Publications
The Smart Community: Strategy Layers for a New Sustainable Continental Framework
Feb 2023
Publication
The topic investigated in this article is a comparison contrast and integration effort of European strategies for sustainable development with the evolving market initiatives that are beginning to fuel the fourth industrial revolution. Several regulatory initiatives from continental bodies come into effect to radically change access to finances for business development based on sustainability goals and an analysis of the legislation and trends becomes essential for an effective pivot tactic in the face of adversity as well as change management policies to pre-emptively adapt and perform. The general research question is “what the strategic tools are best employed to overcome the hurdles laid forth by the drastic changes legally required for a sustainable future?” The research methods include a quantitative analysis of norms regulations and legislation including strategic initiatives circulated in the European Union governmental bodies integrated with qualitative research of the literature. The study finds and draws synergies between national strategies that have recently been drafted or are currently evolving with sustainability-centric initiatives such as the hydrogen initiative the nuclear initiative the natural gas initiative the renewables initiative the synthetics and biomass initiative the ESG initiative the digital initiative. The findings are to contribute to the business administration field by providing an appropriate image of the organizational design model in the sustainability era and a strategy framework to build the optimum long-term vision founded on continental regulatory initiatives that have come into effect.
Heating Economics Evaluated Against Emissions: An Analysis of Low-carbon Heating Systems with Spatiotemporal and Dwelling Variations
Oct 2022
Publication
An understanding of heating technologies from the consumers’ perspective is critical to ensure low-carbon technologies are adopted for reducing their current associated emissions. Existing studies from the consumers’ perspective do not compare and optimise the full range and combinations of potential heating systems. There is also little consideration of how spatiotemporal and dwelling variations combined alter the economic and environmental effectiveness of technologies. The novelty of this paper is the creation and use of a new comprehensive framework to capture the range of heating technologies and their viability for any specific dwelling’s traits and climate from customers’ perspective which is missing from current studies. The model optimises combinations of prime heaters energy sources ancillary solar technologies and sizes thermal energy storage sizes and tariffs with hourly heating simulation across a year and compares their operation capital and lifetime costs alongside emissions to realise the true preferential heating systems for customers which could be used by various stakeholders. Using the UK as a case study the results show electrified heating is generally the optimum lifetime cost solution mainly from air source heat pumps coupled with photovoltaics. However direct electrical heating becomes more economically viable as dwelling demands reduce from smaller dwellings or warmer climates as shorter durations of the ownership are considered or with capital cost constraints from lower income households. Understanding this is of high importance as without correctly targeted incentives a larger uptake of direct electrical heating may occur which will burden the electrical network and generation to a greater extent than more efficient heat pumps.
Critical Materials in PEMFC Systems and a LCA Analysis for the Potential Reduction of Environmental Impacts with EoL Strategies
Jul 2019
Publication
Commonly used materials constituting the core components of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) including the balance‐of‐plant were classified according to the EU criticality methodology with an additional assessment of hazardousness and price. A life‐cycle assessment (LCA) of the materials potentially present in PEMFC systems was performed for 1 g of each material. To demonstrate the importance of appropriate actions at the end of life (EoL) for critical materials a LCA study of the whole life cycle for a 1‐kW PEMFC system and 20000 operating hours was performed. In addition to the manufacturing phase four different scenarios of hydrogen production were analyzed. In the EoL phase recycling was used as a primary strategy with energy extraction and landfill as the second and third. The environmental impacts for 1 g of material show that platinum group metals and precious metals have by far the largest environmental impact; therefore it is necessary to pay special attention to these materials in the EoL phase. The LCA results for the 1‐kW PEMFC system show that in the manufacturing phase the major environmental impacts come from the fuel cell stack where the majority of the critical materials are used. Analysis shows that only 0.75 g of platinum in the manufacturing phase contributes on average 60% of the total environmental impacts of the manufacturing phase. In the operating phase environmentally sounder scenarios are the hydrogen production with water electrolysis using hydroelectricity and natural gas reforming. These two scenarios have lower absolute values for the environmental impact indicators on average compared with the manufacturing phase of the 1‐kW PEMFC system. With proper recycling strategies in the EoL phase for each material and by paying a lot of attention to the critical materials the environmental impacts could be reduced on average by 37.3% for the manufacturing phase and 23.7% for the entire life cycle of the 1‐kW PEMFC system.
