranging between 50 and 80 ◦C influences both hydrogen production and thermal energy availability exploring trade-offs between electrical efficiency and heat recovery potential. Furthermore the study evaluates the compatibility of the recovered heat with common heat emission systems such as radiators fan coils and radiant floors. Results indicate that valorising waste heat can enhance the overall system performance by reducing the electrolyser’s specific energy consumption and its levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) while supplying carbon-free thermal energy for the end users. This integrated approach contributes to the broader goal of sector coupling offering a pathway toward more resilient flexible and resource-efficient energy systems.
Working with Uncertainty in Life cycle Costing: New Approach Applied to the Case Study on Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolysis
Jul 2025
Publication
Hydrogen recognized as a critical energy source requires green production methods such as proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) powered by renewable energy. This is a key step toward sustainable development with economic analysis playing an essential role. Life cycle costing (LCC) is commonly used to evaluate economic feasibility but traditional LCC analyses often provide a single cost outcome which limits their applicability across diverse regional contexts. To address these challenges a Python-based tool is developed in this paper integrating a bottom-up approach with net present value (NPV) calculations and Monte Carlo simulations. The tool allows users to manage uncertainty by intervening in the input data producing a range of outcomes rather than a single deterministic result thus offering greater flexibility in decision-making. Applying the tool to a 5 MW PEMWE plant in Germany the total cost of ownership (TCO) is estimated to range between €52 million and €82.5 million with hydrogen production costs between 5.5 and 11.4 €/kg H2. There is a 95% probability that actual costs fall within this range. Sensitivity analysis reveals that energy prices are the key contributors to LCC accounting for 95% of the variance in LCC while iridium membrane materials and power electronics contribute to 75% of the variation in construction-phase costs. These findings underscore the importance of renewable energy integration and circular economy strategies in reducing LCC.
Hydrogen Leakage Localization Technology in Hydrogen Refueling Stations Combining RL and Hidden Markov Models
Jul 2025
Publication
With the global energy structure shifting towards clean and efficient hydrogen energy the safety management issues of hydrogen refueling stations are becoming increasingly prominent. To address these issues a hydrogen leak localization algorithm for hydrogen refueling stations based on a combination of reinforcement learning and hidden Markov models is proposed. This method combines hidden Markov model to construct a probability distribution model for hydrogen leakage and diffusion simulates the propagation probability of hydrogen in different grid cells and uses reinforcement learning to achieve fast and accurate localization of hydrogen leakage events. The outcomes denoted that the training accuracy reached 95.2% with an F1 value of 0.961 indicating its high accuracy in hydrogen leak localization. When the wind speed was 0.8 m/s the mean square error of the raised method was 0.03 and when the wind speed was 1.0 m/s the mean square error of the raised method was 0.04 proving its good robustness. After 50 localization experiments the proposed algorithm achieves a localization success rate of 93.7% and an average computation time of 42.8 s further demonstrating its high accuracy and computational efficiency. The proposed hydrogen leakage location algorithm has improved the accuracy and efficiency of hydrogen leakage location providing scientific basis and technical guarantee for the safe operation of future hydrogen refueling stations.
Experimental Study on the Operation of Pressure Safety Valve in the Liquid Hydrogen Environment
Sep 2025
Publication
In this study a liquid hydrogen (LH2) safety valve evaluation device was developed to enable safe and stable performance testing of pressure safety valves (PSVs) under realistic cryogenic and high-pressure conditions. The device was designed for flexible use by mounting all components on a mobile frame equipped with wheels and the pressurization rate inside the vessel was controlled through a boil-off gas (BOG) generator. Two experiments were conducted to investigate the effect of LH2 production rate on PSV operation. When the production of LH2 increased by about 2.4 times the number of PSV operations rose from 15 to 20 and the operating pressure range shifted slightly upward from 10.68~12.53 bar to 10.68~13.2 bar while remaining within the instrument’s error margin. These results indicate that repeated valve cycling and increased hydrogen production contribute to gradual changes in PSV operating characteristics. Additionally the minimum temperature experienced by the PSV decreased with repeated operations reaching approximately 77.9 K. The developed evaluation system provides an effective platform for analyzing PSV performance under realistic LH2 production and storage conditions.
