Publications
Achieving Net Zero Emissions in Italy by 2050: Challenges and Opportunities
Dec 2021
Publication
This paper contributes to the climate policy discussion by focusing on the challenges and opportunities of reaching net zero emissions by 2050 in Italy. To support Italian energy planning we developed energy roadmaps towards national climate neutrality consistent with the Paris Agreement objectives and the IPCC goal of limiting the increase in global surface temperature to 1.5 ◦C. Starting from the Italian framework these scenarios identify the correlations among the main pillars for the change of the energy paradigm towards net emissions by 2050. The energy scenarios were developed using TIMES-RSE a partial equilibrium and technology-rich optimization model of the entire Italian energy system. Subsequently an in-depth analysis was developed with the sMTISIM a long-term simulator of power system and electricity markets. The results show that to achieve climate neutrality by 2050 the Italian energy system will have to experience profound transformations on multiple and strongly related dimensions. A predominantly renewable-based energy mix (at least 80–90% by 2050) is essential to decarbonize most of the final energy consumption. However the strong increase of non-programmable renewable sources requires particular attention to new flexibility resources needed for the power system such as Power-to-X. The green fuels produced from renewables via Power-to-X will be a vital energy source for those sectors where electrification faces technical and economic barriers. The paper’s findings also confirm that the European “energy efficiency first” principle represents the very first step on the road to climate neutrality.
Evaluation of Hydrogen Transportation Networks - A Case Study on the German Energy System
May 2023
Publication
Not only due to the energy crisis European policymakers are exploring options to substitute natural gas with renewable hydrogen. A condition for the application of hydrogen is a functioning transportation infrastructure. However the most efficient transport of large hydrogen quantities is still unclear and deeper analyses are missing. A promising option is converting the existing gas infrastructure. This study presents a novel approach to develop hydrogen networks by applying the Steiner tree algorithm to derive candidates and evaluate their costs. This method uses the existing grid (brownfield) and is compared to a newly built grid (Greenfield). The goal is the technical and economic evaluation and comparison of hydrogen network candidates. The methodology is applied to the German gas grid and demand and supply scenarios covering the industry heavy-duty transport power and heating sector imports and domestic production. Five brownfield candidates are compared to a greenfield candidate. The candidates differ by network length and pipeline diameters to consider the transported volume of hydrogen. The economic evaluation concludes that most brownfield candidates’ cost is significantly lower than those of the greenfield candidate. The candidates can serve as starting points for flow simulations and policymakers can estimate the cost based on the results.
Economic Analysis of P2G Green Hydrogen Generated by Existing Wind Turbines on Jeju Island
Dec 2022
Publication
Every wind turbine is subject to fluctuations in power generation depending on climatic conditions. When electricity supply exceeds demand wind turbines are forced to implement curtailment causing a reduction in generation efficiency and commercial loss to turbine owners. Since the frequency and amount of curtailment of wind turbines increases as the amount of renewable energy become higher on Jeju Island in South Korea Jeju is configuring a Power to Gas (P2G) water electrolysis system that will be connected to an existing wind farm to use the “wasted energy”. In this study economic analysis was performed by calculating the production cost of green hydrogen and sensitivity analysis evaluated the variance in hydrogen cost depending on several influential factors. Approaches to lower hydrogen costs are necessary for the following reasons. The operating company needs a periodical update of hydrogen sale prices by reflecting a change in the system margin price (SMP) with the highest sensitivity to hydrogen cost. Technical development to reduce hydrogen costs in order to reduce power consumption for producing hydrogen and a decrease in annual reduction rate for the efficiency of water electrolysis is recommended. Discussions and research regarding government policy can be followed to lower the hydrogen cost.
Urban Hydrogen Production Model Using Environmental Infrastructures to Achieve the Net Zero Goal
Dec 2022
Publication
Land available for energy production is limited in cities owing to high population density. To reach the net zero goal cities contributing 70% of overall greenhouse gas emissions need to dramatically reduce emissions and increase self-sufficiency in energy production. Environmental infrastructures such as sewage treatment and incineration plants can be used as energy production facilities in cities. This study attempted to examine the effect of using environmental infrastructure such as energy production facilities to contribute toward the carbon neutrality goal through urban energy systems. In particular since the facilities are suitable for hydrogen supply in cities the analysis was conducted focusing on the possibility of hydrogen production. First the current status of energy supply and demand and additional energy production potential in sewage treatment and incineration plants in Seoul were analyzed. Then the role of these environmental infrastructures toward energy self-sufficiency in the urban system was examined. This study confirmed that the facilities can contribute to the city’s energy self-sufficiency and the achievement of its net-zero goal.
