Policy & Socio-Economics
Model Development and Implementation of Techno-Economic Assessment of Hydrogen Logistics Value Chain: A Case Study of Selected Regions in the Czech Republic
Mar 2025
Publication
With the rising demand for renewable hydrogen as an alternative sustainable fuel efficient transport strategies have become essential particularly for regional and small-scale applications. While most previous studies focus on the long-distance transport of hydrogen little attention has been given to the application in regions that are remote from major transmission infrastructure. This study evaluates the techno-economic performance of hydrogen road transport using multiple-element hydrogen gas containers and compares it with multimodal transport using rail. The comparison is performed for the southeastern region of the Czech Republic. The comprehensive techno-economic assessment incorporates detailed technical evaluations precise fuel and energy consumption calculations and realworld infrastructure planning to enhance accuracy. Results showed that multimodal transport of hydrogen can significantly reduce the cost for distances exceeding 90 km. The cost is calculated based on annual vehicle utilization assuming the remaining utilization will be allocated to other tasks throughout the year. However the cost-effectiveness of rail transportation is influenced by track capacity limits and possible delays. Additionally this study highlights the crucial role of regional logistics hubs in optimizing transport modes further reducing costs and improving efficiency
Designing a Sustainable Hydrogen Supply Chain Network in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Region: Multi-objective Optimisation Using a Kuwait Case-study
Mar 2025
Publication
Located in the Arabian Gulf Kuwait is a renewable-abundant country ideal for producing hydrogen via solar energy (green hydrogen). With a global transition away from fossil fuels underway due to their adverse environmental impacts hydrogen is gaining significant traction as a promising clean energy alternative for the transport sector. Despite this there are still various challenges associated with implementing a hydrogen supply chain particularly with regard to the conflicting objectives of minimising cost environmental impact and risk. This study determines the feasibility of implementing a green hydrogen supply chain in Kuwait based on a multiobjective design to determine which combination of production (electrolysis type) storage method and transportation method is the most optimal for Kuwait. Three objective functions were considered in this study: the hydrogen supply chain cost environmental impact and safety/risk. A mathematical formulation based on mixed integer linear programming (MILP) was used involving a multi-criteria approach where the three considered objectives must be optimised simultaneously i.e. cost global warming potential and safety/risk. The multiobjective optimisation approach via the weighted sum method was applied in this study and solved via GAMS. To account for the ranking of multi-objective criteria a hybrid AHP-TOPSIS approach was used. Results showed that medium and high demand scenarios better reflect the comparative advantages of each considered method in terms of their multi-objective trade-offs. In particular it was found that higher hydrogen demand amplifies the impact of higher efficiency and operational savings within several production storage and transportation methods and that despite higher initial capital investments these costs are at some point offset by superior operational efficiency as hydrogen production volumes increase. Conversely using highly efficient electrolysers or transportation methods at low demand was found to limit their performance.
Assessing the Affordability and Independence of Building-integrated Household Green Hydrogen Systems in Canadian Urban Households under Climate Change
Aug 2025
Publication
Climate change will impact the affordability and independence of household green hydrogen systems due to shifting climate patterns and more frequent extreme events. However quantifying these impacts remains challenging because of the complex interactions among climate building characteristics and energy systems in urban environments. This study presents an integrated modeling platform that couples regional climate projections building energy performance simulations and energy system optimization to assess long-term climate impacts across four representative Canadian cities from 2010 to 2090. The results indicate that cooling-dominated cities may face up to a 50 % increase in energy costs and an 20 % rise in grid dependency whereas heating-dominated cities may experience cost reductions of up to 20 % and a 35 % decrease in grid reliance. Although climatealigned system designs cannot fully mitigate climate-induced performance variations they influence levelized cost of energy increasing it by up to 60 % in cooling-dominated cities but improving it by over 5 % in heatingdominated ones. These findings suggest that enhancing grid connectivity may be a more effective strategy than modifying system designs in cooling-dominated regions whereas adaptive design strategies offer greater benefits in heating-dominated areas.
Efficiency Measurement and Trend Analysis of the Hydrogen Energy Industry Chain in China
Apr 2025
Publication
Hydrogen energy characterized by its abundant resources green and lowcarbon attributes and wide-ranging applications is a critical energy source for achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. The operational efficiency of the hydrogen energy industrial chain is pivotal in determining the security of its supply chain and its contribution to China’s energy transition. This study investigates the efficiency of China’s hydrogen energy industrial chain by selecting 30 listed companies primarily engaged in hydrogen energy as the research sample. A three-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is applied to assess the industry’s comprehensive technical efficiency pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency. Additionally kernel density estimation is utilized to analyze efficiency trends over time. Key factors influencing efficiency are identified and targeted recommendations are provided to enhance the performance and sustainability of the hydrogen energy industrial chain. These findings offer valuable insights to support the development and resilience of China’s hydrogen energy industry
Strategic Dynamics in Hydrogen Deployment: A Game-theoretical Review of Competition, Cooperation, and Coopetition
Sep 2025
Publication
As hydrogen products emerge as a promising energy alternative in multiple sectors low carbon hydrogen supply chains require concerted efforts among a diverse array of stakeholders. Within an evolving energy transition landscape stakeholders’ competition and cooperation play a critical role in expediting the deployment of the hydrogen economy. In this review different strategies referred to as Hydrogen Competition Cooperation and Coopetition (H2CCC) dynamics are analyzed from the lenses of game theory. The study employs hybrid literature review methodology integrating both bibliometric and structured review approaches. The study reveals that competition and cooperation represent a contrasting but interconnected dynamics that drive the energy transition. Coopetition models are less common. Furthermore it is observed that Integrated Energy Systems are mainly used in cooperative and coopetitive approaches while H2 technologies and Hydrogen Supply Chains are more explored in competitive approaches. Industrial and mobility sectors are present in H2CCC dynamics with technological players more present than institutional entities. Maps definitions gaps and perspectives are developed. These insights may be valuable for policymakers industry stakeholders modelers and researchers. There remains a need for further empirical H2CCC case studies and applications of pure coopetitive games.
How Company History and Hydrogen Type Shape Public Trust and Acceptability: A Reputation Management Perspective
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is gaining interest as a clean energy source from both governments and fossil fuel companies. For hydrogen projects to succeed securing public acceptability is crucial with trust in the implementing actors playing a central role. Drawing from reputation management and attribution theory we experimentally evaluated whether people’s perceptions of energy companies wanting to start producing hydrogen for sustainability reasons differ based on two features of hydrogen production. Specifically we examined the influence of (1) the type of hydrogen (blue versus green) and (2) the energy company’s history in energy production (fossil fuels versus renewables) on perceptions about the companies’ reputation management efforts —that is the belief that companies adopt hydrogen primarily to improve their public image— as well as on levels of trust both overall and specifically in terms of integrity and competence. We further explored whether perceived reputation management explains the effects on trust and whether these factors also shape public acceptability of hydrogen production itself. Results indicated that people perceived the company with a history of working with fossil fuels as trying to improve its reputation more than one associated with renewables and trusted it less. Furthermore perceived reputation management explained the lower (general and integrity-based) trust people had in companies with a past in fossil fuels. For public acceptability of hydrogen the company’s history was not relevant with green hydrogen being more acceptable than blue regardless of which company produced it. We discuss these findings in relation to the literature on public perceptions of hydrogen.
Recent Advances in Hydrogen Production, Storage and Fuel Cell Technologies with an Emphasis on Inventions, Innovations and Commercialization
Nov 2023
Publication
The future is bright for hydrogen as a clean mobile energy source to replace petroleum products. This paper examines new and emerging technologies for hydrogen production storage and conversion and highlights recent commercialization efforts to realize its potential. Also the paper presents selected notable patents issued within the last few years. There is no shortage of inventions and innovations in hydrogen technologies in both academia and industry. While metal hydrides and functionalized carbon-based materials have improved tremendously as hydrogen storage materials over the years storing gaseous hydrogen in underground salt caverns has also become feasible in many commercial projects. Production of “blue hydrogen” is rising as a method of producing hydrogen in large quantities economically. Although electric/battery powered vehicles are dominating the green transport today innovative hydrogen fuel cell technologies are knocking at the door because of their lower refueling time compared to EV charging time. However the highest impact of hydrogen technologies in trans portation might be seen in the aviation industry. Hydrogen is expected to play a key role and provides hope in transforming aviation into a zero-carbon emission transportation over the next few decades.
Levelized Cost of Hydrogen from Offtakers Standpoint: An Overlooked Perspective Via Case Studies in Warrnambool, Australia
Aug 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is a promising energy vector for replacing fossil fuels in hard-to-abate sectors but its cost hinders widespread deployment. This research develops an exact MILP model to optimize the design of integrated green energy projects minimizing the total annual cost between different power configurations. The model is applied to a case study in regional Victoria Australia which supports a fleet of nine fuel cell electric buses requiring 1160 kg of hydrogen per week. The optimal system includes a 453 kW electrolyzer 212 kg of storage in compressed hydrogen vessels 704 kW of solar PV and 635 kW of wind power firmed with grid electricity. The LCOH is 14.8 A$/kg which is higher than other estimates in the literature for Australia. This is arguably due to the idle capacities resulting from intermittent hydrogen demand. Producing additional hydrogen with surplus or low-priced electricity could reduce LCOH to 12.4 A$/kg. Sensitivity analyzes confirm the robustness of the system to variations in key parameter costs resource availability and estimated energy supply and demand.
From Policy to Practice: Upper Bound Cost Estimates of Europe's Green Hydrogen Ambitions
Jul 2025
Publication
As the European countries strive to meet their ambitious climate goals renewable hydrogen has emerged to aid in decarbonizing energy-intensive sectors and support the overall energy transition. To ensure that hydrogen production aligns with these goals the European Commission has introduced criteria for additionality temporal correlation and geographical correlation. These criteria are designed to ensure that hydrogen production from renewable sources supports the growth of renewable energy. This study assesses the impact of these criteria on green hydrogen production focusing on production costs and technology impacts. The European energy market is simulated up to 2048 using stochastic programming applying these requirements exclusively to green hydrogen production without the phased-in compliance period outlined in the EU regulations. The findings show that meeting the criteria will increase expected system costs by €82 billion from 2024 to 2048 largely due to the rapid shift from fossil fuels to renewable energy. The additionality requirement which mandates the use of new renewable energy installations for electrolysis proves to be the most expensive but also the most effective in accelerating renewable energy adoption.
The Growing Demand for Hydrogen: Current Trends, Sectoral Analysis, and Future Projections
Mar 2025
Publication
Hydrogen has emerged as a pivotal energy carrier in the global transition toward sustainable energy systems. This study analyses current trends sectoral dynamics and future demand projections for hydrogen employing a multi-methodological framework that integrates Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) extrapolation scenario-based modeling and regional comparative analysis. By leveraging historical growth patterns of geothermal bioenergy and wind energy sectors in the European Union (EU) three hydrogen demand scenarios—Conservative (3.25 % CAGR) Moderate (8.33 % CAGR) and Optimistic (15.42 % CAGR)—are projected to 2050. Results indicate that global hydrogen demand could range from 18.8 to 381.3 million tonnes per year by 2050 depending on technological advancements policy frameworks and infrastructure investments. The transportation and industrial sectors are identified as critical drivers while regional disparities highlight leadership from the EU the U.S. and Asia-Pacific nations. The study underscores the necessity of coordinated policy cost reduction in green hydrogen production and infrastructure scalability to realize hydrogen’s potential in decarbonizing energy systems.
Hotspots in Hydrogen Research and Developments: Current Status, Pathways, Challenges, and Vision to 2050
Jul 2025
Publication
The climate crisis and global warming have created an urgent need for the scalable adoption of affordable and clean energy sources to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. Decarbonization of global industries is critical to achieving the targets of the Paris Agreement and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (especially Goals 7 and 13). Green hydrogen is becoming a key solution in the transition to renewable energy and the decarbonization with low-carbon energy options. This review presents an overview of the status and trends of hydrogen production storage transportation and application as well as key research areas with a forward-looking perspective to 2050. It explores the key challenges such as limited infrastructure high production costs and heavy energy demands. The study also identifies the drivers and barriers influencing hydrogen adoption across utility-scale electricity generation heating and niche markets. Key actions of governments in these pillar areas are necessary to accelerate hydrogen deployment through strategic investments and a policy framework to reduce technological costs and drive innovation. Transformative innovation in power generation transportation industrial processes and infrastructure will be essential to achieving deep decarbonization. In addition progress in digitalization automation data-driven decision-making recycling incentives and circular economies are essential to a social transformation and a global transition toward sustainability. Emerging hydrogen markets are also playing an increasingly dominant role in economic and human development particularly in low- and middle-income countries as the world works to transition to the use of renewable hydrogen.
Vision for Indonesia’s 2050 Power Generation: Scenarios of Hydrogen Integration, Nuclear Energy Prospects, and Coal Phase-Out Impact
Jan 2025
Publication
Indonesia’s energy sector faces critical challenges due to its heavy reliance on coal as the dominant power source which contributes to environmental degradation and rising CO2 emissions resulting into transition needs for renewable energy as targeted inside Nationally Determined Contribution (NDCs) 2060. In addition to these hydrogen energy also shows great potential for Indonesia’s energy needs. However to date there are no extensive research in Indonesia that simulate the effect of hydrogen incorporation and coal phase-out policy for 2050 power generation system making this research a critical contribution to the exploration of Indonesia's energy landscape. This study utilizes the Low Emissions Analysis Platform (LEAP). There are four simulated power generation scenarios in this study: the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario the hydrogen incorporation (HYD) scenario the coal phase-out (CPO) scenario and the progressive (PRO) scenario. The analysis indicates that the BAU scenario emerges as the most cost-effective approach for meeting Indonesia’s future electricity demand. However due to its inability to fulfill NDCs the CPO scenario is shown to be more viable from practical and cost perspectives requiring 406.9 GW capacity and USD 114.6 billion investment. On the contrary The HYD scenario largely aligns Indonesia’s hydrogen target potentially contributing 1-5% of energy demand and reducing coal reliance. Additionally while the PRO scenario has the highest investment cost (USD 151.4 billion) it also provides the lowest plant capacities (367.1 GW) offering the highest outputto-capacity ratio. The result suggests the necessity to enact government collaboration and construct feasibility analysis to implement renewable energy development.
Advancement in Hydrogen Production, Application and Strategy Towards Sustainable Energy: Malaysian Case Study
Aug 2025
Publication
Biohydrogen is known for its clean fuel properties with zero emissions. It serves as a reliable alternative to fossil fuel. This paper analyses the status of bio-hydrogen production in Malaysia and the on-going efforts on its advancement. Critical discussions were put forward on biohydrogen production from thermochemical and biological technologies governing associated technological issues and development. Moreover a comprehensive and vital overview has been made on Malaysian and global polices with road maps for the development of biohydrogen and its application in different sectors. This review article provides a framework for researchers on bio-hydrogen production technologies investors and the government to align policies for the biohydrogen based economy. Current biohydrogen energy outlook for production installation units and storage capacity are the key points to be highlighted from global and Malaysia’s perspectives. This critical and comprehensive review provides a strategic route for the researcher to research towards sustainable technology. Current policies related to hydrogen as fuel infrastructure in Malaysia and commercialization are highlighted. Malaysia is also gearing towards clean and decarbonization planning.