Dimensions, Structure, and Morphology Variations of Carbon-based Materials for Hydrogen Storage: A Review
Jul 2025
Publication
The swift and far-reaching evolution of advanced nanostructures and nanotechnologies has accelerated the research rate and extent which has a huge prospect for the benefit of the practical demands of solid-state hydrogen storage implementation. Carbonaceous materials are of paramount importance capable of forming versatile structures and morphology. This review aims to highlight the influence of the carbon material structure dimension and morphology on the hydrogen storage ability. An extensive range of synthesis routes and methods produces diverse micro/nanostructured materials with superb hydrogen-storing properties. The structures of carbon materials used for hydrogen adsorption from 0 to 3D and fabrication methods and techniques are discussed. Besides highlighting the striking merits of nanostructured materials for hydrogen storage remaining challenges and new research avenues are also considered.
IEA TCP Task 43 - Recommendations for Safety Distances Methodology for Alkaline and PEM Electrolyzers
Sep 2025
Publication
Elena Vyazmina,
Richard Chang,
Benjamin Truchot,
Katrina M. Groth,
Samantha E. Wismer,
Sebastien Quesnel,
David Torrado,
Nicholas Hart,
Thomas Jordan,
Karen Ramsey-Idem,
Deborah Houssin-Agbomson,
Simon Jallais,
Christophe Bernard,
Lucie Bouchet,
Ricardo Ariel Perez,
Lee Phillips,
Marcus Runefors,
Jerome Hocquet and
Andrei V. Tchouvelev
Currently local regulations governing hydrogen installations vary by geographical region and by country leading to discrepancies in safety and separation distance requirements for similar hydrogen systems. This work carried out in the frame of IEA TCP H2 Task 43 (IEA TCP H2 2022) aims to provide an overview of various methodologies and recommendations established for risk management and consequence assessment in the event of accidental scenarios. It focuses on a case study involving industrial electrolyzers utilizing alkaline and PEM technologies. The research incorporates lessons learned from past incidents offers recommendations for mitigation measures reviews existing methodologies and highlights areas of divergence. Additionally it proposes strategies for harmonization. The study also emphasizes the most significant scenarios and the corresponding leakage sizes
Optimizing Storage Parameters for Underground Hydrogen Storage in Aquifers: Cushion Gas Selection, Well Pattern Design, and Purity Control
Oct 2025
Publication
Underground hydrogen storage in aquifers is a promising solution to address the imbalance between energy supply and demand yet its practical implementation requires optimized strategies to ensure high efficiency and economic viability. To improve the storage and production efficiency of hydrogen it is essential to select the appropriate cushion gas and to study the influence of reservoir and process parameters. Based on the conceptual model of aquifer with single-well injection and production three potential cushion gas (carbon dioxide nitrogen and methane) were studied and the changes in hydrogen recovery for each cushion gas were compared. The effects of temperature initial pressure porosity horizontal permeability vertical to horizontal permeability ratio permeability gradient hydrogen injection rate and hydrogen production rate on the purity of recovered hydrogen were investigated. Additionally the impact of different well pattern on the purity of recovered hydrogen was studied. The results indicate that methane is the most effective cushion gas for improving hydrogen recovery in UHS. Different well patterns have significant impacts on the purity of recovered hydrogen. The mole fractions of methane in the produced gas for the single-well line-drive pattern and five-spot pattern were 16.8% 5% and 3.05% respectively. Considering the economic constraints the five-spot well pattern is most suitable for hydrogen storage in aquifers. Reverse rhythm reservoirs with smaller permeability differences should be chosen to achieve relatively high hydrogen recovery and purity of recovered hydrogen. An increase in hydrogen production rate leads to a significant decrease in the purity of the recovered hydrogen. In contrast hydrogen injection rate has only a minor effect. These findings provide actionable guidance for the selection of cushion gas site selection and operational design of aquifer-based hydrogen storage systems contributing to the large-scale seasonal storage of hydrogen and the balance of energy supply and demand.
Environmental and Economic Assessment of Large-scale Hydrogen Supply Chains across Europe: LOHC vs Other Hydrogen Technologies
Oct 2025
Publication
The transition to decarbonized energy systems positions hydrogen as a critical vector for achieving climate neutrality yet its large-scale transportation and storage remain key challenges. This study presents a comprehensive life cycle assessment (LCA) and economic analysis of large-scale H2 supply chains evaluating the liquid organic hydrogen carrier (LOHC) system based on benzyltoluene/perhydro-benzyltoluene (H0-BT/H12-BT) against conventional technologies: compressed gaseous hydrogen (CGH2) liquid hydrogen (LH2) and liquid ammonia (LNH3). The analysis includes multiple H2 transportation scenarios across Europe considering the steps: conditioning sea transportation post-processing and land distribution by truck or pipeline. Environmentally LOHC currently faces higher environmental impacts than CGH2 driven by energy-intensive dehydrogenation process. Truck-based distribution further amplifies impacts particularly over long distances while pipeline-based distribution significantly reduces the environmental burdens where infrastructure exists. Sensitivity analysis reveals that using H2 for dehydrogenation heat lowers process-level impacts but increases overall supply chain impacts questioning its net environmental benefit. Economically LOHC remains competitive despite high dehydrogenation costs benefiting from low sea transportation expenses compatibility with existing fossil fuel infrastructure and potential for future CAPEX and OPEX improvements. While CGH2 outperforms LH2 and LNH3 avoiding energy-intensive liquefaction and cracking its storage requirements add considerable costs. For land distribution LOHC trucks are optimal at lower capacities whereas repurposed natural gas pipelines favour CGH2 at higher scale reducing costs by up to 84 %. Despite current trade-offs the scalability flexibility and synergies with existing infrastructure position LOHC as a promising solution for long-distance H2 transport contingent on technological maturation to mitigate dehydrogenation impacts.
