Policy & Socio-Economics
Shorter Message, Stronger Framing Increases Societal Acceptance for Hydrogen
Feb 2024
Publication
With the question of ‘can short messages be effective in increasing public support for a complex new technology (hydrogen)?‘ this study uses a representative national survey in Australia to analyze the differences and variations in subjective support for hydrogen in response to four differently framed short messages. The findings of this study show that short messages can increase social acceptance but the effects depend on how strongly the message is framed in terms of its alignment with either an economic or environmental values framework. Furthermore the effects depend on the social and cultural context of the receiver of the message.
Efficient and Low-emission Approaches for Cost-effective Hydrogen, Power, and Heat Production Based on Chemical Looping Combustion
Nov 2024
Publication
Hydrogen production has recently attracted much attention as an energy carrier and sector integrator (i.e. electricity and transport) in future decarbonized smart energy systems. At the same time power production is highly valued in energy systems as other sectors like transport and heating become electrified. This work compares two different low-emission systems to produce electricity hydrogen and heat. The proposed systems are based on chemical looping combustion combined with biomass gasification (CLC-BG) and steam methane reforming (CLC-SMR) both benefiting from heat integration between chemical looping combustion and downstream processes. A full process simulation is carried out in Aspen Plus for both systems and detailed modeling is performed for chemical looping combustion. The overall thermal efficiency is calculated to be 71.1 % for CLC-BG and 76.4 % for CLC-SMR. Co-feeding methane into the biomass gasification process of CLC-BG leads to an enhanced overall efficiency. In comparison to CLC-BG CLC-SMR exhibits greater potential in terms of power and hydrogen generation resulting in a higher exergy efficiency of 58.3 % as opposed to 44.6 %. Assuming market prices of 5.2 USD/GJ for biomass and 9.1 USD/GJ for natural gas the lowest minimum hydrogen sale price is estimated to be 4 USD/kg for CLC-SMR.
Modelling Flexibility Requirements in Deep Decarbonisation Scenarios: The Role of Conventional Flexibility and Sector Coupling Options in the European 2050 Energy System
Feb 2024
Publication
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has reaffirmed the importance of scaling up renewable energy to decarbonise Europe’s economy while rapidly reducing its exposure to foreign fossil fuel suppliers. Therefore the question of sources of flexibility to support a fully decarbonised European energy system is becoming even more critical in light of a renewable-dominated energy system. We developed and used a Pan-European energy system model to systematically assess and quantify sources of flexibility to meet deep decarbonisation targets. The electricity supply sector and electricity-based end-use technologies are crucial in achieving deep decarbonisation. Other low-carbon energy sources like biomethane hydrogen synthetic e-fuels and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage will also play a role. To support a fully decarbonised European energy system by 2050 both temporal and spatial flexibility will be needed. Spatial flexibility achieved through investments in national electricity networks and cross-border interconnections is crucial to support the aggressive roll-out of variable renewable energy sources. Cross-border trade in electricity is expected to increase and in deep decarbonisation scenarios the electricity transmission capacity will be larger than that of natural gas. Hydrogen storage and green hydrogen production will play a key role in providing traditional inter-seasonal flexibility and intraday flexibility will be provided by a combination of electrical energy storage hydrogen-based storage solutions (e.g. liquid H2 and pressurised storage) and hybrid heat pumps. Hydrogen networks and storage will become more critical as we move towards the highest decarbonisation scenario. Still the need for natural gas networks and storage will decrease substantially.
Advancing the Affordable and Clean Energy in Large Energy-consuming Economies: The Role of Green Transition, Complexity-based, and Geostrategy Policy
Aug 2023
Publication
With decreasing costs of the clean technologies the balanced scales of the Sustainable Development Goal 7 targets e.g. energy equity (EE) energy security (ES) and environmental sustainability (EVS) are quickly changing. This fundamental balancing process is a key requirement for a net-zero future. Accordingly this research analyzes the regime-switching effect of Hydrogen economy as the green transition sharing economy and economic complexity as the complexity-based and geopolitical risks and energy prices as the geostrategy policies on the Goal 7 targets. To this end a Markov-switching panel vector autoregressive method with regime-heteroskedasticity is applied to study advancing the Goal 7 in the world's twenty-five large energy consumers during 2004–2020. Concerning the parameters and statistics of the model the results refer to the existence of two regimes associated with the Goal 7 corners called “upward and downward” regimes for EE and “slightly upward and sharply upward” regimes for ES and EVS. It is revealed that the vulnerability of EE and ES targets is considerably reduced when the regime switches to the dominant regime that is “downward” and “slightly upward” regimes respectively and that of the EVS target remains unaffected. Through the impulse-response analysis the findings denote that the first hypothesis of the efficiency of the Hydrogen economy in promoting the Goal 7 targets is insignificant. However the significant short-term and dynamic shock effects of the complexity-based and geostrategy policies on the Hydrogen economy are detected which will be a feasible alternative assessment in advancing the Goal 7. Further the complexity-based policies support the Goal 7 targets under different regimes especially in the short- and medium-term. Hence the second hypothesis regarding the effectiveness of the complexity-based policies in promoting Goal 7 targets is confirmed. The third hypothesis concerning the complexity of the impact of geostrategy policies on the Goal 7 targets is verified. Particularly the switching process towards the Goal 7 may not necessarily be restricted by the geopolitical risks. Moreover EE is supported through energy prices in the short-term under both regimes while they are non-conductive to promote ES and EVS through time. Accordingly the decision-makers should acknowledge adopting a regime-switching path forward for ensuring the time-varying balanced growth of the Goal 7 targets as the impact of the suggested policy instruments is asymmetric.
19 Import Options for Green Hydrogen and Derivatives - An Overview of Efficiencies and Technology Readiness Levels
Oct 2024
Publication
The import of hydrogen and derivatives forms part of many national strategies and is fundamental to achieving climate protection targets. This paper provides an overview and technical comparison of import pathways for hydrogen and derivatives in terms of efficiency technological maturity and development and construction times with a focus on the period up to 2030. The import of hydrogen via pipeline has the highest system efficiency at 57–67 % and the highest technological maturity with a technology readiness level (TRL) of 8–9. The import of ammonia and methanol via ship and of SNG via pipeline shows efficiencies in the range of 39–64 % and a technological maturity of TRL 7 to 9 when using point sources. Liquid hydrogen LOHC and Fischer-Tropsch products have the lowest efficiency and TRL in comparison. The use of direct air capture (DAC) reduces efficiency and TRL considerably. Reconversion of the derivatives to hydrogen is also associated with high losses and is not achievable for all technologies on an industrial scale up to 2030. In the short to medium term import routes for derivatives that can utilise existing infrastructures and mature technologies are the most promising for imports. In the long term the most promising option is hydrogen via pipelines.
Modern Hydrogen Technologies in the Face of Climate Change—Analysis of Strategy and Development in Polish Conditions
Aug 2023
Publication
The energy production market based on hydrogen technologies is an innovative solution that will allow the industry to achieve climate neutrality in the future in Poland and in the world. The paper presents the idea of using hydrogen as a modern energy carrier and devices that in cooperation with renewable energy sources produce the so-called green hydrogen and the applicable legal acts that allow for the implementation of the new technology were analyzed. Energy transformation is inevitable and according to reports on good practices in European Union countries hydrogen and the hydrogen value chain (production transport and transmission storage use in transport and energy) have wide potential. Thanks to joint projects and subsidies from the EU initiatives supporting hydrogen technologies are created such as hydrogen clusters and hydrogen valleys and EU and national strategic programs set the main goals. Poland is one of the leaders in hydrogen production both in the world and in Europe. Domestic tycoons from the energy refining and chemical industries are involved in the projects. Eight hydrogen valleys that have recently been created in Poland successfully implement the assumptions of the “Polish Hydrogen Strategy until 2030 with a perspective until 2040” and “Energy Policy of Poland until 2040” which are in line with the assumptions of the most important legal acts of the EU including the European Union’s energy and climate policy the Green Deal and the Fit for 55 Package. The review of the analysis of the development of hydrogen technologies in Poland shows that Poland does not differ from other European countries. As part of the assumptions of the European Hydrogen Strategy and the trend related to the management of energy surpluses electrolyzers with a capacity of at least 6 GW will be installed in Poland in 2020–2024. It is also assumed that in the next phase planned for 2025–2030 hydrogen will be a carrier in the energy system in Poland. Poland as a member of the EU is the creator of documents that take into account the assumptions of the European Union Commission and systematically implement the assumed goals. The strategy of activities supporting the development of hydrogen technologies in Poland and the value chain includes very extensive activities related to among others obtaining hydrogen using hydrogen in transport energy and industry developing human resources for the new economy supporting the activities of hydrogen valley stakeholders building hydrogen refueling stations and cooperation among Poland Slovakia and the Czech Republic as part of the HydrogenEagle project.
Correlations between Component Size Green Hydrogen Demand and Breakeven Price for Energy Islands
Jun 2023
Publication
The topic of energy islands is currently a focal point in the push for the energy transition. An ambitious project in the North Sea aims to build an offshore wind-powered electrolyser for green hydrogen production. Power-to-X (PtX) is a process of converting renewable electricity into hydrogen-based energy carriers such as natural gas liquid fuels and chemicals. PtH2 represents a subset of PtX wherein hydrogen is the resultant green energy from the conversion process. Many uncertainties surround PtH2 plants affecting the economic success of the investment and making the price of hydrogen and the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) of this technology uncompetitive. Several studies have analysed PtH2 layouts to identify the hydrogen price without considering how component capacities and external inputs affect the breakeven price. Unlike previous works this paper investigates component capacity dependencies under variables such as wind and hydrogen demand shape for dedicated/non-dedicated system layouts. To this end the techno-economic analysis finds the breakeven price optimising the components to reach the lowest selling price. Results show that the hydrogen price can reach 2.2 €/kg for a non-dedicated system for certain combinations of maximum demand and electrolyser capacity. Furthermore the LCOH analysis revealed that the offshore wind electrolyser system is currently uncompetitive with hydrogen production from carbon-based technologies but is competitive with renewable technologies. The sensitivity analysis reveals the green electricity price in the non-dedicated case for which a dedicated system has a lower optimum hydrogen price. The price limit for the dedicated case is 116 €/MWh.
Analysis of China’s Low-Carbon Power Transition Path Considering Low-Carbon Energy Technology Innovation
Jan 2025
Publication
Innovation in key low-carbon technologies plays a supporting role in achieving a high-quality low-carbon transition in the power sector. This paper aims to integrate research on the power transition pathway under the “dual carbon” goals with key technological innovation layouts. First it deeply analyzes the development trends of three key low-carbon technologies in the power sector—new energy storage CCUS and hydrogen energy—and establishes a quantitative model for their technological support in the low-carbon transition of the power sector. On this basis the objective function and constraints of traditional power planning models are improved to create an integrated optimization model for the power transition pathway and key low-carbon technologies. Finally a simulation analysis is conducted using China’s power industry “dual carbon” pathway as a case study. The optimization results include the power generation capacity structure power generation mix carbon reduction pathway and key low-carbon technology development path for China from 2020 to 2060. Additionally the impact of uncertainties in breakthroughs in new energy storage CCUS and hydrogen technologies on the power “dual carbon” pathway is analyzed providing technological and decision-making support for the low-carbon transition of the power sector.
Macroeconomic Analysis of a New Green Hydrogen Industry using Input-output Analysis: The Case of Switzerland
Sep 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is receiving increasing attention to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors such as carbon intensive industries and long-distance transport with the ultimate goal of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to net-zero. However limited knowledge exists so far on the socio-economic and environmental impacts for countries moving towards green hydrogen. Here we analyse the macroeconomic impacts both direct and indirect in terms of GDP growth employment generation and GHG emissions of green hydrogen production in Switzerland. The results are first presented in gross terms for the construction and operation of a new green hydrogen industry considering that all the produced hydrogen is allocated to passenger cars (final demand). We find that for each kg of green hydrogen produced the operational phase creates 6.0 5.9 and 9.5 times more GDP employment and GHG emissions respectively compared to the construction phase (all values in gross terms). Additionally the net impacts are calculated by assuming replacement of diesel by green hydrogen as fuel for passenger cars. We find that green hydrogen contributes to a higher GDP and employment compared to diesel while reducing GHG emissions. For instance in all the three cases namely ‘Equal Cost’ ‘Equal Energy’ and ‘Equal Service’ we find that a green hydrogen industry generates around 106% 28% and 45% higher GDP respectively; 163% 43% and 65% more full-time equivalent jobs respectively; and finally 45% 18% and 29% lower GHG emissions respectively compared to diesel and other industries. Finally the methodology developed in this study can be extended to other countries using country-specific data.
Towards a Future Hydrogen Supply Chain: A Review of Technologies and Challenges
Feb 2024
Publication
The overuse of fossil fuels has caused a serious energy crisis and environmental pollution. Due to these challenges the search for alternative energy sources that can replace fossil fuels is necessary. Hydrogen is a widely acknowledged future energy carrier because of its nonpolluting properties and high energy density. To realize a hydrogen economy in the future it is essential to construct a comprehensive hydrogen supply chain that can make hydrogen a key energy carrier. This paper reviews the various technologies involved in the hydrogen supply chain encompassing hydrogen production storage transportation and utilization technologies. Then the challenges of constructing a hydrogen supply chain are discussed from techno-economic social and policy perspectives and prospects for the future development of a hydrogen supply chain are presented in light of these challenges.
Hopes and Fears for a Sustainable Energy Future: Enter the Hydrogen Acceptance Matrix
Feb 2024
Publication
Hydrogen-fuelled technologies for home heating and cooking may provide a low-carbon solution for decarbonising parts of the global housing stock. For the transition to transpire the attitudes and perceptions of consumers must be factored into policy making efforts. However empirical studies are yet to explore potential levels of consumer heterogeneity regarding domestic hydrogen acceptance. In response this study explores a wide spectrum of consumer responses towards the prospect of hydrogen homes. The proposed spectrum is conceptualised in terms of the ‘domestic hydrogen acceptance matrix’ which is examined through a nationally representative online survey conducted in the United Kingdom. The results draw attention to the importance of interest and engagement in environmental issues knowledge and awareness of renewable energy technologies and early adoption potential as key drivers of domestic hydrogen acceptance. Critically strategic measures should be taken to convert hydrogen scepticism and pessimism into hope and optimism by recognising the multidimensional nature of consumer acceptance. To this end resources should be dedicated towards increasing the observability and trialability of hydrogen homes in proximity to industrial clusters and hubs where the stakes for consumer acceptance are highest. Progress towards realising a net-zero society can be supported by early stakeholder engagement with the domestic hydrogen acceptance matrix.
Hydrogen in Energy Transition: The Problem of Economic Efficiency, Environmental Safety, and Technological Readiness of Transportation and Storage
Jul 2024
Publication
The circular economy and the clean-energy transition are inextricably linked and interdependent. One of the most important areas of the energy transition is the development of hydrogen energy. This study aims to review and systematize the data available in the literature on the environmental and economic parameters of hydrogen storage and transportation technologies (both mature and at high technological readiness levels). The study concluded that salt caverns and pipeline transportation are the most promising methods of hydrogen storage and transportation today in terms of a combination of all parameters. These methods are the most competitive in terms of price especially when transporting hydrogen over short distances. Thus the average price of storage will be 0.35 USD/kg and transportation at a distance of up to 100 km is 0.3 USD/kg. Hydrogen storage underground in a gaseous state and its transportation by pipelines have the least consequences for the environment: emissions and leaks are insignificant and there is no environmental pollution. The study identifies these methods as particularly viable given their lower environmental impact and potential for seamless integration into existing energy systems therefore supporting the transition to a more sustainable and circular economy.