Techno-economic Model and Feasibility Assessment of Green Hydrogen Projects Based on Electrolysis Supplied by Photovoltaic PPAs
Nov 2022
Publication
The use of hydrogen produced from renewable energy enables the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions pursued in different international strategies. The use of power purchase agreements (PPAs) to supply renewable electricity to hydrogen production plants is an approach that can improve the feasibility of projects. This paper presents a model applicable to hydrogen projects regarding the technical and economic perspective and applies it to the Spanish case where pioneering projects are taking place via photovoltaic PPAs. The results show that PPAs are an enabling mechanism for sustaining green hydrogen projects.
Global Warming Potential and Societal-governmental Impacts of the Hydrogen Ecosystem in the Transportation Sector
Apr 2024
Publication
The environmental and societal challenges of our contemporary society are leading us to reconsider our approaches to vehicle design. The aim of this article is to provide the reader with the essential knowledge needed to responsibly design a vehicle equipped with a hydrogen fuel cell system. Two pivotal aspects of hydrogen-electric powertrain eco-design are examined. First the global warming potential is assessed for both PEMFC systems and Type IV hydrogen tanks accounting for material extraction production and end-of-life considerations. The usage phase was omitted from the study in order to facilitate data adaptation for each type of use. PEMFC exhibits a global warming potential of about 29.2 kgCO2eq/kW while the tank records 12.4 kgCO2eq/kWh with transportation factors considered. Secondly the societal and governmental impacts are scrutinized with the carbon-intensive hydrogen tank emerging as having the most significant societal and governmental risks. In fact on a scale of 1–5 with 5 representing the highest level of risk the PEMFC system has a societal impact and governance risk of 2.98. The Type IV tank has a societal impact and governance risk of 3.31. Although uncertainties persist regarding the results presented in this study the values obtained provide an overview of the societal and governmental impacts of the hydrogen ecosystem in the transportation sector. The next step will be to compare for the same usage which solution between hydrogen-electric and 100% battery is more respectful of humans and the environment.
Optimizing Renewable Injection in Integrated Natural Gas Pipeline Networks Using a Multi-Period Programming Approach
Mar 2023
Publication
In this paper we propose an optimization model that considers two pathways for injecting renewable content into natural gas pipeline networks. The pathways include (1) power-to-hydrogen or PtH where off-peak electricity is converted to hydrogen via electrolysis and (2) power-to-methane or PtM where carbon dioxide from different source locations is converted into renewable methane (also known as synthetic natural gas SNG). The above pathways result in green hydrogen and methane which can be injected into an existing natural gas pipeline network. Based on these pathways a multi-period network optimization model that integrates the design and operation of hydrogen from PtH and renewable methane is proposed. The multi-period model is a mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) model that determines (1) the optimal concentration of hydrogen and carbon dioxide in the natural gas pipelines (2) the optimal location of PtH and carbon dioxide units while minimizing the overall system cost. We show using a case study in Ontario the optimal network structure for injecting renewable hydrogen and methane within an integrated natural gas network system provides a $12M cost reduction. The optimal concentration of hydrogen ranges from 0.2 vol % to a maximum limit of 15.1 vol % across the network while reaching a 2.5 vol % at the distribution point. This is well below the maximum limit of 5 vol % specification. Furthermore the optimizer realized a CO2 concentration ranging from 0.2 vol % to 0.7 vol %. This is well below the target of 1% specified in the model. The study is essential to understanding the practical implication of hydrogen penetration in natural gas systems in terms of constraints on hydrogen concentration and network system costs.
Identifying Informed Beliefs about Hydrogen Technologies Across the Energy Supply Chain
Apr 2023
Publication
Developing a thriving hydrogen industry will depend on public and community support. Past research mainly focusing on the acceptance of hydrogen fuelling stations and cars suggests that people generally support hydrogen energy technology (HET). Few studies have however considered how people think about other components of the hydrogen supply chain (i.e. technologies required to make store transport and use hydrogen). Moreover there has been limited research investigating how people interpret and develop beliefs about HET after being presented with technical information. This paper attempts to address these research gaps by presenting the findings from four face-to-face focus group discussions conducted in Australia. The findings suggest that people have differing views about HET which depends on the type of technology and these views influence levels of support. The study also revealed concerns about a range of other factors that have yet to be considered in hydrogen acceptance research (e.g. perceived water use efficiency and indirect benefits). The findings highlight the value of qualitative research for identifying salient beliefs that shape attitudes towards HET and provide recommendations for future research and how to effectively communicate with the public and communities about an emerging hydrogen industry.