Influence of Hydrogen Production in the CO2 Emissions Reduction of Hydrogen Mettalurgy Transformation in Iron and Steel Industry
Jan 2023
Publication
The transformation of hydrogen metallurgy is a principal means of promoting the iron and steel industry (ISI) in reaching peak and deep emissions reduction. However the environmental impact of different hydrogen production paths on hydrogen metallurgy has not been systemically discussed. To address this gap based on Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) this paper constructs a bottom-up energy system model that includes hydrogen production iron and steel (IS) production and power generation. By setting three hydrogen production structure development paths namely the baseline scenario business-as-usual (BAU) scenario and clean power (CP) scenario the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions impact of different hydrogen production paths on hydrogen metallurgy is carefully evaluated from the perspective of the whole industry and each IS production process. The results show that under the baseline scenario the hydrogen metallurgy transition will help the CO2 emissions of ISI peak at 2.19 billion tons in 2024 compared to 2.08 billion tons in 2020 and then gradually decrease to 0.78 billion tons in 2050. However different hydrogen production paths will contribute to the reduction or inhibit the reduction. In 2050 the development of electrolysis hydrogen production with renewable electricity will reduce CO2 emissions by an additional 48.76 million tons (under the CP scenario) while the hydrogen production mainly based on coal gasification and methane reforming will increase the additional 50.04 million tons CO2 emissions (under the BAU scenario). Moreover under the hydrogen production structure relying mainly on fossil and industrial by-products the technological transformation of blast furnace ironmaking with hydrogen injections will leak carbon emissions to the upstream energy processing and conversion process. Furthermore except for the 100% scrap based electric arc furnace (EAF) process the IS production process on hydrogen-rich shaft furnace direct reduced iron (hydrogen-rich DRI) have lower CO2 emissions than other processes. Therefore developing hydrogen-rich DRI will help the EAF steelmaking development to efficiently reduce CO2 emissions under scrap constraints.
Case Studies towards Green Transition in EU Regions: Smart Specialisation for Transformative Innovation
Oct 2022
Publication
This report analyses five case study reports in-depth across five EU countries as part of a broader analytical and critical exercise. This analytical work seeks to contribute to the development of new models for regional and local authorities aiming to boost support for Green Transition of their economies through smarter innovation policies using the smart specialisation (S3) approach. The work covered five regions from across the European Union representing a diversity of approaches to using S3 for Green Transition: the Basque Country in Spain the Centro region in Portugal the region of East and North Finland the region of Western Macedonia in Greece and the region of West Netherlands. The case studies included in this report consists of three sections on (i) Profile of the region and key development challenges; (ii) Innovation strategies and policies for green transition: incorporating societal challenges; (iii) Understanding and monitoring innovationled green transition. Drawing together the different elements presented the conclusion provides a summary overview of the case and the authors’ opinion on it.
Next for Net Zero Podcast: Unlock & Understand, Achieving a More Sustainable Future
Sep 2022
Publication
This episode examines how we are tackling a sustainable future – with Net Zero hurtling towards us at great pace. We’re around a year on from the pledges made at COP26 the UK’s Green Recovery initiative is well under way and by next year Britain is aiming to blend up to 20 per cent hydrogen into its gas networks. So now is the time to continue to unlock new insight and understand further the realities of both the challenges and opportunities ahead.
The podcast can be found here.
The podcast can be found here.
