Canada
Techno-economic Feasibility of Integrating Hybrid-battery Hydrogen Energy Storage in Academic Buildings
Apr 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen production and storage are vital in mitigating carbon emissions and sustainable transition. However the high investment cost and management requirements are the bottleneck of utilizing hybrid hydrogen-based systems in microgrids. Given the necessity of cost-effective and optimal design of these systems the present study examines techno-economic feasibility of integrating hybrid hydrogen-based systems into an outdoor test facility. With this perspective several solar-driven hybrid scenarios are introduced at two energy storage levels namely the battery and hydrogen energy storage systems including the high-pressure gaseous hydrogen and metal hydride storage tanks. Dynamic simulations are carried out to address subtle interactions in components of the hybrid system by establishing a TRNSYS model coupled to a Fortran code simulating the metal hydride storage system. The OpenStudio-EnergyPlus plugin is used to simulate the building load validate against experimental data according to the measured data and monitored operating conditions. Aimed at enabling efficient integration of energy storage systems a techno-enviro-economic optimization algorithm is developed to simultaneously minimize the levelized cost of the electricity and maximize the CO2 mitigation in each proposed hybrid scenario. The results indicate that integrating the gaseous hydrogen and metal hydride storages into the photovoltaic-alone scenario enhances 22.6% and 14.4% of the annual renewable factor. Accordingly the inclusion of battery system to these hybrid scenarios gives a 30.4% and 20.3 % boost to the renewable factor value respectively. Although the inclusion of battery energy storage into the hybrid systems increases the renewable factor the results imply that it reduces the hydrogen production rate via electrolysis. The optimized values of the levelized cost of electricity and CO2 emission for different scenarios vary in the range of 0.376–0.789 $/kWh and 6.57–9.75 ton respectively. The multi-criteria optimizations improve the levelized cost of electricity and CO2 emission by up to 46.2% and 11.3% with respect to their preliminary design.
Characterizing Hydrogen-diesel Dual-fuel Performance and Emissions in a Commercial Heavy-duty Diesel Truck
Sep 2024
Publication
This study investigates hydrogen (H2) as a supplementary fuel in heavy-duty diesel engines using pre-manifold injection. A H2-diesel dual-fuel (H2DF) system was implemented on a commercial class-8 heavy-duty diesel truck without modifying the original diesel injection system and engine control unit (ECU). Tests were conducted on a chassis dynamometer at engine speeds between 1000 and 1400 rpm with driver-demanded torques from 10 to 75%. The hydrogen energy fraction (HEF) was strategically controlled in the range between 10 and 30%. Overall CO2 reduction (comparable to the HEF level) was achieved with similar brake-specific energy consumption (BSEC) at all loads and speeds. To maintain the same shaft torque the driver-demanded torque was reduced in H2DF operation which resulted in a lower boost pressure. At higher loads engine-out BSNOx slightly decreased while BSCO and black carbon (BC) increased significantly due to lower oxygen concentration resulting from the lower boost pressure. At lower loads engine-out BSCO and BSBC decreased moderately while NO2/NO ratio increased substantially in H2DF operation. Deliberate air path and diesel injection control are expected to enable higher HEF and GHG reductions.
Optimization and Dynamic Responses of an Integrated Fuel Cell and Battery System for an 800 kW Ferry: A Case Study
Aug 2022
Publication
The recent targets by different countries to stop the sales or registrations of internal combustion engines (ICE) have led to the further development of battery and fuel cell technologies to provide power for different applications. The main aim of this study is to evaluate the possibility of using an integrated Lithium-Ion battery and proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) as the prime mover for a case study of a 800 kW ferry with a total length of 50.8 m to transport 780 passengers for a distance of 24 km in 70 min. Accounting for five types of Lithium-Ion batteries and different numbers of PEMFCs twenty-five scenarios are suggested based on a quasi-static model. To perform the optimization the Performance Criterion of the Fuel cell–Battery integrated systems (PCFB) is introduced to include the effects of the sizes weights costs hydrogen consumption efficiency and power in addition to the number of fuel cells and the battery capacity. Results indicate that the maximum PCFB value of 10.755 (1/kg2m3 $) can be obtained once the overall size weight efficiency hydrogen consumption and cost of the system are 18 m3 11160 kg 49.25% 33.6 kg and 119.58 k$ respectively using the Lithium Titanite Oxide (LTO) Lithium-Ion battery with nine PEMFCs.
