Publications

The H2@Scale program of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office (HFTO) is supporting work on the hydrogen compatibility of polymers to improve the durability and reliability of materials for hydrogen infrastructure. The hydrogen compatibility program (H-Mat) seeks “to address the challenges of hydrogen degradation by elucidating the mechanisms of hydrogen-materials interactions with the goal of providing science-based strategies to design materials (micro)structures and morphology with improved resistance to hydrogen degradation.” Previous work on ethylene propylene diene indicated hydrogen interaction with plasticizer increased its migration to the surface and coalescing within the elastomer compound. New research on nitrile butadiene (NBR) has found hydrogen and pressure interactions with a series model rubber-material compounds to behave similarly in some compounds and improved in other compounds that is demonstrated through volume change and compression-set differences in the materials. Further studies were conducted using a helium-ion microscope (HeIM) which revealed significant morphological changes in the plasticizer-incorporating compounds after static exposure and pressure cycling as evidenced by time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry. Additional studies using x-ray chromatography revealed that more micro-voids/-cracks developed after gas decompression in unfilled materials than in filled materials; transmission electron microscopy (TEM) probed at the nano-meter level showing change in filler distribution and morphology around Zinc-based particles.

Global energy sources are being transformed from hydrocarbon-based energy sources to renewable and carbon-free energy sources such as wind solar and hydrogen. The biggest challenge with hydrogen as a renewable energy carrier is the storage and delivery system’s complexity. Therefore other media such as ammonia for indirect storage are now being considered. Research has shown that at reasonable pressures ammonia is easily contained as a liquid. In this form energy density is approximately half of that of gasoline and ten times more than batteries. Ammonia can provide effective storage of renewable energy through its existing storage and distribution network. In this article we aimed to analyse the previous studies and the current research on the preparation of ammonia as a next-generation renewable energy carrier. The study focuses on technical advances emerging in ammonia synthesis technologies such as photocatalysis electrocatalysis and plasmacatalysis. Ammonia is now also strongly regarded as fuel in the transport industrial and power sectors and is relatively more versatile in reducing CO₂ emissions. Therefore the utilisation of ammonia as a renewable energy carrier plays a significant role in reducing GHG emissions. Finally the simplicity of ammonia processing transport and use makes it an appealing choice for the link between the development of renewable energy and demand.

The article proposes the use of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method to select a risk assessment technique associated with underground hydrogen storage. The initial choosing and ranking of risk assessment techniques can be considered as a multi-criteria decision problem. The usage of a decision model based on six criteria is proposed. A ranking of methods for estimating the risks associated with underground hydrogen storage is presented. The obtained results show that the application of the AHP-based approach may be a useful tool for selecting the UHS risk assessment technique. The proposed method makes it possible to make an objective decision of the most satisfactory approach from the point of view of all the adopted decision criteria regarding the selection of the best risk assessment technique.

The objective of this paper is to derive for the first time decarbonization roadmaps for the ten nations of ASEAN. This study first presents a regional view of ASEAN’s fossil and renewable energy usage and energy-related CO2 emission. Results show that renewable energies have been losing ground to fossil energies in the last two decades and fossil fuels will likely continue to be an important part of ASEAN’s energy mix for the next few decades. Therefore decarbonizing efforts should focus not only on increasing the share of renewable energies in electricity generation but also on technologies to reduce CO2 emission from fossil power and industrial plants. This study next performs a technology mapping exercise for all ten ASEAN countries to determine decarbonization technologies that have high impact and high readiness for individual countries. Besides installing more sustainable renewable energies common themes coming from these roadmaps include switching from coal to gas for power generation using carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies to decarbonize fossil and industrial plants replacing internal combustion vehicles by electric vehicles and for countries that have coal and natural gas resources upgrading them to blue hydrogen by chemical processes and using CCS to mitigate the emitted CO2. Blue hydrogen can be used to decarbonize hard-to-decarbonize industries. Policy implications of these roadmaps include imposing a credible carbon tax establishing a national hydrogen strategy intergovernmental coordination to establish regional CCS corridors funding research and development to improve carbon capture efficiency on a plant level and resolving sustainability issues of hydropower and bioenergy in ASEAN.

