Publications
AI Predictive Simulation for Low-Cost Hydrogen Production
Jul 2025
Publication
Green hydrogen produced through renewable-powered electrolysis has the potential to revolutionize energy systems; however its widespread adoption hinges on achieving competitive production costs. A critical challenge lies in optimising the hydrogen production process to address solar and wind energy’s high variability and intermittency. This paper explores the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in reducing and streamlining hydrogen production costs by enabling advanced process optimisation focusing on electricity cost management and system-wide efficiency improvements.
Evaluation of Factors for Adoption of Alternative-Fuel-Based Vehicles
Sep 2025
Publication
The transportation industry significantly contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Federal and provincial governments have implemented strategies to decrease dependence on gasoline and diesel fuels. This encompasses promoting the adoption of electric cars (EVs) and biofuel alternatives investing in renewable energy sources and enhancing public transit systems. There is a growing focus on enhancing infrastructure to facilitate active transportation modes like cycling and walking which provide the combined advantages of decreasing emissions and advancing public health. In this paper we propose a System Dynamics simulation model for evaluating factors for the adoption of alternative-fuel vehicles such as EVs biofuel vehicles bus bikes and hydrogen vehicles. Five factors— namely customer awareness government initiatives cost of vehicles cost of fuels and infrastructure developments—to increase the adoption of alternative-fuel vehicles are studied. Two scenarios are modeled: A baseline scenario that follows the existing trends in transportation (namely the use of gasoline vehicles) Scenario 1 which prioritizes greater adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and biofuel-powered vehicles and Scenario 2 which prioritizes hydrogen fuel-based vehicles and improves biking culture. The simulation findings show that all scenarios achieve reductions in GHG emissions compared to the baseline with Scenario 2 showing the lowest emissions. The proposed work is useful for transport decision makers and municipal administrators in devising policies for reducing overall GHG emissions and this also aligns with Canada’s net zero goals.
Model Predictive Supervisory Control for Multi-stack Electrolyzers Using Multilinear Modeling
Oct 2025
Publication
Offshore green hydrogen production lacks of flexible and scalable supervisory control approaches for multistack electrolyzers raising the need for extendable and high-performance solutions. This work presents a two-stage nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) method. First an MPC stage generates a discrete on-off electrolyzer switching decision through algebraic relaxation of a Boolean signal. The second MPC stage receives the stack’s on-off operation decision and optimizes hydrogen production. This is a novel approach for solving a mixed-integer nonlinear program (MINP) in multi-stack electrolyzer control applications. In order to realize the MPC the advantages of the implicit multilinear time-invariant (iMTI) model class are exploited for the first time for proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzer models. A modular flexible and scalable framework in MATLAB is built. The tensor based iMTI model in canonical polyadic (CP) decomposed form breaks the curse of dimensionality and enables effective model composition for electrolyzers. Simulation results show an appropriate multilinear model representation of the nonlinear system dynamics in the operation region. A sensitivity analysis identified three numeric factors as decisive for the effectiveness of the MPC approach. The classic rule-based control methods Daisy Chain and Equal serve as reference. Over two weeks and under a wind power input profile the MPC strategy performs better regarding the objective of hydrogen production compared to the Daisy Chain (4.60 %) and Equal (0.43 %) power distribution controllers. As a side effect of the optimization a convergence of the degradation states is observed.