Public Perception of Hydrogen: Response to an Open-ended Questions
Sep 2023
Publication
Widespread use of hydrogen and hydrogen-based fuels as energy carriers in society may enable the gradual replacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy sources. Although the development and deployment of the associated technologies and infrastructures represent a considerable bottleneck it is generally acknowledged that neither the technical feasibility nor the economic viability alone will determine the extent of the future use of hydrogen as an energy carrier. Public perception beliefs awareness and knowledge about hydrogen will play a significant role in the further development of the hydrogen economy. To this end the present study examines public perception and awareness of hydrogen in Norway. The approach adopted entailed an open-ended question examining spontaneous associations with the term ‘hydrogen’. The question was fielded to 2276 participants in Wave 25 of the Norwegian Citizen Panel (NCP) an on-line panel that derives random samples from the general population registry. The analysis focused on classifying the responses into negative associations (i.e. barriers towards widespread implementation of hydrogen in society) neutral associations (e.g. basic facts) and positive associations (i.e. drivers towards widespread implementation of hydrogen in society). Each of the 2194 responses were individually assessed by five researchers. The majority of the responses highlighted neutral associations using words such as ‘gas’ ‘water’ and ‘element’. When considering barriers vs. drivers the overall responses tend towards positive associations. Many respondents perceive hydrogen as a clean and environmentally friendly fuel and hydrogen technologies are often associated with the future. The negative sentiments were typically associated with words such as ‘explosive’ ‘hazardous’ and ‘expensive’. Despite an increase in the mentioning of safety-related properties relative to a previous study in the same region the frequency of such references was rather low (4%). The responses also reveal various misconceptions such as hydrogen as a prospective ‘source’ of clean energy.
The Development of a Green Hydrogen Economy: Review
Jun 2024
Publication
Building a hydrogen economy is perceived as a way to achieve the decarbonization goals set out in the Paris Agreement to limit global warming as well as to meet the goals resulting from the European Green Deal for the decarbonization of Europe. This article presents a literature review of various aspects of this economy. The full added value chain of hydrogen was analyzed from its production through to storage transport distribution and use in various economic sectors. The current state of knowledge about hydrogen is presented with particular emphasis on its features that may determine the positives and negatives of its development. It was noted that although hydrogen has been known for many years its production methods are mainly related to fossil fuels which result in greenhouse gas emissions. The area of interest of modern science is limited to green hydrogen produced as a result of electrolysis from electricity produced from renewable energy sources. The development of a clean hydrogen economy is limited by many factors the most important of which are the excessive costs of producing clean hydrogen. Research and development on all elements of the hydrogen production and use chain is necessary to contribute to increasing the scale of production and use of this raw material and thus reducing costs as a result of the efficiencies of scale and experience gained. The development of the hydrogen economy will be related to the development of the hydrogen trade and the centers of this trade will differ significantly from the current centers of energy carrier trade.
Paving the Way for Renewable Energy and Hydrogen Adoption in Southern Africa
Jun 2025
Publication
Rising population and rapid development in Africa have led to growing energy demands that exceed current supply underscoring the urgent need for expanded and reliable energy access. As the global agenda shifts toward sustainability integrating renewable energy sources presents a viable pathway to address these shortages. This study explores the energy landscape policies and transition strategies of five Southern African countries using Multi-Level Perspective theory and energy systems analysis to examine the dynamics of their energy transitions. Findings highlight the significant potential of green hydrogen solar wind and hydropower to supplement conventional fuels especially in energy-intensive sectors while reducing reliance on fossil fuels and mitigating climate impacts. The application of Multi-Level Perspective theory underscores the importance of managing interactions between niche innovations existing socio-technical regimes and broader landscape pressures to support systemic transformation. The transition to renewable energy will also impact the future of coal mining shaped by policy frameworks resource distribution technological developments and market trends. However several persistent barriers must be overcome these include limited access to energy high capital costs poverty political and economic instability regulatory inefficiencies and gaps in technical expertise. Achieving a successful and inclusive energy transition in Southern Africa will require strategic planning policy alignment stakeholder engagement and targeted support for vulnerable sectors. Ensuring that the process is sustainable equitable and just is essential to realizing long-term regional energy security and economic resilience.
Transitioning to Sustainable Economic Resilience through Renewable Energy and Green Hydrogen: The Case of Iraq
Sep 2024
Publication
The study investigates the potential of transitioning Iraq a nation significantly dependent on fossil fuels toward a green hydrogen-based energy system as a pathway to achieving sustainable economic resilience. As of 2022 Iraqi energy supply is over 90% reliant on hydrocarbons which also account for 95% of the country foreign exchange earnings. The global energy landscape is rapidly shifting towards cleaner alternatives and the volatility of oil prices has made it imperative for the country to diversify its energy sources. Green hydrogen produced through water electrolysis powered by renewable energy sources such as solar and wind offers a promising alternative given country vast renewable energy potential. The analysis indicates that with strategic investments in green hydrogen infrastructure the country could reduce its hydrocarbon dependency by 30% by the year 2030. This transition could not only address pressing environmental challenges but also contribute to the economic stability of the country. However the shift to green hydrogen is not without significant challenges including water scarcity technological limitations and the necessity for a robust regulatory framework. The findings underscore the importance of international partnerships and supportive policies in facilitating this energy transition. Adopting renewable energy and green hydrogen technologies the country has the potential to become a leader in sustainable energy within the region. This shift would not only drive economic growth and energy security but also contribute to global efforts towards environmental sustainability positioning country favorably in a future low-carbon economy.
Coordinating Social Dynamics for Integrating Hydrogen in the Netherlands
Jan 2025
Publication
Integrating hydrogen into energy systems presents challenges involving social dynamics among stakeholders beyond technical considerations. A gap exists in understanding how these dynamics influence the deployment of hydrogen technologies and infrastructure particularly in infrastructure development and market demand for widespread adoption. In the Netherlands despite ambitious strategies and investments comprehensive explanations of social dynamics’ impact on integration processes and market development are lacking. This study addresses this gap by analyzing the hydrogen value chain and stakeholder interactions in the Dutch hydrogen sector. A literature review highlights system integration challenges and the need for decentralized coordination and cross-sector collaboration. Using the Dutch energy grid and its hydrogen initiatives as a case study social network analysis and semi-structured interviews are applied to analyze over 60 hydrogen initiatives involving more than 340 stakeholders. Initiatives are categorized into large-scale centralized and decentralized local types based on scale and stakeholder involvement allowing targeted analysis of stakeholder interactions in different contexts. Findings reveal that centralized networks may limit innovation due to concentrated influence while decentralized networks encourage innovation but require better coordination. These insights guide strategic planning and policymaking in hydrogen energy initiatives aiming to enhance scalability and efficiency of hydrogen technologies for sustainable energy solutions.
Green Hydrogen Revolution: Advancing Electrolysis, Market Integration, and Sustainable Energy Transitions Towards a Net Zero Future
Apr 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is emerging as a key driver in global decarbonization efforts particularly in hard-to-abate sectors such as steel manufacturing ammonia production and long-distance transportation. This study evaluates the techno-economic and environmental aspects of green hydrogen production storage and integration with renewable energy systems. Electrolysis remains the dominant production method with efficiency rates ranging from 70–80% for Alkaline Electrolyzers (AEL) 75–85% for Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolyzers (PEMEL) and up to 90% for Solid Oxide Electrolyzers (SOEL). Capital costs are steadily decreasing with AEL costs falling from $1200/kW in 2018 to $800/kW in 2024 while PEMEL costs are projected to decline to $600/kW by 2030. Green hydrogen significantly reduces carbon emissions with a footprint of 0.5–1 kg CO₂ per kg of H₂ compared to 10–12 kg for gray hydrogen and 1–3 kg for blue hydrogen. Its potential to cut global CO₂ emissions by 6 gigatons annually by 2050 underscores its role in climate action. However its high water demand—approximately 9 liters per kilogram of hydrogen—necessitates efficient management strategies such as desalination and recycling. Economically green hydrogen is becoming more competitive with its levelized cost decreasing from $6/kg in 2018 to $3–4/kg in 2024 and projections indicating a further drop to $1.50/kg by 2030. Global investments exceeding $500 billion in 2024 along with major projects like Saudi Arabia's NEOM Green Hydrogen Project and Australia's Asian Renewable Energy Hub are accelerating adoption. Policy frameworks such as the EU Hydrogen Strategy and the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act further support deployment. Despite progress challenges remain in infrastructure storage and regulatory frameworks necessitating continued innovation and international collaboration. Green hydrogen aligns with key Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) including SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) SDG 9 (Industry Innovation and Infrastructure) and SDG 13 (Climate Action). As the world transitions to a low-carbon economy green hydrogen presents a transformative opportunity contingent on sustained technological advancements investment and policy support.
Market Dynamics and Power Risks in Green Technology Materials: Platinum under the EU 2030 Hydrogen Target
Jan 2025
Publication
The central role of hydrogen in the EU’s decarbonization strategy has increased the importance of critical raw materials. To address this the EU has taken legislative steps including the 2023 Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) to ensure a stable supply. Using a leader–follower Stackelberg game framework this study analyzes CRM market dynamics integrating CRMA compliance through rules on sourcing and stockpiling value chain resilience via the inclusion of supply diversification strategies and geopolitical influences by modeling exporter behaviors and trade dependencies. Results highlight the potential for strategic behavior by major exporters stressing the benefits of diversifying export sources and maintaining strategic stockpiles to stabilize supply. The findings provide insights into the EU’s efforts to secure CRM supplies key to achieving decarbonization goals and fostering a sustainable energy transition. Future research should explore alternative cost-reduction strategies mitigate exporter market power and evaluate the implications for pricing mechanisms market outcomes and consumer welfare
Divergent Consumer Preferences and Visions for Cooking and Heating Technologies in the United Kingdom: Make Our Homes Clean, Safe, Warm and Smart!
Aug 2023
Publication
Decarbonising the global housing stock is imperative for reaching climate change targets. In the United Kingdom hydrogen is currently being tested as a replacement fuel for natural gas which could be used to supply low-carbon energy to parts of the country. Transitioning the residential sector towards a net-zero future will call for an inclusive understanding of consumer preferences for emerging technologies. In response this paper explores consumer attitudes towards domestic cooking and heating technologies and energy appliances of the future which could include a role for hydrogen hobs and boilers in UK homes. To access qualitative evidence on this topic we conducted ten online focus groups (N = 58) with members of the UK public between February and April 2022. The study finds that existing gas users wish to preserve the best features of gas cooking such as speed responsiveness and controllability but also desire the potential safety and aesthetic benefits of electric systems principally induction hobs. Meanwhile future heating systems should ensure thermal comfort ease of use energy efficiency and smart performance while providing space savings and noise reduction alongside demonstrable green benefits. Mixed-methods multigroup analysis suggests divergence between support levels for hydrogen homes which implies a degree of consumer heterogeneity. Foremost we find that domestic hydrogen acceptance is positively associated with interest and engagement with renewable energy and fuel poverty pressures. We conclude that internalising the perspectives of consumers is critical to enabling constructive socio-technical imaginaries for low-carbon domestic energy futures.
Green Hydrogen Cost-potentials for Global Trade
May 2023
Publication
Green hydrogen is expected to be traded globally in future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems. However there is still a lack of temporally- and spatially-explicit cost-potentials for green hydrogen considering the full process chain which are necessary for creating effective global strategies. Therefore this study provides such detailed cost-potentialcurves for 28 selected countries worldwide until 2050 using an optimizing energy systems approach based on open-field photovoltaics (PV) and onshore wind. The results reveal huge hydrogen potentials (>1500 PWhLHV/a) and 79 PWhLHV/a at costs below 2.30 EUR/kg in 2050 dominated by solar-rich countries in Africa and the Middle East. Decentralized PVbased hydrogen production even in wind-rich countries is always preferred. Supplying sustainable water for hydrogen production is needed while having minor impact on hydrogen cost. Additional costs for imports from democratic regions are only total 7% higher. Hence such regions could boost the geostrategic security of supply for greenhouse gas neutral energy systems.
The Effects of Hydrogen Research and Innovation on International Hydrogen Trade
Feb 2024
Publication
Climate change and the pressure to decarbonize as well as energy security concerns have drawn the attention of policymakers and the industry to hydrogen energy. To advance the hydrogen economy at a global scale research and innovation progress is of significant importance among others. However previous studies have provided only limited quantitative evidence of the effects of research and innovation on the formation of a global hydrogen market. Instead they postulate rather than empirically support this relationship. Therefore this study analyzes the effects of research and innovation measured by scientific publications patents and standards on bilateral hydrogen trade flows for 32 countries between 1995 and 2019 in a gravity model of trade using regression analyses and Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation. The main results of the PPML estimation show that research and innovation progress is indeed associated with increased trade especially with patenting and (international) standardization enhancing hydrogen export volumes. As policy implications we derive that increased public R&D funding can help increase the competitiveness of hydrogen energy and boost market growth along with infrastructure support and harmonized standards and regulations.
Hydrogen and the Global Energy Transition—Path to Sustainability and Adoption across All Economic Sectors
Feb 2024
Publication
This perspective article delves into the critical role of hydrogen as a sustainable energy carrier in the context of the ongoing global energy transition. Hydrogen with its potential to decarbonize various sectors has emerged as a key player in achieving decarbonization and energy sustainability goals. This article provides an overview of the current state of hydrogen technology its production methods and its applications across diverse industries. By exploring the challenges and opportunities associated with hydrogen integration we aim to shed light on the pathways toward achieving a sustainable hydrogen economy. Additionally the article underscores the need for collaborative efforts among policymakers industries and researchers to overcome existing hurdles and unlock the full potential of hydrogen in the transition to a low-carbon future. Through a balanced analysis of the present landscape and future prospects this perspective article aims to contribute valuable insights to the discourse surrounding hydrogen’s role in the global energy transition.
China and Italy’s Energy Development Trajectories: Current Landscapes and Future Cooperation Potential
Feb 2024
Publication
In order to achieve the ambitious goal of “carbon neutrality” countries around the world are striving to develop clean energy. Against this background this paper takes China and Italy as representatives of developing and developed countries to summarize the energy structure composition and development overview of the two countries. The paper analyzes the serious challenges facing the future energy development of both countries and investigates the possibilities of energy cooperation between the two countries taking into account their respective advantages in energy development. By comparing the policies issued by the two governments to encourage clean energy development this paper analyzes the severe challenges faced by the two countries’ energy development in the future and combines their respective energy development advantages to look forward to the possibility of energy cooperation between the two countries in the future. This lays the foundation for China and Italy to build an “Energy Road” after the “Silk Road”.