Renewable green fuels (RGF) such as hydrogen are the global energy future. Air pollution is compounded with climate change as the emissions driving both development problems come largely from the same source of fossil fuel burning. As an energy exporter Australian energy export dominates the total energy production and the RGF has become central to the current proposal of Australian government to reach net zero emission. The hydrogen production from solar panels only on 3% of Australia's land area could compensate 10 times of Germany's non-electricity energy consumption. In the unique geographic position Australia's RGF export attracts significant costs for long distance onboard storage and shipping. While the cost reduction of RGF production relies on technological advancement which needs a long time the storage and shipping costs must be minimised for Australia to remain competitive in the global energy market. The present review concentrates on Australian export pathways of lifecycles of liquid renewable green fuels including renewable liquified hydrogen (LH2) liquified methane (LCH4) ammonia (NH3) and methanol (CH3OH) as liquid RGF have the advantages of adopting the existing infrastructure. This review compares the advantages and disadvantages of discussed renewable energy carriers. It is found that the cost of LH2 pathway can be acceptable for shipping distance of up to 7000 km (Asian countries such as Japan) but ammonia (NH3) or methanol (CH3OH) pathways may be more cost effective for shipping distance above 7000 km for European counties such as Germany. These observations suggest the proper fuel forms to fulfill the requirements to different customers and hence will highlight Australia's position as one of major exporters of renewable energy in the future. Detailed techno-economic analysis is worth to be done for supplying more quantitative results.

This article proposes a new model of power supply for mobile low power machines applications between 10 W and 30 W such as radio-controlled (RC) electric cars. This power supply is based on general hydrogen from residual aluminum and water with NaOH so it is proposed energy valorization of aluminum waste. In the present research a theoretical model allows us to predict the requested aluminum surface and the required flow of hydrogen has been developed also considering in addition to the geometry and purity of the material two key variables as the temperature and the molarity of the alkaline solution used in the hydrogen production process. Focusing on hydrogen production isopropyl alcohol plays a key role in the reactor’s fuel cell vehicle as it filters out NaOH particles and maintains a constant flow of hydrogen for the operation of the machine keeping the reactor temperature controlled. Finally a comparison of the theoretical and experimental data has been used to validate the developed model using aluminum sheets from ring cans to generate hydrogen which will be used as a source of hydrogen in a power fuel cell of an RC car. Finally the manuscript shows the parts of the vehicle’s powertrain its behavior and mode of operation.

Import and export of fossil energy carriers are cornerstones of energy systems world-wide. If energy systems are to become climate neutral and sustainable fossil carriers need to be substituted with carbon neutral alternatives or electrified if possible. We investigate synthetic chemical energy carriers hydrogen methane methanol ammonia and Fischer-Tropsch fuels produced using electricity from Renewable Energy Source (RES) as fossil substitutes. RES potentials are obtained from GIS-analysis and hourly resolved time-series are derived using reanalysis weather data. We model the sourcing of feedstock chemicals synthesis and transport along nine different Energy Supply Chains to Germany and compare import options for seven locations around the world against each other and with domestically sourced alternatives on the basis of their respective cost per unit of hydrogen and energy delivered. We find that for each type of chemical energy carrier there is an import option with lower costs compared to domestic production in Germany. No single exporting country or energy carrier has a unique cost advantage since for each energy carrier and country there are cost-competitive alternatives. This allows exporter and infrastructure decisions to be made based on other criteria than energy and cost. The lowest cost means for importing of energy and hydrogen are by hydrogen pipeline from Denmark Spain and Western Asia and Northern Africa starting at 36 EUR/MWhLHV to 42 EUR/MWhLHV or 1.0 EUR/kgH2 to 1.3 EUR/kgH2 (in 2050 assuming 5% p.a. capital cost). For complex energy carriers derived from hydrogen like methane ammonia methanol or Fischer-Tropsch fuels imports from Argentina by ship to Germany are lower cost than closer exporters in the European Union or Western Asia and Northern Africa. For meeting hydrogen demand direct hydrogen imports are more attractive than indirect routes using methane methanol or ammonia imports and subsequent decomposition to hydrogen because of high capital investment costs and energetic losses of the indirect routes. We make our model and data available under open licenses for adaptation and reuse.

In the fast filling process in order to control the temperature of the vehicle-mounted storage tank not to exceed the upper limit of 85 ◦C it is an effective method to add a hydrogen pre-cooling system upstream of the hydrogenation machine. In this paper Fluent is used to simulate the heat transfer process of high-pressure hydrogen in a shell-and-tube heat exchanger and the phase change process of refrigerant R23. The accuracy of the model is proven by a comparison with the data in the references. Using this model the temperature field and gas volume fraction in the heat transfer process are obtained which is helpful to analyze the heat transfer mechanism. At the same time the influence of hydrogen inlet temperature hydrogen inlet pressure and refrigerant flow rate on the refrigeration performance was studied. The current work shows that the model can be used to determine the best working parameters in the pre-cooling process and reduce the operating cost of the hydrogen refueling station.