Innovative Aircraft Heat Exchanger Integration for Hydrogen-electric Propulsion
Sep 2025
Publication
Propulsion systems in aircraft using reciprocating engines often face the challenge of managing thermal loads effectively. This problem is similar to the utilisation of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cell systems which despite their high efficiency emit a high proportion of heat when converting chemical energy into electrical energy. Transfer of the rejected heat to the air is efficiently performed by heat exchangers. Since convective heat transfer is physically linked to fluid friction at the heat exchanger walls a pressure loss occurs. In a high-speed flow regime of the aircraft during cruise the integration of heat exchangers combined with a fan stage inside a nacelle (thus forming an impeller configuration) represents a promising approach for the dual benefit of dissipating excess heat and harnessing it for additional thrust generation through the ram jet effect. Striving for enhanced thrust performance of hydrogen electric commercial aircraft this paper presents the results of a parameter study based on a 1D-modelling approach. The focus is placed on the influence of design and operating parameters (ambient conditions fan pressure ratio diffusion ratio airside temperature difference) on performance and sizing of the proposed propulsion system. It is shown that the proposed system performs best at an altitude of 11 km and with increasing freestream Mach number. Furthermore the main challenges related to the combination of a thrust generation system with a heat exchanger in terms of sizing in particularly the required heat exchanger dimensions under different operating conditions are discussed.
Development of the Hydrogen Market and Local Green Hydrogen Offtake in Africa
Jun 2025
Publication
Creating a hydrogen market in Africa is a great opportunity to assist in the promotion of sustainable energy solutions and economic growth. This article addresses the legislation and regulations that need to be developed to facilitate growth in the hydrogen market and allow local green hydrogen offtake across the continent. By reviewing current policy and strategy within particular African countries and best practices globally from key hydrogen economies the review establishes compelling issues challenges and opportunities unique to Africa. The study identifies the immense potential in Africa for renewable energy and in particular for solar and wind as the foundation for the production of green hydrogen. It examines how effective policy frameworks can establish a vibrant hydrogen economy by bridging infrastructural gaps cost hurdles and regulatory barriers. The paper also addresses how local offtake contracts for green hydrogen can be used to stimulate economic diversification energy security and sustainable development. Policy advice is provided to assist African authorities and stakeholders in the deployment of enabling regulatory frameworks and the mobilization of funds. The paper contributes to global hydrogen energy discussions by introducing Africa as an eligible stakeholder in the emerging hydrogen economy and outlining prospects for its inclusion into regional and global energy supply chains.
Opportunities and Challenges of Latent Thermal Energy Usage in the Hydrogen Economy
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen plays a key role in decarbonising hard-to-abate sectors like aviation steel and shipping. However producing pure hydrogen requires significant energy to break chemical bonds from its sources such as gas and water. Ideally the energy used for this process should match the energy output from hydrogen but in reality energy losses occur at various stages of the hydrogen economy—production packaging delivery and use. This results in needing more energy to operate the hydrogen economy than it can ultimately provide. To address this passive power sources like latent thermal energy storage systems can help reduce costs and improve efficiency. These systems can enable passive cooling or electricity generation from waste heat cutting down on the extra energy needed for compression liquefaction and distribution. This study explores integrating latent thermal energy storage into all stages of the hydrogen economy offering a cost and sizing approach for such systems. The integration could reduce costs close the waste-heat recycling loop and support green hydrogen production for achieving NetZero by 2050.
