Publications
Modeling the Impact of Hydrogen Embrittlement on the Fracture Toughness of Low-Carbon Steel Using a Machine Learning Approach
May 2025
Publication
This study aims to advance the understanding of hydrogen embrittlement (HE) in low-carbon and low-alloy steels by developing a predictive framework for assessing fracture toughness (FT) a critical parameter for mitigating HE in hydrogen infrastructure. A machine learning (ML) model was constructed by analyzing data from relevant literature to evaluate the fracture toughness of steels exposed to hydrogen environments. Seven ML modeling techniques were initially considered with four selected for detailed evaluation based on predictive accuracy. The chosen modeling techniques were k-nearest neighbors (KNN) random forest (RF) gradient boosting (GB) and decision tree regression (DT). The selected models were further evaluated for their predictive accuracy and reliability and the best model was used to perform parametric studies to investigate the impact of relevant parameters on FT. According to the results the KNN model demonstrated reliable predictive performance supported by high R-squared values and low error metrics. Among the variables considered hydrogen pressure and yield strength emerged as the most influential with hydrogen pressure alone accounting for 32% of the variation in FT. The model revealed a distinct trend in FT behavior showing a significant decline at low hydrogen pressures (0–6.9 MPa) and a plateau at higher pressures (>8 MPa) indicating a saturation point. Alloying element contents specifically those of carbon and phosphorus also played a notable role in FT prediction. Additionally the study confirmed that low concentrations of oxygen (
The Synergy Between Battery and Hydrogen Storage in Stand-alone Hybrid Systems: A Parameterised Load Approach
Jun 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is widely considered advantageous for long-duration storage applications however the conditions under which hydrogen outperforms batteries remain unclear. This study employs a novel load parameterisation approach to systematically examine the conditions under which integrating hydrogen significantly reduces the levelised cost of energy (LCOE). The study analyses a broad spectrum of 210 synthetic load profiles varying independently in duration frequency and timing at two Australian locations. This reveals that batteries dominate short frequent or wellaligned solar loads and that hydrogen becomes economically beneficial during prolonged infrequent or poorly aligned loads—achieving up to 122 % (Gladstone) and 97 % (Geelong) LCOE improvements under current fuel cell costs and even higher savings under reduced costs. This systematic method clarifies the load characteristics thresholds that define hydrogen’s advantage providing generalisable insights beyond individual case studies.
Green Hydrogen Production—Fidelity in Simulation Models for Technical–Economic Analysis
Nov 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen production is a sustainable energy solution with great potential offering advantages such as adaptability storage capacity and ease of transport. However there are challenges such as high energy consumption production costs demand and regulation which hinder its largescale adoption. This study explores the role of simulation models in optimizing the technical and economic aspects of green hydrogen production. The proposed system which integrates photovoltaic and energy storage technologies significantly reduces the grid dependency of the electrolyzer achieving an energy self-consumption of 64 kWh per kilogram of hydrogen produced. By replacing the high-fidelity model of the electrolyzer with a reduced-order model it is possible to minimize the computational effort and simulation times for different step configurations. These findings offer relevant information to improve the economic viability and energy efficiency in green hydrogen production. This facilitates decision-making at a local level by implementing strategies to achieve a sustainable energy transition.