Feasibility of Scaling Up the Cost-Competitive and Clean Electrolytic Hydrogen Supply in China
May 2024
Publication
Scaling up clean hydrogen supply in the near future is critical to achieving China’s hydrogen development target. This study established an electrolytic hydrogen development mechanism considering the generation mix and operation optimization of power systems with access to hydrogen. Based on the incremental cost principle we quantified the provincial and national clean hydrogen production cost performance levels in 2030. The results indicated that this mechanism could effectively reduce the production cost of clean hydrogen in most provinces with a national average value of less than 2 USD·kg−1 at the 40-megaton hydrogen supply scale. Provincial cooperation via power transmission lines could further reduce the production cost to 1.72 USD·kg−1. However performance is affected by the potential distribution of hydrogen demand. From the supply side competitiveness of the mechanism is limited to clean hydrogen production while from the demand side it could help electrolytic hydrogen fulfil a more significant role. This study could provide a solution for the ambitious development of renewables and the hydrogen economy in China.
Data Hub for Life Cycle Assessment of Climate Change Solutions—Hydrogen Case Study
Nov 2024
Publication
Life cycle assessment which evaluates the complete life cycle of a product is considered the standard methodological framework to evaluate the environmental performance of climate change solutions. However significant challenges exist related to datasets used to quantify these environmental indicators. Although extensive research and commercial data on climate change technologies pathways and facilities exist they are not readily available to practitioners of life cycle assessment in the right format and structure using an open platform. In this study we propose a new open data hub platform for life cycle assessment considering a hierarchical data flow starting with raw data collected on climate change technologies at laboratory pilot demonstration or commercial scales to provide the information required for policy and decision-making. This platform makes data accessible at multiple levels for practitioners of life cycle assessment while making data interoperable across platforms. The proposed data hub platform and workflow are explained through the polymer electrolyte membrane electrolysis hydrogen production as a case study. The climate change environment impact of 1.17 ± 0.03 kg CO2 eq./kg H2 was calculated for the case study. The current data hub platform is limited to evaluating environmental impacts; however future additions of economic and social aspects are envisaged.
Hydrogen's Potential and Policy Pathways for Indonesia's Energy Transition: The Actor-network Analysis
Mar 2025
Publication
This research examines potential uses of hydrogen as an alternative energy source in Indonesia. Hydrogen presents a more environmentally friendly energy alternative with markedly reduced greenhouse gas emissions leading the Indonesian government to align its interests with the worldwide excitement for hydrogen-based energy transitions within the sustainable development context. Nevertheless despite its intriguing potential as an alternative fuel for transportation industry and power generation pilot programs have demonstrated that hydrogen energy remains expensive and demands substantial advancements in technology. This study used a qualitative methodology incorporating documentary analysis semi-structured interviews and focus group discussions within the actor-network theory framework aimed to investigate the current positioning of hydrogen energy in Indonesia’s policy pathways and to examine its potential and challenge. The findings indicate two primary insights: firstly Indonesia’s energy transformation is presently centered on formulating action plans and regulatory frameworks with hydrogen seen as one of the proposed alternatives. The investigation of hydrogen’s current progress through the actor-network theory framework has yielded two separate actor networks: the proponent network consisting of the national government and the national oil company and the opposing network which encompasses academics businesses and industries.
The Role of Hydrogen in the Energy Transition of the Oil and Gas Industry
May 2024
Publication
Hydrogen primarily produced from steam methane reforming plays a crucial role in oil refining and provides a solution for the oil and gas industry's long-term energy transition by reducing CO2 emissions. This paper examines hydrogen’s role in this transition. Firstly experiences from oil and gas exploration including in-situ gasification can be leveraged for hydrogen production from subsurface natural hydrogen reservoirs. The produced hydrogen can serve as fuel for generating steam and heat for thermal oil recovery. Secondly hydrogen can be blended into gas for pipeline transportation and used as an alternative fuel for oil and gas hauling trucks. Additionally hydrogen can be stored underground in depleted gas fields. Lastly oilfield water can be utilized for hydrogen production using geothermal energy from subsurface oil and gas fields. Scaling up hydrogen production faces challenges such as shared use of oil and gas infrastructures increased carbon tax for promoting blue hydrogen and the introduction of financial incentives for hydrogen production and consumption hydrogen leakage prevention and detection.
The Role of Hydrogen in the Energy Mix: A Scenario Analysis for Turkey Using OSeMOSYS
Dec 2024
Publication
The urgent need to tackle climate change drives the research on new technologies to help the transition of energy systems. Hydrogen is under significant consideration by many countries as a means to reach zero-carbon goals. Turkey has also started to develop hydrogen projects. In this study the role of hydrogen in Turkey’s energy system is assessed through energy modeling using the cost optimization analytical tool Open Source Energy Modelling System (OSeMOSYS). The potential effects of hydrogen blending into the natural gas network in the Turkish energy system have been displayed by scenario development. The hydrogen is produced via electrolysis using renewable electricity. As a result by using hydrogen a significant reduction in carbon dioxide emissions was observed; however the accumulated capital investment value increased. Furthermore it was shown that hydrogen has the potential to reduce Turkey’s energy import dependency by decreasing natural gas demand.
An Overview of Hydrogen’s Application for Energy Purposes in Lithuania
Nov 2023
Publication
Hydrogen has emerged as a promising climate-neutral energy carrier able to facilitate the processes of the European Union (EU) energy transition. Green hydrogen production through the electrolysis process has gained increasing interest recently for application in various sectors of the economy. As a result of the increasing renewable energy developments in the EU hydrogen is seen as one of the most promising solutions for energy storage challenges; therefore the leading countries in the energy sector are heavily investing in research of the technical obstacles for hydrogen applications and assessment of the current hydrogen market which in turn leads to the acceleration of the upscaling of hydrogen production. The main objective of this article was to provide a comprehensive overview of various green hydrogen production transportation and industrial application technologies and challenges in Europe with a separate analysis of the situation in Lithuania. Various water electrolysis technologies and their production costs are investigated along with recent developments in storage and transportation solutions. In addition the performances and limitations of electrochemical processes are presented and analysed research trends in the field are discussed and possible solutions for performance and cost improvements are overviewed. This paper proposes a discussion of perspectives in terms of future applications and research directions.
Green Hydrogen and its Unspoken Challenges for Energy Justice
Oct 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is often promoted as a key facilitator for the clean energy transition but its implementation raises concerns around energy justice. This paper examines the socio-political and techno-economic challenges that green hydrogen projects may pose to the three tenets of energy justice: distributive procedural and recognition justice. From a socio-political perspective the risk of neocolonial resource extraction uneven distribution of benefits exclusion of local communities from decision-making and disregard for indigenous rights and cultures threaten all three justice tenets. Techno-economic factors such as water scarcity land disputes and resource-related conflicts in potential production hotspots further jeopardise distributive and recognition justice. The analysis framed by an adapted PEST model reveals that while green hydrogen holds promise for sustainable development its implementation must proactively address these justice challenges. Failure to do so could perpetuate injustices exploitation and marginalisation of vulnerable communities undermining the sustainability goals it aims to achieve. The paper highlights the need for inclusive and equitable approaches that respect local sovereignty integrate diverse stakeholders and ensure fair access and benefit-sharing. Only by centring justice considerations can the transition to green hydrogen catalyse positive social change and realise its full potential as a driver of sustainable energy systems.
Overview and Prospects of Low-emissions Hydrogen (H2) Energy Systems: Roadmap for a Sustainable H2 Economy
Jul 2024
Publication
Hydrogen (2 ) has a big role to play in energy transition to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. For 2 to compete with other fuels in the energy market more research is required to mitigate key issues like greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions safety and end-use costs. For these reasons a software-supported technical overview of 2 production storage transportation and utilisation is introduced. Drawbacks and mitigation approaches for 2 technologies were highlighted. The recommended areas include solar thermal or renewable-powered plasma systems for feedstock preheating and oxy-hydrogen combustion to meet operating temperatures and heat duties due to losses; integration of electrolysis of 2 into hydrocarbon reforming methods to replace air separation unit (ASU); use of renewable power sources for electrical units and the introduction of thermoelectric units to maximise the overall efficiency. Furthermore a battolyser system for small-scale energy storage; new synthetic hydrides with lower absorption and desorption energy; controlled parameters and steam addition to the combustor/cylinder and combustors with fitted heat exchangers to reduce emissions and improve the overall efficiency are also required. This work also provided detailed information on any of these systems implementations based on location factors and established a roadmap for 2 production and utilisation. The proposed 2 production technologies are hybrid pyrolysis-electrolysis and integrated AD-MEC and DR systems using renewable bioelectrochemical and low-carbon energy systems. Production and utilisation of synthetic natural gas (NG) using renewablepowered electrolysis of 2 oxy-fuel and direct air capture (DAC) is another proposed 2 energy system for a sustainable 2 economy. By providing these factors and information researchers can work towards pilot development and further efficiency enhancement.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: "Stat of the Union" with EAH Hosts
May 2024
Publication
This week’s episode is a discussion between EAH hosts Patrick Molloy Alicia Eastman and Chris Jackson. The team cover the current status of hydrogen regulation innovation financing markets and consolidation. Hanging over most conversations in the decarbonization or future fuels space is the perpetual question: When will investors actually step up with significant capital to help companies make it through the development desert instead of letting promising companies languish in the double dunes of despair? There has been a lot of talk but not a lot of action. Listen to the team unpack recent developments and hopes for the future.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Stakeholder Perspectives on the Scale-up of Green Hydrogen and Electrolyzers
Nov 2023
Publication
Green hydrogen is a promising alternative to fossil fuels. However current production capacities for electrolyzers and green hydrogen are not in line with national political goals and projected demand. Considering these issues we conducted semi-structured interviews to determine the narratives of different stakeholders during this transformation as well as challenges and opportunities for the green hydrogen value chain. We interviewed eight experts with different roles along the green hydrogen value chain ranging from producers and consumers of green hydrogen to electrolyzer manufacturers and consultants as well as experts from the political sphere. Most experts see the government as necessary for scale-up by setting national capacity targets policy support and providing subsidies. However the experts also accuse the governments of delaying development through overregulation and long implementation times for regulations. The main challenges that were identified are the current lack of renewable electricity and demand for green hydrogen. Demand for green hydrogen is influenced by supply costs which partly depend on prices for electrolyzers. However one key takeaway of the interviews is the skeptical assessments by the experts on the currently discussed estimates for price reduction potential of electrolyzers. While demand supply and prices are all factors that influence each other they result in feedback loops in investment decisions for the energy and manufacturing industries. A second key takeaway is that according to the experts current investment decisions in new production capacities are not solely dependent on short-term financial gains but also based on expected first mover advantages. These include experience and market share which are seen as factors for opportunities for future financial gains. Summarized the results present several challenges and opportunities for green hydrogen and electrolyzers and how to address them effectively. These insights contribute to a deeper understanding of the dynamics of the emerging green hydrogen value chain.
Optimizing Green Hydrogen Strategies in Tunisia: A Combined SWOT-MCDM Approach
Oct 2024
Publication
Tunisia's rapid industrial expansion and population growth have created a pressing energy deficit despite the country's significant yet largely untapped renewable energy potential. This study addressed this challenge by developing a comprehensive framework to identify and evaluate strategies for promoting green hydrogen production from renewable energy sources in Tunisia. A Strength Weakness Opportunity and Threat (SWOT) analysis incorporating social economic and environmental dimensions was conducted to formulate potential solutions. The Step-wise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) method facilitated the weighting of SWOT factors and subfactors. Subsequently a multi-criteria decision-making approach employing the gray technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS-G) method (validated by gray additive ratio assessment (ARAS-G) gray complex proportional assessment (COPRAS-G) and gray multi-objective optimization by ratio analysis (MOORA-G) was used to rank the identified strategies. The SWOT analysis revealed "Strengths" as the most influential factor with a relative weight of 47.3% followed by "Weaknesses" (26.5%) "Threats" (15.6%) and "Opportunities" (10.6%). Specifically experts emphasized Tunisia's renewable energy potential (21.89%) and robust power system (12.11%) as primary strengths. Conversely high investment costs (11.2%) and political instability (7.77%) posed substantial threat. Positive socio-economic impacts represented a key opportunity with a score of 5.2%. As for the strategies prioritizing criteria production cost ranked first with a score of 13.5% followed by environmental impact (12.8%) renewable energy potential (12.0%) and mitigation costs (11.3%). The gray TOPSIS analysis identified two key strategies: leveraging Tunisia's wind and solar resources and fostering regional cooperation for project implementation. The robustness of these strategies is confirmed by the strong correlation between TOPSIS-G ARAS-G COPRAS-G and MOORA-G results. Overall the study provides a comprehensive roadmap and expert-informed decision-support tools offering valuable insights for policymakers investors and stakeholders in Tunisia and other emerging economies facing similar energy challenges.
Hydrogen as a Panacea for Decarbonising Everything? Exploring Contested Hydrogen Pathways in Germany
Oct 2023
Publication
Technological change is often seen as part of the solution to problems of global sustainability. A wide-ranging literature on how path dependent—often fossil fuel-based—socio-technical configurations can be overcome by more sustainable configurations has emerged over the last two decades. One potential transition pathway to transform electricity heat and mobility systems as well as industrial production is the use of hydrogen. In recent years hydrogen has received increasing attention as part of decarbonisation strategies in many countries as well as by international organisations such as the International Energy Agency or the International Renewable Energy Agency. Also in Germany it has become a central component of climate change policy and is seen by some actors almost as a kind of panacea where the use of hydrogen is expected to decarbonise a wide range of sectors. Policy makers have the ambition for Germany to become a leader in hydrogen development and therefore help to contribute to what Grubler called ‘grand patterns of technological change’. The aim of this paper is to analyse whether relevant actors share expectations for transition pathways based on hydrogen which would foster wide diffusion. Our empirical analysis shows that there are multiple contested pathways both in terms of how hydrogen is produced as well as in which applications or sectors it is to be used. This causes uncertainty and slows down hydrogen developments in Germany. We contribute to an emerging literature on the politics of contested transition pathways and also critically engage with Grubler’s ‘grand patterns’ argument. Results support the idea that the concept of socio-technical pathways allows to expose tensions between competing values and interests. The German government is under considerable pressure regarding competing visions on hydrogen transition pathways. A targeted political prioritisation of hydrogen applications could mitigate tensions and support a shared vision.
Hydrogen Europe Podcast Episode 5 - Industry & Research - Important Cooperation for H2 Sector
Dec 2023
Publication
In this podcast episode Hydrogen Europe CEO Jorgo Chatzimarkakis engages in a dynamic conversation with Hydrogen Europe Research President Luigi Crema. Together they delve into the crucial partnership between industry and research within the hydrogen sector. The episode explores the symbiotic relationship between innovative research initiatives and practical industry applications shedding light on how collaboration fosters advancements in hydrogen technology.