Assessing Sizing Optimality of OFF-GRID AC-Linked Solar PV-PEM Systems for Hydrogen Production
Jul 2023
Publication
Herein a novel methodology to perform optimal sizing of AC-linked solar PV-PEM systems is proposed. The novelty of this work is the proposition of the solar plant to electrolyzer capacity ratio (AC/AC ratio) as optimization variable. The impact of this AC/AC ratio on the Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) and the deviation of the solar DC/AC ratio when optimized specifically for hydrogen production are quantified. Case studies covering a Global Horizontal Irradiation (GHI) range of 1400e2600 kWh/m2 -year are assessed. The obtained LCOHs range between 5.9 and 11.3 USD/kgH2 depending on sizing and location. The AC/AC ratio is found to strongly affect cost production and LCOH optimality while the optimal solar DC/AC ratio varies up to 54% when optimized to minimize the cost of hydrogen instead of the cost of energy only. Larger oversizing is required for low GHI locations; however H2 production is more sensitive to sizing ratios for high GHI locations.
Development of a New Renewable Energy System for Clean Hydrogen and Ethanol Production
Mar 2024
Publication
The present research work aims to present a uniquely designed renewable energy-based integrated system along with an equilibrium model for the processing of feedstock by following a hybrid route of thermochemical and biochemical ways. In this regard Canadian maple leaves and plastic wastes are selected as potential feedstocks for co-pyrolysis and syngas fermentation. The influence of co-pyrolysis process parameters on the overall system performance is investigated and assessed. Also several sensitivity analyses are performed to determine the optimal operating parameters that can generate maximum yields of hydrogen and ethanol. The present system is further investigated thermodynamically in terms of energetic and exergetic approaches and efficiencies. The present study shows that a molar flow ratio of 1:1 for maple leaves to plastic wastes a temperature of 1000◦C temperature and a pressure of 1 bar appear to be the most suitable operating conditions with the net production capacities of 7.43 tons/day for hydrogen and 8.72 tons/day for ethanol. The cold gas efficiency and LHV of the syngas produced are found to be 57.23% and 19.96 MJ/kg respectively. The overall energetic and exergetic efficiencies of the present system are found to be 30.98% and 26.88% respectively.
Geochemical Effects on Storage Gases and Reservoir Rock during Underground Hydrogen Storage: A Depleted North Sea Oil Reservoir Case Study
May 2023
Publication
In this work geochemical modelling using PhreeqC was carried out to evaluate the effects of geochemical reactions on the performance of underground hydrogen storage (UHS). Equilibrium exchange and mineral reactions were considered in the model. Moreover reaction kinetics were considered to evaluate the geochemical effect on underground hydrogen storage over an extended period of 30 years. The developed model was first validated against experimental data adopted from the published literature by comparing the modelling and literature values of H2 and CO2 solubility in water at varying conditions. Furthermore the effects of pressure temperature salinity and CO2% on the H2 and CO2 inventory and rock properties in a typical sandstone reservoir were evaluated over 30 years. Results show that H2 loss over 30 years is negligible (maximum 2%) through the studied range of conditions. The relative loss of CO2 is much more pronounced compared to H2 gas with losses of up to 72%. Therefore the role of CO2 as a cushion gas will be affected by the CO2 gas losses as time passes. Hence remedial CO2 gas injections should be considered to maintain the reservoir pressure throughout the injection and withdrawal processes. Moreover the relative volume of CO2 increases with the increase in temperature and decrease in pressure. Furthermore the reservoir rock properties porosity and permeability are affected by the underground hydrogen storage process and more specifically by the presence of CO2 gas. CO2 dissolves carbonate minerals inside the reservoir rock causing an increase in the rock’s porosity and permeability. Consequently the rock’s gas storage capacity and flow properties are enhanced
A Low-temperature Ammonia Electrolyser for Wastewater Treatment and Hydrogen Production
May 2023
Publication
Ammonia is a pollutant present in wastewater and is also a valuable carbon-free hydrogen carrier. Stripping recovery and anodic oxidation of ammonia to produce hydrogen via electrolysis is gaining momentum as a technology yet the development of an inexpensive stable catalytic material is imperative to reduce cost. Here we report on a new nickel copper (NiCu) catalyst electrodeposited onto a high surface area nickel felt (NF) as an anode for ammonia electrolysis. Cyclic voltammetry demonstrated that the catalyst/substrate combination reached the highest current density (200 mA cm2 at 20 C) achieved for a non-noble metal catalyst. A NiCu/NF electrode was tested in an anion exchange membrane electrolyser for 50 h; it showed good stability and high Faradaic efficiency for ammonia oxidation (88%) and hydrogen production (99%). We demonstrate that this novel electrode catalyst/substrate material combination can oxidise ammonia in a scaled system and hydrogen can be produced as a valuable by-product at industrial-level current densities and cell voltages lower than that for water electrolysis.