The Green Hydrogen Ambition and Implementation Gap
Jan 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen is critical for decarbonizing hard-to-electrify sectors but it faces high costs and investment risks. Here we defne and quantify the green hydrogen ambition and implementation gap showing that meeting hydrogen expectations will remain challenging despite surging announcements of projects and subsidies. Tracking 190 projects over 3 years we identify a wide 2023 implementation gap with only 7% of global capacity announcements fnished on schedule. In contrast the 2030 ambition gap towards 1.5 °C scenarios has been gradually closing as the announced project pipeline has nearly tripled to 422 GW within 3 years. However we estimate that without carbon pricing realizing all these projects would require global subsidies of US$1.3 trillion (US$0.8–2.6 trillion range) far exceeding announced subsidies. Given past and future implementation gaps policymakers must prepare for prolonged green hydrogen scarcity. Policy support needs to secure hydrogen investments but should focus on applications where hydrogen is indispensable.
Hydrogen Production from Supercritical Water Gasification of Model Compounds of Crude Glycerol from Biodiesel Industries
Apr 2023
Publication
Biodiesel production through transesterification results in a large quantity of crude glycerol as a byproduct the utilization of which is technically and economically challenging. Because of the ability to efficiently process wet feedstocks supercritical water gasification (SCWG) is utilized in this study to convert crude glycerol into hydrogen-rich syngas. A significant challenge addressed through this study is the decomposition routes of different heterogeneous components of crude glycerol during SCWG. Pure glycerol methanol and oleic acid were investigated for SCWG as the model compounds of crude glycerol. SCWG of model compounds at temperature pressure feedstock concentration and reaction time of 500 ◦C 23–25 MPa 10 wt% and 1 h respectively revealed methanol to exhibit the highest H2 yield of 7.7 mmol/g followed by pure glycerol (4.4 mmol/g) and oleic acid (1.1 mmol/g). The effects of feedstock concentration from 30 wt% to 10 wt% increased H2 yield from all model compounds. Response surface methodology (RSM) was used to develop a response curve to visualize the interactive behavior and develop model equations for the prediction of H2 -rich gas yields as a function of the composition of model compounds in the crude glycerol mixture. Predictive models showed a good agreement with experimental results demonstrating high accuracy and robustness of the model. These findings demonstrated a strong potential of crude glycerol for SCWG to generate H2 -rich syngas.
The Many Greenhouse Gas Footprints of Green Hydrogen
Aug 2022
Publication
Green hydrogen could contribute to climate change mitigation but its greenhouse gas footprint varies with electricity source and allocation choices. Using life-cycle assessment we conclude that if electricity comes from additional renewable capacity green hydrogen outperforms fossil-based hydrogen. In the short run alternative uses of renewable electricity likely achieve greater emission reductions.
Anion-exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers
Apr 2022
Publication
This Review provides an overview of the emerging concepts of catalystsmembranes and membrane electrode assemblies (MEAs) for water electrolyzers with anion-exchange membranes (AEMs) also known as zero-gap alkaline water electrolyzers. Much ofthe recent progress is due to improvements in materials chemistry MEA designs andoptimized operation conditions. Research on anion-exchange polymers (AEPs) has focusedon the cationic head/backbone/side-chain structures and key properties such as ionicconductivity and alkaline stability. Several approaches such as cross-linking microphase andorganic/inorganic composites have been proposed to improve the anion-exchangeperformance and the chemical and mechanical stability of AEMs. Numerous AEMs nowexceed values of 0.1 S/cm (at 60−80 °C) although the stability specifically at temperaturesexceeding 60 °C needs further enhancement. The oxygen evolution reaction (OER) is still alimiting factor. An analysis of thin-layer OER data suggests that NiFe-type catalysts have thehighest activity. There is debate on the active-site mechanism of the NiFe catalysts and their long-term stability needs to beunderstood. Addition of Co to NiFe increases the conductivity of these catalysts. The same analysis for the hydrogen evolutionreaction (HER) shows carbon-supported Pt to be dominating although PtNi alloys and clusters of Ni(OH) 2 on Pt show competitiveactivities. Recent advances in forming and embedding well-dispersed Ru nanoparticles on functionalized high-surface-area carbonsupports show promising HER activities. However the stability of these catalysts under actual AEMWE operating conditions needsto be proven. The field is advancing rapidly but could benefit through the adaptation of new in situ techniques standardizedevaluation protocols for AEMWE conditions and innovative catalyst-structure designs. Nevertheless single AEM water electrolyzercells have been operated for several thousand hours at temperatures and current densities as high as 60 °C and 1 A/cm 2 respectively.
Energy Transition Outlook - UK 2025
Feb 2025
Publication
In the wake of unprecedented global weather events and the ever-pressing urgency of climate change the discourse around energy transition has become more critical than ever.<br/>The United Kingdom once at the forefront of the energy transition movement finds itself at a crossroads. The initial rapid progress towards a low-carbon future is now facing hurdles threatening the achievement of the 'net zero by 2050' target.<br/>This revelation comes from the third edition of our UK Energy Transition Outlook (ETO) which leverages an independent model incorporating the UK's energy system's extensive connections with Europe and beyond.<br/>This report has a comprehensive analysis of:<br/>♦ Renewable energy technology scaling and costs<br/>♦ The continuing dependence on fossil fuel and need to decarbonize<br/>♦ Energy demand by sector and source<br/>♦ Energy efficiency<br/>♦ Energy supply<br/>♦ Electricity and infrastructure<br/>♦ Hydrogen<br/>♦ Energy expenditure<br/>♦ Policies driving the transition<br/>♦ Digitalization.
Strategic Hydrogen Management: Driving a Sustainable Energy Future
Mar 2025
Publication
The concept of sustainability and green energy has become increasingly relevant in our lives especially in the face of climate change and the growing demand for sustainable solutions in the energy sector. Driven by renewable energies there is a continuous effort to research and develop alternative energy sources and fuels. In this context the European Union (EU) Strategy for Hydrogen (H) has emerged placing this source as one of the central pillars in the fight against climate change. Hydrogen is seen as a potential fuel and energy source of the future. However in addition to political and structural challenges this new approach also faces significant technical obstacles. With the increase in population and human needs the need for energy continues to grow. The world population is projected to reach ten billion people by the year 2050 (Tarhan and Çil 2021). To meet this growing demand and promote a transition to clean energies many countries are incorporating renewable energy sources into their energy mix while still relying on fossil fuels. Developed countries are gradually reducing their use of fossil fuels in energy production. Considering that 80 per cent of our daily energy needs are still met by these sources the complete transition is complex and not immediate but it is an achievable goal.
Hydrogen Economy and Climate Change: Additive Manufacturing in Perspective
Oct 2025
Publication
The hydrogen economy stands at the forefront of the global energy transition and additive manufacturing (AM) is increasingly recognized as a critical enabler of this transformation. AM offers unique capabilities for improving the performance and durability of hydrogen energy components through rapid prototyping topology optimization functional integration of cooling channels and the fabrication of intricate hierarchical structured pores with precisely controlled connectivity. These features facilitate efficient heat and mass transfer thereby improving hydrogen production storage and utilization efficiency. Furthermore AM’s multi-material and functionally graded printing capability holds promise for producing components with tailored properties to mitigate hydrogen embrittlement significantly extending operational lifespan. Collectively these advances suggest that AM could lower manufacturing costs for hydrogen-related systems while improving performance and reliability. However the current literature provides limited evidence on the integrated techno-economic advantages of AM in hydrogen applications posing a significant barrier to large-scale industrial adoption. At present the technological readiness level (TRL) of AM-based hydrogen components is estimated to be 4–5 reflecting laboratory-scale progress but underscoring the need for further development validation and industrial-scale demonstration before commercialization can be realized.
Betting vs. Trading: Learning a Linear Decision Policy for Selling Wind Power and Hydrogen
Jul 2025
Publication
We develop a bidding strategy for a hybrid power plant combining co-located wind turbines and an electrolyzer constructing a price-quantity bidding curve for the day-ahead electricity market while optimally scheduling hydrogen production. Without risk management single imbalance pricing leads to an all-or-nothing trading strategy which we term “betting”. To address this we propose a data-driven pragmatic approach that leverages contextual information to train linear decision policies for both power bidding and hydrogen scheduling. By introducing explicit risk constraints to limit imbalances we move from the all-or-nothing approach to a “trading” strategy where the plant diversifies its power trading decisions. We evaluate the model under three scenarios: when the plant is either conditionally allowed always allowed or not allowed to buy power from the grid which impacts the green certification of the hydrogen produced. Comparing our data-driven strategy with an oracle model that has perfect foresight we show that the risk-constrained data-driven approach delivers satisfactory performance.
The German Scramble for Green Hydrogen in Namibia: Colonial Legacies Revisited?
Feb 2025
Publication
Namibia is positioning itself as a green hydrogen superpower to supply the German market with the muchneeded energy carrier. While the hydrogen hype is marketed as a pathway facilitating the German and Euro pean green transition that is mutually beneficial for African interests social movements and affected commu nities have been denouncing green colonialist tendencies of the hydrogen rush. This paper is centring these claims. Applying a heuristic of green colonialism along the lines of externalisation enactment expansion exclusion and empowerment we highlight colonial tendencies of the hydrogen rush in Namibia. While still in a nascent stadium current developments indicate patterns to transform Southern economies according to Euro pean interest which can then uphold their allegedly superior image as renewable energy pioneers. Our study indicates that the green hydrogen rush resembles a longue dur´ee of (neo)colonial violence: while clinging to old colonial patterns it takes advantage of the post-colonial state and at the same time uses narratives of contemporary multiple crises to advance and legitimise a supposedly green but intrinsically violent transition.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: COP28 Special
Dec 2023
Publication
To round off Season 5 the team are taking the podcast to COP28 in Dubai and providing listeners with a bit of texture including what the event was like to attend as well as sharing a snapshot of some of the varied voices and discussions that took place. Having had a little time for reflection Alicia Chris and Patrick also offer their thoughts and takeaways on what this COP might mean for the future.
COP28 was the first in nearly 30 years to feature hydrogen as part of the Presidential Action Agenda.
The podcast can be found on their website.
COP28 was the first in nearly 30 years to feature hydrogen as part of the Presidential Action Agenda.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Unlocking Solar and Hydrogen Potentials: A Comparative Analysis of Solar Tracking Systems for South Africa's Energy Transition
Aug 2025
Publication
This study explores the potential of solar tracking technologies to enhance South Africa’s energy transition focusing on their role in supporting green hydrogen production for domestic use and export. Using the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD) it evaluates four solar tracking technologies — horizontal axis tilted horizontal axis vertical axis and dual-axis — across six scenarios: tracking and non-tracking versions of a Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario a 2 ◦C scenario and a high hydrogen demand and export (HighH2) scenario. The results identify horizontal axis tracking as the most cost-effective option followed by tilted horizontal axis tracking which is particularly prominent in the HighH2 scenario. Tracking systems enhance hydrogen production by extending power output and increasing electrolyzer full-load hours. In the HighH2 scenario they reduce hydrogen production costs in 2050 from 1.47 e/kg to 1.34 e/kg and system cost by 0.66% positioning South Africa competitively in the global hydrogen market. By integrating tracking technologies South Africa can align hydrogen production ambitions with renewable energy growth while mitigating grid and financial challenges. The research underscores the need for targeted energy investments and policies to maximize renewable energy and hydrogen potential ensuring a just energy transition that supports export opportunities domestic energy security and equitable socio-economic growth.
Trends, Challenges, and Viability in Green Hydrogen Initiatives
Aug 2025
Publication
This review explores the current status of green hydrogen integration into energy and industrial ecosystems. By considering notable examples of existing and developing green hydrogen initiatives combined with insights from the relevant scientific literature this paper illustrates the practical implementation of those systems according to their main end use: power and heat generation mobility industry or their combination. Main patterns are highlighted in terms of sectoral applications geographical distribution development scales storage solutions electrolyzer technology grid interaction and financial viability. Open challenges are also addressed including the high production costs an underdeveloped transport and distribution infrastructure the geopolitical aspects and the weak business models with the industrial sector appearing as the most favorable environment where such challenges may first be overcome in the medium term.
Direct-Coupled Improvement of a Solar-Powered Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolyzer by a Reconfigurable Source
Sep 2024
Publication
This paper deals with proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers directly coupled with a photovoltaic source. It proposes a method to increase the energy delivered to the electrolyzer by reconfiguring the electrical connection of the arrays according to solar radiation. Unlike the design criterion proposed by the literature the suggested approach considers a source obtained by connecting arrays in parallel depending on solar radiation based on a fixed photovoltaic configuration. This method allows for the optimization of the operating point at medium or low solar radiation where the fixed configuration gives poor results. The analysis is performed on a low-power plant (400 W). It is based on a commercial photovoltaic cell whose equivalent model is retrieved from data provided by the manufacturer. An equivalent model of the PEM electrolyzer is also derived. Two comparisons are proposed: the former considers a photovoltaic source designed according to the traditional approach i.e. a fixed configuration; in the latter a DC/DC converter as interface is adopted. The role of the converter is discussed to highlight the pros and cons. The optimal set point of the converter is calculated using an analytical equation that takes into account the electrolyzer model. In the proposed study an increase of 17% 62% and 93% of the delivered energy has been obtained in three characteristic days summer spring/autumn and winter respectively compared to the fixed PV configuration. These results are also better than those achieved using the converter. Results show that the proposed direct coupling technique applied to PEM electrolyzers in low-power plants is a good trade-off between a fixed photovoltaic source configuration and the use of a DC/DC converter.
Is Green Hydrogen a Strategic Opportunity for Albania? A Techno-Economic, Environmental, and SWOT Analysis
Oct 2025
Publication
Hydrogen is increasingly recognized as a clean energy vector and storage medium yet its viability and strategic role in the Western Balkans remain underexplored. This study provides the first comprehensive techno-economic environmental and strategic evaluation of hydrogen production pathways in Albania. Results show clear trade-offs across options. The levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) is estimated at 8.76 €/kg H2 for grid-connected 7.75 €/kg H2 for solar and 7.66 €/kg H2 for wind electrolysis—values above EU averages and reliant on lower electricity costs and efficiency gains. In contrast fossil-based hydrogen via steam methane reforming (SMR) is cheaper at 3.45 €/kg H2 rising to 4.74 €/kg H2 with carbon capture and storage (CCS). Environmentally Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) results show much lower Global Warming Potential.