Green Ammonia as a Spatial Energy Vector: A Review
May 2021
Publication
Green hydrogen is considered a highly promising vector for deep decarbonisation of energy systems and is forecast to represent 20% of global energy use by 2050. In order to secure access to this resource Japan Germany and South Korea have announced plans to import hydrogen; other major energy consumers are sure to follow. Ammonia a promising hydrogen derivative may enable this energy transport by densifying hydrogen at relatively low cost using well-understood technologies. This review seeks to describe a global green ammonia import/export market: it identifies benefits and limitations of ammonia relative to other hydrogen carriers the costs of ammonia production and transport and the constraints on both supply and demand. We find that green ammonia as an energy vector is likely to be critical to future energy systems but that gaps remain in the literature. In particular rigorous analysis of production and transport costs are rarely paired preventing realistic assessments of the delivered cost of energy or the selection of optimum import/export partners to minimise the delivered cost of ammonia. Filling these gaps in the literature is a prerequisite to the development of robust hydrogen and ammonia strategies and to enable the formation of global import and export markets of green fuel
Renewable Hydrogen Supply Chains: A Planning Matrix and an Agenda for Future Research
Oct 2022
Publication
Worldwide energy systems are experiencing a transition to more sustainable systems. According to the Hydrogen Roadmap Europe (FCH EU 2019) hydrogen will play an important role in future energy systems due to its ability to support sustainability goals and will account for approximately 13% of the total energy mix in the coming future. Correct hydrogen supply chain (HSC) planning is therefore vital to enable a sustainable transition. However due to the operational characteristics of the HSC its planning is complicated. Renewable hydrogen supply can be diverse: Hydrogen can be produced de-centrally with renewables such as wind and solar energy or centrally by using electricity generated from a hydro power plant with a large volume. Similarly demand for hydrogen can also be diverse with many new applications such as fuels for fuel cell electrical vehicles and electricity generation feedstocks in industrial processes and heating for buildings. The HSC consists of various stages (production storage distribution and applications) in different forms with strong interdependencies which further increase HSC complexity. Finally planning of an HSC depends on the status of hydrogen adoption and market development and on how mature technologies are and both factors are characterised by high uncertainties. Directly adapting the traditional approaches of supply chain planning for HSCs is insufficient. Therefore in this study we develop a planning matrix with related planning tasks leveraging a systematic literature review to cope with the characteristics of HSCs. We focus only on renewable hydrogen due to its relevance to the future low-carbon economy. Furthermore we outline an agenda for future research from the supply chain management perspective in order to support HSC development considering the different phases of HSCs adoption and market development.
Redrawing the EU’s Energy Relations: Getting it Right with African Renewable Hydrogen
Oct 2022
Publication
In this paper we will explore the state of play with renewable hydrogen development in Africa through some case studies from AGHA members and the scope for growth moving forward. In so doing we will address some of the prevailing challenges to build out of a clean hydrogen economy that could be foreseen already at this early stage and look for potential solutions building on what is already in place in other sectors. We make the case that there should be four key areas of focus moving forward on African-EU hydrogen collaboration. Firstly (i) foreign direct investment (FDI) should be de-risked through offtake mechanisms and public-private partnerships (ii) flagship projects should lead the way (iii) large parts of the value chain should remain in Africa (iv) wider ‘democratisation’ and accessibility of the sector should be encouraged
Resource Assessment for Green Hydrogen Production in Kazakhstan
Jan 2023
Publication
Kazakhstan has long been regarded as a major exporter of fossil fuel energy. As the global energy sector is undergoing an unprecedented transition to low-carbon solutions new emerging energy technologies such as hydrogen production require more different resource bases than present energy technologies. Kazakhstan needs to consider whether it has enough resources to stay competitive in energy markets undergoing an energy transition. Green hydrogen can be made from water electrolysis powered by low-carbon electricity sources such as wind turbines and solar panels. We provided the first resource assessment for green hydrogen production in Kazakhstan by focusing on three essential resources: water renewable electricity and critical raw materials. Our estimations showed that with the current plan of Kazakhstan to keep its water budget constant in the future producing 2–10 Mt green hydrogen would require reducing the water use of industry in Kazakhstan by 0.6–3% or 0.036–0.18 km3/year. This could be implemented by increasing the share of renewables in electricity generation and phasing out some of the water- and carbon-intensive industries. Renewable electricity potential in South and West Kazakhstan is sufficient to run electrolyzers up to 5700 and 1600 h/year for wind turbines and solar panels respectively. In our base case scenario 5 Mt green hydrogen production would require 50 GW solar and 67 GW wind capacity considering Kazakhstan's wind and solar capacity factors. This could convert into 28652 tons of nickel 15832 tons of titanium and many other critical raw materials. Although our estimations for critical raw materials were based on limited geological data Kazakhstan has access to the most critical raw materials to support original equipment manufacturers of low-carbon technologies in Kazakhstan and other countries. As new geologic exploration kicks off in Kazakhstan it is expected that more deposits of critical raw materials will be discovered to respond to their potential future needs for green hydrogen production.