Accurate Prediction of Green Hydrogen Production Based on Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cell via Soft Computing Algorithms
Oct 2025
Publication
The solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) presents significant potential for transforming renewable energy into green hydrogen. Traditional modeling approaches however are constrained by their applicability to specific SOEC systems. This study aims to develop robust data-driven models that accurately capture the complex relationships between input and output parameters within the hydrogen production process. To achieve this advanced machine learning techniques were utilized including Random Forests (RFs) Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) Linear Regression Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) Elastic Net Ridge and Lasso Regressions Decision Trees (DTs) Support Vector Machines (SVMs) k-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) Light Gradient Boosting Machines (LightGBM) CatBoost and Gaussian Process. These models were trained and validated using a dataset consisting of 351 data points with performance evaluated through various metrics and visual methods. The dataset’s suitability for model training was confirmed using the Monte Carlo outlier detection method. Results indicate that within the dataset and evaluation framework of this study ANNs CNNs Gradient Boosting and XGBoost models have demonstrated high accuracy and reliability achieving the largest R-squared scores and the smallest error metrics. Sensitivity analysis reveals that all input parameters significantly influence hydrogen production magnitude. Game-theoretic SHAP values underline current and cathode electrode conditions as critical factors. This research determines the performance of machine learning models particularly ANNs CNNs Gradient Boosting and XGBoost in predicting hydrogen production through the SOEC process. The outcomes of this paper can provide a certain reference for related research and applications in the hydrogen production field.
Multi-objective Optimal Scheduling of Islands Considering Offshore Hydrogen Production
Jul 2025
Publication
Ocean islands possess abundant renewable energy resources providing favorable conditions for developing offshore clean energy microgrids. However geographical isolation poses significant challenges for direct energy transfer between islands. Recent electrolysis and hydrogen storage technology advancements have created new opportunities for distributed energy utilization in these remote areas. This paper presents a low-carbon economic dispatch strategy designed explicitly for distant oceanic islands incorporating energy self-sufficiency rates and seasonal hydrogen storage (SHS). We propose a power supply model for offshore islands considering hydrogen production from offshore wind power. The proposed model minimizes operational and carbon emission costs while maximizing energy self-sufficiency. It considers the operational constraints of the island’s energy system the offshore transportation network the hydrogen storage infrastructure and the electricityhydrogen-transportation coupling of hydrogen storage (HS) and seasonal hydrogen storage (SHS) services. To optimize the dispatch process this study employs an improved Grey Wolf Optimizer (IGWO) combined with the Differential Evolution method to enhance population diversity and refine the position updating mechanism. Simulation results demonstrate that integrating HS and SHS effectively enhances energy self-sufficiency and reduces carbon emissions. For instance hydrogenation costs decreased by 21.4% after optimization and the peak-valley difference was reduced by 16%. These findings validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach.
The Green Transition in Commercial Aviation
Aug 2025
Publication
This paper provides a comprehensive review of novel aviation technologies analyzing the advancements and challenges associated with the transition to sustainable air transport. The study explores three key pillars: unconventional aerodynamic configurations novel propulsion systems and advanced materials. Unconventional airframe architectures such as box-wing blended-wing-body and truss-braced wings demonstrate potential for improved aerostructural efficiency and reduced fuel consumption compared to traditional tube-and-wing designs. Aeropropulsive innovations as distributed propulsion boundary layer ingestion and advanced turbofan configurations are also promising in this regard. Significant progress in propulsion technologies including hybrid-electric hydrogen and extensive use of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) plays a pivotal role in reducing air transport greenhouse gas emissions. However energy storage limitations and infrastructure constraints remain critical challenges and hence in the near future SAF could represent the most feasible solution. The introduction of advanced lightweight materials could further enhance aircraft overall performance. The results presented and discussed in this paper show that there is no a unique solution to the problem of the sustainability of air transport but a combination of all the novel technologies is necessary to achieve the ambitious environmental goals for the air transport of the future.
Hydrogen Microgrids to Facilitate the Clean Energy Transition in Remote, Northern Communities
Oct 2025
Publication
Most remote and northern communities rely on diesel for their electrical and thermal energy needs. Communities and governments are working toward diesel exit strategies but the role of hydrogen technologies has not been explored. These could serve both electrical and thermal demand reduce emissions and enhance energy security and community ownership. Here we determine the installed capacities costs hydrogen storage needs and water resource requirements of hydrogen microgrids across a large diverse sample of communities. We also compare the cost of hydrogen microgrids to that of diesel microgrids. Our results optimize resource deployment demonstrate how sub-components must operate to serve both demand types and yield insights on storage and resource needs. We find that hydrogen microgrids are cheaper in levelized cost terms than diesel systems in 28 of 37 communities investigated; if wind power capital costs escalate to CAD 20000/kW as recently seen in one project only 3 of the 37 communities net hydrogen microgrids that are cheaper than diesel variants. Hydrogen storage plays a large role in maintaining reliability and reducing cost—both it and water needs are modest. The former can be met with current technologies.