Future of Hydrogen in the U.S. Energy Sector: MARKAL Modeling Results
Mar 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is an attractive energy carrier which could play a role in decarbonizing process heat power or transport applications. Though the U.S. already produces about 10 million metric tons of H2 (over 1 quadrillion BTUs or 1% of the U.S. primary energy consumption) production technologies primarily use fossil fuels that release CO2 and the deployment of other cleaner H2 production technologies is still in the very early stages in the U.S. This study explores (1) the level of current U.S. hydrogen production and demand (2) the importance of hydrogen to accelerate a net-zero CO2 future and (3) the challenges that must be overcome to make hydrogen an important part of the U.S. energy system. The study discusses four scenarios and hydrogen production has been shown to increase in the future but this growth is not enough to establish a hydrogen economy. In this study the characteristics of hydrogen technologies and their deployments in the long-term future are investigated using energy system model MARKAL. The effects of strong carbon constraints do not cause higher hydrogen demand but show a decrease in comparison to the business-as-usual scenario. Further according to our modeling results hydrogen grows only as a fuel for hard-to-decarbonize heavy-duty vehicles and is less competitive than other decarbonization solutions in the U.S. Without improvements in reducing the cost of electrolysis and increasing the performance of near-zero carbon technologies for hydrogen production hydrogen will remain a niche player in the U.S. energy system in the long-term future. This article provides the reader with a comprehensive understanding of the role of hydrogen in the U.S. energy system thereby explaining the long-term future projections.
Multiplier Effect on Reducing Carbon Emissions of Joint Demand and Supply Side Measures in the Hydrogen Market
Jun 2024
Publication
Hydrogen energy is critical in replacing fossil fuels and achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050. Three measures can be implemented to promote hydrogen energy: reduce the cost of low-carbon hydrogen through technological improvements increase the production capacity of low-carbon hydrogen by stimulating investment and enhance hydrogen use as an energy carrier and in industrial processes by demand-side policies. This article examines how effective these measures are if successfully implemented in boosting the hydrogen market and reducing global economy-wide carbon emissions using a global computable general equilibrium model. The results show that all the measures increase the production and use of low-carbon hydrogen whether implemented alone or jointly. Notably the emissions reduced by joint implementation of all the measures in 2050 become 2.5 times the sum of emissions reduced by individual implementation indicating a considerable multiplier effect. This suggests supply and demand side policies be implemented jointly to maximize their impact on reducing emissions.
Development of Effective Hydrogen Production and Process Electrification Systems to Reduce the Environmental Impacts of the Methanol Production Process
Jun 2025
Publication
The methanol industry responsible for around 10% of GHG emissions in the chemical sector faces growing challenges due to its environmental impacts. This article aims to reduce the lifecycle environmental impacts of the CO2-to-methanol process by exploring advanced electrification methods for hydrogen production and CO2 conversion. The process analysis and comprehensive life cycle assessment (LCA) are conducted on four different methanol production pathways: conventional natural gas CO2 hydrogenation trireforming of methane (TRM) and the novel electrified combined reforming (ECRM) by including two hydrogen production routes: PEM electrolysis and the innovative plasma-assisted methane pyrolysis. The LCA was performed using the ReCiPe method covering midpoint and endpoint categories across four Canadian provinces—British Columbia Alberta Ontario and Quebec. The efficient plasma technology improves environmental performance for all pathways. The plasma-assisted CO2 hydrogenation pathway in British Columbia and Quebec shows the lowest GHG emissions achieving -2.01 and -1.72 kg CO2/kg MeOH respectively. In Alberta the conventional pathway has the lowest impact followed by plasmaassisted TRM. The CO2 hydrogenation with the PEM pathway shows the highest GHG emissions at 8.00 kg CO2/kg MeOH highlighting the challenges of using hydrogen from PEM electrolysis in regions with carbon-intensive electricity grids. However the inclusion of carbon black as a byproduct further reduces the environmental impact making these plasma-assisted pathways more viable. This LCA study underscores the influence of regional factors and technology choices on the sustainability of methanol production with an example of a 107% reduction in GHG emissions when plasma-assisted ECRM is shifting from Alberta to Quebec.
Evaluating the Economic Viability of Decentralised Solar PV-based Green Hydrogen for Cooking in Ghana
Jul 2024
Publication
Developing countries including Ghana face challenges ensuring access to clean and reliable cooking fuels and technologies. Traditional biomass sources mainly used in most developing countries for cooking contribute to deforestation and indoor air pollution necessitating a shift towards environmentally friendly alternatives. The study’s primary objective is to evaluate the economic viability of using solar PV-based green hydrogen as a sustainable fuel for cooking in Ghana. The study adopted well-established equations to investigate the economic performance of the proposed system. The findings revealed that the levelized cost of hydrogen using the discounted cash flow approach is about 89% 155% and 190% more than electricity liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and charcoal. This implies that using the hydrogen produced for cooking fuel is not cost-competitive compared to LPG charcoal and electricity. However with sufficient capital subsidies to lower the upfront costs the analysis suggests solar PV-based hydrogen could become an attractive alternative cooking fuel. In addition switching from firewood to solar PVbased hydrogen for cooking yields the highest carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions savings across the cities analysed. Likewise replacing charcoal with hydrogen also offers substantial CO2 emissions savings though lower than switching from firewood. Correspondingly switching from LPG to hydrogen produces lower CO2 emissions savings than firewood and charcoal. The study findings could contribute to the growing body of knowledge on sustainable energy solutions offering practical insights for policymakers researchers and industry stakeholders seeking to promote clean cooking adoption in developing economies.
A Prospective Approach to the Optimal Deployment of a Hydrogen Supply Chain for Sustainable Mobility in Island Territories: Application to Corsica
Oct 2024
Publication
This study develops a framework for designing hydrogen supply chains (HSC) in island territories using Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) with a multi-period approach. The framework minimizes system costs greenhouse gas emissions and a risk-based index. Corsica is used as a case study with a Geographic Information System (GIS) identifying hydrogen demand regions and potential sites for production storage and distribution. The results provide an optimal HSC configuration for 2050 specifying the size location and technology while accounting for techno-economic factors. This work integrates the unique geographical characteristics of islands using a GIS-based approach incorporates technology readiness levels and utilizes renewable electricity from neighboring regions. The model proposes decentralized configurations that avoid hydrogen transport between grids achieving a levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) of €8.54/kg. This approach offers insight into future options and incentive mechanisms to support the development of hydrogen economies in isolated territories.
The Technopolitics of Hydrogen: Arab Gulf States' Pursuit of Significance in a Climate-Constrained World
Nov 2024
Publication
Despite uncertainties surrounding the hydrogen economy’s emergence in terms of technological innovation production storage and transport policy and regulation economic viability and environmental impact coun tries worldwide actively pursue initiatives to engage in this critical energy transition. Politicians analysts and global experts see ‘clean’ hydrogen as the ultimate solution for addressing the climate crisis. This optimism is shared by several major oil and gas-exporting nations which are investing heavily in hydrogen infrastructure to establish themselves as future global hubs. Oman Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are especially well-positioned benefiting from strategic advantages over other hydrogen-producing regions in the Global South. Advocates in these countries view hydrogen as a potential ‘silver bullet’ for sustaining political and economic influence in a world increasingly shaped by climate constraints. Western technology and expertise play a significant role in supporting these efforts. By using various qualitative methods this paper employs and expand the concept of technopolitics to evaluate the role of industrialized nations in endorsing the Gulf states’ authoritarian top-down techno-optimistic approach to their sustainability agenda.
How Would Structural Change in Electricity and Hydrogen End Use Impact Low-Carbon Transition of an Energy System? A Case Study of China
Feb 2024
Publication
Driven by global targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions energy systems are expected to undergo fundamental changes. In light of carbon neutrality policies China is expected to significantly increase the proportion of hydrogen and electricity in its energy system in the future. Nevertheless the future trajectory remains shrouded in uncertainty. To explore the potential ramifications of varying growth scenarios pertaining to hydrogen and electricity on the energy landscape this study employs a meticulously designed bottom-up model. Through comprehensive scenario calculations the research aims to unravel the implications of such expansions and provide a nuanced analysis of their effects on the energy system. Results show that with an increase in electrification rates cumulative carbon dioxide emissions over a certain planning horizon could be reduced at the price of increased unit reduction costs. By increasing the share of end-use electricity and hydrogen from 71% to 80% in 2060 the unit carbon reduction cost will rise by 17%. Increasing shares of hydrogen could shorten the carbon emission peak time by approximately five years but it also brings an increase in peak shaving demand.
A Hydrogen Vision for the UK
Apr 2023
Publication
This report shows how the infrastructure that exists today can evolve from one based on the supply of fossil fuels to one providing the backbone of a clean hydrogen system. The ambitious government hydrogen targets across the UK will only be met with clarity focus and partnership. The gas networks are ready to play their part in the UK’s energy future. They have a plan know what is needed to deliver it and are taking the necessary steps to do just that.
Economic Analysis of Hydrogen Energy Systems: A Global Perspective
Aug 2024
Publication
In the realm of renewable energy the integration of wind power and hydrogen energy systems represents a promising avenue towards environmental sustainability. However the development of cost-effective hydrogen energy storage solutions is crucial to fully realize the potential of hydrogen as a renewable energy source. By combining wind power generation with hydrogen storage a comprehensive hydrogen energy system can be established. This study aims to devise a physiologically inspired optimization approach for designing a standalone wind power producer that incorporates a hydrogen energy system on a global scale. The optimization process considers both total cost and capacity loss to determine the optimal configuration for the system. The optimal setup for an off-grid solution involves the utilization of eight distinct types of compact horizontal-axis wind turbines. Additionally a sensitivity analysis is conducted by varying component capital costs to assess their impact on overall cost and load loss. Simulation results indicate that at a 15% loss the cost of energy (COE) is $1.3772 while at 0% loss it stands at $1.6908. Capital expenses associated with wind turbines and hydrogen storage systems significantly contribute to the overall cost. Consequently the wind turbine-hydrogen storage system emerges as the most cost-effective and reliable option due to its low cost of energy.
Advancing a Hydrogen Economy in Australia: Public Perceptions and Aspirations
Nov 2023
Publication
Supporters of hydrogen energy urge scaling up technology and reducing costs for competitiveness. This paper explores how hydrogen energy technologies (HET) are perceived by Australia’s general population and considers the way members of the public imagine their role in the implementation of hydrogen energy now and into the future. The study combines a nationally representative survey (n = 403) and semi-structured interviews (n = 30). Results show age and gender relationships with self-reported hydrogen knowledge. Half of the participants obtained hydrogen information from televised media. Strong support was observed for renewable hydrogen while coal (26%) and natural gas (41%) versions had less backing. Participants sought more safety-related information (41% expressed concern). Most felt uncertain about influencing hydrogen decisions and did not necessarily recognise they had agency beyond their front fence. Exploring the link between political identity and agency in energy decision-making is needed with energy democracy a potentially productive direction.
PyPSA-Earth Sector-coupled: A Global Open-source Multi-energy System Model Showcased for Hydrogen Applications in Countries of the Global South
Jan 2025
Publication
This study presents sector-coupled PyPSA-Earth: a novel global open-source energy system optimization model that incorporates major demand sectors and energy carriers in high spatial and temporal resolution to enable energy transition studies worldwide. The model includes a workflow that automatically downloads and processes the necessary demand supply and transmission data to co-optimize investment and operation of energy systems of countries or regions of Earth. The workflow provides the user with tools to forecast future demand scenarios and allows for custom user-defined data in several aspects. Sector-coupled PyPSA-Earth introduces novelty by offering users a comprehensive methodology to generate readily available sector-coupled data and model of any region worldwide starting from raw and open data sources. The model provides flexibility in terms of spatial and temporal detail allowing the user to tailor it to their specific needs. The capabilities of the model are demonstrated through two showcases for Egypt and Brazil. The Egypt case quantifies the relevant role of PV exceeding 35 GW and electrolysis in Suez and Damietta regions for meeting 16% of the EU hydrogen demand. Complementarily the Brazil case confirms the model’s ability in handling hydrogen planning infrastructure including repurposing of existing gas networks which results in 146 M€ lower costs than building new pipelines. The results prove the suitability of sector-coupled PyPSA-Earth to meet the needs of policymakers developers and scholars in advancing the energy transition. The authors invite the interested individuals and institutions to collaborate in the future developments of the model within PyPSA meets Earth initiative.
Modelling the Innovation-decision Process for Hydrogen Homes: An Integrated Model of Consumer Acceptance and Adoption Intention
Nov 2024
Publication
As the global energy transition progresses a range of drivers and barriers will continue to shape consumer attitudes and behavioural intentions towards emerging low-carbon technologies. The innovation-decision process for technologies composing the residential sector such as hydrogen-fuelled heating and cooking appliances is inherently governed by the complex interplay between perceptual cognitive and emotional factors. In response this study responds to the call for an integrated research perspective to advance theoretical and empirical insights on consumer engagement in the domestic hydrogen transition. Drawing on online survey data collected in the United Kingdom where a policy decision on ‘hydrogen homes’ is set for 2026 this study systematically explores whether an integrated modelling approach supports higher levels of explanatory and predictive power. Leveraging the foundations of the unified theory of domestic hydrogen acceptance the analysis suggests that production perceptions public trust perceived relative advantage safety perceptions knowledge and awareness and positive emotions will shape consumer support for hydrogen homes. Conversely perceived disruptive impacts perceived socio-economic costs financial perceptions and negative emotions may impede the domestic hydrogen transition. Consumer acceptance stands to significantly shape deployment prospects for hydrogen boilers and hobs which are perceived to be somewhat advantageous to natural gas appliances from a technological and safety perspective. The study attests to the predictive benefits of adopting an integrated theoretical perspective when modelling the early stages of the innovation-decision process while acknowledging opportunities for leveraging innovative research approaches in the future. As national hydrogen economies gain traction adopting a neuroscience-based approach may help deepen scientific understanding regarding the neural psychological and emotional signatures shaping consumer perspectives towards hydrogen homes.
Comparative Socio-economic Analysis and Green Transition Perspectives in the Green Hydrogen Economy of Sub-Saharan Africa and South America Countries
Sep 2025
Publication
The global shift toward a green hydrogen economy requires diversifying production beyond the Middle East and North Africa where political logistical and water constraints limit long-term supply. This study provides a comparative socio-economic assessment of Sub-Saharan African and South American countries focusing on their readiness for large-scale green hydrogen development. A Green Economy Index (GEI) was developed integrating political/regulatory efficiency socio-economic status infrastructure and sustainability indicators. In addition public perception was examined through a survey conducted in Nigeria. Results show GEI scores ranging from 0.328 to 0.744 with Germany as the benchmark. Brazil Uruguay and Namibia emerge as the most promising cases due to strong renewable energy potential socio-economic stability and supportive policies though each faces specific challenges such as transport logistics (Brazil and Uruguay) or water scarcity (Namibia). Nigeria demonstrates significant potential but is constrained by weak infrastructure and public safety concerns. Cameroon Angola and Gabon display moderate performance but require policy and investment reforms. By combining macro-level readiness analysis with social acceptance insights the study highlights opportunities and barriers for diversifying global hydrogen supply chains and advancing sustainable energy transitions in emerging regions.