Numerical Simulation Study on Hydrogen Leakage and Explosion of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Buses
Aug 2025
Publication
This study explores the safety problems of hydrogen leakage and explosion in hydrogen fuel cell buses through Computational Fluid Dynamics simulations. The research investigates the diffusion behavior of hydrogen in the passenger cabin depending on the leakage position and flow rates identifying a stratified constant-concentration layer formed at the top of the cabin. Leakage near the rear wall of the vehicle provided the highest hydrogen concentration while at higher flow rates the diffusive process accelerated the spreading of flammable hydrogen concentrations. Hydrogen ignition simulations showed a fast internal pressure increase and secondary explosions outside the vehicle. Thermal hazards in the cases were higher than overpressure. The research’s additional analysis of ignition timing and source location shows that overpressure peaked initially with delayed ignition but declined afterward while rear-ignited flames exhibited the farthest high-temperature hazard range at 10.88 m. These findings are fundamental for giving insight into hydrogen behavior in confined spaces and thus guiding risk assessment and emergency response planning for the development of safety protocols in hydrogen fuel cell buses contributing to the safer implementation of hydrogen energy in public transportation.
Fractal Fuzzy‑Based Multi‑criteria Assessment of Sustainability in Rare Earth Use for Hydrogen Storage
Aug 2025
Publication
The use of rare earth elements in hydrogen storage processes offers significant advantages in terms of increasing technological efficiency and ensuring system security. However this process also creates some serious problems in terms of environmental and economic sustainability. It is necessary to determine the most critical indicators affecting the sustainable use of these elements. Studies on this subject in the literature are quite limited and this may lead to wrong investment decisions. The main purpose of this study is to determine the most important indicators to increase the sustainable use of rare earth elements in hydrogen storage processes. An original decision-making model in which Siamese network logarithmic percentage-change driven objective weighting (LOPCOW) fractal fuzzy numbers and weighted influence super matrix with precedence (WISP) approaches are integrated in the study. This study provides an original contribution to the literature by identifying the most critical indicators affecting the sustainable use of rare earths in hydrogen storage processes by presenting an innovative model. Fractal structures such as Koch Snowflake Cantor Dust and Sierpinski Triangle can model complex uncertainties more successfully. Fractal structures are particularly effective in modeling linguistic fuzziness because their recursive nature closely mirrors the layered and imprecise way humans often express subjective judgments. Unlike linear fuzzy sets fractals can capture the patterns of ambiguity found in expert evaluations. Hydrogen storage capacity and government supports are determined as the most vital criteria affecting sustainability in rare earth use.
Interactions Between Gas Hydrate and Hydrogen in Nature: Laboratory Evidence of Hydrogen Incorporation
Oct 2025
Publication
Natural hydrogen is generated via serpentinization radiolysis and organic metagenesis in geological settings. After expulsion from the source and along its upward migration path the free gas may encounter hydratebearing sediments. To simulate this natural scenario CH4 hydrate and CH4 + C3H8 hydrate were synthesized at 5.0 MPa and exposed to a hydrogen-containing gas mixture. In-situ Raman spectroscopic measurements demonstrated the incorporation of H2 molecules into the hydrate phase even at a partial pressure of 0.5 MPa. Exsitu Raman spectroscopic characterization of hydrates formed from a CH4 + H2 gas mixture at 5.0 MPa confirmed the H2 inclusion within the large cavities of structure I. The results show that the interactions between H2 and the natural gas hydrate phase range from the incorporation of H2 molecules into the hydrate phase to the rapid dissociation of the gas hydrate depending on thermodynamic conditions and H2 concentration in the coexisting gas phase.
Hydrogen Production from Pyrolysis of Biomass Components
Sep 2025
Publication
Hydrogen energy is key for the global green energy transition and biomass thermochemical has become an important option for green hydrogen production due to its carbon neutrality advantage. Pyrolysis is the initial step of thermochemical technologies. A systematic analysis of the mechanism of H2 production from biomass pyrolysis is significant for the subsequent optimal design of efficient biomass thermochemical H2 production technologies. Biomass is mainly composed of cellulose hemicellulose and lignin and differences in their physicochemical properties and structures directly affect the pyrolysis hydrogen production process. In this study thermogravimetry-mass spectrometry-Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (TG-MS-FTIR) was employed and fixed-bed pyrolysis experiments were conducted to systematically investigate the pyrolysis of biomass component with focusing on hydrogen production. According to the results of TG-MS-FTIR experiments hemicellulose produced hydrogen through the breaking of C-H bonds in short chains and acetyl groups as well as secondary cracking of volatiles and condensation of aromatic rings at high temperatures. Cellulose produced hydrogen through the breaking of C-H bonds in volatiles generated from sugar ring cleavage along with char gasification and condensation of aromatic rings at high temperatures. Lignin produced hydrogen through ether bond cleavage breaking of methoxy groups as well as cleavage of phenylpropane side chains and condensation of aromatic rings at high temperatures. Results from fixed-bed pyrolysis experiments further showed that hemicellulose exhibited the strongest hydrogen production capacity with the maximum H2 production efficiency of 6.09 mmol/g the maximum H2 selectivity of 17.79% and the maximum H2 effectiveness of 59% at 800°C.