Prioritization of the Critical Factors of Hydrogen Transportation in Canada Using the Intuitionistic Fuzzy AHP Method
Jun 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is a potential source of imminent clean energy in the future with its transportation playing a crucial role in allowing large-scale deployment. The challenge lies in selecting an effective sustainable and scalable transportation alternative. This study develops a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) framework based on the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IF-AHP) to evaluate land-based hydrogen transportation alternatives across Canada. The framework includes uncertainty and decision-maker hesitation through the application of triangular intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (TIFNs). Seven factors their subsequent thirty-three subfactors and three alternatives to hydrogen transportation were identified through a literature review. Pairwise comparison was aggregated among factors subfactors and alternatives from three decision makers using an intuitionistic fuzzy weighted average and priority weights were computed using entropy-based weight. The results show that safety and economic efficiency emerged as the most influential factors in the evaluation of hydrogen transportation alternatives followed by environmental impact security and social impact and public health in ascending order. Among the alternatives tube truck transport obtained the highest overall weight (0.3551) followed by pipelines (0.3272) and rail lines (0.3251). The findings suggest that the tube ruck is currently the most feasible transport option for land-based hydrogen distribution that aims to provide a transition of Canada’s energy mix.
Examining Dynamics of Hydrogen Supply Chains
Mar 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is poised to play a pivotal role in achieving net-zero targets and advancing green economies. However a range of complex operational challenges hinders its planning production delivery and adoption. At the same time numerous drivers within the hydrogen value chain present significant opportunities. This paper investigates the intricate relationships between these drivers and barriers associated with hydrogen supply chain (HSC). Utilising expert judgment in combination Grey-DEMATEL technique we propose a framework to assess the interplay of HSC drivers and barriers. Gaining insight into these relationships not only improves access to hydrogen but also foster innovation in its development as a low-carbon resource. The use of prominence scores and net influence rankings for each driver and barrier in the framework provides a comprehensive understanding of their relative significance and impact. Our findings demonstrate that by identifying and accurately mapping these attributes clear cause-and-effect relationships can be established contributing to a more nuanced understanding of the HSC. These insights have broad implications across operational policy scholarly and social domains. For instance this framework can aid stakeholders in recognizing the range of opportunities available by addressing key barriers to hydrogen adoption.
Planning Energy Hubs with Hydrogen and Battery Storage for Flexible Ramping Market Participation
Oct 2025
Publication
The integration of renewable resources with advanced storage technologies is critical for sustainable energy systems. In this paper a planning framework for an energy hub incorporating hydrogen and renewable energy systems is developed with the objective of minimizing operational costs while participating in flexible ramping product (FRP) markets. The energy hub is designed to utilize a hybrid storage system comprising multi-type battery energy storage (BESS) accounting for diverse chemistries and degradation behaviors and hydrogen storage (HS) to meet concurrent electric and hydrogen demands. To address uncertainties in renewable generation and market prices a stochastic optimization model is developed to determine the optimal investment capacities while optimizing operational decisions under uncertainty using scenario-based stochastic programming. Financial risks associated with price and renewable variability are mitigated through the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) metric. Case studies demonstrate that hybrid storage systems including both BESS and HS can reduce total costs by 23.62% compared to single-storage configurations that rely solely on BESS. Based on the results BESS participates more in providing flexible ramp-up services while HS plays a major role in providing flexible ramp-down services. The results emphasize the critical role of co-optimized hydrogen and multi-type BESS in enhancing grid flexibility and economic viability.
Hydrogen Storage Potential in Underground Coal Gasification Cavities: A MD Simulation of Hydrogen Adsorption and Desorption Behavior in Coal Nanopores
May 2025
Publication
Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in geological formations presents a viable option for long-term large-scale H2 storage. A physical coal model was constructed based on experimental tests and a MD simulation was used to investigate the potential of UHS in underground coal gasification (UCG) cavities. We investigated H2 behavior under various conditions including temperatures ranging from 278.15 to 348.15 K pressures in the range of 5–20 MPa pore sizes ranging from 1 to 20 nm and varying water content. We also examined the competitive adsorption dynamics of H2 in the presence of CH4 and CO2 . The findings indicate that the optimal UHS conditions for pure H2 involve low temperatures and high pressures. We found that coal nanopores larger than 7.5 nm optimize H2 diffusion. Additionally higher water content creates barriers to hydrogen diffusion due to water molecule clusters on coal surfaces. The preferential adsorption of CO2 and CH4 over H2 reduces H2 -coal interactions. This work provides a significant understanding of the microscopic behaviors of hydrogen in coal nanopores at UCG cavity boundaries under various environmental factors. It also confirms the feasibility of underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in UCG cavities.