Green Hydrogen as a Sustainable Operations Strategy: A Socio-economic Perspective
Nov 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is an energy carrier that can support the development of sustainable and flexible energy systems. However decarbonization can occur when green sources are used for energy production and appropriate water use is manifested. This work aims to propose a socio-economic analysis of hydrogen production from an integrated wind and electrolysis plant in southern Italy. The estimated production amounts to about 1.8 million kg and the LCOH is calculated to be 3.60 €/kg in the base scenario. Analyses of the alternative scenarios allow us to observe that with a high probability the value ranges between 3.20-4.00 €/kg and that the capacity factor is the factor that most affects the economic results. Social analysis conducted through an online survey shows a strong knowledge gap as only 27.5% claim to know the difference between green and grey hydrogen. There is a slight propensity to install systems near their homes but this tends to increase due to increased knowledge on the topic. Respondents state sustainable behaviours and this study suggests that these aspects should also be transformed into the energy choices that are implemented every day. The study suggests information to policy-makers businesses and citizens as it outlines that green hydrogen is an operations strategy that moves toward sustainable development.
Analysis of Corporate Acceptance of Hydrogen Energy Technology Based on the Extended Technology Acceptance Model
Feb 2025
Publication
Hydrogen holds an important strategic position in the energy systems of many countries. Many studies have analyzed the acceptance of hydrogen energy technology from the public’s perspective but few have examined it from the corporate perspective. This paper establishes a technology acceptance model and employs structural equation modeling to investigate the factors affecting the acceptance of hydrogen energy technology within enterprises. After conducting questionnaire surveys among employees of energy enterprises electric power companies and new energy vehicle manufacturers the results indicate that while most of the interviewed enterprises have positive attitudes towards hydrogen technology their willingness to develop hydrogen business does not appear to be correspondingly positive. In addition government trust perceived benefit and social influence positively impact corporate acceptability indirectly whereas perceived risk exhibits a negative indirect effect on corporate acceptance. Finally this paper discusses the results of the above studies and makes corresponding policy recommendations.
Green Hydrogen, a Solution for Replacing Fossil Fuels to Reduce CO2 Emissions
Aug 2024
Publication
The article examines the role of green hydrogen in reducing CO2 emissions in the transition to climate neutrality highlighting both its benefits and challenges. It starts by discussing the production of green hydrogen from renewable sources and provides a brief analysis of primary resource structures for energy production in European countries including Romania. Despite progress there remains a significant reliance on fossil fuels in some countries. Economic technologies for green hydrogen production are explored with a note that its production alone does not solve all issues due to complex and costly compression and storage operations. The concept of impure green hydrogen derived from biomass gasification pyrolysis fermentation and wastewater purification is also discussed. Economic efficiency and future trends in green hydrogen production are outlined. The article concludes with an analysis of hydrogen-methane mixture combustion technologies offering a conceptual framework for economically utilizing green hydrogen in the transition to a green hydrogen economy.
Strategy Development for Hydrogen-Conversion Businesses in Côte d’Ivoire
Aug 2024
Publication
Côte d’Ivoire has substantially neglected crop residues from farms in rural areas so this study aimed to provide strategies for the sustainable conversion of these products to hydrogen. The use of existing data showed that in the Côte d’Ivoire there were up to 16801306 tons of crop residues from 11 crop types in 2019 from which 1296424.84 tons of hydrogen could potentially be derived via theoretical gasification and dark fermentation approaches. As 907497.39 tons of hydrogen is expected annually the following estimations were derived. The three hydrogen-project implementation scenarios developed indicate that Ivorian industries could be supplied with 9026635 gigajoules of heat alongside 17910 cars and 4732 buses in the transport sector. It was estimated that 817293.95 tons of green ammonia could be supplied to farmers. According to the study 5727992 households could be expected to have access to 1718.40 gigawatts of electricity. Due to these changes in the transport energy industry and agricultural sectors a reduction of 1644722.08 tons of carbon dioxide per year could theoretically be achieved. With these scenarios around 263276.87 tons of hydrogen could be exported to other countries. The conversion of crop residues to hydrogen is a promising opportunity with environmental and socio-economic impacts. Therefore this study requires further extensive research.
Hydrogen Valley in Cyprus: Insights and Strategies for Citizen Engagement
Jan 2025
Publication
: In remote areas or islands like Cyprus the isolated energy system high energy consumption in the transport sector and projected excess electricity production from solar sources create favourable conditions for establishing a hydrogen valley. But even after addressing technological managerial economic and financial challenges the success of a hydrogen valley hinges on the acceptance and engagement of the local population. The role of citizens is under-researched by academia and overlooked by policymakers. Our paper’s contribution is unique data from a purposefully developed survey of Cypriot residents. The findings reveal robust support for the renewable energy transition in principle with 90% expressing supportive views of which 57% ‘strongly support’ the transition and notably middle-aged more educated and fully employed individuals showing the strongest support. At the same time our results show that 62% are unfamiliar with the concept of a hydrogen economy. The promising finding is that 80% of citizens are ‘very likely’ (25%) or ‘somewhat likely’ (55%) to engage in discussions or activities related to the creation of a hydrogen valley in Cyprus. Gender differences in the willingness to engage are however evident: 32% of males indicated they are ‘very likely’ to participate versus 23% of females. We conclude that the prevailing citizen behaviour in Cyprus is “Seeking Information” and we make policy suggestions outlining the top ten engagement tools to foster awareness among the general population and the top ten strategies targeting active supporters of hydrogen in Cyprus to elevate their involvement to ‘Action’ and ‘Advocacy’ levels of engagement.
Green Hydrogen Credit Subsidized Renewable Energy-hydrogen Business Models for Achieving the Carbon Netural Future
Feb 2024
Publication
The global resurgence of hydrogen as a clean energy source particularly green hydrogen derived from renewable energy is pivotal for achieving a carbon-neutral future. However scalability poses a significant challenge. This research proposes innovative business models leveraging the low-emission property of green hydrogen to reduce its financial costs thereby fostering its widespread adoption. Key components of the business workflow are elaborated mathematical formulations of market parameters are derived and case studies are presented to demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of these models. Results demonstrate that the substantial costs associated with the current hydrogen industry can be effectively subsidized via the implementation of proposed business models. When the carbon emission price falls within the range of approximately 86–105 USD/ton free access to hydrogen becomes a viable option for end-users. This highlights the significance and promising potential of the proposed business models within the green hydrogen credit framework.
Clean Hydrogen Roadmap: Is Greater Realism Leading to more Credible Paths Forward?
Sep 2023
Publication
"The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies started researching the role of hydrogen in the energy transition in 2020. Since then the interest in hydrogen has continued to grow globally across the energy industry. A key research question has been the extent to which clean hydrogen can be scaled up at reasonable cost and whether it can play a significant role in the global energy system. In April 2022 OIES launched a new Hydrogen Research Programme under the overarching theme of ’building business cases for a hydrogen economy’. This overarching theme was selected based on the observation that most clean hydrogen developments to date had been relatively small-scale pilot or demonstration projects typically funded by government grants or subsidies. For clean hydrogen to play a significant role there will need to be business cases developed in order to attract the many hundreds of billions of dollars of investment required most of which will need to come from the private sector albeit ultimately underpinned by government-backed decarbonisation policies. Just over a year has passed since the start of the Hydrogen Research Programme and the intention of this paper is to pull together key themes which have emerged from the research so far and which can form a useful framework for further research both by OIES and others.<br/>The six key themes in this paper listed below are intended to create a framework to at least start to address the challenges:<br/>Hydrogen is in competition with other decarbonisation alternatives.<br/>The business case for clean hydrogen relies on government policy to drive decarbonisation.<br/>It is essential to understand emissions associated with potential hydrogen investments.<br/>Hydrogen investments need to consider the full value chain and its geopolitics.<br/>Transport of hydrogen is expensive and so should be minimised.<br/>Storage of hydrogen is an essential part of the value chain and requires more focus.
Hydrogen as an Energy Carrier—An Overview over Technology, Status, and Challenges in Germany
Dec 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is set to become an important energy carrier in Germany in the next decades in the country’s quest to reach the target of climate neutrality by 2045. To meet Germany’s potential green hydrogen demand of up to 587 to 1143 TWh by 2045 electrolyser capacities between 7 and 71 GW by 2030 and between 137 to 275 GW by 2050 are required. Presently the capacities for electrolysis are small (around 153 MW) and even with an increase in electrolysis capacity of >1 GW per year Germany will still need to import large quantities of hydrogen to meet its future demand. This work examines the expected green hydrogen demand in different sectors describes the available technologies and highlights the current situation and challenges that need to be addressed in the next years to reach Germany’s climate goals with regard to scaling up production infrastructure development and transport as well as developing the demand for green hydrogen.
Developing Hydrogen Strategies for Fossil Fuel Exporting Countries Under Uncertainty: The Case of Qatar
Mar 2025
Publication
The economies of fossil fuel exporters are threatened by global efforts to transition away from using unabated fossil fuels. Producing clean hydrogen for export or domestic use in manufacturing provides a potentially major opportunity to continue exploiting their fossil fuel resources. However the substantial uncertainties affecting the future of clean hydrogen make developing hydrogen strategies complex. This paper characterizes such uncertainties and conducts an initial assessment of possible investment risks and critical decisions associated with different strategies in the case of Qatar a leading exporter of natural gas. We find that strategies mostly focused on using clean hydrogen domestically to produce clean commodities are relatively low risk; inversely becoming a leading exporter of clean hydrogen substantially increases investment risks. Also irrespective of the strategy higher investment is required in the early years suggesting that once a strategy is chosen changing path may prove difficult.
Hydrogen, A Less Disruptive Pathway for Domestic Heat? Exploratory Findings from Public Perception Research
Aug 2023
Publication
The disruption associated with heat decarbonisation has been identified as a key opportunity for hydrogen technologies in temperate countries and regions where established distribution infrastructure and familiarity with natural gas boilers predominate. A key element of such claims is the empirically untested belief that citizens will prefer to minimise disruption and perceive hydrogen to be less disruptive than the network upgrades and retrofit measures needed to support electric and other low carbon heating technologies. This article reports on exploratory deliberative research with residents of Cardiff Wales which examined public perceptions of heating disruptions. Our findings suggest that concerns over public responses to disruption may be overstated particularly as they relate to construction and road excavation for network upgrade. Disruptions arising from permanent changes to building fabric may be more problematic for heat pump retrofit however these may be greatly overshadowed by anxieties over the cost implications of moving to hydrogen fuel. Furthermore the biographical patterning of citizen preferences raises significant questions for hydrogen roll-out strategies relying on regionalised network conversion. We conclude by arguing that far from a non-disruptive alternative to electrification hydrogen risks being seen as posing substantial disruptions to precarious household finances and lifestyles.
Comprehensive Review of Development and Applications of Hydrogen Energy Technologies in China for Carbon Neutrality: Technology Advances and Challenges
Jul 2024
Publication
Concerning the transition from a carbon-based energy economy to a renewable energy economy hydrogen is considered an essential energy carrier for efficient and broad energy systems in China in the near future. China aims to gradually replace fossil fuel-based power generation with renewable energy technologies to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. This ambitious undertaking will involve building an industrial production chain spanning the production storage transportation and utilisation of hydrogen energy by 2030 (when China’s carbon peak will be reached). This review analyses the current status of technological R&D in China’s hydrogen energy industry. Based on published data in the open literature we compared the costs and carbon emissions for grey blue and green hydrogen production. The primary challenges concerning hydrogen transportation and storage are highlighted in this study. Given that primary carbon emissions in China are a result of power generation using fossil fuels we provide an overview of the advances in hydrogen-to-power industry technology R&D including hydrogen-related power generation technology hydrogen fuel cells hydrogen internal combustion engines hydrogen gas turbines and catalytic hydrogen combustion using liquid hydrogen carriers (e.g. ammonia methanol and ethanol).
Route-to-Market Strategy for Low-carbon Hydrogen from Natural Gas in the Permian Basin
Aug 2023
Publication
This paper investigates the untapped potential of the Permian Basin a multifaceted energy axis in Texas and adjoining states in the emerging era of decarbonization. Aligned with current policy directives on regional hydrogen hubs this study explores the viability of developing a hydrogen energy hub in the Permian Basin thereby producing low-carbon intensity hydrogen from natural gas in the Basin and transporting it to the Greater Houston area. Diverging from existing literature this study provides an integrated techno-economic evaluation of the entire hydrogen value chain in the Permian Basin encompassing production storage and transportation. Furthermore it comparatively analyzes the scenario of interest against an optimized base scenario thereby underlining comparative advantages and disadvantages. The paper concludes that the delivered cost of Permian based low-carbon intensity hydrogen to the Greater Houston area is $1.85/kg benchmarked to the scenario with hydrogen produced close to the Greater Houston area and delivered at $1.42/kg. Our findings reveal that Permian-based low-carbon intensity hydrogen production can achieve cost savings in feedstock ($0.25/kg) and potentially accrue a higher production tax credit due to a shorter gas supply chain to production ($0.33/kg). Nevertheless a significant cost barrier is the expense of long-haul pipeline transport ($0.90/kg) from the Permian Basin to Houston as opposed to local production. Despite the obstacles the study identifies a potential breakeven solution where increasing the production scale to at least 412000 metric ton per year (about 3 steam reforming plants) in the Permian Basin can effectively lower costs in the transport sector. Hence a scaled-up production can mitigate the cost difference and establish the Permian Basin as a competitive player in the hydrogen market. In conclusion a SWOT analysis presents Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats associated with Permian-based hydrogen production.
An Assessment Methodology for International Hydrogen Competitiveness: Seven Case Studies Compared
Jun 2024
Publication
Currently the global energy structure is undergoing a transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources with the hydrogen economy playing a pivotal role. Hydrogen is not only an important energy carrier needed to achieve the global goal of energy conservation and emission reduction it represents a key object of the future international energy trade. As hydrogen trade expands nations are increasingly allocating resources to enhance the international competitiveness of their respective hydrogen industries. This paper introduces an index that can be used to evaluate international hydrogen competitiveness and elucidate the most competitive countries in the hydrogen trade. To calculate the competitiveness scores of seven major prospective hydrogen market participants we employed the entropy weight method. This method considers five essential factors: potential resources economic and financial base infrastructure government support and institutional environment and technological feasibility. The results indicate that the USA and Australia exhibit the highest composite indices. These findings can serve as a guide for countries in formulating suitable policies and strategies to bolster the development and international competitiveness of their respective hydrogen industries.