Sustainability Analysis of the Global Hydrogen Trade Network from a Resilience Perspective: A Risk Propagation Model Based on Complex Networks
Jul 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is being increasingly integrated into the international trade system as a clean and flexible energy carrier motivated by the global energy transition and carbon neutrality objectives. The rapid expansion of the global hydrogen trade network has simultaneously exposed several sustainability challenges including a centralized structure overdependence on key countries and limited resilience to external disruptions. Based on this we develop a risk propagation model that incorporates the absorption capacity of nodes to simulate the propagation of supply shortage risks within the global hydrogen trade network. Furthermore we propose a composite sustainability index constructed from structural economic and environmental resilience indicators enabling a systematic assessment of the network’s sustainable development capacity under external shock scenarios. Findings indicate the following: (1) The global hydrogen trade network is undergoing a structural shift from a Western Europe-dominated unipolar configuration to a more polycentric pattern. Countries such as China and Singapore are emerging as key hubs linking Eurasian regions with trade relationships among nations becoming increasingly dense and diversified. (2) Although supply shortage shocks trigger structural disturbances economic losses and risks of carbon rebound their impacts are largely concentrated in a limited number of hub countries with relatively limited disruption to the overall sustainability of the system. (3) Countries exhibit significant heterogeneity in structural economic and environmental resilience. Risk propagation demonstrates an uneven pattern characterized by hub-induced disruptions chain-like transmission and localized clustering. Accordingly policy recommendations are proposed including the establishment of a polycentric coordination mechanism the enhancement of regional emergency coordination mechanisms and the advancement of differentiated capacity-building efforts.
Integrated Hydrogen in Buildings: Energy Performance Comparisons of Green Hydrogen Solutions in the Built Environment
Sep 2025
Publication
This study investigates the integration of green hydrogen into building energy systems using local solar power with the electricity grid serving as a backup plan. A comprehensive bottom-up analysis compares six energy system configurations: the natural gas grid boiler system all-electric heat pump system natural gas and hydrogen blended system hydrogen microgrid boiler system cogeneration hydrogen fuel cell system and hybrid hydrogen heat pump system. Energy efficiency evaluations were conducted for 25 homes within one block in a neighborhood across five typological house stocks located in Stoke-on-Trent UK. This research was modeled using a spreadsheet-based approach. The results highlight that while the all-electric heat pump system still demonstrates the highest energy efficiency with the lowest consumption the hybrid hydrogen heat pump system emerges as the most efficient hydrogen-based solution. Further optimization through the implementation of a peak-shaving strategy shows promise in enhancing system performance. In this approach hybrid hydrogen serves as a heating source during peak demand hours (evenings and cold seasons) complemented by a solar energy powered heat pump during summer and daytime. An hourly operational configuration is recommended to ensure consistent performance and sustainability. This study focuses on energy performance excluding cost-effectiveness analysis. Therefore the cost of the energy is not taken into consideration requiring further development for future research in these areas.
Experimental Investigation of a Newly Developed Hydrogen Production Cycle for Green Energy Applications
Jun 2025
Publication
This study introduces a novel hydrogen production system using the three-step copper chlorine (Cu-Cl) cycle. The proposed thermochemical cycle offers an innovative configuration that performs hydrogen production without an electrolysis step eliminating high-cost components such as membranes catalysts and electricity. The Cu-Cl cycle enables large-scale hydrogen production and is examined in various configurations including two- three- four- and five-step Cu-Cl cycles. Microscale experimental studies are conducted on a novel three-step Cu-Cl thermochemical cycle that works entirely on thermal energy input without electrolysis. In experimental studies some parameters that directly affect the amount of hydrogen production are investigated. The effects of parameters such as temperature steam/copper (S/C) ratio and reaction time on hydrogen production in the hydrolysis step are evaluated. The investigation also examined the impact of increasing temperature in the hydrolysis reaction on the generation of undesirable byproducts. Additionally the effect of increased temperatures in the decomposition process on oxygen formation is examined. In the optimization studies the individual and interactive effects of the parameters are analyzed using the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and BoxBehnken Design (BBD) of experimental methods. The results of this study further show that the conditions with the highest hydrogen production are a S/C ratio of 55 a temperature of 400 ◦C and a reaction time between 30 and 40 min. It is also observed that hydrogen concentration increases with the increase in temperature and time and that the maximum level of 134.8 ppm is reached under optimum conditions.