Exploring Natural Hydrogen Potential in Alberta's Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin
Oct 2025
Publication
Natural hydrogen or "white hydrogen" has recently garnered attention as a viable and cost-effective energy resource due to its low-carbon footprint and high energy density positioning it as a key contributor to the transition towards a sustainable low-carbon energy system. This study represents Alberta’s first systematic effort to evaluate natural hydrogen potential in the province using publicly available geological geospatial and gas composition datasets. By mapping hydrogen occurrences against key geological features in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) we identify regions with strong geological potential for natural hydrogen generation migration and accumulation while addressing data uncertainties. Within the WCSB formations like the Montney Cardium Bearpaw Manville Belly River McMurray and Lea Park are identified as zones likely for hydrogen generation by prominent mechanisms including hydrocarbon decomposition water-rock reactions with iron-rich sediments and organic pyrolysis. Formation proximity to the underlying Canadian Shield may also suggest potential for basement-derived hydrogen migration via deep-seated faults and shear zones. Salt deposits (Elk Point Group - Prairie evaporites Cold Lake and Lotsberg) and deep shales (e.g. Kaskapau Lea Park Wapiabi) provide effective cap rock potential while reservoirs like porous sandstone (e.g. Dunvegan Spirit River Cardium) and fractured carbonate (e.g. Keg River) formations offer favorable accumulation conditions. Hydrogen occurrences in relation to geological features identify Southern Eastern and West-Central plains as prominent natural Hydrogen generation and accumulation areas. Alberta’s established energy infrastructure as well as subsurface expertise positions it as a potential leader in natural hydrogen exploration. As Alberta’s first systematic investigation this study provides a preliminary assessment of natural hydrogen potential and outlines recommended next steps to guide future exploration and research. Targeted research on specific generation and accumulation mechanisms and source identification through isotopic and geochemical fingerprinting will be crucial for exploration de-risking and viability assessment in support of net-zero emission initiatives.
Comprehensive Review of Emerging Trends in Thermal Energy Storage Mechanisms, Materials and Applications
Aug 2025
Publication
Thermal energy storage (TES) technologies are emerging as key enablers of sustainable energy systems by providing flexibility and efficiency in managing thermal resources across diverse applications. This review comprehensively examines the latest advancements in TES mechanisms materials and structural designs including sensible heat latent heat and thermochemical storage systems. Recent innovations in nano-enhanced phase change materials (PCMs) hybrid TES configurations and intelligent system integration are highlighted. The role of advanced computational methods such as digital twins and AI-based optimization in enhancing TES performance is also explored. Applications in renewable energy systems industrial processes district heating networks and green hydrogen production are discussed along with associated challenges and future research directions. This review aims to synthesize current knowledge while identifying pathways for accelerating the development and practical deployment of next-generation TES technologies.
Towards Net-Zero: Comparative Analysis of Hydrogen Infrastructure Development in USA, Canada, Singapore, and Sri Lanka
Sep 2025
Publication
This paper compares national hydrogen (H2) infrastructure plans in Canada the United States (the USA) Singapore and Sri Lanka four countries with varying geographic and economic outlooks but shared targets for reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. It examines how each country approaches hydrogen production pipeline infrastructure policy incentives and international collaboration. Canada focuses on large-scale hydrogen production utilizing natural resources and retrofitted natural gas pipelines supplemented by carbon capture technology. The USA promotes regional hydrogen hubs with federal investment and intersectoral collaboration. Singapore suggests an innovation-based import-dominant strategy featuring hydrogen-compatible infrastructure in a land-constrained region. Sri Lanka maintains an import-facilitated pilot-scale model facilitated by donor funding and foreign collaboration. This study identifies common challenges such as hydrogen embrittlement leakages and infrastructure scalability as well as fundamental differences based on local conditions. Based on these findings strategic frameworks are proposed including scalability adaptability partnership policy architecture digitalization and equity. The findings highlight the importance of localized hydrogen solutions supported by strong international cooperation and international partnerships.