Narratives and Counter-narratives in Sustainability Transitions: A Study on the Port of Rotterdam from a Multi-level Perspectives
Sep 2025
Publication
Infrastructure projects can act as niches for innovation development contribute to strategic goals of network owners and drive broader systemic transitions. However limited research has examined how sustainability transitions are shaped through narratives and counternarratives around infrastructure projects. Using a case study of the port of Rotterdam we analyze how three embedded projects - Maasvlakte 2 RDM Campus and the Hydrogen Pipeline - reflected and shaped evolving narratives and counter-narratives over a 20-year sustainability transition. Grounded in the Multi-Level Perspective (MLP) the study demonstrates how an infrastructure owner like the Port of Rotterdam Authority (PoRA) strategically mobilized narrative framing to reshape existing regimes over time. The study contributes to the debate on project management and transition studies by highlighting how infrastructure project owners respond to transition-related tensions by shaping defending and adapting project narratives over time thereby influencing sustainability trajectories.
Comparative Review of Natural Gas Vehicles During the Energy Transition
Jul 2025
Publication
The global climate crisis necessitates the urgent implementation of sustainable practices and carbon emission reduction strategies across all sectors. Transport as a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions requires transitional technologies to bridge the gap between fossil fuel dependency and renewable energy systems. Natural gas recognised as the cleanest fossil-derived fuel with approximately half the CO2 emissions of coal and 75% of oil presents a potential transitional solution through Natural Gas Vehicles (NGVs). This manuscript presents several distinctive contributions that advance the understanding of Natural Gas Vehicles within the contemporary energy transition landscape while synthesising updated emission performance data. Specifically the feasibility and sustainability of NGVs are investigated within the energy transition framework by systematically incorporating recent technological developments and environmental economic and infrastructure considerations in comparison to conventional vehicles (diesel and petrol) and unconventional alternatives (electric and hydrogen-fuelled). The analysis reveals that NGVs can reduce CO2 emissions by approximately 25% compared to petrol vehicles on a well-to-wheel basis with significant reductions in NOx and particulate matter. However these environmental benefits depend heavily on the source and type of natural gas used (CNG or LNG) while economic viability hinges largely on governmental policies and infrastructure development. The findings suggest that NGVs can serve as an effective transitional technology in the transport sector’s sustainability pathway particularly in regions with established natural gas infrastructure but require supportive policy frameworks to overcome implementation barriers.
Analysis of Specific Failure Conditions in Electrified Propulsion Systems using Cryogenic Hydrogen as a Primary Energy Carrier
Aug 2025
Publication
In order to minimize emissions of the aerospace sector and thus its impact on the climate several novel concepts of propulsion systems for aircraft are being developed. Many of these concepts do not use an energy source based on the combustion of hydrocarbons but other means of energy generation and storage like hydrogen fuel cells and corresponding hydrogen storage systems. The use of hydrogen as a primary energy carrier in aircraft poses novel and different hazards when compared to conventional propulsion and fuel storage systems. The study described in the present paper identifies analyzes and evaluates failure conditions and corresponding hazards that are associated with the electrified propulsion systems. Mitigation strategies to prevent failures to occur or decrease their severity are recommended. The effects of the assessed failures on aircraft crew and occupants are classified as catastrophic hazardous or major as defined in the according Certification Specifications. Failure Conditions occurring at the aircraft system and subsystem levels are considered and their effect on the aircraft and propulsion system is assessed. The hazards identified mostly emerge due to the properties of the gaseous or liquid hydrogen. They include the flammability of gaseous hydrogen and the very low temperatures of cryogenic liquid hydrogen as well as the installation of high voltage power infrastructure and high capacity heat exchangers.
Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of Hydrogen Solubility in Aqueous Systems
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen storage is integral to reducing CO2 emissions particularly in the oil and gas industry. However a primary challenge involves the solubility of hydrogen in subsurface environments particularly saline aquifers. The dissolution of hydrogen in saline water can impact the efficiency and stability of storage reservoirs necessitating detailed studies of fluid dynamics in such settings. Beyond its role as a clean energy carrier and precursor for synthetic fuels and chemicals understanding hydrogen’s solubility in subsurface conditions can significantly enhance storage technologies. When hydrogen solubility is high it can reduce reservoir pressure and alter the chemical composition of the storage medium undermining process efficiency. Machine learning techniques have gained prominence in predicting physical and chemical properties across various systems. One of the most complex challenges in hydrogen storage is predicting its solubility in saline water influenced by factors such as pressure temperature and salinity. Machine learning models offer substantial promise in improving hydrogen storage by identifying intricate nonlinear relationships among these parameters. This study uses machine learning algorithms to predict hydrogen solubility in saline aquifers employing techniques such as Bayesian inference linear regression random forest artificial neural networks (ANN) support vector machines (SVM) and least squares boosting (LSBoost). Trained on experimental data and numerical simulations these models provide precise predictions of hydrogen solubility which is strongly influenced by pressure temperature and salinity under a wide range of thermodynamic conditions. Among these methods RF outperformed the others achieving an R2 of 0.9810 for test data and 0.9915 for training data with RMSE values of 0.048 and 0.032 respectively. These findings emphasize the potential of machine learning to significantly optimize hydrogen storage and reservoir management in saline aquifers.
Offshore Renewable Hydrogen Potential in Australia: A Techno-economic and Legal Review
Jun 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is increasingly recognised as a potential critical energy carrier in decarbonising global energy systems. Australia is positioning itself as a potential leader in offshore renewable hydrogen production by leveraging existing liquified natural gas export infrastructure activating its abundant renewable energy resources and harnessing its extensive offshore marine acreage. Despite this there is limited research on the techno-economic and regulatory pathways for offshore hydrogen development in Australia as an enabler of its net zero manufacturing and export ambitions. This study offers a multidisciplinary assessment and review of Australia’s offshore renewable hydrogen potential. It aims to examine the technical legal and economic challenges and opportunities to enable and adapt the existing Australian offshore electricity regulatory regime and enable policy to facilitate future renewable offshore hydrogen licensing and production. Overall the findings provide practical insights for advancing Australia’s offshore hydrogen transition including technical innovations needed to scale offshore wind development. The study demonstrates how a specific offshore hydrogen licensing framework could reduce legal uncertainties to create economies of scale and reduce hydrogen investment risk to unlock the full potential of developing offshore renewable hydrogen projects.
A real Assessment in the Design of a Try-Out Grid-Tied Solar PV-Green Hydrogen-Battery Storage Microgrid System for Industrial Application in South Africa
Sep 2025
Publication
The carbon emission reduction mission requires a multifaceted approach in which green hydrogen is expected to play a key role. The accelerated adoption of green hydrogen technologies is vital to this journey towards carbon neutrality by 2050. However the energy transition involving green hydrogen requires a data-driven approach to ensure that the benefits are realised. The introduction of testing sites for green hydrogen technologies will be crucial in enabling the performance testing of various components within the green hydrogen value chain. This study involves an areal assessment of a selected test site for the installation of a grid-tied solar PV-green hydrogen-battery storage microgrid system at a factory facility in South Africa. The evaluation includes a site energy audit to determine the consumption profile and an analysis of the location’s weather pattern to assess its impact on the envisaged microgrid. Lastly a design of the microgrid is conceptualised. A 39 kW photovoltaic system powers the microgrid which comprises a 22 kWh battery storage system 10 kW of electrolyser capacity an 8 kW fuel cell and an 800 L hydrogen storage capacity between 30 and 40 bars.
Polymers and Composites for Hydrogen Economy: A Perspective
Oct 2025
Publication
This paper provides authors’ perspective on the current advances and challenges in utilising polymers and composites in hydrogen economy. It has originated from ‘Polymers and Composites for Hydrogen Economy’ symposium organised in March 2025 at the University of Warwick. This paper presents views from the event and thus provides a perspective from academia and industry on the ongoing advances and challenges for those materials in hydrogen applications.
Green Hydrogen Production Study in Existing Oil Refinery with Evaluating Technical, Economic, and Environmental Outcomes
Oct 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen offers a sustainable alternative source of fossil fuels to compensate for the increasing energy demand. This study addresses the increasing energy demand and the need for sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels by examining the production of green hydrogen in an existing Egyptian oil refinery. The primary objective is to evaluate the technical economic and environmental outcomes of integrating green hydrogen to increase the refinery’s hydro processing capacity. The methodology involves the use of water electrolysis powered exclusively by renewable electricity from a 60 MW solar installation with a panel surface area of 660000 m². A simulation model of alkaline electrolyzer skids was developed to assess the production of an additional 1260 kg/h of hydrogen representing a 15% increase over the existing Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) capacity. The environmental impact was quantified by calculating the reduction in CO₂ and equivalent emissions while an economic forecasting analysis was conducted to project the production costs of green versus grey hydrogen. The main results indicate that the integration is technically feasible and environmentally beneficial with a significant reduction in the refinery’s carbon footprint. Economically the study projects that by 2028 the production cost of green hydrogen will fall to 1.56 USD/kg H₂ becoming more cost-effective than grey hydrogen at 1.65 USD/kg H₂ largely due to the influence of carbon taxes and credits. This study underscores the transformative potential of green hydrogen in decarbonizing industrial processes offering a viable pathway for refineries to contribute to global climate change mitigation efforts.