Unbalance Response of a Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicle Air Compressor Rotor Supported by Gas Foil Bearings: Experimental Study and Analysis
Apr 2025
Publication
In rotating machinery unbalanced mass is one of the most common causes of system vibration. This paper presents an experimental investigation of the unbalance response of a gas foil bearing-rotor system based on a 30 kW-rated commercial hydrogen fuel cell vehicle air compressor. The study examines the response of the system to varying unbalanced masses at different rotational speeds. Experimental results show that after adding unbalanced mass subsynchronous vibration of the rotor is relatively slight while synchronous vibration is the main source of vibration; when unbalanced mass is added to one side of the rotor the synchronous vibration on that side initially decreases and then increases with speed while synchronous vibration on the opposite side continuously increases with speed; when unbalanced mass is added to both sides the synchronous vibration on each side increases with the phase difference of the unbalanced mass at low speed while the opposite trend occurs at high speed. The analysis of the gas foil bearingrotor system dynamics model established based on the dynamic coefficient of the bearing shows that the bending of the rotor offsets the displacement caused by the unbalanced mass which is the primary reason for the nonlinear behavior of the synchronous vibration of the rotor. These findings contribute to an improved understanding of GFB-rotor interactions under unbalanced conditions and provide practical guidance for optimizing dynamic balancing strategies in hydrogen fuel cell vehicle compressors.
Green Hydrogen Production: Energy and Economic Modelling of Self-sufficient Solar-powered Electrolyser Based on Seawater Desalination
Jun 2025
Publication
Growing energy demands and increasing concerns about climate change have spurred new approaches in both policy and industry with a focus on transforming current energy systems in modern energy hubs. In this context green hydrogen produced through electrolysis process powered by renewable energy sources emerges as a highly versatile and promising solution for decarbonising sectors and provide alternative fuels for process and transportation. This study models and simulates an integrated system comprising desalination brine treatment and electrolysis to generate green hydrogen fuelled entirely by solar energy. The desalination unit produces demineralised water suitable for electrolysis while alternative brine management strategies are explored for scenarios where brine discharge back to the sea is restricted. An economic analysis further evaluates cost-effective system configurations by varying component sizes. To demonstrate the model potential a case study for green hydrogen production based on seawater desalination was conducted for an Italian port city and extended to three other sites with different annual solar radiation. The objective is to determine configurations that minimise hydrogen cost and identify required incentives. The economic performance of the system in terms of the Levelized Cost of Hydrogen ranges from 5 to 8 €/kg while the required incentives to make green hydrogen competitive with blue hydrogen production systems vary between 7 and 12 M€ across the analysed configurations. Furthermore the analysis provides valuable insights into the potential of coastal areas to serve as critical hubs for green hydrogen production given the abundant availability of seawater. Ports with their existing infrastructure and proximity to maritime transport represent ideal locations for integrating renewable energy sources with hydrogen production facilities.
Exploring Hydrogen–Diesel Dual Fuel Combustion in a Light-Duty Engine: A Numerical Investigation
Nov 2024
Publication
Dual fuel combustion has gained attention as a cost-effective solution for reducing the pollutant emissions of internal combustion engines. The typical approach is combining a conventional high-reactivity fossil fuel (diesel fuel) with a sustainable low-reactivity fuel such as bio-methane ethanol or green hydrogen. The last one is particularly interesting as in theory it produces only water and NOx when it burns. However integrating hydrogen into stock diesel engines is far from trivial due to a number of theoretical and practical challenges mainly related to the control of combustion at different loads and speeds. The use of 3D-CFD simulation supported by experimental data appears to be the most effective way to address these issues. This study investigates the hydrogen-diesel dual fuel concept implemented with minimum modifications in a light-duty diesel engine (2.8 L 4-cylinder direct injection with common rail) considering two operating points representing typical partial and full load conditions for a light commercial vehicle or an industrial engine. The numerical analysis explores the effects of progressively replacing diesel fuel with hydrogen up to 80% of the total energy input. The goal is to assess how this substitution affects engine performance and combustion characteristics. The results show that a moderate hydrogen substitution improves brake thermal efficiency while higher substitution rates present quite a severe challenge. To address these issues the diesel fuel injection strategy is optimized under dual fuel operation. The research findings are promising but they also indicate that further investigations are needed at high hydrogen substitution rates in order to exploit the potential of the concept.