Techno-economic-environmental Assessment of Green Hydrogen and Ammonia Synthesis Using Solar and Wind Resources for Three Selected Sites in Egypt
Sep 2024
Publication
The primary motivation of the present study is to mitigate the severe impact of ongoing energy resource shortages while offering clean and sustainable energy carriers such as hydrogen and ammonia. The present system mainly encompasses water splitting and the Haber-Bosch (HB) processes for green hydrogen and ammonia synthesis using solar and wind power respectively. Pointwise quantification analyses are conducted to quantify the power hydrogen and ammonia as well as the economic parameters specifically the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) and levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA). This analysis is based on meteorological data from three sites in Egypt considering the specific water and nitrogen requirements for hydrogen and ammonia synthesis respectively. Furthermore carbon dioxide mitigation from solar and wind systems is estimated. These respective sites are Jarjoub on the coastlines of the Mediterranean Sea and Ain Sokhna and Jabal Al-Zait on the coastlines of the Red Sea. The results indicate that the lowest values of LCOE LCOH and LCOA are 12.58 $/MWh 1.91 $/kg H2 and 396.1 $/Ton NH3 respectively which were attained using solar resources at Ain Sokhna geographical site at the Red Sea. Besides Jarjoub which is located in the Mediterranean Sea could attain LCOH of 2.15 $/kg which is still a promising option due to its export potential to Europe. However the use of wind resources is incompetent for solar counterparts in the respective sites; their potential application in Egypt is still promising. The results demonstrate that Jabal Al-Zait stands as a favorable location for green power hydrogen and ammonia synthesis using wind resources which has LCOE LCOH and LCOA of 23.67 $/MWh 2.75 $/kg H2 and 547.8 $/Ton NH3 respectively.
Integration of Renewable-Energy-Based Green Hydrogen into the Energy Future
Sep 2023
Publication
There is a growing interest in green hydrogen with researchers institutions and countries focusing on its development efficiency improvement and cost reduction. This paper explores the concept of green hydrogen and its production process using renewable energy sources in several leading countries including Australia the European Union India Canada China Russia the United States South Korea South Africa Japan and other nations in North Africa. These regions possess significant potential for “green” hydrogen production supporting the transition from fossil fuels to clean energy and promoting environmental sustainability through the electrolysis process a common method of production. The paper also examines the benefits of green hydrogen as a future alternative to fossil fuels highlighting its superior environmental properties with zero net greenhouse gas emissions. Moreover it explores the potential advantages of green hydrogen utilization across various industrial commercial and transportation sectors. The research suggests that green hydrogen can be the fuel of the future when applied correctly in suitable applications with improvements in production and storage techniques as well as enhanced efficiency across multiple domains. Optimization strategies can be employed to maximize efficiency minimize costs and reduce environmental impact in the design and operation of green hydrogen production systems. International cooperation and collaborative efforts are crucial for the development of this technology and the realization of its full benefits.
The Long Term Price Elastic Demand of Hydrogen - A Multi-model Analysis for Germany
May 2024
Publication
Hydrogen and its derivatives are important components to achieve climate policy goals especially in terms of greenhouse gas neutrality. There is an ongoing controversial debate about the applications in which hydrogen and its derivatives should be used and to what extent. Typically the estimation of hydrogen demand relies on scenario-based analyses with varying underlying assumptions and targets. This study establishes a new framework consisting of existing energy system simulation and optimisation models in order to assess the long-term price-elastic demand of hydrogen. The aim of this work is to shift towards an analysis of the hydrogen demand that is primarily driven by its price. This is done for the case of Germany because of the expected high hydrogen demand for the years 2025–2045. 15 wholesale price pathways were established with final prices in 2045 between 56 €/MWh and 182 €/MWh. The results suggest that – if climate targets are to be achieved - even with high hydrogen prices (252 €/MWh in 2030 and 182 €/MWh in 2045) a significant hydrogen demand in the industry sector and the energy conversion sector is expected to emerge (318 TWh). Furthermore the energy conversion sector has a large share of price sensitive hydrogen demand and therefore its demand strongly increases with lower prices. The road transportation sector will only play a small role in terms of hydrogen demand if prices are low. In the decentralised heating for buildings no relevant demand will be seen over the considered price ranges whereas the centralised supply of heat via heat grids increases as prices fall.
A Brief on Nano-Based Hydrogen Energy Transition
Sep 2023
Publication
Considering the clean renewable and ecologically friendly characteristics of hydrogen gas as well as its high energy density hydrogen energy is thought to be the most potent contender to locally replace fossil fuels. The creation of a sustainable energy system is currently one of the critical industrial challenges and electrocatalytic hydrogen evolution associated with appropriate safe storage techniques are key strategies to implement systems based on hydrogen technologies. The recent progress made possible through nanotechnology incorporation either in terms of innovative methods of hydrogen storage or production methods is a guarantee of future breakthroughs in energy sustainability. This manuscript addresses concisely and originally the importance of including nanotechnology in both green electroproduction of hydrogen and hydrogen storage in solid media. This work is mainly focused on these issues and eventually intends to change beliefs that hydrogen technologies are being imposed only for reasons of sustainability and not for the intrinsic value of the technology itself. Moreover nanophysics and nano-engineering have the potential to significantly change the paradigm of conventional hydrogen technologies.
The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity: Techno-economic Methodology
Apr 2024
Publication
This report outlines the methods and assumptions used in the hydrogen technology market analysis. The results of the analysis are presented in The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity and the supporting report Hydrogen technology roadmaps. They include forecasts for the following market data:
○ Global hydrogen economy The overall size of the global hydrogen economy in 2023 2030 and 2050.
○ Global and UK hydrogen technology market by technology family
This is the proportion of the total future hydrogen economy attributable to hydrogen-related technologies in 2023 2030 and 2050. The hydrogen economy is defined as the ‘end-to-end’ value created from hydrogen production storage & distribution and use. This includes the direct economic value associated with production and distribution of hydrogen as a fuel or chemical feedstock hydrogen infrastructure technologies products services and the indirect economic value created through products and services that indirectly support the use of hydrogen in industry transport power generation and heating. This endto-end definition of the hydrogen economy is represented in Figure 1 overleaf.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
○ Global hydrogen economy The overall size of the global hydrogen economy in 2023 2030 and 2050.
○ Global and UK hydrogen technology market by technology family
This is the proportion of the total future hydrogen economy attributable to hydrogen-related technologies in 2023 2030 and 2050. The hydrogen economy is defined as the ‘end-to-end’ value created from hydrogen production storage & distribution and use. This includes the direct economic value associated with production and distribution of hydrogen as a fuel or chemical feedstock hydrogen infrastructure technologies products services and the indirect economic value created through products and services that indirectly support the use of hydrogen in industry transport power generation and heating. This endto-end definition of the hydrogen economy is represented in Figure 1 overleaf.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
Hydrogen Revolution in Europe: Bibliometric Review of Industrial Hydrogen Applications for a Sustainable Future
Jul 2024
Publication
Industrial applications of hydrogen are key to the transition towards a sustainable lowcarbon economy. Hydrogen has the potential to decarbonize industrial sectors that currently rely heavily on fossil fuels. Hydrogen with its unique and versatile properties has several in-industrial applications that are fundamental for sustainability and energy efficiency such as the following: (i) chemical industry; (ii) metallurgical sector; (iii) transport; (iv) energy sector; and (v) agrifood sector. The development of a bibliometric analysis of industrial hydrogen applications in Europe is crucial to understand and guide developments in this emerging field. Such an analysis can identify research trends collaborations between institutions and countries and the areas of greatest impact and growth. By examining the scientific literature and comparing it with final hydrogen consumption in different regions of Europe the main actors and technologies that are driving innovation in industrial hydrogen use on the continent can be identified. The results obtained allow for an assessment of the knowledge gaps and technological challenges that need to be addressed to accelerate the uptake of hydrogen in various industrial sectors. This is essential to guide future investments and public policies towards strategic areas that maximize the economic and environmental impact of industrial hydrogen applications in Europe.
Cost of Green Hydrogen
Sep 2024
Publication
Acting in accordance with the requirements of the 2015 Paris Agreement Poland as well as other European Union countries have committed to achieving climate neutrality by 2050. One of the solutions to reduce emissions of harmful substances into the environment is the implementation of large-scale hydrogen technologies. This article presents the cost of producing green hydrogen produced using an alkaline electrolyzer with electricity supplied from a photovoltaic farm. The analysis was performed using the Monte Carlo method and for baseline assumptions including an electricity price of 0.053 EUR/kWh the cost of producing green hydrogen was 5.321 EUR/kgH2 . In addition this article presents a sensitivity analysis showing the impact of the electricity price before and after the energy crisis and other variables on the cost of green hydrogen production. The large change occurring in electricity prices (from 0.035 EUR/kWh to 0.24 EUR/kWh) significantly affected the levelized cost of green hydrogen (LCOH) which could change by up to 14 EUR/kgH2 in recent years. The results of the analysis showed that the parameters that successively have the greatest impact on the cost of green hydrogen production are the operating time of the plant and the unit capital expenditure. The development of green hydrogen production facilities along with the scaling of technology in the future can reduce the cost of its production.
The Technical and Economic Aspects of Integrating Energy Sectors for Climate Neutrality
Sep 2024
Publication
With the development of an energy sector based on renewable primary sources structural changes are emerging for the entire national energy system. Initially it was estimated that energy generation based on fossil fuels would decrease until its disappearance. However the evolution of CO2 capture capacity leads to a possible coexistence for a certain period with the renewable energy sector. The paper develops this concept of the coexistence of the two systems with the positioning of green hydrogen not only within the renewable energy sector but also as a transformation vector for carbon dioxide captured in the form of synthetic fuels such as CH4 and CH3OH. The authors conducted pilot-scale research on CO2 capture with green H2 both for pure (captured) CO2 and for CO2 found in combustion gases. The positive results led to the respective recommendation. The research conducted by the authors meets the strict requirements of the current energy phase with the authors considering that wind and solar energy alone are not sufficient to meet current energy demand. The paper also analyzes the economic aspects related to price differences for energy produced in the two sectors as well as their interconnection. The technical aspect as well as the economic aspect of storage through various other solutions besides hydrogen has been highlighted. The development of the renewable energy sector and its demarcation from the fossil fuel energy sector even with the transcendent vector represented by green hydrogen leads to the deepening of dispersion aspects between the electricity sector and the thermal energy sector a less commonly mentioned aspect in current works but of great importance. The purpose of this paper is to highlight energy challenges during the current transition period towards climate neutrality along with solutions proposed by the authors to be implemented in this phase. The current stage of combustion of the CH4 − H2 mixture imposes requirements for the capture of the resulting CO2.
Techno-Economic Analysis of Combined Production of Wind Energy and Green Hydrogen on the Northern Coast of Mauritania
Sep 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is becoming increasingly popular with academics institutions and governments concentrating on its development efficiency improvement and cost reduction. The objective of the Ministry of Petroleum Mines and Energy is to achieve a 35% proportion of renewable energy in the overall energy composition by the year 2030 followed by a 50% commitment by 2050. This goal will be achieved through the implementation of feed-in tariffs and the integration of independent power generators. The present study focused on the economic feasibility of green hydrogen and its production process utilizing renewable energy resources on the northern coast of Mauritania. The current investigation also explored the wind potential along the northern coast of Mauritania spanning over 600 km between Nouakchott and Nouadhibou. Wind data from masts Lidar stations and satellites at 10 and 80 m heights from 2022 to 2023 were used to assess wind characteristics and evaluate five turbine types for local conditions. A comprehensive techno-economic analysis was carried out at five specific sites encompassing the measures of levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and levelized cost of green hydrogen (LCOGH) as well as sensitivity analysis and economic performance indicators. The results showed an annual average wind speed of 7.6 m/s in Nouakchott to 9.8 m/s in Nouadhibou at 80 m. The GOLDWIND 3.0 MW model showed the highest capacity factor of 50.81% due to its low cut-in speed of 2.5 m/s and its rated wind speed of 10.5 to 11 m/s. The NORDEX 4 MW model forecasted an annual production of 21.97 GWh in Nouadhibou and 19.23 GWh in Boulanoir with the LCOE ranging from USD 5.69 to 6.51 cents/kWh below the local electricity tariff and an LCOGH of USD 1.85 to 2.11 US/kg H2 . Multiple economic indicators confirmed the feasibility of wind energy and green hydrogen projects in assessed sites. These results boosted the confidence of the techno-economic model highlighting the resilience of future investments in these sustainable energy infrastructures. Mauritania’s north coast has potential for wind energy aiding green hydrogen production for energy goals.
Addressing Environmental Challenges: The Role of Hydrogen Technologies in a Sustainable Future
Dec 2023
Publication
Energy and environmental issues are of great importance in the present era. The transition to renewable energy sources necessitates technological political and behavioral transformations. Hydrogen is a promising solution and many countries are investing in the hydrogen economy. Global demand for hydrogen is expected to reach 120 million tonnes by 2024. The incorporation of hydrogen for efficient energy transport and storage and its integration into the transport sector are crucial measures. However to fully develop a hydrogen-based economy the sustainability and safety of hydrogen in all its applications must be ensured. This work describes and compares different technologies for hydrogen production storage and utilization (especially in fuel cell applications) with focus on the research activities under study at SaRAH group of the University of Naples Federico II. More precisely the focus is on the production of hydrogen from bio-alcohols and its storage in formate solutions produced from renewable sources such as biomass or carbon dioxide. In addition the use of materials inspired by nature including biowaste as feedstock to produce porous electrodes for fuel cell applications is presented. We hope that this review can be useful to stimulate more focused and fruitful research in this area and that it can open new avenues for the development of sustainable hydrogen technologies.
Spillovers Between Hydrogen, Nuclear and AI Sectors: The Impact of Climate Policy Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risks
Mar 2025
Publication
This study investigates the spillover effects between hydrogen energy nuclear energy and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors in the context of the global clean energy transition with a particular focus on the impact of climate policy uncertainty (CPU) and geopolitical risks (GPR). Employing the TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach the findings show a high connectedness that indicates significant spillovers among these sectors. Hydrogen energy emerges as a dominant transmitter of shocks reflecting its sensitivity to regulatory changes and fluctuating demand. However nuclear energy acts as a stabilising force that offers hedging opportunities and resilience against market turbulence. The AI sector exhibits strong connectedness primarily as a net receiver of shocks driven by its dependency on clean energy sources and vulnerability to energy market volatility. Using the GARCHMIDAS framework the study identifies a temporal asymmetry in market responses to CPU and GPR. CPU triggers immediate but short-lived disruptions while GPR induces delayed yet persistent effects that intensify cross-sector spillovers over time. These results underline the vulnerabilities of sectors reliant on regulatory clarity and geopolitical stability. This study provides practical insights for investors policymakers technology and energy companies to better manage systemic risks at the crossroads of clean energy technological innovation and uncertainty.