Design and Assessment of an Integrated PV-based Hydrogen Production Facility
Jun 2025
Publication
This study develops a photovoltaic (PV)-based hydrogen production system specifically designed for university campuses which is expected to lead in sustainability efforts. The proposed system aims to meet the electricity demand of a Hydrogen Research Center while supplying energy to an electric charging station and a hydrogen refueling station for battery-electric and fuel-cell electric vehicles operating within the campus. In this integrated system the electricity generation capacity of PV panels installed on the research center’s roof is determined and the surplus electricity after meeting the energy demand is allocated to cover the varying proportions needed for both electric charging station and hydrogen production system. The green hydrogen produced by the system is compressed to 100 350 and 700 bar with intermediate cooling stages where the heat generated at the compressor outlet is absorbed by a cooling fluid and repurposed in a condenser for domestic hot water production. A full thermodynamic analysis of this entirely renewable energy-powered system is conducted by considering a 9-hour daily operational period from 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM. The average incoming solar radiation is determined to be 484.63 W/m2 resulting in an annual electricity generation capacity of 494.86 MWh. Based on the assumptions and data considered the energy and exergy efficiencies of the proposed system are calculated as 17.71 % and 17.01 % respectively with an annual hydrogen production capacity of 3.642 tons. Various parametric studies are performed for varying solar intensity values and PV surface areas to investigate how the overall system capacities and efficiencies are affected. The results show that an integration of hydrogen production systems with solar energy offers significant advantages including mitigating intermittency issues found in standalone renewable systems reducing carbon emissions compared to fossil-based alternatives and enhancing the flexibility of energy systems.
Investigating the Effects of Flow Regime on Hydrogen Transport in Salt Rock
Jun 2025
Publication
Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in salt caverns is emerging as a promising solution for the transition to a sustainable energy future. However a thorough understanding of hydrogen flow mechanisms through salt rock is essential to ensure safe and efficient storage operations. In this study we conducted hydrogen flow experiments in salt rocks using the pressure pulse decay (PPD) method covering a range of hydrogen pore pressures from 0.4 MPa to 7.5 MPa within the slip and transitional flow regimes (Knudsen numbers between 0.04 and 1.5). The Knudsen numbers were determined by measuring the pore size distribution (PSD) of the salt rock samples and assigning an average pore size to each sample based on the measured PSD. Our results indicate that the intrinsic permeability of the tested salt rock samples ranges from 5 × 10− 21 m2 to 1.0 × 10− 20 m2 . However a significant enhancement in apparent permeability up to 10 times the intrinsic permeability was observed particularly at lower pressures. This permeability enhancement is attributed to the nanoscale pore structure of salt rocks where the mean free path of hydrogen becomes comparable to the pore sizes leading to a shift from slip flow to the transitional flow regime. The results further reveal that the first-order slip model underestimates the apparent permeability in the transitional flow regime despite its satisfactory accuracy in the slip region. Moreover the higher-order slip model demonstrates acceptable accuracy across both the slip and transitional flow regimes.
Hydrogen Storage Systems at Ports for Enhanced Safety and Sustainability: A Review
Sep 2025
Publication
With the increasing demand for clean energy and the global push toward carbon neutrality hydrogen has emerged as a promising alternative fuel. Ports are critical nodes in the hydrogen supply chain that are increasingly being utilized as long-term hydrogen storage hubs. However integrating hydrogen storage systems into port infrastructure presents unique technical environmental and safety challenges. This review systematically examines current technologies used for hydrogen storage in port environments—including compressed gas cryogenic liquid cryocompressed gas ammonia liquid organic hydrogen carriers solid-state hydrides and underground storage. Each technology is evaluated based on performance infrastructure requirements accident risks environmental impact and cost. The study also assesses port-specific infrastructure vulnerabilities under operational stress and climate change conditions and explores strategies for accident prevention emergency response and postincident recovery. A comprehensive framework is proposed to enhance the resilience and safety of hydrogen storage systems at ports. This study offers valuable insights for stakeholders and researchers by addressing technical gaps regulatory challenges and future directions for sustainable and safe hydrogen storage in port facilities
Green Hydrogen Viability in the Transition to a Fully-Renewable Energy Grid
Sep 2025
Publication
With the transition to a fully renewable energy grid arises the need for a green source of stability and baseload support which classical renewable generation such as wind and solar cannot offer due to their uncertain and highly-variable generation. In this paper we study whether green hydrogen can close this gap as a source of supplemental generation and storage. We design a two-stage mixed-integer stochastic optimization model that accounts for uncertainties in renewable generation. Our model considers the investment in renewable plants and hydrogen storage as well as the operational decisions for running the hydrogen storage systems. For the data considered we observe that a fully renewable network driven by green hydrogen has a greater potential to succeed when wind generation is high. In fact the main investment priorities revealed by the model are in wind generation and in liquid hydrogen storage. This long-term storage is more valuable for taking full advantage of hydrogen than shorter-term intraday hydrogen gas storage. In addition we note that the main driver for the potential and profitability of green hydrogen lies in the electricity demand and prices as opposed to those for gas. Our model and the investment solutions proposed are robust with respect to changes in the investment costs. All in all our results show that there is potential for green hydrogen as a source of baseload support in the transition to a fully renewable-powered energy grid.