Blending Hydrogen from Electrolysis into the European Gas Grid
Jan 2022
Publication
In 2020 the European Commission launched a hydrogen strategy for a climate-neutral Europe setting out the conditions and actions for mainstreaming clean hydrogen along with targets for installing renewable hydrogen electrolysers by 2024 and 2030. Blending hydrogen alongside other gases into the existing gas grid is considered a possible interim first step towards decarbonising natural gas. In the present analysis we modelled electrolytic hydrogen generation as a process connecting two separate energy systems (power and gas). The analysis is based on a projection of the European power and gas systems to 2030 based on the EUCO3232.5 scenario. Multiple market configurations were introduced in order to assess the interplay between diverse power market arrangements and constraints imposed by the upper bound on hydrogen concentration. The study identifies the maximum electrolyser capacity that could be integrated in the power and gas systems the impact on greenhouse gas emissions and the level of price support that may be required for a broad range of electrolyser configurations. The study further attempts to shed some light on the potential side effects of having non-harmonised H2 blending thresholds between neighbouring Member States.
A Review on Ports' Readiness to Facilitate International Hydrogen Trade
Jan 2023
Publication
The existing literature on the hydrogen supply chains has knowledge gaps. Most studies focus on hydrogen production storage transport and utilisation but neglect ports which are nexuses in the supply chains. To fill the gap this paper focuses on ports' readiness for the upcoming hydrogen international trade. Potential hydrogen exporting and importing ports are screened. Ports' readiness for hydrogen export and import are reviewed from perspectives of infrastructure risk management public acceptance regulations and standards and education and training. The main findings are: (1) liquid hydrogen ammonia methanol and LOHCs are suitable forms for hydrogen international trade; (2) twenty ports are identified that could be first movers; among them twelve are exporting ports and eight are importing ports; (3) ports’ readiness for hydrogen international trade is still in its infancy and the infrastructure construction or renovation risk management measures establishment of regulations and standards education and training all require further efforts.
Fostering Macroeconomic Research on Hydrogen-Powered Aviation: A Systematic Literature Review on General Equilibrium Models
Feb 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is a promising fuel to decarbonize aviation but macroeconomic studies are currently missing. Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models are suitable to conduct macroeconomic analyses and are frequently employed in hydrogen and aviation research. The main objective of this paper is to investigate existing CGE studies related to (a) hydrogen and (b) aviation to derive a macroeconomic research agenda for hydrogen-powered aviation. Therefore the well-established method of systematic literature review is conducted. First we provide an overview of 18 hydrogen-related and 27 aviation-related CGE studies and analyze the literature with respect to appropriate categories. Second we highlight key insights and identify research gaps for both the hydrogen and aviation-related CGE literature. Our findings comprise inter alia hydrogen’s current lack of cost competitiveness and the macroeconomic relevance of air transportation. Research gaps include among others a stronger focus on sustainable hydrogen and a more holistic perspective on the air transportation system. Third we derive implications for macroeconomic research on hydrogen-powered aviation including (I) the consideration of existing modeling approaches (II) the utilization of interdisciplinary data and scenarios (III) geographical suitability (IV) the application of diverse policy tools and (V) a holistic perspective. Our work contributes a meaningful foundation for macroeconomic studies on hydrogen-powered aviation. Moreover we recommend policymakers to address the macroeconomic perspectives of hydrogen use in air transportation.