Magnetically Induced Convection Enhances Water Electrolysis in Microgravity
Aug 2025
Publication
Since the early days of space exploration the efficient production of oxygen and hydrogen via water electrolysis has been a central task for regenerative life-support systems. Water electrolysers are however challenged by the near-absence of buoyancy in microgravity resulting in hindered gas bubble detachment from electrodes and diminished electrolysis efficiencies. Here we show that a commercial neodymium magnet enhances water electrolysis with current density improvements of up to 240% in microgravity by exploiting the magnetic polarization of the electrolyte and the magnetohydrodynamic force. We demonstrate that these interactions enhance gas bubble detachment and displacement through magnetic convection and achieve passive gas–liquid phase separation. Two model magnetoelectrolytic cells a proton-exchange membrane electrolyser and a magnetohydrodynamic drive were designed to leverage these forces and produce oxygen and hydrogen at near-terrestrial efficiencies in microgravity. Overall this work highlights achievable lightweight low-maintenance and energy-efficient phase separation and electrolyser technologies to support future human spaceflight architectures.
Innovative Anode Porous Transport Layers for Polymer Elecrolyte Membrane Water Electrolyzers
Sep 2025
Publication
Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Water Electrolyzers (PEMWEs) attract significant attention for producing green hydrogen. However their widespread application remains hindered by high production costs. This study develops cost-effective and high-performance 3D-printed gyroid structures as porous transport layers (PTLs) for the anode of PEMWEs. Experimental results demonstrate that the PTL’s structure critically influences its performance which depends on its design. Among the four gyroid structures evaluated the G10 electrode exhibited the best performance in electrochemical tests conducted under various ex-situ conditions simulating real-world operation. Furthermore the 3D-printed G10 electrode undergoes Pt coating and is compared with commercially available PTLs. The commercial PTL (C3) shows a current density of 138.488 mA cm−2 whereas the G10-1.00 μm Pt electrode achieves a significantly higher current density of 584.692 mA cm−2 at 1.9V. The gyroid structure is a promising avenue for developing high-energy and low-cost PEMWEs and other related technologies.
An Innovative Industrial Complex for Sustainable Hydrocarbon Production with Near-Zero Emissions
Oct 2025
Publication
The Allam power cycle is a groundbreaking elevated-pressure power generation unit that utilizes oxygen and fossil fuels to generate low-cost electricity while capturing carbon dioxide (CO2) inherently. In this project we utilize the CO2 generated from the Allam cycle as feedstock for a newly envisioned industrial complex dedicated to producing renewable hydrocarbons. The industrial complex (FAAR) comprises four subsystems: (i) a Fischer–Tropsch synthesis plant (FTSP) (ii) an alkaline water electrolysis plant (AWEP) (iii) an Allam power cycle plant (APCP) and (iv) a reverse water-gas shift plant (RWGSP). Through effective material heat and power integration the FAAR complex utilizing 57.1% renewable energy for its electricity needs can poly-generate sustainable hydrocarbons (C1–C30) pure hydrogen and oxygen with near-zero emissions from natural gas and water. Economic analysis indicates strong financial performance of the development with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 18% a discounted payback period of 8.7 years and a profitability index of 2.39. The complex has been validated through rigorous modeling and simulation using Aspen Plus version 14 including sensitivity analysis.