Distributed Waste-to-hydrogen Refuelling Station Implementation in South Africa: Techno-economic-socio-political and Environmental Indications
Feb 2025
Publication
The combustion of liquid fossil fuels in the transportation sector disposal and incineration of municipal solid waste (MSW) are the main sources of greenhouse gas emissions in cities across the world. In an effort to decarbonize the transportation sector the South African government is dedicated to advancing green trans portation through the hydrogen economy. Waste-to-hydrogen production can simultaneously achieve the goals of green transportation and waste management through widespread availability of hydrogen refuelling stations. This study assesses the techno-economic and environmental viability of waste-to-hydrogen refuelling stations in five selected South Africa cities. The refuelling stations’ capacity was determined based on assumption that a 5 kg hydrogen-fuel-cell vehicle is refuelled per day. The economic feasibility was premised on net present value (NPV) payback period (PBP) internal rate of return (IRR) and levelized cost of hydrogen refuelling (LCOHr). The environmental analysis was based on ecological efficiency and carbon emission reduction potential. Some of the main findings indicate that the City of Tshwane and City of Johannesburg have refuelling station capacities of 356 thousand kg/day H2 and 395 thousand kg/day H2 respectively. Economically the project is viable with positive NPV between 1.099 and 8.0563 Billion $ LCOHr in the range of 3.99 $/kg - 5.63 $/kg PBP of 9.03–13.74 years and IRR of 18.16 %–39.88 %. An ecological efficiency of 99.982 % was obtained which in dicates an environmentally friendly system with the potential to save 1439 million litres and 1563 million litres of diesel fuel and gasoline respectively capable of preventing about 4 kilo-tons of CO2 into the atmosphere annually. Sensitivity analysis indicates that reforming efficiency selling price of hydrogen and station capacity are crucial parameters with great influence on the economic profitability of waste-to-hydrogen refuelling station.
Strategic Raw Material Requirements for Large-scale Hydrogen Production in Portugal and European Union
Nov 2024
Publication
Global attention is being given to hydrogen as it is seen as a versatile energy carrier and a flexible energy vector in transitioning to a low-carbon economy. Hydrogen production/storage/conveyance is metal intensive and it is crucial to understand if there is material availability to fulfil the committed plans. Using the material intensity of electrolysers pipelines and desalinators along with the projected Portuguese and European Union roadmaps we are able to identify possible bottlenecks in the supply chains. The availability of the vast majority of raw materials does not represent a threat to hydrogen technologies implementation with electrolysers requiring almost up to 3 Mt of raw materials and pipelines up to 2.5 Mt. The evident exception is iridium although representing less than 0.001 % of the material requirements it may hinder the widespread implementation of proton exchange membrane electrolysers. Desalinators have the least material footprint of the studied infrastructure.
Recent Progress in Bio-hydrogen Production for Sustainable Energy and Chemical Production
Sep 2025
Publication
To combat global warming the decarbonisation of energy systems is essential. Hydrogen (H2) is an established chemical feedstock in many industries (fertiliser production steel manufacturing etc.) and has emerged as a promising clean energy carrier due to its high energy density and carbon-free usage. However most H2 is currently produced from fossil fuels undermining its sustainability. Biomass offers a renewable carbon-neutral feedstock for H2 production potentially reducing its environmental impact. This review examines thermochemical biological and electrochemical methods of bio-H2 generation. Thermochemical processes - including gasification fast pyrolysis and steam reforming - are the most technologically advanced offering high H2 yields. However challenges such as catalyst deactivation tar formation and pre- and post-processing limit efficiency. Advanced strategies like chemical looping sorption enhancement and membrane reactors are being developed to address these issues. Biological methods including dark and photo fermentation operate under mild conditions and can process diverse waste feedstocks. Despite their potential low H2 yields and difficulties in microbial inhibitors hinder scalability. Ensuring that microbial populations remain stable through the use of additives and optimising the bioreactors hydraulic retention rate also remain a challenge Combined fermentation systems and valorising byproducts could enhance performance and commercial viability. Electrochemical reforming of biomass-derived compounds is an emerging method that may enhance water electrolysis by co-producing value-added by-products. However current studies focus on biomass-derived compounds rather than complex biomass feedstocks limiting commercial relevance. Future research should focus on feedstock complexity electrocatalyst development and system scaling. A technology readiness comparison shows that thermochemical methods are the most commercially mature followed by biological and electrochemical approaches. Each method holds promise within specific niches warranting continued innovation and interdisciplinary development.