Impact of Green Hydrogen on Climate Change in Peru: An Analysis of Perception, Policies, and Cooperation
Oct 2024
Publication
This research analyzed the impact of green hydrogen (GH) on the dynamics of combating climate change (CC) in Peru for the year 2024 contributing to Sustainable Development Goal 7 focused on affordable and clean energy. The study quantitative and non-experimental in nature used a cross-sectional design and focused on a sample composed of public and private sector officials energy experts and academics evaluating their perception and knowledge about GH and its application in climate policies. The data collection instrument showed good internal consistency with a Cronbach’s alpha value of 0.793. The results revealed that although the adoption of GH is in its early stages it is already considered a vital component in national CC mitigation strategies. A medium positive correlation was identified using the Spearman coefficient (0.418) between GH usage and the effectiveness of mitigation policies as well as its capacity to influence public awareness and promote interinstitutional cooperation. Furthermore it was concluded that the success of GH largely depends on the strengthening of regulatory frameworks investment in infrastructure and the promotion of strategic alliances to facilitate its integration into the national energy matrix. These findings highlight the importance of continuing to develop public policies that promote the use of GH ensuring its sustainability and effectiveness in the fight against climate change in Peru.
Integration of UN Sustainable Development Goals in National Hydrogen Strategies: A Text Analysis Approach
Jan 2025
Publication
Despite the growing recognition of hydrogen’s potential role in sustainable development there is limited un derstanding of how national hydrogen strategies align with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study addresses this knowledge gap by examining the integration of the SDGs into national hydrogen strategies through text analysis. Among 66 reviewed strategic documents only 15 explicitly reference specific SDGs though SDG-related keywords are widespread particularly regarding SDG 7 (Affordable and Clean Energy) and SDG 13 (Climate Action). Statistical analysis demonstrates a significant link between the presence of hydrogen strategies and both overall SDG performance and progress on most specific SDGs. However countries with hydrogen strategies show lower scores for SDGs 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production) and 13 and there are no significant differences for SDGs 10 (Reduced Inequalities) 14 (Life below Water) and 15 (Life on Land). Our findings highlight the need for more explicit integration of SDGs into hydrogen strategies and better consideration of sustainability synergies and trade-offs providing policymakers with evidence-based guidance for aligning hydrogen strategies with global sustainability objectives.
A Techno-economic Analysis of Future Hydrogen Reconversion Technologies
Jun 2024
Publication
The transformation of fossil fuel-based power generation systems towards greenhouse gas-neutral ones based on renewable energy sources is one of the key challenges facing contemporary society. The temporal volatility that accompanies the integration of renewable energy (e.g. solar radiation and wind) must be compensated to ensure that at any given time a sufficient supply of electrical energy for the demands of different sectors is available. Green hydrogen which is produced using renewable energy sources via electrolysis can be used to chemically store electrical energy on a seasonal basis. Reconversion technologies are needed to generate electricity from stored hydrogen during periods of low renewable electricity generation. This study presents a detailed technoeconomic assessment of hydrogen gas turbines. These technologies are also superior to fuel cells due to their comparatively low investment costs especially when it comes to covering the residual loads. As of today hydrogen gas turbines are only available in laboratory or small-scale settings and have no market penetration or high technology readiness level. The primary focus of this study is to analyze the effects on gas turbine component costs when hydrogen is used instead of natural gas. Based on these findings an economic analysis addressing the current state of these turbine components is conducted. A literature review on the subsystems is performed considering statements from leading manufactures and researchers to derive the cost deviations and total cost per installed capacity (€/kWel). The results reveal that a hydrogen gas turbine power plant has an expected cost increase of 8.5% compared to a conventional gas turbine one. This leads to an average cost of 542.5 €/kWel for hydrogen gas turbines. For hydrogen combined cycle power plants the expected cost increase corresponds to the cost of the gas turbine system as the steam turbine subsystem remains unaffected by fuel switching. Additionally power plant retrofit potentials were calculated and the respective costs in the case of an upgrade were estimated. For Germany as a case study for an industrialized country the potential of a possible retrofit is between 2.7 and 11.4 GW resulting to a total investment between 0.3 and 1.1 billion €.
Decarbonizing the European Energy System in the Absence of Russian Gas: Hydrogen Uptake and Carbon Capture Developments in the Power, Heat and Industry Sectors
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen and carbon capture and storage are pivotal to decarbonize the European energy system in a broad range of pathway scenarios. Yet their timely uptake in different sectors and distribution across countries are affected by supply options of renewable and fossil energy sources. Here we analyze the decarbonization of the European energy system towards 2060 covering the power heat and industry sectors and the change in use of hydrogen and carbon capture and storage in these sectors upon Europe’s decoupling from Russian gas. The results indicate that the use of gas is significantly reduced in the power sector instead being replaced by coal with carbon capture and storage and with a further expansion of renewable generators. Coal coupled with carbon capture and storage is also used in the steel sector as an intermediary step when Russian gas is neglected before being fully decarbonized with hydrogen. Hydrogen production mostly relies on natural gas with carbon capture and storage until natural gas is scarce and costly at which time green hydrogen production increases sharply. The disruption of Russian gas imports has significant consequences on the decarbonization pathways for Europe with local energy sources and carbon capture and storage becoming even more important. Given the highlighted importance of carbon capture and storage in reaching the climate targets it is essential that policymakers ameliorate regulatory challenges related to these value chains.
Interactions Between Electricity and Hydrogen Markets: A Bi-level Equilibrium Approach
Jul 2025
Publication
Energy systems increasingly rely on the synergistic operations of the electricity and hydrogen markets pursuing decarbonization. In this context it is necessary to develop tools capable of representing the interactions between these two markets to understand the role of hydrogen as an energy vector. This paper introduces a bi-level optimization model that captures the interactions between the electricity and hydrogen markets positioning hydrogen generators as strategic electricity price makers in the power market. The model can be efficiently solved and applied to real-world scenarios by reformulating it as a Mixed Integer Linear Program. The case studies analyze spot market behaviors when hydrogen generators are modeled as price makers in the electricity market. First single-period simulations reveal the effects of price-making and next a year-long simulation assesses broader implications. The findings demonstrate that conventional modeling assumptions such as the price-taker hydrogen generators in the electricity market and constant production cost hypothesis lead to non-optimal hydrogen generation strategies that raise electricity prices while reducing the profit of hydrogen generators and the hydrogen market social welfare. These results highlight the need for models that accurately reflect the interdependencies between these two energy markets.
Techno-Economic Analysis of Clean Hydrogen Production Plants in Sicily: Comparison of Distributed and Centralized Production
Jul 2024
Publication
This paper presents an assessment of the levelized cost of clean hydrogen produced in Sicily a region in Southern Italy particularly rich in renewable energy and where nearly 50% of Italy’s refineries are located making a comparison between on-site production that is near the end users who will use the hydrogen and centralized production comparing the costs obtained by employing the two types of electrolyzers already commercially available. In the study for centralized production the scale factor method was applied on the costs of electrolyzers and the optimal transport modes were considered based on the distance and amount of hydrogen to be transported. The results obtained indicate higher prices for hydrogen produced locally (from about 7 €/kg to 10 €/kg) and lower prices (from 2.66 €/kg to 5.80 €/kg) for hydrogen produced in centralized plants due to economies of scale and higher conversion efficiencies. How-ever meeting the demand for clean hydrogen at minimal cost requires hydrogen distribution pipelines to transport it from centralized production sites to users which currently do not exist in Sicily as well as a significant amount of renewable energy ranging from 1.4 to 1.7 TWh per year to cover only 16% of refineries’ hydrogen needs.
A Techno-economic Analysis of Global Renewable Hydrogen Value Chains
Jul 2024
Publication
Many countries especially those with a high energy demand but insufficient renewable resources are currently investigating the role that imported low carbon hydrogen may play in meeting future energy requirements and emission reduction targets. A future hydrogen economy is uncertain and predicated on reduced price of hydrogen delivered to customers. Current hydrogen production steam reforming of natural gas or coal gasification is co-located to its end-use as a chemical feedstock. Large-scale multi-source value chains of hydrogen needed to support its use for energy are still at concept phase. This research investigates the combination of technical and economic factors which will determine the viability and competitiveness of two competing large scale renewable hydrogen value chains via ammonia and liquid hydrogen. Using a techno-economic model an evaluation of whether green hydrogen exports to Germany from countries with low-cost renewable electricity production but high-costs of storage distribution and transport will be economically competitive with domestic renewable hydrogen production is conducted. The model developed in Python calculates costs and energy losses for each step in the value chain. This includes production from an optimised combination of solar and/or wind generation capacity optimised storage requirements conversion to ammonia or liquid hydrogen distribution shipping and reconversion. The model can easily be applied to any scenario by changing the inputs and was used to compare export from Chile Namibia and Morocco with production in Germany using a 1 GW electrolyser and 2030 cost scenario in each case.
Sustainability Certification for Renewable Hydrogen: An International Survey of Energy Professionals
Jun 2024
Publication
Hydrogen produced from renewable energy is being promoted to decarbonise global energy systems. To support this energy transition standards certification and labelling schemes (SCLs) aim to differentiate hydrogen products based on their system-wide carbon emissions and method of production characteristics. However being certified as low-carbon clean or green hydrogen does not guarantee broader sustainability across economic environmental social or governance dimensions. Through an international survey of energy-sector and sustainability professionals (n = 179) we investigated the desirable sustainability features for renewable hydrogen SCLs and the perceived advantages and disadvantages of sustainability certification. Our mixed-method study revealed general accordance on the feasible inclusion of diverse sustainability criteria in SCLs albeit with varying degrees of perceived essentiality. Within the confines of the data some differences in viewpoints emerged based on respondents’ geographical and supply chain locations which were associated with the sharing of costs and benefits. Qualitatively respondents found the idea of SCL harmonisation attractive but weighed this against the risks of duplication complicated administrative procedures and contradictory regulation. The implications of this research centre on the need for further studies to inform policy recommendations for an overarching SCL sustainability framework that embodies the principles of harmonisation in the context of multistakeholder governance.
Blue Hydrogen in the United Kingdom - A Policy & Environmental Case Study
Feb 2025
Publication
Blue hydrogen is one of the energy carriers to be adopted by the United Kingdom to reduce emissions to net Zero by 2050 and its use is majorly influenced by policy and technological innovations. With more than 10 blue hydrogen facilities planning productive offtake from 2025 there is an urgent need to confirm the viability of these proposed facilities to aid decarbonisation and the path to conformity to policy regulation. This study discovers that the Acorn blue hydrogen facility can produce blue hydrogen within the low carbon hydrogen standard set by the United Kingdom’s government. In this study a detailed examination of hydrogen production techniques is conducted using lifecycle assessment (LCA) approach aimed to understand the environmental impact of producing 144 tons of hydrogen per day using Acorn hydrogen facility as a case study. This was followed on with sensitive analysis embracing steam and oxygen consumption and methane leakages the ability of the facility meeting the low carbon hydrogen standard economics and the externality-priced production costs that embody the environmental impact. A gate-to-gate LCA shows that the Acorn hydrogen plant must aim at carbon capture rates of >90% to meet the set UK target of 20 gCO2e/MJLHV. The study further identifies from literature that the autothermal reforming (ATR) system with integrated carbon capture and storage (CCS) production technology as the most environmentally sustainable technology at present in comparison to commercially available options studied. This assessment helps to appraise potentially unintended causes and effects of the production of blue hydrogen that should aid future policy guidance and investments.
‘Greening’ an Oil Exporting Country: A Hydrogen, Wind and Gas Turbine Case Study
Feb 2024
Publication
In the quest for achieving decarbonisation it is essential for different sectors of the economy to collaborate and invest significantly. This study presents an innovative approach that merges technological insights with philosophical considerations at a national scale with the intention of shaping the national policy and practice. The aim of this research is to assist in formulating decarbonisation strategies for intricate economies. Libya a major oil exporter that can diversify its energy revenue sources is used as the case study. However the principles can be applied to develop decarbonisation strategies across the globe. The decarbonisation framework evaluated in this study encompasses wind-based renewable electricity hydrogen and gas turbine combined cycles. A comprehensive set of both official and unofficial national data was assembled integrated and analysed to conduct this study. The developed analytical model considers a variety of factors including consumption in different sectors geographical data weather patterns wind potential and consumption trends amongst others. When gaps and inconsistencies were encountered reasonable assumptions and projections were used to bridge them. This model is seen as a valuable foundation for developing replacement scenarios that can realistically guide production and user engagement towards decarbonisation. The aim of this model is to maintain the advantages of the current energy consumption level assuming a 2% growth rate and to assess changes in energy consumption in a fully green economy. While some level of speculation is present in the results important qualitative and quantitative insights emerge with the key takeaway being the use of hydrogen and the anticipated considerable increase in electricity demand. Two scenarios were evaluated: achieving energy self-sufficiency and replacing current oil exports with hydrogen exports on an energy content basis. This study offers for the first time a quantitative perspective on the wind-based infrastructure needs resulting from the evaluation of the two scenarios. In the first scenario energy requirements were based on replacing fossil fuels with renewable sources. In contrast the second scenario included maintaining energy exports at levels like the past substituting oil with hydrogen. The findings clearly demonstrate that this transition will demand great changes and substantial investments. The primary requirements identified are 20529 or 34199 km2 of land for wind turbine installations (for self-sufficiency and exports) and 44 single-shaft 600 MW combined-cycle hydrogen-fired gas turbines. This foundational analysis represents the commencement of the research investment and political agenda regarding the journey to achieving decarbonisation for a country.
Modeling the Global Annual Carbon Footprint for the Transportation Sector and a Path to Sustainability
Jun 2023
Publication
The transportation industry’s transition to carbon neutrality is essential for addressing sustainability concerns. This study details a model for calculating the carbon footprint of the transportation sector as it progresses towards carbon neutrality. The model aims to support policymakers in estimating the potential impact of various decisions regarding transportation technology and infrastructure. It accounts for energy demand technological advancements and infrastructure upgrades as they relate to each transportation market: passenger vehicles commercial vehicles aircraft watercraft and trains. A technology roadmap underlies this model outlining anticipated advancements in batteries hydrogen storage biofuels renewable grid electricity and carbon capture and sequestration. By estimating the demand and the technologies that comprise each transportation market the model estimates carbon emissions. Results indicate that based on the technology roadmap carbon neutrality can be achieved by 2070 for the transportation sector. Furthermore the model found that carbon neutrality can still be achieved with slippage in the technology development schedule; however delays in infrastructure updates will delay carbon neutrality while resulting in a substantial increase in the cumulative carbon footprint of the transportation sector.
Techno-economics of Renewable Hydrogen Export: A Case Study for Australia-Japan
Jul 2024
Publication
The shift from fossil fuels to clean energy carriers such as renewable H2 is imminent. Consequently a global H2 market is taking shape involving countries with limited or insufficient energy resources importing from renewable-rich countries. This study evaluates the techno-economics of renewable hydrogen (H2) export in a globally significant scenario in which Australia exports to Japan. To gain insight into the immediate realisable future the base year was selected as 2030 with a consequently small (in export terms) hydrogen production rate of 100 t/day landed capacity. Electricity was generated by photovoltaic arrays (PV) connected directly to proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyser plant allowing for flexible gaseous hydrogen (GH2) production. To enhance the fidelity of the technoeconomic model we incorporated rarely applied but impactful parameters including dynamic efficiency and the overload capacity of PEM electrolysers. The GH2 produced was assumed to be converted into condensed forms suitable for export by sea: liquid hydrogen (LH2) and the chemical carriers liquid ammonia (LNH3) methanol (MeOH) methylcyclohexane (MCH). These were assumed to be reconverted to GH2 at the destination. LNH3 and MCH emerged as promising carriers for export yielding the lowest landed levelised cost of hydrogen (LCOH). LH2 yielded the highest LCOH unless boiloff gas could be managed effectively and cheaply. A sensitivity analysis showed that a lower weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and scale-up can significantly reduce the landed LCOH. Increasing the production rate to 1000 t/day landed capacity very significantly lowered the landed LCOH providing a strong incentive to scale up and optimise the entire supply chain as fast as possible.