Emerging Green Steel Markets Surrounding the EU Emissions Trading System and Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism
Oct 2025
Publication
The global steel industry accounts for 8–10 % of global CO2 emissions and requires deep decarbonisation for achieving the targets set in the Paris Agreement. However no low-emission primary steel production technology has yet been commercially feasible or deployed. Through analysing revisions and additions of European Union climate policy we show that green hydrogenbased steelmaking in competitive locations achieves cost-competitiveness on the European market starting 2026. If the deployment of competitive lowemission steelmaking is insufficient we show that the European steel industry loses competitiveness vis-à-vis countries with access to low-cost renewable energy. Therefore we assess the options for the European steel industry to relocate the energy-intensive ironmaking step and trade Hot Briquetted Iron for rapid deep decarbonisation of the European steel industry. Lastly we discuss complementing policy options to enhance the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism’s strategic value through European Union-lead global climate cooperation and the possibility of sparking an international decarbonisation race.
Designing Off-grid Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems under Uncertainty: A Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Approach
Aug 2025
Publication
The decarbonization of remote energy systems presents both technical and economic challenges due to their dependance on fossil fuels and the variability of renewable energy sources. This study introduces a Two-Stage Stochastic Programming approach to optimize Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems under uncertainty in renewable energy production. The methodology is applied to the island of Pantelleria aiming to minimize Total Annualized Costs and CO2 emissions using an ε-constraint approach. Results show that within the set of optimized configurations stricter CO2 emissions constraints increase costs due to the need for oversized components to ensure supply reliability. Nevertheless even the zeroemissions scenario offers significant economic benefits compared to the current diesel-based system. Total Annualized Costs are reduced from 15.5 M€ to 8.10 M€ in the deterministic case and to 9.37 M€ in the stochastic one. The additional cost in the stochastic configuration is offset by improved reliability ensuring demand is met under all scenarios. A sensitivity analysis on electricity demand reveals the necessity of further larger components leading to a 27.0% cost increase in a fully renewable scenario with stochastic optimization for a 10% demand increase. These findings highlight the importance of stochastic optimization in designing cost-effective off-grid renewable energy systems.
Hydrogen Production from Organic Waste in Bangladesh: Impacts of Temperature and Steam Flow on Syngas Composition
Sep 2025
Publication
More than 0.13 million tons of waste are generated annually making conventional methods of treatment including anaerobic digestion incineration and landfilling insufficient.Thus a long-term solution is required.Therefore this study used a process modeling through Aspen Plus V11 to investigate how variations in waste types and gasification temperatures affect the ability to producing hydrogen. Additionally the use of a Steam Rankin Cycle has been used to optimize the economy through generation. To explore the potential of various type of waste proximate and Ultimate analysis have been done experimentally in lab and some of them (Rice Husk Rice Straw Sugar-cane Baggage Cow-dung etc.) have been taken from references. This study presents validation against experimental data using dolomite and olivine as bed materials. The model showed strong agreement with experimental results accurately predicting hydrogen concentration CO and CO2. A detailed thermodynamic analysis revealed an increase in hydrogen purity from 50.9 % in raw syngas to 100 % after pressure swing adsorption (PSA) accompanied by an exergy reduction from 48.99 MW to 34.68 MW due to separation and thermal losses. Parametric studies demonstrated that gasification temperatures between 750 °C and 800 °C and steam-to-biomass ratios of 0.4–0.5 optimize hydrogen production. Feedstock type significantly influenced performance; rice straw rice husk jute stick and cow dung exhibited higher hydrogen yields compared to food waste. The model predicted a hydrogen production rate of approximately 1020 kg/h per ton of dry feedstock with an overall system efficiency of 48.5 % based on exergy analysis.
Fault Tree and Importance Measure Analysis of a PEM Electrolyzer for Hydrogen Production at a Nuclear Power Plant
Sep 2025
Publication
Pilot projects to generate hydrogen using proton exchange membrane (PEM) electrolyzers coupled to nuclear power plants (NPPs) began in 2022 with further developments anticipated over the next decade. However the co-location of electrolyzers with NPPs requires an understanding and mitigation of potential risks. In this work we identify and rank failure contributors for a 1 MW PEM electrolysis system. We used fault trees to define the component failure logic parameterized them with generic data and calculated failure frequencies and minimal cut sets for four top events: hydrogen release oxygen release nitrogen release and hydrogen and oxygen mixing. We use risk reduction worth importance measures to determine the most risk-significant components. The results provide insight into primary risk drivers in PEM electrolyzer systems and provide the foundational steps towards quantitative risk assessment of large-scale PEM electrolyzers at NPPs. The results include recommended riskmitigation actions include recommendations about design maintenance and monitoring strategies.