Cost Projection of Global Green Hydrogen Production Scenarios
Nov 2023
Publication
A sustainable future hydrogen economy hinges on the development of green hydrogen and the shift away from grey hydrogen but this is highly reliant on reducing production costs which are currently too high for green hydrogen to be competitive. This study predicts the cost trajectory of alkaline and proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers based on ongoing research and development (R&D) scale effects and experiential learning consequently influencing the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) projections. Electrolyzer capital costs are estimated to drop to 88 USD/kW for alkaline and 60 USD/kW for PEM under an optimistic scenario by 2050 or 388 USD/kW and 286 USD/kW respectively under a pessimistic scenario with PEM potentially dominating the market. Through a combination of declining electrolyzer costs and a levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) the global LCOH of green hydrogen is projected to fall below 5 USD/kgH2 for solar onshore and offshore wind energy sources under both scenarios by 2030. To facilitate a quicker transition the implementation of financial strategies such as additional revenue streams a hydrogen/carbon credit system and an oxygen one (a minimum retail price of 2 USD/kgO2 ) and regulations such as a carbon tax (minimum 100 USD/tonCO2 for 40 USD/MWh electricity) and a contract-for-difference scheme could be pivotal. These initiatives would act as financial catalysts accelerating the transition to a greener hydrogen economy.
Comparative Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Analysis of Clean Hydrogen Pathways: Assessing Domestic Production and Overseas Import in South Korea
Sep 2023
Publication
The development of a Clean Hydrogen Standard based on life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is gaining prominence on the international agenda. Thus a framework for assessing life-cycle GHG emissions for clean hydrogen pathways is necessary. In this study the comprehensive datasets and effects of various scenarios encompassing hydrogen production carriers (liquid hydrogen ammonia methylcyclohexane) carbon capture and storage (CCS) target analysis year (2021 2030) to reflect trends of greening grid electricity and potential import countries on aggregated life-cycle GHG emissions were presented. South Korea was chosen as a case study region and the low-carbon alternatives were suggested for reducing aggregated emissions to meet the Korean standard (5 kgCO2e/kgH2). First capturing and storing nearly entire (>90%) CO2 from fossil- and waste-based production pathways is deemed essential. Second when repurposing the use of hydrogen that was otherwise used internally applying a penalty for substitution is appropriate leading to results notably exceeding the standard. Third for electrolysis-based hydrogen using renewable or nuclear electricity is essential. Lastly when hydrogen is imported in a well-to-point-of-delivery (WtP) perspective using renewable electricity during hydrogen conversion into a carrier and reusing the produced hydrogen for endothermic reconversion reaction are recommended. By implementing the developed calculation framework to other countries' cases it was observed that importing hydrogen to regions having scope of WtP or above (e.g. well-to-wheel) might not meet the threshold due to additional emissions from importation processes. Additionally for hydrogen carriers undergoing the endothermic reconversion the approach to reduce WtP emissions (reusing produced hydrogen) may conflict with the approach to reduce well-to-gate (WtG) emission (using external fossilbased fuel). The discrepancy highlights the need to set a broader scope of emissions assessment to effectively promote the life-cycle emission reduction efforts of hydrogen importers. This study contributes to the field of clean hydrogen GHG emission assessment offering a robust database and calculation framework while addressing the effects of greening grid electricity and CCS implementation proposing low-carbon alternatives and GHG assessment scope to achieve global GHG reduction.
Investigation of a Community-based Clean Energy System Holistically with Renewable and Hydrogen Energy Options for Better Sustainable Development
Jan 2024
Publication
This study develops a novel community-based integrated energy system where hydrogen and a combination of renewable energy sources are considered uniquely for implementation. In this regard three different communities situated in Kenya the United States and Australia are studied for hydrogen production and meeting the energy demands. To provide a variety of energy demands this study combines a multigenerational geothermal plant with a hybrid concentrated solar power and photovoltaic solar plant. Innovations in hydrogen production and renewable energy are essential for reducing carbon emissions. By combining the production of hydrogen with renewable energy sources this system seeks to move away from the reliance on fossil fuels and toward sustainability. The study investigates various research subjects using a variety of methods. The performance of the geothermal source is considered through energetic and exergetic thermodynamic analysis. The software System Advisor Model (SAM) and RETscreen software packages are used to analyze the other sub-systems including Concentrate Solar PV solar and Combined Heat and Power Plant. Australian American and Kenyan communities considered for this study were found to have promising potential for producing hydrogen and electricity from renewable sources. The geothermal output is expected to be 35.83 MW 122.8 MW for space heating 151.9 MW for industrial heating and 64.25 MW for hot water. The overall geothermal energy and exergy efficiencies are reported as 65.15% and 63.54% respectively. The locations considered are expected to have annual solar power generation and hydrogen production capacities of 158MW 237MW 186MW 235 tons 216 tons and 313 tons respectively.
Sustainable Green Energy Transition in Saudia Arabia: Characterizing Policy Framework, Interrelations and Future Research Directions
Jun 2024
Publication
By 2060 the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) aims to achieve net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions targeting 50% renewable energy and reducing 278 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent annually by 2030 under Vision 2030. This ambitious roadmap focuses on economic diversification global engagement and enhanced quality of life. The electricity sector with a 90 GW installed capacity as of 2020 is central to decarbonization aiming for a 55% reduction in emissions by 2030. Saudi Energy Efficiency Centre’s Energy Efficiency Action Plan aims to reduce power intensity by 30% by 2030 while the NEOM project showcases a 4 GW green hydrogen facility reflecting the country’s commitments to sustainability and technological innovation. Despite being the largest oil producer and user Saudi Arabia must align with international CO2 emission reduction targets. Currently there is no state-of-the-art energy policy framework to guide a sustainable energy transition. In the academic literature there is also lack of effort in developing comprehensive energy policy framework. This study provides a thorough and comprehensive analysis of the entire energy industry spanning from the stage of production to consumption incorporating sustainability factors into the wider discussion on energy policy. It establishes a conceptual framework for the energy policy of Saudi Arabia that corresponds with Vision 2030. A total of hundred documents (e.g. 25 original articles and 75 industry reports) were retrieved from Google Scholar Web of Science Core Collection Database and Google Search and then analyzed. Results showed that for advancing the green energy transition areas such as strategies for regional and cross-sectoral collaboration adoption of international models human capital development and public engagement technological innovation and research; and resource conservation environmental protection and climate change should move forward exclusively from an energy policy perspective. This article's main contribution is developing a comprehensive and conceptual policy framework for Saudi Arabia's sustainable green energy transition aligned with Vision 2030. The framework integrates social economic and environmental criteria and provides critical policy implications and research directions for advancing energy policy and sustainable practices in the country.
Comparative Life cycle Greenhouse Gas Emission and Cost Assessment of Hydrogen Fuel and Power for Singapore
Feb 2025
Publication
To identify lower-carbon and cost-effective hydrogen supplies for fuel and power generation in Singapore we assessed the cradle-to-gate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and the landed costs of over fifty supply chains from Malaysia and Australia with current and emerging blue turquoise and green hydrogen production and carrier technologies. We found that with current technologies the total life cycle global warming potential of local H2 production using steam methane reforming with carbon capture (4.47 kg CO2e/kg H2) is lower than importing solar-generated green H2 from Australia transported as NH3 (6.48 kg CO2e/kg H2) due to large emissions from conversion and transportation processes in the latter supply chain. When also considering emerging technologies turquoise H2 produced with the thermal decomposition of methane locally or in Malaysia is the most economical solution while wind-generated H2 from Australia transported as liquefied H2 or NH3 produce the least GHG emissions. In addition we projected the impacts of the Singapore carbon tax methane abatement in NG production and reduction of renewable energy embodied emissions and costs on the supply chains in the year 2030. We estimated that with the expected renewable energy improvements the emissions and costs of power generated from imported solar-powered H2 could drop by as much as 74% and 70% respectively.
Linking Cost Decline and Demand Surge in the Hydrogen Market: A Case Study in China
Jun 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is crucial in achieving global energy transition and carbon neutrality goals. Existing market estimates typically presume linear or exponential growth but fail to consider how market demand responds to the declining cost of underlying technologies. To address this this study utilizes a learning curve model to project the cost of electrolyzers and its subsequent impact on hydrogen market aligning with a premise that the market demand is proportional to the cost of hydrogen. In a case study of China’s hydrogen market projecting from 2020 to 2060 we observed substantial differences in market evolution compared to exponential growth scenarios. Contrary to exponential growth scenarios China’s hydrogen market experiences faster growth during the 2020–2040 period rather than later. Such differences underscore the necessity for proactive strategic planning in emerging technology markets particularly for those experiencing rapid cost decline such as hydrogen. The framework can also be extended to other markets by using local data providing valuable insights to investors policymakers and developers engaged in the hydrogen market.
Mapping the Future of Green Hydrogen: Integrated Analysis of Poland and the EU’s Development Pathways to 2050
Aug 2023
Publication
This article presents the results of a comparative scenario analysis of the “green hydrogen” development pathways in Poland and the EU in the 2050 perspective. We prepared the scenarios by linking three models: two sectoral models for the power and transport sectors and a Computable General Equilibrium model (d-Place). The basic precondition for the large-scale use of hydrogen in both Poland and in European Union countries is the pursuit of ambitious greenhouse gas reduction targets. The EU plans indicate that the main source of hydrogen will be renewable energy (RES). “Green hydrogen” is seen as one of the main methods with which to balance energy supply from intermittent RES such as solar and wind. The questions that arise concern the amount of hydrogen required to meet the energy needs in Poland and Europe in decarbonized sectors of the economy and to what extent can demand be covered by internal production. In the article we estimated the potential of the production of “green hydrogen” derived from electrolysis for different scenarios of the development of the electricity sector in Poland and the EU. For 2050 it ranges from 76 to 206 PJ/y (Poland) and from 4449 to 5985 PJ/y (EU+). The role of hydrogen as an energy storage was also emphasized highlighting its use in the process of stabilizing the electric power system. Hydrogen usage in the energy sector is projected to range from 67 to 76 PJ/y for Poland and from 1066 to 1601 PJ/y for EU+ by 2050. Depending on the scenario this implies that between 25% and 35% of green hydrogen will be used in the power sector as a long-term energy storage.
The Impact of Country-specific Investment Risks on the Levelised Costs of Green Hydrogen Production
Jun 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen is central to the global energy transition. This paper introduces a renewable hydrogen production system model that optimizes hydrogen production on a worldwide 50 km × 50 km grid considering country-specific investment risks. Besides the renewable energy’s impact on the hydrogen production system (HPS) design we analyze the effect of country-specific interest rates on the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) production. Over one-third (40.0%) of all cells have an installed solar PV capacity share between 50% and 70% 76.4% have a hybrid (onshore wind and solar PV) configuration. Hydrogen storage is deployed rather than battery storage to balance hydrogen production via electrolysis and hydrogen demand. Hybrid HPSs can significantly reduce the LCOH production compared to non-hybrid designs whereas country-specific interest rates can lead to significant increases diminishing the relative competitiveness of countries with abundant renewable energy resources compared to countries with fewer resources but fewer investment risks.
The Roadmap for a Green Hydrogen Economy in Trinidad & Tobago
Nov 2022
Publication
This publication presents the results of a pre-feasibility study to introduce a green hydrogen (GH2) market in Trinidad and Tobago (T&T). The study analyzed the potential supply and competitiveness of producing GH2 in T&T and the actions needed to build a foundation for producing green ammonia and methanol. The study updated previous estimates of renewable energy generation potential in the country. The study also highlighted Trinidad and Tobago's comparative advantage to produce GH2 with its ability to capitalize on existing infrastructure its know-how and capabilities and its long-standing trade relations. Lastly the study identifies demonstration projects and created a roadmap for developing a low carbon hydrogen economy in Trinidad and Tobago.
Impact of International Transportation Chains on Cost of Green E-hydrogen: Global Cost of Hydrogen and Consequences for Germany and Finland
Jun 2023
Publication
Widely available and low-cost solar photovoltaics and wind power can enable production of renewable electricity-based hydrogen at many locations throughout the world. Hydrogen is expected to emerge as an important energy carrier constituting some of the final energy demand; however its most important role will be as feedstock for further processing to e-fuels e-chemicals and e-steel. Apart from meeting their own hydrogen demand countries may have opportunities to export hydrogen to countries with area limitations or higher production costs. This paper assesses the feasibility of e-hydrogen imports to Germany and Finland from two case regions with a high availability of low-cost renewable electricity Chile and Morocco in comparison to domestic supply. Special attention is paid to the transport infrastructure which has a crucial impact on the economic viability of imports via two routes shipping and pipelines. This study has found that despite lower e-hydrogen production costs in Morocco and Chile compared to Germany and Finland additional transportation costs make imports of e-hydrogen economically unattractive. In early 2020s imported fuel costs are 39–79% and 34–100% higher than e-hydrogen produced in Germany and Finland respectively. In 2050 imported e-hydrogen is projected to be 39–70% more expensive than locally produced e-hydrogen in Germany and 43–54% in the case of Finland. e-Hydrogen may become a fuel that is mostly produced domestically and may be feasible for imports only in specific locations. Local e-hydrogen production may also lower dependence on imports enhance energy security and add jobs.
Review of the US 2050 Long Term Strategy to Reach Net Zero Carbon Emissions
Jul 2024
Publication
In 2015 during the lead up to the Paris Climate Agreement the United States set forth a Nationally Determined Contribution that outlines national goals for greenhouse gas emission reductions. It was not until 2021 that the US put forth a long-term strategy that lays out the pathway to reach these goals. The US long-term strategy lays the framework for research needs to meet the greenhouse gas emission reduction goals and incentivizes industry to meet the goals using a variety of policies. The five US long term strategy core elements are to decarbonize electricity electrify end uses and switch to clean fuels cut energy waste reduce methane and other non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gas emissions and to scale up carbon dioxide removal. Implementation of the long term strategy has generally been funded by tax incentives and government grants that were approved as part of the Inflation Reduction Act. Political headwinds societal Not in My Backyard resistance long-term economic funding cumbersome permitting requirements and incentives vs. taxation debate are significant policy/nontechnical hurdles. Technical challenges remain regarding effective energy efficiency implementation the use of hydrogen as a fuel cost effective carbon emission treatment nuclear energy expansion renewables expansion and grid integration biofuel integration efficient and safe energy storage and electrical grid adequacy/expansion. This review article condenses the multitude of technical and policy issues facing the US long-term strategy providing readers with an overview of the extent and magnitude of the challenges while outlining possible solutions.
Pathways to the Hydrogen Economy: A Multidimensional Analysis of the Technological Innovation Systems of Germany and South Korea
Aug 2023
Publication
The global trend towards decarbonization and the demand for energy security have put hydrogen energy into the spotlight of industry politics and societies. Numerous governments worldwide are adopting policies and strategies to facilitate the transition towards hydrogen-based economies. To assess the determinants of such transition this study presents a comparative analysis of the technological innovation systems (TISs) for hydrogen technologies in Germany and South Korea both recognized as global front-runners in advancing and implementing hydrogen-based solutions. By providing a multi-dimensional assessment of pathways to the hydrogen economy our analysis introduces two novel and crucial elements to the TIS analysis: (i) We integrate the concept of ‘quality infrastructure’ given the relevance of safety and quality assurance for technology adoption and social acceptance and (ii) we emphasize the social perspective within the hydrogen TIS. To this end we conducted 24 semi-structured expert interviews applying qualitative open coding to analyze the data. Our results indicate that the hydrogen TISs in both countries have undergone significant developments across various dimensions. However several barriers still hinder the further realization of a hydrogen economy. Based on our findings we propose policy implications that can facilitate informed policy decisions for a successful hydrogen transition.