Hydrogen Production, Transporting and Storage Processes—A Brief Review
Sep 2024
Publication
This review aims to enhance the understanding of the fundamentals applications and future directions in hydrogen production techniques. It highlights that the hydrogen economy depends on abundant non-dispatchable renewable energy from wind and solar to produce green hydrogen using excess electricity. The approach is not limited solely to existing methodologies but also explores the latest innovations in this dynamic field. It explores parameters that influence hydrogen production highlighting the importance of adequately controlling the temperature and concentration of the electrolytic medium to optimize the chemical reactions involved and ensure more efficient production. Additionally a synthesis of the means of transport and materials used for the efficient storage of hydrogen is conducted. These factors are essential for the practical feasibility and successful deployment of technologies utilizing this energy resource. Finally the technological innovations that are shaping the future of sustainable use of this energy resource are emphasized presenting a more efficient alternative compared to the fossil fuels currently used by society. In this context concrete examples that illustrate the application of hydrogen in emerging technologies are highlighted encompassing sectors such as transportation and the harnessing of renewable energy for green hydrogen production.
Knowledge, Skills, and Attributes Needed for Developing a Hydrogen Engineering Workforce: A Systematic Review of Literature on Hydrogen Engineering Education
May 2024
Publication
Growth in Australia’s demand for engineers is fast outpacing supply. A significant challenge for Australia to achieve high projected low emissions hydrogen export targets by 2030 will be finding engineers with suitable knowledge skills and attributes to deliver hydrogen engineering projects safely and sustainably. This systematic review investigates educational outcomes needed to develop a hydrogen engineering workforce. Sixteen relevant studies published between 2003 and 2023 were identified to explore “What key knowledge skills and attributes support the development of a hydrogen engineering workforce?”. While these studies advocated the need for training and prescribed areas of required knowledge for the low-emissions hydrogen sector there was limited empirical evidence that informed what knowledge skills and attributes are relevant for entry to practice. This finding represents a significant opportunity for researchers to engage with employers and engineering practitioners within emerging low-emissions hydrogen sector capture empirical evidence and inform the design of educational programs.
Cost Reduction in Low-carbon Hydrogen: Effective but Insufficient to Mitigate Carbon Emissions
Jun 2023
Publication
Many countries have announced hydrogen promotion strategies to achieve net zero CO2 emissions around 2050. The cost of producing low-carbon (green and blue) hydrogen has been projected to fall considerably as production is scaled up although more so for green hydrogen than for blue hydrogen. This article uses a global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to explore whether the cost reduction of green and blue hydrogen production can mitigate the use of fossil fuels and related carbon emissions. The results show that cost reduction can raise low-carbon hydrogen consumption markedly in relative terms but marginally in absolute terms resulting in a modest decrease in fossil fuel use and related carbon emissions. The cost reduction of low-carbon hydrogen slightly lowers the use of coal and gas but marginally increases the use of oil. If regional CO2 taxes are introduced the increase in green hydrogen production is considerably larger than in the case of low-carbon hydrogen cost reduction alone. However if cost reduction in low-carbon hydrogen is introduced in addition to the CO2 tax the emissions from fossil fuels are only marginally reduced. Hence synergy efects between the two measures on emissions are practically absent. A low-carbon hydrogen cost reduction alone is efective but insufcient to have a substantial climate impact. This study also calls for modeling development to capture special user preferences for low-carbon hydrogen related to climate mitigation when phasing in new energy carriers like hydrogen.
Semi-Systematic Literature Review on the Contribution of Hydrogen to Universal Access to Energy in the Rationale of Sustainable Development Goal Target 7.1
Feb 2023
Publication
As part of the United Nations’ (UN) Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7) SDG target 7.1 recognizes universal electrification and the provision of clean cooking fuel as two fundamental challenges for global society. Faltering progress toward SDG target 7.1 calls for innovative technologies to stimulate advancements. Hydrogen has been proposed as a versatile energy carrier to be applied in both pillars of SDG target 7.1: electrification and clean cooking. This paper conducts a semi-systematic literature review to provide the status quo of research on the application of hydrogen in the rationale of SDG 7.1 covering the technical integration pathways as well as the key economic environmental and social aspects of its use. We identify decisive factors for the future development of hydrogen use in the rationale of SDG target 7.1 and by complementing our analysis with insights from the related literature propose future avenues of research. The literature on electrification proposes that hydrogen can serve as a backup power supply in rural off-grid communities. While common electrification efforts aim to supply appliances that use lower amounts of electricity a hydrogen-based power supply can satisfy appliances with higher power demands including electric cook stoves while simultaneously supporting clean cooking efforts. Alternatively with the exclusive aim of stimulating clean cooking hydrogen is proposed to be used as a clean cooking fuel via direct combustion in distribution and utilization infrastructures analogous to Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG). While expected economic and technical developments are seen as likely to render hydrogen technologies economically competitive with conventional fossil fuels in the future the potential of renewably produced hydrogen usage to reduce climate-change impacts and point-of-use emissions is already evident today. Social benefits are likely when meeting essential safety standards as a hydrogen-based power supply offers service on a high tier that might overachieve SDG 7.1 ambitions while hydrogen cooking via combustion fits into the existing social habits of LPG users. However the literature lacks clear evidence on the social impact of hydrogen usage. Impact assessments of demonstration projects are required to fill this research gap.
Modeling the Long-term Evolution of the Italian Power Sector: The Role of Renewable Resources and Energy Storage Facilities
Feb 2024
Publication
The aim of this study is to investigate the long-term planning of the Italian power sector from 2021 to 2050. The key role of photovoltaic and wind technologies in combination with power-to-power systems based on hydrogen and batteries is investigated. An updated version of the OSeMOSYS tool is used which employs a clustering method for the representation of time-varying input data. First the potential of variable renewable energy sources (VRES) is assessed. A sensitivity analysis is also performed on the temporal resolution of the model to determine an adequate trade-off between the computation time and the accuracy of the results. Then a technoeconomic optimization scenario is carried out resulting in a total net present cost of about 233.7 B€. A high penetration of VRES technologies is foreseen by 2050 with a total VRES installed capacity of 272.9 GW (mainly photovoltaic and onshore wind). Batteries are found to be the preferable energy storage solution in the first part of the energy transition while the hydrogen storage starts to be convenient from about the year 2040. Indeed the role of hydrogen storage becomes fundamental as the VRES penetration increases thanks to its cost-effective long-term storage capability. By 2050 74.6 % of electricity generation will be based on VRES which will also enable a significant reduction in CO2 emissions of about 87 %.
Mapping Hydrogen Initiatives in Italy: An Overview of Funding and Projects
May 2024
Publication
The global momentum towards hydrogen has led to various initiatives aimed at harnessing hydrogen’s potential. In particular low-carbon hydrogen is recognized for its crucial role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions across hard-to-abate sectors such as steel cement and heavy-duty transport. This study focuses on the presentation of all hydrogen-related financing initiatives in Italy providing a comprehensive overview of the various activities and their geographical locations. The examined funding comes from the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) from projects directly funded through the Important Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI) and from several initiatives supported by private companies or other funding sources (hydrogen valleys). Specific calls for proposals within the PNRR initiative outline the allocation of funds focusing on hydrogen production in brownfield areas (52 expected hydrogen production plants by 2026) hydrogen use in hard-to-abate sectors and the establishment of hydrogen refuelling stations for both road (48 refuelling stations by 2026) and railway transport (10 hydrogen-based railway lines). A detailed description of the funded initiatives (150 in total) is presented encompassing their geographical location typology and size (when available) as well as the funding they have received. This overview sheds light on regions prioritising decarbonisation efforts in heavy-duty transport especially along cross-border commercial routes as evident in northern Italy. Conversely some regions concentrate more on local transport typically buses or on the industrial sector primarily steel and chemical industries. Additionally the study presents initiatives aimed at strengthening the national manufacturing capacity for hydrogenrelated technologies alongside new regulatory and incentive schemes for hydrogen. The ultimate goal of this analysis is to foster connections among existing and planned projects stimulate new initiatives along the entire hydrogen value chain raise an awareness of hydrogen among stakeholders and promote cooperation and international competitiveness.
The Making of H2-scapes in the Global South: Political Geography Perspectives on an Emergent Field of Research
Feb 2025
Publication
Clean hydrogen is touted as a cornerstone of the global energy transition. It can help to decarbonize hard-to-electrify sectors ship renewable power over great distances and boost energy security. Clean hydrogen’s appeal is increasingly felt in the Global South where countries seek to benefit from production export and consumption opportunities new infrastructures and technological innovations. These geographies are however in the process of taking shape and their associated power configurations spatialities and socio-ecological consequences are yet to be more thoroughly understood and examined. Drawing on political geography perspectives this article proposes the concept of “hydrogen landscape” – or in short H2-scape – to theorize and explore hydrogen transitions as space-making processes imbued with power relations institutional orders and social meanings. In this endeavor it outlines a conceptual framework for understanding the making of H2-scapes and offers three concrete directions for advancing empirical research on hydrogen transitions in the Global South: (1) H2-scapes as resource frontiers; (2) H2-scapes as port-centered arrangements; and (3) H2-scapes as failure. As hydrogen booms in finances projects and visibility the article illuminates conceptual tools and perspectives to think about and facilitate further research on the emergent political geographies of hydrogen transitions particularly in more uneven unequal and vulnerable Global South landscapes.
Speculative Connections: Port Authorities, Littoral Territories and the Assembling of the Green Hydrogen Frontier
Feb 2025
Publication
This article examines the role of European port authorities in assembling the green hydrogen frontier through the production of speculative connections with prospective hydrogen export zones in the global South. Specifically it analyses the role of a particular discursive tool the pre-feasibility report in fixing the meaning of Namibian territory for the purposes of green hydrogen export disembedding hydrogen products from the social political and ecological bases of their production. We argue that the green hydrogen frontier is fundamentally a speculative project insofar as it both accentuates the productive indeterminacy of green hydrogen as an energy commodity and develops a series of discursive strategies designed to measure map and capture the anticipated value of this commodity. The article’s findings advance geographical debates on energy territory and speculation by demonstrating the role of the port authority - an under-researched actor in the literature on energy transitions - in the reimagination and transformation of littoral territories in the global South.
Challenges and Potentials for Additive Manufacturing of Hydrogen Energy Components: A Review
Mar 2025
Publication
Climate change necessitates the development of sustainable energy systems with hydrogen technologies playing a key role in this transition. Additive manufacturing (AM) offers a significant potential to enhance the efficiency of hydrogen energy components and reduce their costs through rapid prototyping design freedom and functional integration. This review provides the first comprehensive summary of the current state of research on the application of AM processes in the production storage and utilization of hydrogen. It highlights various AM processes such as powder bed fusion directed energy deposition fused filament fabrication and stereolithography for the advancement of hydrogen energy components. Current research trends include the material development multi-material AM hybrid processes and the integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning. At present the technologies presented are mainly at a development stage of TRL 4–5. The next major step towards industrialization is the demonstration of prototypes outside the laboratory.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: Mobilizing Capital in Green Hydrogen
Apr 2023
Publication
Continuing from previous episodes about encouraging global investment in green hydrogen Patrick Molloy and Alicia Eastman speak with Ignacio de Calonje Chief Investment Officer IFC Global Infrastructure. Ignacio breaks down the role of the IFC and its relationship with other Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) to encourage decarbonization and bespoke solutions for the Global South.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Delivering the EU Green Deal: Progress Towards Targets 2025
Jan 2025
Publication
This report provides a comprehensive assessment of progress towards the European Green Deal (EGD) the European Union’s transformative agenda for achieving climate neutrality by 2050. The analysis encompasses 154 quantifiable targets from 44 policy documents between 2019 and 2024 across key sectors such as climate energy circular economy transport agriculture and food ecosystems and biodiversity water soil and air pollution. The study shows that significant achievement has been delivered so far but progress needs to accelerate in many areas. As of mid-2024 32 of the 154 targets are currently “on track” and 64 are identified as “acceleration needed” meaning that more progress is needed to meet the targets on time. Furthermore 15 of the targets are found to be “not progressing” or “regressing” and for 43 of the targets no data is currently available. The timing of the binding policies most of which have been recently agreed and are expected to deliver results in the coming years is a significant factor influencing these assessments. This report integrates all EGD actions and related policies offering an assessment of the EU’s green transition based on robust data and science. It identifies priority areas for intensified efforts to meet short-term implementation goals and contribute to the long-term ambition of a sustainable fair just and climate-neutral Europe by 2050. This collective work serves as a benchmarking tool providing scientifically grounded guidance for future EU policies and programmes.
Sustainable Supply Chain and Industrialisation of Hydrogen Technologies, Summary Report 2024
Jan 2024
Publication
This report delves into the European renewable hydrogen supply chain to offer recommendations for Europe to become a leader in the hydrogen economy.
Challenges and Opportunities in Green Hydrogen Supply Chain through Metaheuristic Optimisation
May 2023
Publication
A comprehensive analysis of the green hydrogen supply chain is presented in this paper encompassing production storage transportation and consumption with a focus on the application of metaheuristic optimization. The challenges associated with each stage are highlighted and the potential of metaheuristic optimization methods to address these challenges is discussed. The primary method of green hydrogen production water electrolysis through renewable energy is outlined along with the importance of its optimization. Various storage methods such as compressed gas liquid hydrogen and material-based storage are covered with an emphasis on the need for optimization to improve safety capacity and performance. Different transportation options including pipelines trucks and ships are explored and factors influencing the choice of transportation methods in different regions are identified. Various hydrogen consumption methods and their associated challenges such as fuel cell performance optimization hydrogen-based heating systems design and energy conversion technology choice are also discussed. The paper further investigates multi-objective approaches for the optimization of problems in this domain. The significant potential of metaheuristic optimization techniques is highlighted as a key to addressing these challenges and improving overall efficiency and sustainability with respect to future trends in this rapidly advancing area.
Evaluation of Regional and Temporal Dynamics in CCUS-Hydrogen Development Pathways: A Data-driven Framework
Dec 2024
Publication
China as both a major energy consumer and the largest carbon emitter globally views carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) hydrogen production as a crucial and innovative technology for achieving its dual carbon goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. The development of such technologies requires strong policy guidance making the quantification of policy pathways essential for understanding their effectiveness. This study employs a data-driven framewor integrating LDA topic modeling and the PMC-TE index to analyze the regional and temporal dynamics of CCUS-hydrogen development policies. The research identifies 16 optimal policy topics highlighting gaps in policy design and implementation. The analysis uncovers significant fragmentation in policy pathways with supply-side policies receiving disproportionate attention while demand-side and environmental policies remain under-supported. Regional disparities are evident with wealthier provinces showing higher policy engagement compared to underdeveloped regions. The study also reveals that policy evolution has been largely reactive emphasizing the need for a more proactive and consistent long-term strategy. These findings provide valuable insights for creating more balanced integrated and regionally tailored policy approaches to effectively drive CCUS-hydrogen development in China.