Emerging Application of Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells in Hydrogen Production: A Comprehensive Analytic Review and Life Cycle Assessment
Aug 2025
Publication
This paper provides a comprehensive analytical review and life cycle assessment (LCA) of solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs) for hydrogen production. As the global energy landscape shifts toward cleaner and more sustainable solutions SOECs offer a promising pathway for hydrogen generation by utilizing water as a feedstock. Despite their potential challenges in efficiency economic viability and technological barriers remain. This review explores the evolution of SOECs highlighting key advancements and innovations over time and examines their operational principles efficiency factors and classification by operational temperature range. It further addresses critical technological challenges and potential breakthroughs alongside an indepth assessment of economic feasibility covering production cost comparisons hydrogen storage capacity and plant viability and an LCA evaluating environmental impacts and sustainability. The findings underscore SOECs’ progress and their crucial role in advancing hydrogen production while pointing to the need for further research to overcome existing limitations and enhance commercial viability.
High-performance Hydrogen Energy Generation via Innovative Metal-organic Framework Catalysts and Integrated System Design
Aug 2025
Publication
Hydrogen energy generation faces challenges in efficiency and economic viability due to reliance on scarce noble metal catalysts. This study aimed to develop platinum-doped nickel-iron metal-organic framework (Pt-NiFe-MOF) catalysts with controlled metal ratios and pore architecture for enhanced water electrolysis. The NiFe-MOF framework was first synthesized via a solvothermal method which was then subjected to post-synthetic modification to introduce controlled platinum loadings (0.5- 2.0 wt%). The pore structure was tuned using a mixed-linker strategy (H₄DOBDC ratios 1:0 to 1:1). Catalysts were characterized using PXRD HRTEM BET XPS and ICP-OES techniques. Electrochemical performance was analyzed in 1.0 M KOH. A custom-designed integrated electrolysis system at 75 °C assessed practical performance. The Pt-NiFe-MOF-1.0 catalyst with H₄DOBDC ratio of 1:0.5 achieved remarkable effectiveness requiring overpotentials of only 253 mV for OER and 58 mV for HER when operating at 10 mA/cm². This catalyst featured an optimal pore diameter of 4.2 nm and surface area of 1325 m²/g. DFT calculations revealed platinum incorporation created synergistic effects by modifying hydrogen binding energies. Furthermore DFT calculations and XPS analysis revealed that the role of platinum in the OER is not direct catalysis but rather a powerful electronic modulation effect; Pt dopants withdraw electron density from adjacent Ni and Fe centers promoting the formation of higher-valent Ni³⁺/Fe³⁺ species that are intrinsically more active and lowering the energy barrier for the rate-determining O-O bond formation step. The integrated system achieved 1.62V at 100 mA/cm² with 75.8% energy efficiency maintaining stability for 200 h with 15–30 times lower precious metal loading than conventional systems. Strategic incorporation of low platinum concentrations within optimized NiFe-MOF structures significantly enhances water electrolysis performance while maintaining economic viability advancing development of industrial-scale hydrogen generation systems.