This edition of the Global Gas Report covers two very turbulent years in the global gas industry and the wider global energy markets. The Covid-19 pandemic lockdowns with a brief period of excess supply and low prices gave way to tight energy markets extreme price volatility and a compounding geopolitical challenge to energy security. At the time of writing the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has been affecting the flows of gas and has put Europe on a quest to diversify its energy and gas supply that is now opening a new paradigm in the energy industry. This report comes at a time when the situation for global commodity and gas markets is in a state of rapid change and the strategic path forwards for the gas industry and energy policy-makers is continually developing. One thing is clear this is a critical and decisive moment for the gas industry. How it navigates the way through this crisis and charts a path forward will shape its long-term success and the role that it will play in the energy transition and beyond. This is the moment for the gas industry to demonstrate that gas can deliver a sustainable and secure energy future for all and that natural gas and a portfolio of decarbonized low- and zero-carbon gases are key to an achievable energy transition. This year’s report assesses key gas market trends from 2020 and 2021 including Covid-19 outcomes tightness of supply price volatility investments and the upward reversal in the global emissions trend. It then turns to the main topic on the global energy agenda – security – and considers key variables impacting it from industry and policy perspectives as well as considering possible paths to reinforce it. Finally the report looks at the main decarbonization pathways for gas supply as they progressively develop to make gas itself a low or zero-carbon fuel for the future. This report seeks to deliver insights about the global gas sector and to inform its stakeholders partners and importantly global decision-makers about the state of play today and possibilities for the future. It concludes with key insights on how sustainability security and competitiveness can help to deliver a sustainable future in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement and the UN Sustainable Development Agenda.

The demand for hydrogen has grown more than threefold since 1975 [1] and price is expected to significantly decrease by 2030 [2] concluding in an expected continual increase in demand. HyLaw defined by Hydrogen Europe lays out recommendations for hydrogen applications using identified Legal and Administrative Processes (LAPs) across 18 European countries. Regarding site location HyLaw refers to the land use plan. This defines the production and storage of hydrogen as an industrial activity and therefore regardless of the specific site methods of production or use the hydrogen site must be within a permitted industrial zone or under specific condition commercial areas [3]. Local authorities fire departments and other concerned parties may need to be consulted on site suitability for the project. Risktec explores a range of considerations for siting and layout of hydrogen developments including co-location with other assets for example with renewable energy sources hazardous facilities or public structures. Good practice tools and assessment techniques are presented to mitigate the risks associated with the production storage and use of hydrogen not just the surrounding site and environment but the operatives of the facility.

Since Japan promulgated the world’s first national hydrogen strategy in 2017 28 national (or regional in the case of the EU) hydrogen strategies have been issued by major world economies. As carbon emissions vary with different types of hydrogen and only green hydrogen produced from renewable energy can be zero-emissions fuel this paper interrogates the commitment of the national hydrogen strategies to achieve decarbonization objectives focusing on the question “how green are the national hydrogen strategies?” We create a typology of regulatory stringency for green hydrogen in national hydrogen strategies analyzing the text of these strategies and their supporting policies and evaluating their regulatory stringency toward decarbonization. Our typology includes four parameters fossil fuel penalties hydrogen certifications innovation enablement and the temporal dimension of coal phasing out. Following the typology we categorize the national hydrogen strategies into three groups: zero regulatory stringency scale first and clean later and green hydrogen now. We find that most national strategies are of the type “scale first and clean later” with one or more regulatory measures in place. This article identifies further challenges to enhancing regulatory stringency for green hydrogen at both national and international levels.

The flexible coupling of sectors in the energy system for example via battery electric vehicles electric heating or electric fuel production can contribute significantly to the integration of variable renewable electricity generation. For the implementation of the energy system transformation however there are numerous options for the design of sector coupling each of which is accompanied by different infrastructure requirements. This paper presents the extension of the REMix energy system modelling framework to include the gas sector and its application for investigating the cost-optimal design of sector coupling in Germany's energy system. Considering an integrated optimisation of all relevant technologies in their capacities and hourly use a path to a climate-neutral system in 2050 is analysed. We show that the different options for flexible sector coupling are all needed and perform different functions. Even though flexible electrolytic production of hydrogen takes on a very dominant role in 2050 it does not displace other technologies. Hydrogen also plays a central role in the seasonal balancing of generation and demand. Thus large-scale underground storage is part of the optimal system in addition to a hydrogen transport network. These results provide valuable guidance for the implementation of the energy system transformation in Germany.