Regional Disparities and Strategic Implications of Hydrogen Production in 27 European Countries
Aug 2024
Publication
This study examines hydrogen production across 27 European countries highlighting disparities due to varying energy policies and industrial capacities. Germany leads with 109 plants followed by Poland France Italy and the UK. Mid-range contributors like the Netherlands Spain Sweden and Belgium also show substantial investments. Countries like Finland Norway Austria and Denmark known for their renewable energy policies have fewer plants while Estonia Iceland Ireland Lithuania and Slovenia are just beginning to develop hydrogen capacities. The analysis also reveals that a significant portion of the overall hydrogen production capacity in these countries remains underutilized with an estimated 40% of existing infrastructure not operating at full potential. Many countries underutilize their production capacities due to infrastructural and operational challenges. Addressing these issues could enhance output supporting Europe’s energy transition goals. The study underscores the potential of hydrogen as a sustainable energy source in Europe and the need for continued investment technological advancements supportive policies and international collaboration to realize this potential.
Expectations for the Role of Hydrogen and Its Derivatives in Different Sectors through Analysis of the Four Energy Scenarios: IEA-STEPS, IEA-NZE, IRENA-PES, and IRENA-1.5◦C
Jan 2024
Publication
Recently worldwide the attention being paid to hydrogen and its derivatives as alternative carbon-free (or low-carbon) options for the electricity sector the transport sector and the industry sector has increased. Several projects in the field of low-emission hydrogen production (particularly electrolysis-based green hydrogen) have either been constructed or analyzed for their feasibility. Despite the great ambitions announced by some nations with respect to becoming hubs for hydrogen production and export some quantification of the levels at which hydrogen and its derived products are expected to penetrate the global energy system and its various demand sectors would be useful in order to judge the practicality and likelihood of these ambitions and future targets. The current study aims to summarize some of the expectations of the level at which hydrogen and its derivatives could spread into the global economy under two possible future scenarios. The first future scenario corresponds to a business-as-usual (BAU) pathway where the world proceeds with the same existing policies and targets related to emissions and low-carbon energy transition. This forms a lower bound for the level of the role of hydrogen and its penetration into the global energy system. The second future scenario corresponds to an emission-conscious pathway where governments cooperate to implement the changes necessary to decarbonize the economy by 2050 in order to achieve net-zero emissions of carbon dioxide (carbon neutrality) and thus limit the rise in the global mean surface temperature to 1.5 ◦C by 2100 (compared to pre-industrial periods). This forms an upper bound for the level of the role of hydrogen and its penetration into the global energy system. The study utilizes the latest release of the annual comprehensive report WEO (World Energy Outlook—edition year 2023 the 26th edition) of the IEA (International Energy Agency) as well as the latest release of the annual comprehensive report WETO (World Energy Transitions Outlook—edition year 2023 the third edition) of the IRENA (International Renewable Energy Agency). For the IEA-WEO report the business-as-usual situation is STEPS (Stated “Energy” Policies Scenario) and the emissions-conscious situation is NZE (Net-Zero Emissions by 2050). For the IRENA-WETO report the business-asusual situation is the PES (Planned Energy Scenario) and the emissions-conscious situation is the 1.5◦C scenario. Through the results presented here it becomes possible to infer a realistic range for the production and utilization of hydrogen and its derivatives in 2030 and 2050. In addition the study enables the divergence between the models used in WEO and WETO to be estimated by identifying the different predictions for similar variables under similar conditions. The study covers miscellaneous variables related to energy and emissions other than hydrogen which are helpful in establishing a good view of how the world may look in 2030 and 2050. Some barriers (such as the uncompetitive levelized cost of electrolysis-based green hydrogen) and drivers (such as the German H2Global initiative) for the hydrogen economy are also discussed. The study finds that the large-scale utilization of hydrogen or its derivatives as a source of energy is highly uncertain and it may be reached slowly given more than two decades to mature. Despite this electrolysis-based green hydrogen is expected to dominate the global hydrogen economy with the annual global production of electrolysis-based green hydrogen expected to increase from 0 million tonnes in 2021 to between 22 million tonnes and 327 million tonnes (with electrolyzer capacity exceeding 5 terawatts) in 2050 depending on the commitment of policymakers toward decarbonization and energy transitions.
Power-to-X Economy: Green E-hydrogen, E-fuels, E-chemicals, and E-materials Opportunities in Africa
Aug 2024
Publication
Africa has enormous potential to produce low-cost e-fuels e-chemicals and e-materials required for complete defossilisation using its abundant renewable resources widely distributed across the continent. This research builds on techno-economic investigations using the LUT Energy System Transition Model and related tools to assess the power-to-X potential in Africa for meeting the local demand and exploring the export potential of power-to-products applications. In this context we analysed the economic viability of exporting green e-fuel echemicals and e-materials from Africa to Europe. We also present the core elements of the Power-to-X Economy i.e. renewable electricity and hydrogen. The results show that hydrogen will likely not be traded simply due to high transport costs. However there is an opportunity for African countries to export e-ammonia e-methanol ekerosene jet fuel e-methane e-steel products and e-plastic to Europe at low cost. The results show that Africa’s low-cost power-to-X products backed by low-cost renewable electricity mainly supplied by solar photovoltaics is the basis for Africa’s vibrant export business opportunities. Therefore the Power-to-X Economy could more appropriately be called a Solar-to-X Economy for Africa. The Power-to-X Economy will foster socio-economic growth in the region including new industrial opportunities new investment portfolios boost income and stimulate local technical know-how thereby delivering a people-driven energy economy. Research on the topic in Africa is limited and at a nascent stage. Thus more studies are required in future to guide investment decisions and cater to policy decisions in achieving carbon neutrality with e-fuels e-chemicals and e-materials.
Green Hydrogen Production Plants: A Techno-economic Review
Aug 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen stands as a promising clean energy carrier with potential net-zero greenhouse gas emissions. However different system-level configurations for green hydrogen production yield different levels of efficiency cost and maturity necessitating a comprehensive assessment. This review evaluates the components of hydrogen production plants from technical and economic perspectives. The study examines six renewable energy sources—solar photovoltaics solar thermal wind biomass hydro and geothermal—alongside three types of electrolyzers (alkaline proton exchange membrane and solid oxide electrolyzer cells) and five hydrogen storage methods (compressed hydrogen liquid hydrogen metal hydrides ammonia and liquid organic hydrogen carriers). A comprehensive assessment of 90 potential system configurations is conducted across five key performance indicators: the overall system cost efficiency emissions production scale and technological maturity. The most cost-effective configurations involve solar photovoltaics or wind turbines combined with alkaline electrolyzers and compressed hydrogen storage. For enhanced system efficiency geothermal sources or biomass paired with solid oxide electrolyzer cells utilizing waste heat show significant promise. The top technologically mature systems feature combinations of solar photovoltaics wind turbines geothermal or hydroelectric power with alkaline electrolyzers using compressed hydrogen or ammonia storage. The highest hydrogen production scales are observed in systems with solar PV wind or hydro power paired with alkaline or PEM electrolyzers and ammonia storage. Configurations using hydro geothermal wind or solar thermal energy sources paired with alkaline electrolyzers and compressed hydrogen or liquid organic hydrogen carriers yield the lowest life cycle GHG emissions. These insights provide valuable decision-making tools for researchers business developers and policymakers guiding the optimization of system efficiency and the reduction of system costs.
Liquid Air Energy Storage (LAES) Integrated into the Hydrogen Economy - Techno-economic Optimization of Waste Cold Recovery from Liquid Hydrogen Regasification
Jul 2025
Publication
A liquid air energy storage (LAES) system is a promising Carnot battery configuration capable of efficiently recovering waste heat and cold energy carriers. Among these liquid hydrogen (LH₂) regasification presents a significant opportunity due to its high exergy content and its regasification temperature which aligns well with the liquid air liquefaction process. While most existing studies focus on integrating LAES with liquid natural gas (LNG) regasification or improving hydrogen liquefaction via liquid air regasification this work takes a novel approach by enhancing liquid air liquefaction through the utilization of waste cold from LH₂ regasification. Additionally this study explores an economic innovation the valorization of clean dry air discharged by LAES which has not been extensively examined in prior literature. A novel LAES configuration is proposed and subjected to a techno-economic analysis comparing its performance with a stand-alone LAES system. Results show that the proposed integration increases round-trip efficiency by 15 % reduces the levelized cost of storage by 60 % and achieves a payback period of under 10 years. These findings provide valuable insights for both academia and industry advancing the development of more efficient and economically viable LAES systems.
Spatial Optimization Strategies for China's Hydrogen Infrastructure Industry Chain
Oct 2024
Publication
Promoting the development of China’s hydrogen energy industry is crucial for achieving green energy transition. However existing research lacks systematic studies on the spatial layout of the hydrogen industry chain. This study constructed a comprehensive theoretical framework encompassing hardware infrastructure software systems and soft power. Using multi-source heterogeneous data GIS analysis and NVivo text coding methods the current regional layout and challenges of China’s hydrogen infrastructure industry chain were systematically evaluated. The findings determined that economically developed eastern regions lead in infrastructure and soft power while central and western regions leverage their resource and manufacturing advantages. Major challenges include regional imbalances in hardware infrastructure uneven distribution of soft power and misalignment between software systems and actual needs. Analysis of the “14th Five-Year Plan” of various regions elucidated deep insights into the diversity of local hydrogen energy development strategies identifying five types of hydrogen cities: resource-advantaged market-oriented regionally collaborative innovation-driven and policy-supported. Accordingly strategies to enhance industry chain synergy clarify city roles and optimize regional ecosystems were proposed. It is recommended to integrate hydrogen infrastructure with urban planning and incorporate environmental impact assessments into spatial optimization decisions. This study provides a systematic analytical framework and progressive policy recommendations for the efficient and green layout of China’s hydrogen infrastructure offering important implications for the sustainable development of the hydrogen industry and other rapidly developing economies.
Hydrogen Materials and Technologies in the Aspect of Utilization in the Polish Energy Sector
Nov 2024
Publication
Currently modern hydrogen technologies due to their low or zero emissions constitute one of the key elements of energy transformation and sustainable development. The growing interest in hydrogen is driven by the European climate policy aimed at limiting the use of fossil fuels for energy purposes. Although not all opinions regarding the technical and economic potential of hydrogen energy are positive many prepared forecasts and analyses show its prospective importance in several areas of the economy. The aim of this article is to provide a comprehensive review of modern materials current hydrogen technologies and strategies and show the opportunities problems and challenges Poland faces in the context of necessary energy transformation. The work describes the latest trends in the production transportation storage and use of hydrogen. The environmental social and economic aspects of the use of green hydrogen were discussed in addition to the challenges and expectations for the future in the field of hydrogen technologies. The main goals of the development of the hydrogen economy in Poland and the directions of actions necessary to achieve them were also presented. It was found that the existence of the EU CO2 emissions allowance trading system has a significant impact on the costs of hydrogen production. Furthermore the production of green hydrogen will become economically justified as the costs of energy obtained from renewable sources decrease and the costs of electrolysers decline. However the realisation of this vision depends on the progress of scientific research and technical innovations that will reduce the costs of hydrogen production. Government support mechanisms for the development of hydrogen infrastructure and technologies will also be of key importance.
Near-term Infrastructure Rollout and Investment Strategies for Net-zero Hydrogen Supply Chains
Feb 2024
Publication
Low-carbon hydrogen plays a key role in European industrial decarbonization strategies. This work investigates the cost-optimal planning of European low-carbon hydrogen supply chains in the near term (2025–2035) comparing several hydrogen production technologies and considering multiple spatial scales. We focus on mature hydrogen production technologies: steam methane reforming of natural gas biomethane reforming biomass gasification and water electrolysis. The analysis includes carbon capture and storage for natural gas and biomass-derived hydrogen. We formulate and solve a linear optimization model that determines the costoptimal type size and location of hydrogen production and transport technologies in compliance with selected carbon emission targets including the EU fit for 55 target and an ambitious net-zero emissions target for 2035. Existing steam methane reforming capacities are considered and optimal carbon and biomass networks are designed. Findings identify biomass-based hydrogen production as the most cost-efficient hydrogen technology. Carbon capture and storage is installed to achieve net-zero carbon emissions while electrolysis remains costdisadvantageous and is deployed on a limited scale across all considered sensitivity scenarios. Our analysis highlights the importance of spatial resolution revealing that national perspectives underestimate costs by neglecting domestic transport needs and regional resource constraints emphasizing the necessity for highly decarbonized infrastructure designs aligned with renewable resource availabilities.
Investments in Green Hydrogen as a Flexibility Source for the European Power System by 2050: Does it Pay Off?
Oct 2024
Publication
The European Union aims to deploy a high share of renewable energy sources in Europe’s power system by 2050. Large-scale intermittent wind and solar power production requires flexibility to ensure an adequate supply–demand balance. Green hydrogen (GH) can increase power systems’ flexibility and decrease renewable energy production’s curtailment. However investing in GH is costly and dependent on electricity prices which are important for operational costs in electrolysis. Moreover the use of GH for power system flexibility might not be economically viable if there is no hydrogen demand from the hydrogen market. If so questions would arise as to what would be the incentives to introduce GH as a source of flexibility in the power system and how would electrolyzer costs hydrogen demand and other factors affect the economic viability of GH usage for power system flexibility. The paper implements a European power system model formulated as a stochastic program to address these questions. The authors use the model to compare various instances with hydrogen in the power system to a no-hydrogen instance. The results indicate that by 2050 deployment of approximately 140 GW of GH will pay off investments and make the technology economically viable. We find that the price of hydrogen is estimated to be around €30/MWh.
An Overview of Hydrogen Valleys: Current Status, Challenges and their Role in Increased Renewable Energy Penetration
Sep 2024
Publication
Renewable hydrogen is a flexible and versatile energy vector that can facilitate the decarbonization of several sectors and simultaneously ease the stress on the electricity grids that are currently being saturated with intermittent renewable power. But hydrogen technologies are currently facing limitations related to existing infrastructure limitations available markets as well as production storage and distribution costs. These challenges will be gradually addressed through the establishment operation and scaling-up of hydrogen valleys. Hydrogen valleys are an important stepping stone towards the full-scale implementation of the hydrogen economy with the target to foster sustainability lower carbon emissions and derisk the associated hydrogen technologies. These hydrogen ecosystems integrate renewable energy sources efficient hydrogen production storage transportation technologies as well as diverse end-users within a defined geographical region. This study offers an overview of the hydrogen valleys concept analyzing the critical aspects of their design and the key segments that constitute the framework of a hydrogen valley. А holistic overview of the key characteristics of a hydrogen valley is provided whereas an overview of key on-going hydrogen valley projects is presented. This work underscores the importance of addressing challenges related to the integration of renewable energy sources into electricity grids as well as scale-up challenges associated with economic and market conditions society awareness and political decision-making.