Designing a Future-proof Gas and Hydrogen Infrastructure for Europe - A Modelling-based Approach
Jun 2023
Publication
Hydrogen has been at the centre of attention since the EU kicked-off its decarbonization agenda at full speed. Many consider it a silver bullet for the deep decarbonization of technically challenging sectors and industries but it is also an attractive option for the gas industry to retain and future-proof its well-developed infrastructure networks. The modelling methodology presented in this report systematically tests the feasibility and cost of different pipeline transportation methods – blending repurposing and dedicated hydrogen pipelines - under different decarbonization pathways and concludes that blending is not a viable solution and pipeline repurposing can lead to excessive investment outlays in the range of EUR 19–25 bn over the modelled period (2020–2050) for the EU-27.
Blue Hydrogen and Industrial Base Products: The Future of Fossil Fuel Exporters in a Net-zero World
May 2022
Publication
Is there a place for today’s fossil fuel exporters in a low-carbon future? This study explores trade channels between energy exporters and importers using a novel electricity-hydrogen-steel energy systems model calibrated to Norway a major natural gas producer and Germany a major energy consumer. Under tight emission constraints Norway can supply Germany with electricity (blue) hydrogen or natural gas with re-import of captured CO2. Alternatively it can use hydrogen to produce steel through direct reduction and supply it to the world market an export route not available to other energy carriers due to high transport costs. Although results show that natural gas imports with CO2 capture in Germany is the least-cost solution avoiding local CO2 handling via imports of blue hydrogen (direct or embodied in steel) involves only moderately higher costs. A robust hydrogen demand would allow Norway to profitably export all its natural gas production as blue hydrogen. However diversification into local steel production as one example of easy-to-export industrial base products offers an effective hedge against the possibility of lower European blue hydrogen demand. Looking beyond Europe the findings of this study are also relevant for the world’s largest energy exporters (e.g. OPEC+) and importers (e.g. developing Asia). Thus it is recommended that large hydrocarbon exporters consider a strategic energy export transition to a diversified mix of blue hydrogen and climate-neutral industrial base products.
The Role of Hydrogen and Batteries in Delivering Net Zero in the UK by 2050
Apr 2023
Publication
This report presents an analysis of how hydrogen and battery technologies are likely to be utilised in different sectors within the UK including transportation manufacturing the built environment and power. In particular the report compares the use of hydrogen and battery technology across these sectors. In addition it evaluates where these technologies will be in competition where one technology will dominate and where a combination of the two may be used. This sector analysis draws on DNV’s knowledge and experience within both the battery and hydrogen industries along with a review of studies available in the public domain. The analysis has been incorporated into DNV’s Energy Transition Outlook model an integrated system-dynamics simulation model covering the energy system which provides an independent view of the energy outlook from now until 2050. The modelling which includes data on costs demand supply policy population and economic indicators enables the non-linear interdependencies between different parameters to be considered so that decisions made in one sector influence the decision made in another.
The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity
Apr 2024
Publication
The report considers the full end-to-end nature of the hydrogen economy to ensure there is a common understanding of the economic opportunity it could represent by 2050. Insights from across industry have brought clarity to both market and technology requirements identifying four focus areas that represent the greatest potential benefit for the UK. It highlights the steps needed to build the UK industrial capability and capacity to position the UK as a market leader. The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity has been developed with and for industry with the first phase of industrial engagement involving over 250 businesses and 12 sector bodies. A second phase of industrial engagement will expand to a broader set of consulted stakeholder groups concluding with a report entitled Hydrogen Innovation: The Case for Action in summer 2024. This will seek to validate the proposed focus areas provide more detailed scope definition the size of the opportunity and outline the steps required to secure them for the UK.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
This report can also be downloaded for free on the Hydrogen Innovation Initiative website.
Drifting toward Alliance Innovation: Patent Collaboration Relationships and Development in China’s Hydrogen Energy Industry from a Network Perspective
Mar 2024
Publication
The hydrogen energy industry as one of the most important directions for future energy transformation can promote the sustainable development of the global economy and of society. China has raised the development of hydrogen energy to a strategic position. Based on the patent data in the past two decades this study investigates the collaborative innovation relationships in China’s hydrogen energy field using complex network theory. Firstly patent data filed between 2003 and 2023 are analyzed and compared in terms of time geography and institutional and technological dimensions. Subsequently a patent collaborative innovation network is constructed to explore the fundamental characteristics and evolutionary patterns over five stages. Furthermore centrality measures and community detection algorithms are utilized to identify core entities and innovation alliances within the network which reveal that China’s hydrogen energy industry is drifting toward alliance innovation. The study results show the following: (1) the network has grown rapidly in size and scope over the last two decades and evolved from the initial stage to the multi-center stage before forming innovation alliances; (2) core innovative entities are important supports and bridges for China’s hydrogen energy industry and control most resources and maintain the robustness of the whole network; (3) innovation alliances reveal the closeness of the collaborative relationships between innovative entities and the potential landscape of China’s hydrogen energy industry; and (4) most of the innovation alliances cooperate only on a narrow range of technologies which may hinder the overall sustainable growth of the hydrogen energy industry. Thereafter some suggestions are put forward from the perspective of an industrial chain and innovation chain which may provide a theoretical reference for collaborative innovation and the future development and planning in the field of hydrogen energy in China.
Policy Supports for the Deployment of Solar Fuels: Islands as Test-beds for a Rapid Green Transition
May 2023
Publication
Coastal areas particularly islands are especially vulnerable to climate change due to their geographic and climate conditions. Reaching decarbonisation targets is a long process which will require radical changes and ‘out of the box’ thinking. In this context islands have become laboratories for the green transition by providing spaces for exploring possibilities and alternatives. Here we explore how hydrogen (H2) energy technologies can be a critical ally for island production of renewable electricity in part by providing a storage solution. However given the abundance of sunlight on many islands we also note the huge potential for a more profound engagement between renewables and hydrogen technologies via the co-generation of ‘green hydrogen’ using solar fuels technology. Solar hydrogen is a clean energy carrier produced by the direct or indirect use of solar irradiation for water-splitting processes such as photovoltaic systems coupled with electrolysers and photoelectrochemical cells. While this technology is fast emerging we question to what extent sufficient policy support exists for such initiatives and how they could be scaled up. We report on a case study of a pilot H2 plant in the Canary Islands and we offer recommendations on early-stage policy implications for hydrogen and other solar fuels in an island setting. The paper draws on the literature on islands as policy laboratories and the multi-level perspective on energy transitions. We argue that particular attention needs to be given to discrete issues such as research and planning and better synchronising between emerging local technology niches the various regulatory regimes for energy together with global trends.
Costs and Benefits of Highly Ambitious Energy Transition Pathways for Europe
Sep 2025
Publication
Climate change and energy crises push Europe to accelerate the energy-industry transition towards higher shares of renewable energy and a more efficient integrated electricity-based energy-industry system. The study examines transition scenarios ranging from carbon neutrality reached in 2050 to highest ambitions with 100% renewable electricity supply reached by 2030 and an overall carbon-neutral energy-industry system by 2035. The fastest transition coincidences with higher cost but still with an acceptable tolerance. Reaching carbon neutrality by 2040 allows for a substantial reduction in CO2 emissions and energy costs are lower compared to the fastest transition. Allowing e-fuel imports substantially reduces the energy cost in Europe compared to complete energy sovereignty with an optimal import share at only 7% of primary energy demand. Reaching an affordable energy supply requires close cooperation of European countries to exploit the best renewable resources and all sources of energy system flexibility to enable a low-cost energy supply.
50 Shades of Hydrogen: A Perspective on Definitions in Science and Public Communication
Sep 2025
Publication
Discussions about the transition to hydrogen in various applications have become an important topic in recent years. A key factor for an effective transition is public acceptance of hydrogen technologies. However the increase in acceptance depends among other things on individual knowledge about the hydrogen colors and the linked hydrogen production pathways currently under discussion. In communications colors such as green grey and blue are used to distinguish hydrogen sources. With new research additional colors have become necessary. Unfortunately there is no unified definition for the colors. The aim of this perspective is to identify the most frequent hydrogen colors used by scientists and the public derive open definitions and propose a solution to a representation problem. The general use of hydrogen colors in communication and the implications on public acceptance are briefly outlined. We then identified definitions for colors associated with a specific pathway and discussed some discrepancies between science and media use. To make better use of the existing colors more open definitions were formulated. We point out the representation problem with shades of a color and provide a connection between the assigned color and a view-independent RGB color code as proposal. The derived definitions can be used to unify communication in science and public media.
The Potential Role of Africa in Green Hydrogen Production: A Short-Term Roadmap to Protect the World’s Future from Climate Crisis
Feb 2025
Publication
The global need for energy has risen sharply recently. A global shift to clean energy is urgently needed to avoid catastrophic climate impacts. Hydrogen (H2) has emerged as a potential alternative energy source with near-net-zero emissions. In the African continent for sustainable access to clean energy and the transition away from fossil fuels this paper presents a new approach through which waste energy can produce green hydrogen from biomass. Bio-based hydrogen employing organic waste and biomass is recommended using biological (anaerobic digestion and fermentation) processes for scalable cheaper and low-carbon hydrogen. By reviewing all methods for producing green hydrogen dark fermentation can be applied in developed and developing countries without putting pressure on natural resources such as freshwater and rare metals the primary feedstocks used in producing green hydrogen by electrolysis. It can be expanded to produce medium- and long-term green hydrogen without relying heavily on energy sources or building expensive infrastructure. Implementing the dark fermentation process can support poor communities in producing green hydrogen as an energy source regardless of political and tribal conflicts unlike other methods that require political stability. In addition this approach does not require the approval of new legislation. Such processes can ensure the minimization of waste and greenhouse gases. To achieve cost reduction in hydrogen production by 2030 governments should develop a strategy to expand the use of dark fermentation reactors and utilize hot water from various industrial processes (waste energy recovery from hot wastewater).
Assessment of the Economic Viability, Environmental, and Social Impacts of Green Hydrogen Production: An Algerian Case Study
Aug 2024
Publication
The impacts of climate change are real and in many parts of the world testify to its harsh reality including rampant extreme weather events droughts heat wildfires and flooding which have recorded in places which have not experienced them in recent memory. In the quest to avert such events there is a growing awareness and demand for sustainable processes and operations. Today sustainability encompasses a balance between ecological footprint and human development index taking into consideration economics the green environment safety quality ethics diversity and inclusion (D&I) and communities. This article presents some steps that have been taken by Algeria to balance energetic autonomy and sustainable development and a case study on green hydrogen production employing membrane processes. Algeria’s objective to join the global fight against climate change is to develop its green hydrogen base. Given its resources including available solar and wind power seawater desalination plants building capacity and its favorable location it is developing its green hydrogen economy to supply hydrogen especially to Europe. This presents an opportunity for other developing nations especially in Africa to gain from this experience.
Renewable Fuels of Nob-biological Origin in the European Union - Status Report on Technology Development, Trends, Value Chains & Markets
Jan 2024
Publication
This report investigates the status and trend of Renewable Fuels of Non-Biological Origin (RFNBO) except hydrogen which are needed to cover part of the EU’s demand for low carbon renewable fuels in the coming years. The report is an update of the CETO 2023 report. Most of the conversion technologies investigated have been already demonstrated at small-scale and the current EU legislative framework under the recast of the Renewable Energy Directive (EU) 2018/2001 (Directive EU 2023/2413) sets specific targets for their use. As a pre-requisite well-established solid hydrogen supply chains are needed together with carbon capture technologies to provide carbon dioxide as Carbon Capture and Use (CCU). Fuels that may be produced starting from H2 and CO2 or N2 are hydrocarbons alcohols and ammonia. RFNBO may play a crucial role in the energytransition towards decarbonisation especially in hard-to-abate sectors where direct electrification is not possible. In addition most RFNBO can use existing infrastructure. The growing interest in these fuels is witnessed by the many funding programmes which are today available. Moreover EU leads the sector in terms of patents companies and demonstration activities. Finally the report considers the major challenges and the opportunities for a rapid market uptake of such fuels.
Future Hydrogen Economies Imply Environmental Trade-offs and a Supply-demand Mismatch
Aug 2024
Publication
Hydrogen will play a key role in decarbonizing economies. Here we quantify the costs and environmental impacts of possible large-scale hydrogen economies using four prospective hydrogen demand scenarios for 2050 ranging from 111–614 megatonne H2 year−1 . Our findings confirm that renewable (solar photovoltaic and wind) electrolytic hydrogen production generates at least 50–90% fewer greenhouse gas emissions than fossil-fuel-based counterparts without carbon capture and storage. However electrolytic hydrogen production could still result in considerable environmental burdens which requires reassessing the concept of green hydrogen. Our global analysis highlights a few salient points: (i) a mismatch between economical hydrogen production and hydrogen demand across continents seems likely; (ii) regionspecific limitations are inevitable since possibly more than 60% of large hydrogen production potentials are concentrated in water-scarce regions; and (iii) upscaling electrolytic hydrogen production could be limited by renewable power generation and natural resource potentials.
Technoeconomic Assessment of Various Configurations Photovoltaic Systems for Energy and Hydrogen Production
Feb 2023
Publication
Photovoltaic (PV) system grid integration is becoming more global to minimize carbon emissions from traditional power systems.However alternative solution investigation for maximum technical and economic benefits is often neglected when integrating PVsystems. This study utilizes a methodology for evaluating the lifecycle energy generation and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) ofPV systems with various configurations using a holistic approach that considers PV system expenditures from installation to theend-of-life PV system operation. In addition this work focuses on finding a better configuration with different PV modules(monofacial or bifacial) and structure types (mounted or single-axis) for three different utility scale PV sizes (300 kW 500 kWand 1000 kW) in Abu Dhabi UAE with the maximum power generation and minimal energy losses. Furthermore the bestsuitable configuration was identified to be the configuration with a single-axis tracking structure and bifacial PV modulesbased on their technical and economic performance for the location with two different surface albedo 0.2 and 0.8. We alsostudy the PV system’s connection in a standalone off-grid solar-electrolyzer combination to produce green hydrogen. Levelizedcost of electricity (LCOE) and levelized cost of hydrogen production (LCOH) are calculated and results show that such PVsystems can be used to generate electricity and produce hydrogen at competitive costs that can reach as low as 2.1 cent/kWhand $2.53/kg-H2 for LCOE and LCOH respectively. Such a low cost is very competitive and can be used to attract newinvestments in green hydrogen technology in the United Arab Emirates.