Case Study of a Greenfield Blue Hydrogen Plant: A Comparative Analysis of Production Methods
Jun 2025
Publication
Blue hydrogen is a key pathway for reducing greenhouse gas emissions while utilizing natural gas with carbon capture and storage (CCS). This study conducts a techno-economic and environmental analysis of a greenfield blue hydrogen plant in Saskatchewan Canada integrating both SMR and ATR technologies. Unlike previous studies that focus mainly on production units this research includes all process and utility systems such as H2 and CO2 compression air separation refrigeration co-generation and gas dehydration. Aspen HYSYS simulations revealed ATR’s energy demand is 10% lower than that of SMR. The hydrogen production cost was USD 3.28/kg for ATR and USD 3.33/kg for SMR while a separate study estimated a USD 2.2/kg cost for design without utilities highlighting the impact of indirect costs. Environmental analysis showed ATR’s lower Global Warming Potential (GWP) compared to SMR reducing its carbon footprint. The results signified the role of utility integration site conditions and process selection in optimizing energy efficiency costs and sustainability.
Exploring the Gas Permeability of Type IV Hydrogen Storage Cylinder Liners: Research and Applications
Jul 2025
Publication
As hydrogen fuel cell vehicles gain momentum as crucial zero-emission transportation solutions the urgency to address hydrogen permeability through the polymer liner becomes paramount for ensuring the safety efficiency and longevity of Type IV hydrogen storage tanks. This paper synthesizes existing research findings analyzes the influence of different materials and structures on gas permeability elucidates the dissolution and diffusion mechanisms of hydrogen in plastic liners and discusses their engineering applications. We focus on measurement methods influencing factors and improvement strategies for liner gas permeability. Additionally we explore the prospects of Type IV hydrogen storage tanks in fields such as automotive aerospace and energy storage industries. Through this comprehensive review of liner gas permeability critical insights are provided to guide the development of efficient and safe hydrogen storage and transportation systems. These insights are vital for advancing the widespread application of hydrogen energy technology and fostering sustainable energy development significantly contributing to efforts aimed at enhancing the performance and safety of Type IV hydrogen storage tanks.
Assessment of Carbon-abatement Pricing to Maximize the Value of Electrolytic Hydrogen in Emissions-intensive Power Sectors
Aug 2025
Publication
Electrolytic hydrogen can support the decarbonization of the power sector. Achieving cost-effective power-to-gas-to-power (PGP) integration through targeted emissions pricing can accelerate the adoption of electrolytic hydrogen in greenhouse gas-intensive power sectors. This study develops a framework for assessing the economic viability of electrolytic hydrogen-based PGP systems in fossil fuel-dependent grids while considering the competing objectives of the electricity system operator a risk-averse investor and the government. Here we show that given the risk-averse investor’s inherent pursuit of profit maximization a break-even carbon abatement cost of at least 57 Canadian Dollars per tonne of CO₂ by 2030 from the government with a shift in electricity market dispatch rules from sole system marginal pricereduction to system-wide emissions reduction is essential to stimulate price discovery for low-cost hydrogen production and contingency reserve provision by the PGP system. This work can help policymakers capture and incentivize the role of electrolytic hydrogen in low-carbon power sector planning.