Green Hydrogen Production by Brewery Spent Grain Valorization Through Gasification and Membrane Seperation Towards Fuel-cell Grade Purity
May 2025
Publication
This study focuses on the potential valorization of brewers’ spent grain (BSG) through gasification for ultra-pure green hydrogen production via membrane separation. First a fundamental physicochemical characterization of BSG samples from two different Spanish brewing industries was conducted revealing high energy content and good reproducibility of elemental composition thus providing great potential for hydrogen generation in the context of circular economy for the brewery industry. The syngas composition reached by BSG gasification has been predicted and main operating conditions optimized to maximize the hydrogen yield (25–75 vol% air-steam mixture ratio GR = 0.75 T = 800 ◦C and P = 5 bar). For gas purification two Pd-membranes were fabricated by ELP-PP onto tubular PSS supports with high reproducibility (Pd-thickness in the range 8.22–8.75 μm) exhibiting an almost complete H2-selectivity good fitting to Sieverts’ law and hydrogen permeate fluxes ranging from 175 to 550 mol m− 2 h− 1 under ideal gas feed composition conditions. The mechanical resistance of membranes was maintained at pressure driving forces up to 10 bar thus highlighting their potential for commercialization and industrial application. Furthermore long-term stability tests up to 75 h indicated promising membrane performance for continuous operation offering valuable insights for stakeholders in the brewery industry to enhance economic growth and environmental sustainability through green hydrogen production from BSG.
Mitigation of Reverse Power Flows in a Distribution Network by Power-to-Hydrogen Plant
Jul 2025
Publication
The increase in power generation facilities from nonprogrammable renewable sources is posing several challenges for the management of electrical systems due to phenomena such as congestion and reverse power flows. In mitigating these phenomena Power-to-Gas plants can make an important contribution. In this paper a linear optimisation study is presented for the sizing of a Power-to-Hydrogen plant consisting of a PEM electrolyser a hydrogen storage system composed of multiple compressed hydrogen tanks and a fuel cell for the eventual reconversion of hydrogen to electricity. The plant was sized with the objective of minimising reverse power flows in a medium-voltage distribution network characterised by a high presence of photovoltaic systems considering economic aspects such as investment costs and the revenue obtainable from the sale of hydrogen and excess energy generated by the photovoltaic systems. The study also assessed the impact that the electrolysis plant has on the power grid in terms of power losses. The results obtained showed that by installing a 737 kW electrolyser the annual reverse power flows are reduced by 81.61% while also reducing losses in the transformer and feeders supplying the ring network in question by 17.32% and 29.25% respectively on the day with the highest reverse power flows.
Climate Neutrality of the French Energy System: Overview and Impacts of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production
Aug 2024
Publication
CO2 emission reduction of sectors such as aviation maritime shipping road haulage and chemical production is challenging but necessary. Although these sectors will most likely continue to rely on carbonaceous energy carriers they are expected to gradually shift away from fossil fuels. In order to do so the prominent option is to utilize alternative carbon sources—like biomass and CO2 originating from carbon capture—for the production of non-fossil carbonaceous vectors (biofuels and e-fuels). However the limited availability of biomass and the varying nature of other carbon sources necessitate a comprehensive evaluation of trade-offs between potential carbon uses and existing sources. Then it is primordial to understand the origin of carbon used in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) to understand the implications of defossilizing aviation for the energy system. Moreover the production of SAF implies deep changes to the energy system that are quantified in this work. This study utilizes the linear programming cost optimization tool EnergyScope TD to analyze the holistic French energy system encompassing transport industry electricity and heat sectors while ensuring net greenhouse gas neutrality. A novel method to model and quantify carbon flows within the system is introduced enabling a comprehensive assessment of greenhouse gas neutrality. This study highlights the significance of fulfilling clean energy requirements and implementing carbon dioxide removal measures as crucial steps toward achieving climate neutrality. Indeed to reach climate neutrality a production of 1046 TWh of electricity by non-fossil sources is needed. Furthermore the findings underscore the critical role of efficient carbon and energy valorization from biomass providing evidence that producing fuels by combining biomass and hydrogen is optimal. The study also offers valuable insights into the future cost and impact of SAF production for air travel originating from France. That is the European law ReFuelEU would increase the price of plane tickets by +33% and would require 126 TWh of hydrogen and 50 TWh of biomass to produce the necessary 91 TWh of jet fuel. Finally the implications of the assumption behind the production of SAF are discussed.