Experimental Analysis of the Effects of Ship Motion on Hydrogen Dispersion in an Enclosed Area
Apr 2023
Publication
This study aims to experimentally quantify the hydrogen diffusion characteristics by ship motion. Hydrogen leakage experiments were conducted under various ship motion conditions and the corresponding hydrogen concentrations for each sensor were expressed by an equation. The experimental facility was a scale model of the hydrogen fuel storage room of a ship. An experiment was conducted by implementing the roll and pitch motions of the ship as well as motion direction using a ship simulator. In the equation describing the hydrogen concentration the minimum and maximum root mean square deviations were 0.987 and 0.707 respectively and the correlations were 0.000109 and 0.0012289. Although the results differed as per the sensor location the hydrogen concentration was affected by the motion period of the ship. The experimental results and prediction equations can be useful for sensor and vent location selection by predicting the concentration when hydrogen leaks in ships in motion.
Low-cost Hydrogen in the Future European Electricity System – Enabled by Flexibility in Time and Space
Nov 2022
Publication
The present study investigates four factors that govern the ability to supply hydrogen at a low cost in Europe: the scale of the hydrogen demand; the possibility to invest in large-scale hydrogen storage; process flexibility in hydrogen-consuming industries; and the geographical areas in which hydrogen demand arises. The influence of the hydrogen demand on the future European zero-emission electricity system is investigated by applying the cost-minimising electricity system investment model eNODE to hydrogen demand levels in the range of 0–2500 TWhH2. It is found that the majority of the future European hydrogen demand can be cost-effectively satisfied with VRE assuming that the expansion of wind and solar power is not hindered by a lack of social acceptance at a cost of around 60–70 EUR/MWhH2 (2.0–2.3 EUR/kgH2). The cost of hydrogen in Europe can be reduced by around 10 EUR/MWhH2 if the hydrogen consumption is positioned strategically in regions with good conditions for wind and solar power and a low electricity demand. The cost savings potential that can be obtained from full temporal flexibility of hydrogen consumption is 3-fold higher than that linked to strategic localisation of the hydrogen consumption. The cost of hydrogen per kg increases and the value of flexibility diminishes as the size of the hydrogen demand increases relative to the traditional demand for electricity and the available VRE resources. Low-cost hydrogen is thus achieved by implementing efficiency and flexibility measures for hydrogen consumers as well as increasing acceptance of VRE.
Evaluation of a Hydrogen Powered Scooter Toy Prototype
Nov 2022
Publication
Electric scooters are used as alternative ways of transport because they easily make travel faster. However the batteries can take around 5 h to charge and have an autonomy of 30 km. With the presence of the hydrogen cell a hybrid system reduces the charging times and increases the autonomy of the vehicle by using two types of fuel. An increase of up to 80% in maximum distance and of 34% in operating times is obtained with a 1:10 scale prototype with the hydrogen cell; although more energy is withdrawn the combined fuel efficiency increases too. This suggests the cell that is used has the same behavior as some official reported vehicles which have a long range but low power. This allows concluding that use of the cell is functional for load tests and that the comparison factor obtained works as input for real-scale scooter prototypes to compete with the traditional electric scooters.
Impacts of Green Energy Expansion and Gas Import Reduction on South Korea’s Economic Growth: A System Dynamics Approach
Jun 2023
Publication
South Korea ranking ninth among the largest energy consumers and seventh in carbon dioxide emissions from 2016 to 2021 faces challenges in energy security and climate change mitigation. The primary challenge lies in transitioning from fossil fuel dependency to a more sustainable and diversified energy portfolio while meeting the growing energy demand for continued economic growth. This necessitates fostering innovation and investment in the green energy sector. This study examines the potential impact of green energy expansion (through integrating renewable energy and hydrogen production) and gas import reduction on South Korea’s economic growth using a system dynamics approach. The findings indicate that increasing investment in green energy can result in significant growth rates ranging from 7% to 35% between 2025 and 2040. Under the expansion renewable energy scenario (A) suggests steady but sustainable economic growth in the long term while the gas import reduction scenario (B) displays a potential for rapid economic growth in the short term with possible instability in the long term. The total production in Scenario B is USD 2.7 trillion in 2025 and will increase to USD 4.8 trillion by 2040. Scenario C which combines the effects of both Scenarios A and B results in consistently high economic growth rates over time and a substantial increase in total production by 2035–2040 from 20% to 46%. These findings are critical for policymakers in South Korea as they strive for sustainable economic growth and transition to renewable energy.