Economic Analysis of a Hydrogen Power Plant in the Portuguese Electricity Market
Feb 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is regarded as a flexible energy carrier with multiple applications across several sectors. For instance it can be used in industrial processes transports heating and electrical power generation. Green hydrogen produced from renewable sources can have a crucial role in the pathway towards global decarbonization. However the success of green hydrogen production ultimately depends on its economic sustainability. In this context this work evaluates the economic performance of a hydrogen power plant participating in the electricity market and supplying multiple hydrogen consumers. The analysis includes technical and economical details of the main components of the hydrogen power plant. Its operation is simulated using six different scenarios which admit the production of either grey or green hydrogen. The scenarios used for the analysis include data from the Iberian electricity market for the Portuguese hub. An important conclusion is that the combination of multiple services in a hydrogen power plant has a positive effect on its economic performance. However as of today consumers who would wish to acquire green hydrogen would have to be willing to pay higher prices to compensate for the shorter periods of operation of hydrogen power plants and for their intrinsic losses. Nonetheless an increase in green hydrogen demand based on a greater environmental awareness can lead to the need to not only build more of these facilities but also to integrate more services into them. This could promote the investment in hydrogen-related technologies and result in changes in capital and operating costs of key components of these plants which are necessary to bring down production costs.
ASSET Study on Geolocation of Hydrogen Production in the EU
Oct 2021
Publication
The modelling underpinning the scenarios for the EU long-term strategy did not include hydrogen trade. The assumption was that each Member State (MS) supplies its own needs for hydrogen and synthetic fuels. The goal of this study is to develop a model to undertake optimal geolocation of hydrogen production between MS including the possibility to trade hydrogen and therefore use the RES potential more optimally and decrease energy system costs at EU level. Specifically the new model helps to identify the geo-location of: 1. Renewable energy production (PV wind biomass hydro) 2. Location of RES and hydrogen production facilities 3. Storage infrastructure also for natural gas and storage technologies i.e. batteries pumping etc. 4. Infrastructure by road and pipeline
Interchangeability of Hydrogen Injection in Zhejiang Natural Gas Pipelines as a Means to Achieve Carbon Neutrality
Sep 2022
Publication
The blending of hydrogen gas into natural gas pipelines is an effective way of achieving the goal of carbon neutrality. Due to the large differences in the calorific values of natural gas from different sources the calorific value of natural gas after mixing with hydrogen may not meet the quality requirements of natural gas and the quality of natural gas entering long-distance natural gas and urban gas pipelines also has different requirements. Therefore it is necessary to study the effect of multiple gas sources and different pipe network types on the differences in the calorific values of natural gas following hydrogen admixing. In this regard this study aimed to determine the quality requirements and proportions of hydrogen-mixed gas in natural gas pipelines at home and abroad and systematically determined the quality requirements for natural gas entering both long-distance natural gas and urban gas pipelines in combination with national standards. Taking the real calorific values of the gas supply cycle of seven atmospheric sources as an example the calorific and Wobbe Index values for different hydrogen admixture ratios in a one-year cycle were calculated. The results showed that under the requirement of natural gas interchangeability there were great differences in the proportions of natural gas mixed with hydrogen from different gas sources. When determining the proportion of hydrogen mixed with natural gas both the factors of different gas sources and the factors of the gas supply cycle should be considered.
Technical Evaluation of the Flexibility of Water Electrolysis Systems to Increase Energy Flexibility: A Review
Jan 2023
Publication
The goal of achieving water electrolysis on a gigawatt scale faces numerous challenges regarding technological feasibility and market application. Here the flexibility of operation scenarios such as load changes and capacity of electrolysis plays a key role. This raises the question of how flexible electrolysis systems currently are and what possibilities there are to increase flexibility. In order to be able to answer this question in the following a systematic literature research was carried out with the aim to show the current technical possibilities to adapt load and capacity of electrolysis technologies and to determine limits. The result of the systematic literature research is an overview matrix of the electrolysis types AEL PEMEL HTEL and AEMEL already applied in the market. Technical data on the operation of the respective electrolysis stacks as well as details and materials for the respective stack structure (cathode anode electrolyte) were summarized. The flexibility of the individual technologies is addressed by expressing it in values such as load flexibility and startup-times. The overview matrix contains values from various sour1ces in order to make electrolysis comparable at the stack level and to be able to make statements about flexibility. The result of the overview article shows the still open need for research and development to make electrolysis more flexible.