Green Hydrogen Supply Chain Decision-Making and Contract Optimization Under Uncertainty: A Pessimistic-Based Perspective
Jul 2025
Publication
To address the issue of excessive pessimism caused by demand and supply uncertainties in the green hydrogen supply chain this study develops a two-tier green hydrogen supply chain model comprising upstream hydrogen production stations and downstream hydrogen refueling stations. This research work investigates optimal ordering and production strategies under stochastic demand and supply conditions. Additionally option contracts are introduced to share the risks associated with the stochastic output of green hydrogen. This study shows the following: (1) Under decentralized decision-making the optimal ordering quantity when the hydrogen refueling station is excessively pessimistic is not necessarily lower than the optimal ordering quantity when it is in a rational state and hydrogen production stations will only operate when the degree of excessive pessimism is relatively low. (2) The initial option ordering quantity is always larger than the minimum execution quantity under the option contract; higher first-order option prices and lower second-order option prices can help to increase the initial option ordering quantity. (3) The option contract is effective in circumventing the negative impact of excessive pessimism at hydrogen production stations on planned production quantities. This study addresses the gap in the existing research regarding excessively pessimistic behaviors and the application of option contracts within the green hydrogen supply chain providing both theoretical insights and practical guidance for decision-making optimization. This advancement further promotes the sustainable development of the green hydrogen industry.
Ammonia from Hydrogen: A Viable Pathway to Sustainable Transportation?
Sep 2025
Publication
Addressing the critical need for sustainable high-density hydrogen (H2) carriers to decarbonize the global energy landscape this paper presents a comprehensive critical review of ammonia’s pivotal role in the energy transition with a specific focus on its application in the transportation sector. While H2 is recognized as a future fuel its storage and distribution challenges necessitate alternative vectors. Ammonia (NH3) with its compelling advantages including high volumetric H2 density established global infrastructure and potential for near-zero greenhouse gas emissions emerges as a leading candidate. This review uniquely synthesizes the evolving landscape of sustainable NH3 production pathways (e.g. green NH3 from renewable electricity) with a systematic analysis of technological advancements to investigate its direct utilization as a transportation fuel. The paper critically examines the multifaceted challenges and opportunities associated with NH3-fueled vehicles refueling infrastructure development and comprehensive safety considerations alongside their environmental and economic implications. By providing a consolidated forward-looking perspective on this complex energy vector this paper offers crucial insights for researchers policymakers and industry stakeholders highlighting NH3’s transformative potential to accelerate the decarbonization of hard-to-abate transportation sectors and contribute significantly to a sustainable energy future.