Solar Enabled Pathway to Large-scale Green Hydrogen Production and Storage: A Framework for Oman's Advancing Renewable Energy Goals
Aug 2025
Publication
The utilisation of renewable energy sources for hydrogen production is increasingly vital for ensuring the long-term sustainability of global energy systems. Currently the Sultanate of Oman is actively integrating renewable energy particularly through the deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems as part of its ambitious targets for the forthcoming decades. Also Oman has target to achieve 1 million tonnes of green-H2 production annually. Leveraging Oman's abundant solar resources to produce green hydrogen and promote the clean transportation industry could significantly boost the country's sustainable energy sector. This paper outlines a standalone bifacial solar-powered system designed for large-scale green hydrogen (H2) production and storage to operate both a hydrogen refuelling station and an electric vehicle charging station in Sohar Oman. Using HOMER software three scenarios: PV/Hydrogen/Battery PV/Hydrogen PV/Battery systems were compared from a techno-economic perspective. Also the night-time operation (Battery/Hydrogen) was investigated. Varying cost of electricity were obtained depending on the system from $3.91/kWh to $0.0000565kWh while the bifacial PV/Hydrogen/Battery system emerged as the most efficient option boasting a unit cost of electricity (COE) of $3.91/kWh and a levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) value of $6.63/kg with net present cost 199M. This system aligns well with Oman's 2030 objectives with the capacity to generate 1 million tonnes of green-H2 annually. Additionally the findings show that the surplus electricity from the system could potentially cover over 30% of Oman's total energy consumption with zero harmful emissions. The implementation of this system promises to enhance Oman's economic and transportation industries by promoting the adoption of electric and fuel cell vehicles while reducing reliance on traditional energy sources.
Proactive Regulation for Hydrogen Supply Chains: Enhancing Logistics Frameworks in Australia
Jun 2025
Publication
The rapid growth of Australia’s hydrogen economy highlights the pressing need for innovative regulatory strategies that address the distinct characteristics of hydrogen supply chains. This study focuses on the supply-side dynamics of the hydrogen energy sector emphasizing the importance of tailored frameworks to ensure the safe efficient and reliable movement of hydrogen across the supply chain. Key areas of analysis include the regulatory challenges associated with various transportation and storage methods particularly during long-distance transport and extended storage periods. The research identifies notable gaps and inconsistencies within the current regulatory systems across Australian states which inhibit the development of a unified hydrogen economy. To address these challenges the concept of Proactive Regulation for Hydrogen Supply (PRHS) is introduced. PRHS emphasizes anticipatory governance that adapts alongside technological advancements to effectively manage hydrogen transportation and storage. The study advocates for harmonizing fragmented state frameworks into a cohesive national regulatory system to support the sustainable and scalable expansion of hydrogen logistics. Furthermore the paper examines the potential of blockchain technology to enhance safety accountability and traceability across the hydrogen supply chain offering practical solutions to current regulatory and operational barriers.