Risky Business? Evaluating Hydrogen Partnerships Established by Germany, The Netherlands, and Belgium
Dec 2023
Publication
Following the introduction of the EU’s Hydrogen Strategy in 2020 as part of the European Green Deal some EU member states have deployed a very active hydrogen diplomacy. Germany The Netherlands and Belgium have been the most active ones establishing no less than 40 bilateral hydrogen trade partnerships with 30 potential export countries in the last three years. However concerns have been voiced about whether such hydrogen trade relationships can be economically feasible geopolitically wise environmentally sustainable and socially just. This article therefore evaluates these partnerships considering three risk dimensions: economic political and sustainability (covering both environmental and justice) risks. The analysis reveals that the selection of partner countries entails significant trade-offs. Four groups of partner countries can be identified based on their respective risk profile: “Last Resorts” “Volatile Ventures” “Strategic Gambits” and “Trusted Friends”. Strikingly less than one-third of the agreements are concluded with countries that fall within the “Trusted Friends” category which have the lowest overall risk profile. These findings show the need for policy makers to think much more strategically about which partnerships to pursue and to confront tough choices about which risks and trade-offs they are willing to accept.
Review of the Hydrogen Supply Chain and Use in Africa
Oct 2024
Publication
The high potential in renewable energy sources (RES) and the availability of strategic minerals for green hydrogen technologies place Africa in a promising position for the development of a climate-compatible economy leveraging on hydrogen. This study reviews the potential hydrogen value chain in Africa considering production and final uses while addressing perspectives on policies possible infrastructures and facilities for hydrogen logistics. Through scientific studies research and searching in relevant repositories this review features the collection analysis of technical data and georeferenced information about key aspects of the hydrogen value chain. Detailed maps and technical data for gas transport infrastructure and liquefaction terminals in the continent are reported to inform and elaborate findings about readiness for hydrogen trading and domestic use in Africa. Specific maps and technical data have been also collected for the identification of potential hydrogen offtakers focusing on individual industrial installations to produce iron and steel chemicals and oil refineries. Finally georeferenced data are presented for main road and railway corridors as well as for most important African ports as further end-use and logistic platforms. Beyond technical information this study collects and discusses more recent perspectives about policies and implementation initiatives specifically addressing hydrogen production logistics and final use also introducing potential criticalities associated with environmental and social impacts.
Power and Green Hydrogen Trade Potential between North African and European Countries: Conditions, Challenges, and Sustainability Prospects
Dec 2024
Publication
This study investigates the implications of hydrogen demand and trade between Europe and North Africa emphasizing how renewable energy system (RES) capacity limitations impact both regions. Growing hydrogen demand for decarbonization has fueled interest in North Africa’s potential to export green hydrogen to Europe. Using the eTIMES-EUNA model this study examines how demand trade and RES development challenges shape the energy landscapes of both regions. The findings indicate that hydrogen demand amplifies renewable electricity requirements in both regions with Europe particularly benefiting from importing hydrogen to alleviate additional RES capacity installation. Hydrogen trade reduces overall costs by 1 % yet it shifts a considerable financial burden onto North Africa demanding a rapid RES capacity expansion at a rate significantly higher than the current pace. Slower RES development in North Africa could hinder the region’s ability to meet both domestic and export targets thereby complicating Europe’s hydrogen sourcing strategies which are also challenged by social acceptance issues that limit RES deployment. These constraints in Europe necessitate adjustments to the technological mix and place additional pressure on North Africa to increase production. Furthermore the varying implications and stakes at the national level highlight the need for further analysis as individual countries may prioritize their own interests potentially leading to conflicts with neighboring nations under different development schemes. Consequently the results underscore the importance of coordinated financial and policy support to ensure equitable trade that aligns with both regions’ sustainability goals.
Environmental and Climate Impacts of a Large-scale Deployment of Green Hydrogen in Europe
Apr 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is expected to play a vital role in decarbonizing the energy system in Europe. However large-scale deployment of green hydrogen has associated potential trade-offs in terms of climate and other environmental impacts. This study aims to shed light on a comprehensive sustainability assessment of this large-scale green hydrogen deployment based on the EMPIRE energy system modeling compared with other decarbonization paths. Process-based Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is applied and connected with the output of the energy system model revealing 45% extra climate impact caused by the dedicated 50% extra renewable infrastructure to deliver green hydrogen for the demand in the sectors of industry and transport in Europe towards 2050. Whereas the analysis shows that green hydrogen eventually wins on the climate impact within four designed scenarios (with green hydrogen with blue hydrogen without green hydrogen and baseline) mainly compensated by its clean usage and renewable electricity supply. On the other hand green hydrogen has a lower performance in other environmental impacts including human toxicity ecotoxicity mineral use land use and water depletion. Furthermore a monetary valuation of Life Cycle Impact (LCI) is estimated to aggregate 13 categories of environmental impacts between different technologies. Results indicate that the total monetized LCI cost of green hydrogen production is relatively lower than that of blue hydrogen. In overview a large-scale green hydrogen deployment potentially shifts the environmental pressure from climate and fossil resource use to human health mineral resource use and ecosystem damage due to its higher material consumption of the infrastructure.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: State of the Union with the Everything About Hydrogen Team
Dec 2024
Publication
Back by popular demand Christopher Jackson Alicia Eastman and Patrick Molloy speak about the industry highlights and lowlights expectations for 2025 and what we can do to improve outcomes across the board. Equal parts sweepingly generalist and mind numbing minutiae create the perfect pundit cocktail. Wallow in the bad news and celebrate the bright sides together.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Regional Capabilities and Hydrogen Adoption Barriers
Dec 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is gaining importance to decarbonize the energy system and tackle the climate crisis. This exploratory study analyzes three focus groups with representatives from relevant organizations in a Northern German region that has unique beneficial characteristics for the transition to a hydrogen economy. Based upon this data (1) a category system of innovation adoption barriers for hydrogen technologies is developed (2) decision levels associated with the barriers are identified (3) detailed insights on how decision levels contribute to the adoption barriers are provided and (4) the barriers are evaluated in terms of their importance. Our analysis adds to existing literature by focusing on short-term barriers and exploring relevant decision levels and their associated adoption barriers. Our main results comprise the following: flaws in the funding system complex approval procedures lack of networks and high costs contribute to hydrogen adoption barriers. The (Sub-)State level is relevant for the uptake of the hydrogen economy. Regional entities have leeway to foster the hydrogen transition especially with respect to the distribution infrastructure. Funding policy technological suitability investment and operating costs and the availability of distribution infrastructure and technical components are highly important adoption barriers that alone can impede the transition to a hydrogen economy.
The Transition to an Eco-Friendly City as a First Step Toward Climate Neutrality with Green Hydrogen
Mar 2025
Publication
A city of the future will need to be eco-friendly while meeting general social and economic requirements. Hydrogen-based technologies provide solutions for initially limiting CO2 emissions with prospects indicating complete decarbonization in the future. Cities will need to adopt and integrate these technologies to avoid a gap between the development of hydrogen production and its urban application. Achievable results are analyzed by injecting hydrogen into the urban methane gas network initially in small proportions but gradually increasing over time. This paper also presents a numerical application pertaining to the city of Bucharest Romania—a metropolis with a population of 2.1 million inhabitants. Although the use of fuel cells is less advantageous for urban transport compared to electric battery-based solutions the heat generated by hydrogen-based technologies such as fuel cells can be efficiently utilized for residential heating. However storage solutions are required for residential consumption separate from that of urban transport along with advancements in electric transport using existing batteries which necessitate a detailed economic assessment. For electricity generation including cogeneration gas turbines have proven to be the most suitable solution. Based on the analyzed data the paper synthesizes the opportunities offered by hydrogen-based technologies for a city of the future.
Hydrogen for a Sustainable Europe
Nov 2024
Publication
This brochure provides a detailed overview of the EU’s funding mechanisms and an inspiring look at real projects managed by CINEA. These examples illustrate how diverse stakeholders from industry leaders to research institutions are translating hydrogen ambitions into impactful on-the-ground solutions that address both technological and societal needs.
Designing Effective Hydrogen Markets: Policy Recommendations from Electricity and Gas Market Reform
Aug 2025
Publication
For low-carbon hydrogen to become a viable decarbonization solution the creation of a robust and effective market is essential. This paper examines the applicability of market reforms from the renewable energy natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) sectors with a focus on pricing mechanisms business models and infrastructure access to facilitate hydrogen market development. Applying the Structure-Conduct-PerformanceRegulation (SCP-R) framework and informed by stakeholder insights we identify critical enablers for advancing the hydrogen market formation. Our analysis highlights the importance of innovative pricing strategies and regulatory measures incentivizing investment and managing risks. Establishing a market reference price for low-carbon hydrogen — akin to benchmarks in the natural gas and LNG sectors—is critical for ensuring transparency predictability and regional adaptability in trade. Additionally customized business models are also needed to mitigate volume risks for producers. Government interventions such as offtake agreements and the development of hydrogen hubs are indispensable for fostering competition and driving decarbonization.
The Global Yet Local Nature of Energy Imaginaries: The Cases of Dutch and Spanish Hydrogen Valleys
Mar 2025
Publication
Hydrogen valleys are envisaged (imagined) integrated industrial systems where hydrogen is produced stored and utilized. Here we show how hydrogen valleys as sociotechnical imaginaries are differentiated in terms of their specific configurations but homogenous in terms of reflecting the interests of large industrial fossil fuel suppliers and consumers. This path dependence is anticipated in sociotechnical transitions theory which emphasises the power of incumbents with vested interests to maintain basic templates or regimes of production and consumption. The simultaneously heterogeneous and homogenous nature of hydrogen valley imaginaries can be thought of as a form of glocalisation for which we draw on Roudometof's theory of glocalisation as involving the local refraction of diffusing global tendencies. To illustrate this we compare two hydrogen valleys one in the north of the Netherlands and one in southern Spain. In the north Netherlands the hydrogen valley imaginary comprises use of offshore windpower to electrolyse hydrogen for transport fuel and as feedstock to heavy industry in proximate regions including northern Germany and Belgium. This is consistent with existing gas distribution networks connecting industrial consumers. In the southern Spanish case the imaginary positions Spain as a major exporter of green hydrogen to the rest of Europe via onshore renewable electrolysis with export including via ocean tankers and chemical refining in existing infrastructure in Rotterdam. Overall the study explores empirically theoretically-informed themes concerning the interrelationship of mutually supportive local and global imaginaries – hence our term glocalised imaginaries.
Pieces of a Jigsaw: Opportunities and Challenges in the Nascent Australian Hydrogen Mobility Market
Mar 2023
Publication
Mobility has been a prominent target for proponents of the hydrogen economy. Given the complexities involved in the mobility value chain actors hoping to participate in this nascent market must overcome a range of challenges relating to the availability of vehicles the co-procurement of supporting infrastructure a favourable regulatory environment and a supportive community among others. In this paper we present a state-of-play account of the nascent hydrogen mobility market in Victoria Australia drawing on data from a workshop (N ¼ 15) and follow-up interviews (n ¼ 10). We interpret findings through a socio-technical framework to understand the ways in which fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs)dand hydrogen technologies more generallydare conceptualised by different stakeholder groups and how these conceptualisations mediate engagement in this unfolding market. Findings reveal prevailing efforts to make sense of the FCEV market during a period of considerable institutional ambiguity. Discourses embed particular worldviews of FCEV technologies themselves in addition to the envisioned roles the resultant products and services will play in broader environmental and energy transition narratives. Efforts to bring together stakeholders representing different areas of the FCEV market should be seen as important enablers of success for market participants.
Water Electrolysis and Hydrogen in the European Union - Status Report on Technology Development, Trends, Value Chains & Markets
Jan 2024
Publication
This report is an output of the Clean Energy Technology Observatory (CETO) and is an update of the “Water electrolysis and hydrogen in the European Union” 2023 CETO report. CETO’s objective is to provide an evidencebased analysis feeding the policy making process and hence increasing the effectiveness of R&I policies for clean energy technologies and solutions. It monitors EU research and innovation activities on clean energy technologies needed for the delivery of the European Green Deal; and assesses the competitiveness of the EU clean energy sector and its positioning in the global energy market. CETO is being implemented by the Joint Research Centre for DG Research and Innovation Energy in coordination with DG Energy.
Sustainability Analysis of the Global Hydrogen Trade Network from a Resilience Perspective: A Risk Propagation Model Based on Complex Networks
Jul 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is being increasingly integrated into the international trade system as a clean and flexible energy carrier motivated by the global energy transition and carbon neutrality objectives. The rapid expansion of the global hydrogen trade network has simultaneously exposed several sustainability challenges including a centralized structure overdependence on key countries and limited resilience to external disruptions. Based on this we develop a risk propagation model that incorporates the absorption capacity of nodes to simulate the propagation of supply shortage risks within the global hydrogen trade network. Furthermore we propose a composite sustainability index constructed from structural economic and environmental resilience indicators enabling a systematic assessment of the network’s sustainable development capacity under external shock scenarios. Findings indicate the following: (1) The global hydrogen trade network is undergoing a structural shift from a Western Europe-dominated unipolar configuration to a more polycentric pattern. Countries such as China and Singapore are emerging as key hubs linking Eurasian regions with trade relationships among nations becoming increasingly dense and diversified. (2) Although supply shortage shocks trigger structural disturbances economic losses and risks of carbon rebound their impacts are largely concentrated in a limited number of hub countries with relatively limited disruption to the overall sustainability of the system. (3) Countries exhibit significant heterogeneity in structural economic and environmental resilience. Risk propagation demonstrates an uneven pattern characterized by hub-induced disruptions chain-like transmission and localized clustering. Accordingly policy recommendations are proposed including the establishment of a polycentric coordination mechanism the enhancement of regional emergency coordination mechanisms and the advancement of differentiated capacity-building efforts.
Distributed Waste-to-hydrogen Refuelling Station Implementation in South Africa: Techno-economic-socio-political and Environmental Indications
Feb 2025
Publication
The combustion of liquid fossil fuels in the transportation sector disposal and incineration of municipal solid waste (MSW) are the main sources of greenhouse gas emissions in cities across the world. In an effort to decarbonize the transportation sector the South African government is dedicated to advancing green trans portation through the hydrogen economy. Waste-to-hydrogen production can simultaneously achieve the goals of green transportation and waste management through widespread availability of hydrogen refuelling stations. This study assesses the techno-economic and environmental viability of waste-to-hydrogen refuelling stations in five selected South Africa cities. The refuelling stations’ capacity was determined based on assumption that a 5 kg hydrogen-fuel-cell vehicle is refuelled per day. The economic feasibility was premised on net present value (NPV) payback period (PBP) internal rate of return (IRR) and levelized cost of hydrogen refuelling (LCOHr). The environmental analysis was based on ecological efficiency and carbon emission reduction potential. Some of the main findings indicate that the City of Tshwane and City of Johannesburg have refuelling station capacities of 356 thousand kg/day H2 and 395 thousand kg/day H2 respectively. Economically the project is viable with positive NPV between 1.099 and 8.0563 Billion $ LCOHr in the range of 3.99 $/kg - 5.63 $/kg PBP of 9.03–13.74 years and IRR of 18.16 %–39.88 %. An ecological efficiency of 99.982 % was obtained which in dicates an environmentally friendly system with the potential to save 1439 million litres and 1563 million litres of diesel fuel and gasoline respectively capable of preventing about 4 kilo-tons of CO2 into the atmosphere annually. Sensitivity analysis indicates that reforming efficiency selling price of hydrogen and station capacity are crucial parameters with great influence on the economic profitability of waste-to-hydrogen refuelling station.