Technical Feasibility Analysis of Green Energy Storage Options and Hornsea Wind Farms
Apr 2025
Publication
The global transition towards clean energy sources is becoming essential to reduce reliance on conventional fuels and mitigate carbon emissions. In the future the clean energy storage landscape green hydrogen and green ammonia (powered by renewable energy sources) are emerging as key players. This study explores the prospectives and feasibility of producing and storing offshore green hydrogen and green ammonia. The potential power output of Hornsea one and Hornsea two winds farms in the United Kingdom was calculated using real wind data. The usable electricity from the Hornsea one wind farm was 5.83 TWh/year and from the Hornsea two wind farm it was 6.44 TWh/year harnessed to three different scenarios for the production and storage of green ammonia and green hydrogen. Scenario 1 fulfil the requirement of green hydrogen storage for flexible ammonia production but consumes more energy for green hydrogen compression. Scenario 2 does not offer any hydrogen storage which is not favourable in terms of flexibility and market demand. Scenario 3 offers both a direct routed supply of produced hydrogen for green ammonia synthesis and a storage facility for green hydrogen storage. Detailed mathematical calculations and sensitivity analysis was performed based on the total energy available to find out the energy storage capacity in terms of the mass of green hydrogen and green ammonia produced. Sensitivity analysis in the case of scenario 3 was conducted to determine the optimal percentage of green hydrogen going to the storage facility. Based on the cost evaluation of three different presented scenarios the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) is between USD 5.30 and 5.97/kg and the levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA) is between USD 984.16 and USD 1197.11/tonne. These prices are lower compared to the current UK market. The study finds scenario 3 as the most appropriate way in terms of compression energy savings flexibility for the production and storage capacity that depends upon the supply and demand of these green fuels in the market and a feasible amount of green hydrogen storage.
Decarbonization of Long-Haul Heavy-Duty Truck Transport: Technologies, Life Cycle Emissions, and Costs
Feb 2025
Publication
Decarbonizing long-haul heavy-duty transport in Europe focuses on batteryelectric trucks with high-power chargers or electric road systems and fuel-cell-electric vehicles with hydrogen refueling stations. We present a comparative life cycle assessment and total cost of ownership analysis of these technologies for 20% of Germany’s heavy-duty long-haul transport alongside internal combustion engine vehicles. The results show that fuel cell vehicles with on-site hydrogen have the highest life cycle emissions (65 Mt CO2e) followed by internal combustion engine vehicles (55 Mt CO2e). Battery-electric vehicles using electric road systems achieve the lowest emissions (21 Mt CO2e) and the lowest costs (EUR 45 billion). In contrast fuel cell vehicles with on-site hydrogen have the highest costs (EUR 69 billion). Operational costs dominate total expenses making them a compelling target for subsidies. The choice between battery and fuel cell technologies depends on the ratio of vehicles to infrastructure transport performance and range. Fuel cell trucks are better suited for remote areas due to their longer range while integrating electric road systems with high-power charging could offer synergies. Recent advancements in battery and fuel cell durability further highlight the potential of both technologies in heavy-duty transport. This study provides insights for policymakers and industry stakeholders in the shift towards sustainable transport. The greenhouse gas emission savings from adopting battery-electric trucks are 54% in our high-power charging scenario and 62% in the electric road system scenario in comparison to the reference scenario with diesel trucks.
Breakthrough Position and Trajectory of Sustainable Energy Technology
Jan 2025
Publication
This research aims to determine the position and the breakthrough trajectory of sustainable energy technologies. Fine-grained insights into these breakthrough positions and trajectories are limited. This research seeks to fill this gap by analyzing sustainable energy technologies’ breakthrough positions and trajectories in terms of development application and upscaling. To this end the breakthrough positions and trajectories of seven sustainable energy technologies i.e. hydrogen from seawater electrolysis hydrogen airplanes inland floating photovoltaics redox flow batteries hydrogen energy for grid balancing hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles and smart sustainable energy houses are analyzed. This is guided by an extensively researched and literature-based model that visualizes and describes these technologies’ experimentation and demonstration stages. This research identifies where these technologies are located in their breakthrough trajectory in terms of the development phase (prototyping production process and organization and niche market creation and sales) experiment and demonstration stage (technical organizational and market) the form of collaboration (public–private private–public and private) physical location (university and company laboratories production sites and marketplaces) and scale-up type (demonstrative and first-order and second-order transformative). For scientists this research offers the opportunity to further refine the features of sustainable energy technologies’ developmental positions and trajectories at a detailed level. For practitioners it provides insights that help to determine investments in various sustainable energy technologies.
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