The greatest challenge of our times is to identify low cost and environmentally friendly alternative energy sources to fossil fuels. From this point of view the decarbonization of industrial chemical processes is fundamental and the use of hydrogen as an energy vector usable by fuel cells is strategic. It is possible to tackle the decarbonization of industrial chemical processes with the electrification of systems. The purpose of this review is to provide an overview of the latest research on the electrification of endothermic industrial chemical processes aimed at the production of H2 from methane and its use for energy production through proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC). In particular two main electrification methods are examined microwave heating (MW) and resistive heating (Joule) aimed at transferring heat directly on the surface of the catalyst. For cases the catalyst formulation and reactor configuration were analyzed and compared. The key aspects of the use of H2 through PEM were also analyzed highlighting the most used catalysts and their performance. With the information contained in this review we want to give scientists and researchers the opportunity to compare both in terms of reactor and energy efficiency the different solutions proposed for the electrification of chemical processes available in the recent literature. In particular through this review it is possible to identify the solutions that allow a possible scale-up of the electrified chemical process imagining a distributed production of hydrogen and its consequent use with PEMs. As for PEMs in the review it is possible to find interesting alternative solutions to platinum with the PGM (Platinum Group Metal) free-based catalysts proposing the use of Fe or Co for PEM application.

The UK National Transmission System (NTS) is a key enabler to decarbonise the gas network in Great Britain (GB) in order to meet the UK government’s target of net-zero emissions by 2050. FutureGrid is National Grid’s research programme assessing the capability of the transmission system to transport hydrogen. Our goal is to accelerate the decarbonisation of power industry and heat by delivering a safe supply of energy to all customers both during and after the energy transition. FutureGrid will lead to a better understanding of what the technical parameters are around the ultimate role of the NTS in the energy system and how the transition can be managed. Under FutureGrid National Grid will construct a NTS hydrogen test facility at DNV’s Spadeadam testing and research site. NTS assets due to be decommissioned in early RIIO2 will be reconstructed to create a test network that can be used to answer some of the fundamental questions around safety and operation of a converted network. Flows of hydrogen/natural gas blends including 100% hydrogen will be tested for the first time in GB at transmission pressures. This system will connect to the existing H21 distribution network test facility at Spadeadam to prove a complete beach-to-meter network can be decarbonised to develop a comprehensive programme for the hydrogen transition. The project will provide a transmission facility which is a key enabler for more advanced hydrogen testing on industrial equipment such as hydrogen separation technology hydrogen compressors and/or purification of hydrogen for transport. Our paper will detail the current position and aims of the project.

Hydrogen safety is an important topic for hydrogen energy application. Unintended hydrogen releases and combustions are potential accident scenarios which are of great interest for developing and updating the safety codes and standards. In this paper hydrogen releases and delayed ignitions were studied.

The present paper dwells on the role of green hydrogen in the transition towards climateneutral economies and reviews the central challenges for its emancipation as an economically viable source of energy. The study shows that countries with a substantial share of renewables in the energy mix advanced natural gas pipeline infrastructure and an advanced level of technological and economic development have a comparative advantage for the wider utilization of hydrogen in their national energy systems. The central conclusion this review paper is that a green hydrogen rollout in the developed and oil-exporting developing and emerging countries is not a risk for the rest of the world in terms of the increasing technological disparities and conservation of underdevelopment and concomitant socio-economic problems of the Global South. The targets anchored in Paris Agreement but even more in the EU Green Deal and the European Hydrogen Strategy will necessitate a substantial rollout of RESs in developing countries and especially in the countries of the African Union because of the prioritization of the African continent within the energy cooperation frameworks of the EU Green Deal and the EU Hydrogen Strategy. Hence the green hydrogen rollout will bridge the energy transition between Europe and Africa on the one hand and climate and development targets on the other.