Hydrogen Energy Systems for Decarbonizing Smart Cities and Industrial Applications: A Review
Oct 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is increasingly recognized as a key energy vector for achieving deep decarbonization across urban and industrial sectors. Supporting global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) it is essential to understand the multi-sectoral role of the hydrogen value chain spanning production storage and end-use applications with particular emphasis on smart city systems and industrial processes. Green hydrogen production technologies including alkaline water electrolysis (AWE) proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolysis anion exchange membrane (AEM) electrolysis and solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs) are evaluated in terms of efficiency scalability and integration potential. Storage pathways are examined across physical storage (compressed gas cryo-compressed and liquid hydrogen) material-based storage (solid-state absorption in metal hydrides and chemical carriers such as LOHCs and ammonia) and geological storage (salt caverns depleted gas reservoirs and deep saline aquifers) highlighting their suitability for urban and industrial contexts. In the smart city domain hydrogen is analyzed as an enabler of zero-emission transportation low-carbon residential and commercial heating and renewable-integrated smart grids with long-duration storage capabilities. System-level studies demonstrate that coordinated integration of these applications can deliver higher overall energy efficiency deeper reductions in life-cycle GHG emissions and improved resilience of urban energy systems compared with sector-specific approaches. Policy frameworks safety standards and digitalization strategies are reviewed to illustrate how hydrogen infrastructure can be embedded into interconnected urban energy systems. Furthermore industrial applications focus on hydrogen’s potential to decarbonize energy-intensive processes and enable sector coupling between electricity heat and manufacturing. The environmental implications of hydrogen deployment are also considered including resource efficiency life-cycle emissions and ecosystem impacts. In contrast to reviews addressing isolated aspects of hydrogen technologies this study synthesizes technological infrastructural and policy dimensions integrating insights from over 400 studies to highlight the multifaceted role of hydrogen in sustainable urban development and industrial decarbonization and the added benefits achievable through coordinated cross-sector deployment strategies.
Hydrogen Pathways for Green Fertilizer Production: A Comparative Techno-economic Study of Electrolysis and Plasmalysis
Sep 2025
Publication
Decarbonizing ammonia production is critical to meeting global climate targets in agriculture. This study evaluates two hydrogen pathways plasmalysis and electrolysis at Ontario’s Courtright Complex using detailed techno-economic modeling. The natural gas–based plasma system achieves the lowest hydrogen cost ($1.35/kg) but incurs high annual fuel expenses ($297.7 M/y) and shows strong sensitivity to natural gas prices. Electrolysis powered by 110 MW PV 1700 MW wind 60 MW biomass 95 MWh battery storage and a 2.0 GW electrolyzer produces hydrogen at $2.07/kg with lower fuel costs ($29.7 M/y) and significant grid interaction (2.67 TWh/y imports and 1.89 TWh/y exports) enhancing operational flexibility. Over a 15-year horizon both pathways deliver substantial CO2 reductions (plasmalysis: 27000 kt; electrolysis: 26045 kt). Extending plant lifetimes from 10 to 30 y reduces the levelized cost of hydrogen from $2.25 to $1.91/kg in the plasmalysis case and from $1.52 to $1.18/kg in the electrolysis case while increasing overall net present cost. Although electrolysis requires higher capital investment ($5.53 B compared with $1.79 B) it demonstrates resilience to fuel price volatility and provides additional grid revenue. In contrast plasmalysis offers near-term cost advantages but remains dependent on fossil gas underscoring its role as a transitional rather than fully green option for ammonia decarbonization.
Evaluation of Factors for Adoption of Alternative-Fuel-Based Vehicles
Sep 2025
Publication
The transportation industry significantly contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Federal and provincial governments have implemented strategies to decrease dependence on gasoline and diesel fuels. This encompasses promoting the adoption of electric cars (EVs) and biofuel alternatives investing in renewable energy sources and enhancing public transit systems. There is a growing focus on enhancing infrastructure to facilitate active transportation modes like cycling and walking which provide the combined advantages of decreasing emissions and advancing public health. In this paper we propose a System Dynamics simulation model for evaluating factors for the adoption of alternative-fuel vehicles such as EVs biofuel vehicles bus bikes and hydrogen vehicles. Five factors— namely customer awareness government initiatives cost of vehicles cost of fuels and infrastructure developments—to increase the adoption of alternative-fuel vehicles are studied. Two scenarios are modeled: A baseline scenario that follows the existing trends in transportation (namely the use of gasoline vehicles) Scenario 1 which prioritizes greater adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and biofuel-powered vehicles and Scenario 2 which prioritizes hydrogen fuel-based vehicles and improves biking culture. The simulation findings show that all scenarios achieve reductions in GHG emissions compared to the baseline with Scenario 2 showing the lowest emissions. The proposed work is useful for transport decision makers and municipal administrators in devising policies for reducing overall GHG emissions and this also aligns with Canada’s net zero goals.
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