Analysis of Floating Photovoltaics Potential in Hong Kong: Green Hydrogen Production and Energy Application
Oct 2025
Publication
Solar energy is now one of the most affordable and widely available energy sources. However densely populated cities like Hong Kong often lack the land needed for large-scale solar deployment. Floating solar photovoltaics (FPV) offer a promising alternative by using water surfaces such as reservoirs while providing additional benefits over ground-mounted systems including competition with urban development such as housing and infrastructure. The advantage of this system has been explored in parts of the world while Hong Kong is yet to fully exploit it despite the presence of pilot projects. This study uses PVsyst to evaluate FPV deployment across Hong Kong’s reservoirs estimating over 7 TWh of potential annual electricity generation. Even with 60 % surface coverage generation reaches 4.6 TWh/year with LCOE between $0.036–$0.038/kWh. In parallel green hydrogen is explored as a clean energy storage solution and alternative transport fuel. By using electricity from FPV systems hydrogen production via electrolysis is assessed through HOMER Pro. Results show annual hydrogen output ranging from 180502 kg to 36310221 kg depending on reservoir size with associated LCOH between $10.2/kg and $19.4/kg. The hydrogen produced could support ongoing hydrogen bus projects and future expansion to other vehicle types as Hong Kong moves toward a hydrogen-based transport system. After coupling the FPV systems with hydrogen-generation units the new LCOEs are found to be between $0.029–4.01/ kWh. Thus suggesting the feasibility of a hydrogen-integrated FPV system in Hong Kong.
Little to Lose: The Case for a Robust European Green Hydrogen Strategy
Jul 2025
Publication
The EU targets 10 Mt of green hydrogen production by 2030 but has not committed to targets for 2040. Green hydrogen competes with carbon capture and storage biomass and imports as well as direct electrification in reaching emissions reductions; earlier studies have demonstrated the great uncertainty in future costoptimal development of green hydrogen. In spite of this we show that Europe risks little by setting green hydrogen production targets at around 25 Mt by 2040. Employing an extensive scenario analysis combined with novel near-optimal techniques we find that this target results in systems that are within 10% of cost-optimal in all considered scenarios with current-day biomass availability and baseline transportation electrification. Setting concrete targets is important in order to resolve significant uncertainty that hampers investments. Targeting green hydrogen reduces the dependence on carbon capture and storage and green fuel imports making for a more robust European climate strategy.
Metal–Organic Frameworks for Seawater Electrolysis and Hydrogen Production: A Review
Oct 2025
Publication
Electrolysis utilizing renewable electricity is an environmentally friendly non-polluting and sustainable method of hydrogen production. Seawater is the most desirable and inexpensive electrolyte for this process to achieve commercial acceptance compared to competing hydrogen production technologies. We reviewed metal–organic frameworks as possible electrocatalysts for hydrogen production by seawater electrolysis. Metal–organic frameworks are interesting for seawater electrolysis due to their large surface area tunable permeability and ease of functional processing which makes them extremely suitable for obtaining modifiable electrode structures. Here we discussed the development of metal– organic framework-based electrocatalysts as multifunctional materials with applications for alkaline PEM and direct seawater electrolysis for hydrogen production. Their advantages and disadvantages were examined in search of a pathway to a successful and sustainable technology for developing electrode materials to produce hydrogen from seawater.
Predictive URANS/PDF Modeling of Unsteady-State Phenomena in Turbulent Hydrogen–Air Flames
Sep 2025
Publication
The escalating global demand for primary energy—still predominantly met by conventional carbon-based fuels—has led to increased atmospheric pollution. This underscores the urgent need for alternative energy strategies capable of reducing carbon emissions while meeting global energy requirements. Hydrogen as a clean combustible fuel offers a promising alternative to hydrocarbons producing neither soot CO2 nor unburned hydrocarbons. Although nitrogen oxides (NOx) are the primary combustion by-products their formation can be mitigated by controlling flame temperature. This study investigates the viability of hydrogen as a clean energy vector by simulating an unsteady turbulent non-premixed hydrogen jet flame interacting with an air co-flow. The numerical simulations employ the Unsteady Reynolds-Averaged Navier–Stokes (URANS) framework for efficient and accurate prediction of transient flow behavior. Turbulence is modeled using the Shear Stress Transport (SST k-ω) model which enhances accuracy in high Reynolds number reactive flows. The combustion process is described using a presumed Probability Density Function (PDF) model allowing for a statistical representation of turbulent mixing and chemical reaction. The simulation results are validated by comparison with experimental temperature and mixture fraction data demonstrating the reliability and predictive capability of the proposed numerical approach.
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