Regional Supply Chains for Decarbonising Steel: Energy Efficiency and Green Premium Mitigation
Jan 2022
Publication
Decarbonised steel enabled by green hydrogen-based iron ore reduction and renewable electricity-based steel making will disrupt the traditional supply chain. Focusing on the energetic and techno-economic assessment of potential green supply chains this study investigates the direct reduced iron-electric arc furnace production route enabled by renewable energy and deployed in regional settings. The hypothesis that co-locating manufacturing processes with renewable energy resources would offer highest energy efficiency and cost reduction is tested through an Australia-Japan case study. The binational partnership is structured to meet Japanese steel demand (for domestic use and regional exports) and source both energy and iron ore from the Pilbara region of Western Australia. A total of 12 unique supply chains differentiated by spatial configuration timeline and energy carrier were simulated which validated the hypothesis: direct energy and ore exports to remote steel producers (i.e. Japan-based production) as opposed to co-locating iron and steel production with abundant ore and renewable energy resources (i.e. Australia-based production) increased energy consumption and the levelised cost of steel by 45% and 32% respectively when averaged across 2030 and 2050. Two decades of technological development and economies of scale realisation would be crucial; 2030 supply chains were on average 12% more energy-intense and 23% more expensive than 2050 equivalents. On energy vectors liquefied hydrogen was more efficient than ammonia for export-dominant supply chains due to the pairing of its process flexibility and the intermittent solar energy profile as well as the avoidance of the need for ammonia cracking prior to direct reduction. To mitigate the green premium a carbon tax in the range of A$66–192/t CO2 would be required in 2030 and A$0–70/t CO2 in 2050; the diminished carbon tax requirement in the latter is achievable only by wholly Australia-based production. Further the modelled system scale was immense; producing 40 Mtpa of decarbonised steel will require 74–129% of Australia’s current electricity output and A$137–328 billion in capital investment for solar power production and shipping vessel infrastructure. These results call for strategic planning of regional resource pairing to drive energy and cost efficiencies which accelerate the global decarbonisation of steel.
Thermodynamic Analysis of Methanol, Ammonia, and Hydrogen as Alternative Fuels in HCCI Engines
May 2023
Publication
The present study enters in the context of reducing harmful emissions of the marine fleet by using three of the most promising alternative fuels namely methanol ammonia and hydrogen. These fuels are to be examined from the perspective of both the first and second laws of thermodynamics when employed in turbocharged and intercooled Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition Engines (HCCI) under various values of ambient temperature and equivalence ratio. Results showed that the highest engine performance values favour using ammonia as fuel followed in order by hydrogen and methanol. Furthermore most of the exergy destruction rates (65.26% ammonia to 84.02% for hydrogen) of the exergy destruction rate occurring in the engine take place in the HCCI engine.
Study on Hydrogen in Ports and Industrial Coastal Areas - Report 1
Jan 2023
Publication
The study feeds into the work of the Global Hydrogen Ports Coalition launched at the latest Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM12). This important international initiative brings together ports from around the world to work together on hydrogen technologies. The planned study will be a comprehensive assessment of the hydrogen demand in ports and industrial coastal areas enabling the creation of a 'European Hydrogen Ports Roadmap'. It will also feature clear economic forecasts based on a variety of business models for the transition to renewable hydrogen in ports while presenting new case studies and project concepts. “The objective is to provide new directions for research and innovation guidance for regulation codes and standards and proposals on policy and regulation. The forthcoming study will also help create impetus for stakeholders to come together and take a long term perspective on the hydrogen transition in ports. Finally the study will be a centralized resource It will form a Europe wide hydrogen ports ' when combined with roadmaps and other materials created by individual ports.
The Impact of the Energy Crisis on the UK's Net Zero Transition
Mar 2023
Publication
Recent drastic increases in natural gas prices have brought into sharp focus the inherent tensions between net zero transitions energy security and affordability. We investigate the impact of different fuel prices on the energy system transition explicitly accounting for the increasingly coupled power and heating sectors and also incorporate the emerging hydrogen sector. The aim is to identify low-regret decisions and optimal energy system transitions for different fuel prices. We observe that the evolution of the heating sector is highly sensitive to the gas price whereas the composition of the power sector is not qualitatively impacted by gas prices. We also observe that bioenergy plays an important role in the energy system transition and the balance between gas price and biomass prices determines the optimal technology portfolios. The future evolution of the prices of these two resources is highly uncertain and future energy systems must be resilient to these uncertainties.
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