Technical and Economic Performance Assessment of Blue Hydrogen Production Using New Configuration Through Modelling and Simulation
Mar 2024
Publication
Steam methane reforming (SMR) is the dominant process for hydrogen production which produce large amount of carbon dioxide (CO2) as a by-product. To address concerns about carbon emissions there is an increasing focus on blue hydrogen to mitigate carbon emissions during hydrogen production. However the commercialization of blue hydrogen production (BHP) is hindered by the challenges of high cost and energy consumption. This study proposes a new configuration to address these challenges which is characterized by: (a) the use of piperazine (PZ) as a solvent which has a high CO2 absorption efficiency; (b) a more efficient heat exchange configuration which recovers the waste exergy from flue gas; (c) the advanced flash stripper (AFS) was adopted to reduce the capital cost due to its simpler stripper configuration. In addition the technical and economic performance of the proposed energy and cost-saving blue hydrogen production (ECSB) process is investigated and compared with the standard SMR process. The detailed models of the SMR process and the post-combustion carbon capture (PCC) process were developed and integrated in Aspen plus® V11. The results of the technical analysis showed that the ECSB process with 30 wt.% PZ achieves a 36.3 % reduction in energy penalty when compared to the standard process with 30 wt.% Monoethanolamine (MEA). The results of the economic analysis showed that the lowest levelized cost of blue hydrogen (LCBH) was achieved by the ECSB process with 30 wt.% PZ. Compared to the BHP process with 30 wt.% MEA the LCBH was reduced by 19.7 %.
Trends in the Global Steel Industry: Evolutionary Projections and Defossilisation Pathways through Power-to-steel
Sep 2022
Publication
Steel production is a carbon and energy intensive activity releasing 1.9 tons of CO2 and requiring 5.17 MWh of primary energy per ton produced on average globally resulting in 9% of all anthropogenic CO2 emissions. To achieve the goals of the Paris Agreement of limiting global temperature increase to below 1.5 °C compared to pre-industrial levels the structure of the global steel production must change fundamentally. There are several technological paths towards a lower carbon intensity for steelmaking which bring with them a paradigm shift decoupling CO2 emissions from crude steel production by transitioning from traditional methods of steel production using fossil coal and fossil methane to those based on low-cost renewable electricity and green hydrogen. However the energy system consequences of fully defossilised steelmaking has not yet been examined in detail. This research examines the energy system requirements a global defossilised power-to-steel industry using a GDP-based demand model for global steel demands which projects a growth in steel demand from 1.6 Gt in 2020 to 2.4 Gt in 2100. Three scenarios are developed to investigate the emissions trajectory energy demands and economics of a high penetration of direct hydrogen reduction and electrowinning in global steel production. Results indicate that the global steel industry will see green hydrogen demands grow significantly ranging from 2809 to 4371 TWhH2 by 2050. Under the studied conditions global steel production is projected to see reductions in final thermal energy demand of between 38.3% and 57.7% and increases in total electricity demand by factors between 15.1 and 13.3 by 2050 depending on the scenario. Furthermore CO2 emissions from steelmaking can be reduced to zero.
Preliminary Design and Simulation of a Thermal Management System with Integrated Secondary Power Generation Capability for a Mach 8 Aircraft Concept Exploiting Liquid Hydrogen
Feb 2023
Publication
This paper introduces the concept of a thermal management system (TMS) with integrated on-board power generation capabilities for a Mach 8 hypersonic aircraft powered by liquid hydrogen (LH2). This work developed within the EU-funded STRATOFLY Project aims to demonstrate an opportunity for facing the challenges of hypersonic flight for civil applications mainly dealing with thermal and environmental control as well as propellant distribution and on-board power generation adopting a highly integrated plant characterized by a multi-functional architecture. The TMS concept described in this paper makes benefit of the connection between the propellant storage and distribution subsystems of the aircraft to exploit hydrogen vapors and liquid flow as the means to drive a thermodynamic cycle able on one hand to ensure engine feed and thermal control of the cabin environment while providing on the other hand the necessary power for other on-board systems and utilities especially during the operation of high-speed propulsion plants which cannot host traditional generators. The system layout inspired by concepts studied within precursor EU-funded projects is detailed and modified in order to suggest an operable solution that can be installed on-board the reference aircraft with focus on those interfaces impacting its performance requirements and integration features as part of the overall systems architecture of the plane. Analysis and modeling of the system is performed and the main results in terms of performance along the reference mission profile are discussed.
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