Catalysis as a Driver for Sustainable Technologies in Africa - A Perspective by the Catalysis Institute at the University of Cape Town
Mar 2023
Publication
One of the biggest global challenges we are facing today is the provision of affordable green and sustainable energy to a growing population. Enshrined in multiple United Nation Sustainable Development Goals – Goal 7: Affordable and Clean Energy; Goal 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities; Goal 12: Responsible Consumption and Production and Goal 13: Climate Action – as well as at the core of the Paris Agreement it is our task as scientists and engineers to develop innovative technologies that satisfy society’s needs while pivoting away from the use of fossil resources. This is a mammoth task with an ambitious timeline. The global development of the industrial sector as we know it is solely based on the exploitation of energy-rich fossil fuels that remain cost-competitive today. However a gradual change from a market driven to a policy-driven transition allows alternative technologies to make inroads and find applications. One of the most prominently discussed approaches is the Power-to-X (PtX) process envelope. It describes a series of catalytic conversions using only renewable energy water and captured CO2 to produce green hydrogen liquid hydrocarbon fuels and chemicals. Especially for sectors that are difficult or impossible to decarbonise such processes that effectively defossilising the production of energy and goods represent an important solution. The Catalysis Institute at the University of Cape Town (herein/after referred to as the Catalysis Institute) builds on decades of experience in the individual catalytic processes combined in the PtX concept. In collaboration with our global partners we are therefore able to develop technologies for the full value chain considering interdependencies and develop solutions for the African and indeed global society.
Fuel Cell Technology in the European Union - Status Report on Technology Development, Trends, Vlue Chains & Markets
Jan 2024
Publication
This report is an output of the Clean Energy Technology Observatory (CETO). CETO's objective is to provide an evidence-based analysis feeding the policy making process and hence increasing the effectiveness of R&I policies for clean energy technologies and solutions. It monitors EU research and innovation activities on clean energy technologies needed for the delivery of the European Green Deal; and assesses the competitiveness of the EU clean energy sector and its positioning in the global energy market. CETO is being implemented by the Joint Research Centre for DG Research and Innovation in coordination with DG Energy.
Systematic Analysis of the Hydrogen Value Chain from Production to Utilization
Jul 2025
Publication
Hydrogen produced from renewable sources has the potential to tackle various energy challenges from allowing cost-effective transportation of renewable energy from production to consumption regions to decarbonizing intensive energy consumption industries. Due to its application versatility and non-greenhouse gaseous emissions characteristics it is expected that hydrogen will play an important role in the decarbonization strategies set out for 2050. Currently there are some barriers and challenges that need to be addressed to fully take advantage of the opportunities associated with hydrogen. The present work aims to characterize the state of the art of different hydrogen production storage transport and distribution technologies which compose the hydrogen value chain. Based on the information collected it was possible to conclude the following: (i) Electrolysis is the frontrunner to produce green hydrogen at a large scale (efficiency up to 80%) since some of the production technologies under this category have already achieved a commercially available state; (ii) in the storage phase various technologies may be suitable based on specific conditions and purposes. Technologies of the physical-based type are the ones mostly used in real applications; (iii) transportation and distribution options should be viewed as complementary rather than competitive as the most suitable option varies based on transportation distance and hydrogen quantity; and (iv) a single value chain configuration cannot be universally applied. Therefore each case requires a comprehensive analysis of the entire value chain. Methodologies like life cycle assessment should be utilized to support the decision-making process.
How the Boundaries of the Supply Chain Affect Climate Profile: The Case of Renewable Electricity and Green Hydrogen for Italy and the UK
Feb 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen obtained from renewable electricity can play an essential role in the decarbonization of different sectors. The reliability of the data used to model the entire supply chain is a crucial parameter in Life Cycle Assessment. In this study the authors show how photovoltaic and wind electricity supply chains influence the carbon footprint of green H2. While most published studies rely on default datasets from commercial libraries the current work exploits the actual supply chain of the PV panels and builds an updated average European wind turbine supply chain. The updated values for PV-based H2 experiencing a 40–60% reduction are 2.7 and 1.8 kg CO2 eq./kg H2 for the UK and Italy. The carbon footprint of UK offshore wind-based H2 can be reduced up to 24% and get close to 0.6 kg CO2 eq./kg H2. The findings emphasize the sensitivity of the final climate profile generated by the processes upstream of the electrolysis system.
Green Hydrogen in Jordan: Stakeholder Perspectives on Technological, Infrastructure, and Economic Barriers
Jul 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen produced via renewable-powered electrolysis offers a promising path toward deep decarbonisation in energy systems. This study investigates the major technological infrastructural and economic challenges facing green hydrogen production in Jordan—a resource-constrained yet renewable-rich country. Key barriers were identified through a structured survey of 52 national stakeholders including water scarcity low electrolysis efficiency limited grid compatibility and underdeveloped transport infrastructure. Respondents emphasised that overcoming these challenges requires investment in smart grid technologies seawater desalination advanced electrolysers and policy instruments such as subsidies and public–private partnerships. These findings are consistent with global assessments which recognise similar structural and financial obstacles in scaling up green hydrogen across emerging economies. Despite the constraints over 50% of surveyed stakeholders expressed optimism about Jordan’s potential to develop a competitive green hydrogen sector especially for industrial and power generation uses. This paper provides empirical context-specific insights into the conditions required to scale green hydrogen in developing economies. It proposes an integrated roadmap focusing on infrastructure modernisation targeted financial mechanisms and enabling policy frameworks.
Barriers to Creating a Market for Hydrogen: Insights from Global Roadmaps and Stakeholders in the United States
Feb 2025
Publication
We analyze barriers to setting up a hydrogen market by using a PESTEL framework that examines political economic social technological environmental and legal barriers. This framework is advantageous for analyzing macro-environmental factors to understand potential challenges and opportunities in creating such a market. Internationally the framework was applied to analyzing barriers in 56 national hydrogen roadmaps and domestically in the U.S. to semi-structured interviews with 43 stakeholders involved with hydrogen projects across the U.S. today. In the country-level international analysis infrastructure development was the most identified barrier with 43 countries including this factor. Infrastructure development included infrastructure for hydrogen storage transportation and distribution and frequently alluded not only to the need for the infra structure but also the costs associated. The second most identified barrier was related to the need for market development - including but not limited to capital costs economic competition supply and demand matching and first-mover reticence. For the domestic analysis results from qualitative content analysis confirmed considerable variability across regions and stakeholder backgrounds. Particularly notable were divergent views about the importance of public understanding of and support for hydrogen projects with industry respondents arguing this was not important and government and academic respondents considering it very important. The barriers seen as having the largest impact on deployment of hydrogen projects was a lack of regulatory clarity and lack of decision makers’ knowledge and awareness. Domestically the most often introduced barriers were the need for the support of market demand and the need to develop a hydrogen workforce.
Green Hydrogen Transitions Deepen Socioecological Risks and Extractivist Patterns: Evidence from 28 Perspective Exporting Countries in the Global South
Sep 2024
Publication
The global green hydrogen rush is prone to repeat extractivist patterns at the expense of economies ecologies and communities in the production zones in the Global South. With a socio-ecological risk analysis grounded in energy water and environmental justice scholarship we systematically assess the risks of the ‘green’ hydrogen transition and related injustices arising in 28 countries in the Global South with regard to energy water land and global justice dimensions. Our findings show that risks materialize through the exclusion of affected communities and civil society the enclosure of land and resources for extractivist purposes and through the externalization of socio-ecological costs and conflicts. We further demonstrate that socio-ecological risks are enhanced through country-specific conditions such as water scarcity historical continuities such as post-colonial land tenure systems as well as repercussions of a persistently uneven global politico-economic order. Contributing to debates on power inequality and justice in the global green hydrogen transition we argue that addressing hydrogen risks requires a framework of environmental justice and a transformative perspective that encompasses structural shifts in the global economy including degrowth and a decentering of industrial hegemonies in the Global North.
Towards a Synthetic Positive Energy District (PED) in ˙Istanbul: Balancing Cost, Mobility, and Environmental Impact
Oct 2024
Publication
The influence of mobility modes within Positive Energy Districts (PEDs) has gained limited attention despite their crucial role in reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Buildings in the European Union (EU) account for 40% of energy consumption and 36% of greenhouse gas emissions. In comparison transport contributes 28% of energy use and 25% of emissions with road transport responsible for 72% of these emissions. This study aims to design and optimize a synthetic PED in Istanbul that integrates renewable energy sources and public mobility systems to address these challenges. The renewable energy sources integrated into the synthetic PED model include solar energy hydrogen energy and regenerative braking energy from a tram system. Solar panels provided a substantial portion of the energy while hydrogen energy contributed to additional electricity generation. Regenerative braking energy from the tram system was also utilized to further optimize energy production within the district. This system powers a middle school 10 houses a supermarket and the tram itself. Optimization techniques including Linear Programming (LP) for economic purposes and the Weighted Sum Method (WSM) for environmental goals were applied to balance cost and CO2 emissions. The LP method identified that the PED model can achieve cost competitiveness with conventional energy grids when hydrogen costs are below $93.16/MWh. Meanwhile the WSM approach demonstrated that achieving a minimal CO2 emission level of 5.74 tons requires hydrogen costs to be $32.55/MWh or lower. Compared to a conventional grid producing 97 tons of CO2 annually the PED model achieved reductions of up to 91.26 tons. This study contributes to the ongoing discourse on sustainable urban energy systems by addressing key research gaps related to the integration of mobility modes within PEDs and offering insights into the optimization of renewable energy sources for reducing emissions and energy consumption.
Potential Domestic Energy System Vulnerabilities from Major Exports of Green Hydrogen: A Case Study of Australia
Aug 2023
Publication
Australia has clear aspirations to become a major global exporter of hydrogen as a replacement for fossil fuels and as part of the drive to reduce CO2 emissions as set out in the National Hydrogen Strategy released in 2019 jointly by the federal and state governments. In 2021 the Australian Energy Market Operator specified a grid forecast scenario for the first time entitled “hydrogen superpower”. Not only does Australia hope to capitalise on the emerging demand for zero-carbon hydrogen in places like Japan and South Korea by establishing a new export industry but it also needs to mitigate the built-in carbon risk of its export revenue from coal and LNG as major customers such as Japan and South Korea move to decarbonise their energy systems. This places hydrogen at the nexus of energy climate change mitigation and economic growth with implications for energy security. Much of the published literature on this topic concentrates on the details of what being a major hydrogen exporter will look like and what steps will need to be taken to achieve it. However there appears to be a gap in the study of the implications for Australia’s domestic energy system in terms of energy security and export economic vulnerability. The objective of this paper is to develop a conceptual framework for the implications of becoming a major hydrogen exporter on Australia’s energy system. Various green hydrogen export scenarios for Australia were compared and the most recent and comprehensive was selected as the basis for further examination for domestic energy system impacts. In this scenario 248.5 GW of new renewable electricity generation capacity was estimated to be required by 2050 to produce the additional 867 TWh required for an electrolyser output of 2088 PJ of green hydrogen for export which will comprise 55.9% of Australia’s total electricity demand at that time. The characteristics of comparative export-oriented resources and their interactions with the domestic economy and energy system are then examined through the lens of the resource curse hypothesis and the LNG and aluminium industries. These existing resource export frameworks are reviewed for applicability of specific factors to export-oriented green hydrogen production with applicable factors then compiled into a novel conceptual framework for exporter domestic implications from large-scale exports of green hydrogen. The green hydrogen export superpower (2050) scenario is then quantitatively assessed using the established indicators for energy exporter vulnerability and domestic energy security comparing it to Australia’s 2019 energy exports profile. This assessment finds that in almost all factors exporter vulnerability is reduced and domestic energy security is enhanced by the transition from fossil fuel exports to green hydrogen with the exception of an increase in exposure of the domestic energy system to international market forces.
Hydrogen Strategy Update to the Market: December 2024
Dec 2024
Publication
Low carbon hydrogen is essential to achieve the Government’s Clean Energy Superpower and Growth Missions. It will be a crucial enabler of a low carbon and renewables-based energy system and will help to deliver new clean energy industries which can support good jobs in our industrial heartlands and coastal communities. Hydrogen presents significant growth and economic opportunities across the UK by enhancing our energy security providing flexible cleaner energy for our power system and helping to decarbonise vital UK industries. Hydrogen has a critical role in helping to achieve our Clean Energy Superpower Mission. It can provide flexible low carbon power generation meaning we can use hydrogen to produce electricity during extended periods of low renewable output. Hydrogen can also provide interseasonal energy storage through conversion of electricity into hydrogen and then back into electricity at times of need using a combination of hydrogen production storage and hydrogen to power. To advance our Clean Energy and Growth Missions hydrogen also has a unique role in transitioning crucial UK industries away from oil and gas and towards a clean homegrown source of fuel. Hydrogen can decarbonise hard-to-abate sectors like chemicals and heavy transport complementing our wider electrification efforts and accelerating our progress to net zero. Using our strong domestic expertise and favourable geology geography and infrastructure backing UK hydrogen can unlock significant economic opportunities and new low carbon jobs of the future. Government has an ambitious range of policies in place to incentivise and support industry to invest in low carbon hydrogen. The recent Hydrogen Skills Workforce Assessment an industry-led study undertaken by the Hydrogen Skills Alliance estimated that the UK hydrogen economy could support 29000 direct jobs and 64500 indirect jobs by 2030. Since establishing in Summer 2024 this Government has already made significant progress in delivering the UK hydrogen economy. This includes confirming support for the 11 successful Hydrogen Allocation Round 1 projects announcing up to £21.7 billion of available funding to launch the UK’s new carbon capture utilisation and storage industry and publishing our hydrogen to power consultation response with an aim to establish a new hydrogen to power business model. We have also launched three new bodies – the National Energy System Operator Great British Energy and the National Wealth Fund – which will help to deliver a world-class energy system including for low carbon hydrogen. This December 2024 Hydrogen Strategy Update to the Market sets out the key milestones achieved by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero in 2024 to deliver the hydrogen economy and an ambitious forward look at our next steps and upcoming opportunities. To achieve net zero and create a thriving and resilient energy landscape we are already working at considerable pace to deliver a world-leading UK hydrogen sector.
Green Hydrogen Cooperation between Egypt and Europe: The Perspective of Locals in Suez and Port Said
Jun 2024
Publication
Hydrogen produced by renewable energy sources (green hydrogen) is at the centrepiece of European decarbonization strategies necessitating large imports from third countries. Egypt potentially stands out as major production hub. While technical and economic viability are broadly discussed in literature analyses of local acceptance are absent. This study closes this gap by surveying 505 locals in the Suez Canal Economic Zone (Port Said and Suez) regarding their attitudes towards renewable energy development and green hydrogen production. We find overall support for both national deployment and export to Europe. Respondents see a key benefit in rising income thereby strongly underlying the economic argument. Improved trade relationships or improved political relationships are seen as potential benefits of export but as less relevant for engaging in cooperation putting a spotlight on local benefits. Our study suggests that the local population is more positive than negative towards the development and scaling up of green hydrogen projects in Egypt.
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