Low to Near-zero CO2 Production of Hydrogen from Fossil Fuels: Critical Role of Microwave-initiated Catalysis
Apr 2025
Publication
Presently there is no single clear route for the near-term production of the huge volumes of CO2-free hydrogen necessary for the global transition to any type of hydrogen economy. All conventional routes to produce hydrogen from hydrocarbon fossil fuels (notably natural gas) involve the production—and hence the emission—of CO2 most notably in the steam methane reforming (SMR) process. Our recent studies have highlighted another route; namely the critical role played by the microwave-initiated catalytic pyrolysis decomposition or deconstruction of fossil hydrocarbon fuels to produce hydrogen with low to near-zero CO2 emissions together with high-value solid nanoscale carbonaceous materials. These innovations have been applied firstly to wax then methane crude oil diesel then biomass and most recently Saudi Arabian light crude oil as well as plastics waste. Microwave catalysis has therefore now emerged as a highly effective route for the rapid and effective production of hydrogen and high-value carbon nanomaterials co-products in many cases accompanied by low to near-zero CO2 emissions. Underpinning all of these advances has been the important concept from solid state physics of the so-called Size-Induced-Metal-Insulator Transition (SIMIT) in mesoscale or mesoscopic particles of catalysts. The mesoscale refers to a range of physical scale in-between the micro- and the macro-scale of matter (Huang W Li J and Edwards PP 2018 Mesoscience: exploring the common principle at mesoscale Natl. Sci. Rev. 5 321-326 (doi:10.1093/nsr/nwx083)). We highlight here that the actual physical size of the mesoscopic catalyst particles located close to the SIMIT is the primary cause of their enhanced microwave absorption and rapid heating of particles to initiate the catalytic—and highly selective—breaking of carbon–hydrogen bonds in fossil hydrocarbons and plastics to produce clean hydrogen and nanoscale carbonaceous materials. Importantly also since the surrounding ‘bath’ of hydrocarbons is cooler than the microwave-heated catalytic particles themselves the produced neutral hydrogen molecule can quickly diffuse from the active sites. This important feature of microwave heating thereby minimizes undesirable side reactions a common feature of conventional thermal heating in heterogeneous catalysis. The low to near-zero CO2 production of hydrogen via microwave-initiated decomposition or cracking of abundant hydrocarbon fossil fuels may be an interim viable alternative to the conventional widely-used SMR that a highly efficient process but unfortunately associated with the emission of vast quantities of CO2. Microwave-initiated catalytic decomposition also opens up the intriguing possibility of using distributed methane in the current natural gas structure to produce hydrogen and high-value solid carbon at either central or distributed sites. That approach will lessen many of the safety and environmental concerns associated with transporting hydrogen using the existing natural gas infrastructure. When completely optimized microwave-initiated catalytic decomposition of methane (and indeed all hydrocarbon sources) will produce no aerial carbon (CO2) and only solid carbon as a co-product. Furthermore reaction conditions can surely be optimized to target the production of high-quality synthetic graphite as the major carbon-product; that material of considerable importance as the anode material for lithium-ion batteries. Even without aiming for such products derived from the solid carbon co-product it is of course far easier to capture solid carbon rather than capturing gaseous CO2 at either the central or distributed sites. Through microwave-initiated catalytic pyrolysis this decarbonization of fossil fuels can now become the potent source of sustainable hydrogen and high-value carbon nanomaterials.
The Climate Benefit of a Greener Blue Hydrogen
Sep 2025
Publication
Previous studies have demonstrated the potential benefit of a future hydrogen economy in terms of reducing CO2 emissions. The hydrogen leakage rate and the green hydrogen fraction in the mix were identified as key factors in maximising the climate benefit of this energy transition. This study highlights the importance of blue hydrogen production hypotheses for a climate-beneficial transition to a hydrogen economy. The benefits are substantial when blue hydrogen is produced properly using an efficient CO₂ sequestration hydrogen production plant and minimizing the rate of upstream CH₄ leakage. The rate of hydrogen leakage remains an important parameter to consider throughout the entire value chain. Based on various scenarios of the development of a 21st century hydrogen economy we estimate significant CO₂ emission reductions of 266–418 GtCO₂eq (up to 395–675 GtCO2eq in the case of a “high hydrogen demand” scenario) between 2030 and 2100. This cumulative reduction in CO₂ emissions translates into a reduction in global warming of 0.12–0.19 °C (0.18–0.30 °C for a “high hydrogen demand”) by the end of the century.
Hydrogen Production from Dry Reforming in Australia: Applications, Opportunities, Challenges
Aug 2025
Publication
Australia’s path to net-zero emissions by 2050 depends heavily on the development and commercialisation of hydrogen as a substitute for hydrocarbons across transport power generation and industrial heat sectors. With hydrocarbons currently supplying over 90% of national energy needs hydrogen must scale rapidly to fill the gap. Existing low-carbon hydrogen production methods blue hydrogen via steam methane reforming and green hydrogen via electrolysis are constrained by high water requirements posing a challenge in water-scarce regions targeted for hydrogen development. This paper investigates dry reforming of methane (DRM) as a water-independent alternative using CO₂ as a reactant. DRM offers dual benefits: reduced reliance on freshwater resources and the utilisation of CO₂ supporting broader emissions reduction goals. Recent improvements in nickel-copper catalyst performance enhance the viability of DRM for industrial-scale hydrogen production. The Middle Arm Precinct in the Northern Territory is highlighted as an ideal site for implementation given its access to offshore gas fields containing both methane and CO₂ presenting a unique opportunity for resource-integrated low-emission hydrogen production.
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