The concerns over food security and protein scarcity driven by population increase and higher standards of living have pushed scientists toward finding new protein sources. A considerable proportion of resources and agricultural lands are currently dedicated to proteinaceous feed production to raise livestock and poultry for human consumption. The 1st generation of microbial protein (MP) came into the market as land-independent proteinaceous feed for livestock and aquaculture. However MP may be a less sustainable alternative to conventional feeds such as soybean meal and fishmeal because this technology currently requires natural gas and synthetic chemicals. These challenges have directed researchers toward the production of 2nd generation MP by integrating renewable energies anaerobic digestion nutrient recovery biogas cleaning and upgrading carbon-capture technologies and fermentation. The fermentation of methane-oxidizing bacteria (MOB) and hydrogen-oxidizing bacteria (HOB) i.e. two protein rich microorganisms has shown a great potential on the one hand to upcycle effluents from anaerobic digestion into protein rich biomass and on the other hand to be coupled to renewable energy systems under the concept of Power-to-X. This work compares various production routes for 2nd generation MP by reviewing the latest studies conducted in this context and introducing the state-of-the-art technologies hoping that the findings can accelerate and facilitate upscaling of MP production. The results show that 2nd generation MP depends on the expansion of renewable energies. In countries with high penetration of renewable electricity such as Nordic countries off-peak surplus electricity can be used within MP-industry by supplying electrolytic H2 which is the driving factor for both MOB and HOB-based MP production. However nutrient recovery technologies are the heart of the 2nd generation MP industry as they determine the process costs and quality of the final product. Although huge attempts have been made to date in this context some bottlenecks such as immature nutrient recovery technologies less efficient fermenters with insufficient gas-to-liquid transfer and costly electrolytic hydrogen production and storage have hindered the scale up of MP production. Furthermore further research into techno-economic feasibility and life cycle assessment (LCA) of coupled technologies is still needed to identify key points for improvement and thereby secure a sustainable production system.

Wind and solar energy are often expected to fall victim to their own success: the higher their share in electricity generation the more their revenue in electricity markets (their “market value”) declines. While market values may converge to zero in conventional power systems this study argues that “green” hydrogen production can effectively and permanently halt the decline by adding flexible electricity demand in low-price hours. To support this argument this article further develops the merit order model and uses price duration curves to include flexible hydrogen electrolysis and to derive an analytical formula for the minimum market value of renewables in the long-term market equilibrium. This hydrogen-induced minimum market value is quantified for a wide range of parameters using Monte Carlo simulations and complemented with results from a more detailed numerical electricity market model. It is shown that—due to flexible hydrogen production alone—market values across Europe will likely stabilize above €19 ± 9 MWh− 1 for solar energy and above €27 ± 8 MWh− 1 for wind energy in 2050 (annual mean estimate ± standard deviation). This is in the range of the projected levelized cost of renewables and other types of flexible electricity demand may further increase renewable market values. Market-based renewables may hence be within reach.

The classical approach to use hydrogen as a fuel for Internal Combustion Engines (ICEs) is premixed combustion. In order to avoid knocking and to limit NOx emissions very lean mixtures are employed thus resulting in a high boost pressure demand or low specific engine power. To overcome these limitations the possibility of a diesellike jet-guided combustion of hydrogen is explored. The approach is to ignite a directly injected hydrogen jet at its periphery by means of a conventional spark discharge followed by a diffusion-controlled combustion while injection remains active. An optically accessible Rapid Compression Expansion Machine (RCEM) is used to investigate ignition and combustion of underexpanded hydrogen jets in air by means of simultaneous Schlieren visualization and OH chemiluminescence. Different injection and ignition timing are investigated resulting in premixed partially premixed and diffusion-controlled (jet-guided) combustion conditions. The possibility of ignition and combustion of the hydrogen jets in diffusion-controlled conditions is investigated for different orientations of the incoming fuel jet with respect to spark location. The combustion tests are analyzed in terms of ignition success rate ignition delay reacting surface and heat release rate and an optimal orientation of the jet is assessed. The present study provides insights for optimizing hydrogen direct injection ignition and combustion for later application in ICEs.

The construction of hydrogen refueling stations is an important part of the promotion of fuel cell vehicles. In this paper a multi-period hydrogen refueling station location model is presented that can be applied to the planning and construction of hydrogen infrastructures. Based on the hydrogen demand of fuel cell passenger cars and commercial vehicles the model calculates the hydrogen demand of each zone by a weighting method according to population economic level and education level. Then the hydrogen demand of each period is calculated using the generalized Bass diffusion model. Finally the set covering model is improved to determine the locations of the stations. The new model is applied to the scientific planning of hydrogen refueling stations in Jiading District Shanghai; the construction location and sequence of hydrogen refueling stations in each period are given and the growth trend of hydrogen demand and the promoting effect of hydrogen refueling stations are analyzed. The model adopted in this model is then compared with the other two kinds of node-based hydrogen refueling station location models that have previously been proposed.