Green Hydrogen Supply Chain Decision-Making and Contract Optimization Under Uncertainty: A Pessimistic-Based Perspective
Jul 2025
Publication
To address the issue of excessive pessimism caused by demand and supply uncertainties in the green hydrogen supply chain this study develops a two-tier green hydrogen supply chain model comprising upstream hydrogen production stations and downstream hydrogen refueling stations. This research work investigates optimal ordering and production strategies under stochastic demand and supply conditions. Additionally option contracts are introduced to share the risks associated with the stochastic output of green hydrogen. This study shows the following: (1) Under decentralized decision-making the optimal ordering quantity when the hydrogen refueling station is excessively pessimistic is not necessarily lower than the optimal ordering quantity when it is in a rational state and hydrogen production stations will only operate when the degree of excessive pessimism is relatively low. (2) The initial option ordering quantity is always larger than the minimum execution quantity under the option contract; higher first-order option prices and lower second-order option prices can help to increase the initial option ordering quantity. (3) The option contract is effective in circumventing the negative impact of excessive pessimism at hydrogen production stations on planned production quantities. This study addresses the gap in the existing research regarding excessively pessimistic behaviors and the application of option contracts within the green hydrogen supply chain providing both theoretical insights and practical guidance for decision-making optimization. This advancement further promotes the sustainable development of the green hydrogen industry.
Breakthrough Position and Trajectory of Sustainable Energy Technology
Jan 2025
Publication
This research aims to determine the position and the breakthrough trajectory of sustainable energy technologies. Fine-grained insights into these breakthrough positions and trajectories are limited. This research seeks to fill this gap by analyzing sustainable energy technologies’ breakthrough positions and trajectories in terms of development application and upscaling. To this end the breakthrough positions and trajectories of seven sustainable energy technologies i.e. hydrogen from seawater electrolysis hydrogen airplanes inland floating photovoltaics redox flow batteries hydrogen energy for grid balancing hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles and smart sustainable energy houses are analyzed. This is guided by an extensively researched and literature-based model that visualizes and describes these technologies’ experimentation and demonstration stages. This research identifies where these technologies are located in their breakthrough trajectory in terms of the development phase (prototyping production process and organization and niche market creation and sales) experiment and demonstration stage (technical organizational and market) the form of collaboration (public–private private–public and private) physical location (university and company laboratories production sites and marketplaces) and scale-up type (demonstrative and first-order and second-order transformative). For scientists this research offers the opportunity to further refine the features of sustainable energy technologies’ developmental positions and trajectories at a detailed level. For practitioners it provides insights that help to determine investments in various sustainable energy technologies.
Mapping China's Hydrogen Energy City Clusters: Old and New Synergistic Effects
Feb 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is a pivotal driver of the green economy and clean energy transition and global efforts are underway to scale up hydrogen technology and its adoption. This study explores China’s hydrogen fuel cell vehicle (HFCV) city clusters policy launched in 2021 involving five clusters consisting of 44 cities to boost the country’s hydrogen economy. Drawing on cluster theory collaborative network literature and evolutionary economic geography we investigate the connections between hydrogen city clusters and historical geographically based and industrial-based clusters as well as the formation of collaborative networks among cities. By comparing these heterogeneous city networks our findings highlight the competitive edge of HFCV city clusters that capitalize on resource and innovation complementarity instead of relying solely on geographical positioning or pre-existing collaborations. The results of the Exponential Random Graph Analysis reveal that existing clusters economic strength of cities and their strategic positions within the hydrogen industrial chain significantly shape collaborative networks. This study contributes to cluster policy research by examining how China’s HFCV city clusters integrate historical advantages while fostering synergies with less connected cities offering valuable insights into inter-city collaboration and strategies for sustainable industrial development.
Environmental Life-cycle Analysis of Hydrogen Technology in the United States
Oct 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is a zero-carbon energy carrier with potential to decarbonize industrial and transportation sectors but its life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions depend on its energy supply chain and carbon management measures (e.g. carbon capture and storage). Global support for clean hydrogen production and use has recently intensified. In the United States Congress passed several laws that incentivize the production and use of renewable and low-carbon hydrogen such as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) in 2021 and the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in 2022 which provides tax credits of up to $3/kg depending on the carbon intensity of the produced hydrogen. A comprehensive life-cycle accounting of GHG emissions associated with hydrogen production is needed to determine the carbon intensity of hydrogen throughout its value chain. In the United States Argonne’s R&D GREET® (Greenhouse Gases Regulated emissions and Energy use in Technologies) model has been widely used for hydrogen carbon intensity calculations. This paper describes the major hydrogen technology pathways considered in the United States and provides data sources and carbon intensity results for each of the hydrogen production and delivery pathways using consistent system boundaries and most recent technology performance and supply chain data.
Advanced Biofuels in the European Union - Status Report on Technology Development, Trends, Value Chains & Markets
Jan 2024
Publication
The report provides a detailed examination of the biofuel sector and advanced biofuel sector within the European Union (EU) focusing on its economic environmental and technological dimensions. The report is an update of the CETO 2023 report. The EU is highlighted as the central point of view with specific references to EU Member States showcasing their roles in the sector. The report is essential for understanding the multifaceted role of advanced biofuels in the EU's strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhance energy security. The report underscores the EU's commitment through various policies and directives such as the Renewable Energy Directive and its amendment which set sustainability criteria and define advanced biofuels. The report details the EU's leadership in scientific publications and high-value patents in the advanced biofuel sector. It gives insights into the current state of innovation and the areas where the EU is leading. The report delves into technological advancements and challenges in the biofuel sector. It discusses various advanced biofuel technologies currently being developed and commercialised. The report covers the trends in installed capacity and production of biofuels within the EU providing a comparative analysis with other regions. It details the production capacities and operational plants for bioethanol and biodiesel. The report provides comprehensive data on the economic contributions of the advanced biofuel sector to the EU's economy. The report details the sector's impact on GDP and employment highlighting the significant contributions from operation and maintenance feedstock supply construction and equipment manufacturing. The report emphasises the importance of continued investment technological development and international collaboration to ensure the advanced biofuel sector's growth and sustainability.
Bridging the Gap: Public Perception and Acceptance of Hydrogen Technology in the Philippines
Jan 2025
Publication
This study examines the effects of transitioning to hydrogen production in the National Capital Region (NCR) and Palawan Province Philippines focusing on technology environment and stakeholder impact. This research conducted through a July 2022 survey aimed to assess public awareness knowledge risk perception and acceptance of hydrogen and its environmentally friendly variant green hydrogen infrastructure. Disparities were found between urban NCR and rural Palawan with lower awareness in Palawan. Safety concerns were highlighted with NCR respondents generally considering hydrogen production safe while Palawan respondents had mixed feelings particularly regarding nuclear-based hydrogen generation. This report emphasizes the potential ecological advantages of hydrogen technology but highlights potential issues concerning water usage and land impacts. It suggests targeted public awareness campaigns robust safety assurance programs regional pilot projects and integrated environmental plans to facilitate the seamless integration of hydrogen technology into the Philippines’ energy portfolio. This collective effort aims to help the country meet climate action obligations foster sustainable development and enhance energy resilience.
Modelling of a "Hydrogen Valley" to Investigate the Impact of a Regional Pipeline for Hydrogen Supply
Jul 2024
Publication
Introduction: The transition towards electrolysis-produced hydrogen in refineries and chemical industries is expected to have a potent impact on the local energy system of which these industries are part. In this study three urban areas with hydrogen-intense industries are studied regarding how the energy system configuration is affected if the expected future hydrogen demand is met in each node individually as compared to forming a “Hydrogen Valley” in which a pipeline can be used to trade hydrogen between the nodes.<br/>Method: A technoeconomic mixed-integer linear optimization model is used to study the investments in and dispatch of the included technologies with an hourly time resolution while minimizing the total system cost. Four cases are investigated based on the availability of offshore wind power and the possibility to invest in a pipeline.<br/>Results: The results show that investments in a pipeline reduces by 4%–7% the total system cost of meeting the demands for electricity heating and hydrogen in the cases investigated. Furthermore investments in a pipeline result in greater utilization of local variable renewable electricity resources as compared to the cases without the possibility to invest in a pipeline.<br/>Discussion: The different characteristics of the local energy systems of the three nodes in local availability of variable renewable electricity grid capacity and available storage options compared to local demands of electricity heating and hydrogen are found to be the driving forces for forming a Hydrogen Valley.
Geotechnical Properties of Carbonate Sands on the Coast of Ceará: Implications for Offshore Wind Foundations and Green Hydrogen Initiatives
May 2025
Publication
The coastal region of Ceará Brazil is expected to host offshore wind farms aimed at producing green hydrogen (GH2) through electrolysis. However the viability and cost of these developments may be affected by the mechanical behaviour of the marine subsoil which is largely composed of carbonate sands. These sediments are known for their complex and variable geotechnical properties which can influence the foundation performance. This study investigates the geotechnical characteristics of carbonate sands in comparison with quartz sands to support the design of offshore wind turbine foundations. Field testing using the Ménard pressuremeter and laboratory analyses including particle size distribution microscopy X-ray fluorescence calcimetry direct shear and triaxial testing were performed to determine the key strength and stiffness parameters. The results show substantial differences between carbonate and quartz sands particularly in terms of the stiffness and friction angle with notable variability even within the same material type. These findings highlight the need for site-specific characterisation in offshore foundation design. This study contributes data that can improve geotechnical risk assessments and assist in selecting appropriate foundation solutions under local conditions supporting the planned offshore wind energy infrastructure essential to Ceará’s green hydrogen strategy.
Decarbonizing Rural Off-Grid Areas Through Hybrid Renewable Hydrogen Systems: A Case Study from Turkey
Sep 2025
Publication
Access to renewable energy is vital for rural development and climate change mitigation. The intermittency of renewable sources necessitates efficient energy storage especially in off-grid applications. This study evaluates the technical economic and environmental performance of an off-grid hybrid system for the rural settlement of Soma Turkey. Using HOMER Pro 3.14.2 software a system consisting of solar wind battery and hydrogen components was modeled under four scenarios with Cyclic Charging (CC) and Load Following (LF) control strategies for optimization. Life cycle assessment (LCA) and hydrogen leakage impacts were calculated separately through MATLAB R2019b analysis in accordance with ISO 14040 and ISO 14044 standards. Scenario 1 (PV + wind + battery + H2) offered the most balanced solution with a net present cost (NPC) of USD 297419 with a cost of electricity (COE) of USD 0.340/kWh. Scenario 2 without batteries increased hydrogen consumption despite a similar COE. Scenario 3 with wind only achieved the lowest hydrogen consumption and the highest efficiency. In Scenario 4 hydrogen consumption decreased with battery reintegration but COE increased. Specific CO2 emissions ranged between 36–45 gCO2-eq/kWh across scenarios. Results indicate that the control strategy and component selection strongly influence performance and that hydrogen-based hybrid systems offer a sustainable solution in rural areas.
Assessing the Feasibility of a Green Hydrogen Economy in Selected African Regions with Composite Indicators
Jan 2025
Publication
This study offers a comprehensive analysis of the feasibility of green hydrogen economies in Western and Southern African regions focusing on the ECOWAS and SADC countries. Utilizing a novel approach based on composite indicators the research evaluates the potential readiness and overall feasibility of green hydrogen production and export across these regions. The study incorporates various factors including the technical potential of renewable energy sources water resource availability energy security and existing infrastructure for transport and export. Country-specific analyses reveal unique insights into the diverse potential of nations like South Africa Lesotho Ghana Nigeria Angola and Namibia each with its unique strengths and challenges in the context of green hydrogen. The research findings underscore the complexity of developing green hydrogen economies highlighting the need for nuanced region-specific approaches that consider technical socioeconomic geopolitical and environmental factors. The paper concludes that cooperation and integration between countries in the regions may be crucial for the success of a future green hydrogen economy
Carbon Neutrality in Malaysia and Kuala Lumpur: Insights from Stakeholder-driven Integrated Assessment Modelling
Apr 2024
Publication
Introduction: Several cities in Malaysia have established plans to reduce their CO2 emissions in addition to Malaysia submitting a Nationally Determined Contribution to reduce its carbon intensity (against GDP) by 45% in 2030 compared to 2005. Meeting these emissions reduction goals will require ajoint effort between governments industries and corporations at different scales and across sectors.<br/>Methods: In collaboration with national and sub-national stakeholders we developed and used a global integrated assessment model to explore emissions mitigation pathways in Malaysia and Kuala Lumpur. Guided by current climate action plans we created a suite of scenarios to reflect uncertainties in policy ambition level of adoption and implementation for reaching carbon neutrality. Through iterative engagement with all parties we refined the scenarios and focus of the analysis to best meet the stakeholders’ needs.<br/>Results: We found that Malaysia can reduce its carbon intensity and reach carbon neutrality by 2050 and that action in Kuala Lumpur can play a significant role. Decarbonization of the power sector paired with extensive electrification energy efficiency improvements in buildings transportation and industry and the use of advanced technologies such as hydrogen and carbon capture and storage will be Major drivers to mitigate emissions with carbon dioxide removal strategies being key to eliminate residual emissions.<br/>Discussion: Our results suggest a hopeful future for Malaysia’s ability to meet its climate goals recognizing that there may be technological social and financial challenges along the way. This study highlights the participatory process in which stakeholders contributed to the development of the model and guided the analysis as well as insights into Malaysia’s decarbonization potential and the role of multilevel governance.
Investigating Wind Energy Curtailment to Enable Constraint Analysis and Green Hydrogen Potential in Scotland’s Energy Infrastructure
May 2025
Publication
Curtailment of renewable energy is a growing issue in global energy infrastructure. A case study is carried out to investigate wind energy curtailment occurring in Scotland which presents a growing issue with an increasing amount of renewable energy going to waste. Complex relationships between grid constraints and wind farm operations must be explored to maximise utilisation of low-carbon electricity and to avoid the “turnup” of non-renewable sources. Transmission zones and boundaries are considered and mapped and a novel method of direct measurement of curtailment for transmission-level assets is proposed with an intuitive reproducible approach utilising balancing mechanism data. Curtailment data is examined and combined to find national trends explore the viability of distributed hydrogen electrolysis and compare curtailment and constraint directly across transmission boundaries. The weaknesses of the data collection methods are considered solutions for a future iteration are proposed and further uses of the outputs are discovered.
Prospects for the Development of Hydrogen Technologies: A Study of Projects in Europe and Australia
Jun 2025
Publication
This study examines the development of hydrogen energy technologies across continents focusing on the concentration of expertise in hydrogen production within specific cross-border alliances and individual countries. The evolution of green hydrogen is assessed through an analysis of 297 hydrogen projects in Europe and Australia. The implementation of projects is constrained by high production costs limiting the price competitiveness of the final product. The analysis reveals that electrolysis is the predominant technology employed in hydrogen production with mobility being the primary area of application. The study includes a forecast indicating a significant decrease in auction prices for green hydrogen products due to economies of scale. Learning curve modeling confirms an expected reduction in auction prices by a factor of 2.5–3.7 over the next decade. However delays in project implementation and the relocation of 49 projects across Australia. The results obtained indicate the existence of barriers implementation of hydrogen technologies. Although green hydrogen demonstrates strong potential for growth and scalability realizing all announced projects will require enhanced policy support.
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