This report presents the results of research into consumer perceptions and the subsequent degree of acceptance of blended hydrogen in domestic properties. Evidence from two trial sites of the HyDeploy programme: i) a private site trial at Keele University North Staffordshire; ii) and a public site trial at Winlaton Gateshead are discussed.

Hydrogen derived from biomass feedstock (biohydrogen) can play a significant role in Germany’s hydrogen economy. However the bioenergy potential and environmental benefits of biohydrogen production are still largely unknown. Additionally there are no uniform evaluation methods present for these emerging technologies. Therefore this paper presents a methodological approach for the evaluation of bioenergy potentials and the attainable environmental impacts of these processes in terms of their carbon footprints. A procedure for determining bioenergy potentials is presented which provides information on the amount of usable energy after conversion when applied. Therefore it elaborates a four-step methodical conduct dealing with available waste materials uncertainties of early-stage processes and calculation aspects. The bioenergy to be generated can result in carbon emission savings by substituting fossil energy carriers as well as in negative emissions by applying biohydrogen production with carbon capture and storage (HyBECCS). Hence a procedure for determining the negative emissions potential is also presented. Moreover the developed approach can also serve as a guideline for decision makers in research industry and politics and might also serve as a basis for further investigations such as implementation strategies or quantification of the benefits of biohydrogen production from organic waste material in Germany

The  understanding  of  physical  phenomena  occurring  during  the  refueling  of  H2  tanks  used for hydrogen mobility applications is the key point towards the most optimal refueling protocol. A lot of experimental investigations on tank refueling were performed in the previous years for different types and sizes of tank. Several operating conditions were tested through these experiments. For instance the HyTransfer project gave one of the major outputs on the understanding of the physical phenomena occurring during a tank refueling. From a numerical perspective the availability of accurate numerical tools is another key point. Such tools could be used instead of the experimental set-ups to test various operating conditions or new designs of tanks and injectors. The use of these tools can reduce the cost of the refueling protocol development in the future. However they first need to be validated versus experimental data. This work is dedicated to CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) modeling of the hydrogen refueling of a long horizontal 530L type IV tank. As of now the number of available CFD simulations for  such  a large  tank  is  low  as  the  computational  cost  is  significant  which  is  often considered as a bottleneck for this approach. The simulated operating conditions correspond to one of the  experimental  campaigns  performed  in  the  framework  of  the  HyTransfer  project. The  3D  CFD model is presented. In a first validation step the CFD results are compared with experimental data. Then  a  deeper  insight  into  the  physics  predicted  by  the  CFD  is  provided.   Finally  two  other methodologies  with  the  aim  to  reduce  the  computational  cost  have   been  tested.

To address the negative influence caused by power randomness of distributed PV output on energy system’s economic operation in this work an economic operation strategy considering the uncertainty features of PV output has been designed and applied on an integrated hydrogen energy system. First the thermal system operation model and the thermoelectric output control model are precisely built for the integrated hydrogen energy system and the hydrogen-based fuel cell respectively. Then referring to the PV output prediction data the uncertainty of light intensity variation is analyzed to correct the PV output prediction curve. Finally a cost–benefit model for the optimal economic operation of the integrated hydrogen energy system including PV hydrogen fuel cell and cogeneration unit is designed with an objective function of achieving an optimal economic operation of the multi-energy coupling devices. The simulation tests validate that considering the influence of PV output uncertainty on hydrogen fuel cell output can make the system operation more reasonable which ensures the economic and reliable operation of hydrogen energy systems.

Hot water and space heating account for about 80% of total energy consumption in the residential sector in the UK. It is thus crucial to decarbonise residential heating to achieve UK's 2050 greenhouse gas reduction targets. However the decarbonisation transitions determined by most techno-economic energy system models might be too optimistic or misleading for relying on cost minimisation alone and not considering households' preferences for different heating technologies. This study thus proposes a novel framework to incorporate heterogeneous households' (HHs) preferences into the modelling process of the UK TIMES model. The incorporated preferences for HHs are based on a nationwide survey on homeowners' choices of heating technologies. Preference constraints are then applied to regulate the HHs' choices of heating technologies to reflect the survey results. Consequently compared to the least cost transition pathway the preference-driven pathway adopts heating technologies gradually without abrupt increases of market shares. Heat pumps and electric heaters are deployed much less than in the cost optimal result. Extensive district heating using low-carbon fuels and conservation measures should thus be deployed to provide flexibility for decarbonisation. The proposed framework can also incorporate preferences for other energy consumption technologies and be applied to other linear programming based energy system models.